Reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | Reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses The reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the Company's estimated ultimate cost of all unreported and reported but unpaid insured claims and the cost to adjust these claims. Reserves are estimated using individual case-basis valuations of reported claims and statistical analyses. Case reserves are established for individual claims that have been reported to the Company, typically by the Company's insureds or their brokers. Based on the information provided, case reserves are established by estimating the ultimate losses from the claim, including defense costs associated with the ultimate settlement of the claim. Incurred-but-not-reported ("IBNR") reserves are determined using actuarial methods to estimate losses that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Various actuarial methods are used to arrive at the Company's loss reserve estimates for each line of business. These methods utilize numerous inputs including initial expected loss ratios, loss development patterns, paid losses, reported losses, claim counts and price indices. The Company also uses industry and peer-group data, in addition to its own data, to assist in analyzing loss development patterns by line of business. As part of the reserving process, the Company reviews historical data and considers the effect of various factors on claims development patterns including polices written on a "claims made" versus "occurrence" basis. Policies written on a claims made basis provide coverage to the insured only for losses incurred during the coverage period, and only if the claim was reported during a specified reporting period. Policies written on an occurrence basis provide coverage to the insured for liabilities arising from events occurring during the term of the policy, regardless of when a claim is actually made. Accordingly, claims related to policies written on an occurrence basis may arise many years after a policy has lapsed. Property losses, while written on an occurrence basis, are generally reported within a short time from the date of loss, and in most instances, property claims are settled and paid within a relatively short period of time. The following table presents a reconciliation of consolidated beginning and ending reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: December 31, 2024 2023 2022 (in thousands) Gross reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, beginning of year $ 1,692,875 $ 1,238,402 $ 881,344 Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses 241,357 177,039 117,561 Net reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, beginning of year 1,451,518 1,061,363 763,783 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses: Current year 810,554 635,993 493,800 Prior years (37,655) (35,774) (35,887) Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred 772,899 600,219 457,913 Payments: Current year 49,747 38,565 49,205 Prior years 212,062 171,499 111,128 Total payments 261,809 210,064 160,333 Net reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, end of year 1,962,608 1,451,518 1,061,363 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses, net of allowance 323,060 241,357 177,039 Gross reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, end of year $ 2,285,668 $ 1,692,875 $ 1,238,402 During the year ended December 31, 2024, prior accident years developed favorably by $37.7 million, of which $57.6 million was attributable to the 2021 through 2023 accident years due to lower emergence of reported losses than expected across most lines of business. This favorable development was offset in part by adverse development primarily from the 2017 through 2019 accident years due to construction defect claims that are more exposed to inflation, from the 2020 accident year due to a large property claim and more conservative actuarial assumptions in the 2021 through 2023 accident years for lines of business exposed to construction liability. Current accident year incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024 included $25.5 million of net catastrophe losses primarily related to Hurricanes Milton, Helene and Francine and tornadoes in the Midwest. During the year ended December 31, 2023, prior accident years developed favorably by $35.8 million, of which $49.0 million was attributable to the 2021 and 2022 accident years due to lower emergence of reported losses than expected across most lines of business. This favorable development was offset in part by adverse development largely from the 2017 through 2019 accident years due to construction defect claims that are more exposed to inflation. During the year ended December 31, 2022, prior accident years developed favorably by $35.9 million, of which $41.8 million was attributable to the 2020 and 2021 accident years due to lower emergence of reported losses than expected across most lines of business. This favorable development was offset in part by adverse development largely from the 2016 and 2018 accident years due to routine variability in reported losses and modest adjustments in actuarial assumptions. Current accident year incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for the year ended December 31, 2022 included $26.6 million of catastrophe losses primarily related to Hurricane Ian. Incurred and Paid Claims Development The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2024, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of IBNR liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts. The development and claims duration tables below exclude commuted multi-line quota-share reinsurance treaty ("MLQS") contracts, which would distort development patterns related to those transactions. Cumulative number of reported claims is reported on a per claim basis. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2015 to December 31, 2023, is presented as unaudited supplementary information. Property Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2024 Accident Year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims ($ in thousands) 2020 $ 40,612 $ 37,939 $ 36,807 $ 37,078 $ 42,287 $ — 2,309 2021 36,531 33,518 29,750 31,392 1,087 1,146 2022 67,127 53,676 53,527 4,131 2,346 2023 75,517 54,503 24,306 979 2024 112,051 61,791 1,376 Total $ 293,760 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 ($ in thousands) 2020 $ 19,897 $ 30,321 $ 31,765 $ 35,023 $ 41,696 2021 14,268 21,257 27,324 30,200 2022 33,004 46,965 48,030 2023 20,267 26,434 2024 31,303 Total 177,663 All outstanding liabilities before 2020, net of reinsurance 15 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 116,112 Historical Claims Duration The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2024: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 Property 43.9 % 21.1 % 8.2 % 8.4 % 15.8 % Casualty - Claims Made Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2024 Accident Year 2015 Unaudited 2016 Unaudited 2017 Unaudited 2018 Unaudited 2019 Unaudited 2020 Unaudited 2021 Unaudited 2022 Unaudited 2023 Unaudited 2024 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims ($ in thousands) 2015 $ 18,883 $ 16,777 $ 14,896 $ 13,583 $ 13,942 $ 13,548 $ 13,414 $ 13,066 $ 12,759 $ 12,679 $ 20 260 2016 19,170 14,693 14,675 14,322 13,583 13,602 13,228 12,707 12,703 12 312 2017 18,116 17,097 16,120 15,794 14,989 13,698 13,471 12,840 39 372 2018 22,429 20,234 18,612 17,057 14,411 14,272 14,186 840 466 2019 34,693 29,056 26,426 24,489 21,788 22,839 2,583 565 2020 55,630 44,641 38,287 33,667 28,877 5,467 787 2021 84,018 66,191 52,935 36,710 18,461 1,081 2022 101,064 81,394 60,873 32,026 1,234 2023 115,858 91,516 61,696 1,467 2024 123,511 103,838 1,461 Total $ 416,734 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2015 Unaudited 2016 Unaudited 2017 Unaudited 2018 Unaudited 2019 Unaudited 2020 Unaudited 2021 Unaudited 2022 Unaudited 2023 Unaudited 2024 ($ in thousands) 2015 $ 217 $ 4,496 $ 7,563 $ 9,238 $ 11,372 $ 11,522 $ 12,142 $ 12,463 $ 12,474 $ 12,659 2016 1,158 3,015 6,907 9,839 11,381 12,105 12,299 12,691 12,691 2017 340 4,897 8,252 10,484 11,357 12,235 12,335 12,779 2018 507 5,030 8,931 10,330 11,205 12,623 13,247 2019 2,487 6,005 10,123 14,476 15,406 16,598 2020 1,002 7,446 12,551 18,589 22,445 2021 1,146 8,437 12,895 16,294 2022 3,052 12,381 24,033 2023 4,830 16,895 2024 6,755 Total 154,396 All outstanding liabilities before 2015, net of reinsurance 132 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 262,470 Casualty - Occurrence Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2024 Accident Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims ($ in thousands) 2015 $ 59,717 $ 51,739 $ 49,122 $ 52,100 $ 54,697 $ 54,090 $ 54,090 $ 54,637 $ 55,259 $ 56,101 $ 3,740 1,947 2016 61,440 55,680 53,549 55,534 57,401 60,861 64,612 65,323 65,025 5,511 1,694 2017 71,126 67,151 68,985 70,641 71,117 69,911 76,715 79,203 9,117 2,288 2018 86,157 78,331 78,386 83,952 93,215 97,005 101,939 13,824 2,585 2019 112,266 109,994 108,138 107,480 115,681 120,003 26,442 2,535 2020 154,619 136,212 131,082 135,045 140,203 69,005 3,072 2021 200,598 190,879 193,722 204,787 127,633 3,228 2022 272,692 271,399 287,977 199,307 3,832 2023 372,245 372,413 322,319 3,813 2024 490,719 471,397 2,513 Total $ 1,918,370 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 ($ in thousands) 2015 $ 941 $ 3,161 $ 12,685 $ 28,385 $ 37,690 $ 41,724 $ 44,161 $ 47,106 $ 49,147 $ 51,010 2016 1,099 6,015 17,225 28,924 34,437 43,311 51,533 55,595 57,421 2017 1,581 9,352 22,407 37,736 46,025 52,069 61,108 66,435 2018 2,638 10,995 22,860 35,138 54,441 72,174 82,927 2019 3,944 16,687 30,518 46,478 69,384 84,496 2020 2,400 8,673 17,805 32,606 55,548 2021 3,205 12,944 31,494 57,465 2022 4,658 23,084 56,201 2023 4,329 21,930 2024 6,032 Total 539,465 All outstanding liabilities before 2015, net of reinsurance 6,942 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 1,385,847 Historical Claims Duration The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2024: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Casualty - claims made 5.0 % 22.4 % 21.9 % 16.1 % 9.9 % 5.8 % 2.9 % 3.0 % — % 1.5 % Casualty - occurrence 1.9 % 6.7 % 12.6 % 16.3 % 15.0 % 11.7 % 9.7 % 6.1 % 3.2 % 3.3 % Reconciliation of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows: (in thousands) December 31, 2024 Net outstanding liabilities Property $ 116,112 Casualty - claims made 262,470 Casualty - occurrence 1,385,847 Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance 1,764,429 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims Property 99,478 Casualty - claims made 21,051 Casualty - occurrence 203,463 Allowance for credit losses (932) Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims 323,060 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 197,247 Allowance for credit losses 932 Gross liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense $ 2,285,668 |