August 27, 2019
Page 9
![LOGO](https://capedge.com/proxy/CORRESP/0001193125-19-231142/g764780dsp02aa.jpg)
Fair Value Determination (June 30, 2019 through present)
Following the May 23, 2019 grants, the underwriters for the Company’s IPO completed their due diligence for the IPO and the Company and underwriters held several drafting sessions, which resulted in the completion of an initial draft registration statement that was submitted to the SEC on June 21, 2019 (the “Draft Registration Statement”). Following the submission, the Company obtained an independent third-party valuation of the Company’s common stock as of June 30, 2019. Based on its consideration of the independent third-party valuation and the objective and subjective factors described on page 83 of the Registration Statement, the Board of Directors determined that the fair value of the Company’s common stock was $[***] per share as of June 30, 2019 (the “June 2019 Valuation”).
The independent third-party valuation utilized a hybrid of the OPM and PWERM to establish the fair value of the Company’s common stock. For such purposes, the Company anticipated four potential future events:
(i) an IPO by [***] at a low estimated valuation (the “Low IPO”);
(ii) an IPO by [***] at a mid estimated valuation (the “Mid IPO”);
(iii) an IPO by [***] at a high estimated valuation (the “High IPO” and together with the Low IPO scenario and Mid IPO scenario, the “June 2019 IPO Scenarios”); and
(iv) the Stay Private scenario.
The Board of Directors, in consultation with management, weighted the aggregate probability of the Low IPO scenario at [***], the Mid IPO scenario at [***], the High IPO scenario at [***] and Stay Private scenario at [***], due to market uncertainty and various strategic business factors. The change in the weighting of the June 2019 IPO Scenarios from the April 2019 IPO Scenarios was primarily due to the Company’s successful submission of the Draft Registration Statement to the SEC on June 21, 2019, which increased the likelihood that the Company would be able to complete an IPO by [***]. As a result, the First IPO and Third IPO scenarios were assigned no weight, whereas the Second IPO scenario was assigned a weight of 55%. However, the overall weighting between the IPO scenarios and Stay Private scenario remained unchanged from the prior report, which was primarily due to the fact that at the time of the June 2019 Valuation, the Company and underwriters had not yet held any “testing the waters meetings” with potential investors and therefore did not have any additional information as to whether or not there would be sufficient market demand for the Company’s IPO. The Company believes that the potential future events used in the June 2019 Valuation and the probability weighting of each future event was appropriate at the time, in light of the Company’s stage of development and operating results, its prospects for an IPO, the feasibility of completing an IPO, and general conditions in the capital markets, including with respect to IPOs.
To derive its equity value in the June 2019 IPO Scenarios, the Company relied upon an analysis of similarly situated comparable companies at the time of their IPOs. For the Stay Private scenario, the Company estimated an equity value by applying the Backsolve Method to the Company’s Series B Preferred Stock financing. The selection of the DLOM was based on the Protective Put Method.
CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUESTED BY
SATSUMA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
STSA-1009