EXHIBIT 99.E
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
The information contained in this section supplements the information about the Republic corresponding to the headings below that is contained in Exhibit 99.D to the Republic’s annual report on Form 18-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2017. To the extent the information in this section differs from the information contained in such annual report, you should rely on the information in this section. Capitalized terms not defined in this section have the meanings ascribed to them in the annual report.
REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
Inflation
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of March 2018 was 132.58. The year-on-year inflation for March 2018 was 3.40%.
Public Debt
External Public Debt of the Republic
The following table sets forth information on the outstanding external public debt of the Republic in terms of creditor type as of the dates indicated.
Outstanding External Public Debt of the Republic by Source(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of December 31, | | | As of February 28, | |
| | 2013 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | | | 2017P | | | 2018P | |
| | (in billions of U.S. dollars) | |
Concessional Loans: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Multilateral creditors | | | 23.7 | | | | 23.5 | | | | 26.1 | | | | 27.5 | | | | 28.1 | | | | 28.9 | |
Bilateral creditors | | | 31.5 | | | | 26.9 | | | | 24.7 | | | | 23.5 | | | | 23.2 | | | | 24.2 | |
Semi-concessional Loans: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Export agency creditors | | | 0.00 | | | | 0.0 | | | | 0.0 | | | | 0.0 | | | | 0.1 | | | | 0.1 | |
Commercial(2) | | | 36.0 | | | | 40.5 | | | | 51.4 | | | | 60.4 | | | | 66.2 | | | | 68.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | 91.2 | | | | 90.9 | | | | 102.2 | | | | 111.4 | | | | 117.5 | | | | 121.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total external public debt of the Republic, as a percentage of GDP for the period indicated(3) | | | 10.4 | % | | | 10.7 | % | | | 12.4 | % | | | 12.1 | % | | | 11.6 | % | | | N/A | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance
(1) | Foreign currency values of outstanding external debt have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated. |
(2) | Includes securities (bonds and Sukuk) issued in international capital markets and commercial bank borrowings. |
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(3) | In calculating as a percentage of GDP, GDP in U.S. dollars has been converted from Rupiah into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated. |
Sources of External Public Borrowing
The total outstanding external public debt of the Republic as of February 28, 2018 was U.S.$121.7 billion.
The following table sets forth the outstanding amounts of international development assistance received by the Republic as of the dates indicated.
International Development Assistance(1)(2)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of December 31, | | | As of February 28, | |
| | 2013 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | | | 2017P | | | 2018P | |
| | (in millions of U.S. dollars) | |
Bilateral loans | | | 31,465.2 | | | | 26,898.8 | | | | 24,692.3 | | | | 23,450.0 | | | | 23,154.7 | | | | 24,166.0 | |
Multilateral loans: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
International Monetary Fund | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
World Bank Group | | | 13,436.0 | | | | 14,069.6 | | | | 16,077.2 | | | | 17,261.9 | | | | 17,953.9 | | | | 18,214.6 | |
Asian Development Bank | | | 9,400.1 | | | | 8,629.5 | | | | 9,202.5 | | | | 9,261.6 | | | | 9,012.6 | | | | 9,504.9 | |
Islamic Development Bank | | | 592.0 | | | | 591.1 | | | | 624.7 | | | | 735.7 | | | | 908.6 | | | | 927.3 | |
Nordic Investment Bank | | | 27.6 | | | | 21.9 | | | | 16.7 | | | | 11.7 | | | | 11.4 | | | | 11.7 | |
European Investment Bank | | | 48.9 | | | | 38.5 | | | | 27.6 | | | | 22.0 | | | | 16.1 | | | | 16.1 | |
International Fund for Agricultural Development | | | 147.3 | | | | 148.5 | | | | 150.6 | | | | 165.0 | | | | 188.1 | | | | 193.3 | |
Asian Infrastructure Development Bank | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 27.5 | | | | 23.8 | |
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Total multilateral loans | | | 23,652.0 | | | | 23,499.2 | | | | 26,099.3 | | | | 27,457.9 | | | | 28,118.2 | | | | 28,891.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total loans | | | 55,117.2 | | | | 46,569.1 | | | | 50,791.6 | | | | 48,345.8 | | | | 51,273.0 | | | | 53,057.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance
(1) | The term international development assistance includes any concessionary loans provided by international financial institutions or foreign governments, excluding grants. |
(2) | Foreign currency values of international development assistance have been converted into U.S. dollars at the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the respective dates indicated. |
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The following table sets forth the external public debt of the Republic by currency as of the dates indicated.
Outstanding External Public Debt of the Republic by Major Currency
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of December 31, | | | As of February 28, | |
| | 2015 | | | 2016 | | | 2017P | | | 2018P | |
| | In millions of original currency | | | In millions of U.S. dollars(1) | | | In millions of original currency | | | In millions of U.S. dollars(1) | | | In millions of original currency | | | In millions of U.S. dollars(1) | | | In millions of original currency | | | In millions of U.S. dollars(1) | |
U.S. dollars | | | 70,817 | | | | 70,817 | | | | 75,267 | | | | 75,267 | | | | 83,764 | | | | 83,764 | | | | 86,730 | | | | 86,730 | |
Japanese yen | | | 2,126,845 | | | | 17,657 | | | | 2,053,751 | | | | 17,708 | | | | 2,020,516 | | | | 17,929 | | | | 2,011,164 | | | | 18,767 | |
Euros | | | 5,999 | | | | 6,554 | | | | 8,676 | | | | 9,150 | | | | 10,039 | | | | 12,038 | | | | 10,298 | | | | 12,591 | |
SDR | | | 3,783 | | | | 5,246 | | | | 3,585 | | | | 4,830 | | | | 1,436 | | | | 2,040 | | | | 1,379 | | | | 2,001 | |
British pounds | | | 180 | | | | 267 | | | | 129 | | | | 161 | | | | 105 | | | | 141 | | | | 104 | | | | 145 | |
Others | |
| Multiple currencies | | | | 1,581 | | |
| Multiple currencies | | | | 1,507 | | |
| Multiple currencies | | | | 1,584 | | |
| Multiple currencies | | | | 1,369 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | N/A | | | | 102,121 | | | | N/A | | | | 108,624 | | | | N/A | | | | 117,496 | | | | N/A | | | | 121,603 | |
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Source: Ministry | of Finance |
(1) | Calculated based on the applicable BI middle exchange rates as of the date indicated for each column. |
Domestic Public Debt of the Central Government
The following table sets forth the outstanding domestic public debt of the central Government as of the dates indicated.
Domestic Public Debt of the Central Government
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of December 31, | | | As of February 28, | |
| | 2013 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | | | 2017P | | | 2018P | |
Total domestic public debt, in trillions of Rupiah(1) | | | 1,264.0 | | | | 1,477.8 | | | | 1,755.2 | | | | 2,019.2 | | | | 2,346.6 | | | | 2,368.0 | |
Source: Ministry | of Finance |
(1) | Excludes SBI, which are obligations of Bank Indonesia and not of the Government. See “— Financial System — Bank Indonesia.” |
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Export-Import Data from the Central Statistics Agency
In addition to the exports and imports related data published by Bank Indonesia, the Central Statistics Agency or BPS also publishes data relating to imports and exports compiled based on the International Merchandise Trade Statistics Manual issued by the United Nations. Due to the different methods and timing of compiling export-import statistics, the export-import data published by BPS is different to the export-import data published by Bank Indonesia.
The table below shows Indonesia’s exports and imports for the periods indicated as published by the BPS.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Years ended December 31, | | | Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | 2013 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | | | 2017 | | | 2018P | |
| | (in millions of U.S. dollars) | |
Exports: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-oil and gas exports | | | 149,934.6 | | | | 145,961.2 | | | | 131,791.9 | | | | 132,080.8 | | | | 152,990.1 | | | | 40,213.3 | |
Oil and gas exports | | | 32,617.4 | | | | 30,018.9 | | | | 18,574.4 | | | | 13,105.5 | | | | 15,806.6 | | | | 4,052.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total exports | | | 182,552.0 | | | | 175,980.1 | | | | 150,366.3 | | | | 145,186.2 | | | | 168,796.7 | | | | 44,265.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Imports: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-oil and gas imports | | | 141,362.30 | | | | 134,718.90 | | | | 118,126.80 | | | | 116,913.47 | | | | 132,585.41 | | | | 37,226.6 | |
Oil and gas imports | | | 45,266.40 | | | | 43,459.90 | | | | 24,613.10 | | | | 18,723.86 | | | | 24,307.64 | | | | 6,756.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total imports | | | 186,628.70 | | | | 178,178.80 | | | | 142,739.90 | | | | 135,637.33 | | | | 156,893.05 | | | | 43,983.0 | |
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Monetary Policy
In March 2018, Bank Indonesia maintained the BI Repo Rate at 4.25%, while maintaining the DF and LF rates at 3.50% and 5.00% respectively. The policy is consistent with efforts to maintain macroeconomic and financial system stability, while supporting the domestic economic recovery. Bank Indonesia considers the previous measures taken to ease monetary policy adequate in terms of building domestic economic recovery momentum. Bank Indonesia also believes monetary and macroprudential policy easing was successfully transmitted through the interest rate channel. Nonetheless, transmission through the credit channel remained ineffective due to weak demand for new loans together with selective bank lending. Consequently, credit growth stood at 7.4% (year-on-year) in January 2018, down from 8.2% (year-on-year) in December 2017.
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Foreign Exchange and Reserves
Exchange Rates
The following table sets forth information on exchange rates between the Rupiah and the U.S. dollar for the periods indicated.
Exchange Rates
| | | | |
| | Rupiah per U.S. dollar |
| | End of Period | | Average |
2013 | | 12,170 | | 10,445 |
2014 | | 12,385 | | 11,876 |
2015 | | 13,785 | | 13,392 |
2016 | | 13,473 | | 13,305 |
2017 | | 13,568 | | 13,385 |
2018A | | 13,765 | | 13,760 |
Source: Bank Indonesia
International Reserves
As of March 31, 2018, foreign reserves was U.S.$126 billion which is equal to 7.7 months of import coverage and government external debt service requirements. In addition, the coverage ratio is in excess of the recommended international adequacy ratio of three months of import coverage.
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