Due to our low-cost design and manufacturing model, as Denis and Avinash indicated earlier, we believe we can get to cash flow positive results with 3 Microfactories up and running. This is primarily a result of our expected strong gross margins for each of our vehicles – 38 percent for our buses and 21 – 34 percent for our vans, depending on size and configuration.
So, in 2022, we believe we will be EBITDA positive with 4 Microfactories established by year end. 2023 obviously sees a strong revenue ramp, and we expect that our high margin model will result in over $1 billion dollars in EBITDA. At the end of 2023, we expect to have 11 Microfactories in service. Finally, in 2024, we expect to scale meaningfully with 31 Microfactories in operation by year end.
We believe that at a $5.4 billion enterprise value, Arrival offers a very compelling valuation compared to a) our large TAM opportunity and b) where the market has valued other, less mature, electric vehicle companies. Slide 42 in the investor presentation details this out, but I’d just note that with approximately $1.2 billion in orders and line of sight to profitability, our implied valuation multiples for this transaction are - 0.4x expected 2024 revenue, or 1.7x expected 2024 EBITDA.
Over to Denis to wrap up.
Denis Sverdlov, Founder & CEO
In summary, what to remember about Arrival: we produce best-in-class electric vehicles priced competitively with fossil fuel variants, with lower TCO and we see our vehicles as a device on wheels. We created a radical new method to design and produce vehicles which use Microfactories, we don’t have