U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Page Eleven
including staying private or some exit other than a near-term IPO (“Scenario BB”) at [***]% and [***]%, respectively. The expected timing of a potential IPO and the probabilities associated with these respective scenarios were estimated based on guidance provided by management. In light of the Company’s confidential submission of a Draft Registration Statement on Form S-1 to the Staff on April 12, 2021, the Company increased the weighting of Scenario AA to [***]% probability.
For Scenario AA, given the absence of revenue or long-term forecasts for the Company, traditional valuation approaches such as the income approach or the market approach could not be utilized. Instead, the determination of equity value in Scenario BB, the valuation firm derived a value indication for the Company based on the increase in value a hypothetical investor could reasonably expect between the Series C Financing and the IPO, to which a discount rate was then applied. The valuation firm applied [*1**]x step-up multiplier over the post-money valuation from the Series C Financing and added the proceeds from the exercise of options during the period to reflect an estimated pre-money equity value at IPO of $[*** billion]. This lower multiplier from the prior March 2021 Valuation took into account recent declines in the public stock prices of comparable companies. The valuation firm then applied a present value discount rate of [***]% to obtain a concluded common stock value of $[***] per share for Scenario AA.
For Scenario BB, the Company’s equity value was derived from the backsolve method using the OPM and an adjustment based on analyzing observed Company and industry developments since the Series C Financing. The OPM backsolve method indicated an equity value of $[*** billion] at the Series C Financing, and the valuation firm then trended forward that indication to the then-current valuation date by analyzing Company and industry developments to support the premium or discount that a hypothetical investor would reasonably pay at the time of the April 2021 Valuation relative to the Series C implied value. This indicated a [***]% forward premium for an equity value of $[*** billion] and a concluded common stock value of $[***] per share for Scenario BB.
Finally, a DLOM was applied to the estimated fair value of the Company’s common stock under each of Scenario AA and Scenario BB. The Company applied a DLOM of [***]% and [***]% to Scenario AA and Scenario BB, respectively, and after applying the PWERM weighting, the fair value of the common stock was determined to be $[***] per share as of April 30, 2021.
May 2021 Grants
In May 2021, with the April 2021 Valuation taken into consideration, the Board determined that the fair value of the Company’s common stock was $[***] per share and granted options to purchase [***] shares, with an exercise price of $[***] per share.
Determination of Preliminary IPO Price Range
As noted above, the Preliminary IPO Price Range is $[***] to $[***] per share. The Preliminary IPO Price Range was determined based, in large part, on discussions among the senior management of the Company, the Board and representatives of the underwriters, that took place on May 25, 2021. In addition, the Preliminary IPO Price Range was derived using a combination of valuation methodologies, including: (a) a comparison of public companies at a similar stage of development; (b) a comparison of valuations for comparable issuers in the Company’s industry, at the time of their IPO; (c) a current analysis of the public equity market by the underwriters for the offering; and (d) the interpretation of feedback from the Company’s “testing-the-waters” meetings.
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