Industry Background and Competition
We focus on the approximately $290B US electronics prototype and on-demand manufacturing industry
Whether a product launch consists of just a few units (what we call on-demand production; examples include satellites and hospital operating room capital equipment) or high quantity production runs on a regular schedule (what we call volume production; examples include the printed circuit boards within electric cars and laptop computers), the product development process is the same. In its February 2010 report, “Why Printed Circuit Board Design Matters to the Executive,” Aberdeen Group, LLC estimated that the average electronics product goes through 14 iterations before it gets to market. Each iteration typically requires a small number of PCBAs to be produced, i.e. 10 – 100 units, and that number often grows for later iterations. Eventually, the product is declared production-ready, and transitions to a production phase.
Based on the IPC’s 2012 – 2013, 2018, and 2019 Annual Reports and Forecasts for the North American EMS Industry, each year, companies spend an estimated $2.0 trillion on electronics manufacturing. Outside of the United States, prototype and on-demand production is estimated at $375 billion, while volume production is estimated at $1.3 trillion. The United States has the opposite mix: while only $60 billion is spent on volume production, there is approximately $290 billion spent on prototype and on-demand production, which is Tempo’s primary market.
The electronics prototype and on-demand production market has different dynamics than that of the volume production market. While volume production often has one design iteration parked on a production line for several months, a prototype and on-demand production line may see many iterations of a design in that same period. There are other unique attributes that typify manufacturing in a high mix/ low volume factory, including the practice that electronic component inventory is typically procured just-in-time and many change orders are typical for a given design iteration, both of which amplify the need for quick procurement and logistics management. While volume production is usually focused on minimizing cost, prototype and on-demand production are typically focused on minimizing time to market.
Many high-growth verticals require high-quality, increasingly complex electronics. According to the July 2020 report, “Space: Investing in the Final Frontier,” published by Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, the space industry is set to grow from $350 billion to over $1.0 trillion by 2040. According to “McKinsey on Semiconductors,” published by McKinsey & Company, LLC in 2019, the semiconductor industry is expected to reach $362 billion by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 7.2% from 2020 through 2025. The aviation and defense industry is expected to reach $850 billion by 2026 based on a compound annual growth rate of 9% from 2019 through 2026 according to the February 2021 research report, “Aircraft Manufacturing Market By Type (Gliders, Helicopters, Ultra-Light Aircraft, Passenger Aircraft, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle & Drones, and Airships), and By Application (Military & Defense, Civil, Commercial and Others): Global Industry Outlook, Market Size, Business Intelligence, Consumer Preferences, Statistical Surveys, Comprehensive Analysis, Historical Developments, Current Trends, and Forecasts, 2020 – 2026,” published by Facts & Factors Research. The medical device industry is expected to reach $600 billion by 2023 based on an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 6.1% from 2021 through 2023 according to the September 2021 research report, “Medical Devices Global Market Opportunities And Strategies To 2030: COVID-19 Impact and Recovery,” published by The Business Research Company. Additionally, according to the December 2020 study, “Industrial IoT (IIoT) Market by Component, Application (Robotics, Maintenance, Monitoring, Resource Optimization, Supply Chain, Management), Industry (Aerospace, Automotive, Energy, Healthcare, Manufacturing, Retail), and Region — Global Forecast to 2027” published by Meticulous Market Research Pvt. Ltd., the industrial and ecommerce industry is expected to reach $260 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 16.7% from 2020 through 2027.
The outsourced industry is currently underserved by a highly fragmented, low-tech supplier base
The outsourced electronics manufacturing market in the United States is currently served primarily by small businesses that are often owner-operated. Based on IPC’s 2019 Annual Report and Forecast for the North American EMS Industry, approximately 1,100, or 77%, of those companies have annual gross revenues of less than $50 million, 7% have annual gross revenues between $50 million and $500 million, and the remaining 16%, many of which are volume manufacturers who often refer out prototype and on-demand production business, have annual gross revenues of $500 million or more.
Tempo primarily competes against the 77% of companies in the initial group with annual gross revenues of less than $50 million. Tempo believes that these companies typically have an aging, expert workforce that is retiring, along with their manufacturing knowledge. Based on IPC’s October 2021 report, “The Current Sentiment of the Global Electronics Manufacturing Supply Chain,”