Table VII below summarizes the stock price and valuation ratio changes for the Guideline Group from December 29, 2020, August 31, 2021, and October 15, 2021, respectively. Since the last update, ten of the eleven companies experienced a price decrease, with the last remaining company not experiencing a price change. Overall, the median valuation multiples for P/B, P/TB, P/LTM EPS, P/A, and P/LTM Revenue were all lower compared to the values from the original Appraisal with a valuation date of December 29, 2020 and the first September Appraisal Update with a valuation date of August 31, 2021.
Table VII
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 12/29/20 Stock Price ($) | | | 8/31/21 Stock Price ($) | | | 10/15/21 Stock Price ($) | | | Price / | | | Price / | | | Price / | | | Price / | | | Price / | |
| | 12/29/20 Book (%) | | | 8/31/21 Book (%) | | | 10/15/21 Book (%) | | | 12/29/20 Tang. Book (%) | | | 8/31/21 Tang. Book (%) | | | 10/15/21 Tang. Book (%) | | | 12/29/20 LTM EPS (x) | | | 8/31/21 LTM EPS (x) | | | 10/15/21 LTM EPS (x) | | | 12/29/20 Assets (%) | | | 8/31/21 Assets (%) | | | 10/15/21 Assets (%) | | | 12/29/20 LTM Rev. (%) | | | 8/31/21 LTM Rev. (%) | | | 10/15/21 LTM Rev. (%) | |
Guideline Group Mean | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81.9 | | | | 74.8 | | | | 67.2 | | | | 83.6 | | | | 76.6 | | | | 68.5 | | | | 16.2 | | | | 13.4 | | | | 17.5 | | | | 24.1 | | | | 21.2 | | | | 20.0 | | | | 78.6 | | | | 78.2 | | | | 70.3 | |
Guideline Group Median | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71.6 | | | | 70.3 | | | | 57.9 | | | | 71.9 | | | | 70.3 | | | | 59.0 | | | | 13.8 | | | | 10.2 | | | | 10.8 | | | | 20.9 | | | | 19.8 | | | | 18.1 | | | | 67.5 | | | | 63.7 | | | | 55.1 | |
Guideline Group | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Horace Mann Educators Corp. | | | 41.42 | | | | 41.00 | | | | 39.76 | | | | 100.0 | | | | 99.1 | | | | 90.8 | | | | 114.3 | | | | 113.4 | | | | 101.8 | | | | 13.8 | | | | 9.3 | | | | 9.1 | | | | 13.2 | | | | 12.0 | | | | 11.6 | | | | 132.9 | | | | 132.4 | | | | 121.4 | |
Safety Insurance Group Inc. | | | 77.65 | | | | 81.31 | | | | 79.79 | | | | 138.0 | | | | 145.4 | | | | 129.9 | | | | 138.0 | | | | 145.4 | | | | 129.9 | | | | 10.3 | | | | 7.2 | | | | 7.1 | | | | 56.5 | | | | 57.8 | | | | 56.7 | | | | 138.5 | | | | 145.9 | | | | 132.5 | |
United Fire Group Inc. | | | 24.69 | | | | 25.96 | | | | 22.01 | | | | 75.3 | | | | 79.5 | | | | 65.9 | | | | 76.0 | | | | 79.5 | | | | 65.9 | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | 20.3 | | | | 21.3 | | | | 18.1 | | | | 58.8 | | | | 62.0 | | | | 48.6 | |
Global Indemnity Group LLC (1) | | | 27.88 | | | | 26.50 | | | | 25.82 | | | | — | | | | 53.5 | | | | 52.9 | | | | — | | | | 55.6 | | | | 55.0 | | | | — | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | — | | | | 19.8 | | | | 19.3 | | | | — | | | | 63.7 | | | | 58.3 | |
Hallmark Financial Services (1) | | | 3.31 | | | | 3.76 | | | | 3.50 | | | | — | | | | 38.8 | | | | 35.6 | | | | — | | | | 39.2 | | | | 35.8 | | | | — | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | — | | | | 4.5 | | | | 4.2 | | | | — | | | | 14.1 | | | | 13.7 | |
Kingstone Companies Inc. | | | 6.62 | | | | 7.15 | | | | 6.12 | | | | 79.1 | | | | 84.6 | | | | 71.8 | | | | 79.6 | | | | 85.0 | | | | 72.2 | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | 43.7 | | | | 21.6 | | | | 24.2 | | | | 20.7 | | | | 52.7 | | | | 56.8 | | | | 43.2 | |
ICC Holdings | | | 14.02 | | | | 16.83 | | | | 16.50 | | | | 67.9 | | | | 70.3 | | | | 74.0 | | | | 67.9 | | | | 70.3 | | | | 74.0 | | | | 15.3 | | | | 11.1 | | | | 10.8 | | | | 25.7 | | | | 24.4 | | | | 27.7 | | | | 84.4 | | | | 87.4 | | | | 92.8 | |
Positive Physicians Hldgs Inc | | | 9.50 | | | | 9.15 | | | | 9.15 | | | | 46.2 | | | | 44.5 | | | | 45.4 | | | | 46.2 | | | | 44.5 | | | | 45.4 | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | 22.3 | | | | 20.8 | | | | 20.8 | | | | 156.0 | | | | 150.2 | | | | 148.0 | |
The National Security Group | | | 11.24 | | | | 10.46 | | | | 10.11 | | | | 60.4 | | | | 56.3 | | | | 57.9 | | | | 60.4 | | | | 56.3 | | | | 57.9 | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | 18.3 | | | | 17.3 | | | | 16.7 | | | | 42.7 | | | | 39.7 | | | | 38.0 | |
Conifer Holdings Inc. | | | 2.65 | | | | 4.02 | | | | 2.61 | | | | 60.2 | | | | 91.5 | | | | 57.6 | | | | 61.7 | | | | 93.6 | | | | 59.0 | | | | NM | | | | 25.9 | | | | 16.8 | | | | 9.9 | | | | 14.4 | | | | 9.4 | | | | 26.0 | | | | 39.5 | | | | 21.4 | |
Unico American Corp. | | | 4.66 | | | | 4.15 | | | | 3.76 | | | | 66.7 | | | | 59.4 | | | | 57.1 | | | | 66.7 | | | | 59.4 | | | | 57.1 | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | NM | | | | 18.6 | | | | 16.6 | | | | 15.1 | | | | 76.3 | | | | 67.9 | | | | 55.1 | |
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence as of December 29, 2020, August 31, 2021, and October 15, 2021
1 | Global Indemnity and Hallmark were not included in the original Appraisal, and therefore their value does not come into play in this comparison |
The Guideline Group’s market valuation ratios have fluctuated slightly since the Appraisal. As of October 15, 2021, the median P/B ratio of the Guideline Group measured 57.9%, down from 70.3% at August 31, 2021. We have determined a pro forma midpoint value of $20.0 million for the Company on a fully converted basis, which implies an aggregate midpoint pro forma P/B ratio of 41.4%. Applying a range of value of 15% above and below the midpoint, the resulting minimum of $17.0 million implies a P/B ratio of 37.1% and the resulting maximum of $23.0 million implies a P/B ratio of 45.3%. The Company’s P/B valuation ratios reflect a discount to the Guideline Group’s median ratio of 57.9%, measuring 21.7% at the valuation maximum, 28.5% at the valuation midpoint, and 36.0% at the valuation minimum. The Company’s pro forma P/B valuation ratios reflect discounts to the Guideline Group’s mean ratio of 67.2%, measuring 32.5% at the valuation maximum, 38.3% at the valuation midpoint, and 44.8% at the valuation minimum.
Based on the P/TB measure, the Company’s pro forma midpoint valuation of $20.0 million reflects a P/TB ratio of 41.4%, ranging from 37.1% at the minimum to 45.3% at the maximum. The Company’s pro forma P/TB valuation ratios reflect discounts to the Guideline Group’s median ratio of 59.0%, measuring 23.1% at the valuation maximum, 29.8% at the valuation midpoint, and 37.1% at the valuation minimum. The Company’s P/TB valuation reflects discounts to the Guideline Group’s mean ratio of 68.5%, measuring 33.9% at the valuation maximum, 39.6% at the valuation midpoint, and 45.9% at the valuation minimum.
18