October 30, 2023
Page 8
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The DLOM was determined to be [***]%, [***]% and [***]% for the stay private, early IPO exit and late IPO exit scenarios, respectively. Management estimated the probabilities for a stay private, early IPO exit and late IPO exit of [***]%, [***]% and [***]%, respectively, to arrive at the probability weighted-average fair value of common stock of $[***] per share on a minority, non-marketable basis.
August 1, 2023 Valuation and Fair Value Determination
The Company obtained an independent third-party valuation of the Company’s common stock as of August 1, 2023 (the “August 2023 Valuation”) and based on its consideration of this valuation and the objective and subjective factors described on pages 121-122 of the Registration Statement, the Board determined that the fair value of the Company’s common stock was $[***] per share as of August 1, 2023.
The August 2023 Valuation estimated the equity value of the Company under three scenarios: a stay private, an early IPO exit and a late IPO exit. The stay private scenario applied a single market approach that began with the fair value of shares of the Company’s Series A-1 Preferred Stock of $[***] per share in the second closing on July 7, 2023 and then evaluated changes in the market capitalization of the Company’s publicly traded peers between July 7, 2023 and the August 1, 2023, determining no need to adjust equity value. For the IPO scenarios, fair value was determined to be $[***] per share and $[***] per share under the early IPO exit and the late IPO exit scenarios, respectively. The DLOM was determined to be [***]%, [***]% and [***]% for the stay private, early IPO exit and late IPO exit scenarios, respectively. Management decreased the estimated probability for a stay private scenario to 60.0% and doubled the probabilities for the early IPO exit and late IPO exit to [***]% and [***]% (from [***]% and [***]% in the July 2023 Valuation), respectively, to arrive at the probability weighted-average fair value of common stock of $[***] per share on a minority, non-marketable basis.
For the grants made on August 30, 2023, August 31, 2023, September 29, 2023 and October 11, 2023, the Board considered the August 2023 Valuation to determine the fair value of the common stock at the time of grant and concluded that the fair value of the common stock was $[***] per share and granted options with that exercise price on such dates.
PRELIMINARY IPO PRICE RANGE
As noted above, the Preliminary IPO Price Range is $[***] to $[***] per share, with a Preliminary Assumed IPO Price of approximately $[***] per share. The Preliminary IPO Price Range was not derived using a formal determination of fair value, but was determined as a result of negotiations among representatives of the Company’s management, the Board and the underwriters. Among the factors that were considered in setting a range included the following:
| • | | a comparison of the valuation of comparable companies at the time of their respective IPOs; |
CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUESTED BY
CARGO THERAPEUTICS, INC.