Cincinnati Financial Corporation | |||||||
Supplemental Financial Data | |||||||
September 30, 2007 | |||||||
Third Quarter | |||||||
6200 South Gilmore Road | |||||||
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141 | |||||||
www.cinfin.com/investors | |||||||
Investor Contact: | Media Contact: | Shareholder Contact: | |||||
Heather J. Wietzel | Joan O. Shevchik | Jerry L. Litton | |||||
513-870-2768 | 513-603-5323 | 513-870-2639 | |||||
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | |||||||
A.M. Best | Fitch | Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | ||||
Corporate Debt | aa- | A+ | A2 | A | |||
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies | |||||||
A.M. Best | Fitch | Moody’s | Standard & Poor’s | ||||
Property Casualty Group | A++ | na | Aa3 | AA- | |||
The Cincinnati Insurance Company | A++ | AA | Aa3 | AA- | |||
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company | A++ | AA | Aa3 | AA- | |||
The Cincinnati Casualty Company | A++ | AA | Aa3 | AA- | |||
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | A+ | AA | na | AA- | |||
Ratings are as of October 24, 2007, under continuing review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the latest ratings, select the Ratings tab onwww.cinfin.com/investors. | |||||||
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2006. The results of operations for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results to be expected for the full year. Certain 2006 interim period data has been updated to correct rounding differences. |
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | |||
Supplemental Financial Data | |||
Third Quarter 2007 | |||
Page | Status | ||
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures | 3 | 10/24/2007 | |
Consolidated | |||
Quick Reference | 4 | 10/24/2007 | |
Consolidated Statements of Income | 5 | 10/24/2007 | |
CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 | 6 | 10/24/2007 | |
CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 | 7 | 10/24/2007 | |
CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2007 | 8 | 10/24/2007 | |
CFC and Subsidiary Consolidation – Three Months Ended September 30, 2006 | 9 | 10/24/2007 | |
Consolidated Balance Sheets | 10 | 10/24/2007 | |
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation | 11 | 10/24/2007 | |
Top Holdings -- Common Stocks | 12 | 10/24/2007 | |
Fifth Third Bancorp Holding | 13 | 10/24/2007 | |
CFC Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data | 14 | 10/24/2007 | |
Property Casualty Insurance Operations | |||
GAAP Statements of Income | 15 | 10/24/2007 | |
Statutory Statements of Income | 16 | 10/24/2007 | |
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated | 17 | 10/24/2007 | |
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines | 18 | 10/24/2007 | |
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines | 19 | 10/24/2007 | |
Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State | 20 | 10/29/2007 | |
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business | 21 | 10/29/2007 | |
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business | 22 | 10/29/2007 | |
Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis | 23 | 10/29/2007 | |
Reconciliation Data | |||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated | 24 | 10/24/2007 | |
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines | 25 | 10/24/2007 | |
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines | 26 | 10/24/2007 | |
Life Insurance Operations | |||
GAAP Statements of Income | 27 | 10/29/2007 | |
Statutory Statements of Income | 28 | 10/29/2007 | |
Expenses as a Percentage of Premium | 29 | 10/29/2007 |
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for 2007 and 2006 data; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments – when analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities and embedded derivatives without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
·
Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
3
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | ||||||||
Quick Reference - Third Quarter 2007 | ||||||||
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of September 30, 2007) | ||||||||
(Based on reported data - see Pages 24-26 for adjusted data) | ||||||||
(Dollars in millions except share data) | ||||||||
Revenues: | Benefits and expenses: | |||||||
|
| |||||||
Commercial lines net written premiums | $ | 544 | Commercial lines loss and loss expenses | $ | 396 | |||
Year-over-year percentage change | (6.4) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 5.1 | % | |||
Personal lines net written premiums | $ | 192 | Personal lines loss and loss expenses | $ | 128 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (3.1) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | (8.1) | % | |||
Property casualty net written premiums | $ | 736 | Property casualty loss and loss expenses | $ | 524 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (5.6) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 1.5 | % | |||
Commercial lines net earned premiums | $ | 600 | Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits | $ | 36 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (0.3) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 9.8 | % | |||
Personal lines net earned premiums | $ | 177 | Operating expenses | $ | 249 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (6.6) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | (3.0) | % | |||
Property casualty net earned premiums | $ | 777 | Interest expenses | $ | 13 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (1.8) | % | Year-over-year percentage change | (4.7) | % | |||
Life and accident and health net earned premiums | $ | 34 | Total expenses | $ | 822 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | 23.0 | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 0.3 | % | |||
Investment income | $ | 152 | Income before income taxes | $ | 160 |
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change | 5.8 | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 8.2 | % | |||
Realized gains on investments | $ | 16 |
| Total income tax | $ | 36 |
| |
Year-over-year percentage change | nm | % | Year-over-year percentage change | 11.0 | % | |||
Other income | $ | 3 | Effective tax rate |
| 22.5 | % | ||
Year-over-year percentage change | (24.2) | % | ||||||
Total revenues | $ | 982 | Ratios: |
|
|
| ||
Year-over-year percentage change |
| 1.5 | % |
|
| |||
| Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio | 95.4 | % | |||||
Income: |
|
| Personal lines GAAP combined ratio | 103.8 | % | |||
| Property casualty GAAP combined ratio | 97.3 | % | |||||
Operating income | $ | 114 |
|
| ||||
Year-over-year percentage change | (1.1) | % | Commercial lines STAT combined ratio | 97.2 | % | |||
Net realized investment gains and losses | $ | 10 | Personal lines STAT combined ratio | 103.6 | % | |||
Year-over-year percentage change | nm | % | Property casualty STAT combined ratio | 98.7 | % | |||
Net income | $ | 124 |
| |||||
Year-over-year percentage change |
| 7.4 | % | Return on equity based upon net income | 7.4 | % | ||
| Return on equity based upon operating income |
| 6.8 | % | ||||
Per share (diluted): |
|
|
|
|
| |||
| Balance Sheet: | |||||||
Operating income | $ | 0.66 |
| |||||
Year-over-year percentage change | 0.0 | % |
| Fixed maturity investments | $ | 5,939 | ||
Net realized investment gains and losses | $ | 0.06 | Equity securities | 7,225 | ||||
Year-over-year percentage change | nm | % | Short-term investments | 37 | ||||
Net income | $ | 0.72 | Other invested assets | 67 | ||||
Year-over-year percentage change | 9.1 | % | Total invested assets | $ | 13,268 ====== | |||
Book value | $ | 38.47 |
| |||||
Year-over-year percentage change | 3.1 | % | Property casualty and life loss and loss expense reserves | $ | 4,031 | |||
Weighted average shares -- diluted | 172,399,539 | Total debt | 860 | |||||
Year-over-year percentage change |
| (1.6) | % | Shareholders equity |
| 6,538 |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
4
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | |||||||||||||||
Consolidated Statements of Income | |||||||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended September 30, | For the Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | 2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | ||||||||
Revenues: | |||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | |||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 820,957,046 | $ | 832,224,817 | $ | (11,267,771) | (1.35) | $ | 2,477,854,355 | $ | 2,475,926,407 | $ | 1,927,948 | 0.08 | |
Life | 42,395,592 | 36,294,277 | 6,101,315 | 16.81 | 124,663,788 | 109,318,969 | 15,344,819 | 14.04 | |||||||
Accident health | 1,776,832 | 1,709,173 | 67,659 | 3.96 | 5,141,122 | 4,948,521 | 192,601 | 3.89 | |||||||
Premiums ceded | (54,453,334) | (51,268,668) | (3,184,666) | 6.21 | (160,490,771) | (144,775,239) | (15,715,532) | 10.86 | |||||||
Total premiums earned | 810,676,136 | 818,959,599 | (8,283,463) | (1.01) | 2,447,168,494 | 2,445,418,658 | 1,749,836 | 0.07 | |||||||
Investment income | 152,051,554 | 143,775,266 | 8,276,288 | 5.76 | 450,376,849 | 425,032,304 | 25,344,545 | 5.96 | |||||||
Realized gain on investments | 15,713,227 | (172,581) | 15,885,808 | (9,204.84) | 370,146,519 | 671,377,232 | (301,230,713) | (44.87) | |||||||
Other income | 3,339,995 | 4,404,807 | (1,064,812) | (24.17) | 14,893,770 | 13,779,080 | 1,114,690 | 8.09 | |||||||
Total revenues | $ | 981,780,912 | $ | 966,967,091 | $ | 14,813,821 | 1.53 | $ | 3,282,585,632 | $ | 3,555,607,274 | $ | (273,021,642) | (7.68) | |
Benefits & expenses: | &nb sp; | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 585,951,416 | $ | 578,846,827 | $ | 7,104,589 | 1.23 | $ | 1,649,479,484 | $ | 1,694,301,755 | $ | (44,822,271) | (2.65) | |
Reinsurance recoveries | (26,400,951) | (30,315,757) | 3,914,806 | (12.91) | (116,025,070) | (98,667,113) | (17,357,957) | 17.59 | |||||||
Commissions | 136,051,089 | 155,791,819 | (19,740,730) | (12.67) | 465,911,059 | 477,745,948 | (11,834,889) | (2.48) | |||||||
Other operating expenses | 88,009,132 | 83,215,761 | 4,793,371 | 5.76 | 257,353,965 | 242,512,606 | 14,841,359 | 6.12 | |||||||
Interest expense | 12,726,648 | 13,349,408 | (622,760) | (4.67) | 38,703,204 | 39,311,943 | (608,739) | (1.55) | |||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 17,904,979 | 19,382,354 | (1,477,375) | (7.62) | 56,801,190 | 58,002,253 | (1,201,063) | (2.07) | |||||||
Incr deferred acq expense | 5,679,866 | (4,798,858) | 10,478,724 | (218.36) | (17,013,847) | (26,742,398) | 9,728,551 | (36.38) | |||||||
Other expenses | 2,090,041 | 3,789,308 | (1,699,267) | (44.84) | 9,040,081 | 12,097,966 | (3,057,885) | (25.28) | |||||||
Total expenses | $ | 822,012,220 | $ | 819,260,862 | $ | 2,751,358 | 0.34 | $ | 2,344,250,066 | $ | 2,398,562,960 | $ | (54,312,894) | (2.26) | |
Income before income taxes | $ | 159,768,692 | $ | 147,706,229 | $ | 12,062,463 | 8.17 | $ | 938,335,566 | $ | 1,157,044,314 | $ | (218,708,748) | (18.90) | |
Provision for income taxes: | &nb sp; | ||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 26,303,009 | $ | 23,097,937 | $ | 3,205,072 | 13.88 | $ | 132,246,641 | $ | 118,760,218 | $ | 13,486,423 | 11.36 | |
Realized investments gains and losses | 5,992,647 | (89,965) | 6,082,612 | (6,761.09) | 132,412,878 | 244,892,142 | (112,479,264) | (45.93) | |||||||
Deferred | 3,644,481 | 9,386,153 | (5,741,672) | (61.17) | 4,978,995 | (6,393,609) | 11,372,604 | (177.87) | |||||||
Total income taxes | $ | 35,940,137 | $ | 32,394,125 | $ | 3,546,012 | 10.95 | $ | 269,638,514 | $ | 357,258,751 | $ | (87,620,237) | (24.53) | |
Net income | $ | 123,828,555 | $ | 115,312,104 | $ | 8,516,451 | 7.39 | $ | 668,697,052 | $ | 799,785,563 | $ | (131,088,511) | (16.39) | |
Comprehensive net income | $ | (149,174,974) | $ | 455,185,004 | $ | (604,359,978) | (132.77) | $ | 29,253,026 | $ | 609,439,522 | $ | (580,186,496) | (95.20) | |
Operating income | $ | 114,107,975 | $ | 115,394,725 | $ | (1,286,750) | (1.12) | $ | 430,953,411 | $ | 373,300,473 | $ | 57,652,938 | 15.44 | |
Net realized investments gains and losses | $ | 9,720,580 | $ | (82,615) | $ | 9,803,195 | (11,866.12) | $ | 237,733,641 | $ | 426,485,090 | $ | (188,751,449) | (44.26) | |
Net income per share: | &nb sp; | ||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.67 | $ | - | 0.00 | $ | 2.51 | $ | 2.15 | $ | 0.36 | 16.74 | |
Net realized investments gains | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | N/A | 1.38 | 2.46 | (1.08) | (43.90) | |||||||
Net income per share (basic) | $ | 0.72 | $ | 0.67 | $ | 0.05 | 7.46 | $ | 3.89 | $ | 4.61 | $ | (0.72) | (15.62) | |
Operating income | $ | 0.66 | $ | 0.66 | $ | - | 0.00 | $ | 2.49 | $ | 2.13 | $ | 0.36 | 16.90 | |
Net realized investments gains | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | N/A | 1.37 | 2.43 | (1.06) | (43.62) | |||||||
Net income per share (diluted) | $ | 0.72 | $ | 0.66 | $ | 0.06 | 9.09 | $ | 3.86 | $ | 4.56 | $ | (0.70) | (15.35) | |
Dividends per share: | &nb sp; | ||||||||||||||
Paid | $ | 0.355 | $ | 0.335 | $ | 0.02 | 5.97 | $ | 1.045 | $ | 0.975 | $ | 0.07 | 7.18 | |
Declared | 0.355 | 0.335 | 0.02 | 5.97 | 1.065 | 1.005 | 0.06 | 5.97 | |||||||
Number of shares: | &nb sp; | ||||||||||||||
Weighted avg - basic | 171,068,956 | 173,224,254 | (2,155,298) | (1.24) | 171,804,376 | 173,555,925 | (1,751,549) | (1.01) | |||||||
Weighted avg - diluted | 172,399,539 | 175,260,063 | (2,860,524) | (1.63) | 173,423,199 | 175,542,616 | (2,119,417) | (1.21) |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
5
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 | ||||||||||||||
Total | CFC | CIC GROUP | CLIC | CFC-I | CINFIN | ELIM | ||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 2,477,854,355 | $ | - | $ | 2,478,188,351 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (333,996) |
Life | 124,663,788 | - | - | 124,663,788 | - | - | - | |||||||
Accident health | 5,141,122 | - | - | 5,141,122 | - | - | - | |||||||
Premiums ceded | (160,490,771) | - | (130,356,727) | (30,134,044) | - | - | - | |||||||
Total earned premium | 2,447,168,494 | - | 2,347,831,624 | 99,670,866 | - | - | (333,996) | |||||||
Investment income | 450,376,849 | 74,438,392 | 291,738,759 | 84,594,298 | 206,372 | 196,747 | (797,719) | |||||||
Realized gain on investments | 370,146,519 | 103,152,228 | 202,374,057 | 51,750,857 | 311,590 | (7,168) | 12,564,955 | |||||||
Other income | 14,893,770 | 7,489,436 | 3,310,897 | 3,461,706 | 7,701,286 | 1,852,346 | (8,921,901) | |||||||
Total revenues | $ | 3,282,585,632 | $ | 185,080,056 | $ | 2,845,255,337 | $ | 239,477,727 | $ | 8,219,248 | $ | 2,041,925 | $ | 2,511,339 |
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 1,649,479,484 | $ | - | $ | 1,523,262,450 | $ | 127,869,309 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (1,652,275) |
Reinsurance recoveries | (116,025,070) | - | (86,370,570) | (29,654,500) | - | - | - | |||||||
Commissions | 465,911,059 | - | 439,509,545 | 26,401,514 | - | - | - | |||||||
Other operating expenses | 257,363,965 | 13,857,387 | 225,330,196 | 23,381,966 | 3,316,875 | 523,327 | (9,045,786) | |||||||
Interest expense | 38,703,204 | 36,597,174 | - | - | 2,179,432 | - | (73,402) | |||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 56,801,190 | 920,269 | 52,977,986 | 2,756,613 | 35,794 | 110,528 | - | |||||||
Incr deferred acq expenses | (17,013,847) | - | (8,282,870) | (8,730,977) | - | - | - | |||||||
Other expenses | 9,040,081 | - | 9,039,973 | 108 | - | - | - | |||||||
Total expenses | $ | 2,344,260,066 | $ | 51,374,830 | $ | 2,155,466,710 | $ | 142,024,033 | $ | 5,532,101 | $ | 633,855 | $ | (10,771,463) |
Income before income taxes | $ | 938,325,566 | $ | 133,705,226 | $ | 689,788,627 | $ | 97,453,694 | $ | 2,687,147 | $ | 1,408,070 | $ | 13,282,802 |
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 132,246,641 | $ | (6,239,812) | $ | 136,806,227 | $ | 4,508,915 | $ | 1,090,738 | $ | 478,307 | $ | (4,397,734) |
Capital gains/losses | 132,412,878 | 37,813,280 | 71,840,023 | 18,257,800 | 109,057 | (5,016) | 4,397,734 | |||||||
Deferred | 4,978,995 | 4,334,934 | (14,712,193) | 10,914,527 | (209,100) | 1,846 | 4,648,981 | |||||||
Total income tax | $ | 269,638,514 | $ | 35,908,402 | $ | 193,934,057 | $ | 33,681,242 | $ | 990,695 | $ | 475,137 | $ | 4,648,981 |
Net income - current year | $ | 668,687,052 | $ | 97,796,824 | $ | 495,854,570 | $ | 63,772,452 | $ | 1,696,452 | $ | 932,933 | $ | 8,633,821 |
Net income - prior year | $ | 799,785,561 | $ | 291,889,039 | $ | 449,694,098 | $ | 54,095,122 | $ | 1,388,938 | $ | 995,542 | $ | 1,722,822 |
Change in net income | -16.4% | -66.5% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 22.1% | -6.3% |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
6
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 | ||||||||||||||
Total | CFC | CIC GROUP | CLIC | CFC-I | CINFIN | ELIM | ||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 2,475,926,407 | $ | - | $ | 2,476,130,642 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (204,235) |
Life | 109,318,969 | - | - | 109,318,969 | - | - | - | |||||||
Accident health | 4,948,521 | - | - | 4,948,521 | - | - | - | |||||||
Premiums ceded | (144,775,239) | - | (114,086,242) | (30,688,997) | - | - | - | |||||||
Total earned premium | 2,445,418,658 | - | 2,362,044,400 | 83,578,493 | - | - | (204,235) | |||||||
Investment income | 425,032,303 | 72,886,606 | 273,650,490 | 80,603,825 | 46,800 | 152,135 | (2,307,553) | |||||||
Realized gain on investments | 671,377,232 | 408,476,440 | 218,522,618 | 42,327,225 | (541,501) | 13,974 | 2,578,476 | |||||||
Other income | 13,779,079 | 7,562,069 | 2,543,187 | 2,559,919 | 8,325,040 | 1,752,535 | (8,963,671) | |||||||
Total revenues | $ | 3,555,607,272 | $ | 488,925,115 | $ | 2,856,760,695 | $ | 209,069,462 | $ | 7,830,339 | $ | 1,918,644 | $ | (8,896,983) |
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 1,694,301,755 | $ | - | $ | 1,577,665,678 | $ | 118,288,412 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (1,652,335) |
Reinsurance recoveries | (98,667,113) | - | (71,961,815) | (26,705,298) | - | - | - | |||||||
Commissions | 477,745,948 | - | 452,075,295 | 25,670,653 | - | - | - | |||||||
Other operating expenses | 242,512,606 | 14,648,994 | 212,430,180 | 19,784,207 | 3,954,490 | 395,698 | (8,700,963) | |||||||
Interest expense | 39,311,943 | 38,152,316 | 392,450 | - | 1,961,356 | - | (1,194,179) | |||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 58,002,254 | 867,522 | 55,196,080 | 2,144,949 | (241,964) | 35,667 | - | |||||||
Incr deferred acq expenses | (26,742,397) | - | (12,504,697) | (14,237,700) | - | - | - | |||||||
Other expenses | 12,097,965 | - | 12,097,857 | 108 | - | - | - | |||||||
Total expenses | $ | 2,398,562,961 | $ | 53,668,832 | $ | 2,225,391,028 | $ | 124,945,331 | $ | 5,673,882 | $ | 431,365 | $ | (11,547,477) |
Income before income taxes | $ | 1,157,044,311 | $ | 435,256,283 | $ | 631,369,667 | $ | 84,124,131 | $ | 2,156,457 | $ | 1,487,279 | $ | 2,650,494 |
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 118,760,218 | $ | (3,584,929) | $ | 115,636,895 | $ | 5,319,857 | $ | 909,580 | $ | 478,815 | $ | - |
Capital gains/losses | 244,892,142 | 152,440,557 | 77,515,165 | 14,931,529 | - | 4,891 | - | |||||||
Deferred | (6,393,609) | (5,488,385) | (11,476,491) | 9,777,623 | (142,061) | 8,032 | 927,673 | |||||||
Total income tax | $ | 357,258,751 | $ | 143,367,243 | $ | 181,675,569 | $ | 30,029,009 | $ | 767,519 | $ | 491,738 | $ | 927,673 |
Net income - current year | $ | 799,785,560 | $ | 291,889,040 | $ | 449,694,098 | $ | 54,095,122 | $ | 1,388,938 | $ | 995,541 | $ | 1,722,821 |
Net income - prior year | $ | 419,298,094 | $ | 27,733,445 | $ | 354,886,734 | $ | 31,469,807 | $ | 2,651,223 | $ | 908,027 | $ | 1,648,858 |
Change in net income | 90.7% | 952.5% | 26.7% | 71.9% | -47.6% | 9.6% |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
7
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2007 | ||||||||||||||
Total | CFC | CIC GROUP | CLIC | CFC-I | CINFIN | ELIM | ||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 820,957,046 | $ | - | $ | 820,959,014 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (1,968) |
Life | 42,395,592 | - | - | 42,395,592 | - | - | - | |||||||
Accident health | 1,776,832 | - | - | 1,776,832 | - | - | - | |||||||
Premiums ceded | (54,453,334) | - | (44,158,148) | (10,295,186) | - | - | - | |||||||
Total earned premium | 810,676,136 | - | 776,800,866 | 33,877,238 | - | - | (1,968) | |||||||
Investment income | 152,051,554 | 25,316,172 | 98,273,334 | 28,515,819 | 133,533 | 70,993 | (258,297) | |||||||
Realized gain on investments | 15,713,227 | 20,526,362 | (4,836,462) | (117,732) | 311,590 | (1,959) | (168,572) | |||||||
Other income | 3,339,995 | 2,538,145 | (340,240) | 1,141,955 | 2,242,708 | 616,626 | (2,859,199) | |||||||
Total revenues | $ | 981,780,912 | $ | 48,380,679 | $ | 869,897,498 | $ | 63,417,280 | $ | 2,687,831 | $ | 685,660 | $ | (3,288,036) |
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 585,951,416 | $ | - | $ | 540,738,841 | $ | 45,763,373 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (550,798) |
Reinsurance recoveries | (26,400,951) | - | (16,893,445) | (9,507,506) | - | - | - | |||||||
Commissions | 136,051,089 | (47,500) | 127,709,961 | 8,388,628 | - | - | - | |||||||
Other operating expenses | 88,009,132 | 4,354,758 | 77,437,505 | 7,831,539 | 1,170,270 | 177,331 | (2,962,271) | |||||||
Interest expense | 12,726,648 | 12,080,695 | - | - | 708,486 | - | (62,533) | |||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 17,904,979 | 306,756 | 16,645,686 | 930,560 | 5,727 | 16,250 | - | |||||||
Incr deferred acq expenses | 5,679,866 | - | 8,082,224 | (2,402,358) | - | - | - | |||||||
Other expenses | 2,090,041 | - | 2,090,041 | - | - | - | - | |||||||
Total expenses | $ | 822,012,220 | $ | 16,694,709 | $ | 755,810,813 | $ | 51,004,236 | $ | 1,884,483 | $ | 193,581 | $ | (3,575,602) |
Income before income taxes | $ | 159,768,692 | $ | 31,685,970 | $ | 114,086,685 | $ | 12,413,044 | $ | 803,348 | $ | 492,079 | $ | 287,566 |
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 26,303,009 | $ | (5,798,618) | $ | 30,444,664 | $ | 1,076,018 | $ | 360,983 | $ | 160,962 | $ | 59,000 |
Capital gains/losses | 5,992,647 | 7,554,227 | (1,583,658) | (22,206) | 109,057 | (5,773) | (59,000) | |||||||
Deferred | 3,644,481 | 3,569,415 | (3,000,557) | 3,171,530 | (201,383) | 4,827 | 100,649 | |||||||
Total income tax | $ | 35,940,137 | $ | 5,325,024 | $ | 25,860,449 | $ | 4,225,342 | $ | 268,657 | $ | 160,016 | $ | 100,649 |
Net income - current year | $ | 123,828,555 | $ | 26,360,946 | $ | 88,226,236 | $ | 8,187,702 | $ | 534,691 | $ | 332,063 | $ | 186,917 |
Net income - prior year | $ | 115,312,108 | $ | 9,915,441 | $ | 95,560,597 | $ | 8,698,927 | $ | 327,922 | $ | 346,618 | $ | 462,603 |
Change in net income | 7.4% | 165.9% | -7.7% | -5.9% | 63.1% | -4.2% |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
8
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||||
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2006 | ||||||||||||||
Total | CFC | CIC GROUP | CLIC | CFC-I | CINFIN | ELIM | ||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 832,224,817 | $ | - | $ | 832,230,217 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (5,400) |
Life | 36,294,277 | - | - | 36,294,277 | - | - | - | |||||||
Accident health | 1,709,173 | - | - | 1,709,173 | - | - | - | |||||||
Premiums ceded | (51,268,668) | - | (40,812,821) | (10,455,847) | - | - | - | |||||||
Total earned premium | 818,959,599 | - | 791,417,396 | 27,547,603 | - | - | (5,400) | |||||||
Investment income | 143,775,266 | 24,507,149 | 92,191,499 | 27,213,672 | 46,800 | 55,452 | (239,306) | |||||||
Realized gain on investments | (172,581) | (2,726,812) | 2,792,195 | (256,745) | (541,501) | 4,410 | 555,872 | |||||||
Other income | 4,404,807 | 2,537,505 | 761,677 | 755,639 | 2,742,563 | 600,330 | (2,992,907) | |||||||
Total revenues | $ | 966,967,091 | $ | 24,317,842 | $ | 887,162,767 | $ | 55,260,169 | $ | 2,247,862 | $ | 660,192 | $ | (2,681,741) |
&n bsp; | ||||||||||||||
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 578,846,827 | $ | - | $ | 536,647,193 | $ | 42,750,492 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | (550,858) |
Reinsurance recoveries | (30,315,757) | - | (20,587,535) | (9,728,222) | - | - | - | |||||||
Commissions | 155,791,819 | - | 147,356,940 | 8,434,879 | - | - | - | |||||||
Other operating expenses | 83,215,761 | 5,263,781 | 72,719,732 | 6,877,898 | 1,067,271 | 129,658 | (2,842,579) | |||||||
Interest expense | 13,349,408 | 12,615,175 | - | - | 734,233 | - | - | |||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 19,382,353 | 371,758 | 18,568,187 | 394,060 | 36,459 | 11,889 | - | |||||||
Incr deferred acq expenses | (4,798,857) | - | 1,745,550 | (6,544,407) | - | - | - | |||||||
Other expenses | 3,789,307 | - | 3,789,308 | (1) | - | - | - | |||||||
Total expenses | $ | 819,260,861 | $ | 18,250,714 | $ | 760,239,375 | $ | 42,184,699 | $ | 1,837,963 | $ | 141,547 | $ | (3,393,437) |
&n bsp; | ||||||||||||||
Income before income taxes | $ | 147,706,230 | $ | 6,067,128 | $ | 126,923,392 | $ | 13,075,470 | $ | 409,899 | $ | 518,645 | $ | 711,696 |
&n bsp; | ||||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 23,097,936 | $ | (1,882,887) | $ | 24,605,468 | $ | (33,442) | $ | 243,709 | $ | 165,088 | $ | - |
Capital gains/losses | (89,966) | (1,672,581) | 1,553,933 | 27,139 | - | 1,543 | - | |||||||
Deferred | 9,386,153 | (292,846) | 5,203,394 | 4,382,846 | (161,732) | 5,397 | 249,094 | |||||||
Total income tax | $ | 32,394,123 | $ | (3,848,314) | $ | 31,362,795 | $ | 4,376,543 | $ | 81,977 | $ | 172,028 | $ | 249,094 |
&n bsp; | ||||||||||||||
Net income - current year | $ | 115,312,107 | $ | 9,915,442 | $ | 95,560,597 | $ | 8,698,927 | $ | 327,922 | $ | 346,617 | $ | 462,602 |
&n bsp; | ||||||||||||||
Net income - prior year | $ | 117,145,356 | $ | 11,567,302 | $ | 95,574,518 | $ | 8,114,811 | $ | 1,085,652 | $ | 270,355 | $ | 532,718 |
Change in net income | -1.6% | -14.3% | 0.0% | 7.2% | -69.8% | 28.2% |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
9
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | |||||
Consolidated Balance Sheets | |||||
| |||||
(Dollars in millions except per share data) | September 30, | December 31, | |||
| 2007 | 2006 | |||
(unaudited) | |||||
Assets | |||||
Investments | |||||
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$5,905; 2006—$5,739) | $ | 5,939 | $ | 5,805 | |
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2007—$3,006; 2006—$2,621) | 7,225 | 7,799 | |||
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2007—$37; 2006—$95) | 37 | 95 | |||
Other invested assets | 67 | 60 | |||
Total investments | 13,268 | 13,759 | |||
Cash and cash equivalents | 183 | 202 | |||
Securities lending collateral | 768 | - | |||
Investment income receivable | 123 | 121 | |||
Finance receivable | 97 | 108 | |||
Premiums receivable | 1,161 | 1,128 | |||
Reinsurance receivable | 745 | 683 | |||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 12 | 13 | |||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 471 | 453 | |||
Property and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2007—$281; 2006—$261) | 227 | 193 | |||
Other assets | 46 | 58 | |||
Separate accounts | 521 | 504 | |||
Total assets | $ | 17,622 | $ | 17,222 | |
Liabilities | |||||
Insurance reserves | |||||
Losses and loss expense | $ | 4,031 | $ | 3,896 | |
Life policy reserves | 1,459 | 1,409 | |||
Unearned premiums | 1,619 | 1,579 | |||
Securities lending payable | 768 | - | |||
Other liabilities | 539 | 533 | |||
Deferred income tax | 1,287 | 1,653 | |||
Notes payable | 69 | 49 | |||
6.125% senior debenture due 2034 | 371 | 371 | |||
6.90% senior debenture due 2028 | 28 | 28 | |||
6.92% senior debenture due 2028 | 392 | 392 | |||
Separate accounts | 521 | 504 | |||
Total liabilities | 11,084 | 10,414 | |||
Shareholders' equity | |||||
Common stock, par value-$2 per share; authorized: 2007-500 million shares, 2006- | 392 | 391 | |||
Paid-in capital | 1,041 | 1,015 | |||
Retained earnings | 3,277 | 2,786 | |||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | 2,735 | 3,379 | |||
Treasury stock at cost (2007—26 million shares, 2006—23 million shares) | (907) | (763) | |||
Total shareholders' equity | 6,538 | 6,808 | |||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 17,622 | $ | 17,222 | |
|
|
|
|
|
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
10
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions except per share data) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 124 | $ | 351 | $ | 194 | $ | 130 | $ | 115 | $ | 132 | $ | 552 | $ | 545 | $ | 684 | $ | 669 | $ | 800 | $ | 930 | ||||
Net realized investment gains and losses | 10 | 187 | 41 | 8 | - | 6 | 421 | 228 | 426 | 238 | 427 | 434 | ||||||||||||||||
Operating income | 114 | 164 | 153 | 122 | 115 | 126 | 131 | 317 | 258 | 431 | 373 | 496 | ||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe losses | (9) | (7) | (2) | (29) | (18) | (41) | (26) | (9) | (67) | (18) | (85) | (113) | ||||||||||||||||
Operating income before catastrophe losses | $ | 123 | $ | 171 | $ | 155 | $ | 151 | $ | 133 | $ | 167 | $ | 157 | $ | 326 | $ | 325 | $ | 449 | $ | 458 | $ | 609 | ||||
Diluted per share data | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 0.72 | $ | 2.02 | $ | 1.11 | $ | 0.75 | $ | 0.66 | $ | 0.76 | $ | 3.13 | $ | 3.13 | $ | 3.90 | $ | 3.86 | $ | 4.56 | $ | 5.30 | ||||
Net realized investment gains and losses | 0.06 | 1.08 | 0.23 | 0.05 | - | 0.04 | 2.39 | 1.31 | 2.43 | 1.37 | 2.43 | 2.48 | ||||||||||||||||
Operating income | 0.66 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 1.82 | 1.47 | 2.49 | 2.13 | 2.82 | ||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe losses | (0.05) | (0.04) | (0.01) | (0.16) | (0.10) | (0.24) | (0.14) | (0.05) | (0.38) | (0.10) | (0.48) | (0.65) | ||||||||||||||||
Operating income before catastrophe losses | $ | 0.71 | $ | 0.98 | $ | 0.89 | $ | 0.86 | $ | 0.76 | $ | 0.96 | $ | 0.88 | $ | 1.87 | $ | 1.85 | $ | 2.59 | $ | 2.61 | $ | 3.47 | ||||
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
11
Cincinnati Financial Corporation | ||||||||
Top Holdings – Common Stocks | ||||||||
| ||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | As of and for nine months ended September 30, 2007 | |||||||
Actual | Fair | Percent of | Earned dividend | |||||
Fifth Third Bancorp | $ | 283 | $ | 2,466 | 35.3 | % | $ | 92 |
The Procter & Gamble Company | 206 | 529 | 7.6 | 8 | ||||
Exxon Mobil Corporation | 58 | 478 | 6.9 | 6 | ||||
AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. | 113 | 345 | 4.9 | 12 | ||||
U.S. Bancorp | 263 | 333 | 4.8 | 11 | ||||
PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 62 | 320 | 4.6 | 9 | ||||
Johnson & Johnson | 218 | 263 | 3.8 | 5 | ||||
National City Corporation | 171 | 246 | 3.5 | 12 | ||||
Wells Fargo & Company | 107 | 204 | 2.9 | 5 | ||||
Wyeth | 62 | 197 | 2.8 | 3 | ||||
Huntington Bancshares Inc | 168 | 152 | 2.2 | 2 | ||||
Piedmont Natural Gas Company, Inc. | 64 | 142 | 2.0 | 4 | ||||
Wachovia Corp | 150 | 139 | 2.0 | 4 | ||||
General Electric Co. | 106 | 130 | 1.9 | 2 | ||||
Chevron Corporation | 56 | 124 | 1.8 | 2 | ||||
All other common stock holdings | 661 | 908 | 13.0 | 25 | ||||
Total | $ | 2,748 | $ | 6,976 | 100.0 | % | $ | 202 |
|
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
12
Fifth Third Bancorp Holding | ||||||||||
Proforma – September 30, 2007 | ||||||||||
| ||||||||||
(In millions except market price data) | Pro-forma | Reported | Reported | |||||||
At September 30, | At September 30, | At December 31, | ||||||||
| 2007 | 2007 | 2006 | |||||||
Shares held | 67 | 73 | 73 | |||||||
Closing market price of Fifth Third | $ | 29.90 | (1) | $ | 33.88 | $ | 40.93 | |||
Book value of holding | 185 | 283 | 283 | |||||||
Fair value of holding | 2,012 | 2,466 | 2,979 | |||||||
After-tax unrealized gain | 1,187 | 1,419 | 1,752 | |||||||
Market value as a percent of total equity investments | 29.7 | % | (2) | 34.1 | % | 38.2 | % | |||
Market value as a percent of invested assets | 15.7 | (2) | 18.6 | 21.7 | ||||||
Market value as a percent of total shareholders' equity | 30.8 | (3) | 37.7 | 43.8 | ||||||
After-tax unrealized gain as a percent of total shareholders' equity | 18.2 | (3) | 21.7 | 25.7 | ||||||
(1) Fifth Third closing price on October 22, 2007. | ||||||||||
(2) Total equity investments and invested assets updated for Fifth Third share sale and market value as of October 22, 2007. | ||||||||||
(3) Total shareholders' equity not updated for Fifth Third share sale and market value as of October 22, 2007. | ||||||||||
Post-transaction, every $1.00 change in the market price of Fifth Third has approximately a 26 cent impact on our book value per share. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
13
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries | |||||||||||||||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data | |||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | 12/31/2007 | 9/30/2007 | 6/30/2007 | 3/31/2007 | 12/31/2006 | 9/30/2006 | 6/30/2006 | 3/31/2006 | |||||||||
Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value) | $ | 9,586 | $ | 9,850 | $ | 9,837 | $ | 9,882 | $ | 9,393 | $ | 8,987 | $ | 9,261 | |||
Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 23 | (30) | 44 | 47 | 51 | (55) | 2 | ||||||||||
Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 2,657 | 2,917 | 3,017 | 3,166 | 2,859 | 2,621 | 2,758 | ||||||||||
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT | 3,461 | 3,374 | 3,373 | 3,356 | 3,314 | 3,237 | 3,169 | ||||||||||
Surplus - STAT | 4,782 | 4,937 | 4,741 | 4,750 | 4,607 | 4,342 | 4,334 | ||||||||||
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value) | $ | 1,935 | $ | 1,893 | $ | 1,922 | $ | 1,913 | $ | 1,893 | $ | 1,803 | $ | 1,808 | |||
Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 4 | (4) | 20 | 15 | 17 | (17) | 6 | ||||||||||
Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 225 | 254 | 305 | 307 | 271 | 238 | 256 | ||||||||||
Retained Earnings - GAAP | 724 | 730 | 739 | 719 | 688 | 652 | 666 | ||||||||||
Surplus - STAT | 485 | 491 | 483 | 479 | 461 | 459 | 470 | ||||||||||
12/31/2005 | 9/30/2005 | 6/30/2005 | 3/31/2005 | 12/31/2004 | 9/30/2004 | 6/30/2004 | 3/31/2004 | ||||||||||
Cincinnati Insurance Property Casualty Group | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value) | $ | 8,947 | $ | 8,833 | $ | 8,802 | $ | 8,710 | $ | 8,806 | $ | 8,523 | $ | 6,599 | $ | 6,882 | |
Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 50 | 86 | 152 | 99 | 188 | 158 | 84 | 190 | |||||||||
Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 2,803 | 2,807 | 2,903 | 2,931 | 3,135 | 1,746 | 1,740 | 1,924 | |||||||||
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves - STAT | 3,111 | 3,150 | 3,065 | 3,031 | 2,977 | 3,036 | 2,952 | 2,901 | |||||||||
Surplus - STAT | 4,220 | 4,224 | 4,180 | 4,065 | 4,196 | 4,037 | 2,871 | 2,791 | |||||||||
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturities and Equities (Fair Value) | $ | 1,788 | $ | 1,797 | $ | 1,748 | $ | 1,688 | $ | 1,637 | $ | 1,695 | $ | 1,637 | $ | 1,652 | |
Fixed Maturities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 31 | 45 | 70 | 53 | 82 | 76 | 49 | 94 | |||||||||
Equities - Pretax Net Unrealized Gain (Loss) | 266 | 274 | 275 | 257 | 274 | 261 | 252 | 266 | |||||||||
Retained Earnings - GAAP | 651 | 348 | 655 | 622 | 639 | 612 | 584 | 610 | |||||||||
Surplus - STAT | 451 | 447 | 447 | 440 | 439 | 409 | 401 | 395 |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
14
Cincinnati Insurance Group | ||||||||||||||||
GAAP Statements of Income | ||||||||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended September 30, | For the Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | 2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | |||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | 820,959,014 | $ | 832,230,217 | $ | (11,271,203) | (1.35) | $ | 2,478,188,351 | $ | 2,476,130,642 | $ | 2,057,709 | 0.08 | ||
Life | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||
Accident health | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||
Premiums ceded | (44,158,148) | (40,812,821) | (3,345,327) | 8.20 | (130,356,727) | (114,086,242) | (16,270,485) | 14.26 | ||||||||
Total premiums earned | 776,800,866 | 791,417,396 | (14,616,530) | (1.85) | 2,347,831,624 | 2,362,044,400 | (14,212,776) | (0.60) | ||||||||
Investment income | 98,273,334 | 92,191,499 | 6,081,835 | 6.60 | 291,738,759 | 273,650,490 | 18,088,269 | 6.61 | ||||||||
Realized gain on investments | (4,836,462) | 2,792,195 | (7,628,657) | (273.21) | 202,374,057 | 218,522,618 | (16,148,561) | (7.39) | ||||||||
Other income | (340,240) | 761,677 | (1,101,917) | (144.67) | 3,310,897 | 2,543,187 | 767,710 | 30.19 | ||||||||
Total revenues | $ | 869,897,498 | $ | 887,162,767 | $ | (17,265,269) | (1.95) | $ | 2,845,255,337 | $ | 2,856,760,695 | $ | (11,505,358) | (0.40) | ||
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 540,738,841 | $ | 536,647,193 | $ | 4,091,648 | 0.76 | $ | 1,523,262,450 | $ | 1,577,665,678 | $ | (54,403,228) | (3.45) | ||
Reinsurance recoveries | (16,893,445) | (20,587,535) | 3,694,090 | (17.94) | (86,370,570) | (71,961,815) | (14,408,755) | 20.02 | ||||||||
Commissions | 127,709,961 | 147,356,940 | (19,646,979) | (13.33) | 439,509,545 | 452,075,295 | (12,565,750) | (2.78) | ||||||||
Other operating expenses | 77,437,505 | 72,719,732 | 4,717,773 | 6.49 | 225,330,196 | 212,430,180 | 12,900,016 | 6.07 | ||||||||
Interest expense | - | - | - | - | - | 392,450 | (392,450) | - | ||||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 16,645,686 | 18,568,187 | (1,922,501) | (10.35) | 52,977,986 | 55,196,080 | (2,218,094) | (4.02) | ||||||||
Incr deferred acq expense | 8,082,224 | 1,745,550 | 6,336,674 | 363.02 | (8,282,870) | (12,504,697) | 4,221,827 | (33.76) | ||||||||
Other expenses | 2,090,041 | 3,789,308 | (1,699,267) | (44.84) | 9,039,973 | 12,097,857 | (3,057,884) | (25.28) | ||||||||
Total expenses | $ | 755,810,813 | $ | 760,239,375 | $ | (4,428,562) | (0.58) | $ | 2,155,466,710 | $ | 2,225,391,028 | $ | (69,924,318) | (3.14) | ||
Income before income taxes | $ | 114,086,685 | $ | 126,923,392 | $ | (12,836,707) | (10.11) | $ | 689,788,627 | $ | 631,369,667 | $ | 58,418,960 | 9.25 | ||
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||||
Current operating income | $ | 30,444,664 | $ | 24,605,468 | $ | 5,839,196 | 23.73 | $ | 136,806,227 | $ | 115,636,895 | $ | 21,169,332 | 18.31 | ||
Current realized investments gains and losses | (1,583,658) | 1,553,933 | (3,137,591) | (201.91) | 71,840,023 | 77,515,165 | (5,675,142) | (7.32) | ||||||||
Deferred | (3,000,557) | 5,203,394 | (8,203,951) | (157.67) | (14,712,193) | (11,476,491) | (3,235,702) | 28.19 | ||||||||
Total income taxes | $ | 25,860,449 | $ | 31,362,795 | $ | (5,502,346) | (17.54) | $ | 193,934,057 | $ | 181,675,569 | $ | 12,258,488 | 6.75 | ||
Net income | $ | 88,226,236 | $ | 95,560,597 | $ | (7,334,361) | (7.68) | $ | 495,854,570 | $ | 449,694,098 | $ | 46,160,472 | 10.26 |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
15
Cincinnati Insurance Group | ||||||||||
Statutory Statements of Income | ||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended September 30, | For the Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||
2007 | 2006 | % Change | 2007 | 2006 | % Change | |||||
Underwriting income | ||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 736,354,821 | $ | 779,850,450 | (5.58) | $ | 2,392,327,271 | $ | 2,422,859,784 | (1.26) |
Unearned premiums increase | (40,446,047) | (11,566,946) | 249.67 | 44,495,646 | 60,815,381 | (26.83) | ||||
Earned premiums | 776,800,868 | 791,417,397 | (1.85) | 2,347,831,625 | 2,362,044,403 | (0.60) | ||||
Losses incurred | $ | 431,727,371 | $ | 433,550,671 | (0.42) | $ | 1,166,347,214 | $ | 1,261,577,990 | (7.55) |
Allocated loss expenses incurred | 44,377,048 | 39,943,837 | 11.10 | 133,163,852 | 111,441,487 | 19.49 | ||||
Unallocated loss expenses incurred | 47,740,977 | 42,565,137 | 12.16 | 137,380,815 | 132,684,385 | 3.54 | ||||
Other underwriting expenses incurred | 227,469,464 | 240,710,680 | (5.50) | 711,845,483 | 701,823,238 | 1.43 | ||||
Workers compensation dividend incurred | 2,649,865 | 2,457,033 | 7.85 | 8,052,312 | 12,207,419 | (34.04) | ||||
Total underwriting deductions | $ | 753,964,725 | $ | 759,227,358 | (0.69) | $ | 2,156,789,676 | $ | 2,219,734,519 | (2.84) |
Net underwriting gain (loss) | $ | 22,836,143 | $ | 32,190,038 | (29.06) | $ | 191,041,949 | 142,309,885 | 34.24 | |
Investment income | ||||||||||
Gross investment income earned | $ | 100,579,844 | $ | 93,222,475 | 7.89 | $ | 296,592,934 | $ | 277,045,152 | 7.06 |
Net investment income earned | 97,939,533 | 92,191,500 | 6.23 | 291,447,565 | 273,650,490 | 6.50 | ||||
Net realized capital gains | 959,585 | 778,019 | 23.34 | 135,356,272 | 141,848,878 | (4.58) | ||||
Net investment gains (excl. subs) | $ | 98,899,118 | $ | 92,969,519 | 6.38 | $ | 426,803,837 | $ | 415,499,368 | 2.72 |
Dividend from subsidiary | - | 14,000,000 | - | - | 14,000,000 | - | ||||
Net investment gains | $ | 98,899,118 | $ | 106,969,519 | (7.54) | $ | 426,803,837 | $ | 429,499,368 | (0.63) |
Other income | $ | (514,171) | $ | 424,108 | (221.24) | $ | 2,794,180 | $ | 1,869,864 | 49.43 |
Net income before federal income taxes | $ | 121,221,090 | $ | 139,583,665 | (13.16) | $ | 620,639,966 | $ | 573,679,116 | 8.19 |
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred | $ | 26,567,206 | $ | 23,941,392 | 10.97 | $ | 131,380,364 | $ | 113,163,358 | 16.10 |
Net income (statutory) | $ | 94,653,884 | $ | 115,642,273 | (18.15) | $ | 459,259,602 | $ | 460,515,758 | 6.24 |
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National | ||||||||||
Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
16
Cincinnati Insurance Group - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory Quarterly Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Based on reported data - see Page 24 for adjusted data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 736 | $ | 810 | $ | 846 | $ | 755 | $ | 780 | $ | 814 | $ | 829 | $ | 1,656 | $ | 1,643 | $ | 2,392 | $ | 2,423 | $ | 3,178 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 777 | $ | 787 | $ | 785 | $ | 802 | $ | 791 | $ | 793 | $ | 778 | $ | 1,571 | $ | 1,571 | $ | 2,348 | $ | 2,362 | $ | 3,164 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses paid | $ | 363 | $ | 379 | $ | 365 | $ | 375 | $ | 366 | $ | 379 | $ | 345 | $ | 744 | $ | 727 | $ | 1,107 | $ | 1,094 | $ | 1,469 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss reserve change | 69 | (15) | 6 | 4 | 66 | 60 | 42 | (9) | 101 | 60 | 168 | 172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 432 | $ | 364 | $ | 371 | $ | 379 | $ | 432 | $ | 439 | $ | 387 | $ | 735 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,167 | $ | 1,262 | $ | 1,641 | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense paid | 29 | 34 | 31 | 37 | 33 | 31 | 28 | 65 | 59 | 94 | 91 | 127 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense reserve change | 15 | 16 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 13 | 39 | 20 | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total allocated loss expense incurred | $ | 44 | $ | 50 | $ | 39 | $ | 72 | $ | 41 | $ | 38 | $ | 34 | $ | 89 | $ | 72 | $ | 133 | $ | 111 | $ | 183 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense paid | 44 | 41 | 46 | 49 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 86 | 78 | 131 | 117 | 167 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense reserve change | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total unallocated loss expense incurred | $ | 48 | $ | 42 | $ | 48 | $ | 51 | $ | 43 | $ | 42 | $ | 50 | $ | 89 | $ | 90 | $ | 137 | $ | 132 | $ | 184 | ||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expenses incurred | 230 | 242 | 248 | 251 | 243 | 232 | 240 | 490 | 471 | 720 | 715 | 965 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit (loss) | $ | 23 | $ | 89 | $ | 79 | $ | 49 | $ | 32 | $ | 42 | $ | 67 | $ | 168 | $ | 110 | $ | 191 | $ | 142 | $ | 191 | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Detail | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | $ | 80 | $ | 43 | $ | 50 | $ | 63 | $ | 60 | $ | 46 | $ | 32 | $ | 93 | $ | 79 | $ | 173 | $ | 139 | $ | 203 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 47 | 46 | 48 | 43 | 49 | 48 | 38 | 92 | 86 | 140 | 135 | 178 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 51 | 49 | 53 | 64 | 49 | 52 | 49 | 102 | 102 | 152 | 151 | 215 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | $ | 178 | $ | 138 | $ | 151 | $ | 170 | $ | 158 | $ | 146 | $ | 119 | $ | 287 | $ | 267 | $ | 465 | $ | 425 | $ | 596 | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 7 | 7 | (57) | 11 | (5) | 6 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 11 | (47) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses incurred | 13 | 11 | 3 | 44 | 27 | 64 | 39 | 15 | 103 | 28 | 131 | 175 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 241 | 208 | 210 | 222 | 237 | 234 | 223 | 418 | 457 | 658 | 695 | 917 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 432 | $ | 364 | $ | 371 | $ | 379 | $ | 433 | $ | 439 | $ | 387 | $ | 735 | $ | 828 | $ | 1,166 | $ | 1,262 | $ | 1,641 | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratio Data | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio | 55.6 | % | 46.3 | % | 47.2 | % | 47.2 | % | 54.8 | % | 55.4 | % | 49.9 | % | 46.8 | % | 52.7 | % | 49.7 | % | 53.4 | % | 51.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense ratio | 5.7 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense ratio | 6.1 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net underwriting expense ratio | 31.3 | 29.8 | 29.4 | 33.3 | 31.2 | 28.4 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 28.7 | 30.1 | 29.5 | 30.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 98.7 | % | 87.7 | % | 87.7 | % | 95.9 | % | 96.4 | % | 93.7 | % | 89.6 | % | 87.7 | % | 91.7 | % | 91.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 93.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio excluding | 97.0 | % | 86.3 | % | 87.3 | % | 90.4 | % | 92.9 | % | 85.7 | % | 84.6 | % | 86.8 | % | 85.2 | % | 90.1 | % | 87.7 | % | 88.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | 10.4 | % | 5.4 | % | 6.4 | % | 7.9 | % | 7.6 | % | 6.0 | % | 4.2 | % | 5.9 | % | 5.1 | % | 7.4 | % | 5.9 | % | 6.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 6.1 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | 22.9 | % | 17.4 | % | 19.2 | % | 21.2 | % | 20.1 | % | 19.4 | % | 15.4 | % | 18.3 | % | 17.5 | % | 19.8 | % | 18.0 | % | 18.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 0.9 | 1.0 | (7.2) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | (1.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total catastrophe losses incurred | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 31.0 | 26.6 | 26.6 | 27.7 | 29.9 | 26.7 | 28.7 | 26.7 | 27.6 | 28.1 | 29.4 | 29.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total loss ratio | 55.6 | % | 46.3 | % | 47.2 | % | 47.2 | % | 54.8 | % | 55.4 | % | 49.9 | % | 46.8 | % | 52.7 | % | 49.7 | % | 53.4 | % | 51.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Claim Count | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | 38 | 26 | 28 | 33 | 32 | 26 | 14 | 54 | 40 | 92 | 72 | 105 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 111 | 104 | 108 | 97 | 103 | 88 | 95 | 212 | 183 | 323 | 286 | �� | 383 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 93 | 82 | 93 | 94 | 104 | 85 | 85 | 175 | 170 | 268 | 274 | 368 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses total | 242 | 212 | 229 | 224 | 239 | 199 | 194 | 441 | 393 | 683 | 632 | 856 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*NM - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
17
Cincinnati Insurance Group - Commercial Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory Quarterly Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Based on reported data - see Page 25 for adjusted data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 544 | $ | 613 | $ | 693 | $ | 589 | $ | 582 | $ | 603 | $ | 668 | $ | 1,306 | $ | 1,271 | $ | 1,851 | $ | 1,853 | $ | 2,442 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 600 | $ | 607 | $ | 604 | $ | 619 | $ | 602 | $ | 599 | $ | 582 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 1,181 | $ | 1,810 | $ | 1,783 | $ | 2,402 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses paid | $ | 253 | $ | 270 | $ | 260 | $ | 256 | $ | 247 | $ | 251 | $ | 233 | $ | 530 | $ | 485 | $ | 783 | $ | 732 | $ | 988 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss reserve change | 66 | (12) | 23 | 5 | 63 | 53 | 53 | 11 | 105 | 77 | 169 | 174 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 319 | $ | 258 | $ | 283 | $ | 261 | $ | 310 | $ | 304 | $ | 286 | $ | 541 | $ | 590 | $ | 860 | $ | 901 | $ | 1,162 | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense paid | 26 | 30 | 28 | 33 | 30 | 28 | 24 | 58 | 52 | 84 | 81 | 114 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense reserve change | 16 | 16 | 8 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 40 | 19 | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total allocated loss expense incurred | $ | 42 | $ | 46 | $ | 36 | $ | 70 | $ | 37 | $ | 34 | $ | 29 | $ | 82 | $ | 64 | $ | 124 | $ | 100 | $ | 170 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense paid | 31 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 62 | 54 | 93 | 81 | 116 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense reserve change | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total unallocated loss expense incurred | $ | 35 | $ | 31 | $ | 35 | $ | 37 | $ | 30 | $ | 30 | $ | 38 | $ | 66 | $ | 67 | $ | 101 | $ | 96 | $ | 134 | ||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expenses incurred | 170 | 179 | 193 | 194 | 185 | 172 | 179 | 372 | 349 | 542 | 536 | 727 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit (loss) | $ | 34 | $ | 93 | $ | 57 | $ | 57 | $ | 40 | $ | 59 | $ | 50 | $ | 149 | $ | 111 | $ | 183 | $ | 150 | $ | 209 | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Detail | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | $ | 72 | $ | 36 | $ | 45 | $ | 59 | $ | 51 | $ | 40 | $ | 30 | $ | 81 | $ | 70 | $ | 153 | $ | 121 | $ | 180 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 37 | 34 | 38 | 35 | 37 | 39 | 28 | 71 | 67 | 108 | 104 | 139 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 46 | 46 | 49 | 58 | 45 | 45 | 44 | 95 | 90 | 141 | 135 | 193 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | $ | 155 | $ | 116 | $ | 132 | $ | 152 | $ | 133 | $ | 124 | $ | 102 | $ | 247 | $ | 227 | $ | 402 | $ | 360 | $ | 512 | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 6 | 7 | (45) | 10 | (6) | 6 | 14 | - | 14 | 10 | (36) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses incurred | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 16 | 63 | 17 | 77 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 163 | 131 | 134 | 143 | 153 | 152 | 149 | 264 | 300 | 427 | 454 | 597 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 319 | $ | 258 | $ | 283 | $ | 261 | $ | 310 | $ | 304 | $ | 286 | $ | 541 | $ | 590 | $ | 860 | $ | 901 | $ | 1,162 | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratio Data | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio | 53.2 | % | 42.6 | % | 46.8 | % | 42.2 | % | 51.5 | % | 50.7 | % | 49.2 | % | 44.7 | % | 50.0 | % | 47.5 | % | 50.5 | % | 48.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense ratio | 7.0 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 11.3 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense ratio | 5.8 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net underwriting expense ratio | 31.3 | 29.1 | 27.8 | 32.9 | 31.6 | 28.3 | 26.7 | 28.4 | 27.5 | 29.3 | 28.8 | 29.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 97.3 | % | 84.4 | % | 86.5 | % | 92.4 | % | 94.1 | % | 89.6 | % | 87.5 | % | 85.4 | % | 88.6 | % | 89.2 | % | 90.3 | % | 90.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio excluding | 97.1 | % | 83.6 | % | 84.7 | % | 90.5 | % | 91.8 | % | 84.0 | % | 82.4 | % | 84.1 | % | 83.3 | % | 88.3 | % | 86.0 | % | 87.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | 12.0 | % | 5.9 | % | 7.4 | % | 9.6 | % | 8.5 | % | 6.6 | % | 5.2 | % | 6.7 | % | 5.9 | % | 8.4 | % | 6.8 | % | 7.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 6.2 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 7.6 | 7.6 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | 25.8 | % | 19.1 | % | 21.8 | % | 24.6 | % | 22.1 | % | 20.7 | % | 17.6 | % | 20.5 | % | 19.2 | % | 22.2 | % | 20.2 | % | 21.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 1.0 | 1.2 | (7.3) | 1.7 | (1.0) | 1.0 | 1.1 | - | 0.8 | 0.6 | (1.5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total catastrophe losses incurred | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 27.2 | 21.7 | 22.0 | 23.0 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 25.5 | 21.8 | 25.5 | 23.6 | 25.4 | 24.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total loss ratio | 53.2 | % | 42.6 | % | 46.8 | % | 42.2 | % | 51.5 | % | 50.7 | % | 49.2 | % | 44.7 | % | 50.0 | % | 47.5 | % | 50.5 | % | 48.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*NM - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
18
Cincinnati Insurance Group - Personal Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory Quarterly Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Based on reported data - see Page 26 for adjusted data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 192 | $ | 197 | $ | 153 | $ | 166 | $ | 198 | $ | 211 | $ | 161 | $ | 350 | $ | 372 | $ | 541 | $ | 570 | $ | 736 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | $ | 177 | $ | 180 | $ | 181 | $ | 183 | $ | 189 | $ | 194 | $ | 196 | $ | 361 | $ | 390 | $ | 538 | $ | 579 | $ | 762 | ||||||||||||||||||
&nbs p; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses paid | $ | 110 | $ | 109 | $ | 105 | $ | 119 | $ | 119 | $ | 128 | $ | 112 | $ | 214 | $ | 242 | $ | 324 | $ | 362 | $ | 481 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss reserve change | 3 | (3) | (17) | (1) | 3 | 7 | (11) | (20) | (4) | (17) | (1) | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 113 | $ | 106 | $ | 88 | $ | 118 | $ | 122 | $ | 135 | $ | 101 | $ | 194 | $ | 238 | $ | 307 | $ | 361 | $ | 479 | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense paid | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense reserve change | (1) | - | (2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | (1) | 1 | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total allocated loss expense incurred | $ | 2 | $ | 4 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | $ | 5 | $ | 7 | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | $ | 11 | $ | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense paid | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 24 | 38 | 36 | 51 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense reserve change | - | - | (1) | (1) | 1 | - | - | (1) | (1) | (2) | - | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total unallocated loss expense incurred | $ | 13 | $ | 11 | $ | 13 | $ | 14 | $ | 13 | $ | 12 | $ | 12 | $ | 23 | $ | 23 | $ | 36 | $ | 36 | $ | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expenses incurred | 60 | 63 | 55 | 57 | 58 | 60 | 61 | 118 | 122 | 178 | 179 | 238 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit (loss) | $ | (11) | $ | (4) | $ | 22 | $ | (8) | $ | (8) | $ | (17) | $ | 17 | $ | 19 | $ | (1) | $ | 8 | $ | (8) | $ | (18) | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss Detail | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | $ | 8 | $ | 7 | $ | 5 | $ | 4 | $ | 9 | $ | 6 | $ | 2 | $ | 12 | $ | 9 | $ | 21 | $ | 18 | $ | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 31 | 31 | 39 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases of $250,000 or more | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 22 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | $ | 23 | $ | 22 | $ | 19 | $ | 18 | $ | 25 | $ | 22 | $ | 17 | $ | 40 | $ | 40 | $ | 64 | $ | 65 | $ | 84 | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 1 | - | (12) | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | (11) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses incurred | 12 | 6 | (7) | 33 | 13 | 30 | 10 | (1) | 40 | 11 | 54 | 86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 78 | 77 | 76 | 79 | 84 | 82 | 74 | 154 | 157 | 231 | 241 | 320 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred | $ | 113 | $ | 106 | $ | 88 | $ | 118 | $ | 123 | $ | 135 | $ | 101 | $ | 194 | $ | 238 | $ | 307 | $ | 361 | $ | 479 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ratio Data | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio | 63.8 | % | 58.7 | % | 48.9 | % | 64.4 | % | 65.1 | % | 70.0 | % | 52.2 | % | 53.8 | % | 61.1 | % | 57.1 | % | 62.4 | % | 62.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Allocated loss expense ratio | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unallocated loss expense ratio | 7.3 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net underwriting expense ratio | 31.1 | 31.8 | 36.2 | 34.3 | 30.4 | 28.5 | 38.0 | 33.7 | 32.6 | 32.8 | 31.8 | 32.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 103.6 | % | 98.6 | % | 93.5 | % | 107.7 | % | 104.0 | % | 106.4 | % | 98.1 | % | 95.8 | % | 101.6 | % | 98.3 | % | 102.3 | % | 103.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio excluding | 96.6 | % | 95.1 | % | 97.6 | % | 89.8 | % | 96.9 | % | 90.8 | % | 93.1 | % | 96.1 | % | 91.3 | % | 96.2 | % | 93.1 | % | 92.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss Ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses $1 million or more | 4.8 | % | 3.8 | % | 3.0 | % | 2.2 | % | 5.0 | % | 3.5 | % | 1.2 | % | 3.4 | % | 2.3 | % | 3.8 | % | 3.2 | % | 3.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses $250 thousand to $1 million | 5.7 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Development and case reserve increases | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Large losses subtotal | 13.2 | % | 11.8 | % | 10.6 | % | 10.1 | % | 13.5 | % | 11.4 | % | 9.2 | % | 11.1 | % | 10.3 | % | 11.8 | % | 11.4 | % | 11.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
IBNR incurred | - | 0.4 | - | (6.8) | 0.1 | 0.7 | - | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | (1.5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total catastrophe losses incurred | 7.0 | 3.5 | (4.1) | 17.9 | 7.1 | 15.6 | 5.0 | (0.3) | 10.3 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Remaining incurred | 43.6 | 43.0 | 42.4 | 43.2 | 44.4 | 42.3 | 38.0 | 42.8 | 40.2 | 43.1 | 41.5 | 42.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total loss ratio | 63.8 | % | 58.7 | % | 48.9 | % | 64.4 | % | 65.1 | % | 70.0 | % | 52.2 | % | 53.8 | % | 61.1 | % | 57.1 | % | 62.4 | % | 62.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*NM - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
19
Cincinnati Insurance Group | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/2007 | 9/30/2006 | Commercial | Personal | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Comm | Comm | Comm | Workers' | Specialty | Surety & | Mach. & | Pers | Home | Other | Agency | Agency | Change | Change | Change | |||||||||||||
Risk State | Casualty | Prop | Auto | Comp | Packages | Exec Risk | Equip | Auto | Owner | Personal | Direct | Direct | % | % | % | ||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AL | $ | 15.8 | $ | 12.0 | $ | 6.3 | $ | 1.0 | $ | 5.2 | $ | 1.4 | $ | 0.4 | $ | 11.9 | $ | 17.1 | $ | 3.6 | $ | 74.7 | $ | 69.4 | 12.3 | 2.4 | 7.7 |
AZ | 10.1 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 24.3 | 23.1 | 5.3 | 9.7 | 5.3 | ||||||||||||
AR | 7.8 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 32.4 | 34.8 | (7.6) | (3.6) | (7.0) | ||||||||||||
DE | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 37.5 | 232.2 | 34.5 | ||||||||||||
FL | 28.7 | 19.5 | 10.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9.6 | 19.0 | 2.8 | 96.2 | 91.5 | 1.8 | 12.6 | 5.1 | ||||||||||||
GA | 21.9 | 15.6 | 15.4 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 24.0 | 19.8 | 5.3 | 123.2 | 120.3 | 5.6 | (2.0) | 2.4 | ||||||||||||
ID | 7.1 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.5 | 13.0 | 19.9 | (111.4) | 19.8 | ||||||||||||
IL | 60.8 | 35.6 | 23.8 | 42.7 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 18.4 | 14.4 | 4.8 | 218.8 | 230.3 | (5.0) | (5.1) | (5.0) | ||||||||||||
IN | 39.8 | 29.8 | 19.8 | 23.6 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 20.6 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 171.6 | 179.2 | (3.2) | (7.2) | (4.2) | ||||||||||||
IA | 16.8 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 18.4 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 68.5 | 69.4 | (0.6) | (5.8) | (1.3) | ||||||||||||
KS | 6.4 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 35.6 | 33.9 | 9.8 | (5.9) | 5.1 | ||||||||||||
KY | 17.2 | 15.4 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 3.0 | 82.1 | 80.3 | 5.7 | (3.5) | 2.2 | ||||||||||||
MD | 11.0 | 4.7 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 36.6 | 35.2 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.9 | ||||||||||||
MI | 28.8 | 18.2 | 12.3 | 13.8 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 10.0 | 11.8 | 2.4 | 112.1 | 125.5 | (11.1) | (9.4) | (10.7) | ||||||||||||
MN | 20.5 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 65.7 | 65.3 | 2.0 | (4.7) | 0.7 | ||||||||||||
MO | 21.8 | 15.2 | 9.4 | 14.9 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 73.9 | 69.7 | 8.2 | (13.2) | 6.1 | ||||||||||||
MT | 10.9 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 23.5 | 21.2 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 10.8 | ||||||||||||
NE | 5.4 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 22.1 | 24.1 | (6.8) | (19.2) | (8.0) | ||||||||||||
NH | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 2.5 | (7.5) | 0.9 | ||||||||||||
NY | 25.9 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.1 | 38.7 | 19.3 | 3.8 | 19.3 | ||||||||||||
NC | 33.8 | 23.2 | 18.0 | 22.5 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 117.8 | 111.8 | 6.0 | (8.8) | 5.4 | ||||||||||||
ND | 3.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 10.9 | 9.8 | 15.1 | (17.1) | 11.2 | ||||||||||||
OH | 122.0 | 70.8 | 54.4 | (0.4) | 16.0 | 19.4 | 3.4 | 101.9 | 70.7 | 23.1 | 481.2 | 503.5 | (3.8) | (5.3) | (4.4) | ||||||||||||
PA | 37.6 | 22.3 | 22.6 | 42.0 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 151.6 | 151.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||
SC | 11.3 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.8 | 31.2 | 8.3 | 25.8 | 8.4 | ||||||||||||
SD | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 3.3 | (18.3) | 3.2 | ||||||||||||
TN | 20.5 | 14.1 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 82.2 | 80.3 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||
UT | 8.5 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.4 | 13.2 | 31.3 | 22.5 | 31.2 | ||||||||||||
VT | 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 17.9 | 17.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 4.0 | ||||||||||||
VA | 26.0 | 19.4 | 17.6 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 106.9 | 110.1 | (2.9) | (2.9) | (2.9) | ||||||||||||
WV | 6.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 19.1 | 20.0 | (4.4) | (6.2) | (4.5) | ||||||||||||
WI | 23.4 | 14.3 | 9.7 | 20.2 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 89.7 | 93.9 | (3.1) | (9.8) | (4.4) | ||||||||||||
All Other | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 15.6 | 14.6 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 7.1 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 665.3 | $ | 419.3 | $ | 325.4 | $ | 298.0 | $ | 116.0 | $ | 86.4 | $ | 23.3 | $ | 258.3 | $ | 231.0 | $ | 69.4 | $ | 2492.5 | $ | 2505.5 | 0.5 | (3.7) | (0.5) |
Other Direct | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 12.3 | 14.8 | (25.7) | 16.2 | (16.8) | ||||||||||||
Total Direct | $ | 666.1 | $ | 420.7 | $ | 326.1 | $ | 302.8 | $ | 116.3 | $ | 86.4 | $ | 23.3 | $ | 258.9 | $ | 233.6 | $ | 70.8 | $ | 2504.9 | $ | 2520.3 | 0.3 | (3.7) | (0.6) |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
20
Cincinnati Insurance Group | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Commercial Lines of Business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial casualty: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 179 | $ | 218 | $ | 245 | $ | 204 | $ | 196 | $ | 209 | $ | 228 | $ | 462 | $ | 437 | $ | 641 | $ | 634 | $ | 838 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 205 | 209 | 209 | 219 | 207 | 208 | 197 | 418 | 405 | 623 | 613 | 831 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 63.7 | % | 54.6 | % | 53.5 | % | 58.8 | % | 49.4 | % | 51.8 | % | 51.3 | % | 54.2 | % | 51.6 | % | 57.4 | % | 50.8 | % | 53.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 63.7 | % | 54.6 | % | 53.5 | % | 58.8 | % | 49.4 | % | 51.8 | % | 51.3 | % | 54.2 | % | 51.6 | % | 57.4 | % | 50.8 | % | 53.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Commercial property: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 120 | $ | 125 | $ | 138 | $ | 124 | $ | 126 | $ | 122 | $ | 134 | $ | 263 | $ | 256 | $ | 383 | $ | 381 | $ | 505 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 125 | 125 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 123 | 121 | 248 | 244 | 373 | 367 | 491 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 61.5 | % | 45.8 | % | 53.6 | % | 47.0 | % | 54.9 | % | 55.8 | % | 72.6 | % | 49.7 | % | 64.2 | % | 53.7 | % | 61.0 | % | 57.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | (1.4) | 3.2 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 9.9 | 15.9 | 22.7 | 5.0 | 19.3 | 2.9 | 16.1 | 13.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 62.9 | % | 42.6 | % | 46.7 | % | 39.9 | % | 45.0 | % | 39.9 | % | 49.9 | % | 44.7 | % | 44.9 | % | 50.8 | % | 44.9 | % | 43.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Commercial auto: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 92 | $ | 112 | $ | 124 | $ | 105 | $ | 105 | $ | 115 | $ | 126 | $ | 236 | $ | 240 | $ | 329 | $ | 345 | $ | 450 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 108 | 110 | 113 | 116 | 113 | 112 | 112 | 223 | 224 | 331 | 337 | 453 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 66.9 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.6 | % | 58.5 | % | 72.8 | % | 57.0 | % | 57.7 | % | 63.4 | % | 57.4 | % | 64.5 | % | 62.5 | % | 61.5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | 0.4 | - | (0.2) | 0.6 | (0.5) | 3.1 | 0.6 | - | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 66.5 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.8 | % | 57.9 | % | 73.3 | % | 53.9 | % | 57.1 | % | 63.4 | % | 55.5 | % | 64.4 | % | 61.5 | % | 60.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Workers' compensation: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 84 | $ | 92 | $ | 113 | $ | 91 | $ | 85 | $ | 91 | $ | 111 | $ | 206 | $ | 203 | $ | 289 | $ | 288 | $ | 379 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 94 | 95 | 92 | 95 | 93 | 90 | 88 | 187 | 178 | 280 | 271 | 366 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 82.0 | % | 66.8 | % | 76.5 | % | 89.3 | % | 90.3 | % | 83.1 | % | 78.6 | % | 71.5 | % | 80.8 | % | 75.0 | % | 84.1 | % | 85.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 82.0 | % | 66.8 | % | 76.5 | % | 89.3 | % | 90.3 | % | 83.1 | % | 78.6 | % | 71.5 | % | 80.8 | % | 75.0 | % | 84.1 | % | 85.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Specialty package: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 34 | $ | 36 | $ | 41 | $ | 35 | $ | 35 | $ | 34 | $ | 40 | $ | 77 | $ | 74 | $ | 110 | $ | 109 | $ | 144 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 36 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 73 | 71 | 109 | 106 | 141 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 76.7 | % | 49.9 | % | 69.6 | % | 44.9 | % | 74.2 | % | 82.1 | % | 64.3 | % | 59.6 | % | 73.1 | % | 65.3 | % | 73.5 | % | 66.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less Catastrophe loss ratio | 6.2 | 2.6 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 29.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 13.3 | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 70.5 | % | 47.3 | % | 62.6 | % | 39.1 | % | 67.1 | % | 52.9 | % | 60.7 | % | 54.9 | % | 56.9 | % | 60.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 54.9 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Surety and executive risk: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 28 | $ | 23 | $ | 25 | $ | 23 | $ | 28 | $ | 24 | $ | 22 | $ | 48 | $ | 46 | $ | 76 | $ | 74 | $ | 97 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 47 | 45 | 73 | 69 | 93 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 36.5 | % | 49.3 | % | 24.0 | % | 36.3 | % | 47.3 | % | 89.6 | % | 26.5 | % | 36.7 | % | 60.1 | % | 36.7 | % | 55.6 | % | 50.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 36.5 | % | 49.3 | % | 24.0 | % | 36.3 | % | 47.3 | % | 89.6 | % | 26.5 | % | 36.7 | % | 60.1 | % | 36.7 | % | 55.6 | % | 50.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Machinery and equipment: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 8 | $ | 7 | $ | 14 | $ | 15 | $ | 22 | $ | 22 | $ | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 21 | 20 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expense ratio | 34.7 | % | 20.4 | % | 28.2 | % | 62.4 | % | 45.2 | % | 27.0 | % | 32.2 | % | 24.3 | % | 29.6 | % | 27.8 | % | 34.8 | % | 42.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | 1.3 | - | (1.6) | (0.5) | 2.1 | - | - | (0.8) | 0.1 | (0.1) | 0.8 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expense | 33.4 | % | 20.4 | % | 29.8 | % | 62.9 | % | 43.1 | % | 27.0 | % | 32.2 | % | 25.1 | % | 29.5 | % | 27.9 | % | 34.0 | % | 41.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
21
Cincinnati Insurance Group | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - By Personal Lines of Business | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Personal auto: | & nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 92 | $ | 93 | $ | 72 | $ | 79 | $ | 96 | $ | 104 | $ | 79 | $ | 164 | $ | 184 | $ | 256 | $ | 279 | $ | 359 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 85 | 86 | 88 | 91 | 95 | 98 | 101 | 174 | 199 | 259 | 294 | 385 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 67.7 | % | 67.6 | % | 66.5 | % | 74.3 | % | 60.6 | % | 65.8 | % | 60.1 | % | 67.1 | % | 62.9 | % | 67.3 | % | 62.2 | % | 65.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | 0.7 | (0.3) | (2.3) | 5.7 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 | (1.3) | 2.2 | (0.6) | 2.0 | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 67.0 | % | 67.9 | % | 68.8 | % | 68.6 | % | 59.2 | % | 62.2 | % | 59.3 | % | 68.4 | % | 60.7 | % | 67.9 | % | 60.2 | % | 62.2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Homeowner: | & nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 77 | $ | 80 | $ | 61 | $ | 66 | $ | 79 | $ | 83 | $ | 62 | $ | 141 | $ | 144 | $ | 218 | $ | 224 | $ | 290 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 70 | 72 | 71 | 70 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 143 | 146 | 214 | 219 | 289 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 82.7 | % | 66.9 | % | 50.0 | % | 80.8 | % | 93.9 | % | 93.1 | % | 64.0 | % | 58.5 | % | 78.6 | % | 66.5 | % | 83.7 | % | 83.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe loss ratio | 15.6 | 8.3 | (7.5) | 36.0 | 15.0 | 33.1 | 11.1 | 0.4 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 19.8 | 23.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 67.1 | % | 58.6 | % | 57.5 | % | 44.8 | % | 78.9 | % | 60.0 | % | 52.9 | % | 58.1 | % | 56.5 | % | 61.1 | % | 63.9 | % | 59.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Other personal: | & nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written premiums | $ | 23 | $ | 24 | $ | 20 | $ | 21 | $ | 23 | $ | 24 | $ | 20 | $ | 44 | $ | 44 | $ | 67 | $ | 67 | $ | 87 | |||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 43 | 45 | 65 | 66 | 88 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses ratio | 57.9 | % | 62.8 | % | 43.4 | % | 45.6 | % | 63.3 | % | 80.9 | % | 47.4 | % | 53.1 | % | 64.2 | % | 54.7 | % | 63.9 | % | 59.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Less Catastrophe loss ratio | 3.7 | 3.5 | (0.1) | 9.9 | 5.2 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses | 54.2 | % | 59.3 | % | 43.5 | % | 35.7 | % | 58.1 | % | 70.1 | % | 43.6 | % | 51.8 | % | 56.8 | % | 52.7 | % | 57.3 | % | 52.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
year as each is computed independently. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
22
Cincinnati Insurance Company | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | $ | 558 | $ | 484 | $ | 472 | $ | 539 | $ | 526 | $ | 468 | $ | 414 | $ | 956 | $ | 882 | $ | 1,515 | $ | 1,407 | $ | 1,947 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (47) | (40) | (18) | (81) | (37) | (13) | 18 | (58) | 5 | (106) | (32) | (113) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 15 | 15 | 17 | 42 | 29 | 67 | 38 | 31 | 105 | 48 | 134 | 176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | (2) | (4) | (13) | 2 | (2) | (3) | 1 | (17) | (2) | (20) | (4) | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 524 | $ | 455 | $ | 458 | $ | 502 | $ | 516 | $ | 519 | $ | 471 | $ | 912 | $ | 990 | $ | 1,437 | $ | 1,505 | $ | 2,008 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ratio to Earned Premiums | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses : | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | 71.8 | % | 61.6 | % | 60.2 | % | 67.2 | % | 66.4 | % | 59.1 | % | 53.2 | % | 60.9 | % | 56.2 | % | 64.5 | % | 59.7 | % | 61.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (6.1) | (5.1) | (2.3) | (10.1) | (4.7) | (1.7) | 2.4 | (3.7) | 0.3 | (4.5) | (1.3) | (3.6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | (0.3) | (0.5) | (1.7) | 0.2 | (0.2) | (0.5) | 0.2 | (1.1) | (0.2) | (0.9) | (0.2) | (0.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 67.4 | % | 57.9 | % | 58.3 | % | 62.5 | % | 65.2 | % | 65.4 | % | 60.7 | % | 58.1 | % | 63.0 | % | 61.1 | % | 63.9 | % | 63.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Commercial Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | $ | 433 | $ | 370 | $ | 357 | $ | 421 | $ | 396 | $ | 349 | $ | 310 | $ | 727 | $ | 659 | $ | 1,159 | $ | 1,054 | $ | 1,476 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (38) | (40) | (13) | (64) | (33) | (15) | 14 | (53) | (1) | (91) | (34) | (98) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 5 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 28 | 21 | 63 | 27 | 78 | 87 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | (4) | (3) | (3) | 2 | (1) | (1) | 1 | (6) | - | (10) | (1) | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 396 | $ | 335 | $ | 354 | $ | 368 | $ | 377 | $ | 368 | $ | 353 | $ | 689 | $ | 721 | $ | 1,085 | $ | 1,097 | $ | 1,466 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ratio to Earned Premiums | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | 72.2 | % | 60.9 | % | 59.0 | % | 68.1 | % | 65.7 | % | 58.3 | % | 53.3 | % | 60.0 | % | 55.8 | % | 64.0 | % | 59.2 | % | 61.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (6.4) | (6.5) | (2.1) | (10.3) | (5.5) | (2.5) | 2.5 | (4.3) | 0.0 | (5.0) | (1.9) | (4.1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | (0.7) | (0.5) | (0.4) | 0.3 | (0.2) | (0.4) | 0.2 | (0.5) | (0.1) | (0.6) | (0.1) | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 66.0 | % | 55.3 | % | 58.7 | % | 59.6 | % | 62.5 | % | 61.3 | % | 60.8 | % | 57.0 | % | 61.1 | % | 60.0 | % | 61.6 | % | 60.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Personal Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | $ | 125 | $ | 114 | $ | 115 | $ | 118 | $ | 130 | $ | 119 | $ | 104 | $ | 229 | $ | 223 | $ | 356 | $ | 353 | $ | 471 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (9) | - | (5) | (17) | (4) | 2 | 4 | (5) | 6 | (15) | 2 | (15) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 10 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 21 | 56 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | 2 | (1) | (10) | - | (1) | (2) | - | (11) | (2) | (10) | (3) | (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 128 | $ | 120 | $ | 104 | $ | 134 | $ | 139 | $ | 151 | $ | 118 | $ | 223 | $ | 269 | $ | 352 | $ | 408 | $ | 542 | ||||||||||||||||||
Ratio to Earned Premiums | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - current AY | 70.5 | % | 63.3 | % | 64.4 | % | 64.9 | % | 68.8 | % | 61.5 | % | 53.1 | % | 63.8 | % | 57.3 | % | 66.1 | % | 61.0 | % | 61.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's | (5.1) | - | (3.0) | (9.4) | (2.2) | 0.8 | 2.0 | (1.5) | 1.4 | (2.8) | 0.3 | (2.0) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - current AY | 5.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 7.4 | 16.4 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 9.7 | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophes - prior AY's | 1.1 | (0.3) | (6.1) | (0.3) | (0.3) | (0.8) | (0.1) | (3.2) | (0.4) | (1.8) | (0.5) | (0.4) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | 72.4 | % | 66.8 | % | 57.3 | % | 73.4 | % | 73.7 | % | 77.9 | % | 60.1 | % | 62.0 | % | 69.0 | % | 65.4 | % | 70.5 | % | 71.2 | % |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
23
Cincinnati Insurance Group | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted written premiums (statutory) | $ | 779 | $ | 808 | $ | 811 | $ | 785 | $ | 787 | $ | 804 | $ | 796 | $ | 1,619 | $ | 1,600 | $ | 2,399 | $ | 2,387 | $ | 3,172 | ||||||||||||||||||
Written premium adjustment – statutory only | (43) | 2 | 35 | (30) | (7) | 10 | 33 | 37 | 43 | (6) | 36 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reported written premiums (statutory)* | $ | 736 | $ | 810 | $ | 846 | $ | 755 | $ | 780 | $ | 814 | $ | 829 | $ | 1,656 | $ | 1,643 | $ | 2,392 | $ | 2,423 | $ | 3,178 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unearned premiums change | 41 | (23) | (61) | 47 | 11 | (21) | (51) | (85) | (72) | (44) | (61) | (14) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | $ | 777 | $ | 787 | $ | 785 | $ | 802 | $ | 791 | $ | 793 | $ | 778 | $ | 1,571 | $ | 1,571 | $ | 2,348 | $ | 2,362 | $ | 3,164 | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 98.7 | % | 87.7 | % | 87.7 | % | 95.9 | % | 96.4 | % | 93.7 | % | 89.6 | % | 87.7 | % | 91.7 | % | 91.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 93.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe losses | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 97.0 | % | 86.3 | % | 87.3 | % | 90.4 | % | 92.9 | % | 85.7 | % | 84.6 | % | 86.8 | % | 85.2 | % | 90.1 | % | 87.7 | % | 88.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Commission expense ratio | 18.1 | % | 18.1 | % | 18.0 | % | 19.9 | % | 19.3 | % | 17.6 | % | 18.2 | % | 18.0 | % | 17.9 | % | 18.0 | % | 18.3 | % | 18.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Other expense ratio | 13.2 | 11.7 | 11.4 | 13.4 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 12.1 | 11.2 | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory expense ratio | 31.3 | % | 29.8 | % | 29.4 | % | 33.3 | % | 31.2 | % | 28.4 | % | 29.0 | % | 29.6 | % | 28.7 | % | 30.1 | % | 29.5 | % | 30.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
&nb sp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 97.3 | % | 88.6 | % | 89.6 | % | 94.5 | % | 96.1 | % | 94.5 | % | 92.0 | % | 89.1 | % | 93.3 | % | 91.8 | % | 94.2 | % | 94.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*nm - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
24
Cincinnati Insurance Group | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted written premiums (statutory) | $ | 587 | $ | 611 | $ | 658 | $ | 618 | $ | 589 | $ | 593 | $ | 635 | $ | 1,269 | $ | 1,228 | $ | 1,857 | $ | 1,817 | $ | 2,435 | ||||||||||||||||||
Written premium adjustment -- | (43) | 2 | 35 | (29) | (7) | 10 | 33 | 37 | 43 | (6) | 36 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reported written premiums (statutory)* | $ | 544 | $ | 613 | $ | 693 | $ | 589 | $ | 582 | $ | 603 | $ | 668 | $ | 1,306 | $ | 1,271 | $ | 1,851 | $ | 1,853 | $ | 2,442 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unearned premiums change | 56 | (6) | (89) | 30 | 20 | (4) | (86) | (96) | (90) | (41) | (70) | (40) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | $ | 600 | $ | 607 | $ | 604 | $ | 619 | $ | 602 | $ | 599 | $ | 582 | $ | 1,210 | $ | 1,181 | $ | 1,810 | $ | 1,783 | $ | 2,402 | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 97.3 | % | 84.4 | % | 86.5 | % | 92.4 | % | 94.1 | % | 89.6 | % | 87.5 | % | 85.4 | % | 88.6 | % | 89.2 | % | 90.3 | % | 90.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe losses | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 97.1 | % | 83.6 | % | 84.7 | % | 90.5 | % | 91.8 | % | 84.0 | % | 82.4 | % | 84.1 | % | 83.3 | % | 88.3 | % | 86.0 | % | 87.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 95.4 | % | 85.2 | % | 88.9 | % | 91.1 | % | 93.4 | % | 90.3 | % | 90.5 | % | 87.0 | % | 90.4 | % | 89.8 | % | 91.4 | % | 91.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*nm - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
25
Cincinnati Insurance Group | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 9/30/07 | 6/30/07 | 3/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 9/30/06 | 6/30/06 | 3/31/06 | 6/30/07 | 6/30/06 | 9/30/07 | 9/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premiums | &nb sp; | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted written premiums (statutory) | $ | 192 | $ | 197 | $ | 153 | $ | 167 | $ | 198 | $ | 211 | $ | 161 | $ | 350 | $ | 372 | $ | 541 | $ | 570 | $ | 737 | ||||||||||||||||||
Written premium adjustment -- | - | - | - | (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reported written premiums (statutory)* | $ | 192 | $ | 197 | $ | 153 | $ | 166 | $ | 198 | $ | 211 | $ | 161 | $ | 350 | $ | 372 | $ | 541 | $ | 570 | $ | 736 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unearned premiums change | (15) | (17) | 28 | 17 | (9) | (17) | 35 | 11 | 18 | (3) | 9 | 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earned premiums | $ | 177 | $ | 180 | $ | 181 | $ | 183 | $ | 189 | $ | 194 | $ | 196 | $ | 361 | $ | 390 | $ | 538 | $ | 579 | $ | 762 | ||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | &nb sp; | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 103.6 | % | 98.6 | % | 93.5 | % | 107.7 | % | 104.0 | % | 106.4 | % | 98.1 | % | 95.8 | % | 101.6 | % | 98.3 | % | 102.3 | % | 103.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Less catastrophe losses | 7.0 | 3.5 | (4.1) | 17.9 | 7.1 | 15.6 | 5.0 | (0.3) | 10.3 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 96.6 | % | 95.1 | % | 97.6 | % | 89.8 | % | 96.9 | % | 90.8 | % | 93.1 | % | 96.1 | % | 91.3 | % | 96.2 | % | 93.1 | % | 92.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
& nbsp; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | &nb sp; | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 103.8 | % | 99.9 | % | 92.0 | % | 106.0 | % | 104.4 | % | 107.6 | % | 96.4 | % | 96.0 | % | 102.0 | % | 98.6 | % | 102.8 | % | 103.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*nm - Not meaningful | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
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The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | ||||||||||||||
GAAP Statements of Income | ||||||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended September 30, | For the Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||
2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | 2007 | 2006 | Change | % Change | |||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned: | ||||||||||||||
Property casualty | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | - |
Life | 42,395,592 | 36,294,277 | 6,101,315 | 16.81 | 124,663,788 | 109,318,969 | 15,344,819 | 14.04 | ||||||
Accident health | 1,776,832 | 1,709,173 | 67,659 | 3.96 | 5,141,122 | 4,948,521 | 192,601 | 3.89 | ||||||
Premiums ceded | (10,295,186) | (10,455,847) | 160,661 | (1.54) | (30,134,044) | (30,688,997) | 554,953 | (1.81) | ||||||
Total premiums earned | 33,877,238 | 27,547,603 | 6,329,635 | 22.98 | 99,670,866 | 83,578,493 | 16,092,373 | 19.25 | ||||||
Investment income | 28,515,819 | 27,213,672 | 1,302,147 | 4.78 | 84,594,298 | 80,603,825 | 3,990,473 | 4.95 | ||||||
Realized investment gains and losses | (117,732) | (256,745) | 139,013 | (54.14) | 51,750,857 | 42,327,225 | 9,423,632 | 22.26 | ||||||
Other income | 1,141,955 | 755,639 | 386,316 | 51.12 | 3,461,706 | 2,559,919 | 901,787 | 35.23 | ||||||
Total revenues | $ | 63,417,280 | $ | 55,260,169 | $ | 8,157,111 | 14.76 | $ | 239,477,727 | $ | 209,069,462 | $ | 30,408,265 | 14.54 |
Benefits & expenses: | ||||||||||||||
Losses & policy benefits | $ | 45,763,373 | $ | 42,750,492 | $ | 3,012,881 | 7.05 | $ | 127,869,309 | $ | 118,288,412 | $ | 9,580,897 | 8.10 |
Reinsurance recoveries | (9,507,506) | (9,728,222) | 220,716 | (2.27) | (29,654,500) | (26,705,298) | (2,949,202) | 11.04 | ||||||
Commissions | 8,388,628 | 8,434,879 | (46,251) | (0.55) | 26,401,514 | 25,670,653 | 730,861 | 2.85 | ||||||
Other operating expenses | 7,831,539 | 6,877,898 | 953,641 | 13.87 | 23,381,966 | 19,784,207 | 3,597,759 | 18.19 | ||||||
Interest expense | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||
Taxes, licenses & fees | 930,560 | 394,060 | 536,500 | 136.15 | 2,756,613 | 2,144,949 | 611,664 | 28.52 | ||||||
Incr deferred acq expense | (2,402,358) | (6,544,407) | 4,142,049 | (63.29) | (8,730,977) | (14,237,700) | 5,506,723 | (38.68) | ||||||
Other expenses | - | (1) | 1 | - | 108 | 108 | - | 0.00 | ||||||
Total expenses | $ | 51,004,236 | $ | 42,184,699 | $ | 8,819,537 | 20.91 | $ | 142,024,033 | $ | 124,945,331 | $ | 17,078,702 | 13.67 |
Income before income taxes | $ | 12,413,044 | $ | 13,075,470 | $ | (662,426) | (5.07) | $ | 97,453,694 | $ | 84,124,131 | $ | 13,329,563 | 15.85 |
Provision for income taxes: | ||||||||||||||
Current | $ | 1,076,018 | $ | (33,442) | $ | 1,109,460 | (3,317.56) | $ | 4,508,915 | $ | 5,319,857 | $ | (810,942) | (15.24) |
Current capital gains/losses | (22,206) | 27,139 | (49,345) | (181.82) | 18,257,800 | 14,931,529 | 3,326,271 | 22.28 | ||||||
Deferred | 3,171,530 | 4,382,846 | (1,211,316) | (27.64) | 10,914,527 | 9,777,623 | 1,136,904 | 11.63 | ||||||
Total income taxes | $ | 4,225,342 | $ | 4,376,543 | $ | (151,201) | (3.45) | $ | 33,681,242 | $ | 30,029,009 | $ | 3,652,233 | 12.16 |
Net income | $ | 8,187,702 | $ | 8,698,927 | $ | (511,225) | (5.88) | $ | 63,772,452 | $ | 54,095,122 | $ | 9,677,330 | 17.89 |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
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The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | ||||||||||
Statutory Statements of Income | ||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended September 30, | For the Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||
2007 | 2006 | % Change | 2007 | 2006 | % Change | |||||
Net premiums written | $ | 36,952,328 | $ | 37,886,042 | (2.46) | $ | 119,900,032 | $ | 115,332,247 | 3.96 |
Net investment income | 28,518,609 | 27,213,672 | 4.80 | 84,607,029 | 80,603,825 | 4.97 | ||||
Amortization of interest maintenance reserve | (716,933) | 17,827 | (4,121.60) | (727,925) | 100,277 | (825.92) | ||||
Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded | 1,945,861 | 1,834,459 | 6.07 | 6,464,843 | 5,778,763 | 11.87 | ||||
Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts | 1,141,955 | 755,639 | 51.12 | 3,461,706 | 2,559,919 | 35.23 | ||||
Total revenues | $ | 67,841,820 | $ | 67,707,638 | 0.20 | $ | 213,705,685 | $ | 204,375,031 | 4.57 |
Death benefits and matured endowments | $ | 10,205,681 | $ | 9,459,133 | 7.89 | $ | 27,252,513 | $ | 30,097,582 | (9.45) |
Annuity benefits | 11,176,827 | 10,463,908 | 6.81 | 28,828,501 | 26,619,650 | 8.30 | ||||
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts | 638,935 | 556,563 | 14.80 | 1,631,352 | 1,215,340 | 34.23 | ||||
Surrender benefits and group conversions | 6,406,696 | 4,468,607 | 43.37 | 17,479,044 | 16,260,645 | 7.49 | ||||
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds | 2,322,816 | 2,259,707 | 2.79 | 6,722,093 | 7,014,565 | (4.17) | ||||
Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts | 16,724,962 | 26,543,268 | (36.99) | 71,711,184 | 71,899,714 | (0.26) | ||||
Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies | 86,811 | 77,577 | 11.90 | 258,824 | 231,661 | 11.73 | ||||
Total benefit expenses | $ | 47,562,728 | $ | 53,828,763 | (11.64) | $ | 153,883,511 | $ | 153,339,156 | 0.36 |
Commissions | $ | 8,283,629 | $ | 8,319,379 | (0.43) | $ | 26,016,514 | $ | 25,355,653 | 2.61 |
General insurance expenses and taxes | 9,797,137 | 7,487,053 | 30.85 | 29,278,421 | 24,214,800 | 20.91 | ||||
Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums | (1,525,841) | (1,506,574) | 1.28 | (5,337,160) | (4,478,863) | 19.16 | ||||
Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts | - | - | - | (215,913) | (211,220) | 2.22 | ||||
Other deductions | - | - | - | 108 | 109 | (0.59) | ||||
Total operating expenses | $ | 16,554,925 | $ | 14,299,858 | 15.77 | $ | 49,741,970 | $ | 44,880,478 | 10.83 |
Federal and Foreign Income Taxes Incurred | 886,409 | 219,114 | 304.54 | 4,447,095 | 5,022,716 | (11.46) | ||||
Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses) | $ | 2,837,758 | $ | (640,097) | (543.33) | $ | 5,633,109 | $ | 1,132,681 | 397.33 |
Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax | 2,604,683 | (57,569) | N/A | 37,332,560 | 27,640,006 | 35.07 | ||||
Net Income (Statutory) | $ | 5,442,441 | $ | (697,666) | (880.09) | $ | 42,965,669 | $ | 28,772,687 | 49.33 |
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
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The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expenses as a Percentage of Premium | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Three months ended | Six months ended | Nine months ended | Twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/07 | 09/30/07 | 06/30/07 | 03/31/07 | 12/31/06 | 09/30/06 | 06/30/06 | 03/31/06 | 06/30/07 | 06/30/06 | 09/30/07 | 09/30/06 | 12/31/07 | 12/31/06 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Written Premiums | $ | 49 | $ | 54 | $ | 53 | $ | 54 | $ | 50 | $ | 51 | $ | 50 | $ | 107 | $ | 101 | $ | 156 | $ | 152 | $ | 206 | ||||||||||||||||||
Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Gross Written Premiums | $ | 49 | $ | 54 | $ | 53 | $ | 54 | $ | 50 | $ | 51 | $ | 50 | $ | 107 | $ | 101 | $ | 156 | $ | 152 | $ | 206 | ||||||||||||||||||
Insurance Expense | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | $ | 9 | $ | 10 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 18 | $ | 14 | $ | 26 | $ | 21 | $ | 31 | ||||||||||||||||||
Expense Ratio | 16.3 | % | 16.7 | % | 17.7 | % | 17.8 | % | 14.7 | % | 13.5 | % | 14.5 | % | 16.8 | % | 14.0 | % | 16.7 | % | 14.0 | % | 15.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Expense Ratio based on Adjusted | 16.3 | % | 16.7 | % | 17.7 | % | 17.8 | % | 14.7 | % | 13.5 | % | 14.5 | % | 16.8 | % | 14.0 | % | 16.7 | % | 14.0 | % | 15.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) | Years ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Written Premiums | $ | 206 | $ | 249 | $ | 230 | $ | 173 | $ | 244 | $ | 122 | $ | 157 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bank Owned Life Insurance (BOLI) | - | - | (10) | - | (34) | - | (20) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Gross Written Premiums | $ | 206 | $ | 249 | $ | 220 | $ | 173 | $ | 210 | $ | 122 | $ | 137 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance Expense | $ | 31 | $ | 29 | $ | 25 | $ | 25 | $ | 27 | $ | 25 | $ | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expense Ratio | 15.0 | % | 11.7 | % | 11.1 | % | 14.8 | % | 10.9 | % | 20.6 | % | 12.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Expense Ratio based on Adjusted | 15.0 | % | 11.7 | % | 11.6 | % | 14.8 | % | 12.6 | % | 20.6 | % | 14.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently. |
2007 Third-Quarter Supplement
29