Brazil’s economy, and therefore its government finances, are subject to risks arising from internal developments in Brazil. These include, but are not limited to, general economic and business conditions in Brazil, the level of consumer demand, the level of confidence that domestic consumers and foreign investors have in the economic and political conditions in Brazil, present and future exchange rates of the Brazilian currency, the level of domestic debt, domestic inflation, the ability of Brazil to generate a primary budget surplus and advance fiscal and structural reforms, the level of foreign direct and portfolio investment, the level of domestic interest rates, the degree of political uncertainty at the federal and state level in Brazil, the level of subnational debt and the ability of states and municipalities to comply with fiscal limits and to perform their constitutional and contractual obligations, the impact of pandemics and other public health crises, and investigations into allegations of corruption or other misconduct by public officials and others and their impact on political and economic conditions in the country.
Any of these factors or similar events or developments may adversely affect the financial condition of Brazil, including its capacity to make payments on the debt securities, and the liquidity of, and trading markets for, the debt securities.
We will update the discussion on regional public debt in the 18-K/A under the heading “Recent Developments—Public Finance—Regional Public Debt (States and Municipalities)” as follows.
Federal Government Guarantees
As of December 31, 2021, the total amount of Federal Government`s guarantees for loans and credit extended to states and municipalities was R$303.4 billion.
In 2021, the Federal Government paid a total of R$9.0 billion in liabilities incurred by states and municipalities, 32.3% less than in 2020. The largest payments were made to (i) the State of Rio de Janeiro (R$4.2 billion), (ii) the State of Minas Gerais (R$3.1 billion), and (iii) the State of Goiás (R$1.3 billion).
In 2021, there was significant public debate on the fiscal regime applicable to states and municipalities aiming to mitigate the level of risk of the Federal Government in relation to subnational finances and improve the tools available to monitor and control such risk.
As a result, on January 13, 2021, a law was enacted that updated the rules of the Special Recovery Regime2, allowing states and municipalities with more limited payment capacity to incur financings guaranteed by the Federal Government on the condition that they commit to adopting fiscal adjustment measures. The updated Special Recovery Regime provides for, among others, (i) total or partial sale of equity from state-owned companies, (ii) 20% reduction in tax incentives and benefits that represent revenue waivers and limit the annual growth of primary expenditures to inflation, (iii) a requirement for an opinion from an external audit on the accounts of subnational entities as a condition for issuance of federal guarantees, in order to mitigate fiscal reporting risks, and (iv) an extension of the deadlines for states and municipalities to rebalance their accounts.
* * *
2 | As described in the 2020 18-K, the Special Recovery Regime is a regulation aimed at helping states facing serious fiscal imbalances enacted in May 2017. See heading “Public Finance—Regional Public Debt (State and Municipal)—Special Recovery Regime”. |
9