2011 2012 2013 Expected Generation (GWh) (1) 165,800 165,400 162,800 Midwest 99,000 97,800 96,100 Mid-Atlantic 56,300 57,200 56,400 South & West 10,500 10,400 10,300 Percentage of Expected Generation Hedged (2) 93-96% 73-76% 38-41% Midwest 93-96 75-78 35-38 Mid-Atlantic 94-97 72-75 42-45 South & West 76-79 59-62 40-43 Effective Realized Energy Price ($/MWh) (3) Midwest $43.00 $41.00 $41.00 Mid-Atlantic $56.50 $50.50 $50.50 South & West $4.50 $0.00 ($3.00) Generation Profile 17 (1) Expected generation represents the amount of energy estimated to be generated or purchased through owned or contracted for capacity. Expected generation is based upon a simulated dispatch model that makes assumptions regarding future market conditions, which are calibrated to market quotes for power, fuel, load following products, and options. Expected generation assumes 12 refueling outages in 2011 and 10 refueling outages in 2012 and 2013 at Exelon-operated nuclear plants and Salem. Expected generation assumes capacity factors of 93.0%, 93.6% and 93.1% in 2011, 2012 and 2013 at Exelon-operated nuclear plants. These estimates of expected generation in 2012 and 2013 do not represent guidance or a forecast of future results as Exelon has not completed its planning or optimization processes for those years. (2) Percent of expected generation hedged is the amount of equivalent sales divided by the expected generation. Includes all hedging products, such as wholesale and retail sales of power, options, and swaps. Uses expected value on options. Reflects decision to permanently retire Cromby Station and Eddystone Units 1&2 as of May 31, 2011. (3) Effective realized energy price is representative of an all-in hedged price, on a per MWh basis, at which expected generation has been hedged. It is developed by considering the energy revenues and costs associated with our hedges and by considering the fossil fuel that has been purchased to lock in margin. It excludes uranium costs and RPM capacity revenue, but includes the mark-to-market value of capacity contracted at prices other than RPM clearing prices including our load obligations. It can be compared with the reference prices used to calculate open gross margin in order to determine the mark-to-market value of Exelon Generation's energy hedges. |