Exhibit 99.2
® | |
Supplemental Investor Package ___________________________________________ Third Quarter 2008 | |
Investor Contact: Jennifer DiBerardino Vice President, Investor Relations Tel: 973-948-1364 Jennifer.diberardino@selective.com |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. | ||||
2008 Guidance | ||||
As of October 30, 2008 |
Based on nine month actual results and lower expected investment income in the fourth quarter, we are adjusting our earnings guidance range to $1.75 to $1.85 from $2.00 to $2.20. Our assumptions for full year 2008 are:
· | A statutory combined ratio under 100%; |
· | A GAAP combined ratio of approximately 101%; and |
· | Diluted weighted average shares of approximately 53 million. |
For the fourth quarter, we make the following assumptions:
· | After-tax catastrophe losses of $3 million, or $0.06 per share; |
· | After-tax investment income decrease between 10% to 15%; and |
· | Diversified Insurance Services revenue decrease of 1% and return on revenue of approximately 10%. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data (unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance | Market | Unrealized | Balance | Market | Unrealized | Balance | Market | Unrealized | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sheet | Value | Gain/(Loss) | Sheet | Value | Gain/(Loss) | Sheet | Value | Gain/(Loss) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Invested Assets: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate bonds1,2 | $ | 1,113,483 | 1,113,483 | (59,249 | ) | $ | 1,171,195 | 1,171,197 | 3,975 | 1,299,055 | 1,299,057 | (688 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Gov't\ Municipal bonds2 | 1,908,528 | 1,908,572 | (14,311 | ) | 1,767,638 | 1,767,792 | 8,371 | 1,780,275 | 1,780,417 | 24,466 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total bonds | 3,022,011 | 3,022,055 | (73,560 | ) | 2,938,833 | 2,938,989 | 12,346 | 3,079,330 | 3,079,474 | 23,778 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equities | 197,201 | 197,201 | 39,756 | 293,681 | 293,681 | 134,183 | 274,705 | 274,705 | 114,315 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | 181,839 | 181,839 | - | 228,523 | 228,523 | - | 190,167 | 190,167 | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading securities | 7,666 | 7,666 | (2,075 | ) | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments | 208,947 | 208,947 | 16,617 | 168,755 | 168,755 | 31,225 | 188,827 | 188,827 | 30,647 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total invested assets | 3,617,664 | 3,617,708 | (19,262 | ) | 3,629,792 | 3,629,948 | 177,754 | 3,733,029 | 3,733,173 | 168,740 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets | 5,041,495 | 4,986,592 | 5,001,992 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve for losses | 2,262,342 | 2,105,965 | 2,182,572 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve for loss expenses | 380,807 | 356,632 | 359,975 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 907,846 | 903,310 | 841,348 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities | 4,063,731 | 3,943,968 | 3,925,949 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Stockholders' equity | 977,764 | 1,042,624 | 1,076,043 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total debt to capitalization ratio | 21.9% | 24.2% | 21.5% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted total debt to capitalization ratio 3 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 15.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share | 18.53 | 19.64 | 19.81 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share excluding | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FAS 115 unrealized gain or loss on bond portfolio | 19.44 | 19.49 | 19.53 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NPW per insurance segment employee | 807 | 790 | 797 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio | 1.6x | 1.4x | 1.5x | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory surplus | 932,846 | 1,071,166 | 1,034,294 |
1 Includes mortgage-backed and asset backed securities. |
2 Certain prior year amounts were reclassified to conform with currrent year presentation. |
3 The adjusted debt to capitalization ratio reflects a reduction in debt for amounts held in an irrevocable trust for the benefit of senior note |
holders as well as the median rating agency equity treatment of 75% applied to our $100 million Junior Subordinated Notes issued September 25, 2006. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Selected Income Statement Data (unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 2008 | THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, | NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per share amounts) | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Per diluted share | Per diluted share | Per diluted share | Per diluted share | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | $ | 417,116 | $ | 455,469 | $ | 1,315,581 | $ | 1,379,617 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income | 23,668 | 0.45 | 35,290 | 0.63 | 70,587 | 1.32 | 92,575 | 1.62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains, after tax | (14,676 | ) | (0.28 | ) | 1,829 | 0.03 | (12,441 | ) | (0.23 | ) | 17,683 | 0.30 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Income | 8,992 | 0.17 | 37,119 | 0.66 | 58,146 | 1.09 | 110,258 | 1.92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating return on equity | 9.5 | % | 13.8 | % | 9.2 | % | 11.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Insurance Operations | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross premiums written | 466,600 | 466,367 | 1,350,412 | 1,382,546 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | 400,541 | 409,523 | 1,177,610 | 1,231,631 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 372,510 | 378,260 | 1,128,872 | 1,134,624 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting (loss) profit - before tax | (5,738 | ) | 5,122 | (10,441 | ) | 14,693 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- after tax | (3,730 | ) | (0.07 | ) | 3,329 | 0.06 | (6,787 | ) | (0.13 | ) | 9,550 | 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 101.5 | % | 98.6 | % | 100.9 | % | 98.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 319,651 | 327,981 | 972,660 | 982,958 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 99.8 | % | 97.3 | % | 99.5 | % | 97.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Personal lines | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 52,859 | 50,279 | 156,212 | 151,666 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 112.0 | % | 107.6 | % | 109.8 | % | 109.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diversified Insurance Services | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | 30,481 | 29,331 | 90,344 | 89,186 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Income - after tax | 3,740 | 0.07 | 3,075 | 0.05 | 9,823 | 0.18 | 9,997 | 0.17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Return on revenue | 12.3 | % | 10.5 | % | 10.9 | % | 11.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income - before tax | 36,134 | 43,674 | 112,515 | 124,179 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- after tax | 28,543 | 0.54 | 33,409 | 0.59 | 87,996 | 1.65 | 96,354 | 1.66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Effective tax rate | 21.0 | % | 23.5 | % | 21.8 | % | 22.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio | 3.2 | % | 3.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annual after-tax, after-interest expense yield | 2.8 | % | 3.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity | 3.70 | 3.48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other expenses (net of other income) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense - before tax | (5,036 | ) | (5,832 | ) | (15,472 | ) | �� | (18,155 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Actual interest expense - after tax | (3,274 | ) | (3,791 | ) | (10,057 | ) | (11,801 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense addback for dilution - after tax | - | 332 | - | 1,085 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted interest expense - after tax | (3,274 | ) | (0.06 | ) | (3,459 | ) | (0.06 | ) | (10,057 | ) | (0.19 | ) | (10,716 | ) | (0.18 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other - after tax | $ | (1,611 | ) | (0.03 | ) | $ | (732 | ) | (0.01 | ) | (10,388 | ) | (0.19 | ) | $ | (11,525 | ) | (0.19 | ) | |||||||||||||
Diluted weighted avg shares outstanding | 52,994 | 56,434 | 53,397 | 58,017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 Statutory Results by Line of Business | |||||||||||||||||||
3rd Qtr 2008 (unaudited) | |||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Net | Net | Underwriting | Dividends to | Combined | Combined | ||||||||||||||
Premiums | Percent | Premiums | Percent | Loss | LAE | Expense | Policyholders | Ratio | Ratio | Underwriting | |||||||||
Written | Change | Earned | Change | Ratio | Ratio | Ratio | Ratio | 2008 | 2007 | Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
Personal Lines: | |||||||||||||||||||
Homeowners | $ 19,612 | 3.4% | $ 17,231 | 10.4% | 65.0% | 7.7% | 32.4% | 0.0% | 105.1% | 99.4% | $ (1,646) | ||||||||
Auto | 33,961 | 4.2% | 33,280 | 2.1% | 72.3% | 11.0% | 29.7% | 0.0% | 113.0% | 110.2% | (4,535) | ||||||||
Other (including flood) | 2,658 | 15.3% | 2,349 | 13.3% | 47.6% | (29.0)% | (59.3)% | 0.0% | (40.7)% | (27.0)% | 3,488 | ||||||||
Total | $ 56,232 | 4.4% | $ 52,860 | 5.1% | 68.8% | 8.1% | 26.5% | 0.0% | 103.4% | 101.2% | $ (2,693) | ||||||||
Commercial Lines: | |||||||||||||||||||
Fire/IM | $ 55,152 | (1.2)% | $ 48,741 | 0.9% | 59.3% | 4.5% | 34.9% | 0.1% | 98.8% | 91.0% | $ (1,685) | ||||||||
Workers' | |||||||||||||||||||
compensation | 86,653 | (2.6)% | 78,383 | (2.1)% | 56.0% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 1.2% | 91.0% | 99.5% | 5,223 | ||||||||
General liability | 101,922 | (3.8)% | 97,861 | (3.9)% | 50.2% | 16.5% | 31.7% | 0.1% | 98.5% | 100.9% | 199 | ||||||||
Auto | 80,595 | (5.4)% | 75,411 | (5.4)% | 61.1% | 7.8% | 29.1% | 0.1% | 98.1% | 86.3% | (55) | ||||||||
BOP | 15,036 | 6.5% | 14,589 | 9.6% | 70.3% | 12.2% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 116.4% | 113.6% | (2,540) | ||||||||
Bonds | 4,965 | (7.0)% | 4,732 | (3.3)% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 57.5% | 0.0% | 74.7% | 76.7% | 1,065 | ||||||||
Other | 2,384 | (6.4)% | 2,331 | 8.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 45.8% | 0.0% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 1,217 | ||||||||
Total | $ 346,707 | (3.1)% | $ 322,048 | (2.5)% | 55.6% | 10.9% | 29.8% | 0.4% | 96.7% | 95.4% | $ 3,425 | ||||||||
Grand Total | $ 402,939 | (2.1)% | $ 374,907 | (1.5)% | 57.4% | 10.5% | 29.4% | 0.3% | 97.6% | 96.2% | $ 732 | ||||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses Paid | $ 195,616 | $ 162,754 | |||||||||||||||||
LAE Paid | 34,311 | 33,083 | |||||||||||||||||
Total Paid | $ 229,927 | $ 195,837 |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 Statutory Results by Line of Business | |||||||||||||||||||
September 2008 YTD (unaudited) | |||||||||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||
Net | Net | Underwriting | Dividends to | Combined | Combined | ||||||||||||||
Premiums | Percent | Premiums | Percent | Loss | LAE | Expense | Policyholders | Ratio | Ratio | Underwriting | |||||||||
Written | Change | Earned | Change | Ratio | Ratio | Ratio | Ratio | 2008 | 2007 | Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
Personal Lines: | |||||||||||||||||||
Homeowners | $ 52,219 | 6.4% | $ 50,776 | 10.1% | 59.0% | 7.9% | 35.3% | 0.0% | 102.2% | 110.5% | $ (1,616) | ||||||||
Auto | 102,881 | 4.0% | 98,827 | (0.8)% | 68.7% | 13.5% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 112.2% | 107.2% | $ (13,235) | ||||||||
Other | |||||||||||||||||||
(including flood) | 7,076 | 13.9% | 6,609 | 12.0% | 50.3% | (18.6)% | (55.9)% | 0.0% | (24.2)% | 4.6% | 8,468 | ||||||||
Total | $ 162,177 | 5.1% | $ 156,212 | 3.0% | 64.7% | 10.3% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 103.0% | 104.1% | $ (6,383) | ||||||||
Commercial Lines: | |||||||||||||||||||
Fire/IM | $ 152,381 | (2.5)% | $ 147,253 | 4.0% | 54.2% | 4.6% | 37.5% | 0.2% | 96.5% | 92.3% | $ 3,255 | ||||||||
Workers' | |||||||||||||||||||
compensation | 245,706 | (10.0)% | 234,351 | (3.7)% | 57.7% | 11.2% | 24.5% | 1.2% | 94.6% | 100.0% | 9,832 | ||||||||
General liability | 318,247 | (5.0)% | 301,062 | (1.9)% | 50.0% | 17.1% | 32.5% | 0.0% | 99.6% | 98.6% | (4,447) | ||||||||
Auto | 239,277 | (6.4)% | 232,393 | (2.1)% | 60.2% | 8.0% | 29.9% | 0.0% | 98.1% | 86.1% | 2,240 | ||||||||
BOP | 44,721 | 8.2% | 43,114 | 10.0% | 62.1% | 12.5% | 37.2% | 0.0% | 111.8% | 116.5% | (5,664) | ||||||||
Bonds | 14,484 | (2.8)% | 14,225 | (0.4)% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 61.0% | 0.0% | 77.8% | 80.4% | 3,003 | ||||||||
Other | 7,295 | 3.1% | 6,938 | 15.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 44.5% | 0.0% | 46.1% | 39.8% | 3,579 | ||||||||
Total | $ 1,022,110 | (5.6)% | $ 979,336 | (0.9)% | 54.5% | 11.1% | 31.5% | 0.3% | 97.4% | 95.1% | $ 11,799 | ||||||||
Grand Total | $ 1,184,287 | (4.3)% | $ 1,135,548 | (0.4)% | 56.0% | 11.0% | 30.9% | 0.3% | 98.2% | 96.3% | $ 5,416 | ||||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||
Losses Paid | $ 569,035 | $ 483,316 | |||||||||||||||||
LAE Paid | 104,782 | 97,749 | |||||||||||||||||
Total Paid | $ 673,817 | $ 581,065 |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | ||||||||||||||
Diversified Insurance Services | ||||||||||||||
( $ in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, 2008 (unaudited) | ||||||||||||||
Revenue | Net Income | Return on Revenue | ||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | % Change | 2008 | 2007 | % Change | 2008 | 2007 | Pt Change | ||||||
Flood | 15,213 | 13,023 | 17% | 2,201 | 1,765 | 25% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 0.9 | |||||
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing | 12,695 | 14,048 | -10% | 752 | 592 | 27% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7 | |||||
Other | 2,573 | 2,260 | 14% | 787 | 718 | 10% | 30.6% | 31.8% | -1.2 | |||||
Total | 30,481 | 29,331 | 4% | 3,740 | 3,075 | 22% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 1.8 | |||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 (unaudited) | ||||||||||||||
Revenue | Net Income | Return on Revenue | ||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | % Change | 2008 | 2007 | % Change | 2008 | 2007 | Pt Change | ||||||
Flood | 41,323 | 37,089 | 11% | 5,478 | 5,513 | -1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | -1.6 | |||||
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing | 41,311 | 45,771 | -10% | 1,866 | 2,421 | -23% | 4.5% | 5.3% | -0.8 | |||||
Other | 7,710 | 6,326 | 22% | 2,479 | 2,063 | 20% | 32.2% | 32.6% | -0.4 | |||||
Total | 90,344 | 89,186 | 1% | 9,823 | 9,997 | -2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | -0.3 | |||||
Human Resource Administration Outsourcing Statistics (unaudited) | ||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | % Change | ||||||||||||
New Worksite EE - Selective Agents (Production) | 1,212 | 1,714 | -29% | |||||||||||
Total New Worksite EE - All Agents (Production) | 1,478 | 2,300 | -36% | |||||||||||
Total Worksite EE | 23,709 | 25,884 | -8% | |||||||||||
Annual Gross Billings (000's) | $ | 963,844 | 1,003,847 | -4% | ||||||||||
Annual Gross Billings / Avg Worksite EE | $ | 39,152 | 37,843 | 3% |
Note: Certain prior year amounts have been restated to conform with the current year presentation.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries |
Quarterly |
GAAP Investment Income |
($ in thousands) |
(unaudited) |
For the three months ended | % | Year to Date | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
September | September | Increase | September | September | Increase | ||||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | (Decrease) | 2008 | 2007 | (Decrease) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Investment Income: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturity Securities | $ | 36,851 | 34,872 | 5.7 | 109,681 | 103,718 | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Short-term | 976 | 2,404 | (59.4 | ) | 3,703 | 6,194 | (40.2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other Investments | 3,183 | 6,329 | (49.7 | ) | 5,360 | 12,840 | (58.3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Dividends | 1,004 | 1,351 | (25.7 | ) | 3,683 | 5,007 | (26.4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Change in Fair Value(1) | (4,817 | ) | - | N/M | (6,448 | ) | - | N/M | |||||||||||||||||
Miscellaneous | 112 | 42 | 166.7 | 235 | 159 | 47.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
37,309 | 44,998 | (17.1 | ) | 116,214 | 127,918 | (9.1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Investment Expense | 1,175 | 1,324 | (11.3 | ) | 3,699 | 3,739 | (1.1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income Before Tax | 36,134 | 43,674 | (17.3 | ) | 112,515 | 124,179 | (9.4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Tax | 7,591 | 10,265 | (26.0 | ) | 24,519 | 27,825 | (11.9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income After Tax | $ | 28,543 | 33,409 | (14.6 | ) | 87,996 | 96,354 | (8.7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income per Share | 0.54 | 0.59 | (8.5 | ) | 1.65 | 1.66 | (0.6 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Effective Tax Rate | 21.0 | % | 23.5 | % | 21.8 | % | 22.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Average Yields: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturity Securities | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre Tax | 4.6 | % | 4.6 | % | - | ||||||||||||||||||||
After Tax | 3.6 | % | 3.6 | % | - | ||||||||||||||||||||
Portfolio | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre Tax | 4.1 | % | 4.6 | % | (0.5 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
After Tax | 3.2 | % | 3.6 | % | (0.4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
For the three months ended | Year to Date | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
September | September | September | September | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Realized Gains (Losses) | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Maturities | (27,541 | ) | (988 | ) | (40,771 | ) | (1,642 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Equity Securities | 8,393 | 4,638 | 25,061 | 29,683 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other | (3,429 | ) | (836 | ) | (3,429 | ) | (836 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Total | (22,577 | ) | 2,814 | (19,139 | ) | 27,205 | |||||||||||||||||||
Net of Tax | (14,676 | ) | 1,829 | (12,441 | ) | 17,683 |
(1) | Selective adopted Fas 159, the Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liablilities - Including an amendment | |
of FASB Statement No. 115, on January 1, 2008 and elected to apply the fair value option to certain securities that were | ||
being managed by an outside manager at the time of adoption. |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. | Unaudited | |||||||
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS | September 30, | December 31, | ||||||
($ in thousands, except share amounts) | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||
ASSETS | ||||||||
Investments: | ||||||||
Fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity – at amortized cost | ||||||||
(fair value of: $1,328 – 2008; $5,927 – 2007) | $ | 1,284 | 5,783 | |||||
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value | ||||||||
(amortized cost of: $3,094,331 – 2008; $3,049,913 – 2007) | 3,020,727 | 3,073,547 | ||||||
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value | ||||||||
(cost of: $157,445 – 2008; $160,390 – 2007) | 197,201 | 274,705 | ||||||
Short-term investments – at cost which approximates fair value | 181,839 | 190,167 | ||||||
Equity securities, trading – at fair value (cost of: $9,740 – 2008) | 7,666 | - | ||||||
Other investments | 208,947 | 188,827 | ||||||
Total investments | 3,617,664 | 3,733,029 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | 14,178 | 8,383 | ||||||
Interest and dividends due or accrued | 35,539 | 36,141 | ||||||
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible | ||||||||
accounts of: $4,153 – 2008; $3,905 - 2007 | 543,060 | 496,363 | ||||||
Other trade receivables, net of allowance for uncollectible | ||||||||
accounts of: $206 – 2008; $244 – 2007 | 24,748 | 21,875 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses | 5,066 | 7,429 | ||||||
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses | 239,810 | 227,801 | ||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | 99,942 | 82,182 | ||||||
Current federal income tax | - | 4,235 | ||||||
Deferred federal income tax | 109,993 | 22,375 | ||||||
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated | ||||||||
depreciation and amortization of: $129,091 – 2008; $117,832 – 2007 | 52,702 | 58,561 | ||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | 224,103 | 226,434 | ||||||
Goodwill | 33,637 | 33,637 | ||||||
Other assets | 41,053 | 43,547 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 5,041,495 | 5,001,992 | |||||
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY | ||||||||
Liabilities: | ||||||||
Reserve for losses | $ | 2,262,342 | 2,182,572 | |||||
Reserve for loss expenses | 380,807 | 359,975 | ||||||
Unearned premiums | 907,846 | 841,348 | ||||||
Senior convertible notes | - | 8,740 | ||||||
Notes payable | 273,872 | 286,151 | ||||||
Current federal income tax | 3,607 | - | ||||||
Commissions payable | 48,842 | 60,178 | ||||||
Accrued salaries and benefits | 84,253 | 88,079 | ||||||
Other liabilities | 102,162 | 98,906 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 4,063,731 | 3,925,949 | ||||||
Stockholders' Equity: | ||||||||
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share: Authorized shares: 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding | ||||||||
Common stock of $2 par value per share: | ||||||||
Authorized shares: 360,000,000 | ||||||||
Issued: 95,094,584 – 2008; 94,652,930 – 2007 | 190,189 | 189,306 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 212,543 | 192,627 | ||||||
Retained earnings | 1,149,380 | 1,105,946 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income | (31,019 | ) | 86,043 | |||||
Treasury stock – at cost (shares: 42,326,937– 2008; 40,347,894 – 2007) | (543,329 | ) | (497,879 | ) | ||||
Total stockholders' equity | 977,764 | 1,076,043 | ||||||
Commitments and contingencies | ||||||||
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | $ | 5,041,495 | 5,001,992 |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. | ||||||||||||||||
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME | Quarter ended | Nine Months ended | ||||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||||
($ in thousands, except per share amounts) | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||
Revenues: | ||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 400,541 | 409,523 | 1,177,610 | 1,231,631 | |||||||||||
Net increase in unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance premiums | (28,031 | ) | (31,263 | ) | (48,738 | ) | (97,007 | ) | ||||||||
Net premiums earned | 372,510 | 378,260 | 1,128,872 | 1,134,624 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income earned | 36,134 | 43,674 | 112,515 | 124,179 | ||||||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains | (22,577 | ) | 2,814 | (19,139 | ) | 27,205 | ||||||||||
Diversified Insurance Services revenue | 30,481 | 29,331 | 90,344 | 89,186 | ||||||||||||
Other income | 568 | 1,390 | 2,989 | 4,423 | ||||||||||||
Total revenues | 417,116 | 455,469 | 1,315,581 | 1,379,617 | ||||||||||||
Expenses: | ||||||||||||||||
Losses incurred | 215,095 | 204,304 | 635,140 | 616,235 | ||||||||||||
Loss expenses incurred | 40,351 | 42,455 | 127,136 | 128,053 | ||||||||||||
Policy acquisition costs | 121,271 | 125,630 | 374,075 | 373,249 | ||||||||||||
Dividends to policyholders | 1,151 | 1,440 | 3,265 | 3,949 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense | 5,036 | 5,832 | 15,472 | 18,155 | ||||||||||||
Diversified Insurance Services expenses | 24,794 | 24,670 | 75,433 | 74,089 | ||||||||||||
Other expenses | 6,852 | 4,424 | 19,807 | 22,187 | ||||||||||||
Total expenses | 414,550 | 408,755 | 1,250,328 | 1,235,917 | ||||||||||||
Income before federal income tax | 2,566 | 46,714 | 65,253 | 143,700 | ||||||||||||
Federal income tax (benefit) expense: | ||||||||||||||||
Current | 10,449 | 234 | 34,467 | 30,571 | ||||||||||||
Deferred | (16,875 | ) | 9,361 | (27,360 | ) | 2,871 | ||||||||||
Total federal income tax (benefit) expense | (6,426 | ) | 9,595 | 7,107 | 33,442 | |||||||||||
Net income | $ | 8,992 | 37,119 | 58,146 | 110,258 | |||||||||||
Earnings per share: | ||||||||||||||||
Basic net income | $ | 0.17 | 0.72 | 1.11 | 2.10 | |||||||||||
Diluted net income | $ | 0.17 | 0.66 | 1.09 | 1.92 | |||||||||||
Dividends to stockholders | $ | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.36 |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. | ||||||||
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF | ||||||||
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY | ||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||
($ in thousands, except per share amounts) | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||
Common stock: | ||||||||
Beginning of year | $ | 189,306 | 183,124 | |||||
Dividend reinvestment plan | ||||||||
(shares: 59,704 – 2008; 58,082 – 2007) | 119 | 116 | ||||||
Convertible debentures | ||||||||
(shares: 45,759 – 2008; 849,349 – 2007) | 92 | 1,699 | ||||||
Stock purchase and compensation plans | ||||||||
(shares: 336,191 – 2008; 779,108 – 2007) | 672 | 1,559 | ||||||
End of period | 190,189 | 186,498 | ||||||
Additional paid-in capital: | ||||||||
Beginning of year | 192,627 | 153,246 | ||||||
Dividend reinvestment plan | 1,267 | 1,276 | ||||||
Convertible debentures | 645 | 9,843 | ||||||
Stock purchase and compensation plans | 18,004 | 21,463 | ||||||
End of period | 212,543 | 185,828 | ||||||
Retained earnings: | ||||||||
Beginning of year | 1,105,946 | 986,017 | ||||||
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159, | ||||||||
net of deferred income tax effect of $3,344 | 6,210 | |||||||
Net income | 58,146 | 58,146 | 110,258 | 110,258 | ||||
Cash dividends to stockholders ($0.39 share – 2008; | ||||||||
$0.36 per share – 2007) | (20,922) | (19,633) | ||||||
End of period | 1,149,380 | 1,076,642 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income: | ||||||||
Beginning of year | 86,043 | 100,601 | ||||||
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159, | ||||||||
net of deferred income tax effect of $(3,334) | (6,210) | |||||||
Other comprehensive (loss) income, (increase) decrease in: | ||||||||
Net unrealized losses on investment securities, net of deferred | ||||||||
income tax effect of: $(59,737) – 2008; $(7,376) – 2007 | (110,940) | (110,940) | (13,699) | (13,699) | ||||
Defined benefit pension plans, net of deferred income tax effect | �� | |||||||
of: $48 – 2008; $172 – 2007 | 88 | 88 | 319 | 319 | ||||
End of period | (31,019) | 87,221 | ||||||
Comprehensive (loss) income | (52,706) | 96,878 | ||||||
Treasury stock: | ||||||||
Beginning of year | (497,879) | (345,761) | ||||||
Acquisition of treasury stock | ||||||||
(shares: 1,979,043 – 2008; 5,879,779 – 2007) | (45,450) | (147,804) | ||||||
End of period | (543,329) | (493,565) | ||||||
Total stockholders’ equity | $ | 977,764 | 1,042,624 |
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. | |||||
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW | Nine Months ended | ||||
September 30, | |||||
($ in thousands) | 2008 | 2007 |
Operating Activities | |||||
Net income | $ | 58,146 | 110,258 | ||
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: | |||||
Depreciation and amortization | 21,329 | 21,391 | |||
Share-based compensation expense | 14,094 | 16,166 | |||
Net realized loss (gain) | 19,139 | (27,205) | |||
Deferred tax | (27,360) | 2,871 | |||
Unrealized loss on trading securities | 6,448 | - | |||
Changes in assets and liabilities: | |||||
Increase in reserves for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable | |||||
on unpaid losses and loss expenses | 88,638 | 160,852 | |||
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums | 48,609 | 97,549 | |||
Decrease (increase) in net federal income tax recoverable | 7,842 | (18,235) | |||
Increase in premiums receivable | (46,697) | (93,717) | |||
Increase in other trade receivables | (2,873) | (154) | |||
Decrease (increase) in deferred policy acquisition costs | 2,331 | (17,056) | |||
Decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued | 623 | 1,250 | |||
Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses | 2,363 | 442 | |||
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits | (6,473) | (13,229) | |||
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses | (15,849) | (377) | |||
Purchase of trading securities | (6,587) | - | |||
Sale of trading securities | 17,586 | - | |||
Other-net | 10,782 | 2,330 | |||
Net adjustments | 133,945 | 132,878 | |||
Net cash provided by operating activities | 192,091 | 243,136 | |||
Investing Activities | |||||
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | (437,003) | (377,021) | |||
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale | (50,551) | (127,392) | |||
Purchase of other investments | (44,380) | (51,197) | |||
Purchase of short-term investments | (1,591,302) | (1,622,327) | |||
Sale of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | 112,890 | 102,660 | |||
Sale of short-term investments | 1,599,629 | 1,590,804 | |||
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity | 4,530 | 915 | |||
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | 229,598 | 264,528 | |||
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale | 63,143 | 126,395 | |||
Proceeds from other investments | 11,263 | 31,815 | |||
Purchase of property and equipment | (5,535) | (10,427) | |||
Net cash used in by investing activities | (107,718) | (71,247) | |||
Financing Activities | |||||
Dividends to stockholders | (19,391) | (17,912) | |||
Acquisition of treasury stock | (45,450) | (147,804) | |||
Principal payment of notes payable | (12,300) | (18,300) | |||
Borrowings under line of credit agreement | - | 6,000 | |||
Repayment of borrowings under line of credit agreement | - | (6,000) | |||
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans | 5,747 | 5,784 | |||
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements | 1,570 | 2,762 | |||
Principal payments of convertible bonds | (8,754) | - | |||
Net cash used in financing activities | (78,578) | (175,470) | |||
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | 5,795 | (3,581) | |||
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year | 8,383 | 6,443 | |||
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period | $ | 14,178 | 2,862 |
Supplemental Disclosures of Cash Flows Information
Cash paid during the period for: | |||||
Interest | $ | 12,518 | 15,714 | ||
Federal income tax | 25,050 | 46,525 | |||
Supplemental schedule of non-cash financing activity: | |||||
Conversion of convertible debentures | 169 | 11,059 |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | ||||||||||||
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||
Unaudited Statutory Balance Sheets | ||||||||||||
($ in thousands) | ||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | December 31, | ||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2007 | ||||||||||
ASSETS | ||||||||||||
Bonds | $ | 3,088,962 | 2,912,468 | 3,041,373 | ||||||||
Common stocks | 226,686 | 316,208 | 297,102 | |||||||||
Other investments | 209,174 | 168,860 | 188,827 | |||||||||
Short-term investments | 105,743 | 166,698 | 125,650 | |||||||||
Total investments | 3,630,565 | 3,564,234 | 3,652,952 | |||||||||
Cash on hand and in banks | (33,563 | ) | (27,110 | ) | (33,209 | ) | ||||||
Interest and dividends due and accrued | 35,533 | 32,513 | 36,057 | |||||||||
Premiums receivable | 536,602 | 546,482 | 491,308 | |||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and expenses | 2,587 | 4,559 | 7,429 | |||||||||
Federal income tax recoverable | - | 6,654 | - | |||||||||
Deferred tax recoverable | 89,759 | 92,677 | 87,951 | |||||||||
EDP equipment | 3,656 | 4,014 | 4,691 | |||||||||
Equities and deposits in pools and associations | 9,522 | 10,740 | 10,411 | |||||||||
Receivable for sold securities | 1,262 | 32,491 | 167 | |||||||||
Other assets | 29,201 | 34,156 | 32,105 | |||||||||
Total assets | $ | 4,305,124 | 4,301,410 | 4,289,862 | ||||||||
LIABILITIES | ||||||||||||
Reserve for losses | $ | 2,020,278 | 1,892,407 | 1,953,960 | ||||||||
Reinsurance payable on paid loss and loss expense | 1,127 | 1,381 | 1,310 | |||||||||
Reserve for loss expenses | 378,283 | 353,041 | 358,126 | |||||||||
Unearned premiums | 807,904 | 818,627 | 759,166 | |||||||||
Reserve for commissions payable | 48,842 | 56,199 | 60,178 | |||||||||
Ceded balances payable | 11,144 | 9,649 | 8,192 | |||||||||
Federal income tax payable | 15,626 | - | 14,084 | |||||||||
Premium and other taxes payable | 20,469 | 22,214 | 24,982 | |||||||||
Reserve for dividends to policyholders | 4,884 | 4,042 | 5,651 | |||||||||
Reserves for unauthorized/overdue reinsurance | 1,258 | 1,570 | 1,258 | |||||||||
Payable for securities | 1,378 | 11,332 | - | |||||||||
Funds withheld on account of others | 5,839 | 8,211 | 5,070 | |||||||||
Accrued salaries and benefits | 41,726 | 38,639 | 48,582 | |||||||||
Other liabilities | 13,520 | 12,932 | 15,009 | |||||||||
Total liabilities | 3,372,278 | 3,230,244 | 3,255,568 | |||||||||
POLICYHOLDERS' SURPLUS | ||||||||||||
Capital | 28,325 | 28,325 | 28,325 | |||||||||
Paid in surplus | 235,792 | 235,792 | 235,792 | |||||||||
Unassigned surplus | 668,729 | 807,049 | 770,177 | |||||||||
Total policyholders' surplus | 932,846 | 1,071,166 | 1,034,294 | |||||||||
Total liabilities and policyholders' surplus | $ | 4,305,124 | 4,301,410 | 4,289,862 |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | ||||||||||
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries | ||||||||||
Unaudited Statutory Statements Of Income | ||||||||||
($ in thousands) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September | September | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UNDERWRITING | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written | $ | 402,939 | 411,747 | 1,184,287 | 1,237,419 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net premiums earned | 374,908 | 380,467 | 1,135,548 | 1,140,391 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net losses paid | 195,616 | 162,754 | 569,035 | 483,316 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in reserve for losses | 19,686 | 41,772 | 66,318 | 133,256 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net losses incurred | 215,302 | 57.4 | % | 204,526 | 53.8 | % | 635,353 | 56.0 | % | 616,572 | 54.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss expenses paid | 34,311 | 33,083 | 104,782 | 97,749 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in reserve for loss expenses | 5,111 | 9,120 | 20,158 | 28,180 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss expenses incurred | 39,422 | 10.5 | % | 42,203 | 11.1 | % | 124,940 | 11.0 | % | 125,929 | 11.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net underwriting expenses incurred | 117,920 | 29.3 | % | 128,330 | 31.1 | % | 367,173 | 31.0 | % | 384,151 | 31.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total deductions | 372,644 | 375,059 | 1,127,467 | 1,126,652 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory gain | 2,264 | 5,408 | 8,082 | 13,739 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net loss from premium balances charged off | (950 | ) | (489 | ) | (2,436 | ) | (1,951 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Finance charges and other income | 569 | 1,393 | 3,035 | 4,396 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total other income | (381 | ) | 0.1 | % | 904 | -0.2 | % | 599 | -0.1 | % | 2,445 | -0.2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Policyholders' dividends incurred | (1,151 | ) | 0.3 | % | (1,441 | ) | 0.4 | % | (3,265 | ) | 0.3 | % | (3,949 | ) | 0.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total underwriting gain | 732 | 97.6 | % | 4,871 | 96.2 | % | 5,416 | 98.2 | % | 12,235 | 96.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
INVESTMENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income earned | 45,210 | 43,341 | 123,450 | 118,090 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net realized (loss) gain | (20,107 | ) | 2,820 | (13,960 | ) | 27,211 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total income before income tax | 25,835 | 51,032 | 114,906 | 157,536 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Federal income tax expense | 14,946 | 3,752 | 44,894 | 39,829 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 10,889 | 47,280 | 70,012 | 117,707 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policyholders' Surplus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Surplus, beginning of period | $ | 999,676 | 1,059,939 | 1,034,294 | 1,030,078 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income | 10,889 | 47,280 | 70,012 | 117,707 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in deferred tax | 12,106 | (7,867 | ) | 19,359 | 2,716 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unrealized losses | (33,394 | ) | (6,545 | ) | (62,396 | ) | (6,855 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividends to stockholders | (24,502 | ) | (26,003 | ) | (77,045 | ) | (76,012 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in non-admitted assets | (31,761 | ) | 4,334 | (51,101 | ) | (3,352 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Surplus adjustments | (168 | ) | 28 | (277 | ) | 6,884 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net change in surplus for period | (66,830 | ) | 11,227 | (101,448 | ) | 41,088 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Surplus, end of period | $ | 932,846 | 1,071,166 | 932,846 | 1,071,166 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory underwriting gain: | $ | 732 | 4,871 | 5,416 | 12,235 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments under GAAP: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs | (1,542 | ) | 4,827 | (2,331 | ) | 17,056 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Flood income reclassification | (3,392 | ) | (2,721 | ) | (8,447 | ) | (8,502 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other, net | (1,536 | ) | (1,855 | ) | (5,079 | ) | (6,096 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
GAAP underwriting (loss) gain | $ | (5,738 | ) | 5,122 | (10,441 | ) | 14,693 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Note: Some amounts or ratios may not foot due to rounding. |
Certain amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | ||||||||||||
Credit Quality of Available for Sale Securities | ||||||||||||
September 30, 2008 | ||||||||||||
($ in millions) | ||||||||||||
(unaudited) | ||||||||||||
September 30, 2008 | December 31, 2007 | |||||||||||
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | Credit Quality | Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | Credit Quality | |||||||
AFS Portfolio: | ||||||||||||
U.S. government obligations | $ | 164.3 | 6.3 | AAA | 179.7 | 6.9 | AAA | |||||
State and municipal obligations | 1,742.9 | (20.7) | AA+ | 1,611.1 | 17.6 | AA+ | ||||||
Corporate securities | 378.4 | (13.4) | A | 487.1 | 7.9 | A | ||||||
MBS | 671.5 | (40.6) | AA+ | 697.9 | (7.3) | AA+ | ||||||
ABS | 63.6 | (5.2) | AA | 97.7 | (1.5) | AA+ | ||||||
Total AFS portfolio | $ | 3,020.7 | (73.6) | AA+ | 3,073.5 | 23.6 | AA+ | |||||
State and Municipal Obligations: | ||||||||||||
Government obligations | $ | 580.4 | (4.3) | AA+ | 521.5 | 7.3 | AA+ | |||||
Special revenue obligations | 1,162.5 | (16.4) | AA+ | 1,089.6 | 10.3 | AA+ | ||||||
Total state and municipal obligations | $ | 1,742.9 | (20.7) | AA+ | 1,611.1 | 17.6 | AA+ | |||||
Corporate Securities: | ||||||||||||
Financial | $ | 108.3 | (7.4) | A+ | 183.6 | 1.6 | A+ | |||||
Industrials | 75.7 | (0.9) | A- | 86.0 | 2.0 | A- | ||||||
Utilities | 47.8 | (0.7) | A | 49.9 | 1.5 | A | ||||||
Consumer discretion | 39.9 | (0.4) | A- | 46.7 | 1.4 | A- | ||||||
Consumer staples | 34.2 | (1.4) | A | 36.8 | 0.1 | A+ | ||||||
Health care | 22.0 | - | A+ | 26.7 | 0.7 | A+ | ||||||
Materials | 15.6 | (1.3) | A- | 17.1 | 0.1 | A- | ||||||
Energy | 14.0 | (0.3) | A- | 18.1 | 0.3 | A | ||||||
Information technology | 11.5 | (0.5) | BBB | 12.3 | 0.3 | BBB | ||||||
Telecommunications services | 9.4 | (0.5) | A- | 9.9 | (0.1) | A- | ||||||
Total corporate securities | $ | 378.4 | (13.4) | A | 487.1 | 7.9 | A | |||||
MBS: | ||||||||||||
CMBS | $ | 281.0 | (15.3) | AA+ | 284.4 | (4.6) | AA+ | |||||
Agency RMBS | 239.5 | 1.1 | AAA | 221.8 | 2.2 | AAA | ||||||
Non-agency RMBS | 94.6 | (12.8) | AA+ | 119.4 | (1.9) | AA+ | ||||||
Alt-A RMBS | 56.4 | (13.6) | AAA | 72.3 | (3.0) | AAA | ||||||
Total MBS | $ | 671.5 | (40.6) | AA+ | 697.9 | (7.3) | AA+ | |||||
ABS: | ||||||||||||
ABS | $ | 51.3 | (3.3) | AA- | 76.5 | (1.3) | AA+ | |||||
Alt-A ABS | 10.9 | (1.8) | AAA | 19.2 | (0.2) | AAA | ||||||
Sub-prime ABS1 | 1.4 | (0.1) | AA | 2.0 | - | AAA | ||||||
Total ABS | $ | 63.6 | (5.2) | AA | 97.7 | (1.5) | AA+ |
1 We define sub-prime exposure as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||
Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio as of September 30, 2008 | |||||||
($ in millions) | |||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||
Average | Market | % of Total | Unrealized | ||||
Credit Rating | Value | Muni Portfolio | Gain/(Loss) | ||||
Uninsured Securities | AA+ | 928 | 53% | (13) | |||
Securities with Insurance Enhanced1 | AA+ | 816 | 47% | (8) | |||
Without Insurance Enhancement | AA- | ||||||
Total | $ 1,744 | 100% | $ (21) |
1 Includes $14.4 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which we consider to be investment grade. | |||||
A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism. | |||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries |
Ratings on Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio |
September 30, 2008 |
($ in millions) |
(unaudited) |
Underlying | Total Municipal | Total Municipal | ||||||||
Rating | Fixed | Fixed | ||||||||
Insurance | of Insurance | Income Portfolio | Income Portfolio | |||||||
Uninsured | Enhanced | Enhanced | (with Insurance | (without Insurance | ||||||
Securities | Securities1 | Securities1 | Enhancement) | Enhancement) | ||||||
(1) | (2) | (3) | (1) + (2) | (1) + (3) | ||||||
S&P or equivalent ratings | Market Value | % of Total | Market Value | % of Total | Market Value | % of Total | Market Value | % of Total | Market Value | % of Total |
AAA | $ 454 | 49% | $ 293 | 36% | $ 60 | 7% | $ 747 | 43% | $ 514 | 29% |
AA+ | 162 | 17% | 46 | 6% | 101 | 12% | 208 | 12% | 262 | 15% |
AA | 183 | 20% | 328 | 40% | 156 | 19% | 511 | 29% | 339 | 19% |
AA- | 69 | 7% | 94 | 11% | 234 | 29% | 162 | 9% | 303 | 17% |
A+ | 23 | 2% | 32 | 4% | 96 | 12% | 55 | 3% | 118 | 7% |
A | 8 | 1% | 11 | 1% | 92 | 11% | 19 | 1% | 99 | 6% |
A- | 17 | 2% | 9 | 1% | 45 | 6% | 26 | 1% | 63 | 4% |
BBB+ | 4 | 0% | 1 | 0% | 14 | 2% | 5 | 0% | 18 | 1% |
BBB | 7 | 1% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 0% | 7 | 0% |
BBB- | - | 0% | 3 | 0% | 19 | 2% | 3 | 0% | 19 | 1% |
BB+ | 2 | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0% | 2 | 0% |
Total | $ 928 | 100% | $ 816 | 100% | $ 816 | 100% | $ 1,744 | 100% | $ 1,744 | 100% |
Average Rating: | AA+ | AA+ | AA- | AA+ | AA | |||||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss): | (13) | (8) | (21) |
1 Includes $14.4 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which we consider to be investment grade. | |||||||
A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism. | |||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | ||||
Muni Bonds with Credit Enhancement | ||||
September 30, 2008 | ||||
($ in thousands) | ||||
(unaudited) | ||||
Credit Enhancement | Underlying Composite Rating | Market Value | Book Value | Unrealized |
AMBAC | AAA | 16,741 | 16,681 | 60 |
(Ratings: | AA+ | 12,036 | 11,937 | 99 |
Moody's = Aa3 | AA | 28,099 | 28,548 | (448) |
S&P = AA | AA- | 13,805 | 14,114 | (309) |
Fitch = WD) | A+ | 5,879 | 6,080 | (201) |
A | 28,100 | 29,131 | (1,031) | |
A- | 9,023 | 9,120 | (96) | |
BBB+ | 3,241 | 3,258 | (17) | |
N/R | 5,655 | 5,720 | (65) | |
AMBAC Total | $ 122,580 | $ 124,587 | $ (2,008) | |
BHAC (Ratings: Moody's = Aaa S&P = AAA Fitch = NR) | A | 3,999 | 4,171 | (172) |
BHAC Total | $ 3,999 | $ 4,171 | $ (172) | |
FGIC | AAA | 12,177 | 11,937 | 240 |
(Ratings: | AA+ | 17,351 | 17,236 | 115 |
Moody's = B1 | AA | 22,918 | 22,900 | 18 |
S&P = BB | AA- | 59,108 | 60,577 | (1,468) |
Fitch = CCC) | A+ | 24,436 | 25,707 | (1,271) |
A | 8,723 | 8,759 | (36) | |
A- | 8,630 | 8,723 | (92) | |
BBB- | 2,812 | 2,882 | (70) | |
N/R | 512 | 517 | (6) | |
FGIC Total | $ 156,668 | $ 159,238 | $ (2,569) | |
FSA | AAA | 25,062 | 25,174 | (112) |
(Ratings: | AA+ | 54,663 | 54,923 | (259) |
Moody's =Aaa | AA | 39,861 | 40,189 | (328) |
S&P = AAA | AA- | 69,132 | 68,666 | 466 |
Fitch = AAA) | A+ | 23,762 | 23,713 | 49 |
A | 22,249 | 22,356 | (107) | |
A- | 8,961 | 8,961 | (1) | |
FSA Total | $ 243,690 | $ 243,982 | $ (292) | |
MBIA | AAA | 5,935 | 5,773 | 163 |
(Ratings: | AA+ | 16,592 | 16,979 | (387) |
Moody's = A2 | AA | 64,905 | 65,086 | (181) |
S&P = AA | AA- | 92,142 | 92,419 | (277) |
Fitch = WD) | A+ | 38,027 | 38,098 | (71) |
A | 28,555 | 29,146 | (591) | |
A- | 18,834 | 19,285 | (451) | |
BBB- | 1,982 | �� 2,130 | (149) | |
BBB+ | 10,632 | 10,695 | (63) | |
N/R | 6,997 | 7,201 | (204) | |
MBIA Total | $ 284,601 | $ 286,811 | $ (2,210) | |
RADIAN (Ratings: Moody's = A3 S&P = BBB+ Fitch = WD) | N/R | 1,266 | 1,265 | 1 |
RADIAN Total | $ 1,266 | $ 1,265 | $ 1 | |
XLCA (now Syncora) (Ratings: Moody's = B2 S&P = BBB- Fitch = CCC) | A+ | 3,456 | 3,877 | (422) |
XLCA Total | $ 3,456 | $ 3,877 | $ (422) | |
Grand Total | $ 816,259 | $ 823,931 | $ (7,672) | |
Muni's with Insurance as a % of total Munis | 47% | |||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Structured Securities
September 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
•Market Value = $735,098 ; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($45,803) | |||
•Structured Security Portfolio S&P Average Rating = AA+ | |||
•Structured Securities = 20.3% of the Total Portfolio |
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||||
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS)- by Vintage Year | |||||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||||
Market Value | |||||||||
Vintage Yr | AAA | AA | A | BBB | B | Total | % of Total RMBS & RABS | % of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
1983 | $ 20 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 20 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
2002 | 69,534 | 2,493 | - | - | - | 72,026 | 18% | 2% | 7% |
2003 | 63,723 | - | 2,097 | - | - | 65,820 | 16% | 2% | 7% |
2004 | 39,534 | - | - | - | - | 39,534 | 10% | 1% | 4% |
2005 | 62,681 | - | - | - | - | 62,681 | 16% | 2% | 6% |
2006 | 120,466 | - | - | - | 2,684 | 123,150 | 30% | 4% | 13% |
2007 | 11,517 | 2,734 | 6,922 | 730 | - | 21,902 | 5% | 1% | 2% |
2008 | 18,827 | - | - | - | - | 18,827 | 5% | 1% | 2% |
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value | $ 386,302 | $ 5,226 | $ 9,019 | $ 730 | $ 2,684 | $ 403,961 | 100% | 13% | 41% |
% of Total RMBS & RABS | 96% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 40% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 41% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 94.5 | 98.1 | 66.5 | 100.0 | 29.1 | 93.7 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
Vintage Yr | AAA | AA | A | BBB | B | Total | |||
1983 | $ 1 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 1 | |||
2002 | 721 | (101) | - | - | - | 620 | |||
2003 | (370) | - | (480) | - | - | (849) | |||
2004 | (1,761) | - | - | - | - | (1,761) | |||
2005 | (6,456) | - | - | - | - | (6,456) | |||
2006 | (14,788) | - | - | - | - | (14,788) | |||
2007 | 141 | - | (4,057) | - | - | (3,916) | |||
2008 | (63) | - | - | - | - | (63) | |||
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized | $ (22,575) | $ (101) | $ (4,537) | $ - | $ (27,213) | ||||
% of Total RMBS & RABS | 83% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||||
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS)- by Type | |||||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||||
Market Value | |||||||||
RMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | B | Total | % of Total RMBS & RABS | % of Total Fixed ncome Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
Agency | $ 226,564 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 226,564 | 56% | 7% | 23% |
FHA/VA | 12,972 | - | - | - | - | 12,972 | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Total Agency | 239,537 | - | - | - | - | 239,537 | 59% | 8% | 24% |
Alt-A | 64,652 | - | - | - | - | 64,652 | 16% | 2% | 7% |
Alt-A CDO | - | - | - | - | 2,684 | 2,684 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Home Equity ABS | - | 2,493 | - | - | - | 2,493 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Non-Agency & Other Prime | 82,113 | 2,734 | 9,019 | 730 | - | 94,596 | 23% | 3% | 10% |
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value | $ 386,302 | $ 5,226 | $ 9,019 | $ 730 | $ 2,684 | $ 403,961 | 100% | 13% | 41% |
% of Total RMBS & RABS | 96% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 40% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 41% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 94.5 | 98.1 | 66.5 | 27.2 | 29.1 | 93.7 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
RMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | B | Total | |||
Agency | $ 1,728 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 1,728 | |||
FHA/VA | (604) | - | - | - | - | (604) | |||
Total Agency | 1,124 | - | - | - | - | 1,124 | |||
Alt-A | (15,379) | - | - | - | - | (15,379) | |||
Alt-A CDO | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
Home Equity ABS | - | (101) | - | - | - | (101) | |||
Non-Agency & Other Prime | (8,320) | - | (4,537) | - | - | (12,857) | |||
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized | $ (22,575) | $ (101) | $ (4,537) | $ - | $ - | $ (27,213) | |||
% of Total RMBS & RABS | 83% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 100% | |||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) Securities
September 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
•Market Value = $403,961; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($27,213) | ||||
•RMBS & RABS Portfolio S&P Average Rating = AAA | ||||
•RMBS & RABS Securities = 11.2% of the Total Portfolio |
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||||
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)- by Vintage Year | |||||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||||
Market Value | |||||||||
Vintage Yr | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | % of Total CMBS | % of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
1996 | $ 5,066 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 5,066 | 2% | 0% | 1% |
1999 | 30,111 | - | - | - | - | 30,111 | 11% | 1% | 3% |
2000 | 33,932 | - | - | - | - | 33,932 | 12% | 1% | 3% |
2001 | 47,891 | - | - | - | - | 47,891 | 17% | 2% | 5% |
2002 | 46,102 | - | - | - | - | 46,102 | 16% | 2% | 5% |
2003 | 1,905 | - | - | - | - | 1,905 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
2004 | 9,110 | 4,822 | - | - | - | 13,932 | 5% | 0% | 1% |
2005 | 2,510 | 4,644 | 3,828 | 2,959 | 1,576 | 15,517 | 6% | 1% | 2% |
2006 | 20,836 | 8,276 | 2,699 | - | - | 31,811 | 11% | 1% | 3% |
2007 | 37,736 | 5,061 | 1,670 | 5,795 | 4,450 | 54,712 | 19% | 2% | 6% |
Total CMBS-Market Value | $ 235,199 | $ 22,803 | $ 8,197 | $ 8,754 | $ 6,026 | $ 280,980 | 100% | 9% | 29% |
% of Total CMBS | 84% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 24% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 29% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 97.1 | 90.0 | 82.0 | 80.6 | 77.0 | 94.8 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
Vintage Yr | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | |||
1996 | $ (191) | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ (191) | |||
1999 | 169 | - | - | - | - | 169 | |||
2000 | 276 | - | - | - | - | 276 | |||
2001 | 609 | - | - | - | - | 609 | |||
2002 | (742) | - | - | - | �� - | (742) | |||
2003 | (100) | - | - | - | - | (100) | |||
2004 | (389) | (178) | - | - | - | (567) | |||
2005 | (279) | (201) | (1,173) | (1,839) | (1,249) | (4,741) | |||
2006 | (5,665) | (401) | (301) | - | - | (6,367) | |||
2007 | (759) | (1,743) | (330) | (270) | (550) | (3,652) | |||
Total CMBS-Unrealized | $ (7,070) | $ (2,523) | $ (1,803) | $ (2,110) | $ (1,799) | $ (15,305) | |||
% of Total CMBS | 46% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 100% |
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||||
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)- by Type | |||||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||||
($ thousands) | |||||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||||
Market Value | |||||||||
CMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | % of Total CMBS | % of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
Agency MultiFamily | $ 72,581 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 72,581 | 26% | 2% | 7% |
Cell Tower | - | 18,653 | 4,369 | - | - | 23,023 | 8% | 1% | 2% |
Conduit | 26,891 | - | - | - | - | 26,891 | 10% | 1% | 3% |
Fusion (1) | 112,132 | 2,472 | - | 7,025 | - | 121,629 | 43% | 4% | 12% |
Lease-Backed | 4,637 | - | - | - | - | 4,637 | 2% | 0% | 0% |
Re-Securitization | 11,343 | 1,677 | 3,828 | - | 1,576 | 18,424 | 7% | 1% | 2% |
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties | 5,074 | - | - | 1,730 | 4,450 | 11,254 | 4% | 0% | 1% |
Timberland | 2,541 | - | - | - | - | 2,541 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Total CMBS-Market Value | $ 235,199 | $ 22,803 | $ 8,197 | $ 8,754 | $ 6,026 | $ 280,980 | 100% | 9% | 29% |
% of Total CMBS | 84% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 24% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 29% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 97.1 | 90.0 | 82.0 | 80.6 | 77.0 | 94.8 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
CMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | |||
Agency MultiFamily | $ 1,336 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 1,336 | |||
Cell Tower | - | (1,191) | (631) | - | - | (1,822) | |||
Conduit | (424) | - | - | - | - | (424) | |||
Fusion (1) | (2,612) | (1,331) | - | (1,839) | - | (5,783) | |||
Lease-Backed | 14 | - | - | - | - | 14 | |||
Re-Securitization | (4,948) | - | (1,173) | - | (1,249) | (7,369) | |||
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties | 22 | - | - | (270) | (550) | (798) | |||
Timberland | (459) | - | - | - | - | (459) | |||
Total CMBS-Unrealized | $ (7,070) | $ (2,523) | $ (1,803) | $ (2,110) | $ (1,799) | $ (15,305) | |||
% of Total CMBS | 46% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 100% | |||
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans. | |||||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
September 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
•Market Value = $280,980; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($15,305) | |||
•CMBS Portfolio S&P Average Rating = AA+ | |||
•CMBS Securities = 7.8% of the Total Portfolio |
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||||
2007 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) | |||||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||||
Market Value | |||||||||
CMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | % of 2007 Vintage CMBS | % of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
Agency MultiFamily | $ 28,781 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 28,781 | 53% | 1% | 3% |
Cell Tower | - | 2,588 | 1,670 | - | - | 4,259 | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Fusion (1) | 8,954 | 2,472 | - | 4,066 | - | 15,492 | 28% | 1% | 2% |
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties | - | - | - | 1,730 | 4,450 | 6,180 | 11% | 0% | 1% |
2007 Vintage CMBS-Market Value | $ 37,736 | $ 5,061 | $ 1,670 | $ 5,795 | $ 4,450 | $ 54,712 | 100% | 2% | 6% |
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS | 69% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 98.0 | 74.4 | 83.5 | 95.5 | 89.0 | 93.7 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | |||||||||
CMBS Type | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | Total | |||
Agency MultiFamily | $ 311 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ 311 | |||
Cell Tower | - | (412) | (330) | - | - | (741) | |||
Fusion (1) | (1,070) | (1,331) | - | - | - | (2,401) | |||
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties | - | - | - | (270) | (550) | (820) | |||
2007 Vintage CMBS-Unrealized | $ (759) | $ (1,743) | $ (330) | $ (270) | $ (550) | $ (3,652) | |||
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS | 21% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 100% | |||
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans | |
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
2007 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
September 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
•Market Value = $54,712; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($3,652) | ||||
•2007 Vintage CMBS Portfolio S&P Average Rating = AA | ||||
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 1.8% of the Fixed Income Portfolio | ||||
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 1.5% of the Total Portfolio | ||||
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 5.6% of GAAP Equity |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | ||||||||
ALT-A by Vintage Year | ||||||||
AAA Rated, except for Alt-A CDO which is NR/A-/CCC by Moody's/S&P/Fitch | ||||||||
September 30, 2008 | ||||||||
($ in thousands) | ||||||||
(unaudited) | ||||||||
Market Value | ||||||||
Vintage Yr | ALT-A Fixed-15 | Alt-A Fixed-30 | Alt-A Hybrid ARM | Alt-A CDO | Total | % of Total Alt-A | % of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | % of Total GAAP Equity |
2002 | $ 5,941 | $ - | $ - | $ 5,941 | 9% | 0% | 1% | |
2003 | - | 1,853 | 556 | 2,409 | 4% | 0% | 0% | |
2004 | - | 2,483 | 1,838 | 4,321 | 6% | 0% | 0% | |
2005 | - | 3,996 | 3,862 | 7,857 | 12% | 0% | 1% | |
2006 | - | 41,069 | 3,054 | 2,684 | 46,807 | 70% | 2% | 5% |
Total ALT-A, Market Value | $ 5,941 | $ 49,401 | $ 9,310 | $ 2,684 | $ 67,336 | 100% | 2% | 7% |
% of Total ALT-A | 9% | 73% | 14% | 4% | 100% | |||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | |||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 7% | |||
Weighted Average Market Price | 99.8 | 79.4 | 78.7 | 100.0 | 81.4 | |||
Unrealized Gain/(Loss) | ||||||||
Vintage Yr | ALT-A Fixed-15 | Alt-A Fixed-30 | Alt-A Hybrid ARM | Alt-A CDO | Total | |||
2002 | $ (11) | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ (11) | |||
2003 | - | (267) | 5 | - | (263) | |||
2004 | - | (249) | (187) | - | (436) | |||
2005 | - | (164) | (1,013) | - | (1,177) | |||
*2006 | - | (12,162) | (1,330) | - | (13,492) | |||
Total ALT-A, Unrealized | $ (11) | $ (12,843) | $ (2,525) | $ - | $ (15,379) | |||
% of Total ALT-A | 0% | 84% | 16% | 0% | 100% | |||
*We halted Alt-A purchases in 3Q06—we have no 2007 or later vintage | ||||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. | ||||||||
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Alt-A RMBS Securities Securities
September 30, 2008
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
•Market Value = $67,336; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($15,379) | ||||
•Alt-A RMBS Portfolio S&P Average rating = AAA | ||||
•Alt-A RMBS Securities = 1.9% of the Total Portfolio | ||||
–Fixed-30 Loan-to-Value Ratio = 72.8% –Hybrid ARM Loan-to-Value Ratio = 72.4% –Fixed-15 Loan-to-Value Ratio = 43.8% |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries | |||||||
Asset Backed Securities with Insurance | |||||||
September 30, 2008 | |||||||
($ in thousands) | |||||||
(unaudited) | |||||||
Market | Unrealized | % Unreal | |||||
Credit Enhancement | Security Name | Rating | Value | % Market | Gain/Loss | G/L | |
AMBAC | * | RASC 2002-KS4 AI6 | Aa3/AA | $ 1,365 | 9.0% | $ (109) | 11.5% |
* | RFMS2 2002-HI1 A7 | Aa3/AA | 1,128 | 7.4% | 7 | -0.7% | |
UHAUL 2007-BT1 BT | Aa3/AA | 5,120 | 33.6% | (681) | 72.0% | ||
AMBAC Total | 7,613 | 50.0% | (783) | 82.8% | |||
CIFG | ** | SHCDO 2006-1A A1 | NR/B | 2,684 | 17.6% | - | 0.0% |
CIFG Total | 2,684 | 17.6% | - | 0.0% | |||
FGIC | USXL 2006-1A A | Baa3/BBB- | 2,033 | 13.3% | (158) | 16.7% | |
FGIC Total | 2,033 | 13.3% | (158) | 16.7% | |||
MBIA | * | AERLS 2007-1A G3 | A2/AA | 2,908 | 19.1% | (5) | 0.5% |
MBIA Total | 2,908 | 19.1% | (5) | 0.5% | |||
Grand Total | $ 15,238 | 100.0% | $ (946) | 100.0% | |||
% of Total ABS | 24% | ||||||
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio | 1% | ||||||
% of Total GAAP Equity | 2% | ||||||
* Securities written down in 2nd Quarter 2008 | |||||||
** Securities written down in 2nd & 3rd Quarters 2008 | |||||||
Ratings: | |||||||
AMBAC: (Moody's = Aa3; S&P = AA; Fitch = WD) | |||||||
CIFG: (Moody's = Ba2; S&P = B; Fitch = CCC) | |||||||
FGIC: (Moody's = B1; S&P = BB; Fitch = CCC) | |||||||
MBIA: (Moody's = A2; S&P = AA; Fitch = WD) | |||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries |
Fixed Income Government & Agency Exposure |
September 30, 2008 |
($ in thousands) |
(unaudited) |
Unrealized | |||||||||||||
Book Value | Market Value | Gains | |||||||||||
US Government | |||||||||||||
Small Business Adm | $ | 13,334 | $ | 13,434 | $ | 100 | |||||||
US Treasury (1) | 74,762 | 79,197 | 4,435 | ||||||||||
Total US Government | 88,096 | 92,631 | 4,535 | ||||||||||
Government Agency Debt | |||||||||||||
Fannie Mae | 10,000 | 10,169 | 169 | ||||||||||
Freddie Mac | 10,000 | 10,206 | 206 | ||||||||||
20,000 | 20,375 | 375 | |||||||||||
Federal Farm Credit Bank | 17,236 | 17,287 | 51 | ||||||||||
Federal Home Loan Bank | 19,979 | 20,141 | 162 | ||||||||||
Tenn Valley Authority | 12,665 | 13,842 | 1,177 | ||||||||||
49,880 | 51,270 | 1,390 | |||||||||||
Total Govt Agency Debt | 69,880 | 71,645 | 1,765 | ||||||||||
Total US Government Obligations | 157,976 | 164,276 | 6,300 | ||||||||||
Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Agency MBS | |||||||||||||
Ginnie Mae | 127,279 | 128,014 | 435 | ||||||||||
Fannie Mae | 69,951 | 70,791 | 840 | ||||||||||
Freddie Mac | 98,551 | 100,340 | 1,789 | ||||||||||
Total Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Agency MBS | $ | 295,781 | 299,145 | 3,064 | |||||||||
(1) $24 Million on Deposit. | |||||||
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding. |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries |
Available-for-Sale Fixed Maturity Securities |
Severity and Duration of Unrealized Losses |
September 30, 2008 |
($ in millions) |
(unaudited) |
Unrealized | Fair | |||
Fair Value as a Percentage of Amortized Cost | (Loss) Gain | Value | ||
85% but less than 100% of amortized cost | $ | (55.1) | 1,506.9 | |
75% or more but less than 85% of amortized cost | (17.5) | 70.5 | ||
Less than 75% of amortized cost | (25.5) | 46.8 | ||
Gross unrealized losses on fixed maturity securities | (98.1) | 1,624.2 | ||
Gross unrealized gains on fixed maturity securities | 24.5 | 1,396.5 | ||
Net unrealized losses on fixed maturity securities | $ | (73.6) | 3,020.7 | |
Duration of Unrealized Loss Position | 75% or more but less than 85% of Amortized Cost | Less than 75% of Amortized Cost | ||
0 – 3 months | $ | (8.7) | (2.8) | |
4 – 6 months | (4.8) | (1.3) | ||
7 – 9 months | (4.0) | (15.0) | ||
10 – 12 months | - | (6.4) | ||
Gross unrealized losses | $ | (17.5) | (25.5) |