© Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved 2Q10 Earnings Conference Call July 22, 2010 Please refer to earnings release dated July 22, 2010 for further information. Exhibit 99.2 |
2 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Cautionary statement This report may contain statements that we believe are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Rule 3b-6 promulgated thereunder. These statements relate to our financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance or business. They usually can be identified by the use of forward-looking language such as “will likely result,” “may,” “are expected to,” “is anticipated,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “projected,” “intends to,” or may include other similar words or phrases such as “believes,” “plans,” “trend,” “objective,” “continue,” “remain,” or similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “might,” “can,” or similar verbs. You should not place undue reliance on these statements, as they are subject to risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to the risk factors set forth in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q. When considering these forward-looking statements, you should keep in mind these risks and uncertainties, as well as any cautionary statements we may make. Moreover, you should treat these statements as speaking only as of the date they are made and based only on information then actually known to us. There are a number of important factors that could cause future results to differ materially from historical performance and these forward- looking statements. Factors that might cause such a difference include, but are not limited to: (1) general economic conditions and weakening in the economy, specifically the real estate market, either nationally or in the states in which Fifth Third, one or more acquired entities and/or the combined company do business, are less favorable than expected; (2) deteriorating credit quality; (3) political developments, wars or other hostilities may disrupt or increase volatility in securities markets or other economic conditions; (4) changes in the interest rate environment reduce interest margins; (5) prepayment speeds, loan origination and sale volumes, charge-offs and loan loss provisions; (6) Fifth Third’s ability to maintain required capital levels and adequate sources of funding and liquidity; (7) maintaining capital requirements may limit Fifth Third’s operations and potential growth; (8) changes and trends in capital markets; (9) problems encountered by larger or similar financial institutions may adversely affect the banking industry and/or Fifth Third (10) competitive pressures among depository institutions increase significantly; (11) effects of critical accounting policies and judgments; (12) changes in accounting policies or procedures as may be required by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) or other regulatory agencies; (13) legislative or regulatory changes or actions, or significant litigation, adversely affect Fifth Third, one or more acquired entities and/or the combined company or the businesses in which Fifth Third, one or more acquired entities and/or the combined company are engaged; (14) ability to maintain favorable ratings from rating agencies; (15) fluctuation of Fifth Third’s stock price; (16) ability to attract and retain key personnel; (17) ability to receive dividends from its subsidiaries; (18) potentially dilutive effect of future acquisitions on current shareholders’ ownership of Fifth Third; (19) effects of accounting or financial results of one or more acquired entities; (20) difficulties in separating Fifth Third Processing Solutions from Fifth Third; (21) loss of income from any sale or potential sale of businesses that could have an adverse effect on Fifth Third’s earnings and future growth; (22) ability to secure confidential information through the use of computer systems and telecommunications networks; and (23) the impact of reputational risk created by these developments on such matters as business generation and retention, funding and liquidity. You should refer to our periodic and current reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or “SEC,” for further information on other factors, which could cause actual results to be significantly different from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. |
3 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved 2Q10 in review • Net income of $192 million versus 1Q10 net loss of $10 million • Pre-provision net revenue of $567 million consistent with 1Q10 • Average core deposits up $582 million, or 1% sequentially – Average transaction deposits up $1.3 billion, or 2% sequentially • Strong capital ratios: – Tier 1 common 7.22% – Leverage ratio 12.21% – Tier 1 ratio 13.75% – Total capital ratio 18.11% • Extended $20 billion of new and renewed credit Strong operating trends • Net charge-offs declined 25% sequentially (lowest level since 2Q08) • Nonperforming assets declined 5% and nonperforming loans declined 8% sequentially (lowest levels since the first half of 2009) – Total delinquencies declined 17% sequentially (lowest level since 2Q07) • Loan loss allowance of 4.85%, 146% of nonperforming loans and leases and more than two times annualized 2Q10 net charge-offs • Realized credit losses have been significantly below SCAP scenarios Significant improvements in credit • Focusing on credit quality, portfolio management and loss mitigation strategies • Executing on customer satisfaction initiatives and improving customer loyalty • Enhancing breadth and profitability of offerings and relationships • Becoming an employer of choice in the industry by continuing to enhance the employee engagement Actions driving progress |
4 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Financial summary • 2Q10 earnings per share of $0.16 driven by strong core performance and improving credit trends – Pre-provision net revenue* of $567M consistent with prior quarter – 2Q10 net charge-offs of $434M versus $582M in 1Q10; 2Q10 net charge-off ratio of 2.26%, down 75 bps sequentially • Sequential declines in net interest income and net interest margin impacted by difficult environment for asset generation – Average core deposits grew 1% compared with the prior quarter and 12% versus 2Q09 • Fee income $620M; $38M decline in mortgage banking net revenue otherwise offset by other strong fee income performance • FTPS gain of $1.8B in 2Q09 noninterest income results Actual Seq. YOY ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 $ % $ % Average Balances Commercial loans $48,674 $45,169 $44,331 ($838) (2%) ($4,343) (9%) Consumer loans 32,899 33,212 32,642 (570) (2%) (257) (1%) Total loans & leases (excluding held-for-sale) $81,573 $78,381 $76,973 (1,408) (2%) (4,600) (6%) Core deposits $68,727 $76,262 $76,844 $582 1% $8,117 12% Income Statement Data Net interest income (taxable equivalent) $836 $901 $887 ($14) (2%) $51 6% Provision for loan and lease losses 1,041 590 325 (265) (45%) (716) (69%) Total noninterest income 2,583 627 620 (7) (1%) (1,963) (76%) Total noninterest expense 1,021 956 935 (21) (2%) (86) (8%) Net Income (loss) $882 ($10) $192 $202 NM ($690) (78%) Diluted earnings after preferred dividends $856 ($72) $130 $202 NM ($726) (85%) Pre-provision net revenue* $2,393 $568 $567 ($1) - ($1,826) (76%) Earnings per share, basic $1.35 ($0.09) $0.16 $0.25 NM ($1.19) (88%) Earnings per share, diluted $1.15 ($0.09) $0.16 $0.25 NM ($0.99) (86%) Net charge-off ratio 3.08% 3.01% 2.26% (75bps) (25%) (82bps) (27%) Net interest margin 3.26% 3.63% 3.57% (6bps) (2%) 31bps 10% * Pre-provision net revenue (PPNR): net interest income plus noninterest income minus noninterest expense |
5 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Net interest income NII and NIM (FTE) • Sequential trends in net interest income and net interest margin (FTE) reflect weak loan demand and impact of excess liquidity held in cash equivalents – NII down $14 million, or 2%, sequentially and up $51 million, or 6%, year-over-year – NIM down 6 bps sequentially and up 31 bps year-over-year • Expect improved NII and NIM in 2H10 from CD maturities, better loan spreads, and public funds deposit runoff * Represents purchase accounting adjustments included in net interest income. • Yield on interest-earning assets down 11 bps sequentially and year-over-year – Average loan and lease yield down 1 bp sequentially and up 15 bps versus prior year • Cost of interest-bearing liabilities down 6 bps sequentially and 44 bps versus prior year (bps) Yields and rates |
6 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Balance sheet: Continued growth in core funding • Extended $20B of new and renewed credit in 2Q10 • CRE loans down 4% sequentially and 14% from the previous year • C&I loans were flat sequentially and down 7% from the previous year largely due to lower line utilization and soft demand • Consumer loans down 2% sequentially and 1% from the previous year • Warehoused residential mortgage loans held-for-sale were $2.0 billion at quarter end • Core deposit to loan ratio of 100%, up from 84% in 2Q09 • Everyday Great Rates strategy continues to drive core deposit growth – DDAs up 3% sequentially and 16% year-over-year – Retail transaction deposits up 5% sequentially and 12% from the previous year, driven by growth in savings, interest checking, and demand deposit balances – Commercial transaction deposits down 2% sequentially and up 41% from the previous year • Reduced wholesale funding by $1.2 billion sequentially and $12.4 billion from the previous year – Non-core deposits down 10% sequentially and 45% from the previous year – Short term borrowings up 4% sequentially and down 80% from the previous year – Long-term debt down 5% sequentially and 2% from the previous year • Portion of excess core funding invested in agency mortgage-backed securities (balance sheet hedges added to mitigate interest rate risk) ^ Excludes loans held-for-sale Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding |
7 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Actual Seq. YOY ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 $ % $ % Service charges on deposits $162 $142 $149 $7 5% ($13) (8%) Corporate banking revenue 93 81 93 12 14% - - Mortgage banking revenue 147 152 114 (38) (25%) (33) (23%) Investment advisory services 79 91 87 (4) (4%) 8 10% Card and processing revenue 243 73 84 11 15% (159) (65%) Gain on sale of processing business 1,764 - - - NM (1,764) (100%) Other noninterest income 49 74 85 11 15% 36 75% Securities gain (losses), net 5 14 8 (6) (43%) 3 60% Securities gains, net - non-qualifying hedges on MSRs 41 - - - NM (41) (100%) Noninterest income $2,583 $627 $620 ($7) (1%) ($1,963) (76%) Stable income in difficult environment • Noninterest income of $620M declined $7M, or 1%, compared with 1Q10, impacted by lower mortgage banking net revenue and credit-related costs – Sequential strength in card and processing revenue (+15%), corporate banking revenue (+14%), and deposit service charges (+5%) • Year-over-year decline driven by $1.8B gain from the completion of the processing business sale in 2Q09 • OREO write-downs, negative fair value adjustments, and gains/losses on loan sales recorded in other noninterest income continue to negatively impact noninterest income: Noninterest income Actual ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Gain / (loss) on sale of loans $11 $25 $6 Commercial loans HFS FV adjustment (6) (9) (7) Gain / (loss) on sale of OREO properties (13) (16) (13) Total credit-related revenue ($8) ($1) ($14) Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding |
8 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Well-controlled expenses Noninterest expense Actual Seq. YOY ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 $ % $ % Salaries, wages and incentives $346 $329 $356 $27 8% $10 3% Employee benefits 75 86 73 (13) (15%) (2) (3%) Net occupancy expense 79 76 73 (3) (4%) (6) (8%) Technology and communications 45 45 45 - - - (1%) Equipment expense 31 30 31 1 3% - - Card and processing expense 75 25 31 6 28% (44) (58%) Other noninterest expense 370 365 326 (39) (11%) (44) (12%) Noninterest expense $1,021 $956 $935 ($21) (2%) ($86) (8%) • Noninterest expense of $935M declined $21M, or 2%, compared with 1Q10, impacted by lower credit-related costs – Growth in salaries, wages, and incentives due to higher levels of production and investment in sales force expansion • Year-over-year decline driven by lower payments processing expense related to the processing business sale in 2Q09 • Improvement in problem asset work-out expenses recorded in other noninterest expense due to lower repurchase expenses: Actual ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Make whole losses & recourse reserve $10 $39 $18 Provision for unfunded commitments 9 9 (6) Derivative valuation adjustments 2 8 9 OREO expense 4 6 7 Other work-out related expenses 32 29 26 Total credit-related operating expenses $57 $91 $55 Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding |
9 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Strong capital position ^ Tangible common equity ratio excludes unrealized securities gains/losses after-tax. Capital ratios remained strong during the quarter and increased from prior quarter and prior year. Tangible common equity ratio^ Tier I common equity Tier I capital ratio Total risk-based capital ratio |
10 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Potential impact of key elements of Dodd-Frank Act and other recent financial legislation* Scope of activity Potential impact** Volcker Rule/ Derivatives • Vast majority of derivatives activities are exempted (FITB generally not a market maker) • Any proprietary trading de minimis • “PE” Fund investments <$100M (<1% of Tier 1 capital) • Expect minimal financial impact from loss of existing revenue • Potentially higher compliance costs despite small levels of non-exempt activities Debit Interchange (Durbin Amendment) • LTM^ debit interchange revenue of $190M • LTM debit interchange $ volume: $15B – Signature $11.6B, PIN $3.4B – Signature 328M, PIN 84M • Will not know what “reasonable” and “proportional” mean until after Fed study • Each 10 bps reduction in overall interchange rates would represent ~$15M revenue impact annually, before effect of mitigation • Additional follow-on effects on industry debit card payments business could result from changes Deposit Insurance • Current assessed base (Deposits): $80B • Proposed assessed base (Assets-TE): $97B • FITB percentage share of new industry assessment base lower than its percentage share of old base (due to lower reliance on wholesale funding) • Don’t know assessment rates on new base • DIF reserve target increase to 1.35% from 1.15% – May be achieved from banks >$50B through higher annual assessments or longer period of elevated assessments Reg. E • Requires customers to “opt-in” to allow non-recurring electronic overdrafts (e.g. debit, ATM) from accounts • Estimated ~$20M per quarter ($80M annualized) reduction to deposit service charges, before effect of mitigation Potential impact of these and other elements of financial regulatory reform, such as CFPA activities and many other aspects, are unknown at this time TRUPs exclusion (Collins Amendment) • 280 bps of non-common Tier 1 capital in capital structure • >300 bps of non-common Tier 1 currently – Potentially more than may be needed post-Basel III • 3-year transition period begins 2013 • Will manage capital structure to desired composition * Based on current understanding of legislation. ** Potential impact, as noted above, is not intended to be inclusive of all potential impacts that may result from implementation of legislation. Please refer also to cautionary statement. ^ LTM = last twelve months • LTM debit interchange transaction volume: 412M |
11 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Fifth Third – Traditional Banking Model Fifth Third’s business model is not oriented toward capital markets activities, trading, or other systemic or interconnected risks — $100B in assets, primarily core funded rather than wholesale; <1% U.S. banking assets Volcker Rule and derivatives legislation should have minimal effect on revenues and activities — Didn’t/don’t originate/sell CDOs — Didn’t/don’t originate/sell subprime mortgages or Option ARMs — De minimis market making in derivatives — De minimis proprietary trading — Small private equity portfolio <$100M (holding company subsidiary) — Loss in Lehman bankruptcy less than $2M (interconnectedness) — Daily VaR less than $500 thousand Business model largely that of pre-Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act banking company |
Broad-based improvement in charge-off trends Net charge-offs by loan type Net charge-offs by geography * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. $ % Florida $106 24% Michigan 111 26% Subtotal $217 50% Other 217 50% Total $434 100% Actual Seq. YOY ($ in millions) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 $ % $ % C&I $177 $161 $104 ($57) (35%) ($73) (41%) Commercial mortgage 85 99 78 ($21) (21%) ($7) (8%) Commercial construction 79 78 43 ($35) (45%) ($36) (46%) Commercial lease 1 4 - NM NM NM NM Commercial $342 $342 $225 ($117) (34%) ($117) (34%) Residential mortgage loans 112 88 85 ($3) (3%) ($27) (24%) Home equity 88 73 61 ($12) (16%) ($27) (31%) Automobile 36 31 20 ($11) (35%) ($16) (44%) Credit card 45 44 42 ($2) (5%) ($3) (7%) Other consumer 3 4 1 ($3) (75%) ($2) (67%) Consumer $284 $240 $209 ($31) (13%) ($75) (26%) Total net charge-offs $626 $582 $434 ($148) (25%) ($192) (31%) $626 $756 $708 $582 Net charge-offs ($M) Significant decline in charge-offs across both portfolios $434 $ % Commercial $225 52% Consumer 209 48% Total $434 100% 12 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved |
13 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Nonperforming assets* • NPAs, excluding held-for-sale, of $3.0B – HFS portion represents additional $167M • Commercial NPAs of $2.3B; down 6% from the previous quarter – Homebuilder/developer NPAs of $431M; represent 19% of total NPAs • Consumer NPAs of $695M; down 3% from the previous quarter C&I / Lease $837M, 28% CRE $1.4B, 48% Residential $614M, 21% Other Consumer $81M, 3% ILLINOIS INDIANA FLORIDA TENNESSEE KENTUCKY OHIO MICHIGAN NORTH CAROLINA OTHER / NATIONAL * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Non-performing assets ($M) $2,840 $3,220 $3,244 $3,129 Non-performing assets continue to improve $2,969 |
14 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Troubled debt restructurings (TDR) overview Successive improvement in vintage performance during 2008 and 2009, even as volume of modification increased Fifth Third’s mortgage portfolio TDRs have redefaulted at a lower rate than other bank held portfolio modifications — Fifth Third’s TDRs are about a third less likely to redefault than modifications on GSE mortgages Of $1.8B in consumer TDRs, over $1.6B were on accrual status and $246M were nonaccruals — $1.0 billion of TDRs are current and have been on the books 6 or more months; within that, $600 million of TDRs are current and have been on the books for more than a year As current TDRs season, their default propensity declines significantly — We do not typically see significant defaults on current loans once a vintage approaches 12 months since modification TDR performance has improved in newer vintages Outperforming redefault benchmarks Source: Fifth Third and OCC/OTS data; data through 4Q09; industry data cumulative through 4Q09 Mortgage TDR 60+ redefault trend by vintage 1Q08 $69M 2Q08 $135M 3Q08 $146M 4Q08 $176M 1Q09 $221M 2Q09 $257M Months since modification Mortgage TDR 60+ redefault rate: Fifth Third comparison (through December 2009) Fannie Mae Industry portfolio loans Fifth Third Volume by vintage Freddie Mac 3Q09 $386M Current consumer TDRs ($Ms) 4Q09 $153M $1.0 billion 2008 2009 |
15 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Non-performing loans Non-performing loans ($M) $2.6B $2.9B $2.9B $2.7B Non-performing loans improving with lower severity mix $2.5B Fifth Third’s non-performing loan inflows (relative to loans) were higher than peers throughout 2008. Over the past four quarters, FITB inflows have been lower than peers and generally in the top quartile. FITB NPL inflows (relative to loans) vs. Peers FITB Peers include: MI, RF, KEY, STI, JPM, C, BBT, WFC, USB, BAC, HBAN, CMA, PNC, and MTB New non-performing loan flows ($M) NPL flows have declined significantly |
16 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Early stage delinquencies Source: SNL and company reports. NPA and NCO ratios exclude loans held-for-sale and covered assets for peers where appropriate. * 4Q08 net charge-offs included $800M in NCOs related to commercial losses moved to held-for-sale FITB credit metrics were higher than peers but are now generally better than peers NPA ratio vs. peers Net charge-off ratio vs. peers* Loans 90+ days delinquent % vs. peers Loans 30-89 days delinquent % vs. peers |
17 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Strong reserve position Source: SNL and company reports. NPAs/NPLs exclude held-for-sale portion for all banks and covered assets for BBT, USB, and ZION. 2Q10 coverage ratios are strong relative to peers (1Q10) Industry leading reserve level Fifth Third (2Q10) Peer Average (1Q10) |
18 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Updated credit loss expectations vs. SCAP scenarios $4.1B $5.0B $2.8B Moody’s Recession Case** Assumptions (May 2010) Moody’s Base Case** Assumptions (May 2010) Realized credit losses have been significantly below SCAP submissions; expected to continue SCAP Baseline Scenario (Submitted; Mar 2009) SCAP Adverse Scenario* (Supervisory; Mar 2009) * Red SCAP line represents more adverse scenario as adjusted by supervisors for additional assumed two-year losses. Supervisory estimates of total two-year losses under more adverse scenario were not allocated by period. Estimate allocates total two-year supervisory losses using the allocation under Fifth Third’s submission. Actual $2.6B Actual $2.7B Fifth Third capitalized for this level of credit losses under SCAP (plus surplus raised vs. buffer) Fifth Third’s realized credit losses have been significantly below its SCAP submitted baseline and more adverse scenarios – In SCAP submissions, we incorporated significant conservatism, given then prevailing negative economic and industry trends and extreme uncertainty in potential loss outcomes – Economic and credit market conditions are much improved versus those expected in spring 2009 Base and stress scenarios reflect Moody’s Base Case and Moody’s Weaker Recovery/ Mild Second Recession Case (as of May 2010)** Our current expectation is for 2010 losses to be lower than 2009 $2.9B $1,500 $1,750 $2,000 $2,250 $2,500 $2,750 $3,000 $3,250 $3,500 $3,750 $4,000 $4,250 $4,500 $4,750 $5,000 $5,250 $5,500 2008 2009 2010 ** Source for macroeconomic assumptions: Moody’s Economy.com as of May 2010. FITB results updated to reflect 2Q10 actual results. |
19 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Appendix |
20 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Balance Sheet: Average loans & leases (incl. HFS) Average core deposits Income Statement: Net interest income* Net interest margin* Noninterest income Noninterest expense Pre-provision net revenue Asset Quality: Net charge-offs Loan loss allowance Nonperforming assets^ Capital Ratios: Tier I common equity Tier I leverage Tier I capital Total risk-based capital Category Fifth Third: Third quarter 2010 outlook 3Q10 Outlook $78.8 billion $76.8 billion $887 million 3.57% $620 million $935 million $567 million $434 million $3.7 billion (4.85%) $3.0 billion (3.87%) 7.2% 12.2% 13.8% 18.1% Flat to down modestly Lower than 2Q Up $10-$20M 3.70% +/- Down $20-$25M Relatively stable Down slightly, ~$560M range ~$450 million, +/- $10-$15M Likely down Relatively stable Organic growth Please see cautionary statement for risk factors related to forward-looking statements. * Presented on a fully-taxable equivalent basis. ^ Ratios as a percent of loans excluding held-for-sale; allowance expectation assumes current expectation for credit and economic trends and is subject to review at quarter-end. 2Q10 Actual Results Outlook as of July 22, 1010 |
21 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Pre-tax pre-provision earnings Core PPNR trend * Pre-provision net revenue (PPNR): net interest income plus noninterest income minus noninterest expense • Reported PPNR of $567M consistent with strong 1Q10 levels, reflecting fee income results and lower expenses, partially offset by lower net interest income • Core PPNR of $551M, due to negative adjustments totaling $16M, resulting in sequential and year-over-year declines of 3% and 2%, respectively • Excluding the impact of credit-related adjustments ($69M in 2Q10), PPNR down 6% versus 1Q10; down 2% versus 2Q09 Core PPNR reconciliation 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Reported PPNR* $2,393 $844 $562 $568 $567 Adjustments: Gain on sale of Visa shares - (244) - - - BOLI charge - - - - (1) Gain from sale of processing interest (1,764) 6 - - - Divested merchant and EFT revenue (169) - - - - Class B Visa swap fair value adjustment - - - 9 - Securities gains/losses (5) (8) (2) (14) (8) Visa litigation reserve expense - (73) - - - Other litigation reserve expense - - 22 4 3 FTPS warrants + puts - - (20) 2 (10) Seasonal pension expense - 10 - - - FDIC special assessment 55 - - - - Divested merchant and EFT expense (estimated) 54 - - - - Core PPNR $564 $535 $562 $569 $551 Credit Related Items: Fee income credit items 8 45 30 1 14 Noninterest expense credit items 57 111 73 91 55 Credit adjusted PPNR $630 $690 $665 $661 $620 Core PPNR (2%); Credit adjusted PPNR (2%) |
22 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Updated stress testing - process overview Similar process to that used in our previous stress test applications; updated for actual performance and current economic expectations Moody’s “Base” and “Weaker Recovery/Mild Second Recession” scenarios key economic assumptions Commercial — 33 geographic/industry sectors analyzed and regressed against economic and performance drivers — Migration trends from criticized to nonaccrual and charge-off evaluated by region and industry Consumer — Portfolios subdivided into appropriate categories (i.e. liquidating vs. non-liquidating home equity) — Results derived using combination of regression models, loss curves and roll rates, and applied economic factors – Mortgage and home equity key correlation: HPI – Credit card key correlation: unemployment – Other consumer key correlations: unemployment and GDP Base Weaker Recovery / Mild Second Recession Economic Assumptions* 2010 2010 Peak Unemployment 10.0% 10.5% GDP 2.5% 0.4% Avg. change in quarterly HPI (0.8%) (1.7%) * Moody’s Economy.com; as of May 2010 |
Non-performing assets and net charge-offs: Product view* Total NPAs Total NCOs * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. 23 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved |
Total NPAs Total NCOs Non-performing assets and net charge-offs: Geographic view* * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. 24 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved |
25 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $28,409 $26,175 $25,683 $26,131 $26,008 90+ days delinquent $142 $256 $118 $63 $49 as % of loans 0.50% 0.98% 0.46% 0.24% 0.19% NPAs $634 $790 $781 $788 $792 as % of loans 2.23% 3.02% 3.04% 3.02% 3.05% Net charge-offs $177 $256 $183 $162 $104 as % of loans 2.53% 3.70% 2.81% 2.49% 1.59% C&I Commercial & industrial* Loans by geography Credit trends Loans by industry Comments • Commercial & industrial loans represented 34% of total loans and 24% of net charge-offs • 36% of 2Q10 losses on loans to companies in real estate related industries – Loans to real estate related industries of $3.1B; 2Q10 NCO ratio of 4.9% – 2Q10 C&I loss rate of 1.6%, excluding loans to real estate related industries, 1.0% • FL represented 14% of 1Q10 losses, 6% of loans; MI represented 35% of losses, 15% of loans * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. |
26 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Commercial mortgage* Credit trends Comments • Commercial mortgage loans represented 15% of total loans and 18% of net charge-offs • Owner occupied 2Q10 NCO ratio of 1.6%, other non-owner occupied 2Q10 NCO ratio of 3.6% • In 4Q08 reduced problem assets in most stressed markets (FL and MI) through portfolio actions • Loans from FL/MI represented 40% of portfolio loans, 63% of portfolio losses in 2Q10 * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $12,407 $12,105 $11,803 $11,744 $11,481 90+ days delinquent $131 $184 $59 $44 $53 as % of loans 1.06% 1.52% 0.50% 0.38% 0.46% NPAs $791 $968 $985 $1,002 $956 as % of loans 6.37% 8.00% 8.34% 8.53% 8.33% Net charge-offs $85 $118 $142 $99 $78 as % of loans 2.73% 3.82% 4.69% 3.42% 2.68% Commercial mortgage Loans by geography Loans by industry |
27 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Commercial construction* Credit trends Comments • Commercial construction loans represented 4% of total loans and 10% of net charge-offs • In 4Q08 reduced problem assets in most stressed markets (FL and MI) through portfolio actions • Loans from FL/MI represented 28% of portfolio loans, 34% of portfolio losses in 2Q10 * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $4,491 $4,147 $3,784 $3,277 $2,965 90+ days delinquent $60 $168 $16 $9 $37 as % of loans 1.34% 4.04% 0.44% 0.28% 1.24% NPAs $735 $751 $707 $569 $482 as % of loans 16.36% 18.11% 18.68% 17.36% 16.26% Net charge-offs $79 $126 $135 $78 $43 as % of loans 6.76% 11.56% 13.28% 8.57% 5.46% Commercial construction Loans by industry Loans by geography |
Homebuilders/developers* Loans by geography Credit trends Loans by industry Comments • Originations of builder/developer loans suspended in 2007 • Remaining portfolio balance of $1.2B, down 63% from peak of $3.3B in 2Q08, represents approximately 2% of total loans and 3% of commercial loans • $48M of NCOs, down $33M sequentially (51% commercial mortgage, 45% commercial construction, 4% C&I) • $431 of NPAs, down $90M sequentially (49% commercial mortgage, 46% commercial construction, 5% C&I) * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $2,102 $1,846 $1,563 $1,324 $1,207 90+ days delinquent $53 $79 $19 $6 $12 as % of loans 2.51% 4.29% 1.19% 0.43% 1.03% NPAs $613 $600 $548 $520 $431 as % of loans 29.14% 32.51% 35.09% 39.28% 35.68% Net charge-offs $76 $108 $110 $81 $48 as % of loans 14.06% 21.92% 26.25% 22.89% 15.01% Homebuilders/developers 28 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved |
29 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Residential mortgage 1 liens: 100% ; weighted average LTV: 79% Weighted average origination FICO: 726 Origination FICO distribution: <660 11%; 660-689 8%; 690-719 12%; 720-749 14%; 750+ 31%; Other ^ 24% (note: loans <660 includes CRA loans and FHA/VA loans) Origination LTV distribution: <=70 26%; 70.1-80 41%; 80.1-90 11%; 90.1-95 6%; >95% 16% Vintage distribution: 2010 4%; 2009 6%; 2008 13%; 2007 15%; 2006 15%; 2005 24%; 2004 and prior 23% % through broker: 14%; performance similar to direct Loans by geography Credit trends Portfolio details Comments Residential mortgage loans represented 10% of total loans and 20% of net charge-offs FL portfolio 27% of residential mortgage loans driving 61% of portfolio losses FL lots ($234M) running at 33% annualized loss rate (YTD) Mortgage company originations targeting 95% salability ^ Includes acquired loans where FICO at origination is not available During 1Q09 the Bancorp modified its nonaccrual policy to exclude TDR loans less than 90 days past due because they were performing in accordance with restructured terms. For comparability purposes, prior periods were adjusted to reflect this reclassification. ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $8,489 $8,229 $8,035 $7,918 $7,707 90+ days delinquent $242 $198 $189 $157 $107 as % of loans 2.85% 2.41% 2.35% 1.98% 1.38% NPAs $475 $484 $523 $521 $549 as % of loans 5.59% 5.89% 6.51% 6.57% 7.12% Net charge-offs $112 $92 $78 $88 $85 as % of loans 5.17% 4.38% 3.82% 4.46% 4.35% Residential mortgage st |
Home equity 1 liens: 29%; 2 liens: 71% Weighted average origination FICO: 748 Origination FICO distribution: <660 4%; 660-689 8%; 690-719 13%; 720-749 17%; 750+ 49%; Other 10% Average CLTV: 75% Origination CLTV distribution: <=70 38%; 70.1-80 22%; 80.1-90 18%; 90.1-95 7%; >95 15% Vintage distribution: 2010 2%; 2009 5%; 2008 11%; 2007 12%; 2006 16%; 2005 15%; 2004 and prior 40% % through broker channels: 15% WA FICO: 734 brokered, 751 direct; WA CLTV: 88% brokered; 72% direct Portfolio details Comments Brokered loans by geography Direct loans by geography Credit trends Home equity loans represented 16% of total loans and 14% of net charge-offs Approximately 15% of portfolio in broker product driving approximately 40% total loss Approximately one third of Fifth Third 2 liens are behind Fifth Third 1 liens Sequential improvement generally due to lower losses in FL and OH 2005/2006 vintages represent 30% of portfolio; account for 57% of losses Aggressive home equity line management strategies in place Note: Brokered and direct home equity net charge-off ratios are calculated based on end of period loan balances ^ Includes acquired loans where FICO at origination is not available ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $2,125 $2,028 $1,948 $1,906 $1,838 90+ days delinquent $34 $38 $33 $29 $29 as % of loans 1.58% 1.87% 1.72% 1.53% 1.57% Net charge-offs $39 $30 $34 $30 $24 as % of loans 7.41% 5.96% 7.02% 6.45% 5.29% Home equity - brokered ($ in millions) 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Balance $10,386 $10,349 $10,226 $10,280 $10,149 90+ days delinquent $63 $66 $65 $60 $61 as % of loans 0.61% 0.64% 0.64% 0.58% 0.60% Net charge-offs $49 $49 $48 $43 $37 as % of loans 1.91% 1.89% 1.85% 1.68% 1.45% Home equity - direct st 30 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved st nd nd |
31 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Florida market* Deterioration in real estate values having effect on credit trends as evidenced by increasing NPA/NCOs in real estate related products Homebuilders, developers tied to weakening real estate market Losses due to significant declines in valuations Valuations; relatively small home equity portfolio COML MORTGAGE C&I RESI MORTGAGE OTHER CONS COML CONST COML LEASE HOME EQUITY AUTO CREDIT CARD Total Loans NPAs NCOs * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Loans ($B) % of FITB NPAs ($M) % of FITB NCOs ($M) % of FITB Commercial loans 1.6 6% 132 17% 15 14% Commercial mortgage 1.5 13% 290 30% 13 16% Commercial construction 0.5 17% 131 27% 12 29% Commercial lease 0.0 1% 2 5% - 0% Commercial 3.7 8% 556 24% 40 18% Mortgage 2.1 27% 291 53% 51 61% Home equity 0.9 8% 6 9% 8 13% Auto 0.5 5% 2 10% 2 10% Credit card 0.1 5% 5 8% 5 11% Other consumer 0.0 2% 0 9% 0 9% Consumer 3.7 11% 304 44% 66 32% Total 7.3 10% 860 29% 106 24% Florida |
32 © Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved Michigan market* Deterioration in home price values coupled with weak economy impacting credit trends due to frequency of defaults and severity Homebuilders, developers tied to weak real estate market Negative impact from housing valuations, economy, unemployment Economic weakness impacts commercial real estate market COML MORTGAGE C&I RESI MORTGAGE OTHER CONS COML CONST COML LEASE HOME EQUITY AUTO CREDIT CARD Total Loans NPAs NCOs * NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Loans ($B) % of FITB NPAs ($M) % of FITB NCOs ($M) % of FITB Commercial loans 3.9 15% 155 20% 36 35% Commercial mortgage 3.0 26% 200 21% 36 46% Commercial construction 0.3 11% 50 10% 2 5% Commercial lease 0.2 6% 7 16% - 0% Commercial 7.4 17% 412 18% 74 33% Mortgage 1.1 14% 50 9% 9 11% Home equity 2.5 21% 17 26% 17 27% Auto 1.0 9% 3 16% 2 11% Credit card 0.3 15% 13 20% 8 19% Other consumer 0.1 10% 0 13% 0 33% Consumer 4.9 15% 82 12% 36 17% Total 12.3 16% 494 �� 17% 111 26% Michigan |