Loss And Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves | Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves The following table presents the activity in loss and loss adjustment expense reserves: Year Ended December 31, 2021 2020 2019 (Amounts in thousands) Gross reserves at January 1 $ 1,991,304 $ 1,921,255 $ 1,829,412 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses (54,461) (76,100) (180,859) Cumulative effect of adopting ASU 2016-13 — 149 — Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses, as adjusted (54,461) (75,951) (180,859) Net reserves at January 1, as adjusted 1,936,843 1,845,304 1,648,553 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses related to: Current year 2,786,246 2,372,364 2,696,230 Prior years (26,091) 22,979 9,794 Total incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses 2,760,155 2,395,343 2,706,024 Loss and loss adjustment expense payments related to: Current year 1,601,998 1,366,661 1,651,550 Prior years 909,949 937,143 857,872 Total payments 2,511,947 2,303,804 2,509,422 Net reserves at December 31 2,185,051 1,936,843 1,845,155 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 41,379 54,461 76,100 Gross reserves at December 31 $ 2,226,430 $ 1,991,304 $ 1,921,255 The decrease in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2021 of approximately $26.1 million primarily resulted from lower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the homeowners and private passenger automobile lines of insurance business, partially offset by unfavorable development in the commercial automobile and commercial property lines of insurance business. The increase in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2020 of approximately $23.0 million primarily resulted from higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the homeowners and commercial automobile lines of insurance business, partially offset by favorable development in the private passenger automobile line of insurance business. The increase in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2019 of approximately $9.8 million primarily resulted from higher than estimated defense and cost containment expenses in the California automobile line of insurance business, partially offset by favorable development in certain of the Company's other lines of insurance business. The Company recorded catastrophe losses net of reinsurance of approximately $104 million, $64 million, and $53 million in 2021, 2020, and 2019, respectively. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2021 totaled approximately $109 million, w ith no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from the deep freeze and other extreme weather events in Texas and Oklahoma, rainstorms, wildfires and winter storms in California, and the impact of Hurricane Ida in New Jersey and New York. These losses were partially offset by favorable development of approximately $5 million on prior years' catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2020 totaled approximately $69 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from wildfires and windstorms in California and extreme weather events outside of California. These losses were partially offset by favorable development of approximately $5 million on prior years' catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2019 totaled approximately $57 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from wildfires and winter storms in California, a hurricane in Texas, and tornadoes and wind and hail storms in the Midwest. These losses were partially offset by favorable development of approximately $4 million on prior years' catastrophe losses. During the first quarter of 2019, the Company completed the sale of its subrogation rights related to the 2018 Camp and Woolsey Fires and the 2017 Thomas Fire (which was a component of the "2017 Southern California fires") to a third party. The Company’s reinsurers were the primary beneficiaries of this transaction, as they had absorbed most of the losses under the terms of the Treaty. The Company re-estimated its gross and net losses from the 2018 Camp and Woolsey Fires and the 2017 Southern California fires in conjunction with this sale, and its total gross losses from these catastrophes, after accounting for the assignment of subrogation rights and adjustments made to claims reserves as part of normal reserving procedures, were approximately $208 million, and its total net losses, after reinsurance benefits, were approximately $40 million at March 31, 2019. The Company benefited by approximately $10 million, before taxes, in the first quarter of 2019 from the sale of the subrogation rights, including adjustments made to the associated claims as a result of normal reserving procedures, reductions in the Company's retained portion of losses on the Camp and Woolsey Fires, and reduced reinstatement premiums recognized. The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2021, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts for our two major product lines: automobile and homeowners lines of business. As the information presented is for these two major product lines only, the total incurred and paid claims development shown below does not correspond to the aggregate development presented in the table above, which is for all product lines and includes unallocated claims adjustment expenses. The cumulative number of reported claims represents open claims, claims closed with payment, and claims closed without payment. It does not include an estimated amount for unreported claims. The number of claims is measured by claim event (such as a car accident or storm damage) and an individual claim event may result in more than one reported claim. The Company considers a claim that does not result in a liability as a claim closed without payment. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2012 to 2020 is presented as unaudited supplementary information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) As of December 31, 2021 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2012 (1) 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2012 $ 1,424,754 $ 1,408,222 $ 1,409,104 $ 1,414,878 $ 1,426,735 $ 1,436,034 $ 1,438,250 $ 1,439,660 $ 1,440,537 $ 1,441,332 $ 52 181 2013 1,448,567 1,431,058 1,447,881 1,458,421 1,464,071 1,468,294 1,468,237 1,468,747 1,468,679 632 185 2014 1,467,175 1,454,366 1,473,545 1,486,322 1,498,504 1,501,075 1,501,713 1,501,850 225 180 2015 1,551,105 1,588,443 1,610,839 1,634,435 1,645,950 1,649,170 1,653,878 4,412 170 2016 1,672,853 1,669,642 1,713,696 1,731,997 1,732,410 1,740,807 6,077 155 2017 1,703,857 1,727,277 1,741,825 1,733,425 1,748,289 15,917 149 2018 1,781,817 1,773,502 1,785,071 1,806,240 36,925 146 2019 1,916,269 1,911,268 1,959,262 93,030 147 2020 1,514,551 1,448,083 154,412 89 2021 1,811,064 471,848 97 Total $ 16,579,484 __________ (1) The information for the years 2012 to 2020 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2012 (1) 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (Amounts in thousands) 2012 $ 955,647 $ 1,194,648 $ 1,304,511 $ 1,372,828 $ 1,409,911 $ 1,422,705 $ 1,434,956 $ 1,438,686 $ 1,440,482 $ 1,441,027 2013 974,445 1,217,906 1,340,724 1,413,999 1,447,004 1,460,352 1,464,277 1,466,356 1,467,332 2014 967,481 1,231,413 1,358,472 1,432,472 1,476,944 1,490,366 1,496,814 1,500,243 2015 1,040,253 1,336,223 1,466,368 1,560,480 1,614,188 1,634,780 1,643,443 2016 1,094,006 1,395,199 1,554,217 1,656,192 1,699,069 1,722,293 2017 1,076,079 1,399,202 1,561,850 1,648,328 1,701,298 2018 1,082,127 1,417,637 1,588,049 1,697,228 2019 1,134,859 1,494,342 1,698,121 2020 825,398 1,089,096 2021 992,705 Total $ 14,952,786 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance (1,381) Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 1,625,317 __________ (1) The information for the years 2012 to 2020 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) As of December 31, 2021 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2012 (1) 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2012 $ 196,063 $ 188,010 $ 190,376 $ 191,548 $ 192,057 $ 191,804 $ 192,905 $ 192,790 $ 193,002 $ 193,040 $ 98 25 2013 191,903 188,915 188,026 186,795 187,165 188,014 187,147 187,683 187,627 91 23 2014 199,298 202,621 203,218 202,513 204,986 208,003 208,743 209,622 1,156 25 2015 234,800 234,881 233,501 236,855 238,652 239,941 240,927 3,894 24 2016 250,691 259,489 259,497 259,708 260,496 259,984 544 24 2017 309,491 295,163 288,322 289,869 289,295 409 30 2018 311,798 308,361 310,695 305,292 3,873 25 2019 359,643 366,139 361,421 7,765 30 2020 420,257 411,404 15,816 29 2021 510,724 106,771 28 Total $ 2,969,336 __________ (1) The information for the years 2012 to 2020 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2012 (1) 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (Amounts in thousands) 2012 $ 128,618 $ 175,029 $ 182,756 $ 188,121 $ 190,373 $ 190,649 $ 191,660 $ 192,362 $ 192,454 $ 192,470 2013 133,528 174,295 180,858 183,860 185,168 186,132 186,494 186,816 187,141 2014 139,615 186,996 194,605 198,758 202,193 203,333 207,524 207,801 2015 163,196 213,994 224,178 230,480 234,683 235,971 236,143 2016 173,537 234,215 245,878 253,919 256,642 258,477 2017 217,900 269,254 278,341 283,311 286,531 2018 213,038 271,534 286,658 294,099 2019 240,240 324,953 340,237 2020 271,208 365,910 2021 316,314 Total $ 2,685,123 All outstanding liabilities before 2012, net of reinsurance 1,916 Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 286,129 __________ (1) The information for the years 2012 to 2020 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. The following is unaudited supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2021. Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Automobile insurance 61.4 % 17.7 % 8.8 % 5.3 % 2.8 % 1.1 % 0.5 % 0.2 % 0.1 % — % Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Homeowners insurance 67.8 % 21.8 % 4.0 % 2.3 % 1.2 % 0.5 % 0.7 % 0.2 % 0.1 % — % The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated balance sheets is as follows: Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves December 31, 2021 (Amounts in thousands) Net outstanding liabilities Automobile insurance $ 1,625,317 Homeowners insurance 286,129 Other short-duration insurance lines 148,389 Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 2,059,835 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses Automobile insurance 16,416 Homeowners insurance 23,958 Other short-duration insurance lines 1,005 Total reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 41,379 Insurance lines other than short-duration 706 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 124,510 125,216 Total gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves $ 2,226,430 |