Loss And Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves | Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves The following table presents the activity in loss and loss adjustment expense reserves: Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 2020 (Amounts in thousands) Gross reserves at January 1 $ 2,226,430 $ 1,991,304 $ 1,921,255 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses (41,379) (54,461) (76,100) Cumulative effect of adopting ASU 2016-13 — — 149 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses, as adjusted (41,379) (54,461) (75,951) Net reserves at January 1, as adjusted 2,185,051 1,936,843 1,845,304 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses related to: Current year 3,314,938 2,786,246 2,372,364 Prior years 47,281 (26,091) 22,979 Total incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,362,219 2,760,155 2,395,343 Loss and loss adjustment expense payments related to: Current year 1,862,006 1,601,998 1,366,661 Prior years 1,125,677 909,949 937,143 Total payments 2,987,683 2,511,947 2,303,804 Net reserves at December 31 2,559,587 2,185,051 1,936,843 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 25,323 41,379 54,461 Gross reserves at December 31 $ 2,584,910 $ 2,226,430 $ 1,991,304 During 2022, inflationary trends accelerated to their highest level in decades, which had a significant impact on the cost of automobile parts and labor as well as medical expenses for bodily injuries, and supply chain and labor shortage issues lengthened the time to repair vehicles. Bodily injury costs were also under pressure from social inflation. These factors contributed to higher losses and loss adjustment expenses related to the current accident year for 2022 compared to 2021 and 2020. The increase in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2022 of approximately $47.3 million primarily resulted from higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the automobile line of insurance business. The inflationary pressures and the supply chain and labor shortage issues discussed above were major contributors to the adverse reserve development in the automobile line of insurance business for 2022. The decrease in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2021 of approximately $26.1 million primarily resulted from lower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the homeowners and private passenger automobile lines of insurance business. The increase in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2020 of approximately $23.0 million primarily resulted from higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the homeowners and commercial automobile lines of insurance business. The Company recorded catastrophe losses net of reinsurance of approximately $102 million, $104 million, and $64 million in 2022, 2021, and 2020, respectively. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2022 totaled approximately $101 million, w ith no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from the deep freeze of Winter Storm Elliott and other extreme weather events in Texas, Oklahoma and Georgia, winter storms in California, and the impact of Hurricane Ian in Florida. In addition, the Company experienced unfavorable development of approximately $1 million on prior years' catastrophe losses in 2022. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2021 totaled approximately $109 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from the deep freeze of Winter Storm Uri and other extreme weather events in Texas and Oklahoma, rainstorms, wildfires and winter storms in California, and the impact of Hurricane Ida in New Jersey and New York. These losses were partially offset by favorable development of approximately $5 million on prior years' catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2020 totaled approximately $69 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from wildfires and windstorms in California and extreme weather events outside of California. These losses were partially offset by favorable development of approximately $5 million on prior years' catastrophe losses. The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2022, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts for our two major product lines: automobile and homeowners lines of business. As the information presented is for these two major product lines only, the total incurred and paid claims development shown below does not correspond to the aggregate development presented in the table above, which is for all product lines and includes unallocated claims adjustment expenses. The cumulative number of reported claims represents open claims, claims closed with payment, and claims closed without payment. It does not include an estimated amount for unreported claims. The number of claims is measured by claim event (such as a car accident or storm damage) and an individual claim event may result in more than one reported claim. The Company considers a claim that does not result in a liability as a claim closed without payment. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2013 to 2021 is presented as unaudited supplementary information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) As of December 31, 2022 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2013 $ 1,448,567 $ 1,431,058 $ 1,447,881 $ 1,458,421 $ 1,464,071 $ 1,468,294 $ 1,468,237 $ 1,468,747 $ 1,468,679 $ 1,468,976 $ 805 185 2014 1,467,175 1,454,366 1,473,545 1,486,322 1,498,504 1,501,075 1,501,713 1,501,850 1,502,161 57 180 2015 1,551,105 1,588,443 1,610,839 1,634,435 1,645,950 1,649,170 1,653,878 1,654,843 1,078 170 2016 1,672,853 1,669,642 1,713,696 1,731,997 1,732,410 1,740,807 1,743,417 2,483 155 2017 1,703,857 1,727,277 1,741,825 1,733,425 1,748,289 1,755,702 11,421 149 2018 1,781,817 1,773,502 1,785,071 1,806,240 1,807,297 15,370 147 2019 1,916,269 1,911,268 1,959,262 1,954,151 42,928 148 2020 1,514,551 1,448,083 1,452,343 76,899 90 2021 1,811,064 1,879,751 206,875 104 2022 2,255,032 642,129 109 Total $ 17,473,673 __________ (1) The information for the years 2013 to 2021 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (Amounts in thousands) 2013 $ 974,445 $ 1,217,906 $ 1,340,724 $ 1,413,999 $ 1,447,004 $ 1,460,352 $ 1,464,277 $ 1,466,356 $ 1,467,332 $ 1,467,838 2014 967,481 1,231,413 1,358,472 1,432,472 1,476,944 1,490,366 1,496,814 1,500,243 1,501,483 2015 1,040,253 1,336,223 1,466,368 1,560,480 1,614,188 1,634,780 1,643,443 1,651,465 2016 1,094,006 1,395,199 1,554,217 1,656,192 1,699,069 1,722,293 1,736,697 2017 1,076,079 1,399,202 1,561,850 1,648,328 1,701,298 1,733,196 2018 1,082,127 1,417,637 1,588,049 1,697,228 1,757,923 2019 1,134,859 1,494,342 1,698,121 1,828,410 2020 825,398 1,089,096 1,242,000 2021 992,705 1,410,748 2022 1,237,725 Total $ 15,567,485 All outstanding liabilities before 2013, net of reinsurance (1,048) Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 1,905,140 __________ (1) The information for the years 2013 to 2021 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) As of December 31, 2022 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2013 $ 191,903 $ 188,915 $ 188,026 $ 186,795 $ 187,165 $ 188,014 $ 187,147 $ 187,683 $ 187,627 $ 187,465 $ 95 23 2014 199,298 202,621 203,218 202,513 204,986 208,003 208,743 209,622 209,071 128 25 2015 234,800 234,881 233,501 236,855 238,652 239,941 240,927 237,872 393 24 2016 250,691 259,489 259,497 259,708 260,496 259,984 259,722 435 24 2017 309,491 295,163 288,322 289,869 289,294 291,360 92 30 2018 311,798 308,361 310,695 305,292 306,347 1,192 25 2019 359,643 366,139 361,421 360,609 4,888 30 2020 420,257 411,404 413,882 7,838 29 2021 510,724 511,311 22,449 31 2022 578,489 135,547 27 Total $ 3,356,128 __________ (1) The information for the years 2013 to 2021 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2013 (1) 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (Amounts in thousands) 2013 $ 133,528 $ 174,295 $ 180,858 $ 183,860 $ 185,168 $ 186,132 $ 186,494 $ 186,816 $ 187,141 $ 187,222 2014 139,615 186,996 194,605 198,758 202,193 203,333 207,524 207,801 208,737 2015 163,196 213,994 224,178 230,480 234,683 235,971 236,143 236,983 2016 173,537 234,215 245,878 253,919 256,642 258,477 259,045 2017 217,900 269,254 278,341 283,311 286,531 290,291 2018 213,038 271,534 286,658 294,099 300,742 2019 240,240 324,953 340,237 350,288 2020 271,208 365,910 386,297 2021 316,314 458,124 2022 339,242 Total $ 3,016,971 All outstanding liabilities before 2013, net of reinsurance 1,152 Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 340,309 __________ (1) The information for the years 2013 to 2021 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. The following is unaudited supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2022. Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Automobile insurance 60.0 % 18.3 % 9.2 % 5.6 % 2.9 % 1.2 % 0.5 % 0.3 % 0.1 % — % Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Homeowners insurance 67.0 % 22.2 % 4.1 % 2.3 % 1.4 % 0.7 % 0.6 % 0.2 % 0.3 % — % The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated balance sheets is as follows: Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves December 31, 2022 (Amounts in thousands) Net outstanding liabilities Automobile insurance $ 1,905,140 Homeowners insurance 340,309 Other short-duration insurance lines 175,448 Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 2,420,897 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses Automobile insurance 17,341 Homeowners insurance 6,952 Other short-duration insurance lines 1,030 Total reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 25,323 Insurance lines other than short-duration 1,077 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 137,613 138,690 Total gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves $ 2,584,910 |