January 30, 2007
• | Profit Sharing / CASM —Profit sharing equals 10% of pre-tax earnings excluding transition expenses and special items up to a 10% pre-tax margin and 15% above the 10% margin. Profit sharing is included in the CASM guidance given below. | ||
• | Cargo / Other Revenue —Cargo / Other Revenue includes: cargo revenue, ticket change fees, excess/overweight baggage fees, contract services, simulator rental, airport clubs, Materials Service Corporation (MSC), and inflight service revenues. | ||
• | Fuel —US Airways uses costless collars on Heating Oil Futures as a fuel-hedging vehicle. For Q107, the Company has 56% of its mainline fuel hedged, and expects to pay between $1.98 and $2.03 per gallon of jet fuel (including taxes and hedges). The collar range of the hedges in place is between $1.88 and $2.08 per gallon of heating oil, or between $64.66 and $73.06 per barrel of crude oil. Forecasted volume, fuel prices, hedge percentages, and equivalent price per barrel of crude oil are provided in the table below. | ||
• | Taxes / NOLs —As of December 31, 2006, US Airways and America West had a total of approximately $900 million of net operating loss carryforwards (NOL) to reduce future taxable income. Of this amount approximately $700 million is available to reduce federal taxable income in the calendar year 2007. The Company’s deferred tax asset, which includes the $700 million of NOL discussed above, has been subject to a valuation allowance. As of December 31, 2006, that valuation allowance was approximately $250 million. | ||
For the full year 2006, US Airways recognized $85 million of non cash income tax expense, as the Company utilized NOL that was generated by US Airways prior to the merger. Of this amount $26 million was recorded in the fourth quarter. In accordance with SFAS No. 109, as this was acquired NOL, the decrease in the valuation allowance associated with this NOL reduced goodwill instead of the provision for income taxes. As of December 31, 2006, the remaining valuation allowance associated with acquired NOL was approximately $30 million. | |||
The Company was subject to Alternative Minimum Tax liability (“AMT”) in 2006. In most cases the recognition of AMT does not result in tax expense. However, since the Company’s NOL was subject to a full valuation allowance, any liability for AMT is recorded as tax expense. The Company recorded AMT tax expense of $10 million for the full year 2006 of which $4 million was recorded in the fourth quarter. The Company also recorded $3 million of state income tax in the fourth quarter of 2006 related to certain states where NOL was limited or not available to be used. | |||
The Company again will use NOL to reduce taxable income in 2007. In Q107 and Q207, the Company expects the reversal of AWA’s remaining valuation allowance, which was established through the recognition of tax expense, will be recognized as a reduction of tax expense. In Q307 and Q407 the Company expects to recognize non-cash tax expense associated with the use of NOL, as the balance of valuation allowance should be reduced to zero. | |||
The Company also expects to be subject to AMT liability and to record and pay certain state income tax in 2007. Current estimates are less than $5 million per quarter. | |||
• | Share Count —At the end of Q406, the Company had 89.9 million basic, and 91.9 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding. Both basic and diluted shares guidance is provided in the table below. | ||
• | Cash —At the end of 2006, the Company had approximately $3.0 billion in total cash, of which $2.4 billion was unrestricted. | ||
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
January 30, 2007
• | Mainline data includes both US Airways and America West Airlines operated flights. All operating expenses are for mainline operated flights only. Please refer to the following page for information pertaining to Express. |
Mainline General Guidance | 1Q07E | 2Q07E | 3Q07E | 4Q07E | FY07E | |||||
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) | ~ 18.7 | ~ 19.6 | ~ 20.3 | ~ 19.4 | ~ 78.0 | |||||
CASM ex fuel, special items, & transition expense (YOY % change)1 | -1% to +1% | -1% to +1% | -1% to +1% | -2% to +0% | -1% to +0% | |||||
Cargo / Other Revenues ($ mil) | ~ 205 | ~ 215 | ~ 225 | ~ 230 | ~ 875 | |||||
Fuel Price (incl hedges and taxes) ($/gal) | 1.99 — 2.04 | 1.98 — 2.03 | 2.00 — 2.05 | 2.00 — 2.05 | 1.99 — 2.04 | |||||
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) | ~ 295 | ~ 315 | ~ 325 | ~ 305 | ~ 1,240 | |||||
Percent Hedged | 56% | 54% | 39% | 22% | 43% | |||||
Heating Oil Collar Range ($/gal) | 1.88 — 2.08 | 1.82 — 2.02 | 1.80 — 2.00 | 1.75 — 1.95 | 1.82 — 2.02 | |||||
Jet Fuel Equivalent (incl taxes, transport, and refining margin) ($/gal) | 2.03 — 2.23 | 1.97 — 2.17 | 1.95 — 2.15 | 1.90 — 2.10 | 1.97 — 2.17 | |||||
Estimated Crude Oil Equivalent ($/bbl) | 64.66 — 73.06 | 62.14 — 70.54 | 61.30 — 69.70 | 59.20 — 67.60 | 62.14 — 70.54 | |||||
Interest Expense ($ mil) | ~ 75 | ~ 75 | ~ 75 | ~ 75 | ~ 300 | |||||
Interest Income ($ mil) | ~ 35 | ~ 38 | ~ 39 | ~ 40 | ~ 153 | |||||
Merger Update ($ mil) | ||||||||||
Transition Expense | ~ 35 | ~ 15 | ~ 10 | ~ 10 | ~ 70 |
Capital Update ($ mil) | FY07E | |||||||||||||||||||
Merger Related | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other | 148 | 64.66 73.06 | 64.66 73.06 | 64.66 | 64.66 | |||||||||||||||
Total | 220 |
1. | CASM ex fuel, special items & transition expenses is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document |
Shares Outstanding ($ and shares mil) | Basic | Diluted | Interest Addback | |||||||||||||||||
For Q1 through Q4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings above $41 | 92.1 | 97.4 | $ | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||
Earnings up to $41 | 92.1 | 94.3 | — | |||||||||||||||||
Net Loss | 92.1 | 92.1 | — | |||||||||||||||||
Full Year 2007 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings above $164 | 92.0 | 97.4 | $ | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||
Earnings up to $164 | 92.0 | 94.4 | — | |||||||||||||||||
Net Loss | 92.0 | 92.0 | — |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
January 30, 2007
• | US Airways Express is a network of nine regional airlines (2 wholly owned) operating under a code share and service agreement with US Airways and America West Airlines. All operating expenses (including purchase agreements) associated with US Airways Express are included within the Express Non-Fuel Operating Expense line item. |
1Q07E | 2Q07E | 3Q07E | 4Q07E | FY07E | ||||||
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) | ~ 3.7 | ~ 3.8 | ~ 3.8 | ~ 3.8 | ~ 15.1 | |||||
CASM ex fuel ( YOY % change)1 | 0% to +2% | -1% to +1% | -1% to +1% | -4% to -2% | -1% to +0% | |||||
Fuel Price (incl taxes) ($/gal) | 1.91 — 1.96 | 2.00 — 2.05 | 2.11 — 2.16 | 2.15 — 2.20 | 2.05 — 2.10 | |||||
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) | ~ 85 | ~ 90 | ~ 90 | ~ 90 | ~ 355 | |||||
Express Carriers | ||||||||||
Air Midwest Airlines, Inc.4 | ||||||||||
Air Wisconsin Airlines Corporation | ||||||||||
Chautauqua Airlines, Inc. | ||||||||||
Colgan Air, Inc.4 | ||||||||||
Mesa Airlines3 | ||||||||||
Piedmont Airlines, Inc.2 | ||||||||||
PSA Airlines, Inc2 | ||||||||||
Republic Airways | ||||||||||
Trans States Airlines, Inc.4 |
1. | CASM ex fuel expense is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. | |
2. | Wholly owned subsidiary of US Airways Group, Inc. | |
3. | Subsidiary of Mesa Air Group, Inc | |
4. | Pro-rate agreement |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
January 30, 2007
• | As previously announced, the airline has a firm order for 25 Embraer 190 aircraft. The Company took delivery of 2 aircraft in 2006, and will take delivery of 9 in 2007 and 14 in 2008. In addition to its order for firm aircraft, the Company has options to purchase additional Embraer aircraft. On January 12, 2007, eight of these options were assigned to Republic Airline Inc. | ||
• | On July 24, 2006 the Company announced that it and Republic Airline, Inc. have amended the existing partnership and will be adding 30 Embraer 175 aircraft to replace 20 existing 50 seat Embraer 145 aircraft currently operated by Republic Airways Holdings’ subsidiary, Chautauqua Airlines. The remaining 10 aircraft can replace other retiring aircraft, or be used for limited growth in 2008. The 50 seat aircraft will begin to be returned to Republic at the beginning of 2007. Deliveries of the E175 aircraft are scheduled to begin in 2007 at a rate of 1-2 airplanes per month through the summer of 2008. | ||
• | On August 30, 2006 the Company announced that it had restructured and added seven new Airbus A321s to an existing order for 30 A320 family aircraft. The amendment also converted one A320 aircraft and seven A319 aircraft to an order of eight A321 aircraft. Deliveries of the 15 new A321 aircraft will begin in 2008 and run through 2010. The new A321s will be configured to accommodate 187 passengers in two classes of service and will be used for replacement purposes or modest expansion should market conditions warrant. |
1Q07E | 2Q07E | 3Q07E | 4Q07E | FY07E | |||||||||||||||||
Mainline | |||||||||||||||||||||
EMB-190 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
737-300 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | ||||||||||||||||
737-400 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | ||||||||||||||||
A319 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | ||||||||||||||||
A320 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||
A321 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||
A330 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
B757 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | ||||||||||||||||
B767 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Total | 357 | 358 | 361 | 364 | 364 |
1Q07E | 2Q07E | 3Q07E | 4Q07E | FY07E | ||||||||||||||||
Express | ||||||||||||||||||||
DH8 (100/200/300) | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-200 | 122 | 120 | 118 | 118 | 118 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-700 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-900 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||||||||||||
EMB-170 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | |||||||||||||||
ERJ-145 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |||||||||||||||
EMB-175 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 19 | |||||||||||||||
Total | 289 | 283 | 283 | 287 | 287 |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
January 30, 2007
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation ($mil except ASM and CASM data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q107 Range | Q207 Range | Q307 Range | Q407 Range | FY07 Range | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline Operating Expenses | $ | 2,052 | $ | 2,096 | $ | 2,116 | $ | 2,161 | $ | 2,119 | $ | 2,165 | $ | 2,073 | $ | 2,118 | $ | 8,370 | $ | 8,491 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Less Mainline Fuel (net of (gains)/losses from fuel hedges) | 587 | 602 | 624 | 639 | 650 | 666 | 610 | 625 | 2,468 | 2,530 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Less Transition Expenses | 35 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 70 | 70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline Operating Expense excluding fuel, special items, and transition expense | 1,430 | 1,459 | 1,477 | 1,507 | 1,459 | 1,488 | 1,453 | 1,483 | 5,833 | 5,892 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline CASM (GAAP) (cts) | 10.97 | 11.21 | 10.79 | 11.03 | 10.44 | 10.66 | 10.69 | 10.92 | 10.73 | 10.89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items, and transition expenses (Non-GAAP) (cts) | 7.65 | 7.80 | 7.54 | 7.69 | 7.19 | 7.33 | 7.49 | 7.64 | 7.48 | 7.55 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline ASMs (bil) | 18.7 | 18.7 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 19.4 | 19.4 | 78.0 | 78.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express Operating Expenses | $ | 611 | $ | 624 | $ | 636 | $ | 650 | $ | 631 | $ | 644 | $ | 639 | $ | 652 | $ | 2,528 | $ | 2,564 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Less Express Fuel Expense | 162 | 167 | 180 | 185 | 190 | 194 | 194 | 198 | 728 | 746 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express Operating Expenses excluding Fuel | 449 | 458 | 456 | 465 | 441 | 450 | 445 | 454 | 1,800 | 1,818 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express CASM (GAAP) (cts) | 16.51 | 16.87 | 16.74 | 17.10 | 16.60 | 16.95 | 16.80 | 17.17 | 16.74 | 16.98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express CASM Excluding Fuel (Non-GAAP) (cts) | 12.12 | 12.37 | 12.00 | 12.25 | 11.60 | 11.84 | 11.71 | 11.96 | 11.92 | 12.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express ASMs (bil) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 15.1 | 15.1 |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
January 30, 2007
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information