Fair Value Measurements | Fair Value Measurements The following tables set forth, by level, the Company’s assets and liabilities that were accounted for at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022. Fair Value Measurements at September 30, 2023 Quoted Prices in Significant Significant Total (In millions) Assets: Inventories carried at market $ — $ 3,172 $ 2,872 $ 6,044 Unrealized derivative gains: Commodity contracts — 873 890 1,763 Foreign currency contracts — 287 — 287 Cash equivalents 366 — — 366 Segregated investments 1,969 — — 1,969 Total Assets $ 2,335 $ 4,332 $ 3,762 $ 10,429 Liabilities: Unrealized derivative losses: Commodity contracts $ — $ 703 $ 549 $ 1,252 Foreign currency contracts — 119 — 119 Inventory-related payables — 1,070 87 1,157 Total Liabilities $ — $ 1,892 $ 636 $ 2,528 Fair Value Measurements at December 31, 2022 Significant Significant Total (In millions) Assets: Inventories carried at market $ — $ 6,281 $ 2,760 $ 9,041 Unrealized derivative gains: Commodity contracts — 796 541 1,337 Foreign currency contracts — 258 — 258 Interest rate contracts — 109 — 109 Cash equivalents 405 — — 405 Segregated investments 1,453 — — 1,453 Total Assets $ 1,858 $ 7,444 $ 3,301 $ 12,603 Liabilities: Unrealized derivative losses: Commodity contracts $ — $ 665 $ 603 $ 1,268 Foreign currency contracts — 275 — 275 Debt conversion option — — 6 6 Inventory-related payables — 1,181 89 1,270 Total Liabilities $ — $ 2,121 $ 698 $ 2,819 Estimated fair values for inventories and inventory-related payables carried at market are based on exchange-quoted prices, adjusted for differences in local markets and quality, referred to as basis. Market valuations for the Company’s inventories are adjusted for location and quality (basis) because the exchange-quoted prices represent contracts that have standardized terms for commodity, quantity, future delivery period, delivery location, and commodity quality or grade. The basis adjustments are generally determined using the inputs from competitor and broker quotations or market transactions and are considered observable. Basis adjustments are impacted by specific local supply and demand characteristics at each facility and the overall market. Factors such as substitute products, weather, fuel costs, contract terms, and futures prices also impact the movement of these basis adjustments. In some cases, the basis adjustments are unobservable because they are supported by little to no market activity. When unobservable inputs have a significant impact (more than 10%) on the measurement of fair value, the inventory is classified in Level 3. Changes in the fair value of inventories and inventory-related payables are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of cost of products sold. Derivative contracts include exchange-traded commodity futures and options contracts, forward commodity purchase and sale contracts, and over-the-counter (OTC) instruments related primarily to agricultural commodities, energy, interest rates, and foreign currencies. Exchange-traded futures and options contracts are valued based on unadjusted quoted prices in active markets and are classified in Level 1. Substantially all of the Company’s exchange-traded futures and options contracts are cash-settled on a daily basis and, therefore, are not included in these tables. Fair value for forward commodity purchase and sale contracts is estimated based on exchange-quoted prices adjusted for differences in local markets. Market valuations for the Company’s forward commodity purchase and sale contracts are adjusted for location (basis) because the exchange-quoted prices represent contracts that have standardized terms for commodity, quantity, future delivery period, delivery location, and commodity quality or grade. The basis adjustments are generally determined using inputs from competitor and broker quotations or market transactions and are considered observable. Basis adjustments are impacted by specific local supply and demand characteristics at each facility and the overall market. Factors such as substitute products, weather, fuel costs, contract terms, and futures prices also impact the movement of these basis adjustments. In some cases, the basis adjustments are unobservable because they are supported by little to no market activity. When observable inputs are available for substantially the full term of the contract, it is classified in Level 2. When unobservable inputs have a significant impact (more than 10%) on the measurement of fair value, the contract is classified in Level 3. Except for certain derivatives designated as cash flow hedges, changes in the fair value of commodity-related derivatives are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of cost of products sold. Changes in the fair value of foreign currency-related derivatives are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of revenues, cost of products sold, and other (income) expense - net, depending upon the purpose of the contract. The changes in the fair value of derivatives designated as effective cash flow hedges are recognized in the consolidated balance sheets as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) until the hedged items are recorded in earnings or it is probable the hedged transaction will no longer occur. The Company’s cash equivalents are comprised of money market funds valued using quoted market prices and are classified as Level 1. The Company’s segregated investments are comprised of U.S. Treasury securities. U.S. Treasury securities are valued using quoted market prices and are classified in Level 1. The debt conversion option was the equity linked embedded derivative related to the exchangeable bonds. The fair value of the embedded derivative was included in long-term debt, with changes in fair value recognized as interest, and was valued with the assistance of a third-party pricing service (a level 3 measurement). The following table presents a rollforward of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the three months ended September 30, 2023. Level 3 Fair Value Asset Measurements at September 30, 2023 Inventories Commodity Total Assets (In millions) Balance, June 30, 2023 $ 2,859 $ 886 $ 3,745 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold* 135 330 465 Purchases 6,615 — 6,615 Sales (6,539) — (6,539) Settlements — (356) (356) Transfers into Level 3 336 49 385 Transfers out of Level 3 (534) (19) (553) Ending balance, September 30, 2023 $ 2,872 $ 890 $ 3,762 * Includes increase in unrealized gains of $438 million relating to Level 3 assets still held at September 30, 2023. The following table presents a rollforward of liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the three months ended September 30, 2023. Level 3 Fair Value Liability Measurements at September 30, 2023 Inventory- Commodity Total Liabilities (In millions) Balance, June 30, 2023 $ 65 $ 791 $ 856 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold* (3) 290 287 Purchases 29 — 29 Settlements — (529) (529) Transfers into Level 3 — 10 10 Transfers out of Level 3 (4) (13) (17) Ending balance, September 30, 2023 $ 87 $ 549 $ 636 * Includes increase in unrealized losses of $297 million relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at September 30, 2023. The following table presents a rollforward of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the three months ended September 30, 2022. Level 3 Fair Value Asset Measurements at September 30, 2022 Inventories Commodity Total Assets (In millions) Balance, June 30, 2022 $ 3,245 $ 880 $ 4,125 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold* 315 345 660 Purchases 13,294 — 13,294 Sales (13,931) — (13,931) Settlements — (456) (456) Transfers into Level 3 384 49 433 Transfers out of Level 3 (221) (116) (337) Ending balance, September 30, 2022 $ 3,086 $ 702 $ 3,788 * Includes increase in unrealized gains of $481 million relating to Level 3 assets still held at September 30, 2022. The following table presents a rollforward of liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the three months ended September 30, 2022. Level 3 Fair Value Liability Measurements at September 30, 2022 Inventory- Commodity Debt Conversion Option Total Liabilities (In millions) Balance, June 30, 2022 $ 55 $ 960 $ 11 $ 1,026 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold and interest expense* 3 391 (8) 386 Purchases 167 — — 167 Sales (5) — — (5) Settlements — (634) — (634) Transfers into Level 3 — 57 — 57 Transfers out of Level 3 — (65) — (65) Ending balance, September 30, 2022 $ 220 $ 709 $ 3 $ 932 * Includes increase in unrealized losses of $394 million relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at September 30, 2022. The following table presents a rollforward of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the nine months ended September 30, 2023. Level 3 Fair Value Asset Measurements at September 30, 2023 Inventories Commodity Total Assets (In millions) Balance, December 31, 2022 $ 2,760 $ 541 $ 3,301 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold* 499 1,282 1,781 Purchases 25,190 — 25,190 Sales (25,439) — (25,439) Settlements (4) (1,195) (1,199) Transfers into Level 3 1,488 339 1,827 Transfers out of Level 3 (1,622) (77) (1,699) Ending balance, September 30, 2023 $ 2,872 $ 890 $ 3,762 * Includes increase in unrealized gains of $1.8 billion relating to Level 3 assets still held at September 30, 2023. The following table presents a rollforward of liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the nine months ended September 30, 2023. Level 3 Fair Value Liability Measurements at September 30, 2023 Inventory- Commodity Debt Conversion Option Total Liabilities (In millions) Balance, December 31, 2022 $ 89 $ 603 $ 6 $ 698 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold and interest expense* (1) 1,068 (6) 1,061 Purchases 36 — — 36 Settlements (34) (1,236) — (1,270) Transfers into Level 3 1 135 — 136 Transfers out of Level 3 (4) (21) — (25) Ending balance, September 30, 2023 $ 87 $ 549 $ — $ 636 * Includes increase in unrealized losses of $1.1 billion relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at September 30, 2023. The following table presents a rollforward of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Level 3 Fair Value Asset Measurements at September 30, 2022 Inventories Commodity Total Assets (In millions) Balance, December 31, 2021 $ 3,004 $ 460 $ 3,464 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold* 746 1,297 2,043 Purchases 34,524 — 34,524 Sales (35,239) — (35,239) Settlements — (1,227) (1,227) Transfers into Level 3 933 365 1,298 Transfers out of Level 3 (882) (193) (1,075) Ending balance, September 30, 2022 $ 3,086 $ 702 $ 3,788 * Includes increase in unrealized gains of $2.2 billion relating to Level 3 assets still held at September 30, 2022. The following table presents a rollforward of liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Level 3 Fair Value Liability Measurements at September 30, 2022 Inventory- Commodity Debt Conversion Option Total Liabilities (In millions) Balance, December 31, 2021 $ 106 $ 815 $ 15 $ 936 Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold and interest expense* (1) 2,060 (12) 2,047 Purchases 176 — — 176 Sales (61) — — (61) Settlements — (2,363) — (2,363) Transfers into Level 3 — 379 — 379 Transfers out of Level 3 — (182) — (182) Ending balance, September 30, 2022 $ 220 $ 709 $ 3 $ 932 * Includes increase in unrealized losses of $2.1 billion relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at September 30, 2022. Transfers into Level 3 of assets and liabilities previously classified in Level 2 were due to the relative value of unobservable inputs to the total fair value measurement of certain products and derivative contracts rising above the 10% threshold. Transfers out of Level 3 were primarily due to the relative value of unobservable inputs to the total fair value measurement of certain products and derivative contracts falling below the 10% threshold and thus permitting reclassification to Level 2. In some cases, the price components that result in differences between exchange-traded prices and local prices for inventories and commodity purchase and sale contracts are observable based upon available quotations for these pricing components, and in some cases, the differences are unobservable. These price components primarily include transportation costs and other adjustments required due to location, quality, or other contract terms. In the table below, these other adjustments are referred to as basis. The changes in unobservable price components are determined by specific local supply and demand characteristics at each facility and the overall market. Factors such as substitute products, weather, fuel costs, contract terms, and futures prices also impact the movement of these unobservable price components. The following table sets forth the weighted average percentage of the unobservable price components included in the Company’s Level 3 valuations as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022. The Company’s Level 3 measurements may include basis only, transportation cost only, or both price components. As an example, for Level 3 inventories with basis, the unobservable component as of September 30, 2023 is a weighted average 28.1% of the total price for assets and 47.3% of the total price for liabilities. Weighted Average % of Total Price September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022 Component Type Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities Inventories and Related Payables Basis 28.1 % 47.3 % 19.4 % 15.2 % Transportation cost 19.5 % — % 10.5 % — % Commodity Derivative Contracts Basis 36.6 % 30.4 % 22.7 % 26.5 % Transportation cost 12.0 % 21.5 % 13.5 % 3.7 % In certain of the Company’s principal markets, the Company relies on price quotes from third parties to value its inventories and physical commodity purchase and sale contracts. These price quotes are generally not further adjusted by the Company in determining the applicable market price. In some cases, availability of third-party quotes is limited to only one or two independent sources. In these situations, absent other corroborating evidence, the Company considers these price quotes as 100% unobservable and, therefore, the fair value of these items is reported in Level 3. |