EXHIBIT 99-2
National Grid/Niagara Mohawk Merger
New York Rate Plan Proposal - Overview
January 17, 2001
OUTLINE- Discussion of overall objectives and approach
- Overview of proposal
- Schedule and issues
OBJECTIVES AND APPROACHObjectives
- Lower and more stable energy delivery rates for customers
- Continued development of competitive supply and demand market with protections for small customers
- Resolve outstanding issues before the PSC
- Improve Niagara Mohawk's financial capability
Approach
- Rate Settlement included with merger approval filing
- Compare stand-alone Niagara Mohawk case and provisions of Power Choice
- Rely on balanced incentive mechanisms to achieve agreed policy objectives
PROSPECTS LOOKING FORWARD
- Higher prices driven by commodity increases
- gas costs; ISO costs; expiration of contracts
- Commodity costs alone are likely to cause average total price increases on the order of 8 to 12 percent from today for customers on fixed price service
- Rate plan designed to reduce delivery prices through managing controllable costs, and to stabilize commodity costs
KEY ELEMENTS OF PROPOSAL- Reduction in electricity delivery charges
- Ten year “freeze” of reduced electricity delivery charges
- Power supply costs stabilized for small customers
- One year extension of current gas Settlement Agreement
- Incentive mechanisms to encourage
- Cost reductions; service quality; transmission congestion management
REDUCTION IN DELIVERY PRICES
- $132 million annual reduction* in delivery charges (T, D+CTC) related to the merger ($280 million reduction from today’s delivery prices)
- CTC recovery reduced and extended to reduce and flatten delivery rates
- New York share of estimated $90 million per year of synergy savings included in proposal
* Relative to prices that would otherwise become effective September 1, 2001 under Power Choice
TEN YEAR "FREEZE" IN REDUCED ELECTRIC DELIVERY CHARGES
- After initial reduction, delivery rates then fixed for ten years, subject to specified extraordinary events
- e.g. tax, law, regulatory and accounting changes; high inflation; transmission revenue adjustments
- Roughly $970 million NPV in savings over ten years compared to Niagara Mohawk stand-alone revenue requirements*
* Includes a one percent increase in T, D + CTC in years four and five of Power Choice and a return on
the MRA regulatory asset post Power Choice
ANTICIPATED AVERAGE PRICE IMPACTS DIFFER BY CUSTOMER GROUP - RESIDENTIAL
- Average for SC-1 customers on Standard Offer Service
- Delivery rates reduced by 7.8 percent
- Rate plan moderates projected total increases from 12.4 percent to 6.1 percent*
* Prices include all surcharges. Prices without the merger include a one percent increase for T, D and CTC.
PROJECTED RESIDENTIAL PRICE IMPACTS
(SC-1 on Standard Offer Service - cents/kWh)
2002 without
Today's Rates merger 2002 with merger
------------- ------------ ----------------
Commodity 3.5 5.5 5.3
Delivery 8.6 8.1 7.5
Total 12.1 13.6 12.8
All prices are forecast and presented in cents per kWh. Commodity costs in 2002 include all ancillary services charges.
ANTICIPATED AVERAGE PRICE IMPACTS - SMALL COMMERCIAL
- Average for SC–2D customers on Standard Offer Service
- Delivery rates reduced by 3.8 percent
- Rate plan moderates projected total increases from 11.0 percent to 7.9 percent*
* Prices include all surcharges. Prices without the merger include a one percent increase for T, D and CTC.
PROJECTED SMALL COMMERCIAL PRICE IMPACTS
(SC-2D on Standard Offer Service - cents/kWh)
2002 without
Today's Rates merger 2002 with merger
------------- ------------ ----------------
Commodity 3.4 5.3 5.3
Delivery 7.9 7.2 7.0
Total 11.3 12.6 12.2
All prices are forecast and presented in cents per kWh. Commodity costs in 2002 include all ancillary services.
ANTICIPATED AVERAGE PRICE IMPACTS FOR LARGE COMMERCIAL AND SMALL INDUSTRIAL CUSTOMERS
- Average for SC-3 Customers on Standard Offer Service
- Delivery rates reduced by 6.4 percent
- Rate plan moderates projected total increases from 9.9 percent to 5.7 percent*
* Prices include all surcharges. Prices without the merger include a one percent increase for T, D and CTC.
PROJECTED LARGE COMMERCIAL AND SMALL INDUSTRIAL PRICE IMPACTS
(SC-3 on Standard Offer Service)
2002 without
Today's Rates merger 2002 with merger
------------- ------------- ----------------
Commodity 3.3 5.0 4.9
Delivery 7.3 6.6 6.2
Total 10.5 11.6 11.1
All prices are forecast and presented in cents per kWh. Commodity costs in 2002 include all ancillary services.
ANTICIPATED AVERAGE PRICE IMPACTS FOR LARGE COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL CUSTOMERS
- Average for SC-3a customers on Market-Priced Service
- Delivery rates reduced by 13.4 percent
- Rate plan provides even larger projected bill reductions (14.5 percent versus 9.9 percent reductions
without the merger)*
- Contract customers given option to move back to tariff pricing for delivery charges
* Prices include all surcharges. Prices without the merger include a one percent increase for T, D and CTC.
PROJECTED LARGE COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL PRICE IMPACTS
(SC-3A on Market-Priced Service)
2002 without
Today's Rates merger 2002 with merger
------------- ------------ ----------------
Commodity 5.1 4.7 4.7
Delivery 3.4 2.9 2.5
Total 8.4 7.6 7.2
All prices are forecast and presented in cents per kWh. Commodity costs include all ancillary services costs.
ELECTRIC COMMODITY ISSUES
- Niagara Mohawk's existing portfolio provides valuable hedge for customers
- Initially, a majority of energy supplies needed for Standard Offer Service are hedged
- Propose to levelize costs over first four years
- Costs in all years adjusted through a commodity adjustment clause
- One time offer to small customers to move back to Standard Offer Service
- Largest customers will be moved to spot market pricing as existing hedged contracts expire
- Niagara Mohawk is also exploring other commodity options
Below is a tabular representation of the omitted graph:
cents/kWh
Year Standard Offer Market Price
2001 4.3 4.4
2002 4.3 4.4
2003 4.3 4.1
2004 4.3 4.1
DELIVERY RATE PATH PROPOSAL
- T&D prices will be combined with the CTC to create bundled delivery prices
- A T&D guideline rate is created which will escalate at 1.7 percent per year. The guideline is used to determine:
- certain exogenous factor adjustments during the rate plan
- T&D rates after the rate plan period
- synergy savings achieved during the rate plan period
- Remaining “headroom” under the bundled delivery rate path allows for CTC recovery
- Efficiency gains beyond guideline shared 50/50 after rate plan period through an adjusted rate of return
- provides a reasonable opportunity to recover merger costs only if savings are really achieved
Omitted Graph
The omitted chart depicts without data, the concept of the delivery rate path proposal in the Joint Proposal settlement offer. The charts top line, illustrates a flat delivery rate path (inclusive of T&D plus CTC) for eight years. A line below that lineillustrates a flat delivery rate path (inclusive of T&D plus CTC) for ten years. The ten-year line depicts the reprofiled CTC for an additional two years. Underneath the ten-year delivery rate path is a depiction of the T&D guideline rates (a subset of the T&D plus CTC) which escalate linearly through the ten-year period. Along side the tenth-year of the T&D guideline rate is the note “Earned Savings - 50% reflected in the rate of return over the next ten years.”
OTHER MAJOR PROVISIONS
- Service Quality Incentives
- $22 million potential incentive/penalty per year
- Congestion Management Incentive
- Share of savings generated for customers
- Extension of current low-income program (LICAP)
- Modifications to corporate structure and affiliate rules
- Establishment of storm and environmental response funds
EXTENSION OF CURRENT GAS SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT
- Current gas delivery rates frozen through August 2003
- Propose to extend current agreement by one year, maintaining
- Delivery rate freeze
- Safety incentives
- Programs to facilitate competitive market
SCHEDULE AND ISSUES