| |
ISSN 1718-8369 | Exhibit 99.25 |
| |
Volume 11, number 10 | May 5, 2017 |
AT FEBRUARY 28, 2017 |
| | |
Highlights for February 2017 |
— | In February, the budgetary balance within the meaning of the Balanced Budget Act showed a surplus of $451 million. The balance takes into account the deposit of $151 million in the Generations Fund. Compared to last year: |
| — | own-source revenue decreased by $178 million, standing at $4.8 billion; |
| — | federal transfers rose by $177 million, reaching $1.5 billion; |
| — | program spending fell by $224 million, amounting to $5.2 billion; |
| — | debt service increased by $9 million, reaching $647 million. |
— | On the basis of the cumulative results at February 28, 2017, the budgetary balance within the meaning of the Balanced Budget Act showed a surplus of $2.6 billion, taking into account the deposit of $1.8 billion in the Generations Fund. |
— | Given the measures announced on March 28, 2017 in the March 2017 Québec Economic Plan, a budgetary surplus of $250 million is forecast for 2016-2017. |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Summary of consolidated budgetary transactions | | | | | | | | |
(millions of dollars) | | | | | (Unaudited data) | |
| | | | | | | | | The Québec Economic Plan – |
| February | | April to February | | March 2017(1) |
| 2016 | 2017 | | | 2015-2016 | 2016-2017 | Change (%) | | | 2016-2017 | | Change (%) | |
GENERAL FUND | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Revenue | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Own-source revenue | 5 021 | 4 843 | | | 51 579 | 52 500 | 1.8 | | | 58 644 | | 2.2 | |
Federal transfers | 1 359 | 1 536 | | | 15 710 | 16 746 | 6.6 | | | 18 242 | | 7.1 | |
Total revenue | 6 380 | 6 379 | | | 67 289 | 69 246 | 2.9 | | | 76 886 | | 3.3 | |
Expenditure | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Program spending | –5 453 | –5 229 | | | –59 443 | –60 275 | 1.4 | | | –68 242 | | 3.8 | (2) |
Debt service | –638 | –647 | | | –7 263 | –6 915 | –4.8 | | | –7 602 | | –4.4 | |
Total expenditure | –6 091 | –5 876 | | | –66 706 | –67 190 | 0.7 | | | –75 844 | | 3.1 | |
NET RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED ENTITIES(3) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-budget-funded bodies and special funds | 43 | –70 | | | 1 432 | 513 | — | | | –727 | | — | |
Health and social services and education networks | –5 | 18 | | | –28 | 19 | — | | | 35 | | — | |
Generations Fund | 214 | 151 | | | 1 311 | 1 820 | — | | | 2 042 | | — | |
Total consolidated entities | 252 | 99 | | | 2 715 | 2 352 | — | | | 1 350 | | — | |
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) | 541 | 602 | | | 3 298 | 4 408 | — | | | 2 392 | (4) | — | |
Contingency reserve | — | — | | | — | — | — | | | –100 | | — | |
BALANCED BUDGET ACT | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Deposits of dedicated revenues in the Generations Fund | –214 | –151 | | | –1 311 | –1 820 | — | | | –2 042 | | — | |
BUDGETARY BALANCE(5) | 327 | 451 | | | 1 987 | 2 588 | — | | | 250 | | — | |
| |
(1) | To present the data on a like-for-like basis, the forecasts of The Québec Economic Plan – March 2017 reproduced in this monthly report exclude the impacts on revenue and expenditure of restructuring linked to the elimination of the Fund to Finance Health and Social Services Institutions (FINESSS) (expenditures of $1 458 million), as well as other program spending ($52 million). |
(2) | Growth rate including the impact of restructuring, in particular of FINESSS. Excluding this impact, the rate would be 4.0%. |
(3) | Details of transactions by type of entity are presented on page 5 of this report. |
(4) | Surplus excluding the contingency reserve of $100 million. |
(5) | Budgetary balance within the meaning of the Balanced Budget Act. |
| |
q | Cumulative results at February 28, 2017 |
For the period from April 2016 to February 2017, the budgetary balance within the meaning of the Balanced Budget Act showed a surplus of $2.6 billion.
The March 2017 Québec Economic Plan projects a budgetary surplus of $250 million for fiscal 2016-2017.
— It provides for a number of initiatives that will affect results by the end of fiscal 2016-2017.
At February 28, 2017, revenue totalled $69.2 billion, an increase of $2.0 billion, or 2.9%, compared to February 29, 2016.
— Own-source revenue stood at $52.5 billion, up $921 million from last year.
— Federal transfers amounted to $16.7 billion, up $1.0 billion compared to February 29, 2016.
| |
n | General Fund expenditure |
Since the beginning of the fiscal year, expenditure has totalled $67.2 billion, an increase of $484 million.
— For the period from April 2016 to February 2017, program spending rose by $832 million, or 1.4%, reaching $60.3 billion.
— The most significant changes were in the Health and Social Services ($532 million) and Economy and Environment ($326 million) missions.
— Given the new initiatives announced in the March 2017 Québec Economic Plan, expenditure growth will accelerate by the end of fiscal 2016-2017, reaching the annual target forecast.
— Debt service amounted to $6.9 billion, a decrease of $348 million compared to last year.
2
At February 28, 2017, the results of consolidated entities stood at $2.4 billion. These results include:
— a surplus of $513 million for non-budget-funded bodies and special funds;
— a surplus of $19 million for the health and social services and education networks;
— dedicated revenues of $1.8 billion for the Generations Fund.
| |
n | Net financial surplus (requirements) |
At February 28, 2017, the consolidated net financial surplus stood at $3.1 billion, an increase of $469 million over last year. Net financial surpluses reflect the current budgetary balance, as well as the year-over-year change in receipts and disbursements in the course of the government’s transactions.
| | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated budgetary and financial transactions |
(millions of dollars) | | | | (Unaudited data) | |
| February | | April to February |
| 2016 | 2017 | Change | | | 2015-2016 | 2016-2017 | Change | |
GENERAL FUND | | | | | | | | | |
Revenue | | | | | | | | | |
Own-source revenue | 5 021 | 4 843 | –178 | | | 51 579 | 52 500 | 921 | |
Federal transfers | 1 359 | 1 536 | 177 | | | 15 710 | 16 746 | 1 036 | |
Total revenue | 6 380 | 6 379 | –1 | | | 67 289 | 69 246 | 1 957 | |
Expenditure | | | | | | | | | |
Program spending | –5 453 | –5 229 | 224 | | | –59 443 | –60 275 | –832 | |
Debt service | –638 | –647 | –9 | | | –7 263 | –6 915 | 348 | |
Total expenditure | –6 091 | –5 876 | 215 | | | –66 706 | –67 190 | –484 | |
NET RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED ENTITIES(1) | | | | | | | | | |
Non-budget-funded bodies and special funds | 43 | –70 | –113 | | | 1 432 | 513 | –919 | |
Health and social services and education networks | –5 | 18 | 23 | | | –28 | 19 | 47 | |
Generations Fund | 214 | 151 | –63 | | | 1 311 | 1 820 | 509 | |
Total consolidated entities | 252 | 99 | –153 | | | 2 715 | 2 352 | –363 | |
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) | 541 | 602 | 61 | | | 3 298 | 4 408 | 1 110 | |
Consolidated non-budgetary surplus (requirements) | 893 | 501 | –392 | | | –638 | –1 279 | –641 | |
CONSOLIDATED NET FINANCIAL SURPLUS (REQUIREMENTS) | 1 434 | 1 103 | –331 | | | 2 660 | 3 129 | 469 | |
| |
(1) | Details of transactions by type of entity are presented on page 5 of this report. |
3
| | | | | | | | | |
General Fund revenue |
(millions of dollars) | (Unaudited data) | |
| | February | | | | April to February | |
Revenue by source | 2016 | 2017 | Change (%) | | | 2015-2016 | 2016-2017 | Change (%) | |
Own-source revenue excluding government enterprises | | | | | | | | | |
Income and property taxes | | | | | | | | | |
Personal income tax | 1 685 | 1 709 | 1.4 | | | 19 004 | 19 815 | 4.3 | |
Contributions to Health Services Fund | 558 | 538 | –3.6 | | | 6 366 | 6 508 | 2.2 | |
Corporate taxes | 1 028 | 836 | –18.7 | | | 3 968 | 4 242 | 6.9 | |
Consumption taxes | 923 | 1 064 | 15.3 | | | 16 194 | 16 275 | 0.5 | |
Other sources | 146 | 94 | –35.6 | | | 1 477 | 1 436 | –2.8 | |
Total own-source revenue excluding government enterprises | 4 340 | 4 241 | –2.3 | | | 47 009 | 48 276 | 2.7 | |
Revenue from government enterprises | 681 | 602 | –11.6 | | | 4 570 | 4 224 | –7.6 | |
Total own-source revenue | 5 021 | 4 843 | –3.5 | | | 51 579 | 52 500 | 1.8 | |
Federal transfers | | | | | | | | | |
Equalization | 793 | 836 | 5.4 | | | 8 727 | 9 194 | 5.4 | |
Health transfers(1) | 407 | 468 | 15.0 | | | 4 702 | 5 135 | 9.2 | |
Transfers for post-secondary education and other social programs | 116 | 137 | 18.1 | | | 1 426 | 1 497 | 5.0 | |
Other programs | 43 | 95 | 120.9 | | | 855 | 920 | 7.6 | |
Total federal transfers | 1 359 | 1 536 | 13.0 | | | 15 710 | 16 746 | 6.6 | |
TOTAL | 6 380 | 6 379 | 0.0 | | | 67 289 | 69 246 | 2.9 | |
| |
(1) | Amounts of $378 million and $342 million in health transfers were allocated in 2015-2016 and 2016-2017, respectively, to the Fund to Finance Health and Social Services Institutions (FINESSS), a consolidated entity. These allocations were spread over the year and have already been deducted from the health transfers. Had it not been for these allocations, the change would have been 7.9% instead of 9.2%. |
| | | | | | | | | | |
General Fund expenditure |
(millions of dollars) | (Unaudited data) | |
| | | February | | | | April to February | |
Expenditure by mission | 2016(1) | | 2017 | Change (%) | | | 2015-2016(1) | 2016-2017 | Change (%) | |
Program spending | | | | | | | | | | |
Health and Social Services | 2 663 | | 2 519 | –5.4 | | | 29 865 | 30 397 | 1.8 | |
Education and Culture | 1 488 | | 1 557 | 4.6 | | | 16 078 | 16 243 | 1.0 | |
Economy and Environment | 401 | | 381 | –5.0 | | | 4 182 | 4 508 | 7.8 | |
Support for Individuals and Families | 566 | | 493 | –12.9 | | | 5 741 | 5 644 | –1.7 | |
Administration and Justice | 335 | | 279 | –16.7 | | | 3 577 | 3 483 | –2.6 | |
Total program spending | 5 453 | | 5 229 | –4.1 | | | 59 443 | 60 275 | 1.4 | |
Debt service | 638 | | 647 | 1.4 | | | 7 263 | 6 915 | –4.8 | |
TOTAL | 6 091 | | 5 876 | –3.5 | | | 66 706 | 67 190 | 0.7 | |
| |
(1) | Certain expenditures were reclassified between missions to take into account the 2016-2017 budgetary structure. |
4
| | | | | | | | | | |
Details of the transactions of consolidated entities |
(millions of dollars) | (Unaudited data) | |
| February 2017 |
| | | | Transfers | Non- | | | | | |
| | | Specified | (expenditures) | budget- | Health and | | | | |
| Special | Generations | purpose | related to the | funded | education | | Consolidation | | |
| funds | Fund | accounts | tax system | bodies | networks (1) | Total | adjustments (2) | Total | |
Revenue | 1 100 | 151 | 37 | 345 | 1 721 | — | 3 354 | –2 034 | 1 320 | |
Expenditure | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenditure | –858 | — | –37 | –345 | –1 804 | 18 | –3 026 | 1 950 | –1 076 | |
Debt service | –178 | — | — | — | –51 | — | –229 | 84 | –145 | |
Subtotal | –1 036 | — | –37 | –345 | –1 855 | 18 | –3 255 | 2 034 | –1 221 | |
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) | 64 | 151 | — | — | –134 | 18 | 99 | — | 99 | |
| April 2016 to February 2017 |
| | | | Transfers | Non- | | | | | |
| | | Specified | (expenditures) | budget- | Health and | | | | |
| Special | Generations | purpose | related to the | funded | education | | Consolidation | | |
| funds | Fund | accounts | tax system | bodies | networks (1) | Total | adjustments (2) | Total | |
Revenue | 12 631 | 1 820 | 776 | 5 559 | 21 331 | — | 42 117 | –24 017 | 18 100 | |
Expenditure | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenditure | –10 340 | — | –776 | –5 559 | –20 469 | 19 | –37 125 | 23 081 | –14 044 | |
Debt service | –2 002 | — | — | — | –638 | — | –2 640 | 936 | –1 704 | |
Subtotal | –12 342 | — | –776 | –5 559 | –21 107 | 19 | –39 765 | 24 017 | –15 748 | |
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) | 289 | 1 820 | — | — | 224 | 19 | 2 352 | — | 2 352 | |
| |
(1) | The results of the networks are presented according to the modified equity method of accounting. |
(2) | Consolidation adjustments include the elimination of program spending from the General Fund. |
The next monthly report, which will present the preliminary results at March 31, 2017, will be published on June 22, 2017.
For more information, contact the Direction des communications of the Ministère des Finances at 418 528-7382.
The report is also available on the Ministère des Finances website: www.finances.gouv.qc.ca.
5