Equity Market Review
U.S. equities, as measured by the S&P 500® Index3, gained 9.34% during the six months ended June 30, 2017, buoyed by still relatively low interest rates and by positive trends in corporate earnings. International equities, both developed and emerging, as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index3 and MSCI Emerging Markets Index3, respectively, outperformed the U.S. equity market. The benefit of a broad earnings recovery and ongoing, albeit slow, economic expansion was greater in markets outside of the relatively advanced U.S. market.
As 2017 began, U.S. equities rallied to new highs on the prospect of deregulation following President Trump’s executive orders on oil pipelines and on further optimism around infrastructure spending after a $1 trillion proposal from Senate Democrats. Despite political uncertainty and concerns about protectionism, U.S. equities continued to rally in February 2017 on anticipation of potential U.S. tax reform and by stronger economic data. In March 2017, the Fed raised interest rates for the third time since the 2008 global financial crisis. After House Republicans were unable to schedule a vote on health care, U.S. equities moved lower. All told, then, for the month of March 2017, U.S. equities were virtually flat.
U.S. equities fell in April 2017, as Fed minutes suggested stocks were overvalued. However, U.S. equities subsequently rebounded on strong first quarter 2017 earnings results and less political risk in Europe following the centrist candidate’s win in the French election. Although the U.S. labor market remained strong, economic and inflation data appeared to soften. In addition, market expectations for pro-growth U.S. fiscal policy were dampened by developments in Washington D.C. Still, the Fed raised the targeted federal funds rate 25 basis points in June 2017, citing ongoing strength in the labor market and a pick-up in household spending and business fixed investment.
In a reversal from 2016, growth stocks outperformed value stocks by a wide margin across the capitalization spectrum of the U.S. equity market for the semi-annual period overall. In another reversal from 2016, large-cap stocks performed best, followed by mid-cap stocks and then at some distance by small-cap stocks, though each market capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market generated solid gains during the semi-annual period. (All as measured by the Russell U.S. Indexes.)
In the S&P 500® Index, the best performing sectors were information technology, health care and consumer discretionary, each of which posted double-digit gains. The weakest performing sectors in the S&P 500® Index during the semi-annual period were energy and telecommunication services, the only two to post negative absolute returns, followed by real estate and financials, which were comparatively weak but generated positive returns.
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We thank you for trusting us to be a part of your long-term, comprehensive investment strategy. We appreciate your confidence in the Value Line Funds and look forward to serving your investment needs in the years ahead just as we have been helping to secure generations’ financial futures for more than 65 years — based on solid fundamentals, sound investment principles and the power of disciplined and rigorous analytics. If you have any questions or would like additional information on this or other Value Line Funds, we invite you to contact your investment representative or visit us at www.vlfunds.com.
Sincerely,
Mitchell Appel
President of the Value Line Funds
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment can fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost; and that current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Investors should carefully consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expense of a fund. This and other important information about a fund is contained in the fund’s prospectus.
The Fund’s annual and semi-annual shareholder reports are available from GIAC’s website at: http://www.guardianinvestor.com/public/products/prospectus.aspx. You may obtain free copies of the Fund’s prospectus, Statement of Additional Information or its annual or semi-annual shareholder reports or make shareholder inquiries by contacting GIAC at 7 Hanover Square, New York, NY 10004 or calling toll-free 800-221-3253.
The Value Line Funds are distributed by EULAV Securities LLC.
1
Morningstar, Inc. is an investment research and investment management firm headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, United States.
2
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners’ currencies.
3
The S&P 500® Index consists of 500 stocks that are traded on the New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ national Market System and is representative of the broad stock market. The MSCI EAFE Index is an equity index that captures large-cap and mid-cap representation across 21 developed markets countries around the world, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index captures large-cap and mid-cap representation across 24 emerging markets countries. The index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country. These are unmanaged indices and do not reflect charges, expenses or taxes, and it is not possible to directly invest in these indices.