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Products Segment Development / Outlook
< Products expected to benefit from short- and long-term market developments
< Peaks and valleys of the orderbook: what a difference a year makes
• 2009: witnessed excess tonnage delivered vs. contracting demand
• 2010: reversal expected due to positive demand, fleet contraction and increased ton-miles
- Deliveries: less than 50 MRs have delivered YTD, well below Clarksons projections for 2010
- Storage: 25 vessels storing clean products down from 118 at year-end 2009
< Worldwide demand for refined products has increased significantly in 2010
• 1H 2010 demand grew 2.6%
• 2010 demand levels now forecast to be slightly over 2007 levels
- Slight growth in oil demand forecast in OECD countries; 4.1% increase in demand in non-OECD
< Summer 2010
• Late start to the summer “driving season” has led to a rally into the third quarter
< 2H 2010 expected to improve from 1H 2010
• Arbitrage-driven trades have returned on the back of economic recovery; moving more
than just contracted barrels
• Trans-Atlantic arbitrage opportunities between NW Europe and U.S. open in both
directions
- Gasoline imports to the USAC and US Gulf diesel exports back increase vessel utilization and ton-
miles
• Indian exports expanding into the Western markets: LRs put cargo into storage in
Bahamas with MRs distributing cargo