Exhibit 99.1 |
Public Service Enterprise Group
PSEG Earnings Conference Call
1st Quarter 2008
May 6, 2008
Forward-Looking Statement
Readers are cautioned that statements contained in this presentation about our and our subsidiaries’ future performance, including future
revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects and all other statements that are not purely historical, are forward-looking statements for purposes of
the safe harbor provisions under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although we believe that our expectations are based on
reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance they will be achieved. The results or events predicted in these statements may differ
materially from actual results or events. Factors which could cause results or events to differ from current expectations include, but are not
limited to:
Adverse Changes in energy industry, policies and regulation, including market rules that may adversely affect our operating results.
Any inability of our energy transmission and distribution businesses to obtain adequate and timely rate relief and/or regulatory approvals from
federal and/or state regulators.
Changes in federal and/or state environmental regulations that could increase our costs or limit operations of our generating units.
Changes in nuclear regulation and/or developments in the nuclear power industry generally, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating
units.
Actions or activities at one of our nuclear units that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units at the same
site.
Any inability to balance our energy obligations, available supply and trading risks.
Any deterioration in our credit quality.
Any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits.
Increases in the cost of or interruption in the supply of fuel and other commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units.
Delays or cost escalations in our construction and development activities.
Adverse capital market performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust funds.
Changes in technology and/or increased customer conservation.
For further information, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K, including Item 1A. Risk Factors, and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents address in further detail our business, industry issues and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in this presentation. In addition, any forward-looking statements included herein represent our estimates only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our estimates as of any subsequent date. While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if our estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws.
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GAAP Disclaimer
PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported
in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United
States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that
differs from Net Income because it excludes the impact of the sale of
certain non-core domestic and international assets. PSEG presents
Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate
for investors to consider results excluding these items in addition to the
results reported in accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-
GAAP financial measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and
comparable measure of performance of its businesses to help
shareholders understand performance trends. This information is
not intended to be viewed as an alternative to GAAP information. The last
slide in this presentation includes a list of items excluded from Net Income
to reconcile to Operating Earnings, with a reference to that slide included
on each of the slides where the non-GAAP information appears. These
slides are intended to be reviewed in conjunction with the oral
presentation to which they relate.
2
PSEG
2008 Q1 Review
Ralph Izzo
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Q1 2008 EPS Summary
$ 8
$ 14
Discontinued Operations
$ 0.63
$ 0.85
EPS from Operating Earnings
$ 329
$ 448
Net Income
$ 321
$ 434
Income from Continuing Operations
--
($ 1)
Impact of Asset Sales (Bond Premiums)
$ 321
$ 435
Operating Earnings
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
$ millions (except EPS)
4
PSEG – Q1 2008: Accomplishing goals
Operations
Regulatory and
Market Environment
Financial
Salem 2 refueling and steam generator
replacement underway – on time
Nuclear fleet operating in line with
expectations
FERC approved incentive rate
treatment for 500kV Susquehanna line
NJ Board of Public Utilities approved
$105 million Solar Initiative
State of NJ Draft Energy Master Plan
released
Earnings in line with expectations
Strong liquidity
PSE&G redeemed auction rate bonds
5
Earnings – Maintaining guidance
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
2007 Operating Earnings
2008 Guidance
2009 Guidance
$2.71
$2.80 – $3.05
$3.05 – $3.35
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PSEG
2008 Q1 Review
Tom O’Flynn
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
President – PSEG Energy Holdings
Q1 Operating Earnings by Subsidiary
$ 321
(18)
(11)
131
$ 219
2007
$ 435
(5)
29
136
$ 275
2008
Operating Earnings
Earnings per Share
(0.04)
(0.01)
Enterprise
$ 0.63
$ 0.85
Operating Earnings
(0.02)
0.06
PSEG Energy Holdings
0.26
0.26
PSE&G
$ 0.43
$ 0.54
PSEG Power
2007
2008
YTD March 31
$ Millions (except EPS)
8
$0.63
.11
.00
.08
.03
$0.85
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Taxes .04
Weather (.02)
O&M / Other
(.02)
PSEG EPS Reconciliation – Q1 2008 versus Q1 2007
Q1 2008
operating
earnings
Q1 2007
operating
earnings
Interest
expense
Re-contracting /
Strong markets
.15
MTM .01
Global
Effective tax rate
..06
Texas - MTM .04
Interest expense
..02
Asset sales (.03)
Absence of
settlement (.01)
Resources
Tax rate .01
Absence of
settlement (.01)
NDT / Other (.03)
BGSS (.01)
Interest expense
(.01)
Power
PSE&G
Holdings
Enterprise
9
PSEG Power
2008 Q1 Review
PSEG Power - Q1 2008 EPS Summary
$ 226
$ 2,149
$ 2,375
Operating Revenues
$ 0.11
$ 0.43
$ 0.54
EPS from Operating Earnings
$ 62
$ 213
$ 275
Net Income
$ 6
($ 6)
--
Discontinued Operations
$ 56
$ 219
$ 275
Income from Continuing Operations
$ 56
$ 219
$ 275
Operating Earnings
Variance
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
$ millions (except EPS)
11
$0.43
.15
.00
(.04)
$0.54
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Recontracting
and strong
markets
PSEG Power EPS Reconciliation – Q1 2008 versus Q1 2007
Q1 2008
operating
earnings
Q1 2007
operating
earnings
MTM .01
BGSS (.01)
NDT / Other (.03)
Interest expense
(.01)
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PSEG Power – Generation Measures
7,456
7,264
3,142
3,660
2,312
2,778
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2007
2008
Quarter ended March 31
Total Nuclear
Total Coal*
Total Oil &
Natural Gas
* Includes figures for Pumped Storage
PSEG Power – Generation (GWh)
12,910
13,702
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PSEG Power – Q1 Operating Highlights
Salem 2 refueling and steam generator
replacement outage underway – on time
Generation output increased 6% in quarter
Nuclear 2.6% (reflecting outage)
Fossil 18.0%
O&M expense flat year-over-year
Improved pricing for energy in PJM, New
York and New England
Benefiting from roll-off of below market
contracts
Equity market performance resulted in
NDT fund loss of $0.03/share
$125 million dividend paid to PSEG
Operations
Regulatory and
Market Environment
Financial
14
Prices and operations yield margin improvement
$0
$20
$40
$60
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
PSEG Power Realized Gross Margin
($/MWh)
$44
$51
15
PSE&G
2008 Q1 Review
PSE&G – Q1 2008 EPS Summary
$ 4
$ 821
$ 825
Gross Margin*
--
$ 0.26
$ 0.26
EPS from Operating Earnings
$ 5
$ 131
$ 136
Income from Continuing Operations/
Net Income
$ 5
$ 131
$ 136
Operating Earnings
$ 132
$ 2,486
$ 2,618
Operating Revenues
Variance
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
$ millions (except EPS)
*Gross Margin = Operating revenues less energy costs
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$0.26
(.02)
.02
$0.26
0.00
0.20
0.40
PSE&G EPS Reconciliation – Q1 2008 versus Q1 2007
Q1 2008
operating
earnings
Q1 2007
operating
earnings
Weather:
Gas (.02)
Taxes .04
O&M (.01)
Other (.01)
18
PSE&G – Q1 Operating Highlights
Sales
Degree days 6.6% below normal
O&M expense under control despite storm
NJ Board of Public Utilities approved $105
million solar initiative
FERC approved PSE&G request for
Susquehanna to Roseland transmission line
incentive rate treatment
FERC approved 69kV transmission
investment
State of NJ issued its Draft Energy Master
Plan
Customer receivables within normal levels
Auction rate bond risk mitigated
Operations
Regulatory and
Market Environment
Financial
19
PSEG Energy Holdings
2008 Q1 Review
PSEG Energy Holdings – Q1 2008 EPS Summary
$ 0.08
($ 0.02)
$ 0.06
EPS from Operating Earnings (Loss)
$ 39
$ 3
$ 42
Net Income
($ 1)
--
($ 1)
Impact of Asset Sales (Bond Premiums)
--
$ 14
$ 14
Discontinued Operations
$ 40
($ 11)
$ 29
Operating Earnings (Loss)
Variance
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
$ millions (except EPS)
21
($0.02)
.04
.06
.02
(.04)
$0.06
(.01)
.01
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
PSEG Energy Holdings EPS Reconciliation – Q1 2008 versus
Q1 2007
Q1 2008
operating
earnings
Q1 2007
operating
earnings
Asset Sales
(.03)
Absence of
settlement
(.01)
Effective tax
rate
Interest
expense
Texas - MTM
Absence of
settlement
Tax rate
GLOBAL
RESOURCES
22
PSEG Energy Holdings – Q1 Operating Highlights
Texas operations in line with year ago
performance
International operations stronger
versus year-ago
Valuations remain strong for
international assets
Texas near-term spark spreads
stronger in south zone offset by weaker
west zone
Retired approximately $600M of
bonds – lower interest
Operations
Market Environment
Financial
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Summary
Cash flow projection
During Q1 2008, cash from operations improved by approximately
$100 million over the same period last year. Excluding changes in
working capital, cash from operations is approximately $140
million higher than the first quarter of 2007.
PSEG expects that it could have up to $3 billion of cash available
through the end of 2011 to pursue disciplined growth of its
businesses or to repurchase common stock.
Our forecast of cash available over 2008-2011 assumed some
financing costs associated with meeting potential tax claims
related to Holdings’ leveraged lease investments.
Our ultimate liability could exceed our forecast and may be met
sooner than anticipated. However, management believes that the
impact of any financing activity would have a manageable impact
on its key credit metrics.
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PSEG - Summary
The PSEG organization has
maintained its focus on safe and
reliable operations
Significant progress achieved on
PSE&G regulatory initiatives
Energy markets responding to tight
supply conditions
Strong liquidity position and balance
sheet supported PSEG during
difficult credit market conditions
LILO/SILO potential tax liability
manageable within PSEG key credit
metrics
Operations
Regulatory and
Market Environment
Financial
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