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8-K Filing
Public Service Enterprise (PEG) 8-KRegulation FD Disclosure
Filed: 21 Jan 15, 12:00am
Forward-Looking Statement Certain of the matters discussed in this report about our and our subsidiaries' future performance, including, without limitation, future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects, consequences and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. When used herein, the words “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “believe,” “expect,” “plan,” “should,” “hypothetical,” “potential,” “forecast,” “project,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ are often presented with the forward-looking statements themselves. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-looking statements made by us herein are discussed in filings we make with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10- Q and Form 8-K and available on our website: http://www.pseg.com. These factors include, but are not limited to: • adverse changes in the demand for or the price of the capacity and energy that we sell into wholesale electricity markets, • adverse changes in energy industry law, policies and regulation, including market structures and a potential shift away from competitive markets toward subsidized market mechanisms, capacity market design, transmission planning and cost allocation rules, including how transmission projects are planned and who is permitted to build transmission in the future, and reliability standards, • any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and state regulators, • changes in federal and state environmental regulations and enforcement that could increase our costs or limit our operations, • changes in nuclear regulation and/or general developments in the nuclear power industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents experienced at our facilities or by others in the industry, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating units, • actions or activities at one of our nuclear units located on a multi-unit site that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units located at the same site, • any inability to manage our energy obligations, available supply and risks, • adverse outcomes of any legal, regulatory or other proceeding, settlement, investigation or claim applicable to us and/or the energy industry, • any deterioration in our credit quality or the credit quality of our counterparties, • availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and conditions and our ability to meet cash needs, • changes in the cost of, or interruption in the supply of, fuel and other commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units, • delays in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our construction and development activities, • delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and development activities, • any inability to achieve, or continue to sustain, our expected levels of operating performance, • any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers, and any inability to obtain sufficient insurance coverage or recover proceeds of insurance with respect to such events, • acts of terrorism, cybersecurity attacks or intrusions that could adversely impact our businesses, • increases in competition in energy supply markets as well as competition for certain transmission projects, • any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits, • challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified workforce, • adverse performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust fund investments and changes in funding requirements, • changes in technology, such as distributed generation and micro grids, and greater reliance on these technologies, and • changes in customer behaviors, including increases in energy efficiency, net-metering and demand response. All of the forward-looking statements made in this report are qualified by these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that the results or developments anticipated by management will be realized or even if realized, will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or our business prospects, financial condition or results of operations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decision. Forward-looking statements made in this report apply only as of the date of this report. While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this report are intended to qualify for the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. 2 Exhibit 99 |
3 GAAP Disclaimer These materials and other financial releases can be found on the pseg.com website under the investor tab, or at http://investor.pseg.com/ PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from Net Income because it excludes gains or losses associated with Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM) accounting, and other material one-time items. PSEG presents Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate for investors to consider results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand performance trends. This information is not intended to be viewed as an alternative to GAAP information. The last slides in this presentation include a list of items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings, with a reference to those slides included on each of the slides where the non-GAAP information appears. |
8 Operating Earnings Mix Long term investment program has driven increased earnings contribution from stable, regulated business *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/ NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS; DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS REFLECT TEXAS. E=ESTIMATE ** 2014 PERCENTS USE MIDPOINT OF EARNINGS GUIDANCE. Power’s diverse fuel mix and dispatch flexibility continues to generate earnings and free cash flow PSE&G’s investment in transmission has diversified its asset base and, coupled with other investments and cost controls, supported compound annual earnings growth of ~18% over 2009 – 2013 Operating Earnings* Contribution by Subsidiary (%) PSE&G Power Other $2.44 $2.58 $2.60 - $2.75E $3.12 $2.74 $3.09 |
PSEG – Year to Date 2014 Highlights Operating Earnings YTD up 9% to $2.27 per share from $2.09 for YTD 2013 PSE&G on track to record double-digit growth in earnings on expanded capital investment program PSEG Power expected to earn at upper level of expectations for the full year Narrowed 2014 full–year, operating earnings guidance to $2.60-$2.75 per share, from $2.55-$2.75 per share prior Executing on our capital program Replacement of PSE&G’s gas cast-iron pipe underway as part of $1.22 billion Energy Strong capital program Major transmission projects under $6.8 billion capital program are on-time and on-budget Market developments PJM proposed changes to its Reliability Price Model, Demand Curve Adjustment and pending Demand Response (DR) issues supportive of price formation 13 |
14 SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. E = ESTIMATE. $2.44 $2.58 $2.60 - $2.75E 2014 operating earnings guidance narrowed; forecast full-year at upper end of range, assuming normal weather and unit operations for rest of year PSEG – 2014 Another Year of Growth |
Susquehanna-Roseland consists of constructing 150 miles of 500kV circuit (46 miles in NJ) with two new 500kV GIS switching stations at Roseland and Hopatcong Project Estimate Up To* Through Year-end 2013 Expected In-service Date $790M $661M Phase 1 – Completed Phase 2 – June 2015 • PJM RTEP project b0489 • ROE of 12.93% (including 1.25% incentive) • 100% CWIP in rate base during development • 100% recovery of prudently incurred costs due to abandonment Customer Benefit: Improves reliability and reduces congestion Project Status: The eastern part of line from Hopatcong to Roseland, NJ in service April 2014; NJ construction phase completed in 2014. PA portion outside plant construction in progress. Western portion in NJ and the PA portion is planned to go in service June 2015. *PROJECT IS SHARED WITH PPL. PROJECT ESTIMATE REPRESENTS PSE&G’S CONSTRUCTION RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE NJ PORTION. 33 |
42 PSE&G’s 2014 operating earnings to benefit from increased investment in transmission and on-going cost control *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. E =ESTIMATE. DATA AS OF MARCH 31, 2014. PSE&G Operating Earnings* ($ Millions) |
PSEG was selected to operate Long Island Power Authority’s (LIPA) electric transmission and distribution system for 12 years starting in 2014 Pursuant to the Operating Services Agreement (OSA), all expenses and capital costs to operate the system are pre-funded by LIPA and passed through to their customers Compensation consists of a fixed fee and an incentive fee Fixed compensation fee for 2014 with scheduled increases in 2015 and 2016 PSEG Energy Resources and Trading (ER&T) began managing LIPA’s fuel/energy contracts on January 1, 2015 PSEG Long Island expected to contribute $0.03 to operating earnings in 2014 increasing to $0.07 per share in 2016 including contribution at ER&T Potential for an 8-year extension of the OSA 44 |
Financial Strength Disciplined Investment Operational Excellence • Maximize value of existing generating plants through implementation of the Operational Excellence Model (OEM) • Workforce engagement and development • Deliver on Business Plan Commitments • Maintain competitive markets and improve constituent communication on issues important to Power • Successfully complete the Advanced Gas Path (AGP) uprates • Seek new opportunities in target markets (PJM, ISO-NE, NYISO) • Develop our renewables business (solar) • Maintain new nuclear option by successfully managing the Early Site Permit (ESP) process PSEG Power Delivering on priorities • OEM implemented and achieving measures • Resource sharing program initiated • Exceeded earnings guidance in 2013 • Ongoing effort in key markets showing success • Successful court outcome against subsidized generation • Accelerated schedule for AGP to maximize opportunity • LIPA contract for fuel and generation dispatch began January 1, 2015 • New Rockfish solar project brings Solar Source’s portfolio to 123 MW • Nuclear ESP is expected in 2015 49 |
PJM Capacity Performance Proposal: aims to increase electric supply reliability Capacity performance (CP) proposal places emphasis on reliability given observed outages during times of extreme weather stress and anticipated retirements; Imposition of higher penalty structure to encourage availability Elimination of 2.5% holdback, making all capacity resources annual products, net CONE bidding safe harbor, and the change in the demand curve (VRR) support price formation and improve resource adequacy 80 Generator availability/flexibility is key objective for units with secure fuel supply capable of meeting operating standards |
92 Improving Operating Earnings and increased contribution from PSE&G PSEG Operating Earnings $ Millions (except EPS) 2012 2013 2014E PSE&G $528 $612 $710 - $745 $663 $710 $575 - $610 Enterprise/Other $45 ($13) $35 - $40 Operating Earnings* $1,236 $1,309 $1,320 - $1,395 Operating EPS* $2.44 $2.58 $2.60 - $2.75 Regulated % of Earnings 43% 47% 53% - 54% *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. NOTE: 2012 OPERATING EARNINGS RE-STATED FOR TRANSFER OF ASSETS FROM PSEG HOLDINGS TO PSEG POWER. E=ESTIMATE. |
PSEG’s longer-term outlook is influenced by Power’s hedge position and increased investment at PSE&G 2015E 2016E Each $0.75/mcf Change in Natural Gas Each $2/MWh Change in Spark Spread Each $5/MWh Change in Dark Spread Each 1% Change in Nuclear Capacity Factor Segment EPS Drivers Each $100 Million of Incremental Investment Each 1% Change in Sales Electric Gas Each 1% Change in O&M Each 20 basis point Change in Distribution ROE Each 20 basis point Change in Transmission ROE $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.07-$0.10 $0.05 $0.04 $0.01 $0.00-$0.02 $0.05 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 Sensitivities derived from typical annual market variability* * Estimated annual variability approximating one standard deviation based on 2011 – 2013 historical data and forward curve estimates applied to PSEG Power open positions. E = ESTIMATE. POWER EARNINGS SENSITIVITIES UPDATED FOR OCTOBER 31, 2014 PRICE CURVES. 94 |
A Items Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings PLEASE SEE PAGE 3 FOR AN EXPLANATION OF PSEG’S USE OF OPERATING EARNINGS AS A NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE AND HOW IT DIFFERS FROM NET INCOME. 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Earnings Impact ($ Millions) Operating Earnings 1,309 $ 1,236 $ 1,389 $ 1,584 $ 1,567 $ 1,478 $ Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 40 52 50 46 9 (71) Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM) (a) (PSEG Power) (74) (10) 107 (1) (11) 14 Lease Transaction Activity (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - 36 (173) - 29 (490) Storm O&M (PSEG Power) (32) (39) - - - - Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G) - - - (72) - - Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - - 34 - - (13) Income from Continuing Operations 1,243 $ 1,275 $ 1,407 $ 1,557 $ 1,594 $ 918 $ Discontinued Operations - - 96 7 (2) 270 Net Income 1,243 $ 1,275 $ 1,503 $ 1,564 $ 1,592 $ 1,188 $ Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions) 508 507 507 507 507 508 Per Share Impact (Diluted) Operating Earnings 2.58 $ 2.44 $ 2.74 $ 3.12 $ 3.09 $ 2.91 $ Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.02 (0.14) Gain (Loss) on MTM (a) (PSEG Power) (0.14) (0.02) 0.21 - (0.02) 0.03 Lease Transaction Activity (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - 0.07 (0.34) - 0.05 (0.96) Storm O&M (PSEG Power) (0.07) (0.08) - - - - Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G) - - - (0.14) - - Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - - 0.06 - - (0.03) Income from Continuing Operations 2.45 $ 2.51 $ 2.77 $ 3.07 $ 3.14 $ 1.81 $ Discontinued Operations - - 0.19 0.01 - 0.53 Net Income 2.45 $ 2.51 $ 2.96 $ 3.08 $ 3.14 $ 2.34 $ For the Year Ended December 31, (Unaudited) Reconciling Items, net of tax (a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months. PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED |