Allowance for Credit Losses and Credit Quality of Loans | 5. Allowance for Credit Losses and Credit Quality of Loans The Company’s adoption of ASU 2022-02 resulted in an insignificant change to our methodology for estimating the allowance for credit losses on TDRs. The Day 1 decrease in allowance for credit loss on TDR loans relating to adoption of ASU 2022-02 was $0.6 million. The allowance for credit losses totaled $100.3 million at March 31, 2023, compared to $100.8 million at December 31, 2022. The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of loans was 1.21% at March 31, 2023, compared to 1.24% at December 31, 2022. During the first quarter of 2023, the Company made adjustments to the class segments within the portfolios to better align risk characteristics and reflect the monitoring and assessment of risks as the portfolios continue to evolve. Paycheck Protection Program was consolidated with Commercial & Industrial, as the portfolio had decreased to less than $1 million and no longer warranted a material class segment. The Other Consumer class segment was further separated into Residential Solar and Other Consumer. The growth in our Residential Solar portfolio warranted evaluation of this class separately from the Other Consumer class segments. The change to the class segments was applied retrospectively and did not have a significant impact on the allowance for loan losses. The following table illustrates the portfolio and class segments for the Company’s loan portfolio: Portfolio Segment Class Commercial Loans Commercial & Industrial Commercial Real Estate Consumer Loans Auto Residential Solar Other Consumer Residential Loans The allowance for credit losses calculation incorporated a 6-quarter forecast period to account for forecast economic conditions under each scenario utilized in the measurement. For periods beyond the 6-quarter forecast, the model reverts to long-term economic conditions over a 4-quarter reversion period on a straight-line basis. The Company considers a baseline, upside and downside economic forecast in measuring the allowance. The quantitative model as of March 31, 2023 incorporates a baseline economic outlook along with an alternative downside scenario sourced from a reputable third-party to accommodate other potential economic conditions in the model. At March 31, 2023, the weightings were 50%, 0% and 50% for the baseline, upside and downside economic forecasts, respectively. The baseline outlook reflected an unemployment rate environment below pre-coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic levels throughout much of the forecast period. Northeast GDP’s annualized growth (on a quarterly basis) is expected to start the second quarter of 2023 at approximately 3.9% and rise to 4.4% before falling slightly to 4.1% by the end of the forecast period. Other utilized economic variables have generally remained stable in their respective forecasts, with the exception of northeast housing starts which deteriorated since December 31, 2022 and served as a counter-balance to the improved unemployment outlook. Key assumptions in the baseline economic outlook included the Federal Reserve raising rates with two more 25 basis point hikes at the May and June meetings bringing the terminal range to 5%-5.25%, recent bank failures not being symptomatic of a serious broader problem in the financial system, the economy remaining at full employment, continued tapering of the Federal Reserve balance sheet, a slowly increasing yield on ten-year treasury securities, and a continued decline in oil prices. The alternative downside scenario assumed deteriorated economic conditions from the baseline outlook. Under this scenario, northeast unemployment rises from 3.7% in the first quarter of 2023 to a peak of 7.1% in the second quarter of 2024. These scenarios and their respective weightings are evaluated at each measurement date and reflect management’s expectations as of March 31, 2023. Additional adjustments were made for factors not incorporated in the forecasts or the model, such as loss rate expectations for certain loan pools, considerations for inflation, and recent trends in asset value indices. Additional monitoring for industry concentrations, loan growth, and policy exceptions was also conducted. All these factors were considered through separate quantitative processes and incorporated when applicable into the estimate of current expected credit losses at March 31, 2023. The quantitative model as of December 31, 2022 incorporates a baseline economic outlook along with an alternative downside scenario sourced from a reputable third-party to accommodate other potential economic conditions in the model. At December 31, 2022, the weightings were 50%, 0% and 50% for the baseline, upside and downside economic forecasts, respectively. The baseline outlook reflected an unemployment rate environment initially around pre-COVID-19 levels at 3.9% that increases slightly during the forecast period to 4.0%. Northeast GDP’s annualized growth (on a quarterly basis) is expected to start the first quarter of 2023 at approximately 3.9% and hovering around 4.6% by the end of the forecast period. Other utilized economic variables have generally deteriorated in their respective forecasts, with retail sales and housing starts forecasts declining from the prior year. Key assumptions in the baseline economic outlook included a full employment economy being realized in the near future, continued tapering of the Federal Reserve balance sheet, an increasing yield on ten-year treasury securities, and a gradual decline in global oil prices. The alternative downside scenario assumed deteriorated economic and pandemic related conditions from the baseline outlook. Under this scenario, northeast unemployment rises from 3.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022 to a peak of 6.9% in the first quarter of 2024. These scenarios and their respective weightings are evaluated at each measurement date and reflect management’s expectations as of December 31, 2022. Additional adjustments were made for factors not incorporated in the forecasts or the model, such as loss rate expectations for certain loan pools, considerations for inflation, and recent trends in asset value indices. Additional monitoring for industry concentrations, loan growth, and policy exceptions was also conducted. All these factors were considered through separate quantitative processes and incorporated when applicable into the estimate of current expected credit losses at December 31, 2022. There were no loans purchased with credit deterioration during the three months ended March 31, 2023 or the year ended December 31, 2022. The Company purchased no loans during the three months ended March 31, 2023. During 2022, the Company purchased $11.5 million of residential loans at a 1.53% premium and $50.1 million in consumer loans at par. The allowance for credit losses recorded for these loans on the purchase date was $3.2 million. The Company made a policy election to report AIR in the other assets The following tables present the activity in the allowance for credit losses by our portfolio segments: (In thousands) Commercial Loans Consumer Loans Residential Total Balance as of January 1, 2023 (after adoption of ASC 2022-02) $ 34,662 $ 50,951 $ 14,539 $ 100,152 Charge-offs (169 ) (5,342 ) (339 ) (5,850 ) Recoveries 541 1,377 121 2,039 Provision 1,006 1,834 1,069 3,909 Ending balance as of March 31 2023 $ 36,040 $ 48,820 $ 15,390 $ 100,250 Balance as of December 31, 2021 $ 28,941 $ 44,253 $ 18,806 $ 92,000 Charge-offs (588 ) (3,591 ) (312 ) (4,491 ) Recoveries 93 1,652 150 1,895 Provision 111 1,277 (792 ) 596 Ending balance as of March 31 2022 $ 28,557 $ 43,591 $ 17,852 $ 90,000 The decrease in the allowance for credit losses at March 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022 was primarily due to a reduction in expected losses in the residential solar portfolios, an improvement in economic forecasts and reduction in allowance on TDRs related to the adoption of ASU 2022-02. These decreases were partly offset by an increase in providing for the increase in loan balances and a decline in prepayment speeds. The decrease in the allowance for credit losses from December 31, 2021 to March 31, 2022 was primarily due to an improvement in the economic forecast, partly offset by providing the increase in loan balances. Individually Evaluated Loans As of March 31, 2023, there were two relationships identified to be evaluated for loss on an individual basis which, in aggregate, had an amortized cost basis of $2.3 million, with no allowance for credit loss. As of December 31, 2022, the same two relationships were identified to be evaluated for loss on an individual basis, in aggregate, had an amortized cost basis of $2.4 million, with no allowance for credit loss. The following table sets forth information with regard to past due and nonperforming loans by loan segment: (In thousands) 31-60 Days Past Due Accruing 61-90 Days Past Due Accruing Greater Than 90 Days Past Due Accruing Total Past Due Accruing Nonaccrual Current Recorded Total Loans As of March 31 2023 Commercial loans: C&I $ 2,676 $ 181 $ - $ 2,857 $ 1,785 $ 1,261,122 $ 1,265,764 CRE 870 - - 870 5,243 2,724,001 2,730,114 Total commercial loans $ 3,546 $ 181 $ - $ 3,727 $ 7,028 $ 3,985,123 $ 3,995,878 Consumer loans: Auto $ 6,852 $ 885 $ 384 $ 8,121 $ 1,693 $ 992,247 $ 1,002,061 Residential solar 2,419 773 253 3,445 183 916,456 920,084 Other consumer 3,296 1,870 1,293 6,459 98 234,516 241,073 Total consumer loans $ 12,567 $ 3,528 $ 1,930 $ 18,025 $ 1,974 $ 2,143,219 $ 2,163,218 Residential $ 2,403 $ 462 $ 398 $ 3,263 $ 7,282 $ 2,094,937 $ 2,105,482 Total loans $ 18,516 $ 4,171 $ 2,328 $ 25,015 $ 16,284 $ 8,223,279 $ 8,264,578 (In thousands) 31-60 Days Past Due Accruing 61-90 Days Past Due Accruing Greater Than 90 Days Past Due Accruing Total Past Due Accruing Nonaccrual Current Recorded Total Loans As of December 31 2022 Commercial loans: C&I $ 342 $ 99 $ 4 $ 445 $ 2,244 $ 1,238,468 $ 1,241,157 CRE 336 96 - 432 5,780 2,689,196 2,695,408 Total commercial loans $ 678 $ 195 $ 4 $ 877 $ 8,024 $ 3,927,664 $ 3,936,565 Consumer loans: Auto $ 8,640 $ 1,393 $ 785 $ 10,818 $ 1,494 $ 950,389 $ 962,701 Residential solar 2,858 731 474 4,063 79 852,656 856,798 Other consumer 3,483 1,838 1,789 7,110 94 272,384 279,588 Total consumer loans $ 14,981 $ 3,962 $ 3,048 $ 21,991 $ 1,667 $ 2,075,429 $ 2,099,087 Residential $ 2,496 $ 555 $ 771 $ 3,822 $ 7,542 $ 2,103,131 $ 2,114,495 Total loans $ 18,155 $ 4,712 $ 3,823 $ 26,690 $ 17,233 $ 8,106,224 $ 8,150,147 As of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, there were $1.0 million and $1.1 million, respectively, of loans in nonaccrual that were specifically evaluated for individual expected credit loss without an allowance for credit losses. Credit Quality Indicators The Company has developed an internal loan grading system to evaluate and quantify the Company’s loan portfolio with respect to quality and risk. The system focuses on, among other things, financial strength of borrowers, experience and depth of borrower’s management, primary and secondary sources of repayment, payment history, nature of the business and outlook on particular industries. The internal grading system enables the Company to monitor the quality of the entire loan portfolio on a consistent basis and provide management with an early warning system, enabling recognition and response to problem loans and potential problem loans. Commercial Grading System For Commercial and Industrial (“C&I”) and Commercial Real Estate (“CRE”) loans, the Company uses a grading system that relies on quantifiable and measurable characteristics when available. This includes comparison of financial strength to available industry averages, comparison of transaction factors (loan terms and conditions) to loan policy and comparison of credit history to stated repayment terms and industry averages. Some grading factors are necessarily more subjective such as economic and industry factors, regulatory environment and management. C&I and CRE loans are graded Doubtful, Substandard, Special Mention and Pass. Doubtful A Doubtful loan has a high probability of total or substantial loss, but because of specific pending events that may strengthen the asset, its classification as a loss is deferred. Doubtful borrowers are usually in default, lack adequate liquidity or capital and lack the resources necessary to remain an operating entity. Pending events can include mergers, acquisitions, liquidations, capital injections, the perfection of liens on additional collateral, the valuation of collateral and refinancing. Generally, pending events should be resolved within a relatively short period and the ratings will be adjusted based on the new information. Nonaccrual treatment is required for Doubtful assets because of the high probability of loss. Substandard Substandard loans have a high probability of payment default or they have other well-defined weaknesses. They require more intensive supervision by bank management. Substandard loans are generally characterized by current or expected unprofitable operations, inadequate debt service coverage, inadequate liquidity or marginal capitalization. Repayment may depend on collateral or other credit risk mitigants. For some Substandard loans, the likelihood of full collection of interest and principal may be in doubt and those loans should be placed on nonaccrual. Although Substandard assets in the aggregate will have a distinct potential for loss, an individual asset’s loss potential does not have to be distinct for the asset to be rated Substandard. Special Mention Special Mention loans have potential weaknesses that may, if not checked or corrected, weaken the asset or inadequately protect the Company’s position at some future date. These loans pose elevated risk, but their weakness does not yet justify a Substandard classification. Borrowers may be experiencing adverse operating trends (i.e., declining revenues or margins) or may be struggling with an ill-proportioned balance sheet (i.e., increasing inventory without an increase in sales, high leverage, and/or tight liquidity). Adverse economic or market conditions, such as interest rate increases or the entry of a new competitor, may also support a Special Mention rating. Although a Special Mention loan has a higher probability of default than a Pass asset, its default is not imminent. Pass Loans graded as Pass encompass all loans not graded as Doubtful, Substandard or Special Mention. Pass loans are in compliance with loan covenants and payments are generally made as agreed. Pass loans range from superior quality to fair quality. Pass loans also include any portion of a government guaranteed loan, including Paycheck Protection Program loans. Consumer and Residential Grading System Consumer and Residential loans are graded as either Nonperforming or Performing. Nonperforming Nonperforming loans are loans that are (1) over 90 days past due and interest is still accruing or (2) on nonaccrual status. Performing All loans not meeting any of the above criteria are considered Performing. The following tables illustrate the Company’s credit quality by loan class by vintage and beginning in 2023 with the Company’s January 1, 2023 adoption of ASU 2022-02 also includes gross charge-offs by loan class by vintage for the three months ended March 31, 2023. Included in other consumer gross charge-offs, the Company recorded $0.2 million in overdrawn deposit accounts reported as 2022 originations, for the three months ended March 31, 2023. (In thousands) 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Prior Revolving Loans Amortized Cost Basis Revolving Loans Converted to Term Total As of March 31 2023 C&I By internally assigned grade: Pass $ 58,995 $ 287,770 $ 240,751 $ 154,864 $ 83,060 $ 65,062 $ 323,916 $ 17,121 $ 1,231,539 Special mention - 956 524 3,925 90 1,439 5,965 - 12,899 Substandard 350 1,902 435 534 2,301 3,489 12,230 32 21,273 Doubtful - 24 - - 28 1 - - 53 Total C&I $ 59,345 $ 290,652 $ 241,710 $ 159,323 $ 85,479 $ 69,991 $ 342,111 $ 17,153 $ 1,265,764 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ (1 ) $ (1 ) $ (3 ) $ - $ (107 ) $ - $ - $ (112 ) CRE By internally assigned grade: Pass $ 62,072 $ 364,540 $ 461,622 $ 417,952 $ 333,603 $ 767,943 $ 211,630 $ 42,648 $ 2,662,010 Special mention - 2,266 6,785 3,394 2,399 9,525 3,590 - 27,959 Substandard - 309 1,265 5,671 3,298 28,277 1,325 - 40,145 Total CRE $ 62,072 $ 367,115 $ 469,672 $ 427,017 $ 339,300 $ 805,745 $ 216,545 $ 42,648 $ 2,730,114 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ - $ - $ - $ (57 ) $ - $ - $ - $ (57 ) Auto By payment activity: Performing $ 136,896 $ 455,757 $ 216,248 $ 66,132 $ 83,483 $ 41,468 $ - $ - $ 999,984 Nonperforming 11 550 660 357 363 136 - - 2,077 Total Auto $ 136,907 $ 456,307 $ 216,908 $ 66,489 $ 83,846 $ 41,604 $ - $ - $ 1,002,061 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ (318 ) $ (242 ) $ (127 ) $ (77 ) $ (89 ) $ - $ - $ (853 ) Residential solar By payment activity: Performing $ 83,543 $ 476,712 $ 189,586 $ 72,221 $ 52,543 $ 45,043 $ - $ - $ 919,648 Nonperforming - 198 45 36 54 103 - - 436 Total Residential solar $ 83,543 $ 476,910 $ 189,631 $ 72,257 $ 52,597 $ 45,146 $ - $ - $ 920,084 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ (272 ) $ (334 ) $ (45 ) $ (26 ) $ (58 ) $ - $ - $ (735 ) Other consumer By payment activity: Performing $ 3,689 $ 41,754 $ 95,002 $ 31,506 $ 23,595 $ 26,188 $ 17,930 $ 18 $ 239,682 Nonperforming - 239 663 285 70 113 5 16 1,391 Total other consumer $ 3,689 $ 41,993 $ 95,665 $ 31,791 $ 23,665 $ 26,301 $ 17,935 $ 34 $ 241,073 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ (988 ) $ (2,005 ) $ (472 ) $ (281 ) $ (8 ) $ - $ - $ (3,754 ) Residential By payment activity: Performing $ 33,490 $ 257,316 $ 348,907 $ 207,985 $ 154,174 $ 849,898 $ 226,644 $ 19,388 $ 2,097,802 Nonperforming 41 181 384 258 491 6,325 - - 7,680 Total residential $ 33,531 $ 257,497 $ 349,291 $ 208,243 $ 154,665 $ 856,223 $ 226,644 $ 19,388 $ 2,105,482 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ (339 ) $ - $ - $ (339 ) Total loans $ 379,087 $ 1,890,474 $ 1,562,877 $ 965,120 $ 739,552 $ 1,845,010 $ 803,235 $ 79,223 $ 8,264,578 Current-period gross charge-offs $ - $ (1,579 ) $ (2,582 ) $ (647 ) $ (441 ) $ (601 ) $ - $ - $ (5,850 ) (In thousands) 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Prior Revolving Loans Amortized Cost Basis Revolving Loans Converted to Term Total As of December 31, 2022 C&I By internally assigned grade: Pass $ 296,562 $ 252,480 $ 164,976 $ 91,497 $ 39,394 $ 32,413 $ 327,166 $ 3,133 $ 1,207,621 Special mention 1,044 524 4,531 194 1,108 417 5,234 - 13,052 Substandard 76 459 231 3,098 91 3,969 12,348 163 20,435 Doubtful - 20 - 28 - 1 - - 49 Total C&I $ 297,682 $ 253,483 $ 169,738 $ 94,817 $ 40,593 $ 36,800 $ 344,748 $ 3,296 $ 1,241,157 CRE By internally assigned grade: Pass $ 374,313 $ 465,990 $ 439,012 $ 333,568 $ 217,141 $ 566,783 $ 201,563 $ 24,735 $ 2,623,105 Special mention 605 764 868 2,641 4,649 24,023 850 - 34,400 Substandard 309 - 2,316 3,937 1,822 23,819 713 4,987 37,903 Total CRE $ 375,227 $ 466,754 $ 442,196 $ 340,146 $ 223,612 $ 614,625 $ 203,126 $ 29,722 $ 2,695,408 Auto By payment activity: Performing $ 488,776 $ 239,090 $ 75,853 $ 99,615 $ 44,061 $ 13,027 $ - $ - $ 960,422 Nonperforming 590 655 404 385 216 29 - - 2,279 Total Auto $ 489,366 $ 239,745 $ 76,257 $ 100,000 $ 44,277 $ 13,056 $ - $ - $ 962,701 Residential solar By payment activity: Performing $ 485,942 $ 193,971 $ 74,532 $ 54,662 $ 36,119 $ 11,019 $ - $ - $ 856,245 Nonperforming 320 98 50 25 16 44 - - 553 Total Residential solar $ 486,262 $ 194,069 $ 74,582 $ 54,687 $ 36,135 $ 11,063 $ - $ - $ 856,798 Other consumer By payment activity: Performing $ 52,545 $ 110,624 $ 36,412 $ 27,383 $ 15,536 $ 15,735 $ 19,218 $ 250 $ 277,703 Nonperforming 238 838 395 247 57 87 8 15 1,885 Total other consumer $ 52,783 $ 111,462 $ 36,807 $ 27,630 $ 15,593 $ 15,822 $ 19,226 $ 265 $ 279,588 Residential By payment activity: Performing $ 251,012 $ 349,498 $ 212,161 $ 156,957 $ 157,755 $ 717,621 $ 233,056 $ 28,122 $ 2,106,182 Nonperforming 267 384 408 555 1,028 5,651 - 20 8,313 Total residential $ 251,279 $ 349,882 $ 212,569 $ 157,512 $ 158,783 $ 723,272 $ 233,056 $ 28,142 $ 2,114,495 Total loans $ 1,952,599 $ 1,615,395 $ 1,012,149 $ 774,792 $ 518,993 $ 1,414,638 $ 800,156 $ 61,425 $ 8,150,147 Allowance for Credit Losses on Off-Balance Sheet Credit Exposures The allowance for losses on unfunded commitments totaled $4.5 million as March 31, 2023, compared to $5.1 million as of December 31, 2022. Loan Modifications to Borrowers Experiencing Financial Difficulties As previously mentioned in Note 3 Recent Accounting Pronouncements, the Company’s January 1, 2023 adoption of ASU 2022-02 eliminates the recognition and measurement of TDRs. Upon adoption of this guidance, the Company will no longer recognize an allowance for credit losses for the economic concession granted to a borrower for changes in the timing and amount of contractual cash flows when a loan is restructured. The adoption of ASU 2022-02 results in a change to reporting for loan modifications to borrowers experiencing financial difficulties. With the adoption of ASU 2022-02 these modifications require enhanced reporting on the type of modifications granted and the financial magnitude of the concessions granted. When the Company modifies a loan with financial difficulty, such modifications generally include one or a combination of the following: an extension of the maturity date at a stated rate of interest lower than the current market rate for new debt with similar risk; a change in scheduled payment amount; or principal forgiveness. The following table shows the amortized cost basis at the end of the reporting period of the loans modified to borrowers experiencing financial difficulty, disaggregated by class of financing receivable and type of concession granted: Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 Term Extension (Dollars in thousands) Amortized Cost % of Total Class of Financing Receivables Residential $ 43 0.0020 % Total $ 43 0.0020 % The following table describes the financial effect of the modifications made to borrowers experiencing financial difficulties: Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 Loan Type Term Extension Residential Added a weighted-average 18 years to the life of loan, which reduced monthly payment amounts for the borrowers There were no financing receivables that had a payment default during the three months ended March 31, 2023 that were modified to borrowers experiencing financial difficulty since the adoption of ASU 2022-02 effective January 1, 2023. The following table depicts the performance of loans that have been modified since the adoption of ASU 2022-02 effective January 1, 2023: Payment Status (Amortized Cost Basis) (In thousands) Current 31-60 Days Past Due 61-90 Days Past Due Greater than 90 Days Past Due March 31, 2023 Loan Type Residential $ 43 $ - $ - $ - Total $ 43 $ - $ - $ - Troubled Debt Restructuring Prior to the adoption of ASU 2022-02 on January 1, 2023, the Company accounted for loan modifications to borrowers experiencing financial difficulty when concessions were granted as TDRs. The following tables are disclosures related to TDRs in prior periods. The following table illustrates the recorded investments and number of modifications designated as TDRs, including the recorded investment in the loans prior to a modification and the recorded investment in the loans after restructuring: Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 (Dollars in thousands) Number of Contracts Pre-Modification Outstanding Recorded Investment Post-Modification Outstanding Recorded Investment Residential 2 $ 118 $ 124 Total TDRs 2 $ 118 $ 124 The following table illustrates the recorded investment and number of modifications for TDRs where a concession has been made and subsequently defaulted during the period: Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 (Dollars in thousands) Number of Contracts Recorded Investment Consumer loans: Auto 1 $ 11 Total consumer loans 1 $ 11 Residential 20 $ 900 Total TDRs 21 $ 911 |