EXHIBIT 99.4
First Quarter 2008
Earnings Conference Call
April 24, 2008
1
First Quarter 2008 Earnings – Highlights
Net Income - $1.846 B vs. $1.212 B in 1Q-07
Reported EPS $2.23 (diluted) vs. $1.43 in 1Q-07
+56% year-over-year
Core Results - $1.819 B vs. $788 mm in 1Q-07
Core EPS $2.20 (diluted) vs. $0.93 in 1Q-07
+137% year-over-year
Record first quarter net income driven by:
8.4% year-over-year increase in oil and gas production;
Improved oil and gas prices.
2
First Quarter 2008 Earnings – Summary
($ in millions, except EPS data)
1Q2008
1Q2007
Net Income
$1,846
$1,212
Reported EPS (diluted)
$2.23
$1.43
Core Results
$1,819
$788
Core EPS (diluted)
$2.20
$0.93
+137% year-over-year
Oil and Gas production (mboe/day)
607
560
+8.4% year-over-year
Capital Spending
$868
$780
Cash Flow from Operations
$2,700
$1,600
ROE
32%
26%
ROCE*
29%
24%
* Annualized (see attached Excel file for GAAP reconciliation)
3
First Quarter 2008 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Core Results for 1Q08 of $2.888 Billion
+ 112% year-over-year
($ in millions)
1Q 07
Sales Price
Sales
Volume/Mix
Exploration
Expense
*All Others
1Q 08
$1,362
$2,888
$1,574
$100
$28
$176
*All Others include: DD&A increase ($31 mm), and higher operating expenses
4
First Quarter 2008 Earnings –
Oil & Gas Segment
1Q08
1Q07
Reported Segment Earnings ($ mm)
$2,888
$1,883
WTI Oil Price ($/bbl)
$97.90
$58.16
NYMEX Gas Price ($/mcf)
$7.94
$7.17
Oxy’s Realized Prices
Worldwide Oil ($/bbl)
$86.75
$51.67
US Natural Gas ($/mcf)
$8.15
$6.38
5
First Quarter 2008 Earnings –
Oil & Gas Segment
1Q08
1Q07
Oil and Gas Production (mboe/day)
607
560
+ 8.4% year-over-year
Improvement was largely due to the Dolphin Project, partially offset by lower
PSC volumes due to higher prices.
Actual production was in the middle of our earlier guidance of 600 to 615
mboe/day, and based on $90 WTI.
Dolphin contribution:
$102 mm of after-tax income;
Sales volumes of 55 mboe/day vs. guidance of 53 mboe/day.
Reached full operations in February and is currently producing approximately
2 bcf/d of natural gas and 200,000 b/d of condensate and NGLs.
Exploration expense of $74 mm was in line with guidance of $70 - $90 mm.
Oil and Gas production costs were $12.94 per boe in 1Q08 vs. $12.36 per
boe for full-year 2007, and approximately $0.39 per boe less than 4Q07.
Numbers adjusted to remove the midstream costs.
Increase due to higher production and ad valorem taxes and field operating costs.
6
First Quarter 2008 Earnings – Chemical
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Core Results for 1Q08 of $179 Million
+31% year-over-year, and higher than guidance of $100 to $125 mm;
Improvement due to higher prices and margins in caustic soda, and higher
PVC and VCM volumes exported to non-US$ denominated economies.
($ in millions)
1Q 07
Sales Price
Sales
Volume/Mix
*Operations/
Manufacturing
All Others
1Q 08
$137
$179
$210
$6
$172
$2
*Higher energy and feedstock costs
7
First Quarter 2008 Earnings –
Midstream, Marketing and Other
Midstream assets reclassified out of the Oil and Gas segment
The assets are comprised of the following businesses:
•
Marketing – Oxy’s marketing group markets our equity production and manages third party transactions. The primary drivers of these earnings are marketing and trading margins in oil and gas, transportation and storage programs.
•
Gas processing plants – Oxy’s domestic wet gas production and third party production is processed through 13 Permian and 2 other gas plants to extract NGLs and deliver dry gas to the pipelines. The primary driver for margins and cash flows is the difference between inlet costs of natural gas and market prices for NGLs and inlet volumes processed.
•
Pipelines – In the Permian basin, Oxy owns an oil-gathering, common carrier pipeline company with approximately 2,750 miles of pipeline, and a storage system with 5 mm barrels of active storage. The main margin and cash flow drivers are volumes shipped. Oxy also owns a 24.5% equity interest in the Dolphin Pipeline, which carries gas to markets in the UAE.
•
Power generation – Oxy owns 2 cogen plants, one in TX and one in LA, and an equity investment in a gas-fired power plant at Elk Hills. The three plants have combined electricity capacity to produce 1,768 megawatts per hour.
•
CO2 source fields and facilities – CO2 is processed and transported from the Permian Basin for use in Oxy’s EOR program, and the earnings represent the small volume sold to 3rd parties.
8
First Quarter 2008 Earnings –
Midstream, Marketing and Other
($ in millions)
Midstream Data ($ mm)
1Q08
1Q07
Core Results
$123
$119
2007
Net Book Value (at year end)
$1,800
Capex & Acquisition costs
$430
Similar amount expected in 2008
Funds will be spent enhancing our CO2 production and expanding our
pipeline capacity.
9
First Quarter 2008 Earnings – Cash Flow
$4,700
$870
$435
$210
$1,500
Available
Cash
Acquisitions
Capex
Share
Repurchase
Dividends
Ending Cash
Balance
3/31/08
Cash
Flow From
Operations
$2,700
($ in millions)
Beginning
Cash
$2,000
$1,600
$85
Other
10
First Quarter 2008 Earnings - Share Repurchase
Spent $435 million to repurchase 6.3 million shares in
1Q08 at an average price of $69.68 per share.
20.2 million shares remained under the current 75 million
share repurchase authorization.
Shares Outstanding (mm)
1Q08
3/31/08
Weighted Average Basic
823.6
Weighted Average Diluted
828.2
Basic Shares Outstanding
821.5
Diluted Shares Outstanding
826.1
11
First Quarter 2008 Earnings - 2Q08 Outlook
We expect 2Q08 oil and gas production in the range of 610
to 620 mboe/day, at $100 oil prices.
Production increases expected in Argentina, Colombia, Rocky Mountains,
Permian and Oman;
Partially offset by decreases due to high cost recovery levels in 1Q08.
We currently expect total capital spending for 2008 to be
about $4 billion.
The increase from the prior estimate is a result of capital for the Rockies,
California and Midstream Assets.
12
First Quarter 2008 Earnings - 2Q08 Outlook
Commodity Price Sensitivity — Earnings
A $1.00 per barrel change in oil prices impacts oil and gas
quarterly earnings before income taxes by about $39 mm;
Includes the impact of Dolphin;
Includes production sharing contract price impact of approximately
500 barrels per day.
A change of $0.50 per million BTUs in domestic gas prices has
a $25 mm impact on quarterly earnings before income taxes.
We expect 2Q08 exploration expense to be about $80 to
$100 mm for our seismic and drilling programs.
13
First Quarter 2008 Earnings - 2Q08 Outlook
We expect 2Q08 Chemical earnings to be in the range of
$120 to $140 mm, compared to $179 mm in 1Q08.
Higher feedstock costs are the primary driver of the reduced forecast.
Outlook is also below 2Q07 earnings of $158 mm due to weakness in
domestic construction which impacts industry demand.
Cash tax payments in 2Q08 will increase since two
quarterly estimated tax payments will be due. US income
tax payments in 1Q08 reflect true-ups of 2007 amounts due.
We expect our combined worldwide tax rate in 2Q08 to
remain at about 42%.
14
First Quarter 2008 Earnings
See the investor relations supplemental schedules for the reconciliation of non-
GAAP items. Statements in this presentation that contain words such as "will,"
"expect," or "estimate," or otherwise relate to the future, are forward-looking and
involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected
results. Factors that could cause results to differ materially include, but are not
limited to: exploration risks, such as drilling of unsuccessful wells; global
commodity pricing fluctuations and supply/demand considerations for oil, gas
and chemicals; higher-than-expected costs; political risk; operational interruption;
changes in tax rates; and not successfully completing (or any material delay in)
any expansion, capital expenditure, acquisition, or disposition. You should not
place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements which speak only as
of the date of this presentation. Unless legally required, Occidental disclaims
any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise. U.S. investors are urged to consider
carefully the disclosure in our Form 10-K, available through the following toll-free
telephone number, 1-888-OXYPETE (1-888-699-7383) or on the Internet at
http://www.oxy.com. You also can obtain a copy from the SEC by calling
1-800-SEC-0330.
15
Occidental Petroleum Corporation |
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Return on Capital Employed (% ) |
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($ Millions) |
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| Months |
| Annualized | ||
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) |
| 2007 | 2008 |
| 2008 | |||
GAAP measure - earnings applicable to common shareholders |
| 5,400 |
| 1,846 |
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Interest expense |
| 199 |
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Tax effect of interest expense |
| (70 | ) | — |
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Earnings before tax-effected interest expense |
| 5,529 |
| 1,846 |
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GAAP stockholders' equity |
| 22,823 |
| 23,944 |
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DEBT |
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GAAP debt |
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Debt, including current maturities |
| 1,788 |
| 1,775 |
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Non-GAAP debt |
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Capital lease obligation |
| 25 |
| 25 |
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Subsidiary preferred stock |
| — |
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Total debt |
| 1,813 |
| 1,800 |
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Total capital employed |
| 24,636 |
| 25,744 |
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Return on Capital Employed (%) |
| 23.6 |
| 7.3 |
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| 29.3 |
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