Public Service Enterprise Group PSEG Earnings Conference Call 4 Quarter & Year-end 2014 February 20, 2015 EXHIBIT 99.1 th |
1 Forward-Looking Statement Certain of the matters discussed in this report about our and our subsidiaries' future performance, including, without limitation, future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects, consequences and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. When used herein, the words “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “believe,” “expect,” “plan,” “should,” “hypothetical,” “potential,” “forecast,” “project,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ are often presented with the forward-looking statements themselves. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-looking statements made by us herein are discussed in filings we make with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K and available on our website: http://www.pseg.com. These factors include, but are not limited to: • adverse changes in the demand for or the price of the capacity and energy that we sell into wholesale electricity markets, • adverse changes in energy industry law, policies and regulation, including market structures and transmission planning, • any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and state regulators, • changes in federal and state environmental regulations and enforcement that could increase our costs or limit our operations, • changes in nuclear regulation and/or general developments in the nuclear power industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents experienced at our facilities or by others in the industry, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating units, • actions or activities at one of our nuclear units located on a multi-unit site that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units located at the same site, • any inability to manage our energy obligations, available supply and risks, • adverse outcomes of any legal, regulatory or other proceeding, settlement, investigation or claim applicable to us and/or the energy industry, • any deterioration in our credit quality or the credit quality of our counterparties, • availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and conditions and our ability to meet cash needs, • changes in the cost of, or interruption in the supply of, fuel and other commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units, • delays in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our construction and development activities, • delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and development activities, • any inability to achieve, or continue to sustain, our expected levels of operating performance, • any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers, and any inability to obtain sufficient insurance coverage or recover proceeds of insurance with respect to such events, • acts of terrorism, cybersecurity attacks or intrusions that could adversely impact our businesses, • increases in competition in energy supply markets as well as for transmission projects, • any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits, • challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified workforce, • adverse performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust fund investments and changes in funding requirements, • changes in technology, such as distributed generation and micro grids, and greater reliance on these technologies, and • changes in customer behaviors, including increases in energy efficiency, net-metering and demand response. All of the forward-looking statements made in this report are qualified by these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that the results or developments anticipated by management will be realized or even if realized, will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or our business prospects, financial condition or results of operations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decision. Forward-looking statements made in this report apply only as of the date of this report. While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this report are intended to qualify for the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. |
2 GAAP Disclaimer PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from Net Income because it excludes gains or losses associated with Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM) accounting, and other material one-time items. PSEG presents Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate for investors to consider results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand performance trends. This information is not intended to be viewed as an alternative to GAAP information. The last slide in this presentation includes a list of items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings, with a reference to that slide included on each of the slides where the non- GAAP information appears. These materials and other financial releases can be found on the pseg.com website under the investor tab, or at http://investor.pseg.com/ |
PSEG 2014 Q4 and Full Year Review Ralph Izzo Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer |
4 Q4 Earnings Summary $ millions (except EPS) 2014 2013 Operating Earnings $ 247 $ 248 Reconciling Items, Net of Tax 229 (48) Net Income $ 476 $ 200 EPS from Operating Earnings* $ 0.49 $ 0.49 Quarter ended December 31 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
5 Full-year Earnings Summary – EPS exceeded guidance $ millions (except EPS) 2014 2013 Operating Earnings $ 1,400 $ 1,309 Reconciling Items, Net of Tax 118 (66) Net Income $ 1,518 $ 1,243 EPS from Operating Earnings* $ 2.76 $ 2.58 Twelve Months ended December 31 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
6 PSEG – 2014 Highlights Strong 2014 financial performance – exceeded upper end of guidance Achieved operating earnings of $2.76 per share, up 7% compared to $2.58 per share in 2013 PSE&G achieved double-digit growth in earnings, adding to 5 years of 18% compound annual growth PSEG Power’s operating earnings exceeded the high end of guidance Continued operational excellence PSE&G’s control of O&M supported results Power generation up 1.3% for the year led by record CCGT production and strong Hope Creek performance PSE&G recognized for the 13 ** consecutive year as the Mid-Atlantic region’s most reliable electric utility Disciplined capital investment – producing results Transmission projects in construction – on schedule and on budget Energy Strong investments underway – gas mains replacement prioritized Power announced a new $100-$120 million investment in the PennEast Pipeline Filed Energy Efficiency II extension with NJBPU ($100 million) th |
PSEG Annual Dividend – Increased 5.4% PSEG Annual Dividend Rate *INDICATED ANNUAL PSEG COMMON DIVIDEND RATE PER SHARE. **2015 PAYOUT RATIO REFLECTS THE INDICATED ANNUAL DIVIDEND RATE DIVIDED BY THE MIDPOINT OF 2015 OPERATING EARNINGS GUIDANCE OF $2.75-2.95 PER SHARE. 7 Payout Ratio 63% 66% 43% 44% 43% 44% 50% 58% 56% 54% 55%** An improved rate of growth in the dividend, building on a long history of returning cash to the shareholder |
8 $2.75 - $2.95E PSEG 2015 Earnings Guidance – Anticipates Another Year of Growth $2.58 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. E = Estimate. $2.76 2015 guidance reflects continued increased level of investment, and assumes normal weather and unit operations |
PSEG 2014 Q4 Operating Company Review Caroline Dorsa EVP and Chief Financial Officer |
10 Q4 Operating Earnings by Subsidiary Operating Earnings Earnings per Share $ millions (except EPS) 2014 2013 2014 2013 PSE&G $ 160 $ 144 $ 0.32 $ 0.29 PSEG Power 91 115 0.18 0.23 PSEG Enterprise/Other (4) (11) (0.01) (0.03) Operating Earnings* $ 247 $ 248 $ 0.49 $ 0.49 Quarter ended December 31 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
11 $0.49 0.03 0.02 $0.49 (0.05) 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 PSEG EPS Reconciliation – Q4 2014 versus Q4 2013 Capacity (0.09) Re-Contracting and Market Pricing 0.01 O&M 0.05 D&A and Other (0.02) Transmission 0.02 O&M (Distribution) 0.04 Gas Volume & Demand 0.01 Electric Volume & Demand (0.01) Weather (0.01) Taxes and Other (0.02) Q4 2014 Operating Earnings* Q4 2013 Operating Earnings* PSEG Power** PSE&G** PSEG Enterprise/ Other * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. ** Prior quarter results for reconciling items may not add to year-to-date (YTD) totals due to rounding. Taxes and Other |
12 Strong Full-year Operating Earnings Delivered – Up 7% Operating Earnings Earnings per Share $ millions (except EPS) 2014 2013 2014 2013 PSE&G $ 725 $ 612 $ 1.43 $ 1.21 PSEG Power 642 710 1.27 1.40 PSEG Enterprise/Other 33 (13) 0.06 (0.03) Operating Earnings* $ 1,400 $ 1,309 $ 2.76 $ 2.58 Twelve Months ended December 31 •See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
13 $2.58 0.22 0.09 $2.76 (0.13) 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 PSEG EPS Reconciliation – Full-year 2014 versus Full-year 2013 Capacity (0.04) Re-Contracting and Market Pricing (0.10) O&M 0.02 D&A and Other (0.01) Transmission 0.11 Gas Volume & Demand 0.03 Weather (0.02) O&M (Distribution) 0.08 Lower Interest 0.02 2014 Operating Earnings* 2013 Operating Earnings* PSEG Power** PSE&G** PSEG Enterprise/ Other Taxes 0.04 PSEG Long Island 0.02 Other 0.03 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. ** Prior quarter results for reconciling items may not add to year-to-date (YTD) totals due to rounding. |
PSE&G 2014 Q4 Review |
15 PSE&G – Q4 Earnings Summary $ millions (except EPS) Q4 2014 Q4 2013 Variance Operating Revenues $ 1,531 $ 1,571 $ (40) Operating Expenses Energy Costs 631 633 (2) Operation & Maintenance 368 435 (67) Depreciation & Amortization 224 214 10 Taxes Other than Income Taxes - 18 (18) Total Operating Expenses 1,223 1,300 (77) Operating Earnings / Net Income $ 160 $ 144 $ 16 EPS from Operating Earnings $ 0.32 $ 0.29 $ 0.03 |
$0.29 0.01 0.04 $0.32 (0.02) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 16 PSE&G EPS Reconciliation – Q4 2014 versus Q4 2013 Q4 2014 Operating Earnings Q4 2013 Operating Earnings Transmission Margin 0.02 Gas Volume & Demand 0.01 Electric Volume & Demand (0.01) Weather (0.01) O&M (Distribution) Taxes and Other Prior quarter results for reconciling items may not add to year-to-date (YTD) totals due to rounding. |
17 PSE&G – Q4 Operating Highlights Construction of major transmission lines continues on schedule and on budget FERC approved formula rate revenue increase of $182 million, effective January 1, 2015 Energy Efficiency extension filing pending at NJBPU PSE&G extended BGSS gas rate credits through March 2015; this winter’s total PSE&G bill credit is ~$210, or a 31% savings for the average gas customer (Nov 2014-Mar 2015) PSE&G recognized for the 13 ** year as the Mid-Atlantic region’s most reliable electric utility PSE&G ranks “Highest in Customer Satisfaction with Large Business Electric Service and Business Natural Gas Service in the East” according to a 2015 J.D. Power study Operations Regulatory and Market Environment PSE&G earned its authorized return in 2014 Financial Q4 weather was warmer than both Q4 2013 and normal: Heating degree days were 4.2% lower than Q4 ‘13 and 0.7% lower than normal Gas sales were up 1% for Q4 and up 3.1% for the year on a weather normalized basis Electric sales were down 2.3% in Q4 but up 0.3% for the year on a weather adjusted basis th |
PSEG Power 2014 Q4 Review |
19 PSEG Power – Q4 EPS Summary $ millions (except EPS) Q4 2014 Q4 2013 Variance Operating Revenues $ 1,610 $ 1,245 $ 365 Operating Earnings 91 115 (24) Pro Forma Adjustments, Net of Tax** 229 (48) 277 Net Income $ 320 $ 67 $ 253 EPS from Operating Earnings* $ 0.18 $ 0.23 $ (0.05) * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. **Includes the financial impact from Mark-to-Market positions with forward delivery months. |
20 $0.23 0.03 $0.18 (0.08) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Lower Capacity (0.09) Re-Contracting and Market Pricing 0.01 PSEG Power EPS Reconciliation – Q4 2014 versus Q4 2013 Q4 2014 Operating Earnings* Q4 2013 Operating Earnings* Lower O&M 0.05 D&A and Other (0.02) * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. |
21 PSEG Power – Q4 Generation Measures – Volume % 6,712 6,956 1,797 1,266 3,962 4,637 0 7,500 15,000 2013 2014 Quarter ended December 31 Total Nuclear Total Coal* Oil & Natural Gas * Includes figures for Pumped Storage. Includes Hudson and Mercer when run on gas. PSEG Power – Generation (GWh) 12,471 12,859 Quarter ended December 31 PSEG Power – Capacity Factors (%) 2013 2014 Combined Cycle PJM and NY 53.1% 59.9% Coal* NJ (Coal/Gas) 3.2% 0.7% PA 87.3% 68.4% CT 29.1% 13.8% Nuclear 81.7% 84.5% |
22 PSEG Power – Full-Year Generation Measures – Volume % 29,495 29,108 7,323 7,361 16,640 17,693 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2013 2014 Twelve months ended December 31 Total Nuclear Total Coal* Oil & Natural Gas * Includes figures for Pumped Storage. Includes Hudson and Mercer when run on gas. PSEG Power – Generation (GWh) 53,458 54,162 Twelve months ended December 31 PSEG Power – Capacity Factors (%) 2013 2014 Combined Cycle PJM and NY 56.0% 56.0% Coal* NJ (Coal/Gas) 11.3% 14.0% PA 81.4% 75.7% CT 19.7% 23.7% Nuclear 90.3% 89.3% |
23 PSEG Power – Fuel Costs Quarter ended December 31 ($ millions) 2013 2014 Coal 47.3 38.8 Oil & Gas 134.9 134.2 Total Fossil 182.2 173.0 Nuclear 53.6 48.5 Total Fuel Cost 235.8 221.5 Total Generation (GWh) 12,471 12,859 $ / MWh 18.91 17.23 PSEG Power – Fuel Costs Twelve months ended December 31 ($ millions) 2013 2014 Coal 188.7 208.5 Oil & Gas 618.8 757.7 Total Fossil 807.5 966.2 Nuclear 220.2 210.4 Total Fuel Cost 1,027.7 1,176.6 Total Generation (GWh) 53,458 54,162 $ / MWh 19.22 21.72 |
24 PSEG Power – Q4 2014 Gross Margin Performance $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 2012 2013 2014 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 2012 2013 2014 $46 Quarter ended December 31 Twelve Months ended December 31 $45 Lower capacity pricing in second half of 2014 Lower quarter-over-quarter market prices influenced by warmer than normal weather Access to Marcellus gas continues to provide fuel cost savings Regional Performance Region Q4 Gross Margin ($M) Q4 2014 Performance PJM $452 Lower capacity prices, lower market pricing and higher generation output New England $14 Lower generation and lower market pricing New York $14 Higher generation and lower market pricing PSEG Power Gross Margin ($/MWh) $46 $47 $37 $42 |
25 Full Requirements Component Capacity Markets/RPM Growing Renewable Energy/Transmission Component for Market Risk Market Perspective – 2015 BGS Auction Results … reflects a 2.2% increase over the prior year driven primarily by transmission and green costs Note: BGS prices reflect PSE&G Zone; results from the 2013-2015 auctions will be the new blended prices beginning June 1, 2015. Three-Year Average Round the Clock PJM West Forward Energy Price Capacity Load shape Transmission Congestion Ancillary services Risk premium Green 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $97.39 $94.30 ~ $48 ~ $46 ~ $53 $83.88 ~ $59 $92.18 $45 - $47 $37 - $38 $39 - $40 $38 - $39 $37 - $38 ~ $62 $99.54 |
26 Hedging Update… Contracted Energy* * Hedge percentages and prices as of February 12, 2015. Revenues of full requirement load deals based on contract price, including renewable energy credits, ancillary, and transmission components but excluding capacity. Hedges include positions with MTM accounting treatment and options. 2015 2016 2017 Volume TWh 36 36 36 Base Load % Hedged 100% 80-85% 40-45% (Nuclear and Base Load Coal) Price $/MWh $52 $52 $52 Volume TWh 21 19 19 Intermediate Coal, Combined % Hedged 40-45% 0% 0% Cycle, Peaking Price $/MWh $52 $52 $52 Volume TWh 55-57 55-57 55-57 Total % Hedged 75-80% 50-55% 25-30% Price $/MWh $52 $52 $52 |
27 PSEG Power – Q4 2014 Operating Highlights Q4 output up 3.1% over Q4 2013; YTD generation up 1.3% to 54.2 TWh Nuclear capacity factor of 84.5% for Q4, completed refuelings at Salem 1 and Peach Bottom 2 For 2014, nuclear capacity factor was 89.3%; Hope Creek at 100% capacity factor in Q4 and 97.9% for the year – the 2 nd best run in its history CCGT fleet set an all-time production record of 16.5 TWh in 2014; Bergen 1 & 2 and Linden 1 also set generation records for the year Operations Regulatory and Market Environment Financial 2015 BGS auction priced higher at $99.54/MWh vs. $97.39/MWh in 2014 and $92.18 in 2013 – for the PSE&G contract 2015 anticipated base load output hedged at an average price of $52/MWh vs. 2014 average hedge price of $48/MWh 2015 BGS load projected at 11 TWhs Power markets adjusting to heightened volatility, winter peak demand, less liquidity PJM’s Capacity Performance Proposal filed at the FERC; decision expected April 2015 Power’s total debt as a percentage of capitalization at year-end was 31% Power’s FFO/Debt was 59% at December 31 |
PSEG |
29 PSEG Financial Highlights Introducing 2015 operating earnings guidance of $2.75 - $2.95 per share Focused on maintaining operating efficiency and customer reliability PSE&G expected to contribute over 50% of 2015 operating earnings Energy Strong Infrastructure Spend BPU authorized $1.22 billion for system resiliency improvements over 2014-2017 Gas mains replacement prioritized in 2014; ~$350 million capital spend expected to be completed in 2015 Executing existing transmission capital spending program on schedule and pursuing new RTEP, FERC 1000, and 345 kV projects Financial position remains strong: Positive cash from Power and increasing cash flow from operations at PSE&G supports dividend growth and funds capital spending program without the need to issue equity Debt as a percentage of capitalization was 42% at December 31 Increased common dividend 5.4% to indicative annual rate of $1.56 per share Increasing regulated earnings mix supports growing dividend |
30 PSEG 2015 Operating Earnings Guidance - By Subsidiary $ millions (except EPS) 2015E 2014 2013 PSE&G $735 - $775 $725 $612 PSEG Power $620 - $680 $642 $710 PSEG Enterprise/Other $40 - $45 $33 $(13) Operating Earnings* $1,395 - $1,500 $1,400 $1,309 Earnings per Share $2.75 - $2.95E $2.76 $2.58 * See Slide 32 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings. E = Estimate. Anticipates Another Year of Growth |
PSEG Liquidity as of December 31, 2014 31 |
Items Excluded from Net income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings Please see Slide 2 for an explanation of PSEG’s use of Operating Earnings as a non-GAAP financial measure and how it differs from Net Income. 32 2014 2013 2014 2013 Earnings Impact ($ Millions) Operating Earnings 247 $ 248 $ 1,400 $ 1,309 $ Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 28 11 68 40 Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM) (a) (PSEG Power) 204 (52) 66 (74) Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power) (3) (7) (16) (32) Net Income 476 $ 200 $ 1,518 $ 1,243 $ Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions) 508 508 508 508 Per Share Impact (Diluted) Operating Earnings 0.49 $ 0.49 $ 2.76 $ 2.58 $ Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 0.05 0.02 0.13 0.08 Gain (Loss) on MTM (a) (PSEG Power) 0.40 (0.11) 0.13 (0.14) Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power) - (0.01) (0.03) (0.07) Net Income 0.94 $ 0.39 $ 2.99 $ 2.45 $ (a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months. PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED Reconciling Items, net of tax Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, December 31, (Unaudited) |