Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies | Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies Description of Business— Ebix, Inc. and its subsidiaries (“Ebix” or the “Company”) is an international supplier of on-demand software and e-commerce solutions for the insurance, finance, and healthcare industries. Ebix provides various software solutions and products for the insurance industry including data exchanges, carrier systems, and agency systems, as well as custom software development. The Company's products feature fully customizable and scalable on-demand software designed to streamline the way insurance professionals manage distribution, marketing, sales, customer service, and accounting activities. The Company has its headquarters in Johns Creek, Georgia and also conducts operating activities in Australia, Canada, India, New Zealand, Singapore, United Kingdom and Brazil. International revenue accounted for 28.4% , 22.7% , and 31.0% of the Company’s total revenue in 2016 , 2015 , and 2014 , respectively. The Company’s revenues are derived from four product/service groups. Presented in the table below is the breakout of our revenue streams for each of those product/service groups for the years ended December 31, 2016 , 2015 and 2014 . For the Year Ended December 31, (dollar amounts in thousands) 2016 2015 2014 Exchanges $ 206,427 $ 190,746 $ 169,437 Broker P&C Systems 14,105 14,481 17,948 Risk Compliance Solutions (“RCS”), fka Business Process Outsourcing (“BPO”) 74,196 55,917 21,813 Carrier P&C Systems 3,566 4,338 5,123 Totals $ 298,294 $ 265,482 $ 214,321 Summary of Significant Accounting Policies Basis of Presentation — The consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Ebix and its wholly owned subsidiaries. The effect of inter-company balances and transactions has been eliminated. Use of Estimates —The preparation of consolidated financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements and reported amounts of revenue and expenses during those reporting periods. Management has made material estimates primarily with respect to revenue recognition and deferred revenue, accounts receivable, acquired intangible assets, annual impairment reviews of goodwill, indefinite-lived intangible assets, investments, contingent earnout liabilities in connection with business acquisitions, and the provision for income taxes. Actual results may be materially different from those estimates. Reclassification — C ertain of the reported balances and results for prior year or prior quarters, including the notes thereto, have been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation. The change in reserve for potential uncertain income tax return positions had been previously netted against the provision for deferred taxes line in the consolidated statements of cash flows, it is now shown separately. A portion of potential uncertain income tax return positions previously reported in "Other Liabilities" on the consolidated balance sheets are now netted against the "Deferred tax asset, net" line in the long term asset section of the consolidated balance sheets. Segment Reporting —Since the Company, from the perspective of its chief operating decision maker, allocates resources and evaluates business performance as a single entity that provides software and related services to various industries on a worldwide basis, the Company reports as a single segment. The applicable enterprise-wide disclosures are included in Note 14. Cash and Cash Equivalents —The Company considers all highly liquid investments with an original maturity of three months or less at the time of purchase to be cash equivalents. Such investments are stated at cost, which approximates fair value. The Company does maintain cash balances in banking institutions in excess of federally insured amounts and therefore is exposed to the related potential credit risk associated with such cash deposits. Short-term Investments —The Company’s primary short-term investments consist of certificates of deposits with established commercial banking institutions in India that have readily determinable fair values. Ebix accounts for such investments that are reasonably expected to be realized in cash, sold or consumed during the year as short-term investments that are available-for-sale. The carrying amount of investments in marketable securities approximates their fair value. The carrying value of our short-term investments was $3.11 million and $1.54 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015 , respectively. Restricted Cash —Due to the EbixHealth JV being a third party administrator (“TPA”), the Company collects premiums from insureds and, after deducting its fees, remits these premiums to insurance companies. Unremitted insurance premiums and/or claim funds established for the benefit of various carriers are held in a fiduciary capacity until disbursed by the Company. The use of premiums collected from insureds but not yet remitted to insurance companies is restricted by law in certain states. The total assets held on behalf of others, $14.4 million , are recorded as an asset and offsetting liability. Additionally, as part of Wdev Solucoes em Technologia SA ("Wdev") acquisition a $2.9 million of the upfront cash consideration is being held in an escrow account for the thirty-eight month period following the effective date of the acquisition to ensure that the acquired business achieves the minimum specified annual net revenue threshold, which if not achieved will result in said funds being returned to Ebix. The carrying value of our restricted cash was $17.2 million and zero at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. Fair Value Meaurements —The Company follows the relevant GAAP guidance regarding the determination and measurement of the fair value of assets/liabilities in which fair value is defined as the exchange price that would be received for an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction valuation hierarchy which requires an entity to maximize the use of observable inputs when measuring fair value. The guidance describes the following three levels of inputs that may be used in the methodology to measure fair value: • Level 1 — Quoted prices available in active markets for identical investments as of the reporting date; • Level 2 — Inputs other than quoted prices in active markets, which are either directly or indirectly observable as of the reporting date; and, • Level 3 — Unobservable inputs, which are to be used in situations where there is little or no market activity for the asset or liability and wherein the reporting entity makes estimates and assumptions related to the pricing of the asset or liability including assumptions regarding risk. A financial instrument’s level within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of any input that is significant to the fair value measurement. As of December 31, 2016 and 2015 the Company has the following financial instruments to which it had to consider fair values and had to make fair assessments: • Short-term investments for which the fair values are measured as a Level 1 instrument. • Contingent accrued earn-out business acquisition consideration liabilities for which fair values are measured as Level 3 instruments. These contingent consideration liabilities were recorded at fair value on the acquisition date and are remeasured periodically based on the then assessed fair value and adjusted if necessary. The increases or decreases in the fair value of contingent consideration payable can result from changes in anticipated revenue levels or changes in assumed discount periods and rates. As the fair value measure is based on significant inputs that are not observable in the market, they are categorized as Level 3. Other financial instruments not measured at fair value on the Company's consolidated balance sheets at December 31, 2016 and 2015 but which require disclosure of their fair values include: cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable, accounts payable and accrued expenses, accrued payroll and related benefits, capital lease obligations, and debt under the credit facility with Regions Bank. The estimated fair value of such instruments at December 31, 2016 and 2015 reasonably approximates their carrying value as reported on the consolidated balance sheets. Additional information regarding the Company's assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis is presented in the following tables: Fair Values at Reporting Date Using* Descriptions Balance at December 31, 2016 Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets or Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) (In thousands) Assets Available-for-sale securities: Commercial bank certificates of deposits ($925 thousand is recorded in the long term asset section of the consolidated balance sheets in "Other Assets") $ 4,030 $ 4,030 $ — $ — Total assets measured at fair value $ 4,030 $ 4,030 $ — $ — Liabilities Derivatives: Contingent accrued earn-out acquisition consideration (a) 8,510 — — 8,510 Total liabilities measured at fair value $ 8,510 $ — $ — $ 8,510 (a) The income valuation approach is applied and the valuation inputs include the contingent payment arrangement terms, projected cash flows, rate of return, and probability assessments. * During the year ended December 31, 2016 there were no transfers between fair value Levels 1, 2 or 3. Fair Values at Reporting Date Using* Descriptions Balance at December 31, 2015 Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets or Liabilities (Level 1) Significant Other Observable Inputs (Level 2) Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) (In thousands) Assets Available-for-sale securities: Commercial bank certificates of deposits $ 1,538 1,538 — — Total assets measured at fair value $ 1,538 $ 1,538 $ — $ — Liabilities Derivatives: Contingent accrued earn-out acquisition consideration (a) 4,277 — — 4,277 Total liabilities measured at fair value $ 4,277 $ — $ — $ 4,277 (a) The income valuation approach is applied and the valuation inputs include the contingent payment arrangement terms, projected cash flows, rate of return, and probability assessments. * During the year ended December 31, 2015 there were no transfers between fair value Levels 1, 2 or 3. For the Company's assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3), the following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for each category therein, and gains or losses recognized during the year. Fair Value Measurements Using Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) Contingent Liability for Accrued Earn-out Acquisition Consideration Balance at December 31, 2016 Balance at December 31, 2015 (in thousands) Beginning balance $ 4,277 5,367 Total remeasurement adjustments: (Gains) or losses included in earnings ** (1,344 ) (1,533 ) Reductions recorded against goodwill (664 ) (2,000 ) Foreign currency translation adjustments *** (208 ) (73 ) Acquisitions and settlements Business acquisitions 6,449 2,516 Settlements — — Ending balance $ 8,510 $ 4,277 The amount of total (gains) or losses for the year included in earnings or changes to net assets, attributable to changes in unrealized (gains) or losses relating to assets or liabilities still held at year-end. $ (624 ) $ (1,533 ) ** recorded as a component of reported general and administrative expenses *** recorded as a component of other comprehensive income within stockholders' equity Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company's contingent consideration liabilities designated as Level 3 are as follows: (in thousands) Fair Value at December 31, 2016 Valuation Technique Significant Unobservable Input Contingent acquisition consideration: (Qatarlyst and Wdev acquisition) $8,510 Discounted cash flow Expected future annual revenue streams and probability of achievement (in thousands) Fair Value at December 31, 2015 Valuation Technique Significant Unobservable Input Contingent acquisition consideration: (Qatarlyst, Vertex, PB Systems, and Via Media acquisitions) $4,277 Discounted cash flow Expected future annual revenue streams and probability of achievement Sensitivity to Changes in Significant Unobservable Inputs As presented in the table above, the significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of contingent consideration related to business acquisitions are forecasts of expected future annual revenues as developed by the Company's management and the probability of achievement of those revenue forecasts. The discount rate used in these calculations is 2.88% . Significant increases (decreases) in these unobservable inputs in isolation would likely result in a significantly (lower) higher fair value measurement. Revenue Recognition and Deferred Revenue —The Company derives its revenues primarily from professional and support services, which includes revenue generated from subscription and transaction fees pertaining to services delivered over our exchanges or from our application service provider (“ASP”) platforms, software development projects and associated fees for consulting, implementation, training, and project management provided to customers using our systems, and risk compliance solutions ("RCS"). Sales and value-added taxes are not included in revenues, but rather are recorded as a liability until the taxes assessed are remitted to the respective taxing authorities. The Company follows the relevant technical accounting guidance regarding revenue recognition as issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") and the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). The Company considers revenue earned and realizable when: (a) persuasive evidence of the sales arrangement exists, (b) the arrangement fee is fixed or determinable, (c) service delivery or performance has occurred, (d) customer acceptance has been received or is reasonably assured, if contractually required, and (e) collectability of the arrangement fee is probable. The Company typically uses signed contractual agreements, purchase orders, or statements of work as persuasive evidence of a sales arrangement. We apply the provisions of the relevant FASB accounting pronouncements related to all transactions involving the license of software where the software deliverables are considered more than inconsequential to the other elements in the arrangement. For contracts that contain multiple deliverables, we analyze the revenue arrangements in accordance with the appropriate authoritative guidance, which provides criteria governing how to determine whether goods or services that are delivered separately in a bundled sales arrangement should be considered as separate units of accounting for the purpose of revenue recognition. Deliverables are accounted for separately if they meet all of the following criteria: a) the delivered item has value to the customer on a stand-alone basis; b) there is objective and reliable evidence of the fair value for all arrangement deliverables; and c) if the arrangement includes a general right of return relative to the delivered items, the delivery or performance of the undelivered items is probable and substantially controlled by the Company. Under the relevant accounting guidance, when multiple-deliverables included in an arrangement are to be separated into different units of accounting, the arrangement consideration is allocated to the identified separate units of accounting based on their relative fair values. We determine the relative selling price for a deliverable based on vendor-specific objective evidence of selling price (“VSOE”), if available, or third-party evidence ("TPE") in the alternative if available, or finally our best estimate of selling price (“BESP”), if VSOE or TPE is not available. The Company begins to recognize revenue from license fees for its exchange (SAAS) and ASP products upon granting customer access to the respective processing platform. Transaction services fee revenue for this use of our exchanges or ASP platforms is recognized as the transactions occur and is generally billed in arrears. Revenues from RCS arrangements, which include data entry and call center services, and insurance certificate creation and tracking services, are recognized as the services are performed. Revenues from RCS consulting arrangements are recognized as the services are delivered on a time and materials basis. Service fees for hosting arrangements are recognized over the requisite service period. Revenue derived from the licensing of third party software products in connection with sales of the Company’s software licenses is recognized upon delivery together with the Company’s licensed software products. Fees for training, data conversion, installation, and consulting services fees are recognized as revenue when the services are performed. Revenues for maintenance and support services are recognized ratably over the term of the support agreement. Software development arrangements involving significant customization, modification or production are accounted for in accordance with the appropriate technical accounting guidance issued by the FASB using the percentage-of-completion method. The Company recognizes revenue using periodic reported actual hours worked as a percentage of total expected hours required to complete the project arrangement and applies the percentage to the total arrangement fee. Deferred revenue includes payments or billings that have been received or made prior to performance and, in certain cases, cash collections and primarily pertain to maintenance and support fees, initial setup or registration fees under hosting agreements, software license fees received in advance of delivery and acceptance, and software development fees paid in advance of completion and delivery. Approximately $6.0 million and $6.9 million of deferred revenue were included in billed accounts receivable at December 31, 2016 and 2015 , respectively. Accounts Receivable and the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts Receivable —Reported accounts receivable as of December 31, 2016 include $51.8 million of trade receivables stated at invoice billed amounts and $10.9 million of unbilled receivables (net of a $2.83 million estimated allowance for doubtful accounts receivable). Reported accounts receivable at December 31, 2015 include $36.7 million of trade receivables stated at invoice billed amounts and $10.5 million of unbilled receivables (net of a $3.39 million estimated allowance for doubtful accounts receivable). The unbilled receivables pertain to certain professional service engagements and system development projects for which the timing of billing is tied to contractual milestones. The Company adheres to suc h contractually stated performance milestones and accordingly issues invoices to customers as per contract billing schedules. Accounts receivable are written off against the allowance for doubtful accounts receivable when the Company has exhausted all reasonable co llection efforts. Management specifically analyzes the aging of accounts receivable and historical bad debts, write-offs, customer concentrations, customer credit-worthiness, current economic trends, and changes in our customer payment patterns when evaluating the adequacy of the allowance for doubtful accounts receivable. Bad debt expense was $1.5 million , $3.1 million , and $1.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2016 , 2015 , and 2014 , respectively. Costs of Services Provided —Costs of services provided consist of data processing costs, customer support costs including personnel costs to maintain our proprietary databases, costs to provide customer call center support, hardware and software expense associated with transaction processing systems and exchanges, telecommunication and computer network expense, and occupancy costs associated with facilities where these functions are performed. Depreciation expense is not included in costs of services provided. Capitalized Software Development Costs —In accordance with the relevant FASB accounting guidance regarding the development of software to be sold, leased, or marketed, the Company expenses such costs as they are incurred until technological feasibility has been established, at and after which time those costs are capitalized until the product is available for general release to customers. Costs incurred to enhance our software products, after general market release of the services using the products, is expensed in the period they are incurred. The periodic expense for the amortization of previously capitalized software development costs is included in costs of services provided. Goodwill and Indefinite-Lived Intangible Assets - Goodwill represents the cost in excess of the fair value of the identifiable net assets from the businesses that we acquire. In accordance with the relevant FASB accounting guidance, goodwill is tested for impairment at the reporting unit level on an annual basis or on an interim basis if an event occurred or circumstances change that would indicate that fair value of a reporting unit decreased below its carrying value. Potential impairment indicators include a significant change in the business climate, legal factors, operating performance indicators, competition, customer retention and the sale or disposition of a significant portion of the business. The Company applies the technical accounting guidance concerning goodwill impairment evaluation whereby the Company first assesses certain qualitative factors to determine whether the existence of events or circumstances would indicate that it is more likely than not that the fair value of any of our reporting units was less than its carrying amount. If after assessing the totality of events and circumstances, we were to determine that it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount, then we would perform the two-step quantitative impairment testing described further below. The aforementioned two-step quantitative testing process involves comparing the reporting unit carrying values to their respective fair values; we determine fair value of our reporting units by applying the discounted cash flow method using the present value of future estimated net cash flows. If the fair value of a reporting unit exceeds its carrying value, then no further testing is required. However, if a reporting unit’s fair value were to be less than its carrying value, we would then determine the amount of the impairment charge, if any, which would be the amount that the carrying value of the reporting unit’s goodwill exceeded its implied value. We perform our annual goodwill impairment evaluation and testing as of September 30 each year. In 2016 the goodwill residing in the Broker Systems reporting unit and the Carrier Systems reporting unit, were evaluated for impairment based on an assessment of certain qualitative factors, and were determined not to have been impaired. In 2016 the goodwill residing in the Exchange reporting unit and the Risk Compliance Solutions ("RCS") reporting unit were evaluated for impairment using step-one of the quantitative testing process described above. The fair value of both of these reporting units were found to be greater than their carrying value, and thusly there was no need to proceed to step-two, as there was no impairment indicated. In specific regards to the Risk Compliance Solutions reporting unit, its assessed fair value was $130.0 million which was $36.8 million or 39% in excess of its $93.2 million carrying value. Key assumptions used in the fair value determination were annual revenue growth rates of 5% to 15% and discount rate of 15% . As of September 30, 2016 there was $68.3 million of goodwill assigned to the RCS reporting unit. A significant reduction in future revenues for the RCS reporting unit would negatively affect the fair value determination for this unit and may result in an impairment to goodwill and a corresponding charge against earnings. During the years ended December 31, 2016, 2015, and 2014, we had no impairment of any our reporting unit goodwill balances. Projections of cash flows are based on our views of revenue growth rates, operating costs, anticipated future economic conditions, the appropriate discount rates relative to risk, and estimates of residual values and terminal values. We believe that our estimates are consistent with assumptions that marketplace participants would use in their estimates of fair value. The use of different estimates or assumptions for our projected discounted cash flows (e.g., revenue growth rates, future economic conditions, discount rates, and estimates of terminal values) when determining the fair value of our reporting units could result in different values and may result in a goodwill impairment charge. As a practice, the Company closely monitors any reporting units that do not have a significantly higher fair value in excess of their carrying value. The following table summarizes the adjustments to goodwill recorded in connection with the acquisitions that occurred during 2016 and 2015 : Company acquired Date acquired (in thousands) PB Systems, Inc. and PB Systems Private Limited (together being "PB Systems"); final purchase allocation adjustments June 2015 $ 4,298 EbixHealth JV July 2016 20,839 IHAC, Inc., d.b.a Hope Health ("Hope") November 2016 1,333 Wdev Solucoes em Technologia SA November 2016 13,615 Total changes to goodwill during 2016 $ 40,085 CurePet, Inc. ("CurePet"); see Note 18, "Investment in Joint Venture" January 2014 $ (1,783 ) DCM Group Inc. (d.b.a. i3 Software) ("i3"); final purchase allocation adjustments December 2014 (2,099 ) Via Media Health Communications Private Limited ("Via Media Health") March 2015 2,042 PB Systems, Inc. and PB Systems Private Limited (together being "PB Systems") June 2015 6,826 Total changes to goodwill during 2015 $ 4,986 Changes in the carrying amount of goodwill for the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015 are as follows: December 31, 2016 December 31, 2015 (in thousands) Beginning Balance $ 402,259 $ 402,220 Additions for current year acquisitions 35,787 8,868 Purchase accounting adjustments for prior year acquisitions 4,298 (2,099 ) Contributed portions of CurePet investment to Joint Venture, ; see Note 18, "Investment in Joint Venture" — (1,783 ) Foreign currency translation adjustments (940 ) (4,947 ) Ending Balance $ 441,404 $ 402,259 The Company’s indefinite-lived assets are associated with the estimated fair value of the contractual customer relationships existing with the property and casualty insurance carriers in Australia using our property and casualty ("P&C") data exchange and with certain large corporate customers using our client relationship management (“CRM”) platform in the United States. Prior to these underlying business acquisitions Ebix had pre-existing contractual relationships with these carriers and corporate clients. The contracts are renewable at little or no cost, and Ebix intends to continue to renew these contracts indefinitely and has the ability to do so. The proprietary technology supporting the P&C data exchange and CRM platform that is used to deliver services to these carriers and corporate clients, cannot feasibly be effectively replaced in the foreseeable future, and accordingly the cash flows forthcoming from these customers are expected to continue indefinitely. With respect to the determination of the indefinite life, the Company considered the expected use of these intangible assets, historical experience in renewing or extending similar arrangements, and the effects of competition, and concluded that there were no indications from these factors to suggest that the expected useful life of these customer relationships would be finite. The Company concluded that no legal, regulatory, contractual, or competitive factors limited the useful life of these intangible assets and therefore their life was considered to be indefinite, and accordingly the Company expects these customer relationships to remain the same for the foreseeable future. The fair values of these indefinite-lived intangible assets were based on the analysis of discounted cash flow (“DCF”) models extended out fifteen to twenty years. In that indefinite-lived does not imply an infinite life, but rather means that the subject customer relationships are expected to extend beyond the foreseeable time horizon, we utilized fifteen to twenty year DCF projections, as the valuation models that were applied consider a fifteen to twenty year time frame to be an indefinite period. Indefinite-lived intangible assets are not amortized, but rather are tested for impairment annually. We perform our annual impairment testing of indefinite-lived intangible assets as of September 30th of each year. During the years ended December 31, 2016 , 2015 and 2014 , we had no impairments to the recorded balances of our indefinite-lived intangible assets. We perform the impairment test for our indefinite-lived intangible assets by comparing the asset’s fair value to its carrying value. An impairment charge is recognized if the asset’s estimated fair value is less than its carrying value. Purchased Intangible Assets —Purchased intangible assets represent the estimated fair value of acquired intangible assets from the businesses that we acquire in the U.S. and foreign countries in which we operate. These purchased intangible assets include customer relationships, developed technology, informational databases, and trademarks. We amortize these intangible assets on a straight-line basis over their estimated useful lives, as follows: Life Category (yrs) Customer relationships 7-20 Developed technology 3-12 Trademarks 3-15 Non-compete agreements 5 Database 10 Intangible assets as of December 31, 2016 and December 31, 2015 , are as follows: December 31, 2016 2015 (In thousands) Finite-lived intangible assets: Customer relationships $ 71,338 $ 76,275 Developed technology 16,011 15,121 Trademarks 2,666 2,729 Non-compete agreements 764 743 Backlog 140 140 Database 212 212 Total intangibles 91,131 95,220 Accumulated amortization (49,795 ) (43,372 ) Finite-lived intangibles, net $ 41,336 $ 51,848 Indefinite-lived intangibles: Customer/territorial relationships $ 30,887 $ 30,887 Income Taxes — The Company follows the asset and liability method of accounting for income taxes pursuant to the pertinent guidance issued by the FASB. Deferred income taxes are recorded to reflect the tax consequences on future years of differences between the tax basis of assets and liabilities, and operating loss and tax credit carry forwards, and their financial reporting amounts at each period end using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. In assessing the realizability of the deferred tax assets, management considers whether it is more likely than not that some portion or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. A valuation allowance is recorded, if necessary, for the portion of the deferred tax assets that are not expected to be realized based on the levels of historical taxable income and projections for future taxable income over the periods in which the temporary differences will be deductible. The Company follows the provisions of FASB accounting guidance on accounting for uncertain income tax positions. The guidance utilizes a two-step approach for evaluating tax positions. Recognition (“Step 1”) occurs when an enterprise concludes that a tax position, based solely on its technical merits is more likely than not to be sustained upon examination. Measurement (“Step 2”) is only addressed if Step 1 has been satisfied. Under Step 2, the tax benefit is measured at the largest amount of benefit, determined on a cumulative probability basis that is more likely than not to be realized upon final settlement. As used in this context, the term “more likely than not” is interpreted to mean that the likelihood of occurrence is greater than |