THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY
Overview of Key Economic Figures
The following economic information regarding the Federal Republic is derived from the public official documents cited below. Certain of the information is preliminary.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(adjusted for price, seasonal and calendar effects) (1)
| | | | | | | | |
Reference period | | Percentage change on previous quarter | | | Percentage change on the same quarter in previous year | |
3rd quarter 2017 | | | 0.6 | | | | 2.6 | |
4th quarter 2017 | | | 0.5 | | | | 2.8 | |
1st quarter 2018 | | | 0.4 | | | | 2.1 | |
2nd quarter 2018 | | | 0.5 | | | | 2.0 | |
3rd quarter 2018 | | | -0.2 | | | | 1.1 | |
(1) | Adjustment for seasonal and calendar effects according to the Census X-12-ARIMA method. |
In the third quarter of 2018, Germany’s gross domestic product (“GDP”) decreased by 0.2% after price, seasonal and calendar adjustments compared to the second quarter of 2018. The slight quarter-on-quarter decrease in GDP was mainly due to the development of foreign trade in the third quarter of 2018 compared to the second quarter of 2018. According to provisional calculations, exports of goods and services decreased by 0.9% in the third quarter of 2018 compared to the second quarter of 2018, while imports increased by 1.3% in the third quarter of 2018 compared to the second quarter of 2018.
With respect to domestic demand, household final consumption expenditure decreased by 0.3%, while government final consumption expenditure slightly increased by 0.2% in the third quarter of 2018, in each case compared to the second quarter of 2018. Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment increased by 0.8% and gross fixed capital formation in construction by 0.9% in the third quarter of 2018, in each case compared to the second quarter of 2018.
In a year-on-year comparison, in price and calendar-adjusted terms, the growth of the German economy decelerated and the German economy grew by 1.1% in the third quarter of 2018, following increases by 2.0% in the second quarter of 2018 and by 2.1% in the first quarter of 2018, in each case compared to the corresponding periods in 2017.
Source: Statistisches Bundesamt, Detailed gross domestic product results for the 3rd quarter of 2018, press release of November 23, 2018 (https://www.destatis.de/EN/PressServices/Press/pr/2018/11/PE18_454_811.html).
In 2018 as a whole, the German economy continued to grow, although economic growth has lost momentum. According to preliminary calculations of the Federal Statistical Office, the price-adjusted German GDP was 1.5% higher in 2018 than in 2017. The German economy thus has grown for the ninth consecutive year. Compared to the previous two years, however, the growth rate decelerated, as the price-adjusted German GDP increased by 2.2% both in 2017 and 2016. From a longer term perspective, German economic growth in 2018 exceeded the average growth rate of the last ten years (+1.2%).
Positive contributions to growth in 2018 came primarily from domestic demand. Household final consumption expenditure increased by 1.0% on a price-adjusted basis in 2018 compared to 2017, while government final consumption expenditure increased by 1.1% on a price-adjusted basis in 2018 compared to 2017. However, the growth rates were markedly lower than in the preceding three years. Gross capital formation increased by 4.8% on a price-adjusted basis in 2018 compared to 2017, reflecting year-on-year increases in gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment (+4.5%), in construction (+3.0%) and in other fixed assets (+0.4%).
German exports continued to increase in 2018 on an annual average, though at a slower pace than in previous years. Exports of goods and services increased by 2.4% on a price-adjusted basis in 2018 compared to 2017. The increase in imports was larger (+3.4%) in 2018 compared to 2017. Arithmetically, the resulting balance of exports and imports had a slight downward effect of 0.2 percentage points on GDP growth in 2018.
Source: Statistisches Bundesamt, German economy grew 1.5% in 2018, press release of January 15, 2019 (https://www.destatis.de/EN/PressServices/Press/pr/2019/01/PE19_018_811.html).
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