Inflation Rate
INFLATION RATE
(based on overall consumer price index)
| | | | |
Reference period | | Percentage change on the previous month | | Percentage change on the same month in previous year |
July 2022 | | 0.5 | | 6.7 |
August 2022 | | 0.4 | | 7.0 |
September 2022 | | 1.8 | | 8.6 |
October 2022 | | 0.7 | | 8.8 |
November 2022 | | 0.2 | | 8.8 |
December 2022 | | -0.4 | | 8.1 |
January 2023 | | 1.0 | | 8.7 |
February 2023 | | 0.8 | | 8.7 |
March 2023 | | 0.8 | | 7.4 |
April 2023 | | 0.4 | | 7.2 |
May 2023 | | -0.1 | | 6.1 |
June 2023 | | 0.3 | | 6.4 |
July 2023 | | 0.3 | | 6.2 |
The inflation rate in Germany, measured as the year-on-year change in the consumer price index, stood at 6.2% in July 2023, reflecting a slight decrease compared to June 2023 (+6.4%), but still remains at a high level. In July 2023, the most important driver of inflation was the price of food. In addition, energy prices experienced a somewhat larger increase when compared to June 2023 and May 2023.
Food prices increased by 11.0% in July 2023 compared to July 2022, after experiencing a 13.7% year-on-year increase in June 2023. Higher prices were recorded for nearly all food groups, with considerable price rises being recorded for sugar, jam, honey and other confectionery (+18.9%), bread and cereals (+16.6%), vegetables (+15.7%), and fish, fish products, and seafood (+14.1%). By contrast, edible fats and oils recorded a 12.9% decrease in price when compared to the previous year.
Energy prices in July 2023 increased by 5.7% compared to July 2022, following increases of 3.0% and 2.6% in June 2023 and May 2023, respectively. The development of electricity prices was especially striking. Consumers had to pay 17.6% more for electricity in July 2023 than in July 2022. June 2023 had seen a year-on-year rise of 10.5%. The large increase in electricity prices in July 2023 is mainly due to a base effect caused by the abolishment of the EEG (Renewable Energy Sources Act) surcharge which had taken effect on July 1, 2022. The downward effect on the inflation rate ceased to apply in the reference month of July 2023. Solid fuels and natural gas, in particular, increased by 12.8% and 8.5%, respectively, in July 2023 when compared to July 2022. District heating recorded a below-average year-on-year price increase of 2.1%. By contrast, the prices of mineral oil products fell considerably by 7.8%, with the prices of heating oil, in particular, decreasing by 35.5% when compared to the previous year. Motor fuels also cost less than a year earlier (-4.9%) despite the previous year’s fuel discount. Excluding energy prices, the year-on-year inflation rate in July 2023 would have been 6.2%; excluding energy and food prices, it would have been lower at 5.5%, demonstrating the current impact of food prices on overall inflation. In June 2023, the consumer price index excluding food and energy was slightly higher at 5.8%. This means that core inflation slowed slightly in July 2023.
Prices of goods (total) increased by 7.0% from July 2022 to July 2023. The prices of non-durable consumer goods increased by 8.6%, which was driven by a pronounced increase of 10.9% in the price of food and non-aloholic beverages. The price of durable consumer goods rose by 4.5% in July 2023 compared to July 2022.
The prices of services (total) increased by 5.2% in July 2023 when compared to July 2022. Net rents exclusive of heating expenses had a dampening effect on prices, experiencing a slight increase of 2.1%, and therefore were a significant contributor to the below-average increase in service prices. In addition, while the introduction of the Germany ticket has had a slight downward effect on price developments since May 2023, an upward base effect temporarily entered into play from June 2023 due to the availability of the 9-euro ticket in the period from June to August 2022. Therefore, short-distance rail tickets cost much more in July 2023 than in July 2022 (+64.6%) despite the introduction of the Germany ticket (June 2023: +65.2%, May 2023: +0.6%). In addition, considerable price increases were recorded for several other services, with maintenance and repair of dwellings increasing by 12.8%, services of social facilities by 11.6% and restaurant services by 7.7%.
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