Current Account and Foreign Trade
CURRENT ACCOUNTAND FOREIGN TRADE
| | | | |
| | (balance in EUR billions) (1) |
Item | | January-May 2024 | | January-May 2023 |
Goods | | 129.6 | | 95.0 |
Services | | -26.2 | | -20.7 |
Primary income | | 47.5 | | 46.3 |
Secondary income | | -23.7 | | -25.2 |
| | | | |
Current account | | 127.3 | | 95.3 |
| | | | |
(1) | Figures may not add up due to rounding. |
Source: Deutsche Bundesbank, Major items of the German balance of payments, July 12, 2024 (https://www.bundesbank.de/resource/blob/935874/2b9cbec6b9f9306e5e1b9adbce5d951c/mL/2024-07-12-zahlungsbilanz-anlage-data.pdf).
Other Recent Developments
Monetary Policy
On June 6, 2024, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (“ECB”) decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.25% (main refinancing operations), 4.50% (marginal lending facility) and 3.75% (deposit facility) with effect from June 12, 2024, following its decision in September 2023 to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points. Based on an updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission, the Governing Council stated its belief that it was now appropriate to moderate the degree of monetary policy restriction after nine months of holding rates steady.
At the same time, the Governing Council stated that, despite the progress over recent quarters, domestic price pressures remained strong as wage growth was elevated, and inflation was likely to stay above target well into next year. The Governing Council is determined to ensure that inflation returns to its 2% medium-term target in a timely manner. The Governing Council reasserted that its policy rate decisions will continue to be based on its assessment of the inflation outlook in light of the incoming economic and financial data, the dynamics of underlying inflation, and the strength of monetary policy transmission.
On July 18, 2024, the Governing Council announced its decision to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. The Governing Council stated that, while some measures of underlying inflation had ticked up in May 2024 owing to one-off factors, most measures were either stable or edged down in June, and that, in line with expectations, the inflationary impact of high wage growth had been buffered by profits.
The Governing Council also confirmed that it will reduce the Eurosystem’s holdings of securities under the pandemic emergency purchase programme (“PEPP”) by EUR 7.5 billion per month on average over the second half of 2024. The modalities for reducing the PEPP holdings will be broadly in line with those followed under the asset purchase programme (“APP”). The Governing Council intends to discontinue reinvestments under the PEPP at the end of 2024.
Sources: European Central Bank, Monetary policy decisions, press release of July 18, 2024 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp240718~b9e0ddd9d5.en.html); European Central Bank, Monetary policy decisions, press release of June 6, 2024 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp240606~2148ecdb3c.en.html).
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