Other Recent Developments
Early Parliamentary Elections
Following the termination of the governing coalition in November 2024, Chancellor Scholz submitted a motion of confidence to the Bundestag on December 11, 2024. On December 16, 2024, the Bundestag voted on this motion, which (as required to permit early elections) failed. Chancellor Scholz then recommended the dissolution of the Bundestag to Bundespräsident Steinmeier. After consulting all party leaders, Bundespräsident Steinmeier confirmed on December 20, 2024 that no viable majority existed. On December 27, 2024, Bundespräsident Steinmeier officially dissolved the Bundestag and scheduled early elections for February 23, 2025.
Sources: Bundeskanzler Scholz beantragt die Vertrauensfrage, press release of December 11, 2024 (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/suche/bundeskanzler-scholz-beantragt-die-vertrauensfrage-2324868); Bundespräsident legt Termin fest, communication of the Federal Government (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/suche/bundestagswahl-2025-2300332).
Monetary Policy
On January 30, 2025, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (“ECB”) decided to lower each of the three key ECB interest rates – the deposit facility rate, the main refinancing operations rate and the marginal lending facility rate – by 25 basis points. These rates have been decreased to 2.75%, 2.90% and 3.15%, respectively, with effect from February 5, 2025.
In particular, the Governing Council based its decision to lower the deposit facility rate – the rate through which it steers the monetary policy stance – on its updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission. The Governing Council stated its view that the disinflation process is well on track. Inflation has continued to develop broadly in line with ECB staff projections and is expected to return to the Governing Council’s 2% medium-term target in the course of 2025.
On December 12, 2024, the Governing Council lowered each of the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.00% (deposit facility), 3.15% (main refinancing operations) and 3.40% (marginal lending facility), with effect from December 18, 2024.
The Governing Council reported that the asset purchase programme (APP) and pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) portfolios are declining at a measured and predictable pace, as the Eurosystem no longer reinvests the principal payments from maturing securities.
Sources: European Central Bank, Monetary policy decisions, press release of January 30, 2025 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2025/html/ecb.mp250130~530b29e622.en.html); European Central Bank, Monetary policy decisions, press release of December 12, 2024 (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp241212~2acab6e51e.en.html).
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