Exhibit 99.1
Business Overview
Jim Scilacci
Senior VP and CFO, Edison Mission Group
Lehman Brothers
High Yield Bond and Syndicated Loan Conference
March 15, 2006
Forward-Looking Statement
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements reflect Edison International’s current expectations and projections about future events based on Edison International’s knowledge of present facts and circumstances and assumptions about future events and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical or current fact. In this presentation and elsewhere, the words “expects,” “believes,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “projects,” “intends,” “plans,” “probable,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” and variations of such words and similar expressions, or discussions of strategy or of plans, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Such statements necessarily involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Some of the risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause results to differ, or that otherwise could impact Edison International or its subsidiaries, include but are not limited to: the ability of Edison International to meet its financial obligations and to pay dividends on its common stock if its subsidiaries are unable to pay dividends; the ability of SCE to recover its costs in a timely manner from its customers through regulated rates; decisions and other actions by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) and other regulatory authorities and delays in regulatory actions; market risks affecting SCE’s energy procurement activities; access to capital markets and the cost of capital; changes in interest rates, rates of inflation and foreign exchange rates; governmental, statutory, regulatory or administrative changes or initiatives affecting the electricity industry, including the market structure rules applicable to each market and environmental regulations that could require additional expenditures or otherwise affect the cost and manner of doing business; risks associated with operating nuclear and other power generating facilities, including operating risks, nuclear fuel storage, equipment failure, availability, heat rate and output; the availability of labor, equipment and materials; the ability to obtain sufficient insurance, including insurance relating to SCE’s nuclear facilities; effects of legal proceedings, changes in or interpretations of tax laws, rates or policies, and changes in accounting standards; supply and demand for electric capacity and energy, and the resulting prices and dispatch volumes, in the wholesale markets to which MEHC generating units have access; the cost and availability of coal, natural gas, and fuel oil, nuclear fuel, and associated transportation; the cost and availability of emission credits or allowances for emission credits; transmission congestion in and to each market area and the resulting differences in prices between delivery points; the ability to provide sufficient collateral in support of hedging activities and purchased power and fuel; the extent of additional supplies of capacity, energy and ancillary services from current competitors or new market entrants, including the development of new generation facilities and technologies; general political, economic and business conditions; weather conditions, natural disasters and other unforeseen events; and changes in the fair value of investments and other assets accounted for using fair value accounting.
Additional information about risks and uncertainties, including more detail about the factors described above, is contained in Edison International’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are urged to read such reports and carefully consider the risks, uncertainties and other factors that affect Edison International’s business. Readers also should review future reports filed by Edison International with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and Edison International is not obligated to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements.
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Edison International — Strategic Plan Foundation
Performance
Balance Sheet Strength
Growth
Dividends
Shareholder Returns
Strong utility operating in a large and rapidly growing service territory
Competitive power generation business with large base of low-cost coal assets
Produces
Organic Growth
Significant long-term earnings and cash flow growth from regulated investments Business flexibility for future growth Upside earnings potential from competitive generation investments
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2005 Highlights – Year one of strategic plan implementation
Financial Performance
Balance Sheet Strength
Growth
Dividends
Shareholder Returns
Record high earnings of $1.1 billion or $3.47 per common share Core earnings1 of $3.13 per share more than doubled 2004 core earnings; balanced between utility ( 60%) and competitive businesses (40%) Recourse leverage ratio1 reduced from 60% to 54%; total debt2 reduction of approximately $1 billion Credit ratings improved at EIX, SCE and MEHC Growth initiatives on plan Increased annual common stock dividend from $1.00 to $1.08 2005 total shareholder return of 39.6% outperformed industry average
(1) |
| See Appendix for non-GAAP reconciliation |
(2) |
| Includes short-term, current portion of long-term and long-term debt |
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Southern California Edison
PG&E
SCE
SDG&E
LADWP
VALUE DRIVERS
Among the fastest growing U.S. electric utilities Major capital investment to expand and strengthen utility infrastructure Strengthened regulatory framework:
Support for major capital investment Three year rate setting Annual cost of capital review Timely recovery of procurement costs
Strategic plan capital expenditures of $10.2 billion, nearly doubles the spending of the previous five years 65% of capital spending will be for distribution system replacement and growth.
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SCE – 2005 Strategic Plan Performance
Growth
Balance Sheet Strength
Plan
Targeted 2005 Infrastructure investment - $1.6 billion
Major project status
Mountainview – 1,054 MW ($0.6 billion) SONGS Steam Generators ($0.5 billion
- SCE share)
Devers-Palo Verde II Transmission Line
($0.6 billion)
Maintain / improve credit quality
Performance $1.71 billion in plant investment consistent with existing regulatory authorizations
Completed—December 2005
CPUC authorized—December 2005
CA ISO approval received—February 2005
Authorized ROCE increased from 11.4% to 11.6% Rating increased by S&P to BBB+ from BBB
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| See Appendix for Non-GAAP reconciliation |
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SCE – Capital Expenditures
2005-2009 outlook exceeds the October 2004 Strategic Plan forecast by $1.2 billion
Major transmission projects advanced into forecast period ($500 million)
New transmission projects ($200 million)
Higher system growth requirements ($500 million) $Billions $3.0 $2.5 $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0
Strategic Plan Period (Oct. ‘04)
1.71
2.2
2.1
2.3
2.3
2.2
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Current Forecast by Classification
$ |
| % |
Generation |
| 1.8 14 |
Transmission |
| 2.7 21 |
Distribution |
| 8.3 65 |
Current Forecast by Proceeding
$ |
| % |
CPUC |
| Rate Cases 9.4 73 |
FERC |
| Rate Cases 2.7 21 |
Project |
| Specific 0.7 6 |
1 |
| See Appendix for non-GAAP reconciliation |
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SCE – Annual Rate Base Growth – 8-9% $Billions
18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0
10.2
11.0
11.9
12.9
14.4
15.8
2003 GRC
Pending 2006 GRC
2009 GRC
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 11.6% 9.7%
Growth Rate
Notes: (1) Includes the impact of stipulations in 2006 GRC filing, as shown in the Joint Comparison Exhibit, and recent FERC filing which establishes credits for interconnection payments (reduction from Oct. 2004 plan: 2006: $0.4 billion; 2007: $0.4 billion; 2008: $0.2 billion) (2) ALJ’s Proposed Decision would reduce 2006-2008 by approximately 2-3%.
(3) |
| Forecast rate base (2006–2010) subject to regulatory approval. |
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2006 General Rate Case Update
ALJ Proposed Decision received in January
Substantially affirms our infrastructure investment plan Proposed decision would result in 2%-3% lower rate base
(2006-2008) and $100 million lower O&M revenue than requested We are advocating strengthening the Proposed Decision in several areas
Remaining Schedule
Oral arguments scheduled for April 4, 2006 Final decision expected in Q2 2006
Final decision will be retroactive to January 12, 2006
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Edison Mission Group
Strong operating platform, low cost operations, evolving growth opportunities
March Point 70 MW
Iowa Storm Lake 113 MW
Misc. Wind 83 MW
Midwest Generation 5,621 MW coal 255 MW gas/oil
Homer City 1,884 MW
Ambit 40 MW
Wildorado 161 MW
San Juan Mesa 90 MW
Big 4, Sunrise, Other 964 MW
Value Drivers
Low-cost, coal generation Further debt reduction Edison Mission Marketing & Trading Renewable and thermal generation growth
7,545 coal (100% merchant) 1,289 gas/oil (14%)
447 wind (5%)—(including 186 under construction) 9,281 total
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EMG 2005 Strategic Plan Performance
Plan
Performance
Balance Sheet Strength
Growth
Manage merchant margin
Reduce G&A
Debt reduction
Generation development
Performance
Net income at EMG of $441 million EBITDA nearly $1.1 billion
Organization restructuring complete
Retired over $1.2 billion of callable debt
$194 million of wind equity investment Wind development pipeline California thermal projects
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Edison Mission Group—Focus
Optimizing the value of the existing generation portfolio and mitigating volatility through:
Effective management of fuel and transportation contracting and environmental costs to protect margins Forward sales and contracting of electricity to enhance revenue stability Disciplined, risk-controlled trading in the markets in which we operate
Continued debt reduction and operating cost control
Developing a pipeline of renewable generation investments and California generation capacity to achieve future growth
Year-end 2005—$1.9 billion of cash available to support additional debt reduction, hedging, contracting and generation investment
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Merchant Coal Portfolio Gross Margin Value Chain
Coal
Coal Transp.
Emissions
Generation
Forward Sales
Basis
Costs |
|
2006 |
| 2007 |
Contracted |
| Coal Requirement |
MWGen |
| 100% 91% |
Homer |
| City 101% 94% |
Contracted |
| Coal Transportation |
MWGen |
| 100% 100% |
Homer |
| City 100% 100% |
NOx |
| Aggregate Emissions Credits balanced balanced |
SO2 |
| Aggregate Emissions Credits short short |
Coal and transportation agreements provide reliable supply and cost stability.
10% change in SO2
prices affects earnings by $7 million, pre-tax.(1)
(1) SO2 costs are dependent upon numerous factors including the sulfur content of delivered coal, generation levels, and the prices of SO2 credits.
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Merchant Coal Portfolio Gross Margin Value Chain
Coal
Coal Transp.
Emissions
Generation
Forward Sales
Basis
Outputs 2006 2007 Forecast Generation
MWGen (TWh) 30.0 30.2 Homer City (TWh) 13.5 13.6
Hedge Program
MWGen
Volume (TWh) 15.0 11.0 Percent expected generation 50% 36% Average hedge prices $/MWh $44.29 $48.04 Homer City Volume (TWh) 8.5 5.3 Percent expected generation 63% 39% Average hedge prices $/MWh (1) $53.42 $67.30
Basis
Midwest Gen
Homer City
Basis historic averages <1% Historic averages 4% in 2004, 10% in 2005
Amount of hedging higher than historical levels
Assumes Homer City Unit 3 returns to service in April, 2006
(1) Hedge price is at PJM West Hub. During 2005 and 2004, the average market price at PJM West was $6.12 and $1.55 higher than the average market price at the Homer City busbar. Homer City retains the risk, referred to as basis, in price movements between these locations.
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Power Generation Growth
Utilizing its development expertise, EMG is building a portfolio of renewable investments and developing thermal projects in California.
Renewables—Wind
Commercial operation: 261 MW Investment Pipeline
161 MW Wildorado project (Texas) $270 million project; expected COD April 2007
Developing projects in Vermont, Maine, Iowa and other states supportive of renewables Purchased wind turbines to support new project development
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EMG California Thermal Generation Opportunities
Big 4 projects contract extension (602 MW)
Kern River—5-year contract submitted for CPUC approval
Other Big 4 contracts expire: December, 2007 (Sycamore); April, 2008 (Watson); May, 2009 (Midway-Sunset)
EMG pursuing 1,500 MW of new thermal generation
New natural gas-fired generation (1,000 MW)
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| project proposals filed with California Energy Commission (Sun Valley – 500 MW, Walnut Creek – 500 MW) |
EMG/BP hydrogen power project (500 MW)
Early development phase – assessing technical and commercial feasibility
Petroleum coke fuel
Approximately 90% of CO2 removed and used for enhanced-oil recovery
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Edison International – Dividend Per Share $1.20 $0.90 $0.60 $0.30 $0.00 $0.801 $1.001 $1.082
2004
2005
2006
Longer-term, targeting dividend payout ratio of 45-55%, excluding MEHC earnings 2005 core payout ratio excluding MEHC earnings – 50%
1) Dividend paid
2) Dividend rate
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Appendix
Slide 3: The calculation for 2005 recourse leverage ratio of 54% includes common equity and preferred securities as reflected on the EIX balance sheets. Debt includes the Powerton/Joliet lease termination value of $1.5 billion, short-and long-term debt and excludes non-recourse debt from continuing operations totaling $2.3 billion. The comparable 2005 leverage ratio based on the same balance sheet classifications, including non-recourse items and excluding the Powerton/Joliet lease termination value, is 57%.
The calculation for the 2004 recourse leverage ratio of 60% includes common equity and preferred securities as reflected on the EIX balance sheet. Debt includes the Powerton/Joliet lease termination value of $1.5 billion, short-and long-term debt and other preferred securities subject to mandatory redemption. Debt excludes non-recourse debt from continuing operations totaling $2.7 billion. The comparable 2004 leverage ratio based on the same balance sheet classifications, including non-recourse items and excluding the Powerton/Joliet lease termination value is 63%.
Slide 5 & 6:
2005
Transmission, Distribution & Generation investment, per presentation 1.7
Nuclear fuel, one-time decommissioning items & other 0.1
Capital expenditures per Statement of Cash Flows 1.8
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Appendix
Year |
| Ended December 31, |
Core |
| Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share Change |
2005 |
| 2004 |
Southern |
| California Edison Company $1.82 $1.80 $0.02 |
Mission |
| Energy Holding Company 1.13 (0.27) 1.40 |
Edison |
| Capital 0.28 0.18 0.10 |
EIX |
| parent company and other (0.10) (0.21) 0.11 |
EIX |
| Consolidated Core Earnings 3.13 1.50 1.63 |
Non-core |
| items |
SCE |
| – Regulatory and tax items 0.40 1.01 (0.61) |
MEHC |
| – Collins lease termination — (1.81) 1.81 |
MEHC |
| – March Point impairment (0.10) — (0.10) |
MEHC |
| – Net gain on sale of Four Star / BNY — 0.08 (0.08) |
MEHC |
| – Peaker impairment — (0.05) 0.05 |
MEHC |
| – Early debt retirements (0.05) — (0.05) |
MEHC |
| – Discontinued operations 0.09 2.12 (2.03) |
EIX |
| – Early debt retirements — (0.04) 0.04 |
0.34 |
| 1.31 (0.97) |
Total |
| EIX Consolidated Earnings $3.47 $2.81 $0.66 |
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