HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT | 6. HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT The following table is a reconciliation of our unpaid losses and settlement expenses (LAE) for the years 2017, 2016 and 2015: (in thousands) 2017 2016 2015 Unpaid losses and LAE at beginning of year: Gross $ 1,139,337 $ 1,103,785 $ 1,121,040 Ceded (288,224) (297,844) (335,106) Net $ 851,113 $ 805,941 $ 785,934 Increase (decrease) in incurred losses and LAE: Current accident year $ 440,452 $ 391,772 $ 364,472 Prior accident years (38,868) (41,994) (65,427) Total incurred $ 401,584 $ 349,778 $ 299,045 Loss and LAE payments for claims incurred: Current accident year $ (73,392) $ (70,540) $ (71,853) Prior accident year (209,793) (234,066) (207,185) Total paid $ (283,185) $ (304,606) $ (279,038) Net unpaid losses and LAE at end of year $ 969,512 $ 851,113 $ 805,941 Unpaid losses and LAE at end of year: Gross $ 1,271,503 $ 1,139,337 $ 1,103,785 Ceded (301,991) (288,224) (297,844) Net $ 969,512 $ 851,113 $ 805,941 The differences from our initial reserve estimates emerged as changes in our ultimate loss expectations as we performed our reserve analysis process. The recognition of the changes in initial reserve estimates occurred over time as claims were reported, initial case reserves were established, initial reserves were reviewed in light of additional information and ultimate payments were made on the collective set of claims incurred as of that evaluation date. The new information on the ultimate settlement value of claims is continually updated until all claims in a defined set are settled. As a small specialty insurer with a diversified product portfolio, our experience will ordinarily exhibit fluctuations from period to period. While we attempt to identify and react to systematic changes in the loss environment, we also must consider the volume of experience directly available to us and interpret any particular period’s indications with a realistic technical understanding of the reliability of those observations. The following is information about incurred and paid loss development as of December 31, 2017, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency, the total of IBNR liabilities included within the net incurred loss amounts and average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2017. The loss information has been disaggregated so that only losses that are expected to develop in a similar manner are grouped together. This has resulted in the presentation of loss information for our property and surety segments at the segment level, while information for our casualty segment has been separated in four groupings: primary occurrence, excess occurrence, claims made and transportation. Primary occurrence includes select lines within the professional services product along with general liability, small commercial and other casualty products. Excess occurrence encompasses commercial and personal umbrella, while claims made includes select lines within the professional services product and medical professional liability and executive products. Reported claim counts represent claim events on a specified policy rather than individual claimants and includes claims that did not or are not expected to result in an incurred loss. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2008 to 2016 is presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Casualty - Primary Occurrence (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 96,829 $ 100,454 $ 91,734 $ 83,367 $ 78,218 $ 74,174 $ 73,859 $ 73,696 $ 74,837 $ 74,672 $ 1,505 5,423 2009 85,476 119,957 99,765 91,441 86,888 82,651 81,138 80,518 80,350 2,068 5,705 2010 87,875 96,582 93,589 88,820 85,034 80,289 78,685 78,991 2,216 6,107 2011 91,139 98,428 94,145 89,622 86,342 83,181 82,193 3,413 5,839 2012 91,807 78,406 65,893 61,072 59,028 59,488 4,100 5,148 2013 80,823 67,297 62,882 60,329 60,162 9,631 4,267 2014 88,092 79,497 71,592 67,237 17,335 4,190 2015 94,835 84,975 83,579 33,109 4,201 2016 101,950 96,753 54,413 3,920 2017 119,741 93,852 3,496 Total $ Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 3,022 $ 9,399 $ 20,539 $ 33,605 $ 48,108 $ 56,288 $ 62,511 $ 64,814 $ 67,572 $ 69,605 2009 1,972 9,233 24,115 43,702 58,460 65,913 70,220 74,920 75,948 2010 2,587 13,025 29,312 44,051 55,992 61,929 66,399 69,514 2011 5,924 17,124 32,978 48,822 60,769 67,358 71,413 2012 5,897 14,539 23,889 33,822 43,276 47,970 2013 6,334 13,021 22,366 34,786 40,609 2014 11,436 18,771 29,545 40,270 2015 10,157 19,902 33,020 2016 10,142 24,186 2017 13,154 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 7,705 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % % % % Casualty - Excess Occurrence (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 35,209 $ 22,666 $ 17,347 $ 14,472 $ 13,869 $ 13,862 $ 13,816 $ 13,695 $ 13,487 $ 13,671 $ 308 638 2009 30,267 19,719 14,981 12,893 12,966 12,459 12,601 11,982 12,055 268 566 2010 29,314 24,244 22,111 18,932 20,044 22,044 21,018 20,530 381 499 2011 26,272 17,148 17,443 18,641 19,160 20,959 21,295 964 578 2012 29,042 21,558 21,021 21,885 21,231 22,433 1,417 837 2013 39,984 34,824 26,857 25,425 25,599 4,654 925 2014 50,889 39,095 35,119 32,274 9,801 844 2015 53,672 50,857 47,392 22,168 608 2016 56,341 49,385 39,381 486 2017 62,863 58,246 287 Total $ Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 115 $ 3,224 $ 8,212 $ 11,231 $ 11,755 $ 11,938 $ 12,163 $ 13,166 $ 13,183 $ 13,281 2009 956 3,947 6,585 9,460 11,001 10,808 11,776 11,780 11,786 2010 7 6,002 10,705 13,282 15,512 17,302 19,175 19,256 2011 2,169 5,145 6,981 8,793 10,772 16,494 17,769 2012 1,315 3,573 8,843 15,380 16,879 17,747 2013 1,060 5,701 10,967 14,545 16,967 2014 1,899 4,006 11,002 18,852 2015 2,048 10,127 19,571 2016 1,068 3,396 2017 17 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 20,108 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % % % % Casualty - Claims Made (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 11,083 $ 12,754 $ 3,915 $ 3,043 $ 7,811 $ 6,878 $ 5,568 $ 4,848 $ 4,584 $ 4,528 $ 103 300 2009 12,918 13,703 9,687 13,562 11,710 13,117 12,810 12,053 11,827 302 383 2010 13,690 15,556 9,776 10,429 11,689 10,581 9,175 9,024 490 502 2011 17,416 17,454 12,260 10,619 8,510 7,720 7,852 693 682 2012 27,576 26,144 20,727 19,590 18,022 17,612 2,156 803 2013 40,095 41,488 44,054 40,288 38,473 5,773 1,042 2014 53,929 55,386 58,152 55,350 13,240 1,302 2015 55,006 47,831 42,206 19,844 1,332 2016 59,992 67,760 30,727 1,481 2017 60,572 46,522 1,534 Total $ Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 9 $ 227 $ 703 $ 705 $ 707 $ 712 $ 4,380 $ 4,385 $ 4,424 $ 4,424 2009 113 442 773 3,413 5,176 10,678 11,217 11,398 11,475 2010 259 1,548 2,308 3,626 5,733 5,749 6,956 8,485 2011 330 1,949 4,508 5,947 5,637 6,209 6,835 2012 433 4,086 6,898 9,218 10,968 14,378 2013 792 7,073 18,425 26,121 29,678 2014 1,705 9,775 27,923 35,755 2015 2,215 10,738 16,774 2016 2,060 14,558 2017 2,455 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 854 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % % % % Casualty - Transportation (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 32,071 $ 27,752 $ 25,520 $ 23,497 $ 24,255 $ 24,110 $ 23,764 $ 23,673 $ 23,690 $ 23,672 $ 23 2,834 2009 26,349 23,366 23,174 22,929 22,613 22,340 21,958 21,969 21,926 36 2,644 2010 27,239 23,390 24,912 25,593 23,981 23,625 23,701 23,786 52 2,842 2011 22,957 23,479 25,747 25,272 25,431 25,376 25,167 71 2,469 2012 21,452 22,203 22,924 23,511 23,689 23,620 129 2,282 2013 32,742 32,853 32,989 37,673 38,811 702 2,849 2014 38,361 33,015 36,452 38,590 1,698 3,093 2015 38,561 46,258 47,021 6,051 3,167 2016 50,430 53,519 11,987 3,879 2017 55,640 17,396 3,361 Total $ 351,752 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 6,153 $ 10,821 $ 14,489 $ 18,359 $ 21,110 $ 23,293 $ 23,387 $ 23,614 $ 23,616 $ 23,628 2009 5,035 8,698 14,613 19,933 21,100 21,325 21,640 21,650 21,650 2010 6,296 10,116 15,475 20,045 21,792 23,063 23,488 23,533 2011 5,295 9,485 14,477 19,443 22,375 23,537 23,941 2012 4,466 8,533 12,394 17,318 20,931 22,566 2013 5,306 11,978 19,761 28,220 33,480 2014 7,125 13,933 19,676 27,457 2015 6,984 20,709 29,554 2016 8,923 18,354 2017 7,979 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 232,142 All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 94 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 119,704 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % % % % Property (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 75,951 $ 79,774 $ 78,378 $ 78,946 $ 75,974 $ 76,089 $ 75,281 $ 75,313 $ 75,288 $ 75,217 $ 20 2,718 2009 59,975 55,821 52,286 49,534 48,969 48,857 48,707 49,267 49,323 58 2,631 2010 63,194 59,145 55,427 53,937 54,153 52,927 52,964 52,952 85 2,850 2011 70,246 66,924 64,976 63,724 62,770 62,570 62,456 300 3,027 2012 85,485 80,155 79,181 77,569 79,175 78,125 335 2,639 2013 63,864 62,090 62,173 62,114 61,914 698 2,995 2014 56,587 49,441 48,801 48,761 534 4,558 2015 59,863 56,103 53,958 1,727 4,070 2016 62,900 55,594 3,759 3,352 2017 90,803 24,892 2,609 Total $ 629,103 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 31,573 $ 59,695 $ 66,028 $ 69,811 $ 71,938 $ 73,619 $ 74,692 $ 74,766 $ 74,827 $ 74,896 2009 25,464 40,775 43,758 46,004 48,031 48,297 48,329 49,051 49,173 2010 25,274 43,091 47,743 50,055 52,729 52,426 52,719 52,851 2011 27,676 48,756 55,778 59,099 60,272 61,428 61,834 2012 39,074 66,509 72,057 73,705 75,640 76,152 2013 32,208 50,840 57,407 59,259 60,520 2014 30,550 43,380 46,148 46,528 2015 32,184 49,348 50,197 2016 33,134 46,921 2017 41,314 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 560,386 All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 150 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 68,867 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % % % % Surety (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2017 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 Total IBNR Claims 2008 $ 8,055 $ 4,045 $ 3,469 $ 3,267 $ 2,832 $ 2,850 $ 2,877 $ 2,856 $ 2,939 $ 2,818 $ 3 2,084 2009 15,474 4,896 4,708 4,246 4,146 4,551 4,288 4,923 5,990 7 1,660 2010 13,961 8,205 6,630 7,076 6,810 7,136 7,645 6,850 32 1,533 2011 13,842 17,832 17,792 17,321 16,766 16,695 16,480 31 1,669 2012 17,114 11,452 8,667 8,180 7,867 7,471 104 1,459 2013 16,080 7,516 6,170 5,399 5,271 108 1,398 2014 16,450 8,106 5,225 4,427 349 1,318 2015 16,958 12,957 11,113 1,724 1,149 2016 18,928 11,062 3,018 1,167 2017 16,127 14,938 793 Total $ Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017 2008 $ 643 $ 2,110 $ 2,722 $ 2,665 $ 2,731 $ 2,745 $ 2,816 $ 2,803 $ 2,919 $ 2,931 2009 892 1,914 2,382 2,493 3,490 4,336 3,919 3,908 5,978 2010 1,724 3,205 5,702 7,092 7,151 7,285 7,822 7,269 2011 8,160 16,932 17,151 17,403 17,212 17,086 17,086 2012 1,883 6,680 6,726 7,416 7,536 7,406 2013 1,116 2,856 4,701 4,911 5,098 2014 722 4,283 4,166 4,059 2015 3,192 6,719 7,695 2016 3,087 5,817 2017 979 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ All outstanding liabilities before 2008, net of reinsurance 84 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 % % % % % % % -2.9 % % % The following is a reconciliation of the net incurred and paid loss development tables to the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses in the consolidated balance sheet: Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Loss Development to the Liability for Unpaid Losses and Settlement Expenses (in thousands) December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016 Net outstanding liabilities: Casualty - Primary Occurrence $ 325,182 $ 293,256 Casualty - Excess Occurrence 188,963 163,801 Casualty - Claims Made 171,241 152,031 Casualty - Transportation 119,704 98,604 Property 68,867 47,769 Surety 23,375 24,388 Unallocated loss adjustment expenses 48,844 46,286 Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses 10,014 10,699 Other 13,322 14,279 Liabilities for unpaid loss and settlement expenses, net of reinsurance $ 969,512 $ 851,113 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims: Casualty - Primary Occurrence $ 36,158 $ 43,662 Casualty - Excess Occurrence 74,400 69,858 Casualty - Claims Made 117,436 113,891 Casualty - Transportation 46,590 41,173 Property 28,613 17,548 Surety 7,079 10,606 Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses Other 1,729 2,185 Total reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses $ 301,991 $ 288,224 Total gross liability for unpaid loss and settlement expenses $ 1,271,503 $ 1,139,337 DETERMINATION OF IBNR Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve estimation process. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve. For most property products, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on historical reporting patterns and are updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. Shortly after natural or man-made catastrophes, we review insured locations exposed to the event and model losses based on our own exposures and industry loss estimates of the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. Adjustments to the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors. Actuaries perform a ground-up reserve study of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE derived using multiple standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. Upon completion of our loss and LAE estimation analysis, a review of the resulting variance between the indicated reserves and the carried reserves takes place. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regards to booked reserves that reflect their analytical assessment and view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses and all relevant risk factors, the Loss Reserve Committee, a panel of management including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer and other executives, confirms the appropriateness of the reserve balances. DEVELOPMENT OF IBNR RESERVES The following table summarizes our prior accident years’ loss reserve development by segment for 2017, 2016 and 2015: (FAVORABLE)/UNFAVORABLE RESERVE DEVELOPMENT BY SEGMENT (in thousands) 2017 2016 2015 Casualty $ (17,462) $ (32,401) $ (45,654) Property (12,134) (4,793) (11,848) Surety (9,272) (4,800) (7,925) Total $ (38,868) $ (41,994) $ (65,427) A discussion of significant components of reserve development for the three most recent calendar years follows: 2017. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2017. The casualty segment contributed $17.5 million in favorable development, inclusive of unallocated loss and adjustment expenses (ULAE). Accident years 2014, 2015 and 2016 contributed significantly to the favorable development. This was predominantly caused by favorable frequency and severity trends that continued to be better than our long-term expectations. In addition, we believe this to be the result of our underwriters’ risk selection, which has mostly offset price declines and loss cost inflation. Nearly all of our casualty products contributed to the favorable development. Within the primary occurrence grouping, the general liability product contributed $4.6 million to our favorable development with all coverages contributing to the favorable development in 2017. Small commercial products were the second largest contributor with $3.2 million in favorable development. Within the excess occurrence grouping, personal and commercial umbrella were favorable by $1.1 million and $9.9 million, respectively. Within the claims made grouping, our executive products had favorable contributions of $4.4 million, while medical professional liability was adverse $3.7 million. Transportation was adverse $7.4 million for the year, but posted favorable experience during the last three quarters of the year. The marine product was the primary driver of the favorable development in the property segment. Marine contributed $6.8 million of the $12.1 million total favorable property development, inclusive of ULAE. Accident years 2015 and 2016 contributed to the marine products’ favorable development. Commercial property was favorable $3.2 million. The surety segment experienced favorable development of $9.3 million, inclusive of ULAE. The majority of the favorable development was from accident year 2016. Contract and commercial surety products were the main contributors with favorable development of $4.4 million and $3.5 million, respectively. Energy surety had favorable development of $1.5 million and miscellaneous surety had unfavorable development of $0.1 million. 2016. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2016. The casualty segment contributed $32.4 million in favorable development, inclusive of ULAE, which is excluded from the incurred loss and loss adjustment expense tables above. Accident year 2015 contributed significantly to the favorable development, with accident years 2010 to 2014 also continuing to develop favorably. The favorable development in 2016 was smaller than 2015 but continued to reflect favorable frequency and severity trends. In addition, the risk selection by our underwriters continued to provide better results than estimated in our reserving process. Within the primary occurrence grouping, the general liability product contributed $17.6 million to our favorable development. Small commercial products were favorable by $6.2 million. Within the excess occurrence grouping, commercial umbrella was favorable by $13.8 million which was offset by adverse development in our personal umbrella product of $4.9 million. Within the claims made grouping, executive products contributed $14.7 million in favorable development and miscellaneous professional liability had $0.8 million of favorable development. Transportation experienced unfavorable development of $15.4 million as adverse commercial loss trends resulted in an increase in case reserves for accident years 2013 through 2015. Marine contributed $2.1 million of the $4.8 million total favorable property development, inclusive of ULAE. Accident years 2013 through 2015 contributed to the marine products’ favorable development. Assumed property contributed $2.5 million of favorable development offsetting the unfavorable development of $0.2 million in other direct property products. The surety segment experienced favorable development of $4.8 million, inclusive of ULAE. The majority of the favorable development was from accident year 2015, which offset the unfavorable development from accident years 2008 through 2011 and 2014. Commercial and energy surety products were the main contributors with favorable development of $1.7 million and $1.9 million, respectively. Miscellaneous surety had favorable development of $1.1 million and contract surety had favorable development of $0.1 million. 2015. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2015. Development from the casualty segment totaled $45.7 million, inclusive of ULAE. The largest amounts of favorable development came from accident years 2010 through 2014. We continued to experience emergence that was generally better than previously estimated, but to a lesser degree in 2015 than in the previous year. Frequency and severity trends have been favorable relative to initial estimates and we believe this is largely due to risk selection by our underwriters, which has been effective in offsetting loss cost trends and a competitive pricing environment. Within the primary occurrence grouping, our general liability and small commercial products experienced favorable development of $15.4 million and $6.6 million, respectively. Although the habitational classes within general liability produced adverse development, it was more than offset by favorable development from the construction classes. However, the professional services product, experienced adverse development totaling $3.2 million in 2015. Within the excess occurrence grouping, our commercial umbrella product experienced $10.7 million of favorable development while the casualty runoff business experienced $5.4 million of adverse development, primarily on the 1983 accident year. The claims made and transportation groupings had favorable contributions of $3.9 million and $5.4 million, respectively. Our marine product was the predominant driver of the favorable development in the property segment, accounting for $9.2 million of the $11.8 million total favorable development for the segment, inclusive of ULAE. The accident years making the largest contributions were 2010 through 2014. The inland marine and cargo coverages were responsible for the majority of the favorable loss experience. Our assumed property products contributed $4.9 million of favorable development with the majority of that coming from loss reductions on previous hurricanes and storms. Development on direct property products business was also favorable overall. Our recreational vehicle product experienced $1.3 million of adverse development, mostly due to auto physical damage coverages. The surety segment experienced $7.9 million of favorable development, inclusive of ULAE. The majority of the favorable development came from the 2014 accident year, which served to offset the unfavorable development from accident years 2010 and 2013. Commercial, contract and energy surety contributed favorable development of $4.0 million, $2.2 million and $2.0 million, respectively. Miscellaneous surety experienced adverse development totaling $0.3 million. ENVIRONMENTAL, ASBESTOS AND MASS TORT EXPOSURES We are subject to environmental site cleanup, asbestos removal and mass tort claims and exposures through our commercial umbrella, general liability and discontinued assumed casualty reinsurance lines of business. The majority of the exposure is in the excess layers of our commercial umbrella and assumed reinsurance books of business. The following table represents paid and unpaid environmental, asbestos and mass tort claims data (including incurred but not reported losses) as of December 31, 2017, 2016 and 2015: (in thousands) 2017 2016 2015 Loss and LAE Payments (Cumulative): Gross $ 132,883 $ 130,358 $ 119,632 Ceded (67,507) (66,644) (62,463) Net $ 65,376 $ 63,714 $ 57,169 Unpaid Losses and LAE at End of Year: Gross $ 28,042 $ 28,815 $ 41,062 Ceded (5,715) (4,987) (12,559) Net $ 22,327 $ 23,828 $ 28,503 Our environmental, asbestos and mass tort exposure is limited, relative to other insurers, as a result of entering the affected liability lines after the insurance industry had already recognized environmental and asbestos exposure as a problem and adopted appropriate coverage exclusions. The majority of our reserves are associated with products that went into runoff at least two decades ago. Some are for assumed reinsurance, some are for excess liability business and some followed from the acquisition of Underwriters Indemnity Company in 1999. Calendar year 2017 included an increase in inception-to-date paid losses, offsetting a decrease in unpaid losses. The activity was related to payments on previously reserved claims. In aggregate, inception-to-date incurred losses increased on a gross and net. While our environmental exposure is limited, the ultimate liability for this exposure is difficult to assess because of the extensive and complicated litigation involved in the settlement of claims and evolving legislation on issues such as joint and several liability, retroactive liability and standards of cleanup. Additionally, we participate primarily in the excess layers of coverage, where accurate estimates of ultimate loss are more difficult to derive than for primary coverage. |