HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT | 6. HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT The following table is a reconciliation of our unpaid losses and settlement expenses (LAE) for the years 2019, 2018 and 2017: (in thousands) 2019 2018 2017 Unpaid losses and LAE at beginning of year: Gross $ 1,461,348 $ 1,271,503 $ 1,139,337 Ceded (364,999) (301,991) (288,224) Net $ 1,096,349 $ 969,512 $ 851,113 Increase (decrease) in incurred losses and LAE: Current accident year $ 488,700 $ 478,143 $ 440,452 Prior accident years (75,284) (49,950) (38,868) Total incurred $ 413,416 $ 428,193 $ 401,584 Loss and LAE payments for claims incurred: Current accident year $ (80,055) $ (76,050) $ (73,392) Prior accident year (239,875) (225,306) (209,793) Total paid $ (319,930) $ (301,356) $ (283,185) Net unpaid losses and LAE at end of year $ 1,189,835 $ 1,096,349 $ 969,512 Unpaid losses and LAE at end of year: Gross $ 1,574,352 $ 1,461,348 $ 1,271,503 Ceded (384,517) (364,999) (301,991) Net $ 1,189,835 $ 1,096,349 $ 969,512 Loss development occurs when our current estimate of ultimate losses, established through our reserve analysis processes, differs from the initial reserve estimate. The recognition of the changes in initial reserve estimates occurred over time as claims were reported, initial case reserves were established, initial reserves were reviewed in light of additional information and ultimate payments were made on the collective set of claims incurred as of that evaluation date. The new information on the ultimate settlement value of claims is continually updated until all claims in a defined set are settled. As a small specialty insurer with a diversified product portfolio, our experience will ordinarily exhibit fluctuations from period to period. While we attempt to identify and react to systematic changes in the loss environment, we also must consider the volume of claim experience directly available to the Company and interpret any particular period’s indications with a realistic technical understanding of the reliability of those observations. The following is information about incurred and paid loss development as of December 31, 2019, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency, the total of IBNR liabilities included within the net incurred loss amounts and average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2019. The loss information has been disaggregated so that only losses that are expected to develop in a similar manner are grouped together. This has resulted in the presentation of loss information for our property and surety segments at the segment level, while information for our casualty segment has been separated in four groupings: primary occurrence, excess occurrence, claims made and transportation. Primary occurrence includes select lines within the professional services product along with general liability, small commercial and other casualty products. Excess occurrence encompasses commercial excess and personal umbrella, while claims made includes select lines within the professional services product, executive products and other casualty. Reported claim counts represent claim events on a specified policy rather than individual claimants and includes claims that did not or are not expected to result in an incurred loss. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2010 to 2018 is presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Casualty - Primary Occurrence (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 87,875 $ 96,582 $ 93,589 $ 88,820 $ 85,034 $ 80,289 $ 78,685 $ 78,991 $ 80,216 $ 79,656 $ 1,922 6,128 2011 91,139 98,428 94,145 89,622 86,342 83,181 82,193 82,248 81,579 2,546 5,862 2012 91,807 78,406 65,893 61,072 59,028 59,488 60,328 60,465 2,922 5,179 2013 80,823 67,297 62,882 60,329 60,162 59,556 59,116 4,917 4,307 2014 88,092 79,497 71,592 67,237 66,389 66,702 8,251 4,266 2015 94,835 84,975 83,579 78,675 76,398 14,891 4,362 2016 101,950 96,753 90,611 85,449 24,712 4,240 2017 119,741 111,391 102,583 46,557 4,336 2018 141,513 130,281 79,489 4,490 2019 146,011 119,051 4,193 Total $ 888,240 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 2,587 $ 13,025 $ 29,312 $ 44,051 $ 55,992 $ 61,929 $ 66,399 $ 69,514 $ 73,318 $ 75,007 2011 5,924 17,124 32,978 48,822 60,769 67,358 71,413 74,814 76,318 2012 5,897 14,539 23,889 33,822 43,276 47,970 51,611 54,391 2013 6,334 13,021 22,366 34,786 40,609 45,753 47,783 2014 11,436 18,771 29,545 40,270 47,343 52,387 2015 10,157 19,902 33,020 45,056 54,270 2016 10,142 24,186 35,764 48,042 2017 13,154 25,933 38,783 2018 15,066 32,365 2019 15,698 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 495,044 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 10,714 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 403,910 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10.8 % 13.2 % 16.3 % 17.4 % 13.0 % 7.9 % 5.0 % 4.2 % 3.3 % 2.1 % Casualty - Excess Occurrence (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 29,314 $ 24,244 $ 22,111 $ 18,932 $ 20,044 $ 22,044 $ 21,018 $ 20,530 $ 20,527 $ 20,579 $ 315 503 2011 26,272 17,148 17,443 18,641 19,160 20,959 21,295 22,032 21,825 625 581 2012 29,042 21,558 21,021 21,885 21,231 22,433 23,020 25,286 1,016 858 2013 39,984 34,824 26,857 25,425 25,599 24,922 25,496 2,220 939 2014 50,889 39,095 35,119 32,274 33,372 33,458 6,322 887 2015 53,672 50,857 47,392 42,840 43,328 10,833 685 2016 56,341 49,385 37,676 33,125 18,457 624 2017 62,863 55,868 48,363 31,333 563 2018 69,362 62,646 51,501 452 2019 88,078 66,592 293 Total $ 402,184 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 7 $ 6,002 $ 10,705 $ 13,282 $ 15,512 $ 17,302 $ 19,175 $ 19,256 $ 19,308 $ 19,390 2011 2,169 5,145 6,981 8,793 10,772 16,494 17,769 20,214 21,036 2012 1,315 3,573 8,843 15,380 16,879 17,747 19,310 21,993 2013 1,060 5,701 10,967 14,545 16,967 17,956 18,524 2014 1,899 4,006 11,002 18,852 22,541 23,376 2015 2,048 10,127 19,571 23,184 28,756 2016 1,068 3,396 7,441 10,054 2017 17 5,679 9,275 2018 2,506 5,823 2019 4,213 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 162,440 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 16,409 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 256,153 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4.2 % 13.2 % 16.9 % 14.3 % 9.9 % 8.9 % 5.8 % 7.4 % 2.0 % 0.4 % Casualty - Claims Made (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 13,690 $ 15,556 $ 9,776 $ 10,429 $ 11,689 $ 10,581 $ 9,175 $ 9,024 $ 8,735 $ 8,680 $ 160 502 2011 17,416 17,454 12,260 10,619 8,510 7,720 7,852 11,506 14,031 592 682 2012 27,576 26,144 20,727 19,590 18,022 17,612 17,569 20,785 1,781 803 2013 40,095 41,488 44,054 40,288 38,473 37,959 38,352 2,255 1,042 2014 53,929 55,386 58,152 55,350 51,554 53,841 4,391 1,305 2015 55,006 47,831 42,206 39,906 39,653 6,376 1,336 2016 59,992 67,760 69,493 67,728 16,541 1,506 2017 60,572 62,450 62,714 24,377 1,633 2018 66,128 62,416 37,809 1,381 2019 62,918 50,178 1,411 Total $ 431,118 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 259 $ 1,548 $ 2,308 $ 3,626 $ 5,733 $ 5,749 $ 6,956 $ 8,485 $ 8,512 $ 8,515 2011 330 1,949 4,508 5,947 5,637 6,209 6,835 7,132 7,239 2012 433 4,086 6,898 9,218 10,968 14,378 15,621 16,450 2013 792 7,073 18,425 26,121 29,678 32,789 34,535 2014 1,705 9,775 27,923 35,755 40,080 44,127 2015 2,215 10,738 16,774 20,920 28,795 2016 2,060 14,558 27,465 39,370 2017 2,455 11,350 22,728 2018 1,964 11,965 2019 1,839 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 215,563 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 2,399 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 217,954 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3.1 % 16.2 % 19.5 % 14.2 % 11.3 % 7.3 % 7.2 % 7.9 % 0.5 % 0.0 % Casualty - Transportation (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 27,239 $ 23,390 $ 24,912 $ 25,593 $ 23,981 $ 23,625 $ 23,701 $ 23,786 $ 23,776 $ 23,860 $ 23 2,843 2011 22,957 23,479 25,747 25,272 25,431 25,376 25,167 25,614 25,827 41 2,469 2012 21,452 22,203 22,924 23,511 23,689 23,620 23,305 23,731 47 2,285 2013 32,742 32,853 32,989 37,673 38,811 39,974 39,309 140 2,853 2014 38,361 33,015 36,452 38,590 40,202 40,508 458 3,099 2015 38,561 46,258 47,021 46,395 45,162 1,574 3,183 2016 50,430 53,519 54,105 52,277 4,241 3,935 2017 55,640 53,641 45,017 7,476 3,625 2018 57,597 54,592 24,385 3,376 2019 58,297 17,932 3,082 Total $ 408,580 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 6,296 $ 10,116 $ 15,475 $ 20,045 $ 21,792 $ 23,063 $ 23,488 $ 23,533 $ 23,556 $ 23,635 2011 5,295 9,485 14,477 19,443 22,375 23,537 23,941 24,377 25,052 2012 4,466 8,533 12,394 17,318 20,931 22,566 22,730 23,180 2013 5,306 11,978 19,761 28,220 33,480 35,923 37,327 2014 7,125 13,933 19,676 27,457 33,190 38,282 2015 6,984 20,709 29,554 37,222 39,339 2016 8,923 18,354 30,354 38,001 2017 7,979 17,070 24,090 2018 6,980 12,827 2019 7,148 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 268,881 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 252 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 139,951 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 17.2 % 18.1 % 18.8 % 18.8 % 11.0 % 7.1 % 1.9 % 1.3 % 1.4 % 0.3 % Property (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 63,194 $ 59,145 $ 55,427 $ 53,937 $ 54,153 $ 52,927 $ 52,964 $ 52,952 $ 52,903 $ 52,548 $ 10 2,850 2011 70,246 66,924 64,976 63,724 62,770 62,570 62,456 62,875 62,799 65 3,028 2012 85,485 80,155 79,181 77,569 79,175 78,125 78,161 78,002 97 2,640 2013 63,864 62,090 62,173 62,114 61,914 61,834 61,776 183 2,995 2014 56,587 49,441 48,801 48,761 49,217 49,444 158 4,561 2015 59,863 56,103 53,958 52,720 53,111 403 4,075 2016 62,900 55,594 55,384 55,930 1,418 3,371 2017 90,803 83,273 84,961 5,861 2,883 2018 89,091 83,457 10,867 2,321 2019 71,232 27,090 2,098 Total $ 653,260 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 25,274 $ 43,091 $ 47,743 $ 50,055 $ 52,729 $ 52,426 $ 52,719 $ 52,851 $ 52,855 $ 52,538 2011 27,676 48,756 55,778 59,099 60,272 61,428 61,834 62,729 62,730 2012 39,074 66,509 72,057 73,705 75,640 76,152 77,159 77,323 2013 32,208 50,840 57,407 59,259 60,520 61,195 61,325 2014 30,550 43,380 46,148 46,528 47,799 49,027 2015 32,184 49,348 50,197 51,290 52,078 2016 33,134 46,921 51,371 53,006 2017 41,314 66,818 74,415 2018 37,048 68,264 2019 30,703 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 581,409 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 114 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 71,965 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 51.2 % 31.5 % 7.7 % 2.9 % 2.6 % 1.1 % 0.7 % 0.6 % 0.0 % (0.6) % Surety (in thousands, except number of claims) Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, 2019 For the Years Ended December 31, Cumulative Number of Reported AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 Total IBNR Claims 2010 $ 13,961 $ 8,205 $ 6,630 $ 7,076 $ 6,810 $ 7,136 $ 7,645 $ 6,244 $ 6,580 $ 6,743 $ 47 1,543 2011 13,842 17,832 17,792 17,321 16,766 16,695 16,480 18,281 18,293 35 1,679 2012 17,114 11,452 8,667 8,180 7,867 7,471 7,099 7,082 38 1,474 2013 16,080 7,516 6,170 5,399 5,271 5,231 5,209 65 1,406 2014 16,450 8,106 5,225 4,427 4,267 4,319 67 1,346 2015 16,958 12,957 11,113 10,456 9,792 384 1,217 2016 18,928 11,062 9,351 8,895 742 1,359 2017 16,127 8,641 8,798 1,469 1,645 2018 16,765 7,227 3,965 1,157 2019 14,785 14,035 607 Total $ 91,143 Cumulative Paid Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, AY 2010* 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019 2010 $ 1,724 $ 3,205 $ 5,702 $ 7,092 $ 7,151 $ 7,285 $ 7,822 $ 6,663 $ 6,637 $ 6,733 2011 8,160 16,932 17,151 17,403 17,212 17,086 17,086 17,013 18,251 2012 1,883 6,680 6,726 7,416 7,536 7,406 7,065 6,996 2013 1,116 2,856 4,701 4,911 5,098 5,150 5,128 2014 722 4,283 4,166 4,059 4,131 4,234 2015 3,192 6,719 7,695 9,436 9,183 2016 3,087 5,817 6,299 7,640 2017 979 2,862 7,062 2018 1,835 2,588 2019 336 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total $ 68,151 All outstanding liabilities before 2010, net of reinsurance 1,996 Liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 24,988 Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance* Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 24.1 % 39.1 % 16.8 % 9.4 % 0.7 % 0.6 % 0.7 % (6.2) % 3.2 % 1.4 % The following is a reconciliation of the net incurred and paid loss development tables to the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses in the consolidated balance sheet: Reconciliation of Incurred and Paid Loss Development to the Liability for Unpaid Losses and Settlement Expenses (in thousands) December 31, 2019 December 31, 2018 Net outstanding liabilities: Casualty - Primary Occurrence $ 403,910 $ 372,450 Casualty - Excess Occurrence 256,153 209,683 Casualty - Claims Made 217,954 204,501 Casualty - Transportation 139,951 133,558 Property 71,965 77,238 Surety 24,988 28,237 Unallocated loss adjustment expenses 52,275 50,891 Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses 9,402 9,793 Other 13,237 9,998 Liabilities for unpaid loss and settlement expenses, net of reinsurance $ 1,189,835 $ 1,096,349 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims: Casualty - Primary Occurrence $ 31,122 $ 34,742 Casualty - Excess Occurrence 98,518 81,072 Casualty - Claims Made 176,936 144,921 Casualty - Transportation 53,724 50,748 Property 21,438 50,495 Surety 11,199 11,834 Allowance for uncollectible reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses (9,402) (9,793) Other 982 980 Total reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses $ 384,517 $ 364,999 Total gross liability for unpaid loss and settlement expenses $ 1,574,352 $ 1,461,348 DETERMINATION OF IBNR Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve estimation process. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve. For most property products, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on historical reporting patterns and are updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. Shortly after natural or man-made catastrophes, we review insured locations exposed to the event and model losses based on our own exposures and industry loss estimates of the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. Adjustments to the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors. Actuaries perform a ground-up reserve study of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE derived using multiple standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. Upon completion of our loss and LAE estimation analysis, a review of the resulting variance between the indicated reserves and the carried reserves takes place. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regards to booked reserves that reflect their analytical assessment and view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses and all relevant risk factors, the Loss Reserve Committee, a panel of management including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer and other executives, confirms the appropriateness of the reserve balances. DEVELOPMENT OF IBNR RESERVES The following table summarizes our prior accident years’ loss reserve development by segment for 2019, 2018 and 2017: (FAVORABLE)/UNFAVORABLE RESERVE DEVELOPMENT BY SEGMENT (in thousands) 2019 2018 2017 Casualty $ (62,497) $ (33,252) $ (17,462) Property (4,461) (10,813) (12,134) Surety (8,326) (5,885) (9,272) Total $ (75,284) $ (49,950) $ (38,868) A discussion of significant components of reserve development for the three most recent calendar years follows: 2019. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2019. The casualty segment contributed $62.5 million in favorable development, inclusive of unallocated loss and adjustment expenses (ULAE) , which is excluded from the incurred loss and loss adjustment expense tables above . Accident years 2017 and 2018 contributed the majority of the favorable development, with earlier years developing favorably in aggregate to a lesser extent. Risk selection by our underwriters continued to provide better results than estimated in our reserving process. Within the primary occurrence grouping, the general liability product contributed $11.8 million to our favorable development. Small commercial products were favorable by $6.3 million. Within the excess occurrence grouping, commercial excess was favorable by $6.8 million and our personal umbrella product developed favorably by $7.8 million. Within the claims made grouping, professional services coverages developed favorably by $10.2 million, which was offset by adverse development of $7.3 million on executive products and $2.3 million on medical professional liability coverages. Transportation experienced favorable development of $16.6 million, primarily on accident years 2016 through 2018. Marine contributed $2.4 million of the $4.5 million total favorable property development, inclusive of ULAE. Accident years 2017 and 2018 contributed to the marine products’ favorable development. Homeowners contributed $1.1 million of favorable development with other commercial property insurance and assumed reinsurance products contributing the balance. The surety segment experienced favorable development of $8.3 million, inclusive of ULAE. The majority of the favorable development was from accident year 2018, while earlier accident years developed slightly adversely. The commercial surety product was the main contributor with favorable development of $5.8 million. Contract surety had favorable development of $4.2 million, which offset $1.7 million of adverse development on miscellaneous surety. 2018. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2018. Development from the casualty segment totaled $33.3 million, inclusive of ULAE . The largest amounts of favorable development came from accident years 2015 through 2017. We continued to experience emergence that was generally better than previously estimated. We attribute the favorable emergence to loss trends in most lines outperforming our long-term expectations. Further, we believe our underwriters’ risk selection contributed to the Company experiencing less loss cost inflation than originally anticipated. The primary occurrence grouping had favorable development of $15.6 million, driven by our general liability product with $6.7 million of favorable development. The excess occurrence grouping had favorable development of $21.4 million, with commercial insureds contributing $10.8 million and personal insureds contributing the remainder. Claims made exposures had adverse development of $3.9 million driven by medical errors and omissions coverages. Transportation had $0.5 million of favorable development. Our marine product was the predominant driver of the favorable development in the property segment, accounting for $5.0 million of the $10.8 million total favorable development for the segment, inclusive of ULAE. Accident years 2015 through 2017 made the largest contribution. Our excess and surplus lines commercial property product and assumed reinsurance products also contributed $2.0 million and $2.8 million of favorable development, respectively. The surety segment experienced $5.9 million of favorable development, inclusive of ULAE. The majority of the favorable development came from the 2017 accident year, which served to offset the unfavorable development from accident years 2011 and 2016. Commercial surety contributed favorable development of $6.3 million. Miscellaneous surety experienced adverse development totaling $0.8 million. 2017. We experienced favorable emergence relative to prior years’ reserve estimates in all of our segments during 2017. The casualty segment contributed $17.5 million in favorable development, inclusive of ULAE . Accident years 2014, 2015 and 2016 contributed significantly to the favorable development. This was predominantly caused by favorable frequency and severity trends that continued to be better than our long-term expectations. In addition, we believe this to be the result of our underwriters’ risk selection, which has mostly offset price declines and loss cost inflation. Nearly all of our casualty products contributed to the favorable development. Within the primary occurrence grouping, the general liability product contributed $4.6 million to our favorable development with a |