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6-K Filing
NatWest (NWG) 6-K2024 Q2 Current report (foreign)
Filed: 26 Jul 24, 9:14am
Report of Foreign Private Issuer
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
26 July 2024
Commission file number: 001-10306
Form 6-K
NatWest Group plc
Gogarburn
PO Box 1000
Edinburgh EH12 1HQ
Scotland
United Kingdom
(Address of principal executive offices)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F X Form 40-F
This report on Form 6-K, except for any information contained on any websites linked or documents referred to in this report, shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the company’s Registration Statement on Form F-3 (File No. 333-261837) and to be a part thereof from the date on which this report is filed, to the extent not superseded by documents or reports subsequently filed or furnished.
Forward-looking statements
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements
Certain sections in this document contain ‘forward-looking statements’ as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include the words ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘commit’, ‘believe’, ‘should’, ‘intend’, ‘will’, ‘plan’, ‘could’, ‘probability’, ‘risk’, ‘Value-at-Risk (VaR)’, ‘target’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘may’, ‘endeavour’, ‘outlook’, ‘optimistic’, ‘prospects’ and similar expressions or variations on these expressions. In particular, this document includes forward-looking targets and guidance relating to financial performance measures, such as income growth, operating expense, RoTE, ROE, discretionary capital distribution targets, impairment loss rates, balance sheet reduction, including the reduction of RWAs, CET1 ratio (and key drivers of the CET1 ratio including timing, impact and details), Bank of England base rates, Pillar 2 and other regulatory buffer requirements and MREL and non-financial performance measures, such as NatWest Group’s initial area of focus, climate and sustainability-related performance ambitions, targets and metrics, including in relation to initiatives to transition to a net zero economy, Climate and Sustainable Funding and Financing (CSFF) and financed emissions. In addition, this document includes forward-looking statements relating, but not limited to: implementation of NatWest Group’s strategy (including in relation to:, cost-controlling measures, the Commercial & Institutional segment and achieving a number of various targets within the relevant timeframe); the timing and outcome of litigation and government and regulatory investigations; direct and on-market buy-backs; funding plans and credit risk profile; managing its capital position; liquidity ratio; portfolios; net interest margin and drivers related thereto; lending and income growth, product share and growth in target segments; impairments and write-downs; restructuring and remediation costs and charges; NatWest Group’s exposure to political risk, economic assumptions and risk, climate, environmental and sustainability risk, operational risk, conduct risk, financial crime risk, cyber, data and IT risk and credit rating risk and to various types of market risk, including interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity and equity price risk; customer experience, including our Net Promoter Score; employee engagement and gender balance in leadership positions.
Limitations inherent to forward-looking statements
These statements are based on current plans, expectations, estimates, targets and projections, and are subject to significant inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors, both external and relating to NatWest Group’s strategy or operations, which may result in NatWest Group being unable to achieve the current plans, expectations, estimates, targets, projections and other anticipated outcomes expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. In addition, certain of these disclosures are dependent on choices relying on key model characteristics and assumptions and are subject to various limitations, including assumptions and estimates made by management. By their nature, certain of these disclosures are only estimates and, as a result, actual future results, gains or losses could differ materially from those that have been estimated. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on these statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date we make them and we expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein, whether to reflect any change in our expectations with regard thereto, any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based, or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.
Important factors that could affect the actual outcome of the forward-looking statements
We caution you that a large number of important factors could adversely affect our results or our ability to implement our strategy, cause us to fail to meet our targets, predictions, expectations and other anticipated outcomes or affect the accuracy of forward-looking statements described in this document. These factors include, but are not limited to, those set forth in the risk factors and the other uncertainties described in NatWest Group plc’s Annual Report on Form 20-F and its other filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The principal risks and uncertainties that could adversely affect NatWest Group’s future results, its financial condition and/or prospects and cause them to be materially different from what is forecast or expected, include, but are not limited to: economic and political risk (including in respect of: political and economic risks and uncertainty in the UK and global markets, including due to GDP growth, inflation and interest rates, fiscal and monetary policy changes (such as increases in bank levies), supply chain disruption and geopolitical developments); changes in foreign currency exchange rates; uncertainty regarding the effects of Brexit; and HM Treasury’s significant degree of influence over NatWest Group and the potential adverse effect of further sales or offers of shares held by HM Treasury’s on NatWest Group’s reputation or securities price; business change and execution risk (including in respect of the implementation of NatWest Group’s strategy; future acquisitions and divestments (including the phased withdrawal from ROI), and the transfer of its Western European corporate portfolio); financial resilience risk (including in respect of: NatWest Group’s ability to meet targets and to make discretionary capital distributions; the competitive environment; counterparty and borrower risk; liquidity and funding risks; prudential regulatory requirements for capital and MREL; reductions in the credit ratings; the requirements of regulatory stress tests; model risk; sensitivity to accounting policies, judgments, estimates and assumptions (and the economic, climate, competitive and other forward looking information affecting those judgments, estimates and assumptions); changes in applicable accounting standards; the value or effectiveness of credit protection; the adequacy of NatWest Group’s future assessments by the Prudential Regulation Authority and the Bank of England; and the application of UK statutory stabilisation or resolution powers); climate and sustainability risk (including in respect of: risks relating to climate-related and sustainability-related risks; both the execution and reputational risk relating to NatWest Group’s climate change-related strategy, ambitions, targets and transition plan; climate and sustainability-related data and model risk; the failure to implement climate change resilient governance, systems, controls and procedures; increasing levels of climate, environmental, human rights and sustainability-related regulation and oversight; increasing anti-greenwashing regulations; climate, environmental and sustainability-related litigation, enforcement proceedings investigations and conduct risk; and reductions in ESG ratings); operational and IT resilience risk (including in respect of: operational risks (including reliance on third party suppliers); cyberattacks; the accuracy and effective use of data; complex IT systems; attracting, retaining and developing diverse senior management and skilled personnel; NatWest Group’s risk management framework; and reputational risk); and legal, regulatory and conduct risk (including in respect of: the impact of substantial regulation and oversight; the outcome of legal, regulatory and governmental actions, investigations and remedial undertakings; and changes in tax legislation or failure to generate future taxable profits).
Forward-looking statements continued
Climate and sustainability-related disclosures
Climate and sustainability-related disclosures in this document are not measures within the scope of International Financial Reporting Standards (‘IFRS’), use a greater number and level of judgments, assumptions and estimates, including with respect to the classification of climate and sustainable funding and financing activities, than our reporting of historical financial information in accordance with IFRS. These judgments, assumptions and estimates are highly likely to change materially over time, and, when coupled with the longer time frames used in these disclosures, make any assessment of materiality inherently uncertain. In addition, our climate risk analysis, net zero strategy, including the implementation of our climate transition plan remain under development, and the data underlying our analysis and strategy remain subject to evolution over time. The process we have adopted to define, gather and report data on our performance on climate and sustainability-related measures is not subject to the formal processes adopted for financial reporting in accordance with IFRS and there are currently limited industry standards or globally recognised established practices for measuring and defining climate and sustainability-related metrics. As a result, we expect that certain climate and sustainability-related disclosures made in this document are likely to be amended, updated, recalculated or restated in the future. Please also refer to the cautionary statement in the section entitled ‘Climate-related and other forward-looking statements and metrics’ of the NatWest Group 2023 Climate-related Disclosures Report.
Cautionary statement regarding Non-IFRS financial measures and APMs
NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with UK - adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document may contain financial measures and ratios not specifically defined under GAAP or IFRS (‘Non-IFRS’) and/or alternative performance measures (‘APMs’) as defined in European Securities and Markets Authority (‘ESMA’) guidelines. Non-IFRS measures and APMs are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison. Non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. Any Non-IFRS measures and/or APMs included in this document, are not measures within the scope of IFRS, are based on a number of assumptions that are subject to uncertainties and change, and are not a substitute for IFRS measures.
The information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 3 |
Introduction
Presentation of information
Unless otherwise specified herein, ‘Parent company’ refers to NatWest Group plc and ‘NatWest Group’ and ‘we’ refers to NatWest Group plc and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWH Group’ refers to NatWest Holdings Limited (NWH) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWM Group’ refers to NatWest Markets Plc (NWM Plc) and its subsidiary and associated undertakings. The term ‘NWM N.V.’ refers to NatWest Markets N.V. The term ‘NWMSI’ refers to NatWest Markets Securities, Inc. The term ‘RBS plc’ refers to The Royal Bank of Scotland plc. The term ‘NWB Plc’ refers to National Westminster Bank Plc. The term ‘UBIDAC’ refers to Ulster Bank Ireland DAC.
NatWest Group publishes its financial statements in pounds sterling (‘£’ or ‘sterling’). The abbreviations ‘£m’ and ‘£bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of pounds sterling, respectively, and references to ‘pence’ or ‘p’ represent pence where the amounts are denominated in pounds sterling (‘GBP’). Reference to ‘dollars’ or ‘$’ are to United States of America (‘US’) dollars. The abbreviations ‘$m’ and ‘$bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of dollars, respectively. The abbreviation ‘€’ represents the ‘euro’, and the abbreviations ‘€m’ and ‘€bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of euros, respectively.
To aid readability, this document contains references to EU legislative and regulatory provisions in effect in the UK before 1 January 2021 that have now been implemented in UK domestic law. These references should be read and construed as including references to the applicable UK implementation measures with effect from 1 January 2021.
Any information contained on websites linked or reports referenced in this interim results report for the period ended 30 June 2024 on Form 6-K is for information only and will not be deemed to be incorporated by reference herein.
Non-IFRS financial information
NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with UK-adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document contains a number of non-IFRS measures, also known as alternative performance measures, defined under the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) guidance or non-GAAP financial measures in accordance with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations. These measures are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison.
The non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. The non-IFRS measures also include a calculation of metrics that are used throughout the banking industry. These non - IFRS measures are not a substitute for IFRS measures and a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measure is presented where appropriate.
For details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation where appropriate refer to appendix ‘Non-IFRS financial measures’ on page 120.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 4 |
Inside this report
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Financial instruments within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework | 35 |
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Stage 2 decomposition by a significant increase in credit risk trigger | 60 |
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Financial statements and notes | |
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 5 |
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 6 |
H1 2024 performance summary
Chief Executive, Paul Thwaite, commented
“As the UK’s leading business bank and one of the largest retail banks, NatWest Group’s strong performance is grounded in the vital role we play in the UK economy and in the lives of our 19 million customers. In the first half of the year, we have delivered an operating profit of £3 billion, a return on equity of 11.2%, a return on tangible equity of 16.4% and a 6 pence interim dividend, up 9% on last years dividend. We are also pleased with the continued reduction of the Government’s stake, which has almost halved this year.
We have made good progress against our strategic priorities, taking decisive action to grow and simplify our business and to manage our capital and costs more efficiently. There has been growth across all three of our businesses, we have attracted over 200,000 new customers and our acquisition from Sainsbury’s Bank is expected to add around one million customer accounts on completion. We have also agreed to acquire £2.5 billion of UK prime residential mortgages from Metro Bank plc, adding further scale to our Retail Banking business.
The positive momentum and progress in the first half reflect the ambition across the bank to deliver its full potential. Our customers are beginning to feel more confident, with activity increasing and asset quality remaining strong, and we are well positioned to help unlock growth across the UK through our unrivalled regional network. Fundamentally, if we succeed with our customers, we will succeed for our shareholders and the wider economy.”
Strong H1 2024 and Q2 performance
- | H1 2024 attributable profit of £2,099 million and a return on equity of 11.2%. Return on tangible equity (RoTE) was 16.4%. |
- | Q2 2024 total income of £3,659 million was £184 million, or 5.3%, higher than Q1 2024 whilst H1 2024 total income of £7,134 million was £593 million, or 7.7%, lower than H1 2023. Q2 2024 total income excluding notable items(1) of £3,590 million was £176 million, or 5.2%, higher than Q1 2024 primarily reflecting increased deposit income whilst H1 2024 was £379 million lower than H1 2023 due to lower average deposit balances and mix changes and lending margin pressure. |
- | Net interest margin (NIM) of 2.10% was 5 basis points higher than Q1 2024 primarily due to improved deposit margins. |
- | Q2 2024 operating expenses of £2,005 million were £47 million, or 2.3%, lower than Q1 2024 whilst H1 2024 operating expenses of £4,057 million were £142 million, or 3.6%, higher than H1 2023. Q2 2024 other operating expenses were £100 million lower than Q1 2024, or £21 million lower excluding costs in relation to bank levies of £87 million and the potential retail share offering. H1 2024 other operating expenses were £149 million higher than H1 2023, or £42 million, 1.1%, higher excluding costs in relation to the potential retail share offering of £24 million and additional bank levies of £83 million. |
- | Net impairment charge of £48 million in H1 2024, or 3 basis points of gross customer loans. Levels of default remain stable and at low levels across the portfolio. |
Robust balance sheet with strong capital and liquidity levels
- | Net loans to customers of £379.3 billion increased by £1.3 billion during Q2 2024 and decreased by £2.1 billion during H1 2024. Net loans to customers excluding central items decreased by £1.7 billion in the quarter and decreased £0.3 billion in the first half as growth in Commercial & Institutional was offset by UK Government scheme repayments and lower mortgage balances as customer redemptions offset new lending. |
- | Up to 30 June 2024 we have provided £78.3 billion against our target to provide £100 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. |
- | Customer deposits of £433.0 billion increased by £0.2 billion during Q2 2024 and by £1.6 billion during H1 2024. Customer deposits excluding central items were up by £6.1 billion in the first half of the year and increased £5.2 billion in Q2 2024. Term balances remained consistent in the quarter at 17% of our book and up from 16% at the end of 2023. |
- | The loan:deposit ratio (LDR) was 88% at Q2 2024. The LDR (excl. repos and reverse repos) was 83% at Q2 2024, with customer deposits exceeding net loans to customers by around £72 billion. |
- | The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 151%, representing £54.5 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement was unchanged compared with Q1 2024. |
- | NAV per share increased by 17 pence in H1 2024 to 395 pence. TNAV per share increased by 12 pence in H1 2024 to 304 pence primarily reflecting the profit for the period, partially offset by the 2023 final ordinary dividend of 11.5 pence. |
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of notable items. |
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 7 |
H1 2024 performance summary continued
Shareholder return supported by strong capital generation
- | We are pleased to announce an interim dividend of 6 pence per share which, including the £1.2 billion directed buyback completed in May, brings total distributions announced to £1.7 billion for H1 2024. |
- | Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.6% was 10 basis points higher than Q1 2024 reflecting the attributable profit, and reduction in RWAs partially offset by capital distributions. |
- | During Q2 2024 we agreed to acquire the outstanding credit card, unsecured personal loans and savings balances of Sainsbury’s Bank, subject to court and regulatory approvals. On completion we expect this acquisition to add around one million customer accounts to our Retail Banking business. |
- | RWAs of £180.8 billion reduced by £5.5 billion in Q2 2024 largely reflecting RWA management of £3.9 billion. |
Outlook(1)
We continue to assess the economic outlook and will monitor and react to market conditions and refine our internal forecasts as the economic position evolves. The following statements are based on our current expectations for interest rates and economic activity.
In 2024 we now expect:
- | to achieve a return on tangible equity above 14%. |
- | income excluding notable items to be around £14.0 billion. |
- | Group operating costs, excluding litigation and conduct costs, to be broadly stable compared with 2023 excluding around £0.1 billion increase in bank levies and £24 million of costs in relation to the potential retail share offering by HM Treasury. |
- | our loan impairment rate for 2024 to be below 15 basis points. |
In 2026 we continue to expect:
- | to achieve a return on tangible equity for the Group of greater than 13%. |
Capital – we continue to:
- | target a CET1 ratio in the range of 13-14%. |
- | expect RWAs to be around £200 billion at the end of 2025, including the impact of Basel 3.1, however this remains subject to final rules and approval. |
- | expect to pay ordinary dividends of around 40% of attributable profit and maintain capacity to participate in directed buybacks from the UK Government, recognising that any exercise of this authority would be dependent upon HMT’s intentions. We will also consider further on-market buybacks as appropriate. |
(1) | The guidance, targets, expectations, and trends discussed in this section represent NatWest Group plc management’s current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in the NatWest Group plc Risk Factors section in the 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F and the Summary Risk Factors in this announcement. These statements constitute forward-looking statements. Refer to Forward-looking statements in this announcement. |
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 8 |
Business performance summary
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | | | 30 June | | 31 March | | | | 30 June | | |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | Variance | | 2024 | | 2024 | | Variance | | 2023 | | Variance |
Summary consolidated income statement |
| £m |
| £m |
| % |
| £m |
| £m |
| % | | £m |
| % |
Net interest income |
| 5,408 |
| 5,726 |
| (5.6%) |
| 2,757 |
| 2,651 |
| 4.0% | | 2,824 |
| (2.4%) |
Non-interest income |
| 1,726 |
| 2,001 |
| (13.7%) |
| 902 |
| 824 |
| 9.5% | | 1,027 |
| (12.2%) |
Total income |
| 7,134 |
| 7,727 |
| (7.7%) |
| 3,659 |
| 3,475 |
| 5.3% | | 3,851 |
| (5.0%) |
Litigation and conduct costs |
| (101) |
| (108) |
| (6.5%) |
| (77) |
| (24) |
| nm | | (52) |
| 48.1% |
Other operating expenses |
| (3,956) |
| (3,807) |
| 3.9% |
| (1,928) |
| (2,028) |
| (4.9%) | | (1,875) |
| 2.8% |
Operating expenses |
| (4,057) |
| (3,915) |
| 3.6% |
| (2,005) |
| (2,052) |
| (2.3%) | | (1,927) |
| 4.0% |
Profit before impairment losses/releases |
| 3,077 |
| 3,812 |
| (19.3%) |
| 1,654 |
| 1,423 |
| 16.2% | | 1,924 |
| (14.0%) |
Impairment (losses)/releases |
| (48) |
| (223) |
| (78.5%) |
| 45 |
| (93) |
| (148.4%) | | (153) |
| (129.4%) |
Operating profit before tax |
| 3,029 |
| 3,589 |
| (15.6%) |
| 1,699 |
| 1,330 |
| 27.7% | | 1,771 |
| (4.1%) |
Tax charge |
| (801) |
| (1,061) |
| (24.5%) |
| (462) |
| (339) |
| 36.3% | | (549) |
| (15.8%) |
Profit from continuing operations |
| 2,228 |
| 2,528 |
| (11.9%) |
| 1,237 |
| 991 |
| 24.8% | | 1,222 |
| 1.2% |
Profit/ (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax |
| 11 |
| (108) |
| (110.2%) |
| 15 |
| (4) |
| nm | | (143) |
| (110.5%) |
Profit for the period |
| 2,239 |
| 2,420 |
| (7.5%) |
| 1,252 |
| 987 |
| 26.8% | | 1,079 |
| 16.0% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Performance key metrics and ratios |
|
| |
|
|
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Notable items within total income (1) |
| £130m | | £344m |
| nm | | £69m | | £61m | | nm | | £288m | | nm |
Total income excluding notable items (1) |
| £7,004m | | £7,383m |
| (5.1%) | | £3,590m | | £3,414m | | 5.2% | | £3,563m | | 0.8% |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.07% | | 2.23% |
| (16bps) | | 2.10% | | 2.05% | | 5bps | | 2.20% | | (10bps) |
Average interest earning assets (1) |
| £524bn | | £518bn |
| 1.2% | | £528bn | | £521bn | | 1.3% | | £514bn | | 2.7% |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 55.5% | | 49.3% | | 6.2% | | 52.7% | | 58.4% | | (5.7%) | | 48.7% | | 4.0% |
Loan impairment rate (1) | | 3bps | | 12bps | | (9bps) | | (5bps) | | 10bps | | (15bps) | | 16bps | | (21bps) |
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders | | £2,099m | | £2,299m | | (8.7%) | | £1,181m | | £918m | | 28.6% | | £1,020m | | 15.8% |
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic | | 24.2p | | 24.3p | | (0.1p) | | 13.7p | | 10.5p | | 3.2p | | 11.0p | | 2.7p |
Return on tangible equity (RoTE) (1) | | 16.4% | | 18.2% | | (1.8%) | | 18.5% | | 14.2% | | 4.3% | | 16.4% | | 2.1% |
Climate and sustainable funding and financing (2) |
| £16.3bn | | £16.0bn |
| 1.9% | | £9.7bn | | £6.6bn | | 47.0% | | £8.4bn | | 15.5% |
nm = not meaningful.
For the footnotes to this table refer to the following page.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 9 |
Business performance summary continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||||||
|
| 30 June |
| 31 March |
| | | 31 December | | |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | Variance | | 2023 | | Variance |
Balance sheet | | £bn | | £bn | | % | | £bn | | % |
Total assets |
| 690.3 |
| 697.5 |
| (1.0%) | | 692.7 | | (0.3%) |
Loans to customers - amortised cost |
| 379.3 |
| 378.0 |
| 0.3% | | 381.4 | | (0.6%) |
Loans to customers excluding central items (1,3) |
| 355.3 |
| 357.0 |
| (0.5%) | | 355.6 | | (0.1%) |
Loans to customers and banks - amortised cost and FVOCI |
| 388.9 |
| 387.7 |
| 0.3% | | 392.0 | | (0.8%) |
Total impairment provisions (4) |
| 3.3 |
| 3.6 |
| (8.3%) | | 3.6 | | (8.3%) |
Expected credit loss (ECL) coverage ratio |
| 0.86% |
| 0.94% |
| (8bps) | | 0.93% | | (7bps) |
Assets under management and administration (AUMA) (1) |
| 45.1 | | 43.1 | | 4.6% | | 40.8 | | 10.5% |
Customer deposits |
| 433.0 | | 432.8 | | 0.0% | | 431.4 | | 0.4% |
Customer deposits excluding central items (1,3) |
| 425.2 | | 420.0 | | 1.2% | | 419.1 | | 1.5% |
Liquidity and funding |
| | |
| | | |
| |
|
Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) |
| 151% | | 151% | | 0.0% | | 144% | | 7.0% |
Liquidity portfolio |
| 227 | | 229 | | (1.0%) | | 223 | | 1.8% |
Net stable funding ratio (NSFR) |
| 139% | | 136% | | 3.0% | | 133% | | 6.0% |
Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (1) |
| 83% | | 84% | | (1%) | | 84% | | (1%) |
Total wholesale funding |
| 83 | | 87 | | (4.6%) | | 80 | | 3.8% |
Short-term wholesale funding |
| 27 | | 31 | | (12.9%) | | 28 | | (3.6%) |
Capital and leverage |
| | | | | | | | | |
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio (5) |
| 13.6% | | 13.5% | | 10bps | | 13.4% | | 20bps |
Total capital ratio (5) |
| 19.5% | | 18.8% | | 70bps | | 18.4% | | 110bps |
Pro forma CET1 ratio (excl. foreseeable items) (6) |
| 14.1% | | 14.3% | | (20bps) | | 14.2% | | (10bps) |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) |
| 180.8 | | 186.3 | | (3.0%) | | 183.0 | | (1.2%) |
UK leverage ratio |
| 5.2% | | 5.1% | | 0.1% | | 5.0% | | 0.2% |
Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share (1,7) |
| 304p |
| 302p |
| 2p | | 292p | | 12p |
Number of ordinary shares in issue (millions) (7) |
| 8,307 |
| 8,727 |
| (4.8%) | | 8,792 | | (5.5%) |
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
(2) | NatWest Group uses its climate and sustainable funding and financing inclusion (CSFFI) criteria to determine the assets, activities and companies that are eligible to be included within its climate and sustainable funding and financing target. This includes both provision of committed (on and off-balance sheet) funding and financing, including provision of services for underwriting issuances and private placements. |
(3) | Central items includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank Republic of Ireland. |
(4) | Includes £0.1 billion relating to off-balance sheet exposures (31 March 2024 - £0.1 billion; 31 December 2023 – £0.1 billion). |
(5) | Refer to the Capital, liquidity and funding risk section for details of the basis of preparation. |
(6) | The pro forma CET1 ratio at 30 June 2024 excludes foreseeable items of £889 million: £839 million for ordinary dividends and £50 million foreseeable charges (31 March 2024 excludes foreseeable items of £1,633 million: £1,380 million for ordinary dividends and £253 million foreseeable charges; 31 December 2023 excludes foreseeable items of £1,538 million: £1,013 million for ordinary dividends and £525 million foreseeable charges). |
(7) | The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 10 |
Chief Financial Officer review
We delivered an operating profit of £3,029 million in the first half of the year with a return on equity of 11.2% and a RoTE of 16.4%. Total income of £7.1 billion in H1 2024 was £593 million, or 7.7%, lower than H1 2023 but Q2 2024 total income of £3.7 billion was £184 million, or 5.3%, higher than Q1 2024. Total income excluding notable items of £7.0 billion in H1 2024 was down by 5.1% on the prior year but Q2 2024 was up 5.2% on Q1 2024. We continue to see low levels of default across our portfolio, with a net impairment charge of 3 basis points of gross customer loans for the first half of the year.
In the first half of the year net lending decreased by £2.1 billion and net lending excluding central items decreased by £0.3 billion. Excluding repayment of UK Government schemes of £1.0 billion net lending increased by £0.8 billion, driven by Commercial & Institutional customers which offset lower mortgage balances. Customer deposit balances increased by £1.6 billion and excluding central items increased by £6.1 billion in the first half. Our robust balance sheet means that we remain in a strong liquidity position, with an LCR of 151% representing £54.5 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirement, an LDR of 88% and an LDR (excl. repos and reverse repos) of 83%.
Our CET1 ratio remains within our targeted range at 13.6%, with total distributions announced of £1.7 billion in H1 2024. An interim dividend of 6 pence per share compares with 5.5 pence in the prior year.
Strong H1 and Q2 2024 performance
- | Total income increased by 5.3% in Q2 2024 to £3,659 million compared with Q1 2024 and decreased 7.7% in H1 2024 compared with H1 2023, impacted by FX recycling gains in the prior year. Total income excluding notable items was £176 million higher than Q1 2024 primarily reflecting increased deposit income and decreased £379 million, or 5.1%, in the first half compared with H1 2023 due to lower average deposit balances and mix changes throughout 2023, as customers moved towards interest bearing and term accounts, and lending margin pressure, which has eased in Q2 2024. |
- | Q2 2024 NIM of 2.10% was 5 basis points higher than Q1 2024 primarily due to improved deposit margins. H1 2024 NIM was 16 basis points lower than H1 2023 principally reflecting mortgage margin pressure and deposit mix changes, as customers move from non-interest bearing to interest bearing accounts. |
- | Total operating expenses for Q2 2024 were £47 million lower than Q1 2024 and £142 million higher in the first half of the year compared with H1 2023. Q2 2024 other operating expenses were £100 million lower than Q1 2024, or £21 million lower excluding costs in relation to bank levies of £87 million and the potential retail share offering. H1 2024 other operating expenses were £149 million higher than H1 2023, or £42 million, 1.1%, higher excluding costs in relation to the potential retail share offering of £24 million and additional bank levies of £83 million, reflecting increased staff costs due to inflation and severance costs, partially offset by ongoing simplification of our business and lower costs in relation to our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. We remain committed to deliver on our full year cost guidance, excluding the impact of increased bank levies and costs in relation to the potential retail share offering. |
- | A net impairment charge of £48 million in H1 2024 principally reflected broadly stable Stage 3 inflows partly offset by good book releases, including post model adjustments. Levels of default remain stable and at low levels across the portfolio despite inflationary pressures and the higher interest rate environment. Compared with Q1 2024, our ECL provision decreased by £0.3 billion to £3.3 billion and our ECL coverage ratio has decreased from 0.94% to 0.86%. We retain post model adjustments of £0.3 billion related to economic uncertainty, or 9.0% of total impairment provisions. Whilst we are comfortable with the strong credit performance of our book, we will continue to assess this position regularly and are closely monitoring the impacts of inflationary pressures, which have eased in the first half, on the UK economy and our customers. |
- | As a result, we are pleased to report an attributable profit for H1 2024 of £2,099 million, with earnings per share of 24.2 pence, return on equity of 11.2% and a RoTE of 16.4%. Q2 2024 return on equity was 12.5% and RoTE was 18.5%. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 11 |
Chief Financial Officer review continued
Robust balance sheet with strong capital and liquidity levels
- | Net loans to customers of £379.3 billion increased by £1.3 billion during Q2 2024 and decreased by £2.1 billion during H1 2024. Net loans to customers excluding central items decreased by £1.7 billion in the quarter and decreased by £0.3 billion in the first half to £355.3 billion. Growth in Commercial Mid-market and Corporate & Institutions, net of UK Government scheme repayments of £1.0 billion in the first half, largely offset lower mortgage balances. |
- | Up to 30 June 2024 we have provided £78.3 billion against our target to provide £100 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing between 1 July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for EPC A and B rated residential properties between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025. During H1 2024 we provided £16.3 billion climate and sustainable funding and financing, which included £1.4 billion in lending for EPC A and B rated residential properties. |
- | Customer deposits of £433.0 billion increased by £0.2 billion during Q2 2024 and by £1.6 billion during H1 2024. Customer deposits excluding central items increased £5.2 billion in Q2 2024 and £6.1 billion in the first half of the year reflecting £3.5 billion growth in Retail Banking and £1.8 billion in Private Banking, largely in savings and other interest-bearing balances, and a £0.8 billion increase in Commercial & Institutional primarily within Commercial Mid-market. Term balances remained consistent in the quarter at 17% of our book and up from 16% at the end of 2023. |
- | The LCR was unchanged compared with Q1 2024 at 151%, representing £54.5 billion headroom above 100% minimum requirements primarily due to increased customer deposits offset by reduced wholesale funding and capital distributions (share buyback and dividends). Our primary liquidity at H1 2024 was £160.4 billion and £111.8 billion, or 70%, of this was cash and balances at central banks. Total wholesale funding decreased by £3.6 billion in the quarter to £83.0 billion. |
- | NAV per share increased by 17 pence in H1 2024 to 395 pence. TNAV per share increased by 12 pence in H1 2024 to 304 pence primarily reflecting the profit for the period partially offset by the 2023 final ordinary dividend of 11.5 pence. |
Shareholder return supported strong capital generation
- | The CET1 ratio of 13.6% was 10 basis points higher than Q1 2024 principally reflecting the attributable profit for the quarter, c.60 basis points and a decrease in RWAs c. 40 basis points, partially offset by distributions deducted from capital of c.90 basis points. CET1 was 20 basis points higher than 31 December 2023 largely reflecting the attributable profit and a £2.2 billion decrease in RWAs, partially offset by distributions. NatWest Group’s minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) was 31.7%. |
- | RWAs reduced by £5.5 billion in the second quarter of the year to £180.8 billion largely reflecting RWA management of £3.9 billion and decreased by £2.2 billion in the first half primarily due to RWA management of £4.3 billion, partially offset by the annual update to operational risk. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 12 |
Business performance summary
Retail Banking
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Total income |
| 2,690 |
| 3,120 |
| 1,365 |
| 1,325 |
| 1,516 |
Operating expenses |
| (1,470) |
| (1,367) |
| (697) |
| (773) |
| (671) |
of which: Other operating expenses |
| (1,457) |
| (1,343) |
| (690) |
| (767) |
| (650) |
Impairment losses |
| (122) |
| (193) |
| (59) |
| (63) |
| (79) |
Operating profit |
| 1,098 |
| 1,560 |
| 609 |
| 489 |
| 766 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Return on equity (1) |
| 18.4% | | 29.1% | | 20.3% | | 16.5% | | 28.2% |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.26% | | 2.65% | | 2.31% | | 2.22% | | 2.56% |
Cost:income ratio |
| | | | | | | | | |
(excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 54.2% | | 43.0% | | 50.5% | | 57.9% | | 42.9% |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| 12bps |
| 19bps |
| 12bps |
| 12bps |
| 15bps |
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) |
| 203.3 |
| 203.5 |
| 205.2 |
Customer deposits |
| 191.5 |
| 190.0 |
| 188.0 |
RWAs |
| 62.3 |
| 62.5 |
| 61.6 |
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
During H1 2024, Retail Banking delivered an operating profit of £1.1 billion and a return on equity of 18.4%. Q2 2024 showed positive income momentum with increased net interest margin from deposit margin expansion supporting improved profitability.
Retail Banking provided £1.3 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2024 from lending on properties with an EPC rating of A or B.
H1 2024 performance
- | Total income was £430 million, or 13.8%, lower than H1 2023 due to mortgage margin compression and the impact of the deposit balance mix shift from non-interest bearing to interest bearing balances, partly offset by lending growth and the impact of one more day in H1 2024. |
- | Net interest margin was 39 basis points lower than H1 2023, largely reflecting mortgage margin compression and the impact of deposit balance mix shift. |
- | Operating expenses of £1,470 million were £103 million, or 7.5%, higher than H1 2023. Other operating expenses were £114 million, or 8.5%, higher than H1 2023 reflecting the Bank of England Levy, increased severance costs, and branch and property exit costs partly offset by savings from an 8.0% reduction in headcount. |
- | An impairment charge of £122 million in H1 2024 was £71 million lower than H1 2023. The H1 2024 charge reflects a broadly stable Stage 3 charge, with the good book benefitting from post model adjustment releases. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased £1.9 billion, or 0.9%, in H1 2024. Mortgage balances decreased by £2.5 billion as customer redemptions more than offset gross new lending. Personal advances decreased by £0.3 billion whilst cards balances increased by £0.7 billion in H1 2024 benefitting from new card issuance, as well as higher customer spend. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £3.5 billion, or 1.9%, in H1 2024 reflecting growth in savings partly offset by lower current account balances. |
- | RWAs increased by £0.7 billion, or 1.1%, in H1 2024 primarily due to the annual update for operational risk calculation, book movements and movement in risk parameters. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 13 |
Business performance summary continued
Retail Banking continued
Q2 2024 performance
- | Total income was £40 million, or 3.0%, higher than Q1 2024 reflecting deposit margin expansion partly offset by the impact of the deposit balance mix shift from non-interest bearing to interest bearing balances and asset margin compression. |
- | Net interest margin was 9 basis points higher than Q1 2024, largely reflecting improved deposit hedge income, partly offset by the impact of the deposit balance mix shift and asset margin compression. |
- | Operating expenses of £697 million were £76 million, or 9.8%, lower than Q1 2024. Other operating expenses were £77 million, or 10.0%, lower than Q1 2024 reflecting the Bank of England Levy in Q1 2024 and lower strategic costs as well as savings from a 3.8% reduction in headcount. |
- | An impairment charge of £59 million in Q2 2024, reflecting a Stage 3 charge broadly in line with Q1 2024, with the good book benefitting from post model adjustment releases. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased by £0.2 billion, or 0.1%, lower than Q1 2024, driven by £0.7 billion lower mortgage balances, as redemptions more than offset stronger gross new lending, and personal advances decreased by £0.1 billion in Q2 2024; whilst cards balances increased by £0.4 billion in Q2 2024. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £1.5 billion, or 0.8%, in Q2 2024 reflecting growth in savings partly offset by lower current account balances. |
- | RWAs decreased by £0.2 billion, or 0.3%, in Q2 2024 primarily due to book movements. |
Private Banking
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Total income |
| 444 |
| 567 |
| 236 |
| 208 |
| 271 |
Operating expenses |
| (356) |
| (322) |
| (175) |
| (181) |
| (167) |
of which: Other operating expenses |
| (355) |
| (311) |
| (175) |
| (180) |
| (159) |
Impairment releases/(losses) |
| 11 |
| (11) |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| (3) |
Operating profit |
| 99 |
| 234 |
| 66 | | 33 | | 101 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Return on equity (1) |
| 10.5% | | 24.7% | | 14.4% | | 6.7% | | 20.8% |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.18% | | 3.13% | | 2.30% | | 2.06% | | 2.94% |
Cost:income ratio |
| | | | | | | | | |
(excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 80.0% | | 54.9% | | 74.2% | | 86.5% | | 58.7% |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| (12)bps |
| 11bps |
| (11)bps |
| (13)bps |
| 6bps |
AUM net flows (£bn) (1) |
| 1.0 |
| 1.0 |
| 0.6 |
| 0.4 |
| 0.4 |
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) |
| 18.1 |
| 18.2 |
| 18.5 |
Customer deposits |
| 39.5 |
| 37.8 |
| 37.7 |
RWAs |
| 11.0 |
| 11.3 |
| 11.2 |
Assets under management (AUMs) (1) |
| 34.7 |
| 33.6 |
| 31.7 |
Assets under administration (AUAs) (1) |
| 10.4 |
| 9.5 |
| 9.1 |
Total assets under management and administration (AUMA) (1) |
| 45.1 |
| 43.1 |
| 40.8 |
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 14 |
Business performance summary continued
Private Banking continued
During H1 2024, Private Banking delivered a return on equity of 10.5% and an operating profit of £99 million. Q2 2024 continued to see a positive performance in deposits and AUMA growth supporting improved profitability.
Private Banking provided £0.2 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2024, principally in relation to mortgages on residential properties with an EPC rating of A or B.
H1 2024 performance
- | Total income was £123 million, or 21.7% lower than H1 2023 reflecting the change in deposit mix, primarily during the second half of 2023, as customers migrated to savings products offering higher returns combined with a reduction in lending volumes. This was partly offset by an increase in investment income due to higher AUMA balances reflecting net inflows and favourable market movements. |
- | Net interest margin was 95 basis points lower than H1 2023, largely reflecting a change in deposit mix. |
- | Operating expenses of £356 million were £34 million, or 10.6%, higher than H1 2023. Other operating expenses were £44 million, or 14.1%, higher than H1 2023 primarily reflecting increased technology and severance costs along with the Bank of England Levy. Staff costs have increased also due to inflationary pressure. |
- | A net impairment release of £11 million, compared with an £11 million charge in H1 2023, largely reflects good book releases including benefits from post model adjustments with the Stage 3 charge broadly flat and remaining at low levels. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased by £0.4 billion, or 2.2%, in H1 2024 driven by lower mortgage balances. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £1.8 billion, or 4.8%, in H1 2024 reflecting strong above - market savings growth and short-term transitory inflows in Q2 2024 offsetting tax outflows in Q1 2024. |
- | AUMA increased by £4.3 billion in H1 2024 to £45.1 billion, primarily driven by £2.9 billion positive market movements, and £1.0 billion AUM and £0.3 billion AUA net inflows. |
Q2 2024 performance
- | Total income was £28 million, or 13.5%, higher than Q1 2024 primarily due to higher average deposit and AUMA balances, driving an increase in investment fee income and improved deposit income, partly offset by lower average lending balances. |
- | Net interest margin was 24 basis points higher than Q1 2024 reflecting higher average deposit balances and improvement in deposit margin. |
- | Operating expenses of £175 million were £6 million, or 3.3%, lower than Q1 2024. Other operating expenses were £5 million, or 2.8%, lower than Q1 2024 primarily due to the non-repeat of higher technology costs and the Bank of England Levy incurred in Q1 2024. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased by £0.1 billion, or 0.5%, in Q2 2024 primarily due to lower mortgage balances. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £1.7 billion, or 4.5%, compared with Q1 2024 driven by a strong performance on instant access savings, including short-term transitory inflows, partly offset by a small reduction on current accounts. |
- | AUMA increased by £2.0 billion in Q2 2024, reflecting positive market movements of £0.9 billion supported by AUM net inflows of £0.6 billion and AUA inflows of £0.4 billion. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 15 |
Business performance summary continued
Commercial & Institutional
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Net interest income |
| 2,543 |
| 2,504 |
| 1,297 |
| 1,246 |
| 1,243 |
Non-interest income |
| 1,257 |
| 1,244 |
| 644 |
| 613 |
| 552 |
Total income |
| 3,800 |
| 3,748 |
| 1,941 |
| 1,859 |
| 1,795 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Operating expenses |
| (2,150) |
| (1,987) |
| (1,099) |
| (1,051) |
| (984) |
of which: Other operating expenses |
| (2,073) |
| (1,893) |
| (1,053) |
| (1,020) |
| (934) |
Impairment releases/(losses) |
| 57 |
| (20) |
| 96 |
| (39) |
| (64) |
Operating profit |
| 1,707 |
| 1,741 |
| 938 |
| 769 |
| 747 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Return on equity (1) |
| 16.2% | | 16.9% | | 17.8% | | 14.6% | | 14.3% |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.10% | | 2.06% | | 2.12% | | 2.07% | | 2.05% |
Cost:income ratio |
| | | | | | | | | |
(excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 54.6% | | 50.5% | | 54.3% | | 54.9% | | 52.0% |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| (8)bps |
| 3bps |
| (28)bps |
| 11bps |
| 20bps |
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) |
| 133.9 |
| 135.3 |
| 131.9 |
Customer deposits |
| 194.2 |
| 192.2 |
| 193.4 |
Funded assets (1) |
| 315.5 |
| 321.7 |
| 306.9 |
RWAs |
| 104.9 |
| 109.9 |
| 107.4 |
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
In H1 2024, Commercial & Institutional continued to support customers with an increase in lending of 1.5% and delivered a strong performance in income and operating profit supporting a return on equity of 16.2%. Q2 2024 continued to see good client demand for lending, an increase in customer deposits supported by an improving UK deposit market and disciplined capital management delivering strong income and net interest margin growth supporting overall improved profitability.
Commercial & Institutional provided £14.9 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing in H1 2024 to support customers investing in the transition to net zero.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 16 |
Business performance summary continued
Commercial & Institutional continued
H1 2024 performance
- | Total income was £52 million, or 1.4%, higher than H1 2023 due to strong client - driven capital markets activity, lending growth in Corporate & Institutions and Commercial Mid-market, partially offset by lower deposit returns reflecting the impact of the lower average volumes and balance mix shift. |
- | Net interest margin was 4 basis points higher than H1 2023, largely reflecting one-off items partly offset by lower deposit returns. |
- | Operating expenses of £2,150 million were £163 million, or 8.2%, higher than H1 2023. Other operating expenses were £180 million, or 9.5%, higher than H1 2023 reflecting increased severance costs, the Bank of England Levy, and increased headcount as we continue to invest in the business. |
- | An impairment release of £57 million in H1 2024 reflecting good book releases with benefits from the revised economic outlook, post model adjustment releases, and benefits from capital management activity. Stage 3 charge remains at a low level. |
- | Net loans to customers increased by £2.0 billion, or 1.5%, in H1 2024 largely reflecting a strong performance within Commercial Mid-market and Corporate & Institutions, partly offset by continued UK Government scheme repayments of £1.0 billion. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £0.8 billion, or 0.4%, in H1 2024 reflecting an increase in Commercial Mid-market. |
- | RWAs decreased by £2.5 billion, or 2.3%, in H1 2024 primarily due to RWA management of £3.7 billion, decreases in market risk and counterparty credit risk, partially offset by lending book growth and the annual update for operational risk. |
Q2 2024 performance
- | Total income was £82 million, or 4.4%, higher than Q1 2024 primarily reflecting higher deposit income, average lending growth, and higher lending and payment fees. |
- | Net interest margin was 5 basis points higher than Q1 2024 reflecting higher deposit returns. |
- | Operating expenses of £1,099 million were £48 million, or 4.6%, higher than Q1 2024. Other operating expenses were £33 million, or 3.2%, higher than Q1 2024 reflecting increased severance costs, partially offset by the Bank of England Levy in Q1 2024. |
- | An impairment release of £96 million compared with a £39 million charge in Q1 2024, largely reflecting good book releases driven by benefits from the revised economic outlook, post model adjustment releases, and benefits from capital management activity. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased by £1.4 billion, or 1.0%, in Q2 2024 as continued growth in Commercial Mid-Market was offset by lower balances in large Corporate & Institutions, with some customers taking advantage of stronger capital markets as well as continued UK Government scheme repayments of £0.5 billion. |
- | Customer deposits increased by £2.0 billion, or 1.0%, in Q2 2024 reflecting an increase in Commercial Mid-market and Business Banking. |
- | RWAs decreased by £5.0 billion, or 4.5%, compared with Q1 2024 primarily due to strong RWA management of £3.5 billion, decreases in market risk and counterparty credit risk, partially offset by lending book growth. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 17 |
Business performance summary continued
Central items & other
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
|
| 30 June |
| 30 June |
| 30 June |
| 31 March |
| 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
| 2024 |
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Total income |
| 200 |
| 292 |
| 117 |
| 83 |
| 269 |
Operating expenses |
| (81) |
| (239) |
| (34) |
| (47) |
| (105) |
of which: Other operating expenses |
| (71) |
| (260) |
| (10) |
| (61) |
| (132) |
of which: Ulster Bank RoI direct expenses | | (55) | | (163) | | (30) | | (25) | | (63) |
Impairment releases/(losses) |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| (7) |
Operating profit |
| 125 |
| 54 |
| 86 |
| 39 |
| 157 |
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Net loans to customers (amortised cost) |
| 24.0 |
| 21.0 |
| 25.8 |
Customer deposits |
| 7.8 |
| 12.8 |
| 12.3 |
RWAs |
| 2.6 |
| 2.6 |
| 2.8 |
H1 2024 performance
- | Total income was £92 million lower than H1 2023 primarily reflecting £198 million lower notable items which included foreign exchange recycling gains in H1 2023 not repeated in H1 2024 and higher gains on interest and foreign exchange risk management derivatives not in accounting hedge relationships, partially offset with income in relation to our Ulster RoI business. |
- | Operating expenses of £81 million were £158 million, or 66.1%, lower than H1 2023. Other operating expenses were £189 million, or 72.7%, lower than H1 2023 primarily reflecting lower costs in relation to withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. |
- | Customer deposits decreased by £4.5 billion, or 36.6%, compared with Q4 2023 primarily reflecting repo activity in Treasury. |
- | Net loans to customers decreased £1.8 billion to £24.0 billion in H1 2024 mainly due to reverse repo activity in Treasury. |
Q2 2024 performance
- | Total income was £34 million higher than Q1 2024 primarily reflecting treasury income, a gain on surrender of a property, and income in relation to our Ulster RoI business. |
- | Customer deposits decreased by £5.0 billion, or 39.1%, in Q2 2024 primarily reflecting repo activity in Treasury. |
- | Net loans to customers increased by £3.0 billion in Q2 2024 mainly due to reverse repo activity in Treasury. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 18 |
Segment performance
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Half year ended 30 June 2024 | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items & | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | other | | Group |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income statement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income |
| 2,475 | | 285 | | 2,543 | | 105 | | 5,408 |
Own credit adjustments |
| — | | — | | (7) | | — | | (7) |
Other non-interest income |
| 215 | | 159 | | 1,264 | | 95 | | 1,733 |
Total income |
| 2,690 | | 444 | | 3,800 | | 200 | | 7,134 |
Direct expenses |
| (381) | | (126) | | (764) | | (2,685) | | (3,956) |
Indirect expenses |
| (1,076) | | (229) | | (1,309) | | 2,614 | | — |
Other operating expenses |
| (1,457) | | (355) | | (2,073) | | (71) | | (3,956) |
Litigation and conduct costs |
| (13) | | (1) | | (77) | | (10) | | (101) |
Operating expenses |
| (1,470) | | (356) | | (2,150) | | (81) | | (4,057) |
Operating profit before impairment losses/releases |
| 1,220 | | 88 | | 1,650 | | 119 | | 3,077 |
Impairment (losses)/releases |
| (122) | | 11 | | 57 | | 6 | | (48) |
Operating profit |
| 1,098 | | 99 | | 1,707 | | 125 | | 3,029 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Income excluding notable items (1) |
| 2,690 | | 444 | | 3,807 | | 63 | | 7,004 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Additional information |
| | | | | | | | | |
Return on tangible equity (1) |
| na | | na | | na | | na | | 16.4% |
Return on equity (1) |
| 18.4% | | 10.5% | | 16.2% | | nm | | na |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) |
| 54.2% | | 80.0% | | 54.6% | | nm | | 55.5% |
Total assets (£bn) |
| 226.5 | | 27.2 | | 381.9 | | 54.7 | | 690.3 |
Funded assets (£bn) (1) |
| 226.5 | | 27.2 | | 315.5 | | 53.6 | | 622.8 |
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) |
| 203.3 | | 18.1 | | 133.9 | | 24.0 | | 379.3 |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| 12bps | | (12)bps | | (8)bps | | nm | | 3bps |
Impairment provisions (£bn) |
| (1.7) | | (0.1) | | (1.5) | | — | | (3.3) |
Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn) |
| (1.0) | | — | | (0.9) | | (0.1) | | (2.0) |
Customer deposits (£bn) |
| 191.5 | | 39.5 | | 194.2 | | 7.8 | | 433.0 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) |
| 62.3 | | 11.0 | | 104.9 | | 2.6 | | 180.8 |
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) |
| 63.1 | | 11.0 | | 106.7 | | 3.1 | | 183.9 |
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) |
| 12.6 | | 2.2 | | 12.8 | | 33.0 | | 60.6 |
Third party customer asset rate (1) |
| 3.88% | | 4.99% | | 6.77% | | nm | | nm |
Third party customer funding rate (1) |
| (2.08%) | | (3.14%) | | (1.93%) | | nm | | nm |
Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) |
| 220.1 | | 26.3 | | 244.0 | | na | | 524.4 |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.26% | | 2.18% | | 2.10% | | na | | 2.07% |
nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 19 |
Segment performance continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Half year ended 30 June 2023 | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items & | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | other | | Group |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income statement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income |
| 2,908 |
| 428 |
| 2,504 |
| (114) |
| 5,726 |
Own credit adjustments |
| — |
| — |
| 9 |
| — |
| 9 |
Other non-interest income |
| 212 |
| 139 |
| 1,235 |
| 406 |
| 1,992 |
Total income |
| 3,120 |
| 567 |
| 3,748 |
| 292 |
| 7,727 |
Direct expenses |
| (398) |
| (118) |
| (741) |
| (2,550) |
| (3,807) |
Indirect expenses |
| (945) |
| (193) |
| (1,152) |
| 2,290 |
| — |
Other operating expenses |
| (1,343) |
| (311) |
| (1,893) |
| (260) |
| (3,807) |
Litigation and conduct costs |
| (24) |
| (11) |
| (94) |
| 21 |
| (108) |
Operating expenses |
| (1,367) |
| (322) |
| (1,987) |
| (239) |
| (3,915) |
Operating profit before impairment losses/releases | | 1,753 | | 245 | | 1,761 | | 53 | | 3,812 |
Impairment (losses)/releases |
| (193) |
| (11) |
| (20) |
| 1 |
| (223) |
Operating profit |
| 1,560 |
| 234 |
| 1,741 |
| 54 |
| 3,589 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Income excluding notable items (1) |
| 3,120 |
| 567 |
| 3,739 |
| (43) |
| 7,383 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Additional information |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Return on tangible equity (1) |
| na |
| na |
| na |
| na |
| 18.2% |
Return on equity (1) |
| 29.1% | | 24.7% | | 16.9% | | nm |
| na |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) |
| 43.0% | | 54.9% | | 50.5% | | nm |
| 49.3% |
Total assets (£bn) |
| 229.1 |
| 27.3 |
| 401.5 |
| 44.7 |
| 702.6 |
Funded assets (£bn) (1) |
| 229.1 |
| 27.3 |
| 320.6 |
| 43.7 |
| 620.7 |
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) |
| 204.4 |
| 19.1 |
| 129.2 |
| 21.2 |
| 373.9 |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| 19bps |
| 11bps |
| 3bps |
| nm |
| 12bps |
Impairment provisions (£bn) |
| (1.7) |
| (0.1) |
| (1.5) |
| (0.1) |
| (3.4) |
Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn) |
| (1.0) |
| — |
| (0.8) |
| (0.1) |
| (1.9) |
Customer deposits (£bn) |
| 183.1 |
| 36.5 |
| 201.5 |
| 11.4 |
| 432.5 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) |
| 57.3 |
| 11.5 |
| 103.6 |
| 5.1 |
| 177.5 |
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) |
| 57.3 |
| 11.5 |
| 104.9 |
| 5.8 |
| 179.5 |
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) |
| 13.7 |
| 2.3 |
| 12.6 |
| 32.9 |
| 61.5 |
Third party customer asset rate (1) |
| 3.03% | | 4.24% | | 5.61% | | nm |
| nm |
Third party customer funding rate (1) |
| (1.02%) | | (1.43%) | | (1.03%) | | nm | | nm |
Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) |
| 220.9 | | 27.6 | | 244.6 | | na |
| 518.4 |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.65% | | 3.13% | | 2.06% | | na |
| 2.23% |
nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 20 |
Segment performance continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Quarter ended 30 June 2024 | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items & | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | other | | Group |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations |
| | | | | | | | | |
Income statement |
| | | | | | | | | |
Net interest income |
| 1,259 | | 151 | | 1,297 | | 50 | | 2,757 |
Own credit adjustments |
| — | | — | | (2) | | — | | (2) |
Other non-interest income |
| 106 | | 85 | | 646 | | 67 | | 904 |
Total income |
| 1,365 | | 236 | | 1,941 | | 117 | | 3,659 |
Direct expenses |
| (192) | | (65) | | (380) | | (1,291) | | (1,928) |
Indirect expenses |
| (498) | | (110) | | (673) | | 1,281 | | - |
Other operating expenses |
| (690) | | (175) | | (1,053) | | (10) | | (1,928) |
Litigation and conduct costs |
| (7) | | — | | (46) | | (24) | | (77) |
Operating expenses |
| (697) | | (175) | | (1,099) | | (34) | | (2,005) |
Operating profit before impairment losses/releases |
| 668 | | 61 | | 842 | | 83 | | 1,654 |
Impairment (losses)/releases |
| (59) | | 5 | | 96 | | 3 | | 45 |
Operating profit |
| 609 | | 66 | | 938 | | 86 | | 1,699 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Income excluding notable items (1) |
| 1,365 | | 236 | | 1,943 | | 46 | | 3,590 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Additional information |
| | | | | | | | | |
Return on tangible equity (1) |
| na | | na | | na | | na | | 18.5% |
Return on equity (1) |
| 20.3% | | 14.4% | | 17.8% | | nm | | na |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) |
| 50.5% | | 74.2% | | 54.3% | | nm | | 52.7% |
Total assets (£bn) |
| 226.5 | | 27.2 | | 381.9 | | 54.7 | | 690.3 |
Funded assets (£bn) (1) |
| 226.5 | | 27.2 | | 315.5 | | 53.6 | | 622.8 |
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) |
| 203.3 | | 18.1 | | 133.9 | | 24.0 | | 379.3 |
Loan impairment rate (1) |
| 12bps | | (11)bps | | (28)bps | | nm | | (5)bps |
Impairment provisions (£bn) |
| (1.7) | | (0.1) | | (1.5) | | — | | (3.3) |
Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn) |
| (1.0) | | — | | (0.9) | | (0.1) | | (2.0) |
Customer deposits (£bn) |
| 191.5 | | 39.5 | | 194.2 | | 7.8 | | 433.0 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) |
| 62.3 | | 11.0 | | 104.9 | | 2.6 | | 180.8 |
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) |
| 63.1 | | 11.0 | | 106.7 | | 3.1 | | 183.9 |
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) |
| 12.6 | | 2.2 | | 12.8 | | 33.0 | | 60.6 |
Third party customer asset rate (1) |
| 3.97% | | 5.01% | | 6.73% | | nm | | nm |
Third party customer funding rate (1) |
| (2.10%) | | (3.15%) | | (1.93%) | | nm | | nm |
Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) |
| 219.6 | | 26.5 | | 246.0 | | na | | 527.6 |
Net interest margin (1) |
| 2.31% | | 2.30% | | 2.12% | | na | | 2.10% |
nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 21 |
Segment performance continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Quarter ended 31 March 2024 | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items & | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | other | | Group |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income statement | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income | | 1,216 |
| 134 |
| 1,246 |
| 55 |
| 2,651 |
Own credit adjustments | | — |
| — |
| (5) |
| — |
| (5) |
Other non-interest income | | 109 |
| 74 |
| 618 |
| 28 |
| 829 |
Total income | | 1,325 |
| 208 |
| 1,859 |
| 83 |
| 3,475 |
Direct expenses | | (189) |
| (61) |
| (384) |
| (1,394) |
| (2,028) |
Indirect expenses | | (578) |
| (119) |
| (636) |
| 1,333 |
| — |
Other operating expenses | | (767) |
| (180) |
| (1,020) |
| (61) |
| (2,028) |
Litigation and conduct costs | | (6) |
| (1) |
| (31) |
| 14 |
| (24) |
Operating expenses | | (773) |
| (181) |
| (1,051) |
| (47) |
| (2,052) |
Operating profit before impairment losses/releases | | 552 | | 27 | | 808 | | 36 | | 1,423 |
Impairment (losses)/releases | | (63) |
| 6 |
| (39) |
| 3 |
| (93) |
Operating profit | | 489 |
| 33 |
| 769 |
| 39 |
| 1,330 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Income excluding notable items (1) | | 1,325 |
| 208 |
| 1,864 |
| 17 |
| 3,414 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Additional information | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Return on tangible equity (1) | | na |
| na | | na | | na | | 14.2% |
Return on equity (1) | | 16.5% | | 6.7% | | 14.6% | | nm | | na |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 57.9% | | 86.5% | | 54.9% | | nm | | 58.4% |
Total assets (£bn) | | 226.4 |
| 26.5 | | 388.8 | | 55.8 | | 697.5 |
Funded assets (£bn) (1) | | 226.4 |
| 26.5 | | 321.7 | | 54.7 | | 629.3 |
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) | | 203.5 |
| 18.2 | | 135.3 | | 21.0 | | 378.0 |
Loan impairment rate (1) | | 12bps |
| (13)bps | | 11bps | | nm | | 10bps |
Impairment provisions (£bn) | | (1.9) |
| (0.1) | | (1.5) | | (0.1) | | (3.6) |
Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn) | | (1.2) |
| — | | (0.8) | | — | | (2.0) |
Customer deposits (£bn) | | 190.0 |
| 37.8 | | 192.2 | | 12.8 | | 432.8 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) | | 62.5 |
| 11.3 | | 109.9 | | 2.6 | | 186.3 |
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) | | 62.6 |
| 11.3 | | 111.1 | | 3.1 | | 188.1 |
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) | | 13.1 |
| 2.2 | | 12.7 | | 33.3 | | 61.3 |
Third party customer asset rate (1) | | 3.79% | | 4.97% | | 6.81% | | nm | | nm |
Third party customer funding rate (1) | | (2.05%) | | (3.14%) | | (1.93%) | | nm | | nm |
Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) | | 220.6 | | 26.2 | | 241.9 | | na | | 521.1 |
Net interest margin (1) | | 2.22% | | 2.06% | | 2.07% | | na | | 2.05% |
nm = not meaningful, na = not applicable.
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 22 |
Segment performance continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Quarter ended 30 June 2023 | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items & | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | other | | Group |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income statement | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income | | 1,416 |
| 199 |
| 1,243 |
| (34) |
| 2,824 |
Own credit adjustments | | — |
| — |
| 3 |
| — |
| 3 |
Other non-interest income | | 100 |
| 72 |
| 549 |
| 303 |
| 1,024 |
Total income | | 1,516 |
| 271 |
| 1,795 |
| 269 |
| 3,851 |
Direct expenses | | (187) |
| (58) |
| (381) |
| (1,249) |
| (1,875) |
Indirect expenses | | (463) |
| (101) |
| (553) |
| 1,117 |
| — |
Other operating expenses | | (650) |
| (159) |
| (934) |
| (132) |
| (1,875) |
Litigation and conduct costs | | (21) |
| (8) |
| (50) |
| 27 |
| (52) |
Operating expenses | | (671) |
| (167) |
| (984) |
| (105) |
| (1,927) |
Operating profit before impairment losses | | 845 | | 104 | | 811 | | 164 | | 1,924 |
Impairment losses | | (79) |
| (3) |
| (64) |
| (7) |
| (153) |
Operating profit | | 766 |
| 101 |
| 747 |
| 157 |
| 1,771 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Income excluding notable items (1) | | 1,516 |
| 271 |
| 1,792 |
| (16) |
| 3,563 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Additional information | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Return on tangible equity (1) | | na |
| na |
| na |
| na | | 16.4% |
Return on equity (1) | | 28.2% | | 20.8% | | 14.3% | | nm | | na |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) (1) | | 42.9% | | 58.7% | | 52.0% | | nm | | 48.7% |
Total assets (£bn) | | 229.1 |
| 27.3 | | 401.5 | | 44.7 | | 702.6 |
Funded assets (£bn) (1) | | 229.1 |
| 27.3 | | 320.6 | | 43.7 | | 620.7 |
Net loans to customers - amortised cost (£bn) | | 204.4 |
| 19.1 | | 129.2 | | 21.2 | | 373.9 |
Loan impairment rate (1) | | 15bps |
| 6bps | | 20bps | | nm | | 16bps |
Impairment provisions (£bn) | | (1.7) |
| (0.1) | | (1.5) | | (0.1) | | (3.4) |
Impairment provisions - Stage 3 (£bn) | | (1.0) |
| — | | (0.8) | | (0.1) | | (1.9) |
Customer deposits (£bn) | | 183.1 |
| 36.5 | | 201.5 | | 11.4 | | 432.5 |
Risk-weighted assets (RWAs) (£bn) | | 57.3 |
| 11.5 | | 103.6 | | 5.1 | | 177.5 |
RWA equivalent (RWAe) (£bn) | | 57.3 |
| 11.5 | | 104.9 | | 5.8 | | 179.5 |
Employee numbers (FTEs - thousands) | | 13.7 |
| 2.3 | | 12.6 | | 32.9 | | 61.5 |
Third party customer asset rate (1) | | 3.11% | | 4.41% | | 5.84% | | nm | | nm |
Third party customer funding rate (1) | | (1.20%) | | (1.71%) | | (1.18%) | | nm | | nm |
Average interest earning assets (£bn) (1) | | 221.5 | | 27.1 | | 243.2 | | na | | 514.5 |
Net interest margin (1) | | 2.56% | | 2.94% | | 2.05% | | na | | 2.20% |
nm - not meaningful, na - not applicable
(1) | Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures appendix for details of the basis of preparation and reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures and performance metrics. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 23 |
Risk and capital management
Credit risk
Economic loss drivers
Introduction
The portfolio segmentation and selection of economic loss drivers for IFRS 9 follows the approach used in stress testing. To enable robust modelling, the forecasting models for each portfolio segment (defined by product or asset class and where relevant, industry sector and region) are based on a selected, small number of economic variables (typically three to four) that best explain the movements in portfolio loss rates. The process to select economic loss drivers involves empirical analysis and expert judgement.
The most significant economic loss drivers for the most material portfolios are shown in the table below:
Portfolio | Economic loss drivers |
UK Personal mortgages | Unemployment rate, sterling swap rate, house price index, real wage |
UK Personal unsecured | Unemployment rate, sterling swap rate, real wage |
UK corporates | Stock price index, gross domestic product (GDP) |
UK commercial real estate | Stock price index, commercial property price index, GDP |
Economic scenarios
At 30 June 2024, the range of anticipated future economic conditions was defined by a set of four internally developed scenarios and their respective probabilities. In addition to the base case, they comprised upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios. The scenarios primarily reflected the current risks faced by the economy, particularly in relation to the path of inflation and interest rates.
For 30 June 2024, the four scenarios were deemed appropriate in capturing the uncertainty in economic forecasts and the non-linearity in outcomes under different scenarios. These four scenarios were developed to provide sufficient coverage across potential rises in unemployment, inflation, asset price declines and the degree of permanent damage to the economy, around which there remains pronounced levels of uncertainty.
Upside – This scenario assumes robust growth as inflation falls sharply and rates are lowered quicker than expected. Consumer spending is supported by quicker recovery in household income, and further helped by higher consumer confidence, fiscal support and strong business investment. The labour market remains resilient with the unemployment rate falling. The housing market shows robust growth.
Compared to 31 December 2023, the upside scenario remains similarly configured, exploring a more benign set of economic outcomes, including a stronger performing stock market, real estate prices, and supported by a stronger global growth backdrop, relative to the base case view.
Base case – Continued declining inflation allows an easing cycle to start in the second half of 2024. The unemployment rate rises modestly over 2024 but there are no wide-spread job losses. Inflation remains very close to the current level of 2% through the forecast period. Economic output also experiences modest but stable growth in contrast to the stagnation of recent years. The housing market experiences modest nominal price increase. Housing market activity gradually strengthens as interest rates fall and real incomes recover.
Since 31 December 2023, the economic outlook has improved as household income continued to recover, and the labour market remained resilient. The declining inflation trend has continued, albeit the progress was slower than expected. As a result, rates are expected to remain higher-for-longer than previously expected. The unemployment rate still rises but the peak is marginally lower and is underpinned by a resilient labour market. House prices were assumed to decline previously in 2024, but there has been a better-than-expected recovery in early 2024 and prices are now expected to show a modest increase.
Downside – Core inflation remains persistently high leading to resurgent inflation. The economy experiences a recession as consumer confidence weakens due to a fall in real incomes. Interest rates are raised higher than the base case and remain higher-for-longer. High rates are assumed to have a more significant impact on the labour market. Unemployment is higher than the base case scenario while house prices lose approximately ten percent of their value.
Compared to 31 December 2023, the downside scenario is similarly configured and explores risks associated with high inflation and significantly higher interest rates across the period.
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
Extreme downside – This scenario assumes a significant economic downturn with a loss of consumer confidence leading to a deep economic recession. This results in widespread job losses with the unemployment rate rising above the levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis, further compounding consumer weakness. Rates are cut sharply in response to the demand shock, leading to some support to the recovery. House prices lose approximately a third of their value.
Compared to 31 December 2023, the extreme downside is similarly configured with an extreme set of economic outcomes, low interest rates, very sharp falls in asset prices and a marked deterioration in the labour market.
The main macroeconomic variables for each of the four scenarios used for expected credit loss (ECL) modelling are set out in the main macroeconomic variables table below.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Main macroeconomic variables |
| 30 June 2024 |
| 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | Extreme | | Weighted | | | | | | | | Extreme | | Weighted |
| | Upside | | Base case | | Downside | | downside | | average | | Upside | | Base case | | Downside | | downside | | average |
Five-year summary | | % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % | | % |
GDP |
| 1.9 | | 1.2 | | 0.6 | | (0.2) | | 1.1 |
| 1.8 |
| 1.0 |
| 0.5 |
| (0.3) | | 0.9 |
Unemployment rate |
| 3.5 | | 4.3 | | 5.4 | | 7.1 | | 4.7 |
| 3.5 |
| 4.6 |
| 5.2 |
| 6.8 | | 4.8 |
House price index |
| 5.3 | | 3.3 | | 1.0 | | (4.2) | | 2.5 |
| 3.9 |
| 0.3 |
| (0.4) |
| (5.7) | | 0.3 |
Commercial real estate price |
| 4.4 | | 1.2 | | (0.7) | | (5.1) | | 0.8 |
| 3.1 |
| (0.2) |
| (2.0) |
| (6.8) | | (0.6) |
Consumer price index |
| 1.1 | | 2.1 | | 4.8 | | 1.3 | | 2.3 |
| 1.7 |
| 2.6 |
| 5.2 |
| 1.8 | | 2.8 |
Bank of England base rate | | 3.3 | | 3.7 | | 5.7 | | 2.6 | | 3.8 | | 3.8 | | 3.7 | | 5.6 | | 2.9 | | 4.0 |
Stock price index | | 4.7 | | 3.3 | | 1.3 | | 0.2 | | 2.8 | | 4.8 | | 3.3 | | 1.2 | | (0.4) | | 2.8 |
World GDP |
| 3.7 | | 3.1 | | 2.7 | | 1.8 | | 3.0 |
| 3.7 |
| 3.2 |
| 2.7 |
| 1.8 | | 3.0 |
Probability weight |
| 22.0 | | 45.0 | | 19.4 | | 13.6 | | |
| 21.2 |
| 45.0 |
| 20.4 |
| 13.4 | | |
(1) | The five-year summary runs from 2024-2028 for 30 June 2024 and from 2023-27 for 31 December 2023. |
(2) | The table shows compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for GDP, average levels for the unemployment rate and Bank of England base rate and Q4 to Q4 CAGR for other parameters. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 25 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
Climate transition
In 2023, NatWest Group for the first time explicitly included assumptions about the changes in transition policy, in the base case macroeconomic scenario. Last year, an economy-wide implicit carbon price, consistent with the CCC Balanced Net Zero Scenario, was applied to all sectors. During the first half of 2024, NatWest Group continued to add climate policy and technology related transition assumptions into its base case macroeconomic scenario used for financial planning. As in 2023, this process included an assessment of ECL in this IFRS 9 reporting period. This resulted in climate transition policy contributing £5.4 million to total ECL, compared with an increase in ECL of less than £1 million at the end of 2023.
In 2024, NatWest Group refined the approach. In this reporting period, NatWest Group calculated expected implicit carbon prices associated with specific climate transition policies. NatWest Group has individually assessed 46 active and potential transition policies that will have a significant impact on the cost of emissions and converted them into equivalent sectoral carbon prices, calculated as the cost per tonne of the emissions abated, as a result of each policy. This approach enables NatWest Group to estimate an aggregate macroeconomic impact of the transition policies, and as a result, ECL.
NatWest Group and its customers have a dependency on timely and appropriate government policies to provide the necessary impetus for technology development and customer behaviour changes, to enable the UK’s successful transition to net zero. Policy delays and the risks outlined in the UK CCC 2022 and 2023 Progress Reports, if not adequately addressed in a timely manner, put at risk the UK’s net zero transition and in turn, that of NatWest Group and its customers.
Probability weightings of scenarios
NatWest Group’s quantitative approach to IFRS 9 multiple economic scenarios (MES) involves selecting a suitable set of discrete scenarios to characterise the distribution of risks in the economic outlook and assigning appropriate probability weights. This quantitative approach is used for 30 June 2024.
The approach involves comparing GDP paths for NatWest Group’s scenarios against a set of 1,000 model runs, following which, a percentile in the distribution is established that most closely corresponded to the scenario. Probability weight for base case is set first based on judgement, while probability weights for the alternate scenarios are assigned based on these percentiles scores.
The assigned probability weights were judged to be aligned with the subjective assessment of balance of the risks in the economy. The weights were broadly comparable to those used at 31 December 2023 but with slightly less downside skew. This is reasonable as the inflation outturn since then has been encouraging, with inflation continuing to decline and a reduced risk of stagflation. However, the risks of persistent inflation remain elevated and there is considerable uncertainty in the economic outlook, particularly with respect to persistence and the range of outcomes on inflation. Given that backdrop, NatWest Group judges it appropriate that downside-biased scenarios have higher combined probability weights than the upside-biased scenario. It presents good coverage to the range of outcomes assumed in the scenarios, including the potential for a robust recovery on the upside and exceptionally challenging outcomes on the downside. A 22% weighting was applied to the upside scenario, a 45% weighting applied to the base case scenario, a 19.4% weighting applied to the downside scenario and a 13.6% weighting applied to the extreme downside scenario.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 26 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
Annual figures
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | Extreme | | Weighted |
| | Upside | | Base case | | Downside | | downside | | average |
GDP - annual growth | | % | | % | | % | | % | | % |
2024 |
| 1.7 | | 0.7 | | 0.1 | | — | | 0.7 |
2025 | | 3.9 | | 1.2 | | (0.9) | | (4.0) | | 0.7 |
2026 | | 1.4 | | 1.4 | | 1.1 | | 0.9 | | 1.3 |
2027 | | 1.2 | | 1.4 | | 1.3 | | 1.2 | | 1.3 |
2028 | | 1.2 | | 1.4 | | 1.3 | | 1.2 | | 1.3 |
2029 | | 1.3 | | 1.4 | | 1.3 | | 1.3 | | 1.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Unemployment rate - annual average | | | | | | | | | | |
2024 |
| 4.2 | | 4.4 | | 4.6 | | 4.8 | | 4.4 |
2025 | | 3.4 | | 4.4 | | 5.7 | | 7.8 | | 4.9 |
2026 | | 3.2 | | 4.3 | | 5.7 | | 8.3 | | 4.9 |
2027 | | 3.3 | | 4.3 | | 5.5 | | 7.7 | | 4.7 |
2028 | | 3.3 | | 4.2 | | 5.4 | | 7.1 | | 4.6 |
2029 | | 3.3 | | 4.2 | | 5.3 | | 6.8 | | 4.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
House price index - four quarter change | | | | | | | | | | |
2024 |
| 6.8 | | 3.1 | | (1.2) | | (3.3) | | 2.2 |
2025 | | 8.9 | | 3.1 | | (6.0) | | (13.2) | | 0.6 |
2026 | | 4.5 | | 3.4 | | 1.0 | | (14.5) | | 1.3 |
2027 | | 3.1 | | 3.4 | | 6.6 | | 5.4 | | 4.1 |
2028 | | 3.5 | | 3.4 | | 5.2 | | 6.8 | | 4.1 |
2029 | | 3.4 | | 3.4 | | 3.4 | | 3.4 | | 3.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial real estate price - four quarter change | | | | | | | | | | |
2024 |
| 6.2 |
| (1.3) |
| (4.2) |
| (7.7) | | (1.1) |
2025 | | 5.5 | | 1.7 | | (8.0) | | (30.8) | | (3.4) |
2026 | | 4.6 | | 2.0 | | 3.1 | | 3.3 | | 3.0 |
2027 | | 3.8 | | 2.2 | | 3.4 | | 7.8 | | 3.3 |
2028 | | 1.8 | | 1.5 | | 3.0 | | 8.5 | | 2.5 |
2029 | | 1.4 | | 1.4 | | 1.4 | | 1.4 | | 1.4 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 27 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
Annual figures
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | Extreme | | Weighted |
| | Upside | | Base case | | Downside | | downside | | average |
Consumer price index - four quarter change | | % | | % | | % | | % | | % |
2024 |
| 1.4 | | 2.1 | | 5.7 | | 0.1 | | 2.4 |
2025 | | 0.5 | | 2.1 | | 6.7 | | 0.5 | | 2.5 |
2026 | | 1.3 | | 2.0 | | 4.4 | | 2.0 | | 2.4 |
2027 | | 1.2 | | 2.0 | | 3.8 | | 2.0 | | 2.2 |
2028 | | 1.1 | | 2.0 | | 3.7 | | 2.0 | | 2.2 |
2029 | | 2.0 | | 2.0 | | 2.0 | | 2.0 | | 2.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Bank of England base rate - annual average | | | | | | | | | | |
2024 |
| 4.83 | | 5.10 | | 5.50 | | 4.69 | | 5.06 |
2025 | | 3.46 | | 4.06 | | 6.35 | | 2.38 | | 4.14 |
2026 | | 2.85 | | 3.08 | | 5.83 | | 2.00 | | 3.42 |
2027 | | 2.75 | | 3.00 | | 5.50 | | 2.00 | | 3.29 |
2028 | | 2.75 | | 3.00 | | 5.19 | | 2.06 | | 3.24 |
2029 | | 2.75 | | 3.00 | | 5.00 | | 2.25 | | 3.23 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Stock price index - four quarter change | | | | | | | | | | |
2024 |
| 6.8 | | 3.3 | | (11.0) | | (27.7) | | (2.9) |
2025 | | 5.7 | | 3.3 | | (1.5) | | (7.4) | | 1.9 |
2026 | | 4.1 | | 3.3 | | 8.6 | | 21.2 | | 6.0 |
2027 | | 3.6 | | 3.3 | | 6.5 | | 12.9 | | 4.9 |
2028 | | 3.2 | | 3.3 | | 5.3 | | 10.2 | | 4.4 |
2029 | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | 3.3 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 28 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
Worst points
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| Extreme | | | | Weighted |
|
| Downside | | |
| downside | | | | average |
30 June 2024 |
| % |
| Quarter |
| % |
| Quarter | | % |
GDP |
| (0.9) |
| Q1 2025 |
| (4.2) |
| Q2 2025 |
| 0.6 |
Unemployment rate - peak |
| 5.8 | | Q3 2025 | | 8.5 | | Q4 2025 | | 5.0 |
House price index |
| (8.0) | | Q2 2026 | | (28.2) | | Q4 2026 | | 1.1 |
Commercial real estate price | | (11.9) | | Q3 2025 | | (36.5) | | Q1 2026 | | (4.4) |
Consumer price index | | | | | | | | | | |
- highest four quarter change | | 8.5 | | Q2 2025 | | 3.5 | | Q1 2024 | | 3.5 |
Bank of England base rate | | | | | | | | | | |
- extreme level | | 6.5 | | Q2 2025 | | 5.3 | | Q1 2024 | | 5.3 |
Stock price index |
| (16.0) | | Q2 2025 | | (40.5) | | Q2 2025 | | (4.2) |
| | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 | | | | | | | | | | |
GDP |
| (1.2) |
| Q3 2024 |
| (4.5) |
| Q4 2024 |
| 0.3 |
Unemployment rate - peak |
| 5.8 |
| Q1 2025 |
| 8.5 |
| Q2 2025 | | 5.2 |
House price index |
| (12.5) |
| Q4 2025 |
| (31.7) |
| Q2 2026 | | (6.5) |
Commercial real estate price | | (16.6) | | Q1 2025 | | (39.9) | | Q3 2025 | | (10.2) |
Consumer price index | | | | | | | | | | |
- highest four quarter change | | 10.3 | | Q1 2023 | | 10.3 | | Q1 2023 | | 10.3 |
Bank of England base rate | | | | | | | | | | |
- extreme level | | 6.5 | | Q4 2024 | | 5.3 | | Q4 2023 | | 5.3 |
Stock price index |
| (14.3) |
| Q4 2024 |
| (39.3) |
| Q4 2024 | | (2.4) |
(1) | Unless specified otherwise, the figures show falls relative to the starting period. The calculations are performed over five years, with a starting point of Q4 2023 for 30 June 2024 scenarios and Q4 2022 for 31 December 2023 scenarios. |
Use of the scenarios in Personal lending
Personal lending follows a discrete scenario approach. The probability of default (PD), exposure at default (EAD), loss given default (LGD) and resultant ECL for each discrete scenario is calculated using product specific economic response models. Probability weighted averages across the suite of economic scenarios are then calculated for each of the model outputs, with the weighted PD being used for staging purposes.
Business Banking utilises the Personal lending methodology rather than the Wholesale lending methodology.
Use of the scenarios in Wholesale lending
Wholesale lending follows a continuous scenario approach to calculate ECL. PD and LGD values arising from multiple economic forecasts (based on the concept of credit cycle indices) are simulated around the central projection. The central projection is a weighted average of economic scenarios with the scenarios translated into credit cycle indices using the Wholesale economic response models.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 29 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
UK economic uncertainty
The high inflation environment alongside high interest rates are presenting significant headwinds for some businesses and consumers, in many cases compounding. These cost pressures remain a feature of the economic environment, though they are expected to moderate over 2024 and 2025 in the base case scenario. NatWest Group has considered where these are most likely to affect the customer base, with the cost of borrowing during 2023 and 2024 for both businesses and consumers presenting an additional affordability challenge.
The effects of these risks are not expected to be fully captured by forward-looking credit modelling, particularly given the high inflation environment, low unemployment base case outlook. Any incremental ECL effects for these risks will be captured via post model adjustments and are detailed further in the Governance and post model adjustments section.
Governance and post model adjustments
The IFRS 9 PD, EAD and LGD models are subject to NatWest Group’s model risk policy that stipulates periodic model monitoring, periodic re-validation and defines approval procedures and authorities according to model materiality. Various post model adjustments were applied where management judged they were necessary to ensure an adequate level of overall ECL provision. All post model adjustments were subject to review, challenge and approval through model or provisioning committees.
Post model adjustments will remain a key focus area of NatWest Group’s ongoing ECL adequacy assessment process. A holistic framework has been established including reviewing a range of economic data, external benchmark information and portfolio performance trends with a particular focus on segments of the portfolio (both commercial and consumer) that are likely to be more susceptible to high inflation, high interest rates and supply chain disruption.
ECL post model adjustments
The table below shows ECL post model adjustments.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail Banking | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | | ||
| | Mortgages | | Other | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Deferred model calibrations |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 16 |
| — |
| 17 |
Economic uncertainty |
| 79 | | 43 | | 8 | | 168 | | 4 | | 302 |
Other adjustments |
| — | | — | | — | | 3 | | — | | 3 |
Total |
| 79 | | 43 | | 9 | | 187 | | 4 | | 322 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Of which: |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
- Stage 1 |
| 36 | | 18 | | 5 | | 78 | | 4 | | 141 |
- Stage 2 |
| 33 | | 25 | | 4 | | 107 | | — | | 169 |
- Stage 3 |
| 10 | | — | | — | | 2 | | — | | 12 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Deferred model calibrations |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 23 |
| — |
| 24 |
Economic uncertainty |
| 118 |
| 39 |
| 13 |
| 256 |
| 3 |
| 429 |
Other adjustments |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 8 |
| 23 |
| 32 |
Total |
| 119 |
| 39 |
| 14 |
| 287 |
| 26 |
| 485 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Stage 1 |
| 75 |
| 14 |
| 6 |
| 115 |
| 10 |
| 220 |
- Stage 2 |
| 31 |
| 25 |
| 8 |
| 167 |
| 9 |
| 240 |
- Stage 3 |
| 13 |
| — |
| — |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 25 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 30 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Economic loss drivers
ECL post model adjustments
Post model adjustments decreased significantly since 31 December 2023, reflecting reduced economic uncertainty from inflation, higher-for-longer interest rates and liquidity.
Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis
The recognition and measurement of ECL is complex and involves the use of significant judgment and estimation, particularly in times of economic volatility and uncertainty. This includes the formulation and incorporation of multiple forward-looking economic conditions into ECL to meet the measurement objective of IFRS 9. The ECL provision is sensitive to the model inputs and economic assumptions underlying the estimate.
The impact arising from the base case, upside, downside and extreme downside scenarios was simulated. These scenarios are used in the methodology for Personal multiple economic scenarios as described in the Economic loss drivers section. In the simulations, NatWest Group has assumed that the economic macro variables associated with these scenarios replace the existing base case economic assumptions, giving them a 100% probability weighting and therefore serving as a single economic scenario.
These scenarios were applied to all modelled portfolios in the analysis below, with the simulation impacting both PDs and LGDs. Post model adjustments included in the ECL estimates that were modelled were sensitised in line with the modelled ECL movements, but those that were judgmental in nature, primarily those for deferred model calibrations and economic uncertainty, were not (refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section) on the basis these would be re-evaluated by management through ECL governance for any new economic scenario outlook and not be subject to an automated calculation. As expected, the scenarios create differing impacts on ECL by portfolio and the impacts are deemed reasonable. In this simulation, it is assumed that existing modelled relationships between key economic variables and loss drivers hold, but in practice other factors would also have an impact, for example, potential customer behaviour changes and policy changes by lenders that might impact on the wider availability of credit.
The focus of the simulations is on ECL provisioning requirements on performing exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. The simulations are run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other; the potential ECL impacts reflect the simulated impact at 30 June 2024. Scenario impacts on SICR should be considered when evaluating the ECL movements of Stage 1 and Stage 2. In all scenarios the total exposure was the same but exposure by stage varied in each scenario.
Stage 3 provisions are not subject to the same level of measurement uncertainty – default is an observed event as at the balance sheet date. Stage 3 provisions therefore were not considered in this analysis.
NatWest Group’s core criterion to identify a SICR is founded on PD deterioration. Under the simulations, PDs change and result in exposures moving between Stage 1 and Stage 2 contributing to the ECL impact.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 31 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
|
| Moderate |
| Moderate |
| Extreme |
| | | | Base | | upside | | downside | | downside |
30 June 2024 | | Actual | | scenario | | scenario | | scenario | | scenario |
Stage 1 modelled loans (£m) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 166,944 | | 167,405 | | 167,829 | | 164,061 | | 157,458 |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 9,941 | | 10,025 | | 10,142 | | 9,696 | | 9,019 |
Wholesale - property |
| 27,589 | | 27,635 | | 27,769 | | 27,277 | | 23,732 |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 130,655 | | 131,355 | | 131,829 | | 128,798 | | 109,550 |
|
| 335,129 | | 336,420 | | 337,569 | | 329,832 | | 299,759 |
Stage 1 modelled ECL (£m) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 47 | | 45 | | 44 | | 46 | | 44 |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 228 | | 219 | | 202 | | 250 | | 243 |
Wholesale - property |
| 73 | | 54 | | 41 | | 99 | | 148 |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 219 | | 189 | | 158 | | 268 | | 337 |
|
| 567 | | 507 | | 445 | | 663 | | 772 |
Stage 1 coverage | | | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages | | 0.03% | | 0.03% | | 0.03% | | 0.03% | | 0.03% |
Retail Banking - unsecured | | 2.29% | | 2.18% | | 1.99% | | 2.58% | | 2.69% |
Wholesale - property | | 0.26% | | 0.20% | | 0.15% | | 0.36% | | 0.62% |
Wholesale - non-property | | 0.17% | | 0.14% | | 0.12% | | 0.21% | | 0.31% |
| | 0.17% | | 0.15% | | 0.13% | | 0.20% | | 0.26% |
Stage 2 modelled loans (£m) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 20,315 | | 19,854 | | 19,430 | | 23,198 | | 29,801 |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 3,097 | | 3,013 | | 2,896 | | 3,342 | | 4,019 |
Wholesale - property |
| 3,052 | | 3,006 | | 2,872 | | 3,364 | | 6,909 |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 10,983 | | 10,283 | | 9,809 | | 12,840 | | 32,088 |
|
| 37,447 | | 36,156 | | 35,007 | | 42,744 | | 72,817 |
Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 68 | | 61 | | 55 | | 82 | | 123 |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 390 | | 361 | | 315 | | 455 | | 596 |
Wholesale - property |
| 64 | | 56 | | 49 | | 80 | | 186 |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 269 | | 233 | | 202 | | 343 | | 641 |
|
| 791 | | 711 | | 621 | | 960 | | 1,546 |
Stage 2 coverage | | | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages | | 0.33% | | 0.31% | | 0.28% | | 0.35% | | 0.41% |
Retail Banking - unsecured | | 12.59% | | 11.98% | | 10.88% | | 13.61% | | 14.83% |
Wholesale - property | | 2.10% | | 1.86% | | 1.71% | | 2.38% | | 2.69% |
Wholesale - non-property | | 2.45% | | 2.27% | | 2.06% | | 2.67% | | 2.00% |
| | 2.11% | | 1.97% | | 1.77% | | 2.25% | | 2.12% |
Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled loans (£m) | | | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages | | 187,259 | | 187,259 | | 187,259 | | 187,259 | | 187,259 |
Retail Banking - unsecured | | 13,038 | | 13,038 | | 13,038 | | 13,038 | | 13,038 |
Wholesale - property | | 30,641 | | 30,641 | | 30,641 | | 30,641 | | 30,641 |
Wholesale - non-property | | 141,638 | | 141,638 | | 141,638 | | 141,638 | | 141,638 |
| | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 32 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Measurement uncertainty and ECL sensitivity analysis
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
|
| Moderate |
| Moderate |
| Extreme |
| | | | Base | | upside | | downside | | downside |
30 June 2024 | | Actual | | scenario | | scenario | | scenario | | scenario |
Stage 1 and Stage 2 modelled ECL (£m) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 115 | | 106 | | 99 | | 128 | | 167 |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 618 | | 580 | | 517 | | 705 | | 839 |
Wholesale - property |
| 137 | | 110 | | 90 | | 179 | | 334 |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 488 | | 422 | | 360 | | 611 | | 978 |
|
| 1,358 | | 1,218 | | 1,066 | | 1,623 | | 2,318 |
Stage 1 and Stage 2 coverage |
| | | | | | | | | |
Retail Banking - mortgages |
| 0.06% | | 0.06% | | 0.05% | | 0.07% | | 0.09% |
Retail Banking - unsecured |
| 4.74% | | 4.45% | | 3.97% | | 5.41% | | 6.44% |
Wholesale - property |
| 0.45% | | 0.36% | | 0.29% | | 0.58% | | 1.09% |
Wholesale - non-property |
| 0.34% | | 0.30% | | 0.25% | | 0.43% | | 0.69% |
|
| 0.36% | | 0.33% | | 0.29% | | 0.44% | | 0.62% |
Reconciliation to Stage 1 and |
| | | | | | | | | |
Stage 2 ECL (£m) |
| | | | | | | | | |
ECL on modelled exposures |
| 1,358 | | 1,218 | | 1,066 | | 1,623 | | 2,318 |
ECL on UBIDAC modelled exposures |
| — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
ECL on non-modelled exposures | | 29 | | 29 | | 29 | | 29 | | 29 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Total Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL (£m) |
| 1,387 | | 1,247 | | 1,095 | | 1,652 | | 2,347 |
Variance to actual total Stage 1 and | | | | | | | | | | |
Stage 2 ECL (£m) | | | | (140) | | (292) | | 265 | | 960 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Reconciliation to Stage 1 and | | | | | | | | | | |
Stage 2 flow exposure (£m) | | | | | | | | | | |
Modelled loans | | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 | | 372,576 |
UBIDAC loans | | 69 | | 69 | | 69 | | 69 | | 69 |
Non-modelled loans | | 18,881 | | 18,881 | | 18,881 | | 18,881 | | 18,881 |
Other asset classes | | 145,136 | | 145,136 | | 145,136 | | 145,136 | | 145,136 |
(1) | Variations in future undrawn exposure values across the scenarios are modelled, however, the exposure position reported is that used to calculate modelled ECL as at 30 June 2024 and therefore does not include variation in future undrawn exposure values. |
(2) | Reflects ECL for all modelled exposure in scope for IFRS 9. The analysis excludes non-modelled portfolios and exposure relating to bonds and cash. |
(3) | Exposures related to Ulster Bank RoI continuing operations were not included in the simulations, the current Ulster Bank RoI ECL was included across all scenarios to enable reconciliation to other disclosures. |
(4) | All simulations were run on a stand-alone basis and are independent of each other, with the potential ECL impact reflecting the simulated impact as at 30 June 2024. The simulations change the composition of Stage 1 and Stage 2 exposure but total exposure is unchanged under each scenario as the loan population is static. |
(5) | Refer to the Economic loss drivers section for details of economic scenarios. |
(6) | Refer to the NatWest Group plc 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F for 31 December 2023 comparatives. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 33 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk continued
Measurement uncertainty and ECL adequacy
- | If the economics were as negative as observed in the extreme downside (i.e. 100% probability weighting), total Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL was simulated to increase by around £1.0 billion (approximately 69%). In this scenario, Stage 2 exposure nearly doubled and was the key driver of the simulated ECL rise. The movement in Stage 2 balances in the other simulations was far less significant and the impact to ECL less material. |
- | In the Wholesale portfolio, there was a significant increase in ECL under the extreme downside scenario. The Wholesale property ECL increase was mainly due to commercial real estate prices which showed negative growth particularly in 2025 and significant deterioration in the stock index in 2024 and 2025. The non-property increase was mainly due to GDP contraction in 2025 and significant deterioration in the stock index. |
- | Given that continued uncertainty remained due to persistent inflation, high interest rates and liquidity concerns at H1 2024, NatWest Group utilised a framework of quantitative and qualitative measures to support the levels of ECL coverage. This included economic data, credit performance insights, supply chain contagion analysis and problem debt trends. This was particularly important for consideration of post model adjustments. |
- | As the effects of these economic risks evolve during 2024, there is a risk of further credit deterioration. However, the income statement effect of this should have been mitigated by the forward-looking provisions retained on the balance sheet at 30 June 2024. |
- | There are a number of key factors that could drive further downside to impairments, through deteriorating economic and credit metrics and increased stage migration as credit risk increases for more customers. Such factors which could impact the IFRS 9 models, include an adverse deterioration in unemployment and GDP in the economies in which NatWest Group operates. |
Movement in ECL provision
The table below shows the main ECL provision movements during H1 2024.
| | |
|
| ECL provision |
| | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 3,645 |
Transfers to disposal groups and reclassifications |
| (18) |
Changes in economic forecasts | | (17) |
Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 1 and Stage 2 |
| (147) |
Changes in risk metrics and exposure: Stage 3 |
| 370 |
Judgemental changes: changes in post model adjustments for Stage 1, Stage 2 and Stage 3 |
| (140) |
Write-offs and other |
| (350) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 3,343 |
- | During the first half of the year, overall ECL decreased with increases from Stage 3 inflows more than offset by write-offs, including debt sale activity on Personal unsecured assets (£0.2 billion), reductions in economic uncertainty post-model adjustments, as well as reflecting balance reductions and positive portfolio performance across NatWest Group. |
- | In the Personal portfolios, Stage 3 default rates reduced during H1 2024 relative to H2 2023 with trends on PDs and Stage 2 either stable or improving. |
- | For the Wholesale portfolio, Stage 3 defaults increased but are still below historic trends. |
- | Judgemental ECL post model adjustments, decreased from 31 December 2023 and now represents 10% of total ECL (31 December 2023 – 13%). Refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section for further details. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 34 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities
Introduction
This section details the credit risk profile of NatWest Group’s banking activities.
Financial instruments within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework
Refer to Note 8 to the consolidated financial statements for balance sheet analysis of financial assets that are classified as amortised cost or fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI), the starting point for IFRS 9 ECL framework assessment.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||
| | Gross | | ECL | | Net | | Gross | | ECL | | Net |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Balance sheet total gross amortised cost and FVOCI |
| 562.6 | | | | |
| 553.8 |
| | | |
In scope of IFRS 9 ECL framework |
| 555.1 | | | | |
| 545.3 |
| | | |
% in scope |
| 99% | | | | |
| 98% | | | | |
Loans to customers - in scope - amortised cost |
| 383.1 | | 3.2 | | 379.9 |
| 385.3 |
| 3.6 | | 381.7 |
Loans to customers - in scope - FVOCI |
| 0.1 | | — | | 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — | | 0.1 |
Loans to banks - in scope - amortised cost |
| 5.7 | | — | | 5.7 |
| 6.7 |
| — | | 6.7 |
Total loans - in scope |
| 388.9 | | 3.2 | | 385.7 |
| 392.1 |
| 3.6 | | 388.5 |
Stage 1 |
| 345.8 | | 0.5 | | 345.3 |
| 348.6 |
| 0.7 | | 347.9 |
Stage 2 |
| 37.3 | | 0.8 | | 36.5 |
| 37.9 |
| 0.9 | | 37.0 |
Stage 3 |
| 5.8 | | 1.9 | | 3.9 |
| 5.6 |
| 2.0 | | 3.6 |
Other financial assets - in scope - amortised cost |
| 138.5 | | — | | 138.5 |
| 124.9 |
| — | | 124.9 |
Other financial assets - in scope - FVOCI |
| 27.7 | | — | | 27.7 |
| 28.3 |
| — | | 28.3 |
Total other financial assets - in scope |
| 166.2 | | — | | 166.2 |
| 153.2 |
| — | | 153.2 |
Stage 1 |
| 165.6 | | — | | 165.6 |
| 152.0 |
| — | | 152.0 |
Stage 2 |
| 0.6 | | — | | 0.6 |
| 1.2 |
| — | | 1.2 |
Out of scope of IFRS 9 ECL framework |
| 7.5 | | na | | 7.5 |
| 8.5 |
| na | | 8.5 |
Loans to customers - out of scope - amortised cost |
| (0.6) | | na | | (0.6) |
| (0.4) |
| na | | (0.4) |
Loans to banks - out of scope - amortised cost |
| 0.3 | | na | | 0.3 |
| 0.3 |
| na | | 0.3 |
Other financial assets - out of scope - amortised cost |
| 7.5 | | na | | 7.5 |
| 8.3 |
| na | | 8.3 |
Other financial assets - out of scope - FVOCI |
| 0.3 | | na | | 0.3 |
| 0.3 |
| na | | 0.3 |
na = not applicable
The assets outside the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were as follows:
- | Settlement balances, items in the course of collection, cash balances and other non-credit risk assets of £7.4 billion (31 December 2023 – £8.6 billion). These were assessed as having no ECL unless there was evidence that they were defaulted. |
- | Equity shares of £0.3 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.3 billion) as not within the IFRS 9 ECL framework by definition. |
- | Fair value adjustments on loans hedged by interest rate swaps, where the underlying loan was within the IFRS 9 ECL scope of £(0.4) billion (31 December 2023 – £(0.3) billion). |
Contingent liabilities and commitments
In addition to contingent liabilities and commitments disclosed in Note 13 to the consolidated financial statements, reputationally-committed limits were also included in the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework. These were offset by £0.4 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.1 billion) out of scope balances primarily related to facilities that, if drawn, would not be classified as amortised cost or FVOCI, or undrawn limits relating to financial assets exclusions. Total contingent liabilities (including financial guarantees) and commitments within IFRS 9 ECL scope of £136.2 billion (31 December 2023 – £132.0 billion) comprised Stage 1 £126.3 billion (31 December 2023 – £120.6 billion); Stage 2 £9.2 billion (31 December 2023 – £10.7 billion); and Stage 3 £0.7 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.7 billion).
The ECL relating to off-balance sheet exposures was £0.1 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.1 billion). The total ECL in the remainder of the Credit risk section of £3.3 billion (31 December 2023 – £3.6 billion) included ECL for both on and off-balance sheet exposures for non-disposal groups.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 35 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Segment analysis – portfolio summary
The table below shows gross loans and ECL, by segment and stage, within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework.
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stage 1 |
| 178,508 | | 17,209 | | 123,433 | | 26,697 | | 345,847 |
Stage 2 |
| 23,091 | | 744 | | 13,453 | | — | | 37,288 |
Stage 3 |
| 3,205 | | 294 | | 2,313 | | — | | 5,812 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | 252 | | 964 | | — | | 1,216 |
Of which: collective |
| 3,205 | | 42 | | 1,349 | | — | | 4,596 |
Subtotal excluding disposal group loans |
| 204,804 | | 18,247 | | 139,199 | | 26,697 | | 388,947 |
Disposal group loans |
| | | | | | | — | | — |
Total |
| | | | | | | 26,697 | | 388,947 |
ECL provisions (3) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Stage 1 |
| 275 | | 16 | | 275 | | 19 | | 585 |
Stage 2 |
| 456 | | 11 | | 334 | | 1 | | 802 |
Stage 3 |
| 1,026 | | 38 | | 892 | | — | | 1,956 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | 38 | | 328 | | — | | 366 |
Of which: collective |
| 1,026 | | — | | 564 | | — | | 1,590 |
Subtotal excluding ECL provisions on disposal group loans |
| 1,757 | | 65 | | 1,501 | | 20 | | 3,343 |
ECL provisions on disposal group loans |
| | | | | | | — | | — |
Total |
| | | | | | | 20 | | 3,343 |
ECL provisions coverage (4) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Stage 1 (%) |
| 0.15 | | 0.09 | | 0.22 | | 0.07 | | 0.17 |
Stage 2 (%) |
| 1.97 | | 1.48 | | 2.48 | | nm | | 2.15 |
Stage 3 (%) |
| 32.01 | | 12.93 | | 38.56 | | — | | 33.65 |
ECL provisions coverage excluding disposal group loans |
| 0.86 | | 0.36 | | 1.08 | | 0.07 | | 0.86 |
ECL provisions coverage on disposal group loans |
| — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
Total |
| — | | — | | — | | 0.07 | | 0.86 |
Impairment (releases)/losses |
| | | | | | | | | |
ECL charge/(release) (5) |
| 122 | | (11) | | (57) | | (6) | | 48 |
Stage 1 |
| (166) | | (9) | | (182) | | (7) | | (364) |
Stage 2 |
| 178 | | (3) | | 14 | | 1 | | 190 |
Stage 3 |
| 110 | | 1 | | 111 | | — | | 222 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | 1 | | 79 | | — | | 80 |
Of which: collective |
| 110 | | — | | 32 | | — | | 142 |
Continuing operations |
| 122 | | (11) | | (57) | | (6) | | 48 |
Discontinued operations |
| | | | | | | — | | — |
Total |
| | | | | | | (6) | | 48 |
Amounts written-off |
| 270 | | — | | 99 | | — | | 369 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | — | | 64 | | — | | 64 |
Of which: collective |
| 270 | | — | | 35 | | — | | 305 |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 36 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Segment analysis – portfolio summary
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
31 December 2023 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stage 1 |
| 182,297 |
| 17,565 |
| 119,047 |
| 29,677 |
| 348,586 |
Stage 2 |
| 21,208 |
| 906 |
| 15,771 |
| 6 |
| 37,891 |
Stage 3 |
| 3,133 |
| 258 |
| 2,162 |
| 10 |
| 5,563 |
Of which: individual |
| — |
| 186 |
| 845 |
| — |
| 1,031 |
Of which: collective |
| 3,133 |
| 72 |
| 1,317 |
| 10 |
| 4,532 |
Subtotal excluding disposal group loans |
| 206,638 |
| 18,729 |
| 136,980 |
| 29,693 |
| 392,040 |
Disposal group loans |
| | | |
| |
| 67 |
| 67 |
Total |
| | | |
| |
| 29,760 |
| 392,107 |
ECL provisions (3) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Stage 1 |
| 306 |
| 20 |
| 356 |
| 27 |
| 709 |
Stage 2 |
| 502 |
| 20 |
| 447 |
| 7 |
| 976 |
Stage 3 |
| 1,097 |
| 34 |
| 819 |
| 10 |
| 1,960 |
Of which: individual |
| — |
| 34 |
| 298 |
| — |
| 332 |
Of which: collective |
| 1,097 |
| — |
| 521 |
| 10 |
| 1,628 |
Subtotal excluding ECL provisions on disposal group loans |
| 1,905 |
| 74 |
| 1,622 |
| 44 |
| 3,645 |
ECL provisions on disposal group loans |
| |
| |
| |
| 36 |
| 36 |
Total |
| | | |
| |
| 80 |
| 3,681 |
ECL provisions coverage (4) |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
Stage 1 (%) |
| 0.17 | | 0.11 | | 0.30 | | 0.09 |
| 0.20 |
Stage 2 (%) |
| 2.37 | | 2.21 | | 2.83 | | nm |
| 2.58 |
Stage 3 (%) |
| 35.01 | | 13.18 | | 37.88 | | 100.00 |
| 35.23 |
ECL provisions coverage excluding disposal group loans |
| 0.92 | | 0.40 | | 1.18 | | 0.15 |
| 0.93 |
ECL provisions coverage on disposal group loans |
| | | | | | | 53.73 |
| 53.73 |
Total |
| | | | | | | 0.27 |
| 0.94 |
Half year ended 30 June 2023 | | | | | | | | | | |
Impairment (releases)/losses |
| | | | | | | |
| |
ECL (release)/charge (5) |
| 193 | | 11 | | 20 | | (1) |
| 223 |
Stage 1 |
| (88) | | (1) | | (124) | | 4 |
| (209) |
Stage 2 |
| 188 | | 8 | | 98 | | 2 |
| 296 |
Stage 3 |
| 93 | | 4 | | 46 | | (7) |
| 136 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | 4 | | 13 | | (4) |
| 13 |
Of which: collective |
| 93 | | — | | 33 | | (3) |
| 123 |
Continuing operations |
| 193 | | 11 | | 20 | | (1) |
| 223 |
Discontinued operations |
| | | | | | | (1) |
| (1) |
Total |
| | | | | | | (2) |
| 222 |
Amounts written-off |
| 63 | | 1 | | 50 | | 8 |
| 122 |
Of which: individual |
| — | | 1 | | 19 | | 2 |
| 22 |
Of which: collective |
| 63 | | — | | 31 | | 6 |
| 100 |
nm = not meaningful
(1) | The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that were outside the scope of the ECL framework. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £114.8 billion (31 December 2023 – £103.1 billion) and debt securities of £51.4 billion (31 December 2023 – £50.1 billion). |
(2) | Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI). Includes loans to customers and banks. |
(3) | Includes £4 million (31 December 2023 – £9 million) related to assets classified as FVOCI and £0.1 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.1 billion) related to off-balance sheet exposures. |
(4) | ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans – amortised cost and FVOCI. It is calculated on loans and total ECL provisions, including ECL for other (non-loan) assets and unutilised exposure. Some segments with a high proportion of debt securities or unutilised exposure may result in a not meaningful (nm) coverage ratio. |
(5) | Includes a £6 million release (30 June 2023 – £5 million release) related to other financial assets, of which £5 million release (30 June 2023 – £1 million charge) related to assets classified as FVOCI and includes a £4 million charge (30 June 2023 – £3 million release) related to contingent liabilities. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 37 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Segment loans and impairment metrics
The table below shows gross loans and ECL provisions, by days past due, by segment and stage, within the scope of the ECL framework.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Gross loans |
|
|
| ECL provisions (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| | | | Stage 2 (1) | | | | | | | | Stage 2 (1) | | | | | ||||||||||||
| | | | Not | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Not | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | past | | 1-30 | | >30 | | | | | | | | | | past | | 1-30 | | >30 | | | | | | |
| | Stage 1 |
| due |
| DPD |
| DPD |
| Total |
| Stage 3 |
| Total |
| Stage 1 |
| due |
| DPD |
| DPD |
| Total |
| Stage 3 |
| Total |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Retail Banking |
| 178,508 |
| 21,836 |
| 816 |
| 439 |
| 23,091 |
| 3,205 |
| 204,804 |
| 275 |
| 398 |
| 15 |
| 43 |
| 456 |
| 1,026 |
| 1,757 |
Private Banking |
| 17,209 |
| 653 |
| 45 |
| 46 |
| 744 |
| 294 |
| 18,247 |
| 16 |
| 11 |
| — |
| — |
| 11 |
| 38 |
| 65 |
Personal |
| 13,865 |
| 160 |
| 45 |
| 30 |
| 235 |
| 210 |
| 14,310 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 23 |
| 27 |
Wholesale |
| 3,344 |
| 493 |
| — |
| 16 |
| 509 |
| 84 |
| 3,937 |
| 13 |
| 10 |
| — |
| — |
| 10 |
| 15 |
| 38 |
Commercial & Institutional |
| 123,433 |
| 12,475 |
| 649 |
| 329 |
| 13,453 |
| 2,313 |
| 139,199 |
| 275 |
| 302 |
| 21 |
| 11 |
| 334 |
| 892 |
| 1,501 |
Personal |
| 2,238 |
| 12 |
| 24 |
| 10 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 2,330 |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 14 |
| 16 |
Wholesale |
| 121,195 |
| 12,463 |
| 625 |
| 319 |
| 13,407 |
| 2,267 |
| 136,869 |
| 273 |
| 302 |
| 21 |
| 11 |
| 334 |
| 878 |
| 1,485 |
Central items & other |
| 26,697 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 26,697 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 20 |
Personal |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Wholesale |
| 26,697 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 26,697 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 20 |
Total loans |
| 345,847 |
| 34,964 |
| 1,510 |
| 814 |
| 37,288 |
| 5,812 |
| 388,947 |
| 585 |
| 712 |
| 36 |
| 54 |
| 802 |
| 1,956 |
| 3,343 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Personal |
| 194,611 |
| 22,008 |
| 885 |
| 479 |
| 23,372 |
| 3,461 |
| 221,444 |
| 280 |
| 399 |
| 15 |
| 43 |
| 457 |
| 1,063 |
| 1,800 |
Wholesale |
| 151,236 |
| 12,956 |
| 625 |
| 335 |
| 13,916 |
| 2,351 |
| 167,503 |
| 305 |
| 313 |
| 21 |
| 11 |
| 345 |
| 893 |
| 1,543 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retail Banking |
| 182,297 |
| 20,128 |
| 738 |
| 342 |
| 21,208 |
| 3,133 |
| 206,638 |
| 306 |
| 453 |
| 15 |
| 34 |
| 502 |
| 1,097 |
| 1,905 |
Private Banking |
| 17,565 |
| 772 |
| 77 |
| 57 |
| 906 |
| 258 |
| 18,729 |
| 20 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 20 |
| 34 |
| 74 |
Personal |
| 14,296 |
| 158 |
| 73 |
| 24 |
| 255 |
| 209 |
| 14,760 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| 2 |
| 20 |
| 25 |
Wholesale |
| 3,269 |
| 614 |
| 4 |
| 33 |
| 651 |
| 49 |
| 3,969 |
| 17 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 18 |
| 14 |
| 49 |
Commercial & Institutional |
| 119,047 |
| 14,689 |
| 657 |
| 425 |
| 15,771 |
| 2,162 |
| 136,980 |
| 356 |
| 415 |
| 21 |
| 11 |
| 447 |
| 819 |
| 1,622 |
Personal |
| 2,268 |
| 15 |
| 21 |
| 7 |
| 43 |
| 52 |
| 2,363 |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 16 |
| 18 |
Wholesale |
| 116,779 |
| 14,674 |
| 636 |
| 418 |
| 15,728 |
| 2,110 |
| 134,617 |
| 354 |
| 415 |
| 21 |
| 11 |
| 447 |
| 803 |
| 1,604 |
Central items & other |
| 29,677 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 10 |
| 29,693 |
| 27 |
| 6 |
| — |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 10 |
| 44 |
Personal |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| — | | 1 | | 3 | | 6 | | 13 | | 5 | | 1 | | — | | 1 | | 2 | | 9 | | 16 |
Wholesale |
| 29,673 |
| 3 |
| — | | — | | 3 | | 4 | | 29,680 | | 22 | | 5 | | — | | — | | 5 | | 1 | | 28 |
Total loans |
| 348,586 |
| 35,594 |
| 1,472 | | 825 | | 37,891 | | 5,563 | | 392,040 | | 709 | | 892 | | 37 | | 47 | | 976 | | 1,960 | | 3,645 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Personal |
| 198,865 |
| 20,303 |
| 832 | | 374 | | 21,509 | | 3,400 | | 223,774 | | 316 | | 456 | | 15 | | 35 | | 506 | | 1,142 | | 1,964 |
Wholesale |
| 149,721 |
| 15,291 |
| 640 | | 451 | | 16,382 | | 2,163 | | 168,266 | | 393 | | 436 | | 22 | | 12 | | 470 | | 818 | | 1,681 |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 38 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Segment loans and impairment metrics
The table below shows ECL and ECL provisions coverage, by days past due, by segment and stage, within the scope of the ECL framework.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| ECL provisions coverage |
| Half year ended 30 June 2024 | ||||||||||||||
| | |
| Stage 2 (1,2) | | | | | | ECL | ||||||||
| |
| | Not past | |
| |
|
|
| |
| |
| | Total | | Amounts |
| | Stage 1 | | due |
| 1-30 DPD |
| >30 DPD | | Total | | Stage 3 |
| Total | | (release)/charge |
| written-off |
30 June 2024 | | % | | % | | % | | % | | % | | % | | % | | £m | | £m |
Retail Banking |
| 0.15 | | 1.82 | | 1.84 | | 9.79 | | 1.97 | | 32.01 | | 0.86 | | 122 | | 270 |
Private Banking |
| 0.09 |
| 1.68 |
| — |
| — |
| 1.48 |
| 12.93 |
| 0.36 |
| (11) |
| — |
Personal |
| 0.02 |
| 0.63 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.43 |
| 10.95 |
| 0.19 |
| 1 |
| — |
Wholesale |
| 0.39 |
| 2.03 |
| — |
| — |
| 1.96 |
| 17.86 |
| 0.97 |
| (12) |
| — |
Commercial & Institutional |
| 0.22 |
| 2.42 |
| 3.24 |
| 3.34 |
| 2.48 |
| 38.56 |
| 1.08 |
| (57) |
| 99 |
Personal |
| 0.09 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 30.43 |
| 0.69 |
| — |
| 1 |
Wholesale |
| 0.23 |
| 2.42 |
| 3.36 |
| 3.45 |
| 2.49 |
| 38.73 |
| 1.08 |
| (57) |
| 98 |
Central items |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
& other |
| 0.07 |
| nm |
| — |
| — |
| nm |
| — |
| 0.07 |
| (6) |
| — |
Personal |
| — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
Wholesale |
| 0.07 |
| nm |
| — |
| — |
| nm |
| — |
| 0.07 |
| (6) |
| — |
Total loans |
| 0.17 |
| 2.04 |
| 2.38 |
| 6.63 |
| 2.15 |
| 33.65 |
| 0.86 |
| 48 |
| 369 |
Of which: |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal |
| 0.14 |
| 1.81 |
| 1.69 |
| 8.98 |
| 1.96 |
| 30.71 |
| 0.81 |
| 123 |
| 271 |
Wholesale |
| 0.20 |
| 2.42 |
| 3.36 |
| 3.28 |
| 2.48 |
| 37.98 |
| 0.92 |
| (75) |
| 98 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| |
| | ||||||||||||||
31 December 2023 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Half year ended 30 June 2023 | ||
Retail Banking |
| 0.17 |
| 2.25 |
| 2.03 |
| 9.94 |
| 2.37 |
| 35.01 |
| 0.92 |
| 193 |
| 63 |
Private Banking |
| 0.11 |
| 2.33 |
| 1.30 |
| 1.75 |
| 2.21 |
| 13.18 |
| 0.40 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
Personal |
| 0.02 |
| 1.27 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.78 |
| 9.57 |
| 0.17 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
Wholesale |
| 0.52 |
| 2.61 |
| 25.00 |
| 3.03 |
| 2.76 |
| 28.57 |
| 1.23 |
| 7 |
| — |
Commercial & Institutional |
| 0.30 |
| 2.83 |
| 3.20 |
| 2.59 |
| 2.83 |
| 37.88 |
| 1.18 |
| 20 |
| 50 |
Personal |
| 0.09 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 30.77 |
| 0.76 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
Wholesale |
| 0.30 |
| 2.83 |
| 3.30 |
| 2.63 |
| 2.84 |
| 38.06 |
| 1.19 |
| 19 |
| 49 |
Central items & other |
| 0.09 |
| nm |
| — |
| nm |
| nm |
| nm |
| 0.15 |
| (1) |
| 8 |
Personal |
| nm |
| nm |
| — |
| nm |
| nm |
| nm |
| nm |
| 5 | | 1 |
Wholesale |
| 0.07 |
| nm |
| — |
| — |
| nm |
| 25.00 |
| 0.09 |
| (6) |
| 7 |
Total loans |
| 0.20 |
| 2.51 |
| 2.51 |
| 5.70 |
| 2.58 |
| 35.23 |
| 0.93 |
| 223 |
| 122 |
Of which: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
Personal |
| 0.16 |
| 2.25 |
| 1.80 |
| 9.36 |
| 2.35 |
| 33.59 |
| 0.88 |
| 203 |
| 66 |
Wholesale |
| 0.26 |
| 2.85 |
| 3.44 |
| 2.66 |
| 2.87 |
| 37.82 |
| 1.00 |
| 20 |
| 56 |
nm = not meaningful
(1) | 30 DPD – 30 days past due, the mandatory 30 days past due backstop as prescribed by IFRS 9 for a SICR. |
(2) | Some segments with a high proportion of debt securities or unutilised exposure may result in a not meaningful (nm) coverage ratio. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 39 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Segment loans and impairment metrics
- | Retail Banking – Loans to customers were lower than Q4 2023, mainly due to a reduction in mortgage balances where higher redemptions were only partly offset by new mortgage lending. Unsecured lending grew overall, driven by growth in credit cards. New lending and portfolio credit quality was maintained with limited increases in arrears in line with expectations. Total ECL coverage decreased during H1 2024 reflective of Q2 2024 debt sale activity on unsecured portfolios (£0.2 billion of assets), reductions in economic uncertainty post model adjustments, and stable underlying portfolio performance. The reduction in good book coverage in the first half of the year was also a result of unsecured probability of default modelling updates alongside an improved view on forward looking economics, underpinning a reduction in Stage 2 balances. Post model adjustments to capture increased affordability pressures on customers due to high inflation and interest rates decreased since Q4 2023, reflecting a revision of portfolio subsegments deemed most at risk, supported by back-testing of default outcomes. Flow rates into Stage 3 reduced during H1 2024. |
- | Commercial & Institutional – Growth in exposure in Commercial & Institutional was driven by increased exposure to financial institutions and property, and partially offset by an overall reduction to corporate sectors. Sector appetite continues to be reviewed regularly, with particular focus on sector clusters deemed to represent a heightened risk. Total ECL reduced in H1 2024 due to releases in post model adjustments, positive portfolio performance and improved economic scenarios. This was partially offset by an increase in Stage 3 ECL, from flows into default on individually assessed customers. The ECL decrease resulted in a reduction in coverage levels, but coverage on Stage 1 and Stage 2 was still significantly above pre-COVID-19 levels, reflecting that a degree of economic uncertainty remains. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 40 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
The table below shows financial assets and off-balance sheet exposures gross of ECL and related ECL provisions, impairment and past due by sector, asset quality and geographical region.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Personal |
| Wholesale |
| Total | ||||||||||||||
| | | | Credit | | Other | | | | | | | | Financial | | | | | | |
| | Mortgages (1) | | cards | | personal | | Total | | Property | | Corporate | | institution | | Sovereign | | Total | | |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Loans by geography |
| 205,486 |
| 6,381 |
| 9,577 |
| 221,444 |
| 32,618 |
| 76,588 |
| 56,725 |
| 1,572 |
| 167,503 |
| 388,947 |
- UK |
| 205,486 |
| 6,381 |
| 9,577 |
| 221,444 |
| 32,200 |
| 63,611 |
| 38,600 |
| 552 |
| 134,963 |
| 356,407 |
- RoI |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 10 |
| 983 |
| 529 |
| — |
| 1,522 |
| 1,522 |
- Other Europe |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 289 |
| 5,100 |
| 8,669 |
| 701 |
| 14,759 |
| 14,759 |
- RoW |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 119 |
| 6,894 |
| 8,927 |
| 319 |
| 16,259 |
| 16,259 |
Loans by stage |
| 205,486 |
| 6,381 |
| 9,577 |
| 221,444 |
| 32,618 |
| 76,588 |
| 56,725 |
| 1,572 |
| 167,503 |
| 388,947 |
- Stage 1 |
| 182,672 |
| 4,431 |
| 7,508 |
| 194,611 |
| 28,872 |
| 64,974 |
| 56,103 |
| 1,287 |
| 151,236 |
| 345,847 |
- Stage 2 |
| 20,368 |
| 1,792 |
| 1,212 |
| 23,372 |
| 3,018 |
| 10,087 |
| 548 |
| 263 |
| 13,916 |
| 37,288 |
- Stage 3 |
| 2,446 |
| 158 |
| 857 |
| 3,461 |
| 728 |
| 1,527 |
| 74 |
| 22 |
| 2,351 |
| 5,812 |
- Of which: individual |
| 150 |
| — |
| 22 |
| 172 |
| 290 |
| 666 |
| 66 |
| 22 |
| 1,044 |
| 1,216 |
- Of which: collective |
| 2,296 |
| 158 |
| 835 |
| 3,289 |
| 438 |
| 861 |
| 8 |
| — |
| 1,307 |
| 4,596 |
Loans - past due analysis (2) |
| 205,486 |
| 6,381 |
| 9,577 |
| 221,444 |
| 32,618 |
| 76,588 |
| 56,725 |
| 1,572 |
| 167,503 |
| 388,947 |
- Not past due |
| 202,398 |
| 6,198 |
| 8,677 |
| 217,273 |
| 31,937 |
| 74,187 | | 56,442 |
| 1,550 |
| 164,116 |
| 381,389 |
- Past due 1-30 days |
| 1,199 |
| 44 |
| 68 |
| 1,311 |
| 296 |
| 1,494 |
| 275 |
| — |
| 2,065 |
| 3,376 |
- Past due 31-90 days |
| 735 |
| 44 |
| 119 |
| 898 |
| 86 |
| 287 |
| 3 |
| — |
| 376 |
| 1,274 |
- Past due 90-180 days |
| 388 |
| 38 |
| 101 |
| 527 |
| 37 |
| 33 |
| — |
| 22 |
| 92 |
| 619 |
- Past due >180 days |
| 766 |
| 57 |
| 612 |
| 1,435 |
| 262 |
| 587 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 854 |
| 2,289 |
Loans - Stage 2 |
| 20,368 |
| 1,792 |
| 1,212 |
| 23,372 |
| 3,018 |
| 10,087 |
| 548 |
| 263 |
| 13,916 |
| 37,288 |
- Not past due |
| 19,171 |
| 1,737 |
| 1,100 |
| 22,008 |
| 2,820 |
| 9,331 |
| 542 |
| 263 |
| 12,956 |
| 34,964 |
- Past due 1-30 days |
| 822 |
| 27 |
| 36 |
| 885 |
| 116 |
| 506 |
| 3 |
| — |
| 625 |
| 1,510 |
- Past due 31-90 days |
| 375 |
| 28 |
| 76 |
| 479 |
| 82 |
| 250 |
| 3 |
| — |
| 335 |
| 814 |
Weighted average life |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- ECL measurement (years) |
| 9 |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
Weighted average 12 months PDs |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- IFRS 9 (%) |
| 0.51 |
| 2.99 |
| 4.63 |
| 0.74 |
| 1.14 |
| 1.36 |
| 0.17 |
| 4.38 |
| 0.94 |
| 0.83 |
- Basel (%) |
| 0.67 |
| 3.51 |
| 3.32 |
| 0.85 |
| 0.90 |
| 1.22 |
| 0.16 |
| 4.38 |
| 0.82 |
| 0.84 |
ECL provisions by geography |
| 420 |
| 376 |
| 1,004 |
| 1,800 |
| 371 |
| 1,063 |
| 90 |
| 19 |
| 1,543 |
| 3,343 |
- UK |
| 420 |
| 376 |
| 1,004 |
| 1,800 |
| 361 |
| 926 |
| 34 |
| 13 |
| 1,334 |
| 3,134 |
- RoI |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 4 |
| 4 |
- Other Europe |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 3 |
| 87 |
| 8 |
| — |
| 98 |
| 98 |
- RoW |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 7 |
| 47 |
| 47 |
| 6 |
| 107 |
| 107 |
ECL provisions by stage |
| 420 |
| 376 |
| 1,004 |
| 1,800 |
| 371 |
| 1,063 |
| 90 |
| 19 |
| 1,543 |
| 3,343 |
- Stage 1 |
| 49 |
| 82 |
| 149 |
| 280 |
| 73 |
| 180 |
| 39 |
| 13 |
| 305 |
| 585 |
- Stage 2 |
| 69 |
| 189 |
| 199 |
| 457 |
| 66 |
| 270 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 345 |
| 802 |
- Stage 3 |
| 302 |
| 105 |
| 656 |
| 1,063 |
| 232 |
| 613 |
| 44 |
| 4 |
| 893 |
| 1,956 |
- Of which: individual |
| 13 |
| — |
| 14 |
| 27 |
| 85 |
| 211 |
| 39 |
| 4 |
| 339 |
| 366 |
- Of which: collective |
| 289 |
| 105 |
| 642 |
| 1,036 |
| 147 |
| 402 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 554 |
| 1,590 |
For the notes to this table refer to page 44.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 41 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Personal | | Wholesale | | Total | ||||||||||||||
| | | | Credit | | Other | | | | | | | | Financial | | | | | | |
| | Mortgages (1) | | cards | | personal | | Total | | Property | | Corporate | | institution | | Sovereign | | Total | | |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
ECL provisions coverage (%) | | 0.20 | | 5.89 | | 10.48 | | 0.81 | | 1.14 | | 1.39 | | 0.16 | | 1.21 | | 0.92 | | 0.86 |
- Stage 1 (%) | | 0.03 | | 1.85 | | 1.98 | | 0.14 | | 0.25 | | 0.28 | | 0.07 | | 1.01 | | 0.20 | | 0.17 |
- Stage 2 (%) | | 0.34 | | 10.55 | | 16.42 | | 1.96 | | 2.19 | | 2.68 | | 1.28 | | 0.76 | | 2.48 | | 2.15 |
- Stage 3 (%) | | 12.35 | | 66.46 | | 76.55 | | 30.71 | | 31.87 | | 40.14 | | 59.46 | | 18.18 | | 37.98 | | 33.65 |
ECL (release)/charge | | (19) | | 51 | | 91 | | 123 | | (12) | | (83) | | 19 | | 1 | | (75) | | 48 |
- UK | | (19) | | 51 | | 91 | | 123 | | (12) | | (70) | | (4) | | — | | (86) | | 37 |
- RoI | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 1 | | — | | — | | — | | 1 | | 1 |
- Other Europe | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (1) | | (7) | | (6) | | — | | (14) | | (14) |
- RoW | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (6) | | 29 | | 1 | | 24 | | 24 |
Amounts written-off | | 9 | | 38 | | 224 | | 271 | | 10 | | 88 | | — | | — | | 98 | | 369 |
Loans by residual maturity |
| 205,486 |
| 6,381 |
| 9,577 |
| 221,444 |
| 32,618 |
| 76,588 |
| 56,725 |
| 1,572 |
| 167,503 |
| 388,947 |
- <1 year |
| 3,366 |
| 3,618 |
| 3,080 |
| 10,064 |
| 6,665 |
| 25,856 |
| 43,220 |
| 780 |
| 76,521 |
| 86,585 |
- 1-5 year |
| 9,469 |
| 2,763 |
| 5,482 |
| 17,714 |
| 17,687 |
| 30,632 |
| 11,242 |
| 483 |
| 60,044 |
| 77,758 |
- >5<15 year | | 45,488 | | — | | 1,009 | | 46,497 | | 5,782 | | 14,925 | | 2,229 | | 309 | | 23,245 | | 69,742 |
- >15 year |
| 147,163 |
| — |
| 6 |
| 147,169 |
| 2,484 |
| 5,175 |
| 34 |
| — |
| 7,693 |
| 154,862 |
Other financial assets by asset quality (3) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 2,583 |
| 27,058 |
| 136,516 |
| 166,158 |
| 166,158 |
- AQ1-AQ4 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 2,581 |
| 26,507 |
| 136,516 |
| 165,605 |
| 165,605 |
- AQ5-AQ8 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 2 |
| 551 |
| — |
| 553 |
| 553 |
Off-balance sheet |
| 12,478 |
| 18,494 |
| 8,207 |
| 39,179 |
| 14,159 |
| 61,113 |
| 21,516 |
| 254 |
| 97,042 |
| 136,221 |
- Loan commitments |
| 12,478 |
| 18,494 |
| 8,165 |
| 39,137 |
| 13,843 |
| 58,410 |
| 19,909 |
| 254 |
| 92,416 |
| 131,553 |
- Financial guarantees |
| — |
| — |
| 42 |
| 42 |
| 316 |
| 2,703 |
| 1,607 |
| — |
| 4,626 |
| 4,668 |
Off-balance sheet by asset quality (3) |
| 12,478 |
| 18,494 |
| 8,207 |
| 39,179 |
| 14,159 |
| 61,113 |
| 21,516 |
| 254 |
| 97,042 |
| 136,221 |
- AQ1-AQ4 |
| 11,659 |
| 486 |
| 6,869 |
| 19,014 |
| 10,970 |
| 37,302 |
| 19,902 |
| 164 |
| 68,338 |
| 87,352 |
- AQ5-AQ8 |
| 797 |
| 17,681 |
| 1,301 |
| 19,779 |
| 3,170 |
| 23,497 |
| 1,575 |
| 27 |
| 28,269 |
| 48,048 |
- AQ9 |
| 7 |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 25 |
| 2 |
| 25 |
| 1 |
| 63 |
| 91 |
| 116 |
- AQ10 |
| 15 |
| 318 |
| 28 |
| 361 |
| 17 |
| 289 |
| 38 |
| — |
| 344 |
| 705 |
For the notes to this table refer to page 44.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 42 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Personal |
| Wholesale |
| Total | ||||||||||||||
| | |
| Credit |
| Other |
| |
| |
| |
| Financial |
| |
| |
| |
| | Mortgages (1) | | cards | | personal | | Total | | Property | | Corporate | | institution | | Sovereign | | Total | | |
31 December 2023 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Loans by geography |
| 208,275 |
| 5,904 |
| 9,595 |
| 223,774 |
| 31,207 |
| 77,339 |
| 57,087 |
| 2,633 |
| 168,266 |
| 392,040 |
- UK |
| 208,275 |
| 5,893 |
| 9,592 |
| 223,760 |
| 30,703 |
| 65,033 |
| 39,906 |
| 2,016 |
| 137,658 |
| 361,418 |
- RoI |
| — |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| 14 |
| 9 |
| 888 |
| 279 |
| — |
| 1,176 |
| 1,190 |
- Other Europe |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 375 |
| 5,096 |
| 7,865 |
| 399 |
| 13,735 |
| 13,735 |
- RoW |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 120 |
| 6,322 |
| 9,037 |
| 218 |
| 15,697 |
| 15,697 |
Loans by stage |
| 208,275 |
| 5,904 |
| 9,595 |
| 223,774 |
| 31,207 |
| 77,339 |
| 57,087 |
| 2,633 |
| 168,266 |
| 392,040 |
- Stage 1 |
| 188,140 |
| 3,742 |
| 6,983 |
| 198,865 |
| 27,316 |
| 63,690 |
| 56,105 |
| 2,610 |
| 149,721 |
| 348,586 |
- Stage 2 |
| 17,854 |
| 2,022 |
| 1,633 |
| 21,509 |
| 3,270 |
| 12,145 |
| 966 |
| 1 |
| 16,382 |
| 37,891 |
- Stage 3 |
| 2,281 |
| 140 |
| 979 |
| 3,400 |
| 621 |
| 1,504 |
| 16 |
| 22 |
| 2,163 |
| 5,563 |
- Of which: individual |
| 122 |
| — |
| 20 |
| 142 |
| 240 |
| 625 |
| 2 |
| 22 |
| 889 |
| 1,031 |
- Of which: collective |
| 2,159 |
| 140 |
| 959 |
| 3,258 |
| 381 |
| 879 |
| 14 |
| — |
| 1,274 |
| 4,532 |
Loans - past due analysis (2) |
| 208,275 |
| 5,904 |
| 9,595 |
| 223,774 |
| 31,207 |
| 77,339 |
| 57,087 |
| 2,633 |
| 168,266 |
| 392,040 |
- Not past due |
| 205,405 |
| 5,743 |
| 8,578 |
| 219,726 |
| 30,264 |
| 74,052 |
| 56,735 |
| 2,633 |
| 163,684 |
| 383,410 |
- Past due 1-30 days |
| 1,178 |
| 41 |
| 71 |
| 1,290 |
| 491 |
| 2,222 |
| 332 |
| — |
| 3,045 |
| 4,335 |
- Past due 31-90 days |
| 518 |
| 38 |
| 112 |
| 668 |
| 179 |
| 437 |
| 12 |
| — |
| 628 |
| 1,296 |
- Past due 90-180 days |
| 445 |
| 32 |
| 103 |
| 580 |
| 42 |
| 71 |
| 2 |
| — |
| 115 |
| 695 |
- Past due >180 days |
| 729 |
| 50 |
| 731 |
| 1,510 |
| 231 |
| 557 |
| 6 |
| — |
| 794 |
| 2,304 |
Loans - Stage 2 |
| 17,854 |
| 2,022 |
| 1,633 |
| 21,509 |
| 3,270 |
| 12,145 |
| 966 |
| 1 |
| 16,382 |
| 37,891 |
- Not past due |
| 16,803 |
| 1,971 |
| 1,529 |
| 20,303 |
| 3,071 |
| 11,287 |
| 932 |
| 1 |
| 15,291 |
| 35,594 |
- Past due 1-30 days |
| 765 |
| 27 |
| 40 |
| 832 |
| 100 |
| 516 |
| 24 |
| — |
| 640 |
| 1,472 |
- Past due 31-90 days |
| 286 |
| 24 |
| 64 |
| 374 |
| 99 |
| 342 |
| 10 |
| — |
| 451 |
| 825 |
Weighted average life |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- ECL measurement (years) |
| 9 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| — |
| 6 |
| 6 |
Weighted average 12 months PDs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- IFRS 9 (%) |
| 0.50 |
| 3.45 |
| 5.29 |
| 0.75 |
| 1.45 |
| 1.59 |
| 0.19 |
| 0.37 |
| 1.07 |
| 0.89 |
- Basel (%) |
| 0.67 |
| 3.37 |
| 3.15 |
| 0.84 |
| 0.94 |
| 1.25 |
| 0.17 |
| 0.37 |
| 0.81 |
| 0.83 |
ECL provisions by geography |
| 420 |
| 376 |
| 1,168 |
| 1,964 |
| 398 |
| 1,201 |
| 66 |
| 16 |
| 1,681 |
| 3,645 |
- UK |
| 420 |
| 365 |
| 1,163 |
| 1,948 |
| 384 |
| 999 |
| 38 |
| 13 |
| 1,434 |
| 3,382 |
- RoI |
| — |
| 11 |
| 5 |
| 16 |
| — |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 7 |
| 23 |
- Other Europe |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 7 |
| 146 |
| 12 |
| — |
| 165 |
| 165 |
- RoW |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 7 |
| 50 |
| 15 |
| 3 |
| 75 |
| 75 |
ECL provisions by stage |
| 420 |
| 376 |
| 1,168 |
| 1,964 |
| 398 |
| 1,201 |
| 66 |
| 16 |
| 1,681 |
| 3,645 |
- Stage 1 |
| 88 |
| 76 |
| 152 |
| 316 |
| 102 |
| 234 |
| 44 |
| 13 |
| 393 |
| 709 |
- Stage 2 |
| 61 |
| 207 |
| 238 |
| 506 |
| 98 |
| 356 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 470 |
| 976 |
- Stage 3 |
| 271 |
| 93 |
| 778 |
| 1,142 |
| 198 |
| 611 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 818 |
| 1,960 |
- Of which: individual |
| 12 |
| — |
| 14 |
| 26 |
| 60 |
| 242 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 306 |
| 332 |
- Of which: collective |
| 259 |
| 93 |
| 764 |
| 1,116 |
| 138 |
| 369 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 512 |
| 1,628 |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 43 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Personal |
| Wholesale |
| Total | ||||||||||||||
| | |
| Credit |
| Other |
| |
| |
| |
| Financial |
| |
| |
| |
| | Mortgages (1) | | cards | | personal | | Total | | Property | | Corporate | | institution | | Sovereign | | Total | | |
31 December 2023 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
ECL provisions coverage (%) |
| 0.20 |
| 6.37 |
| 12.17 |
| 0.88 |
| 1.28 |
| 1.55 |
| 0.12 |
| 0.61 |
| 1.00 |
| 0.93 |
- Stage 1 (%) |
| 0.05 |
| 2.03 |
| 2.18 |
| 0.16 |
| 0.37 |
| 0.37 |
| 0.08 |
| 0.50 |
| 0.26 |
| 0.20 |
- Stage 2 (%) |
| 0.34 |
| 10.24 |
| 14.57 |
| 2.35 |
| 3.00 |
| 2.93 |
| 1.55 |
| 100.00 |
| 2.87 |
| 2.58 |
- Stage 3 (%) |
| 11.88 |
| 66.43 |
| 79.47 |
| 33.59 |
| 31.88 |
| 40.63 |
| 43.75 |
| 9.09 |
| 37.82 |
| 35.23 |
Half year ended 30 June 2023 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
ECL (release)/charge (4) |
| 23 |
| 70 |
| 110 |
| 203 |
| 21 |
| 7 |
| (6) |
| (2) |
| 20 |
| 223 |
- UK |
| 23 |
| 68 |
| 107 |
| 198 |
| 21 |
| 37 |
| (11) |
| (2) |
| 45 |
| 243 |
- RoI |
| — |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 5 |
| (5) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 5 |
- Other Europe |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (5) |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 12 |
| 12 |
- RoW |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (41) |
| 4 |
| — |
| (37) |
| (37) |
Amounts written-off (4) |
| 8 |
| 34 |
| 24 |
| 66 |
| 19 |
| 37 |
| — |
| — |
| 56 |
| 122 |
31 December 2023 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loans by residual maturity | | 208,275 | | 5,904 | | 9,595 | | 223,774 | | 31,207 | | 77,339 | | 57,087 | | 2,633 | | 168,266 | | 392,040 |
- <1 year | | 3,375 | | 3,398 | | 3,169 | | 9,942 | | 5,696 | | 25,312 | | 43,497 | | 489 | | 74,994 | | 84,936 |
- 1-5 year | | 9,508 | | 2,506 | | 5,431 | | 17,445 | | 17,216 | | 32,573 | | 11,616 | | 1,872 | | 63,277 | | 80,722 |
- >5<15 year | | 46,453 | | — | | 993 | | 47,446 | | 5,701 | | 14,167 | | 1,939 | | 199 | | 22,006 | | 69,452 |
- >15 year | | 148,939 | | — | | 2 | | 148,941 | | 2,594 | | 5,287 | | 35 | | 73 | | 7,989 | | 156,930 |
Other financial assets by asset quality (3) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 1 | | 2,689 | | 26,816 | | 123,683 | | 153,189 | | 153,189 |
- AQ1-AQ4 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 1.0 | | 2,689 | | 26,084 | | 123,683 | | 152,457 | | 152,457 |
- AQ5-AQ8 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 732 | | — | | 732 | | 732 |
Off-balance sheet | | 9,843 | | 17,284 | | 8,462 | | 35,589 | | 14,205 | | 59,716 | | 22,221 | | 227 | | 96,369 | | 131,958 |
- Loan commitments | | 9,843 | | 17,284 | | 8,417 | | 35,544 | | 13,861 | | 57,081 | | 20,765 | | 227 | | 91,934 | | 127,478 |
- Financial guarantees | | — | | — | | 45 | | 45 | | 344 | | 2,635 | | 1,456 | | — | | 4,435 | | 4,480 |
Off-balance sheet by asset quality (3) | | 9,843 | | 17,284 | | 8,462 | | 35,589 | | 14,205 | | 59,716 | | 22,221 | | 227 | | 96,369 | | 131,958 |
- AQ1-AQ4 | | 9,099 | | 448 | | 7,271 | | 16,818 | | 10,916 | | 36,380 | | 20,644 | | 165 | | 68,105 | | 84,923 |
- AQ5-AQ8 | | 721 | | 16,518 | | 1,162 | | 18,401 | | 3,266 | | 23,030 | | 1,574 | | 45 | | 27,915 | | 46,316 |
- AQ9 | | 7 | | 6 | | 4 | | 17 | | 3 | | 12 | | — | | — | | 15 | | 32 |
- AQ10 | | 16 | | 312 | | 25 | | 353 | | 20 | | 294 | | 3 | | 17 | | 334 | | 687 |
(1) | Includes a portion of Private Banking lending secured against residential real estate, in line with ECL calculation methodology. Private Banking and RBS International mortgages are reported in the UK, reflecting the country of lending origination and includes crown dependencies. |
(2) | 30 DPD – 30 days past due, the mandatory 30 days past due backstop as prescribed by the IFRS 9 guidance for a SICR (significant increase in credit risk). |
(3) | AQ bandings are based on Basel PDs and mapping is as follows: |
| | | | |||
Internal asset quality band | Probability of default range | Indicative S&P rating |
| Internal asset quality band | Probability of default range | Indicative S&P rating |
AQ1 | 0% - 0.034% | AAA to AA | | AQ6 | 1.076% - 2.153% | BB- to B+ |
AQ2 | 0.034% - 0.048% | AA to AA- | | AQ7 | 2.153% - 6.089% | B+ to B |
AQ3 | 0.048% - 0.095% | A+ to A | | AQ8 | 6.089% - 17.222% | B- to CCC+ |
AQ4 | 0.095% - 0.381% | BBB+ to BBB- | | AQ9 | 17.222% - 100% | CCC to C |
AQ5 | 0.381% - 1.076% | BB+ to BB | | AQ10 | 100% | D |
£0.3 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.3 billion) of AQ10 Personal balances primarily relate to loan commitments, the drawdown of which is effectively prohibited.
(4) | Previously published sectors for the Wholesale portfolio have been re-presented to reflect updated internal sector reporting. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 44 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
The table below shows ECL by stage, for the Personal portfolio and selected sectors of the Wholesale portfolio including those that contain an element of exposure classified as heightened climate-related risk.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI |
| Off-balance sheet |
| ECL provisions | ||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Loan | | Contingent | | | | | | | | |
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | commitments | | liabilities | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Personal |
| 194,611 | | 23,372 | | 3,461 | | 221,444 | | 39,137 | | 42 | | 280 | | 457 | | 1,063 | | 1,800 |
Mortgages (1) |
| 182,672 | | 20,368 | | 2,446 | | 205,486 | | 12,478 | | — | | 49 | | 69 | | 302 | | 420 |
Credit cards |
| 4,431 | | 1,792 | | 158 | | 6,381 | | 18,494 | | — | | 82 | | 189 | | 105 | | 376 |
Other personal |
| 7,508 | | 1,212 | | 857 | | 9,577 | | 8,165 | | 42 | | 149 | | 199 | | 656 | | 1,004 |
Wholesale |
| 151,236 | | 13,916 | | 2,351 | | 167,503 | | 92,416 | | 4,626 | | 305 | | 345 | | 893 | | 1,543 |
Property |
| 28,872 | | 3,018 | | 728 | | 32,618 | | 13,843 | | 316 | | 73 | | 66 | | 232 | | 371 |
Financial institutions (2) |
| 56,103 | | 548 | | 74 | | 56,725 | | 19,909 | | 1,607 | | 39 | | 7 | | 44 | | 90 |
Sovereigns |
| 1,287 | | 263 | | 22 | | 1,572 | | 254 | | — | | 13 | | 2 | | 4 | | 19 |
Corporate |
| 64,974 | | 10,087 | | 1,527 | | 76,588 | | 58,410 | | 2,703 | | 180 | | 270 | | 613 | | 1,063 |
Of which: |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agriculture |
| 3,933 | | 873 | | 122 | | 4,928 | | 947 | | 21 | | 13 | | 29 | | 37 | | 79 |
Airlines and aerospace |
| 2,103 | | 286 | | 4 | | 2,393 | | 2,087 | | 232 | | 3 | | 3 | | 3 | | 9 |
Automotive |
| 7,041 | | 653 | | 55 | | 7,749 | | 4,090 | | 136 | | 14 | | 12 | | 18 | | 44 |
Building materials | | 1,447 | | 257 | | 18 | | 1,722 | | 1,441 | | 64 | | 4 | | 7 | | 7 | | 18 |
Chemicals |
| 362 | | 76 | | 1 | | 439 | | 722 | | 14 | | 1 | | 1 | | 1 | | 3 |
Industrials | | 2,066 | | 405 | | 74 | | 2,545 | | 2,725 | | 140 | | 7 | | 12 | | 29 | | 48 |
Land transport and logistics |
| 4,485 | | 300 | | 85 | | 4,870 | | 3,033 | | 253 | | 8 | | 11 | | 22 | | 41 |
Leisure |
| 4,576 | | 1,866 | | 284 | | 6,726 | | 2,140 | | 116 | | 24 | | 60 | | 98 | | 182 |
Mining and metals | | 296 | | 23 | | 4 | | 323 | | 315 | | 6 | | — | | — | | 4 | | 4 |
Oil and gas |
| 626 | | 26 | | 70 | | 722 | | 1,932 | | 189 | | 2 | | 1 | | 49 | | 52 |
Power utilities | | 5,811 | | 301 | | 79 | | 6,191 | | 7,757 | | 585 | | 12 | | 7 | | 32 | | 51 |
Retail |
| 6,083 | | 1,119 | | 164 | | 7,366 | | 4,522 | | 385 | | 14 | | 25 | | 72 | | 111 |
Shipping | | 205 | | 10 | | 25 | | 240 | | 76 | | 27 | | — | | 1 | | 9 | | 10 |
Water and waste | | 3,513 | | 362 | | 20 | | 3,895 | | 1,813 | | 121 | | 3 | | 3 | | 6 | | 12 |
Total |
| 345,847 | | 37,288 | | 5,812 | | 388,947 | | 131,553 | | 4,668 | | 585 | | 802 | | 1,956 | | 3,343 |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 45 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Sector analysis – portfolio summary
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI |
| Off-balance sheet |
| ECL provisions | ||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Loan | | Contingent | | | | | | | | |
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | commitments | | liabilities | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
31 December 2023 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Personal |
| 198,865 |
| 21,509 |
| 3,400 |
| 223,774 |
| 35,544 |
| 45 |
| 316 |
| 506 |
| 1,142 |
| 1,964 |
Mortgages (1) |
| 188,140 |
| 17,854 |
| 2,281 |
| 208,275 |
| 9,843 |
| — |
| 88 |
| 61 |
| 271 |
| 420 |
Credit cards |
| 3,742 |
| 2,022 |
| 140 |
| 5,904 |
| 17,284 |
| — |
| 76 |
| 207 |
| 93 |
| 376 |
Other personal |
| 6,983 |
| 1,633 |
| 979 |
| 9,595 |
| 8,417 |
| 45 |
| 152 |
| 238 |
| 778 |
| 1,168 |
Wholesale |
| 149,721 |
| 16,382 |
| 2,163 |
| 168,266 |
| 91,934 |
| 4,435 |
| 393 |
| 470 |
| 818 |
| 1,681 |
Property |
| 27,316 |
| 3,270 |
| 621 |
| 31,207 |
| 13,861 |
| 344 |
| 102 |
| 98 |
| 198 |
| 398 |
Financial institutions (2) |
| 56,105 |
| 966 |
| 16 |
| 57,087 |
| 20,765 |
| 1,456 |
| 44 |
| 15 |
| 7 |
| 66 |
Sovereigns |
| 2,610 |
| 1 |
| 22 |
| 2,633 |
| 227 |
| — |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 16 |
Corporate |
| 63,690 |
| 12,145 |
| 1,504 |
| 77,339 |
| 57,081 |
| 2,635 |
| 234 |
| 356 |
| 611 |
| 1,201 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Agriculture |
| 3,851 |
| 1,011 |
| 90 |
| 4,952 |
| 950 |
| 21 |
| 19 |
| 35 |
| 34 |
| 88 |
Airlines and aerospace |
| 1,525 |
| 454 |
| 3 |
| 1,982 |
| 1,788 |
| 178 |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 13 |
Automotive |
| 7,223 |
| 1,008 |
| 76 |
| 8,307 |
| 3,844 |
| 103 |
| 18 |
| 18 |
| 26 |
| 62 |
Building materials | | 1,204 | | 282 | | 72 | | 1,558 | | 1,475 | | 72 | | 6 | | 9 | | 8 | | 23 |
Chemicals |
| 354 |
| 62 |
| 4 |
| 420 |
| 785 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
Industrials | | 2,269 | | 543 | | 70 | | 2,882 | | 2,896 | | 148 | | 10 | | 18 | | 23 | | 51 |
Land transport and logistics |
| 4,231 |
| 578 |
| 61 |
| 4,870 |
| 3,025 |
| 184 |
| 11 |
| 14 |
| 18 |
| 43 |
Leisure |
| 4,394 |
| 2,245 |
| 288 |
| 6,927 |
| 1,887 |
| 145 |
| 31 |
| 74 |
| 91 |
| 196 |
Mining and metals | | 241 | | 32 | | 4 | | 277 | | 545 | | 7 | | — | | — | | 4 | | 4 |
Oil and gas |
| 915 |
| 125 |
| 27 |
| 1,067 |
| 1,959 |
| 237 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 29 |
| 34 |
Power utilities | | 5,604 | | 418 | | 40 | | 6,062 | | 8,257 | | 554 | | 13 | | 13 | | 24 | | 50 |
Retail |
| 5,846 |
| 1,318 |
| 224 |
| 7,388 |
| 4,717 |
| 429 |
| 23 |
| 35 |
| 118 |
| 176 |
Shipping | | 207 | | 35 | | 3 | | 245 | | 71 | | 31 | | — | | 1 | | 2 | | 3 |
Water and waste | | 3,536 | | 173 | | 13 | | 3,722 | | 1,904 | | 84 | | 4 | | 5 | | 4 | | 13 |
Total |
| 348,586 |
| 37,891 |
| 5,563 |
| 392,040 |
| 127,478 |
| 4,480 |
| 709 |
| 976 |
| 1,960 |
| 3,645 |
(1) | As at 30 June 2024, £136.5 billion, 66.4%, of the total residential mortgages portfolio had Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) data available (31 December 2023 – £140.8 billion, 67.6%). Of which, 45.2% were rated as EPC A to C (31 December 2023 – 44.1%). |
(2) | Includes transactions, such as securitisations, where the underlying risk may be in other sectors. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 46 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Wholesale forbearance
The table below shows Wholesale forbearance, Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss by sector. This table shows current exposure but reflects risk transfers where there is a guarantee by another customer.
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Financial | | | | Other | | |
| | Property | | institution | | Sovereign | | corporate | | Total |
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | | £m |
| £m |
Forbearance (flow) |
| 495 |
| 101 |
| — | | 1,876 |
| 2,472 |
Forbearance (stock) |
| 1,081 |
| 122 |
| 20 | | 3,751 |
| 4,974 |
Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss |
| 1,231 |
| 183 |
| — | | 4,299 |
| 5,713 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
|
|
Forbearance (flow) |
| 916 |
| 56 |
| 22 | | 2,568 |
| 3,562 |
Forbearance (stock) |
| 1,071 |
| 70 |
| 22 | | 3,752 |
| 4,915 |
Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss |
| 1,089 |
| 276 |
| — | | 4,119 |
| 5,484 |
- | Loans by geography and sector – In line with NatWest Group’s strategic focus, exposures continued to be mainly in the UK. |
- | Loans by stage – The reduction in Stage 1 mirrored the reduction in balances since Q4 2023, primarily driven by personal mortgages. The reduction in Stage 2 was reflective of portfolio performance and PD modelling updates in Personal unsecured portfolios. The modest increase in Stage 3 balance was mitigated by debt sale activity on Personal unsecured assets. |
- | Loans – Past due analysis – In Personal, there were limited increases in the value of arrears during H1 2024. The increases were in line with expectations, mainly in mortgages given the higher interest rate environment, following portfolio growth in recent years and adjustments to lending criteria following COVID-19. The reduction in arrears in unsecured portfolios was due to Q2 2024 debt sale activity. In Wholesale, past due profile was stable. |
- | Weighted average 12 months PDs – Both IFRS 9 and Basel PDs remained broadly stable in the first half of the year overall. In Personal portfolios, there was a notable reduction in unsecured portfolios due to PD modelling updates. In Wholesale, some reductions were observed in PDs in the corporate and property portfolios due to economic and portfolio improvements. PDs in sovereigns increased significantly due to lending backed by government guarantees. |
- | ECL provisions by stage and ECL provisions coverage – Overall provisions coverage reduced since 31 December 2023. On the performing book, this was mainly a result of positive portfolio performance, reduced economic uncertainty post model adjustments and PD reductions across a number of portfolios. Furthermore, Stage 3 and total book coverage reduced supported by the reduction of balances from debt sale activity on Personal unsecured portfolios. |
- | The ECL charge – The year-to-date impairment charge for 2024 of £48 million primarily reflected impairment releases on Wholesale portfolios driven by the reduction in economic uncertainty post model adjustments alongside positive portfolio performance and reduced PD levels. |
- | Loans by residual maturity – The maturity profile of the portfolios remained consistent with prior periods. In mortgages, as expected, the vast majority of exposures were greater than five years. In unsecured lending, cards and other, exposures were concentrated in less than five years. In Wholesale, more than 80% of the exposures mature in less than five years. |
- | Other financial assets by asset quality – Consisting almost entirely of cash and balances at central banks and debt securities held in the course of treasury related management activities, these assets were mainly within the AQ1-AQ4 bands. |
- | Off-balance sheet exposures by asset quality – In Personal, undrawn exposures were reflective of available credit lines in credit cards and current accounts. Additionally, the mortgage portfolio had undrawn exposures, where a formal offer had been made to a customer but had not yet drawn down; the value increased in line with the pipeline of offers. There was also a legacy portfolio of flexible mortgages where a customer had the right and ability to draw down further funds. The asset quality was aligned to the wider portfolio. In Wholesale, off-balance sheet exposures increased in sovereigns, and in the asset quality band AQ9. In general, asset quality was stable, and in line with the overall portfolio. |
- | Wholesale problem debt – Exposures classified as Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss within the Wholesale Problem Debt Management framework (formerly known as the Aligned Risk of Credit Loss and Viability framework) increased in H1 2024, driven by a small volume of customers. NatWest Group continued to closely monitor this portfolio and no sector themes or concerns were observed during H1 2024. Retail SME customers do not form part of this framework, customers in financial difficulty within this group are managed by specialist problem debt management teams. For these customers inflows slowed in H1 2024, collections were stable and recoveries balances continued to be driven by BBLs. |
- | Wholesale forbearance – Decreased levels of new forbearance were observed in H1 2024 compared to H1 2023, by both value and volume. The CRE sector cluster was the largest beneficiary by value in H1 2024, closely followed by the consumer industries sector cluster. Payment holidays and covenant waivers were the most common forms of forbearance granted. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 47 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Personal portfolio
Disclosures in the Personal portfolio section include drawn exposure (gross of provisions).
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | Central | | | | | | | | | | Central | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items | | | | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | items | | |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total | | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
Personal lending |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Mortgages |
| 190,510 |
| 12,873 |
| 2,169 |
| — |
| 205,552 |
| 192,915 |
| 13,222 |
| 2,200 |
| — |
| 208,337 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Owner occupied |
| 172,220 |
| 11,370 |
| 1,458 |
| — |
| 185,048 |
| 174,167 |
| 11,629 |
| 1,464 |
| — |
| 187,260 |
Buy-to-let |
| 18,290 |
| 1,503 |
| 711 |
| — |
| 20,504 |
| 18,748 |
| 1,593 |
| 736 |
| — |
| 21,077 |
Interest only |
| 22,487 |
| 11,276 |
| 439 |
| — |
| 34,202 |
| 25,805 |
| 11,631 |
| 461 |
| — |
| 37,897 |
Mixed (1) |
| 10,191 |
| 33 |
| 8 |
| — |
| 10,232 |
| 10,068 |
| 25 |
| 10 |
| — |
| 10,103 |
ECL provisions (2) |
| 398 |
| 14 |
| 8 |
| — |
| 420 |
| 397 |
| 12 |
| 6 |
| — |
| 415 |
Other personal lending (3) |
| 14,334 |
| 1,293 |
| 253 |
| — |
| 15,880 |
| 13,758 |
| 1,395 |
| 222 |
| 13 |
| 15,388 |
ECL provisions (2) |
| 1,360 |
| 14 |
| 3 |
| — |
| 1,377 |
| 1,508 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 16 |
| 1,538 |
Total personal lending |
| 204,844 |
| 14,166 |
| 2,422 |
| — |
| 221,432 |
| 206,673 |
| 14,617 |
| 2,422 |
| 13 |
| 223,725 |
Mortgage LTV ratios |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Owner occupied |
| 57% | | 59% | | 55% | | — | | 57% | | 55% | | 59% | | 56% | | — | | 55% |
- Stage 1 |
| 57% | | 59% | | 55% | | — | | 57% | | 55% | | 59% | | 54% | | — | | 55% |
- Stage 2 |
| 57% | | 61% | | 56% | | — | | 57% | | 54% | | 63% | | 54% | | — | | 54% |
- Stage 3 |
| 50% | | 64% | | 76% | | — | | 51% | | 48% | | 61% | | 72% | | — | | 49% |
Buy-to-let |
| 55% | | 59% | | 52% | | — | | 55% | | 52% | | 59% | | 52% | | — | | 53% |
- Stage 1 |
| 55% | | 60% | | 51% | | — | | 55% | | 52% | | 60% | | 52% | | — | | 53% |
- Stage 2 |
| 53% | | 59% | | 53% | | — | | 53% | | 50% | | 57% | | 49% | | — | | 50% |
- Stage 3 |
| 52% | | 53% | | 60% | | — | | 53% | | 50% | | 53% | | 58% | | — | | 51% |
Gross new mortgage lending |
| 11,026 |
| 675 |
| 114 |
| — |
| 11,815 |
| 29,664 |
| 1,400 |
| 180 |
| — |
| 31,244 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Owner occupied |
| 10,655 |
| 607 |
| 86 |
| — |
| 11,348 |
| 27,718 |
| 1,267 |
| 136 |
| — |
| 29,121 |
- LTV > 90% |
| 364 | | — | | — | | — | | 364 | | 1,173 | | — | | — | | — | | 1,173 |
Weighted average LTV (4) |
| 69% |
| 63% |
| 71% |
| — |
| 69% |
| 70% |
| 63% |
| 69% | | — |
| 70% |
Buy-to-let |
| 371 | | 68 | | 28 | | — |
| 467 | | 1,946 | | 133 | | 44 | | — | | 2,123 |
Weighted average LTV (4) |
| 59% |
| 60% |
| 55% |
| — |
| 59% |
| 58% |
| 65% |
| 52% |
| — |
| 58% |
Interest only |
| 633 |
| 613 |
| 15 |
| — |
| 1,261 |
| 2,680 |
| 1,224 |
| 23 |
| — |
| 3,927 |
Mixed (1) |
| 574 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 574 |
| 1,568 |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| 1,570 |
Mortgage forbearance |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Forbearance flow (5) |
| 280 |
| 21 |
| 3 |
| — |
| 304 |
| 569 |
| 22 |
| 9 |
| — |
| 600 |
Forbearance stock |
| 1,584 |
| 34 |
| 14 |
| — |
| 1,632 |
| 1,416 |
| 28 |
| 15 |
| — |
| 1,459 |
Current |
| 1,066 |
| 22 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 1,093 |
| 950 |
| 10 |
| 6 |
| — |
| 966 |
1-3 months in arrears |
| 175 |
| 3 |
| — |
| — |
| 178 |
| 116 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| — |
| 120 |
> 3 months in arrears |
| 343 |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| — |
| 361 |
| 350 |
| 16 |
| 7 |
| — |
| 373 |
(1) | Includes accounts which have an interest only sub-account and a capital and interest sub-account to provide a more comprehensive view of interest only exposures. |
(2) | Retail Banking excludes a non-material amount of lending and provisions held on relatively small legacy portfolios. |
(3) | Comprises unsecured lending except for Private Banking, which includes both secured and unsecured lending. It excludes loans that are commercial in nature. |
(4) | New mortgage lending LTV reflects the LTV at the time of lending. |
(5) | Forbearance flows only include an account once per year, although some accounts may be subject to multiple forbearance deals. Forbearance deals post default are excluded from these flows. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 48 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Personal portfolio
- | Mortgage balances reduced during H1 2024 where higher redemptions were only partly offset by new mortgage lending. Unsecured lending grew overall, driven by growth in credit cards. |
- | Mortgage portfolio LTV increased in H1 2024, as a result of easing of house prices reflected in the Office for National Statistics house price indices. |
- | The proportion of overall interest only mortgage balances decreased in H1 2024. Higher levels of interest only at year end 2023 were driven by the implementation of the Mortgage Charter, however, applications for Mortgage Charter support decreased during H1 2024 and customers have rolled-off from interest only periods. |
- | Portfolios and new business were closely monitored against agreed operating limits. These included loan-to-value ratios, buy-to-let concentrations, new-build concentrations and credit quality. Lending criteria, affordability calculations and assumptions for new lending were adjusted during the year, to maintain credit quality in line with appetite and to ensure customers are assessed fairly as economic conditions change. |
- | The flow of mortgage forbearance was stable in H1 2024 compared to H2 2023. The reported forbearance values included customers who used Mortgage Charter support if indicators of financial stress were already present before Mortgage Charter support was taken. |
- | Other personal lending balances increased in H1 2024 with continued growth in credit card new business. Lending criteria were carefully managed and the credit quality (based on new business PD) of the new business written remained stable. |
- | As noted previously, ECL provisions decreased. For further details on the movements in ECL provisions at product level, refer to the Flow statements section. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 49 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Personal portfolio
Mortgage LTV distribution by stage
The table below shows gross mortgage lending and related ECL by LTV band for the Retail Banking portfolio.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Mortgages |
| ECL provisions |
| ECL provisions coverage |
| ||||||||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
|
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| % | | % | | % | | % | |
≤50% | | 60,006 |
| 7,459 |
| 1,112 |
| 68,577 |
| 12 |
| 17 |
| 136 |
| 165 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.2 |
| 12.2 |
| 0.2 | |
>50% and ≤70% |
| 60,845 |
| 7,727 |
| 856 |
| 69,428 |
| 18 |
| 26 |
| 99 |
| 143 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.3 |
| 11.6 |
| 0.2 | |
>70% and ≤80% |
| 25,290 |
| 2,341 |
| 173 |
| 27,804 |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 21 |
| 39 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.4 |
| 12.1 |
| 0.1 | |
>80% and ≤90% |
| 14,951 |
| 1,613 |
| 86 |
| 16,650 |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 12 |
| 27 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.6 |
| 14.0 |
| 0.2 | |
>90% and ≤100% |
| 6,661 |
| 968 |
| 29 |
| 7,658 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 14 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.6 |
| 17.2 |
| 0.2 | |
>100% |
| 69 |
| 27 |
| 14 |
| 110 |
| — |
| — |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| — |
| — |
| 42.9 |
| 5.5 | |
Total with LTVs | | 167,822 |
| 20,135 |
| 2,270 |
| 190,227 |
| 47 |
| 68 |
| 279 |
| 394 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.3 |
| 12.3 |
| 0.2 | |
Other | | 279 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 283 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0.4 |
| — |
| 33.3 |
| 0.7 | |
Total | | 168,101 |
| 20,136 |
| 2,273 |
| 190,510 |
| 48 |
| 68 |
| 280 |
| 396 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.3 |
| 12.3 |
| 0.2 | |
31 December 2023 | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
≤50% |
| 68,092 |
| 7,447 |
| 1,145 |
| 76,684 |
| 27 |
| 18 |
| 134 |
| 179 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.2 |
| 11.7 |
| 0.2 | |
>50% and ≤70% |
| 65,777 |
| 7,011 |
| 767 |
| 73,555 |
| 35 |
| 26 |
| 85 |
| 146 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.4 |
| 11.1 |
| 0.2 | |
>70% and ≤80% |
| 22,537 |
| 1,633 |
| 113 |
| 24,283 |
| 13 |
| 7 |
| 15 |
| 35 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.4 |
| 13.3 |
| 0.1 | |
>80% and ≤90% |
| 13,583 |
| 1,143 |
| 47 |
| 14,773 |
| 9 |
| 6 |
| 7 |
| 22 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.5 |
| 14.9 |
| 0.1 | |
>90% and ≤100% |
| 3,008 |
| 370 |
| 14 |
| 3,392 |
| 2 |
| 3.0 |
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.8 |
| 21.4 |
| 0.2 | |
>100% |
| 22 |
| 6 |
| 11 |
| 39 |
| — |
| — |
| 5 |
| 5 |
| — |
| — |
| 45.5 |
| 12.8 | |
Total with LTVs | | 173,019 |
| 17,610 |
| 2,097 |
| 192,726 |
| 86 |
| 60 |
| 249 |
| 395 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.3 |
| 11.9 |
| 0.2 | |
Other | | 186 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 189 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0.5 |
| — |
| 50.0 |
| 1.1 | |
Total | | 173,205 |
| 17,611 |
| 2,099 |
| 192,915 |
| 87 |
| 60 |
| 250 |
| 397 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.3 |
| 11.9 |
| 0.2 | |
Retail Banking fixed rate mortgages by roll-off date
The table below shows gross fixed rate mortgage lending for Retail Banking, by roll-off date.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| 30 June 2024 |
| 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
Retail Banking mortgages - gross exposure | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Fixed rate roll-off | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=1 year |
| 30,357 |
| 3,882 |
| 306 |
| 34,545 |
| 30,867 |
| 3,670 |
| 295 |
| 34,832 |
>1<=2 years |
| 43,204 |
| 4,766 |
| 359 |
| 48,329 |
| 39,013 |
| 3,513 |
| 290 |
| 42,816 |
>2 years |
| 81,501 |
| 8,640 |
| 688 |
| 90,829 |
| 87,402 |
| 7,461 |
| 590 |
| 95,453 |
Total |
| 155,062 |
| 17,288 |
| 1,353 |
| 173,703 |
| 157,282 |
| 14,644 |
| 1,175 |
| 173,101 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 50 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Commercial real estate (CRE)
CRE LTV distribution by stage
The table below shows CRE current exposure and related ECL by LTV band.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Gross loans |
| ECL provisions |
| ECL provisions coverage | ||||||||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| % | | % | | % | | % |
≤50% |
| 7,899 |
| 275 |
| 45 |
| 8,219 |
| 25 |
| 7 |
| 8 |
| 40 |
| 0.3 |
| 2.5 |
| 17.8 |
| 0.5 |
>50% and ≤70% |
| 3,692 |
| 496 |
| 120 |
| 4,308 |
| 18 |
| 15 |
| 24 |
| 57 |
| 0.5 |
| 3.0 |
| 20.0 |
| 1.3 |
>70% and ≤100% |
| 319 |
| 45 |
| 87 |
| 451 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 26 |
| 30 |
| 0.6 |
| 4.4 |
| 29.9 |
| 6.7 |
>100% |
| 205 |
| 3 |
| 65 |
| 273 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 38 |
| 39 |
| 0.5 |
| — |
| 58.5 |
| 14.3 |
Total with LTVs |
| 12,115 |
| 819 |
| 317 |
| 13,251 |
| 46 |
| 24 |
| 96 |
| 166 |
| 0.4 |
| 2.9 |
| 30.3 |
| 1.3 |
Total portfolio |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
average LTV |
| 46% |
| 52% |
| 98% |
| 48% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other (1) |
| 2,205 |
| 295 |
| 39 |
| 2,539 |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 16 |
| 27 |
| 0.2 |
| 2.0 |
| 41.0 |
| 1.1 |
Investment | | 14,320 | | 1,114 | | 356 | | 15,790 | | 51 | | 30 | | 112 | | 193 | | 0.4 | | 2.7 | | 31.5 | | 1.2 |
Development (2) |
| 1,825 |
| 201 |
| 50 |
| 2,076 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 25 |
| 35 |
| 0.4 |
| 1.0 |
| 50.0 |
| 1.7 |
Total |
| 16,145 |
| 1,315 |
| 406 |
| 17,866 |
| 59 |
| 32 |
| 137 |
| 228 |
| 0.4 |
| 2.4 |
| 33.7 |
| 1.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≤50% |
| 7,173 |
| 664 |
| 61 |
| 7,898 |
| 38 |
| 15 |
| 9 |
| 62 |
| 0.5 |
| 2.3 |
| 14.8 |
| 0.8 |
>50% and ≤70% |
| 3,165 |
| 619 |
| 94 |
| 3,878 |
| 22 |
| 21 |
| 18 |
| 61 |
| 0.7 |
| 3.4 |
| 19.1 |
| 1.6 |
>70% and ≤100% |
| 319 |
| 112 |
| 84 |
| 515 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 21 |
| 30 |
| 0.9 |
| 5.4 |
| 25.0 |
| 5.8 |
>100% |
| 241 |
| 6 |
| 26 |
| 273 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 16 |
| 18 |
| 0.4 |
| 16.7 |
| 61.5 |
| 6.6 |
Total with LTVs |
| 10,898 |
| 1,401 |
| 265 |
| 12,564 |
| 64 |
| 43 |
| 64 |
| 171 |
| 0.6 |
| 3.1 |
| 24.2 |
| 1.4 |
Total portfolio |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
average LTV |
| 47% | | 51% | | 72% |
| 48% | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Other (1) |
| 2,189 |
| 390 |
| 45 |
| 2,624 |
| 10 |
| 7 |
| 19 |
| 36 |
| 0.5 |
| 1.8 |
| 42.2 |
| 1.4 |
Investment | | 13,087 | | 1,791 | | 310 | | 15,188 | | 74 | | 50 | | 83 | | 207 | | 0.6 | | 2.8 | | 26.8 | | 1.4 |
Development (2) |
| 1,717 |
| 147 |
| 49 |
| 1,913 |
| 12 |
| 5 |
| 25 |
| 42 |
| 0.7 |
| 3.4 |
| 51.0 |
| 2.2 |
Total |
| 14,804 |
| 1,938 |
| 359 |
| 17,101 |
| 86 |
| 55 |
| 108 |
| 249 |
| 0.6 |
| 2.8 |
| 30.1 |
| 1.5 |
(1) | Relates mainly to business banking and unsecured corporate lending. |
(2) | Relates to the development of commercial and residential properties. LTV is not a meaningful measure for this type of lending activity. |
- | Overall – The majority of the CRE portfolio was located and managed in the UK. Business appetite and strategy was aligned across NatWest Group. |
- | 2024 trends – In H1 2024, conditions enabled growth, particularly in Q1 2024, as investors/customers gained more confidence in the economic outlook. Key growth was in the favoured sectors of residential and industrial. The office sector remains challenging. NatWest Group remains comfortable with exposures held in this sub-sector but continues to subject them to detailed scrutiny. |
- | Credit quality – Credit quality remained stable with very limited instances of specific cases deteriorating. |
- | Risk appetite – Lending appetite is subject to regular review. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 51 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
The flow statements that follow show the main ECL and related income statement movements. They also show the changes in ECL as well as the changes in related financial assets used in determining ECL. Due to differences in scope, exposures may differ from those reported in other tables, principally in relation to exposures in Stage 1 and Stage 2. These differences do not have a material ECL effect. Other points to note:
- | Financial assets include treasury liquidity portfolios, comprising balances at central banks and debt securities, as well as loans. Both modelled and non-modelled portfolios are included. |
- | Stage transfers (for example, exposures moving from Stage 1 into Stage 2) are a key feature of the ECL movements, with the net re-measurement cost of transitioning to a worse stage being a primary driver of income statement charges. Similarly, there is an ECL benefit for accounts improving stage. |
- | Changes in risk parameters shows the reassessment of the ECL within a given stage, including any ECL overlays and residual income statement gains or losses at the point of write-off or accounting write-down. |
- | Other (P&L only items) includes any subsequent changes in the value of written-down assets (for example, fortuitous recoveries) along with other direct write-off items such as direct recovery costs. Other (P&L only items) affects the income statement but does not affect balance sheet ECL movements. |
- | Amounts written-off represent the gross asset written-down against accounts with ECL, including the net asset write-down for any debt sale activity. |
- | There were some flows from Stage 1 into Stage 3 including transfers due to unexpected default events with a post model adjustment in place for Commercial & Institutional to account for this risk. |
- | The effect of any change in post model adjustments during the year is typically reported under changes in risk parameters, as are any effects arising from changes to the underlying models. Refer to the section on Governance and post model adjustments for further details. |
- | All movements are captured monthly and aggregated. Interest suspended post default is included within Stage 3 ECL, with the movement in the value of suspended interest during the year reported under currency translation and other adjustments. |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
NatWest Group total |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 504,345 |
| 709 |
| 40,294 |
| 976 |
| 5,621 |
| 1,960 |
| 550,260 |
| 3,645 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| (907) |
| — |
| (29) |
| — |
| 73 |
| 93 |
| (863) |
| 93 |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (20,089) |
| (104) |
| 20,089 |
| 104 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 15,305 |
| 341 |
| (15,305) |
| (341) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (126) |
| (2) |
| (1,643) |
| (145) |
| 1,769 |
| 147 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 175 |
| 9 |
| 277 |
| 18 |
| (452) |
| (27) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (242) |
| |
| 328 |
| — |
| 157 |
| |
| 243 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (195) |
| |
| (46) |
| — |
| 165 |
| |
| (76) |
Other changes in net exposure |
| (396) |
| 74 |
| (5,024) |
| (89) |
| (918) |
| (85) |
| (6,338) |
| (100) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| (1) |
| |
| (3) |
| — |
| (15) |
| |
| (19) |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (364) |
| |
| 190 |
| |
| 222 |
| |
| 48 |
Transfers to disposal groups and fair value |
| (296) |
| (5) |
| (8) |
| (3) |
| (13) |
| (10) |
| (317) |
| (18) |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (369) |
| (369) |
| (369) |
| (369) |
Unwinding of discount |
| — |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (75) |
| |
| (75) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 498,011 |
| 585 |
| 38,651 |
| 802 |
| 5,711 |
| 1,956 |
| 542,373 |
| 3,343 |
Net carrying amount |
| 497,426 |
| |
| 37,849 |
| |
| 3,755 |
| |
| 539,030 |
| |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 507,539 |
| 632 |
| 48,482 |
| 1,043 |
| 5,231 |
| 1,759 |
| 561,252 |
| 3,434 |
2023 movements |
| (26,623) |
| 29 |
| (3,867) |
| (52) |
| 314 |
| 146 |
| (30,176) |
| 123 |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 480,916 |
| 661 |
| 44,615 |
| 991 |
| 5,545 |
| 1,905 |
| 531,076 |
| 3,557 |
Net carrying amount |
| 480,255 |
| |
| 43,624 |
| |
| 3,640 |
| |
| 527,519 |
| |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 52 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Retail Banking - mortgages | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 174,038 |
| 87 |
| 17,827 |
| 60 |
| 2,068 |
| 250 |
| 193,933 |
| 397 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| (1) |
| 53 |
| 53 |
| 53 |
| 53 |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (9,955) |
| (12) |
| 9,955 |
| 12 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 5,702 |
| 12 |
| (5,702) |
| (12) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (33) |
| — |
| (531) |
| (4) |
| 564 |
| 4 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 16 |
| — |
| 155 |
| 4 |
| (171) |
| (4) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (7) |
| |
| 14 |
| |
| 3 |
| |
| 10 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (28) |
| |
| (1) |
| |
| 48 |
| |
| 19 |
Other changes in net exposure |
| (2,775) |
| (4) |
| (1,387) |
| (4) |
| (265) |
| (35) |
| (4,427) |
| (43) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| (1) |
| |
| — |
| |
| (2) |
| |
| (3) |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (40) |
| |
| 9 |
| |
| 14 |
| |
| (17) |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (8) |
| (8) |
| (8) |
| (8) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (31) |
| |
| (31) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 166,993 |
| 49 |
| 20,317 |
| 68 |
| 2,241 |
| 280 |
| 189,551 |
| 397 |
Net carrying amount |
| 166,944 |
| |
| 20,249 |
| |
| 1,961 |
| |
| 189,154 |
| |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 165,264 |
| 79 |
| 18,831 |
| 61 |
| 1,762 |
| 215 |
| 185,857 |
| 355 |
2023 movements |
| 4,527 |
| 12 |
| 834 |
| 3 |
| 85 |
| 19 |
| 5,446 |
| 34 |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 169,791 |
| 91 |
| 19,665 |
| 64 |
| 1,847 |
| 234 |
| 191,303 |
| 389 |
Net carrying amount |
| 169,700 |
| |
| 19,601 |
| |
| 1,613 |
| |
| 190,914 |
| |
- | ECL levels for mortgages remained stable overall during H1 2024, with growth in Stage 3 ECL offset by a reduction in good book ECL, primarily driven by the reduction in economic uncertainty post model adjustment levels. |
- | As well as a net reduction in book size, aligned to trends in the UK mortgage market, the decrease in Stage 1 ECL was also driven by the cost of living post model adjustment reduction, which proportionately allocated more ECL to Stage 1 given the forward-looking nature of the affordability threat. Refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section for further details. |
- | The Stage 3 inflows remained broadly stable, with signs of improvement in default rates in recent months. Default rates had been increasing during 2023 reflecting slightly poorer arrears performance on mortgages recently rolled-off onto higher product rates. The increase in Stage 3 ECL primarily reflected increases in ECL for post-default interest alongside lower levels of write-offs. |
- | There were net flows into Stage 2 from Stage 1 with an upward trend in early arrears coupled with the collective migration into Stage 2 of higher risk customers utilising new Mortgage Charter treatments (approximately £0.9 billion exposure). |
- | The relatively small ECL cost for net re-measurement on stage transfer included the effect of risk targeted ECL adjustments, when previously in the good book. Refer to the Governance and post model adjustments section for further details. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 53 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Retail Banking - credit cards | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 3,475 |
| 70 |
| 2,046 |
| 204 |
| 146 |
| 89 |
| 5,667 |
| 363 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (814) |
| (16) |
| 814 |
| 16 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 746 |
| 52 |
| (746) |
| (52) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (11) |
| — |
| (77) |
| (29) |
| 88 |
| 29 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| (5) |
| (2) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer | | |
| (31) | | | | 74 |
| |
| 21 |
| |
| 64 |
Changes in risk parameters | | |
| 1 | | |
| 3 |
| |
| 9 | | |
| 13 |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 726 |
| 5 |
| (219) |
| (30) |
| (24) |
| (1) |
| 483 |
| (26) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| 1 |
| |
| — |
| |
| 1 |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (25) |
| |
| 48 |
| |
| 29 |
| |
| 52 |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (38) |
| (38) |
| (38) |
| (38) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (4) |
| |
| (4) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 4,123 |
| 81 |
| 1,822 |
| 188 |
| 169 |
| 105 |
| 6,114 |
| 374 |
Net carrying amount |
| 4,042 |
| |
| 1,634 |
| |
| 64 |
| |
| 5,740 |
| |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 3,062 |
| 61 |
| 1,098 |
| 120 |
| 113 |
| 71 |
| 4,273 |
| 252 |
2023 movements |
| 118 |
| (2) |
| 422 |
| 25 |
| 13 |
| 12 |
| 553 |
| 35 |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 3,180 |
| 59 |
| 1,520 |
| 145 |
| 126 |
| 83 |
| 4,826 |
| 287 |
Net carrying amount |
| 3,121 | | |
| 1,375 |
| |
| 43 |
| |
| 4,539 |
| |
- | Overall ECL for cards remained broadly in-line with the 2023 year-end, with portfolio growth mitigated by stable portfolio performance and PD trends. |
- | While portfolio performance remained stable, a net flow into Stage 2 from Stage 1 was observed in Q1 2024 with the typical maturation of lending after a period of strong growth in recent years albeit Stage 2 reduced during the second quarter as PDs reduced after PD modelling updates. |
- | Credit card balances continued to grow during 2024, reflecting continued customer demand whilst remaining within risk appetite. |
- | Flow rates into Stage 3 reduced in H1 2024, in line with broader portfolio performance. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 54 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Retail Banking - other personal unsecured | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 5,240 |
| 149 |
| 1,657 |
| 238 |
| 963 |
| 758 |
| 7,860 |
| 1,145 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 9 |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (854) |
| (40) |
| 854 |
| 40 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 953 |
| 137 |
| (953) |
| (137) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (37) |
| (1) |
| (157) |
| (68) |
| 194 |
| 69 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 12 |
| 5 |
| (16) |
| (6) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (99) |
| |
| 133 |
| |
| 13 |
| |
| 47 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (42) |
| |
| 7 |
| |
| 63 |
| |
| 28 |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 411 |
| 40 |
| (188) |
| (19) |
| (80) |
| (22) |
| 143 |
| (1) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| (1) |
| |
| 14 |
| |
| 13 |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (101) |
| |
| 120 |
| |
| 68 |
| |
| 87 |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (224) |
| (224) |
| (224) |
| (224) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (18) |
| |
| (18) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 5,717 |
| 145 |
| 1,225 |
| 200 |
| 845 |
| 641 |
| 7,787 |
| 986 |
Net carrying amount |
| 5,572 |
| |
| 1,025 |
| |
| 204 |
| |
| 6,801 |
| |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 4,784 |
| 111 |
| 2,028 |
| 269 |
| 779 |
| 631 |
| 7,591 |
| 1,011 |
2023 movements |
| 292 |
| 21 |
| (147) |
| (39) |
| 111 |
| 90 |
| 256 |
| 72 |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 5,076 |
| 132 |
| 1,881 |
| 230 |
| 890 |
| 721 |
| 7,847 |
| 1,083 |
Net carrying amount |
| 4,944 |
| |
| 1,651 |
| |
| 169 |
| |
| 6,764 |
| |
- | Total ECL decreased, mainly in Stage 3 due to the reduction of balances from debt sale activity on Personal unsecured portfolios of £0.2 billion. |
- | Stable portfolio performance and updates to PD modelling resulted in a net migration from Stage 2 into Stage 1 with performing book ECL and coverage levels showing a modest reduction since the 2023 year-end, supported by an improved economic outlook. |
- | Flow rates into Stage 3 reduced in H1 2024, in line with broader portfolio performance. |
- | Unsecured retail performing balances grew steadily during H1 2024, largely in line with industry trends. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 55 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Commercial & Institutional total | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 176,302 |
| 356 |
| 17,029 |
| 447 |
| 2,161 |
| 819 |
| 195,492 |
| 1,622 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| (436) |
| (1) |
| (29) |
| 1 |
| 12 |
| 27 |
| (453) |
| 27 |
Inter-group transfers |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (7,758) |
| (35) |
| 7,758 |
| 35 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 6,940 |
| 130 |
| (6,940) |
| (130) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (34) |
| — |
| (761) |
| (44) |
| 795 |
| 44 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 125 |
| 7 |
| 93 |
| 8 |
| (218) |
| (15) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (98) |
| |
| 102 |
| |
| 121 |
| |
| 125 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (114) |
| |
| (49) |
| |
| 42 |
| |
| (121) |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 4,452 |
| 30 |
| (3,109) |
| (36) |
| (493) |
| (28) |
| 850 |
| (34) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| (3) |
| |
| (24) |
| |
| (27) |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (182) |
| |
| 14 |
| |
| 111 |
| |
| (57) |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (99) |
| (99) |
| (99) |
| (99) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (19) |
| |
| (19) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 179,591 |
| 275 |
| 14,041 |
| 334 |
| 2,158 |
| 892 |
| 195,790 |
| 1,501 |
Net carrying amount |
| 179,316 |
| |
| 13,707 |
| |
| 1,266 |
| |
| 194,289 |
| |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 160,352 |
| 342 |
| 24,711 |
| 534 |
| 2,198 |
| 747 |
| 187,261 |
| 1,623 |
2023 movements |
| 1,819 |
| (9) |
| (4,368) |
| (27) |
| 75 |
| 18 |
| (2,474) |
| (18) |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 162,171 |
| 333 |
| 20,343 |
| 507 |
| 2,273 |
| 765 |
| 184,787 |
| 1,605 |
Net carrying amount |
| 161,838 |
| |
| 19,836 |
| |
| 1,508 |
| |
| 183,182 |
| |
- | ECL levels decreased during H1 2024 with significant reductions in Stage 1 and Stage 2 partially offset by increases in Stage 3. Improved economic variables and risk metrics reduced Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL, with lower PDs contributing to reductions in modelled ECL and post model adjustments. |
- | A reduction in post model adjustments led to a £97 million reduction across Stage 1 and Stage 2. |
- | Stage 3 ECL and exposure increased, mainly due to transfers into Stage 3 and the re-measurement of ECL at the point of transfer. This was partially offset by write-offs. |
- | Exposure levels in Stage 1 and 2 remained broadly consistent with new exposures captured in Stage 1 offset by repayments in Stage 2. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 56 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Commercial & Institutional- corporate | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 61,402 |
| 226 |
| 12,275 |
| 344 |
| 1,454 |
| 602 |
| 75,131 |
| 1,172 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| (88) |
| (1) |
| (21) |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 22 |
| (98) |
| 22 |
Inter-group transfers | | 86 | | — | | 35 | | 2 | | 2 | | 1 | | 123 | | 3 |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (5,045) |
| (26) |
| 5,045 |
| 26 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 4,772 |
| 98 |
| (4,772) |
| (98) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (30) |
| — |
| (530) |
| (30) |
| 560 |
| 30 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 100 |
| 5 |
| 66 |
| 6 |
| (166) |
| (11) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (75) |
| |
| 76 |
| |
| 60 |
| |
| 61 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (67) |
| |
| (39) |
| |
| 28 |
| |
| (78) |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 2,119 |
| 14 |
| (2,003) |
| (25) |
| (313) |
| (20) |
| (197) |
| (31) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| (4) |
| |
| (21) |
| |
| (25) |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (128) |
| |
| 8 |
| |
| 47 |
| |
| (73) |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (88) |
| (88) |
| (88) |
| (88) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (13) |
| |
| (13) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 63,316 |
| 174 |
| 10,095 |
| 263 |
| 1,460 |
| 611 |
| 74,871 |
| 1,048 |
Net carrying amount |
| 63,142 |
| |
| 9,832 |
| |
| 849 |
| |
| 73,823 |
| |
- | ECL levels decreased during H1 2024 with significant reductions in Stage 1 and Stage 2. Improved economic variables and risk metrics reduced Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL, with lower PDs contributing to reductions in modelled ECL and post model adjustments. |
- | Stage 3 exposure increased due to transfers into Stage 3, partially offset by repayments and write-offs. Stage 3 ECL marginally increased with the impact from transfers and the re-measurement of ECL at the point of transfer, largely offset by write-offs. |
- | Exposure levels in the performing portfolio, Stage 1 and Stage 2, remained broadly consistent with new exposures captured in Stage 1 offset by repayments in Stage 2. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 57 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
|
| assets |
| ECL |
| assets |
| ECL |
| assets |
| ECL |
| assets |
| ECL |
Commercial & Institutional - property | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 26,040 |
| 94 |
| 3,155 |
| 89 |
| 606 |
| 195 |
| 29,801 |
| 378 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| (5) |
| — |
| (2) |
| (1) |
| — |
| 7 |
| (7) |
| 6 |
Inter-group transfers |
| (30) |
| — |
| (23) |
| (2) |
| (2) |
| — |
| (55) |
| (2) |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (1,869) |
| (7) |
| 1,869 |
| 7 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 1,622 |
| 27 |
| (1,622) |
| (27) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| (4) |
| — |
| (160) |
| (9) |
| 164 |
| 9 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 21 |
| 2 |
| 24 |
| 2 |
| (45) |
| (4) |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (19) |
| |
| 22 |
| |
| 30 |
| |
| 33 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (38) |
| |
| (12) |
| |
| 11 |
| |
| (39) |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 751 |
| 9 |
| (266) |
| (7) |
| (150) |
| (6) |
| 335 |
| (4) |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (48) |
| |
| 3 |
| |
| 35 |
| |
| (10) |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (10) |
| (10) |
| (10) |
| (10) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| | | — |
| |
| (5) |
| |
| (5) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 26,526 |
| 68 |
| 2,975 |
| 62 |
| 563 |
| 227 |
| 30,064 |
| 357 |
Net carrying amount |
| 26,458 |
| |
| 2,913 |
| |
| 336 |
| |
| 29,707 |
| |
- | There was a small reduction in ECL during H1 2024 with decreases in Stage 1 and Stage 2 partially offset by increases in Stage 3. |
- | Improved economic variables and risk metrics reduced Stage 1 and Stage 2 ECL, with lower PDs contributing to reductions in modelled ECL and post model adjustments. |
- | Stage 3 exposure reduced with the primary driver being repayments on the collective portfolio. The increase in Stage 3 ECL was largely attributable to one commercial real estate customer. |
- | Exposure levels in the performing portfolio, Stage 1 and Stage 2, increased with new exposures captured in Stage 1 more than offsetting repayments in Stage 2. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 58 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Flow statements
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total | ||||||||
| | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | | | Financial | | |
| | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL | | assets | | ECL |
Commercial & Institutional - other |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 88,860 |
| 36 |
| 1,599 |
| 14 |
| 101 |
| 22 |
| 90,560 |
| 72 |
Currency translation and other adjustments |
| (344) |
| — |
| (5) |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| (1) |
| (348) |
| — |
Inter-group transfers |
| (56) |
| — |
| (12) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (68) |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2 |
| (844) |
| (2) |
| 844 |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1 |
| 547 |
| 5 |
| (547) |
| (5) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Transfers to Stage 3 |
| — |
| — |
| (71) |
| (6) |
| 71 |
| 6 |
| — |
| — |
Transfers from Stage 3 |
| 4 |
| — |
| 3 |
| — |
| (7) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Net re-measurement of ECL on stage transfer |
| |
| (3) |
| |
| 4 | | | | 30 | | | | 31 |
Changes in risk parameters |
| |
| (8) |
| |
| 2 | | | | 2 | | | | (4) |
Other changes in net exposure |
| 1,582 |
| 5 |
| (840) |
| (3) |
| (30) |
| (1) |
| 712 |
| 1 |
Other (P&L only items) |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (2) |
| |
| (2) |
Income statement (releases)/charges |
| |
| (6) |
| |
| 3 |
| |
| 29 |
| |
| 26 |
Amounts written-off |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (1) |
| (1) |
| (1) |
| (1) |
Unwinding of discount |
| |
| — |
| |
| — |
| |
| (1) |
| |
| (1) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 89,749 |
| 33 |
| 971 |
| 9 |
| 135 |
| 54 |
| 90,855 |
| 96 |
Net carrying amount |
| 89,716 |
| |
| 962 |
| |
| 81 |
| |
| 90,759 |
| |
- | ECL levels increased during H1 2024 with a rise in Stage 3 only partially offset by reductions in Stage 1 and Stage 2. |
- | Stage 3 exposure and ECL increased mainly related to an increase in ECL on newly defaulted individually assessed customers. These defaults also contributed to a reduction in Stage 2 as the ECL was transferred to Stage 3 at the point of default. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 59 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Stage 2 decomposition by a significant increase in credit risk trigger
The tables that follow show decomposition for the Personal and Wholesale portfolios.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| UK mortgages |
| Credit cards |
| Other |
| Total | ||||||||
30 June 2024 | | £m | | % | | £m | | % | | £m | | % | | £m | | % |
Personal trigger (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PD movement |
| 13,825 |
| 67.8 |
| 1,303 |
| 72.6 |
| 623 |
| 51.3 |
| 15,751 |
| 67.5 |
PD persistence |
| 3,964 |
| 19.5 |
| 406 |
| 22.7 |
| 230 |
| 19.0 |
| 4,600 |
| 19.7 |
Adverse credit bureau recorded with credit reference agency |
| 969 |
| 4.8 |
| 64 |
| 3.6 |
| 121 |
| 10.0 |
| 1,154 |
| 4.9 |
Forbearance support provided |
| 162 |
| 0.8 |
| 1 |
| 0.1 |
| 11 |
| 0.9 |
| 174 |
| 0.7 |
Customers in collections |
| 173 |
| 0.8 |
| 2 |
| 0.1 |
| 14 |
| 1.2 |
| 189 |
| 0.8 |
Collective SICR and other reasons (2) |
| 1,141 |
| 5.6 |
| 16 |
| 0.9 |
| 200 |
| 16.5 |
| 1,357 |
| 5.8 |
Days past due >30 |
| 134 |
| 0.7 |
| — |
| — |
| 13 |
| 1.1 |
| 147 |
| 0.6 |
|
| 20,368 |
| 100.0 |
| 1,792 |
| 100.0 |
| 1,212 |
| 100.0 |
| 23,372 |
| 100.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Personal trigger (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PD movement |
| 12,969 |
| 72.5 |
| 1,469 |
| 72.7 |
| 866 |
| 52.9 |
| 15,304 |
| 71.1 |
PD persistence |
| 2,317 |
| 13.0 |
| 481 |
| 23.8 |
| 374 |
| 22.9 |
| 3,172 |
| 14.7 |
Adverse credit bureau recorded with credit reference agency |
| 1,047 |
| 5.9 |
| 49 |
| 2.4 |
| 99 |
| 6.1 |
| 1,195 |
| 5.6 |
Forbearance support provided |
| 137 |
| 0.8 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 11 |
| 0.7 |
| 149 |
| 0.7 |
Customers in collections |
| 178 |
| 1.0 |
| 2 |
| 0.1 |
| 8 |
| 0.5 |
| 188 |
| 0.9 |
Collective SICR and other reasons (2) |
| 1,087 |
| 6.1 |
| 20 |
| 1.0 |
| 266 |
| 16.3 |
| 1,373 |
| 6.4 |
Days past due >30 |
| 119 |
| 0.7 |
| — |
| — |
| 9 |
| 0.6 |
| 128 |
| 0.6 |
|
| 17,854 |
| 100.0 |
| 2,022 |
| 100.0 |
| 1,633 |
| 100.0 |
| 21,509 |
| 100.0 |
For the notes to the table refer to the following page.
- | The level of PD driven deterioration increased in the first half of 2024, mainly in the mortgage portfolio, reflecting some increases in the early arrears level and PD modelling updates. The modelling updates on unsecured portfolios at Q1 2024 resulted in a reduction in lifetime PDs. This drove a segment of lower risk cases out of PD deterioration at Q1 2024, with many now exited from Stage 2 after the PD persistence period of three months. |
- | Higher risk mortgage customers who utilised the new Mortgage Charter measures continue to be collectively migrated into Stage 2, approximately £0.9 billion of exposures, and were captured in the collective SICR and other reasons category. |
- | Accounts that were less than 30 days past due continued to represent the vast majority of the Stage 2 population. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 60 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Stage 2 decomposition by a significant increase in credit risk trigger
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Property |
| Corporate |
| Financial institutions |
| Sovereign |
| Total | ||||||||||
30 June 2024 |
| £m | | % | | £m | | % | | £m | | % | | £m | | % | | £m | | % |
Wholesale trigger (1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
PD movement |
| 1,742 |
| 57.6 |
| 6,664 |
| 66.1 |
| 422 |
| 77.0 |
| — |
| — |
| 8,828 |
| 63.5 |
PD persistence |
| 68 |
| 2.3 |
| 248 |
| 2.5 |
| 3 |
| 0.5 |
| — |
| — |
| 319 |
| 2.3 |
Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss |
| 1,008 |
| 33.4 |
| 2,116 |
| 21.0 |
| 109 |
| 19.9 |
| 262 |
| 99.6 |
| 3,495 |
| 25.1 |
Forbearance support provided |
| 45 |
| 1.5 |
| 386 |
| 3.8 |
| 6 |
| 1.1 |
| — |
| — |
| 437 |
| 3.1 |
Customers in collections |
| 8 |
| 0.3 |
| 25 |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 33 |
| 0.2 |
Collective SICR and other reasons (2) |
| 112 |
| 3.7 |
| 522 |
| 5.2 |
| 7 |
| 1.3 |
| 1 |
| 0.4 |
| 642 |
| 4.6 |
Days past due >30 |
| 35 |
| 1.2 |
| 126 |
| 1.2 |
| 1 |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| — |
| 162 |
| 1.2 |
|
| 3,018 |
| 100.0 |
| 10,087 |
| 100.0 |
| 548 |
| 100.0 |
| 263 |
| 100.0 |
| 13,916 |
| 100.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wholesale trigger (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PD movement |
| 2,211 |
| 67.6 | | 7,611 |
| 62.5 | | 760 |
| 78.7 | | — |
| — | | 10,582 |
| 64.6 |
PD persistence |
| 223 |
| 6.8 | | 847 |
| 7.0 | | 13 |
| 1.3 | | — |
| — | | 1,083 |
| 6.6 |
Heightened Monitoring and Risk of Credit Loss |
| 563 |
| 17.2 | | 2,630 |
| 21.7 | | 120 |
| 12.4 | | — |
| — | | 3,313 |
| 20.2 |
Forbearance support provided |
| 49 |
| 1.6 | | 373 |
| 3.1 | | — |
| — | | — |
| — | | 422 |
| 2.6 |
Customers in collections |
| 7 |
| 0.2 | | 23 |
| 0.2 | | — |
| — | | — |
| — | | 30 |
| 0.2 |
Collective SICR and other reasons (2) |
| 70 |
| 2.1 | | 457 |
| 3.8 | | 72 |
| 7.5 | | 1 |
| 100.0 | | 600 |
| 3.7 |
Days past due >30 |
| 147 |
| 4.5 | | 204 |
| 1.7 | | 1 |
| 0.1 | | — |
| — | | 352 |
| 2.1 |
|
| 3,270 |
| 100.0 | | 12,145 |
| 100.0 | | 966 |
| 100.0 | | 1 |
| 100.0 | | 16,382 |
| 100.0 |
(1) | The table is prepared on a hierarchical basis from top to bottom, for example, accounts with PD deterioration may also trigger backstop(s) but are only reported under PD deterioration. |
(2) | Includes cases where a PD assessment cannot be made and accounts where the PD has deteriorated beyond a prescribed backstop threshold aligned to risk management practices. |
- | PD deterioration continued to be the primary trigger of migration of exposures from Stage 1 into Stage 2. As the economic outlook improved, there was a reduction in cases triggering Stage 2. |
- | Moving exposures to Heightened Monitoring or Risk of Credit Loss remains an important backstop indicator of a significant increase in credit risk. The exposures classified under this Stage 2 trigger increased over the year, mainly in property, where improved PDs meant less exposures were captured under the PD deterioration Stage 2 trigger. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 61 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Asset quality
The table below shows asset quality bands of gross loans and ECL, by stage, for the Personal portfolio.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Gross loans |
| ECL provisions |
| ECL provisions coverage | ||||||||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
30 June 2024 | | £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| % |
| % |
| % |
| % |
UK mortgages | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 100,746 |
| 8,061 |
| — |
| 108,807 |
| 20 |
| 20 |
| — |
| 40 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| 0.0 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 81,760 |
| 11,399 |
| — |
| 93,159 |
| 29 |
| 43 |
| — |
| 72 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.4 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
AQ9 |
| 166 |
| 908 |
| — |
| 1,074 |
| — |
| 6 |
| — |
| 6 |
| — |
| 0.7 |
| — |
| 0.6 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 2,446 |
| 2,446 |
| — |
| — |
| 302 |
| 302 |
| — |
| — |
| 12.4 |
| 12.4 |
|
| 182,672 |
| 20,368 |
| 2,446 |
| 205,486 |
| 49 |
| 69 |
| 302 |
| 420 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.3 |
| 12.4 |
| 0.2 |
Credit cards |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 126 |
| — |
| — |
| 126 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 0.8 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.8 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 4,292 |
| 1,718 |
| — |
| 6,010 |
| 80 |
| 173 |
| — |
| 253 |
| 1.9 |
| 10.1 |
| — |
| 4.2 |
AQ9 |
| 13 |
| 74 |
| — |
| 87 |
| 1 |
| 16 |
| — |
| 17 |
| 7.7 |
| 21.6 |
| — |
| 19.5 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 158 |
| 158 |
| — |
| — |
| 105 |
| 105 |
| — |
| — |
| 66.5 |
| 66.5 |
|
| 4,431 |
| 1,792 |
| 158 |
| 6,381 |
| 82 |
| 189 |
| 105 |
| 376 |
| 1.9 |
| 10.6 |
| 66.5 |
| 5.9 |
Other personal |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 708 |
| 107 |
| — |
| 815 |
| 8 |
| 14 |
| — |
| 22 |
| 1.1 |
| 13.1 |
| — |
| 2.7 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 6,729 |
| 972 |
| — |
| 7,701 |
| 135 |
| 140 |
| — |
| 275 |
| 2.0 |
| 14.4 |
| — |
| 3.6 |
AQ9 |
| 71 |
| 133 |
| — |
| 204 |
| 6 |
| 45 |
| — |
| 51 |
| 8.5 |
| 33.8 | | — |
| 25.0 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 857 |
| 857 |
| — |
| — |
| 656 |
| 656 |
| — |
| — |
| 76.6 |
| 76.6 |
|
| 7,508 |
| 1,212 |
| 857 |
| 9,577 |
| 149 |
| 199 |
| 656 |
| 1,004 |
| 2.0 |
| 16.4 |
| 76.6 |
| 10.5 |
Total |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 101,580 |
| 8,168 |
| — |
| 109,748 |
| 29 |
| 34 |
| — |
| 63 |
| 0.0 |
| 0.4 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 92,781 |
| 14,089 |
| — |
| 106,870 |
| 244 |
| 356 |
| — |
| 600 |
| 0.3 |
| 2.5 |
| — |
| 0.6 |
AQ9 |
| 250 |
| 1,115 |
| — |
| 1,365 |
| 7 |
| 67 |
| — |
| 74 |
| 2.8 |
| 6.0 |
| — |
| 5.4 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 3,461 |
| 3,461 |
| — |
| — |
| 1,063 |
| 1,063 |
| — |
| — |
| 30.7 |
| 30.7 |
|
| 194,611 |
| 23,372 |
| 3,461 |
| 221,444 |
| 280 |
| 457 |
| 1,063 |
| 1,800 |
| 0.1 |
| 2.0 |
| 30.7 |
| 0.8 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 62 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Asset quality
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Gross loans | | ECL provisions | | ECL provisions coverage | ||||||||||||||||||
|
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total |
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total |
| Stage 1 |
| Stage 2 |
| Stage 3 |
| Total |
31 December 2023 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | % | | % | | % | | % |
UK mortgages |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 110,694 |
| 7,572 |
| — |
| 118,266 | | 51 |
| 20 |
| — |
| 71 | | 0.1 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 77,290 |
| 9,578 |
| — |
| 86,868 | | 37 |
| 37 |
| — |
| 74 | | 0.1 |
| 0.4 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
AQ9 |
| 156 |
| 704 |
| — |
| 860 | | — |
| 4 |
| — |
| 4 | | — |
| 0.6 |
| — |
| 0.5 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 2,281 |
| 2,281 | | — |
| — |
| 271 |
| 271 | | — |
| — |
| 11.9 |
| 11.9 |
| | 188,140 |
| 17,854 |
| 2,281 |
| 208,275 | | 88 |
| 61 |
| 271 |
| 420 | | 0.1 |
| 0.3 |
| 11.9 |
| 0.2 |
Credit cards | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 124 |
| — |
| — |
| 124 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| 0.8 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.8 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 3,612 |
| 1,965 |
| — |
| 5,577 |
| 75 |
| 193 |
| — |
| 268 |
| 2.1 |
| 9.8 |
| — |
| 4.8 |
AQ9 |
| 6 |
| 57 |
| — |
| 63 |
| — |
| 14 |
| — |
| 14 |
| — |
| 24.6 |
| — |
| 22.2 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 140 |
| 140 |
| — |
| — |
| 93 |
| 93 |
| — |
| — |
| 66.4 |
| 66.4 |
|
| 3,742 | | 2,022 | | 140 | | 5,904 | | 76 | | 207 | | 93 | | 376 | | 2.0 | | 10.2 | | 66.4 | | 6.4 |
Other personal | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 764 |
| 150 |
| — |
| 914 |
| 11 |
| 23 |
| — |
| 34 |
| 1.4 |
| 15.3 |
| — |
| 3.7 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 6,178 |
| 1,374 |
| — |
| 7,552 |
| 138 |
| 180 |
| — |
| 318 |
| 2.2 |
| 13.1 |
| — |
| 4.2 |
AQ9 |
| 41 |
| 109 |
| — |
| 150 |
| 3 |
| 35 |
| — |
| 38 |
| 7.3 |
| 32.1 |
| — |
| 25.3 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 979 |
| 979 |
| — |
| — |
| 778 |
| 778 |
| — |
| — |
| 79.5 |
| 79.5 |
|
| 6,983 | | 1,633 | | 979 | | 9,595 | | 152 | | 238 | | 778 | | 1,168 | | 2.2 | | 14.6 | | 79.5 | | 12.2 |
Total | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 111,582 |
| 7,722 |
| — |
| 119,304 |
| 63 |
| 43 |
| — |
| 106 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.6 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 87,080 |
| 12,917 |
| — |
| 99,997 |
| 250 |
| 410 |
| — |
| 660 |
| 0.3 |
| 3.2 |
| — |
| 0.7 |
AQ9 |
| 203 |
| 870 |
| — |
| 1,073 |
| 3 |
| 53 |
| — |
| 56 |
| 1.5 |
| 6.1 |
| — |
| 5.2 |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 3,400 |
| 3,400 |
| — |
| — |
| 1,142 |
| 1,142 |
| — |
| — |
| 33.6 |
| 33.6 |
|
| 198,865 | | 21,509 | | 3,400 | | 223,774 | | 316 | | 506 | | 1,142 | | 1,964 | | 0.2 | | 2.4 | | 33.6 | | 0.9 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 63 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Asset quality
The table below shows asset quality bands of gross loans and ECL, by stage, for the Wholesale portfolio.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Gross loans |
| ECL provisions |
| ECL provisions coverage |
| ||||||||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
|
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | % | | % | | % | | % | |
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 15,257 |
| 1,000 | | — |
| 16,257 |
| 13 |
| 8 |
| — |
| 21 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.8 |
| — | | 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 13,607 |
| 1,955 | | — |
| 15,562 |
| 60 |
| 54 |
| — |
| 114 |
| 0.4 |
| 2.8 |
| — | | 0.7 | |
AQ9 |
| 8 |
| 63 | | — |
| 71 |
| — |
| 4 |
| — |
| 4 |
| — |
| 6.4 |
| — | | 5.6 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — | | 728 |
| 728 |
| — |
| — |
| 232 |
| 232 |
| — |
| — |
| 31.9 | | 31.9 | |
|
| 28,872 |
| 3,018 | | 728 |
| 32,618 |
| 73 |
| 66 |
| 232 |
| 371 |
| 0.3 |
| 2.2 |
| 31.9 | | 1.1 | |
Corporate |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 25,616 |
| 1,040 | | — |
| 26,656 |
| 18 |
| 12 |
| — |
| 30 |
| 0.1 |
| 1.2 |
| — | | 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 39,331 |
| 8,797 | | — |
| 48,128 |
| 162 |
| 239 |
| — |
| 401 |
| 0.4 |
| 2.7 |
| — | | 0.8 | |
AQ9 |
| 27 |
| 250 | | — |
| 277 |
| — |
| 19 |
| — |
| 19 |
| — |
| 7.6 |
| — | | 6.9 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — | | 1,527 |
| 1,527 |
| — |
| — |
| 613 |
| 613 |
| — |
| — |
| 40.1 | | 40.1 | |
|
| 64,974 |
| 10,087 | | 1,527 |
| 76,588 |
| 180 |
| 270 |
| 613 |
| 1,063 |
| 0.3 |
| 2.7 |
| 40.1 | | 1.4 | |
Financial institutions |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 52,008 |
| 413 | | — |
| 52,421 |
| 24 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 25 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.2 |
| — | | 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 4,093 |
| 123 | | — |
| 4,216 |
| 15 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 20 |
| 0.4 |
| 4.1 |
| — | | 0.5 | |
AQ9 |
| 2 |
| 12 | | — |
| 14 |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 8.3 |
| — | | 7.1 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — | | 74 |
| 74 |
| — |
| — |
| 44 |
| 44 |
| — |
| — |
| 59.5 | | 59.5 | |
|
| 56,103 |
| 548 | | 74 |
| 56,725 |
| 39 |
| 7 |
| 44 |
| 90 |
| 0.1 |
| 1.3 |
| 59.5 | | 0.2 | |
Sovereign |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 1,287 |
| 1 | | — |
| 1,288 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 14 |
| 1.0 |
| 100.0 |
| — | | 1.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| — |
| 130 | | — |
| 130 |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| 0.8 |
| — | | 0.8 | |
AQ 9 |
| — |
| 132 | | — |
| 132 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | | — | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — | | 22 |
| 22 |
| — |
| — |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| — |
| — |
| 18.2 | | 18.2 | |
|
| 1,287 |
| 263 | | 22 |
| 1,572 |
| 13 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 19 |
| 1.0 |
| 0.8 |
| 18.2 | | 1.2 | |
Total |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 94,168 |
| 2,454 | | — |
| 96,622 |
| 68 |
| 22 |
| — |
| 90 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.9 |
| — | | 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 57,031 |
| 11,005 | | — |
| 68,036 |
| 237 |
| 299 |
| — |
| 536 |
| 0.4 |
| 2.7 |
| — | | 0.8 | |
AQ9 |
| 37 |
| 457 | | — |
| 494 |
| — |
| 24 |
| — |
| 24 |
| — |
| 5.3 |
| — | | 4.9 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — | | 2,351 |
| 2,351 |
| — |
| — |
| 893 |
| 893 |
| — |
| — |
| 38.0 | | 38.0 | |
|
| 151,236 |
| 13,916 | | 2,351 |
| 167,503 |
| 305 |
| 345 |
| 893 |
| 1,543 |
| 0.2 |
| 2.5 |
| 38.0 | | 0.9 | |
- | Asset quality was stable in property, other wholesale and financial institutions. There was a deterioration in sovereigns. |
- | Customer credit grades are reassessed as and when a request for financing is made, a scheduled customer credit review performed or a material credit event specific to that customer occurred. Credit grades are reassessed for all customers at least annually. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 64 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Banking activities continued
Asset quality
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Gross loans | | ECL provisions | | ECL provisions coverage |
| ||||||||||||||||||
| | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total | | Stage 1 | | Stage 2 | | Stage 3 | | Total |
|
31 December 2023 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m | | % | | % | | % | | % | |
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 14,961 |
| 405 |
| — |
| 15,366 |
| 16 |
| 5 |
| — |
| 21 | | 0.1 |
| 1.2 |
| — |
| 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 12,346 |
| 2,799 |
| — |
| 15,145 |
| 86 |
| 88 |
| — |
| 174 | | 0.7 |
| 3.1 |
| — |
| 1.2 | |
AQ9 |
| 9 |
| 66 |
| — |
| 75 |
| — |
| 5 |
| — |
| 5 | | — |
| 7.6 |
| — |
| 6.7 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 621 |
| 621 |
| — |
| — |
| 198 |
| 198 | | — |
| — |
| 31.9 |
| 31.9 | |
|
| 27,316 |
| 3,270 |
| 621 |
| 31,207 |
| 102 |
| 98 |
| 198 |
| 398 | | 0.4 |
| 3.0 |
| 31.9 |
| 1.3 | |
Corporate |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 25,914 |
| 937 |
| — |
| 26,851 |
| 27 |
| 13 |
| — |
| 40 | | 0.1 |
| 1.4 |
| — |
| 0.2 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 37,738 |
| 10,935 |
| — |
| 48,673 |
| 207 |
| 323 |
| — |
| 530 | | 0.6 |
| 3.0 |
| — |
| 1.1 | |
AQ9 |
| 38 |
| 273 |
| — |
| 311 |
| — |
| 20 |
| — |
| 20 | | — |
| 7.3 |
| — |
| 6.4 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 1,504 |
| 1,504 |
| — |
| — |
| 611 |
| 611 | | — |
| — |
| 40.6 |
| 40.6 | |
|
| 63,690 |
| 12,145 |
| 1,504 |
| 77,339 |
| 234 |
| 356 |
| 611 |
| 1,201 | | 0.4 |
| 2.9 |
| 40.6 |
| 1.6 | |
Financial institutions |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 52,702 |
| 665 |
| — |
| 53,367 |
| 28 |
| 6 |
| — |
| 34 | | 0.1 |
| 0.9 |
| — |
| 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 3,402 |
| 284 |
| — |
| 3,686 |
| 16 |
| 9 |
| — |
| 25 | | 0.5 |
| 3.2 |
| — |
| 0.7 | |
AQ9 |
| 1 |
| 17 |
| — |
| 18 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | | — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 16 |
| 16 |
| — |
| — |
| 7 |
| 7 | | — |
| — |
| 43.8 |
| 43.8 | |
|
| 56,105 |
| 966 |
| 16 |
| 57,087 |
| 44 |
| 15 |
| 7 |
| 66 | | 0.1 |
| 1.6 |
| 43.8 |
| 0.1 | |
Sovereign |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 2,487 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 2,488 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 14 | | 0.5 |
| nm |
| — |
| 0.6 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 123 |
| — |
| — |
| 123 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | | — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
AQ9 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | | — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 22 |
| 22 |
| — |
| — |
| 2 |
| 2 | | — |
| — |
| 9.1 |
| 9.1 | |
|
| 2,610 |
| 1 |
| 22 |
| 2,633 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 16 | | 0.5 |
| nm |
| 9.1 |
| 0.6 | |
Total |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| |
| | |
AQ1-AQ4 |
| 96,064 |
| 2,008 |
| — |
| 98,072 |
| 84 |
| 25 |
| — |
| 109 | | 0.1 |
| 1.3 |
| — |
| 0.1 | |
AQ5-AQ8 |
| 53,609 |
| 14,018 |
| — |
| 67,627 |
| 309 |
| 420 |
| — |
| 729 | | 0.6 |
| 3.0 |
| — |
| 1.1 | |
AQ9 |
| 48 |
| 356 |
| — |
| 404 |
| — |
| 25 |
| — |
| 25 | | — |
| 7.0 |
| — |
| 6.2 | |
AQ10 |
| — |
| — |
| 2,163 |
| 2,163 |
| — |
| — |
| 818 |
| 818 | | — |
| — |
| 37.8 |
| 37.8 | |
|
| 149,721 |
| 16,382 |
| 2,163 |
| 168,266 |
| 393 |
| 470 |
| 818 |
| 1,681 | | 0.3 |
| 2.9 |
| 37.8 |
| 1.0 | |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 65 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Trading activities
This section details the credit risk profile of NatWest Group’s trading activities.
Securities financing transactions and collateral
The table below shows securities financing transactions in Commercial & Institutional and Central items & other. Balance sheet captions include balances held at all classifications under IFRS.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Reverse repos |
| Repos | ||||||||
| | | | Of which: | | Outside netting | | | | Of which: | | Outside netting |
| | Total | | can be offset | | arrangements | | Total | | can be offset | | arrangements |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Gross |
| 77,085 |
| 77,000 |
| 85 |
| 74,623 |
| 73,535 |
| 1,088 |
IFRS offset |
| (32,309) |
| (32,309) |
| — |
| (32,309) |
| (32,309) |
| — |
Carrying value |
| 44,776 |
| 44,691 |
| 85 |
| 42,314 |
| 41,226 |
| 1,088 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Master netting arrangements |
| (1,454) |
| (1,454) |
| — |
| (1,454) |
| (1,454) |
| — |
Securities collateral |
| (42,965) |
| (42,965) |
| — |
| (39,772) |
| (39,772) |
| — |
Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS |
| (44,419) |
| (44,419) |
| — |
| (41,226) |
| (41,226) |
| — |
Net |
| 357 |
| 272 |
| 85 |
| 1,088 |
| — |
| 1,088 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross |
| 77,508 |
| 77,050 |
| 458 | | 66,767 |
| 66,047 |
| 720 |
IFRS offset |
| (25,903) |
| (25,903) |
| — | | (25,903) |
| (25,903) |
| — |
Carrying value |
| 51,605 |
| 51,147 |
| 458 | | 40,864 |
| 40,144 |
| 720 |
Master netting arrangements |
| (669) |
| (669) |
| — | | (669) |
| (669) |
| — |
Securities collateral |
| (50,287) |
| (50,287) |
| — | | (39,475) |
| (39,475) |
| — |
Potential for offset not recognised under IFRS |
| (50,956) |
| (50,956) |
| — | | (40,144) |
| (40,144) |
| — |
Net |
| 649 |
| 191 |
| 458 | | 720 |
| — |
| 720 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 66 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Trading activities continued
Derivatives
The table below shows derivatives by type of contract. The master netting agreements and collateral shown do not result in a net presentation on the balance sheet under IFRS. A significant proportion of the derivatives relate to trading activities in Commercial & Institutional. The table also includes hedging derivatives in Central items & other.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| 30 June 2024 |
| 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||
| | Notional | | | | | | | | | | | | | ||||||
| | GBP | | USD | | EUR | | Other | | Total | | Assets | | Liabilities | | Notional | | Assets | | Liabilities |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £m | | £m | | £bn | | £m | | £m |
Gross exposure |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 86,136 |
| 82,013 |
| | | 99,501 |
| 96,264 |
IFRS offset |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| (18,622) |
| (21,164) |
| | | (20,597) |
| (23,869) |
Carrying value |
| 3,378 |
| 3,188 |
| 5,651 |
| 1,191 |
| 13,408 |
| 67,514 |
| 60,849 |
| 13,403 |
| 78,904 |
| 72,395 |
Of which: |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate (1) |
| 3,046 | | 1,705 | | 5,004 | | 268 |
| 10,023 |
| 40,925 |
| 35,137 |
| 10,268 |
| 44,563 |
| 38,483 |
Exchange rate |
| 331 | | 1,478 | | 637 | | 923 |
| 3,369 |
| 26,446 |
| 25,442 |
| 3,120 |
| 34,161 |
| 33,586 |
Credit |
| 1 | | 5 | | 10 | | — |
| 16 |
| 143 |
| 270 |
| 15 |
| 180 |
| 326 |
Carrying value |
| | | | | | | |
| 13,408 |
| 67,514 |
| 60,849 |
| 13,403 |
| 78,904 |
| 72,395 |
Counterparty mark-to-market netting |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| (50,530) |
| (50,530) | | |
| (60,355) |
| (60,355) |
Cash collateral |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| (11,296) |
| (5,650) | | |
| (12,284) |
| (6,788) |
Securities collateral |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| (3,503) |
| (1,142) | | |
| (3,408) |
| (1,664) |
Net exposure |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 2,185 |
| 3,527 | | |
| 2,857 |
| 3,588 |
Banks (2) |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 217 |
| 441 | | |
| 335 |
| 555 |
Other financial institutions (3) |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 1,117 |
| 1,260 | | |
| 1,422 |
| 1,304 |
Corporate (4) |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 815 |
| 1,808 | | |
| 1,063 |
| 1,690 |
Government (5) |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 36 |
| 18 | | |
| 37 |
| 39 |
Net exposure |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 2,185 |
| 3,527 | | |
| 2,857 |
| 3,588 |
UK |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 1,148 |
| 1,871 | | |
| 1,283 |
| 1,912 |
Europe |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 551 |
| 1,085 | | |
| 800 |
| 1,209 |
US |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 404 |
| 383 | | |
| 607 |
| 381 |
RoW |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 82 |
| 188 | | |
| 167 |
| 86 |
Net exposure |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
| 2,185 |
| 3,527 | | |
| 2,857 |
| 3,588 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset quality of uncollateralised derivative assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AQ1-AQ4 |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,871 |
| |
|
|
| 2,382 |
|
|
AQ5-AQ8 |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 312 |
| |
|
|
| 471 |
|
|
AQ9-AQ10 |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2 |
| |
|
|
| 4 |
|
|
Net exposure |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2,185 |
| |
|
|
| 2,857 |
|
|
(1) | The notional amount of interest rate derivatives included £6,950 billion (31 December 2023 – £7,280 billion) in respect of contracts cleared through central clearing counterparties |
(2) | Transactions with certain counterparties with whom NatWest Group has netting arrangements but collateral is not posted on a daily basis; certain transactions with specific terms that may not fall within netting and collateral arrangements; derivative positions in certain jurisdictions where the collateral agreements are not deemed to be legally enforceable. |
(3) | Includes transactions with securitisation vehicles and funds where collateral posting is contingent on NatWest Group’s external rating. |
(4) | Mainly large corporates with whom NatWest Group may have netting arrangements in place, but operational capability does not support collateral posting. |
(5) | Sovereigns and supranational entities with no collateral arrangements, collateral arrangements that are not considered enforceable, or one-way collateral agreements in their favour. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 67 |
Risk and capital management continued
Credit risk – Trading activities continued
Debt securities
The table below shows debt securities held at mandatory fair value through profit or loss by issuer as well as ratings based on the lowest of Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch. Refer to Note 9 Trading assets and liabilities for details on short positions.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Central and local government |
| Financial |
|
|
|
| ||||
| | UK | | US | | Other | | institutions | | Corporate | | Total |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
AAA |
| — |
| — |
| 1,302 |
| 1,406 |
| — |
| 2,708 |
AA to AA+ |
| — |
| 5,507 |
| 45 |
| 672 |
| 12 |
| 6,236 |
A to AA- |
| 5,170 |
| — |
| 2,049 |
| 504 |
| 378 |
| 8,101 |
BBB- to A- |
| — |
| — |
| 1,250 |
| 465 |
| 645 |
| 2,360 |
Non-investment grade |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 153 |
| 178 |
| 331 |
Total |
| 5,170 |
| 5,507 |
| 4,646 |
| 3,200 |
| 1,213 |
| 19,736 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA |
| — |
| — |
| 1,333 |
| 1,132 |
| — |
| 2,465 |
AA to AA+ |
| — |
| 2,600 |
| 19 |
| 762 |
| 4 |
| 3,385 |
A to AA- |
| 2,729 |
| — |
| 1,017 |
| 251 |
| 283 |
| 4,280 |
BBB- to A- |
| — |
| — |
| 693 |
| 295 |
| 489 |
| 1,477 |
Non-investment grade |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 198 |
| 149 |
| 347 |
Total |
| 2,729 |
| 2,600 |
| 3,062 |
| 2,638 |
| 925 |
| 11,954 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 68 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk
Introduction
NatWest Group takes a comprehensive approach to the management of capital, liquidity and funding, underpinned by frameworks, risk appetite and policies, to manage and mitigate capital, liquidity and funding risks. The framework ensures the tools and capability are in place to facilitate the management and mitigation of risk ensuring that NatWest Group operates within its regulatory requirements and risk appetite.
Key developments since 31 December 2023
| | | | |
CET1 ratio 13.6% (as at 31 December 2023 – 13.4%) | | MREL £57.3bn (as at 31 December 2023 - £55.8bn) | | RWAs £180.8bn (as at 31 December 2023 - £183.0bn) |
The CET1 ratio increased by 20 basis points to 13.6%. The increase in the CET1 ratio was due to a £2.2 billion decrease in RWAs and a £0.2 billion increase in CET1 capital. The CET1 capital increase was mainly driven by an attributable profit to ordinary shareholders of £2.1 billion and other movements on reserves and regulatory adjustments of £0.1 billion partially offset by a directed buyback of £1.2 billion and a foreseeable ordinary dividend accrual of £0.8 billion. | | Minimum Requirements of own funds and Eligible Liabilities increased by £1.5 billion to £57.3 billion driven by a £1.0 billion increase in Tier 1 capital and a £0.6 billion increase in MREL eligible Tier 2 capital. The increase in capital was driven by issuance of $1.0 billion Additional Tier 1 capital and $1.0 billion Tier 2 capital in the period. There was an immaterial decrease in senior unsecured debt following redemption of a €0.8 billion debt instrument and a $2 billion debt instrument offset by the issuance of USD debt instruments totalling $2.8 billion. | | Total RWAs decreased by £2.2 billion to £180.8 billion during H1 2024 reflecting: - a decrease in credit risk RWAs of £2.7 billion, primarily due to active RWA management partially offset by drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional. - a decrease of £0.7 billion in counterparty credit risk driven by reduced over-the-counter exposures and securities financing transactions. - a decrease in market risk RWAs of £0.4 billion, predominantly driven by risk reduction activity. - an increase of £1.6 billion in operational risk RWAs following the annual recalculation as a result of higher income compared to 2020. |
| | | | | | |
UK leverage ratio 5.2% (as at 31 December 2023 – 5.0%) | | Liquidity portfolio £227.0bn (as at 31 December 2023 - £222.8bn) | | LCR 151% (as at 31 December 2023 – 144%) | | NSFR 139% (as at 31 December 2023 – 133%) |
The leverage ratio increased by 20 basis points to 5.2%, driven by a £1.0 billion increase in Tier 1 capital partially offset by a £2.9 billion increase in leverage exposure. The key drivers in the leverage exposure were an increase in other off - balance sheet items partially offset by a decrease in other financial assets. | | The liquidity portfolio increased by £4.2 billion to £227.0 billion. Primary liquidity increased by £12.3 billion to £160.4 billion, driven by an increase in customer deposits and wholesale funding partly offset by capital distributions (share buyback and dividends). Secondary liquidity decreased £8.1 billion due to a decrease in pre-positioned collateral at the Bank of England. | | The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) increased by 7 percentage points to 151%, during H1 2024, driven by an increase in customer deposits partly offset by capital distributions (share buyback and dividends). | | The Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) increased 6% to 139% driven by increased customer deposits and increased wholesale funding. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 69 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Maximum Distributable Amount (MDA) and Minimum Capital Requirements
NatWest Group is subject to minimum capital requirements relative to RWAs. The table below summarises the minimum capital requirements (the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A), and the additional capital buffers which are held in excess of the regulatory minimum requirements and are usable in stress.
Where the CET1 ratio falls below the sum of the minimum capital and the combined buffer requirement, there is a subsequent automatic restriction on the amount available to service discretionary payments (including AT1 coupons), known as the MDA. Note that different capital requirements apply to individual legal entities or sub-groups and that the table shown does not reflect any incremental PRA buffer requirements, which are not disclosable.
The current capital position provides significant headroom above both NatWest Group’s minimum requirements and its MDA threshold requirements.
| | | | | | |
Type |
| CET1 |
| Total Tier 1 |
| Total capital |
Pillar 1 requirements |
| 4.5% | | 6.0% | | 8.0% |
Pillar 2A requirements |
| 1.8% | | 2.4% | | 3.2% |
Minimum Capital Requirements |
| 6.3% | | 8.4% | | 11.2% |
Capital conservation buffer |
| 2.5% | | 2.5% | | 2.5% |
Countercyclical capital buffer (1,2) |
| 1.7% | | 1.7% | | 1.7% |
MDA threshold (3) |
| 10.5% | | n/a | | n/a |
Overall capital requirement |
| 10.5% | | 12.6% | | 15.4% |
Capital ratios at 30 June 2024 |
| 13.6% | | 16.2% | | 19.5% |
Headroom (4) |
| 3.1% | | 3.6% | | 4.1% |
(1) | The UK countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate is currently being maintained at 2%. This may vary in either direction in the future subject to how risks develop. Foreign exposures may be subject to different CCyB rates depending on the rate set in those jurisdictions. |
(2) | Pillar 2A requirements for NatWest Group are set as a variable amount with the exception of some fixed add-ons. |
(3) | The headroom does not reflect excess distributable capital and may vary over time. |
(4) | Headroom as at 31 December 2023 was CET1 2.9%, Total Tier 1 2.9% and Total Capital 3.0%. |
Leverage ratios
The table below summarises the minimum ratios of capital to leverage exposure under the binding PRA UK leverage framework applicable for NatWest Group.
| | | | |
Type |
| CET1 |
| Total Tier 1 |
Minimum ratio |
| 2.44% | | 3.25% |
Countercyclical leverage ratio buffer (1) |
| 0.6% | | 0.6% |
Total |
| 3.04% | | 3.85% |
(1) | The countercyclical leverage ratio buffer is set at 35% of NatWest Group’s CCyB. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 70 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Capital and leverage ratios
The table below sets out the key capital and leverage ratios. NatWest Group is subject to the requirements set out in the UK CRR therefore the capital and leverage ratios are presented under these frameworks on a transitional basis.
| | | | |
|
| 30 June |
| 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
Capital adequacy ratios (1) | | % | | % |
CET1 |
| 13.6 |
| 13.4 |
Tier 1 |
| 16.2 |
| 15.5 |
Total |
| 19.5 |
| 18.4 |
| | | | |
Capital |
| £m |
| £m |
Tangible equity |
| 25,241 |
| 25,653 |
| | | | |
Expected loss less impairment | | (34) | | — |
Prudential valuation adjustment |
| (233) |
| (279) |
Deferred tax assets |
| (822) |
| (979) |
Own credit adjustments |
| 19 |
| (10) |
Pension fund assets |
| (161) |
| (143) |
Cash flow hedging reserve |
| 1,812 |
| 1,899 |
Foreseeable ordinary dividends |
| (839) |
| (1,013) |
Adjustment for trust assets (2) |
| (365) |
| (365) |
Foreseeable charges |
| (50) |
| (525) |
Adjustments under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements |
| 39 |
| 202 |
Total regulatory adjustments |
| (634) |
| (1,213) |
| | | | |
CET1 capital |
| 24,607 |
| 24,440 |
| | | | |
Additional AT1 capital | | 4,670 | | 3,875 |
Tier 1 capital | | 29,277 | | 28,315 |
| | | | |
End-point Tier 2 capital |
| 5,924 |
| 5,317 |
Tier 2 capital |
| 5,924 |
| 5,317 |
Total regulatory capital |
| 35,201 |
| 33,632 |
| | | | |
Risk-weighted assets | | |
| |
Credit risk |
| 144,852 |
| 147,598 |
Counterparty credit risk |
| 7,139 |
| 7,830 |
Market risk |
| 6,956 |
| 7,363 |
Operational risk |
| 21,821 |
| 20,198 |
Total RWAs |
| 180,768 |
| 182,989 |
(1) | Based on current PRA rules, includes the transitional arrangements for the capital impact of IFRS 9 expected credit loss (ECL) accounting. The impact of the IFRS 9 transitional adjustments at 30 June 2024 was £39 million for CET1 capital, £39 million for total capital and £1 million RWAs (31 December 2023 - £0.2 billion CET1 capital, £54 million total capital and £17 million RWAs). Excluding this adjustment, the CET1 ratio would be 13.6% (31 December 2023 – 13.2%). Tier 1 capital ratio would be 16.2% (31 December 2023 – 15.4%) and the Total capital ratio would be 19.5% (31 December 2023 – 18.4%). |
(2) | Prudent deduction in respect of agreement with the pension fund. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 71 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Capital and leverage ratios
| | | | |
|
| 30 June |
| 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
Leverage | | £m | | £m |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| 115,833 |
| 104,262 |
Trading assets |
| 45,974 |
| 45,551 |
Derivatives |
| 67,514 |
| 78,904 |
Financial assets |
| 437,909 |
| 439,449 |
Other assets |
| 22,116 |
| 23,605 |
Assets of disposal groups |
| 992 |
| 902 |
Total assets |
| 690,338 |
| 692,673 |
Derivatives |
| |
| |
- netting and variation margin |
| (66,846) |
| (79,299) |
- potential future exposures |
| 16,829 |
| 17,212 |
Securities financing transactions gross up |
| 1,645 |
| 1,868 |
Other off balance sheet items |
| 55,003 |
| 50,961 |
Regulatory deductions and other adjustments |
| (15,782) |
| (16,043) |
Claims on central banks |
| (112,377) |
| (100,735) |
Exclusion of bounce back loans |
| (3,084) |
| (3,794) |
UK leverage exposure |
| 565,726 |
| 562,843 |
UK leverage ratio (%) (1) |
| 5.2 |
| 5.0 |
(1) | The UK leverage exposure and transitional Tier 1 capital are calculated in accordance with current PRA rules. Excluding the IFRS 9 transitional adjustment, the UK leverage ratio would be 5.2% (31 December 2023 – 5.0%). |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 72 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Capital flow statement
The table below analyses the movement in CET1, AT1 and Tier 2 capital for the half year ended 30 June 2024. It is presented on a transitional basis based on current PRA rules.
| | | | | | | | |
|
| CET1 |
| AT1 |
| Tier 2 |
| Total |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 31 December 2023 |
| 24,440 |
| 3,875 |
| 5,317 |
| 33,632 |
Attributable profit for the period |
| 2,099 |
| — |
| — |
| 2,099 |
Directed buyback |
| (1,241) |
| — |
| — |
| (1,241) |
Foreseeable ordinary dividends |
| (839) |
| — |
| — |
| (839) |
Foreign exchange reserve |
| (53) |
| — |
| — |
| (53) |
FVOCI reserve |
| 6 |
| — |
| — |
| 6 |
Own credit |
| 29 |
| — |
| — |
| 29 |
Share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee share schemes |
| 143 |
| — |
| — |
| 143 |
Goodwill and intangibles deduction |
| 24 |
| — |
| — |
| 24 |
Deferred tax assets |
| 157 |
| — |
| — |
| 157 |
Prudential valuation adjustments |
| 46 |
| — |
| — |
| 46 |
New issues of capital instruments |
| — |
| 795 |
| 788 |
| 1,583 |
Redemption of capital instruments |
| — |
| — |
| (34) |
| (34) |
Foreign exchange movements |
| — |
| — |
| (19) |
| (19) |
Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements |
| (163) |
| | | |
| (163) |
Expected loss less impairment | | (34) | | | | | | (34) |
Other movements |
| (7) |
| — |
| (128) |
| (135) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 24,607 |
| 4,670 |
| 5,924 |
| 35,201 |
- | For CET1 movements refer to the key points on page 69. |
- | AT1 movements reflects the £0.8 billion in relation to $1.0 billion 8.125% Reset Perpetual Subordinated Contingent Convertible Notes issued in May 2024. |
- | Tier 2 instrument movements include £0.8 billion in relation to $1.0 billion 6.475% Fixed to Fixed Reset Tier 2 Notes 2034 issued in March 2024, partially offset by the £0.1 billion redemption of 5.125% Subordinated Tier 2 Notes 2024 in May 2024 and foreign exchange movements. |
- | Within Tier 2, there was also a decrease in the Tier 2 surplus provisions. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 73 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Capital resources
NatWest Group’s regulatory capital is assessed against minimum requirements that are set out under the UK CRR to determine the strength of its capital base. This note shows a reconciliation of shareholders’ equity to regulatory capital.
| | | | |
| | 30 June | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Shareholders’ equity (excluding non-controlling interests) |
|
|
|
|
Shareholders’ equity |
| 37,521 |
| 37,157 |
Other equity instruments |
| (4,690) |
| (3,890) |
|
| 32,831 |
| 33,267 |
Regulatory adjustments and deductions |
| |
|
|
Own credit |
| 19 |
| (10) |
Defined benefit pension fund adjustment |
| (161) |
| (143) |
Cash flow hedging reserve |
| 1,812 |
| 1,899 |
Deferred tax assets |
| (822) |
| (979) |
Prudential valuation adjustments |
| (233) |
| (279) |
Goodwill and other intangible assets |
| (7,590) |
| (7,614) |
Foreseeable ordinary dividends |
| (839) |
| (1,013) |
Adjustment for trust assets (1) |
| (365) |
| (365) |
Foreseeable charges |
| (50) |
| (525) |
Adjustment under IFRS 9 transitional arrangements |
| 39 |
| 202 |
Expected loss less impairment |
| (34) |
| — |
|
| (8,224) |
| (8,827) |
CET1 capital |
| 24,607 |
| 24,440 |
Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital |
| |
| |
Qualifying instruments and related share premium |
| 4,670 |
| 3,875 |
AT1 capital |
| 4,670 |
| 3,875 |
Tier 1 capital |
| 29,277 |
| 28,315 |
Qualifying Tier 2 capital |
| |
| |
Qualifying instruments and related share premium |
| 5,924 |
| 5,189 |
Other regulatory adjustments |
| — |
| 128 |
Tier 2 capital |
| 5,924 |
| 5,317 |
Total regulatory capital |
| 35,201 |
| 33,632 |
(1) | Prudent deduction in respect of agreement with the pension fund to establish legal structure to remove dividend linked contribution. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 74 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Minimum requirements of own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL)
The following table illustrates the components of estimated MREL in NatWest Group and operating subsidiaries and includes external issuances only.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 |
| ||||||||||||
| | | | Balance | | | | | | | | Balance | | | | |
|
| | Par | | sheet | | Regulatory | | MREL | | Par | | sheet | | Regulatory | | MREL |
|
| | value (1) | | value | | value | | value (2) | | value | | value | | value | | value |
|
|
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
|
CET1 capital (3) | | 24.6 | | 24.6 | | 24.6 | | 24.6 | | 24.4 | | 24.4 | | 24.4 | | 24.4 | |
Tier 1 capital: end-point CRR compliant AT1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
of which: NatWest Group plc (holdco) |
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 | |
of which: NatWest Group plc operating subsidiaries (opcos) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
|
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 4.7 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.9 | |
Tier 1 capital: end-point CRR non-compliant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
of which: holdco |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
of which: opcos |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — | |
|
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — | |
Tier 2 capital: end-point CRR compliant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
of which: holdco |
| 5.9 |
| 5.6 |
| 5.9 |
| 5.9 |
| 5.6 |
| 5.3 |
| 5.2 |
| 5.2 | |
of which: opcos |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
|
| 5.9 |
| 5.6 |
| 5.9 |
| 5.9 |
| 5.6 |
| 5.3 |
| 5.2 |
| 5.2 | |
Tier 2 capital: end-point CRR non-compliant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
of which: holdco |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — | |
of which: opcos |
| 0.2 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.2 |
| 0.3 |
| — | | — | |
|
| 0.2 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.2 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| — | |
Senior unsecured debt securities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
of which: holdco |
| 22.1 |
| 21.4 |
| — |
| 22.1 |
| 22.2 |
| 21.7 |
| — |
| 22.2 | |
of which: opcos (4) |
| 34.0 |
| 33.5 |
| — |
| — |
| 33.4 |
| 29.9 |
| — |
| — | |
|
| 56.1 |
| 54.9 |
| — |
| 22.1 |
| 55.6 |
| 51.6 |
| — |
| 22.2 | |
Tier 2 capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Other regulatory adjustments |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 | |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total |
| 91.6 |
| 90.2 |
| 35.2 |
| 57.3 |
| 89.8 |
| 85.6 |
| 33.6 |
| 55.8 | |
RWAs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 180.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 183.0 | |
UK leverage exposure |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 565.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 562.8 | |
MREL as a ratio of RWAs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 31.7% | |
|
|
|
|
|
| 30.5% | |
MREL as a ratio of UK leverage exposure |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10.1% | |
|
|
|
|
|
| 9.9% | |
(1) | Par value reflects the nominal value of securities issued. |
(2) | MREL value reflects NatWest Group’s interpretation of the Bank of England’s approach to setting a MREL published in December 2021 (Updating June 2018). Liabilities excluded from MREL include instruments with less than one year remaining to maturity, structured debt, operating company senior debt, and other instruments that do not meet the MREL criteria. The MREL calculation includes Tier 1 and Tier 2 securities before the application of any regulatory caps or adjustments. |
(3) | Shareholders’ equity was £37.5 billion (2023 - £37.2 billion). |
(4) | As per 2023, Intra group issuances were reported in “Par value” but on further clarification from Bank of England, it has been excluded from reporting in 2024. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 75 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Minimum requirements of own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL)
The following table illustrates the components of the stock of outstanding issuance in NatWest Group plc and its operating subsidiaries including external and internal issuances.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| |
| |
| NatWest |
| |
|
|
|
|
| NatWest |
| NWM |
| RBS |
| | | | NatWest | | Holdings | | NWB | | RBS | | NWM | | Markets | | Securities | | International |
| | | | Group plc | | Limited | | Plc | | plc | | Plc | | N.V. | | Inc. | | Limited |
| | | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Additional Tier 1 |
| Externally issued |
| 4.7 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Additional Tier 1 |
| Internally issued |
| — |
| 3.9 |
| 3.3 |
| 0.5 |
| 0.9 |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| 0.3 |
| | |
| 4.7 |
| 3.9 |
| 3.4 |
| 0.5 |
| 0.9 |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| 0.3 |
Tier 2 |
| Externally issued |
| 5.6 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 0.0 |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| — |
Tier 2 |
| Internally issued |
| 0.0 |
| 5.2 |
| 3.6 |
| 0.9 |
| 1.1 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| | |
| 5.6 |
| 5.2 |
| 3.6 |
| 0.9 |
| 1.1 |
| 0.3 |
| 0.3 |
| — |
Senior unsecured |
| Externally issued |
| 21.4 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Senior unsecured |
| Internally issued |
| — |
| 11.0 |
| 6.5 |
| 1.1 |
| 3.5 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.3 |
| | |
| 21.4 |
| 11.0 |
| 6.5 |
| 1.1 |
| 3.5 |
| — |
| — |
| 0.3 |
Total outstanding issuance |
| 31.7 |
| 20.1 |
| 13.5 |
| 2.5 |
| 5.5 |
| 0.5 |
| 0.3 |
| 0.6 |
(1) | For AT1 and Tier 2, the balances are the IFRS balance sheet carrying amounts, which may differ from the amount which the instrument contributes to regulatory capital. Regulatory balances exclude, for example, issuance costs and fair value movements, while dated capital is required to be amortised on a straight-line basis over the final five years of maturity. |
(2) | Balance sheet amounts reported for AT1 and Tier 2 instruments are before grandfathering restrictions imposed by CRR. |
(3) | Internal issuance for NWB Plc and RBS plc represents AT1, Tier 2 or Senior unsecured issuance to NWH Ltd and for NWM N.V. and NWM SI to NWM Plc. |
(4) | The balances are the IFRS balance sheet carrying amounts for Senior unsecured debt category and it does not include CP, CD and short term/medium notes issued from NatWest Group operating subsidiaries. |
(5) | The above table does not include CET 1 numbers. |
(6) | NWM Securities Inc is regulated under US broker dealer rules. |
(7) | RBSI Ltd - MREL resolution rules are under development in Jersey. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 76 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Risk-weighted assets
The table below analyses the movement in RWAs during the half year, by key drivers.
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| |
| Counterparty |
|
|
| Operational |
|
|
| | Credit risk | | credit risk | | Market risk | | risk | | Total |
| | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
At 31 December 2023 |
| 147.6 |
| 7.8 |
| 7.4 |
| 20.2 |
| 183.0 |
Foreign exchange movement |
| (0.2) | | — | | — | | — | | (0.2) |
Business movement |
| (2.2) | | (0.6) | | (0.4) | | 1.6 | | (1.6) |
Risk parameter changes |
| (0.1) | | (0.1) | | — | | — | | (0.2) |
Model updates |
| (0.2) | | — | | — | | — | | (0.2) |
Other changes | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 144.9 | | 7.1 | | 7.0 | | 21.8 | | 180.8 |
The table below analyses segmental RWAs.
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | Total |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | NatWest |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other (1) | | Group |
Total RWAs |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| £bn |
At 31 December 2023 |
| 61.6 | | 11.2 | | 107.4 | | 2.8 | | 183.0 |
Foreign exchange movement |
| — |
| — |
| (0.2) |
| — |
| (0.2) |
Business movement |
| 0.7 |
| (0.2) |
| (1.9) |
| (0.2) |
| (1.6) |
Risk parameter changes |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| (0.4) |
| — |
| (0.2) |
Model updates |
| (0.2) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| (0.2) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 62.3 |
| 11.0 |
| 104.9 |
| 2.6 |
| 180.8 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Credit risk |
| 53.9 |
| 9.5 |
| 79.4 |
| 2.1 |
| 144.9 |
Counterparty credit risk |
| 0.2 |
| — |
| 6.9 |
| — |
| 7.1 |
Market risk |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| 6.9 |
| — |
| 7.0 |
Operational risk |
| 8.1 |
| 1.5 |
| 11.7 |
| 0.5 |
| 21.8 |
Total RWAs |
| 62.3 |
| 11.0 |
| 104.9 |
| 2.6 |
| 180.8 |
(1) | £0.9 billion of Central items & other relates to Ulster Bank RoI. |
Total RWAs decreased by £2.2 billion to £180.8 billion during the period mainly reflecting:
- | A decrease in Business movements totalling £1.6 billion, primarily driven by active RWA management of £4.3 billion partially offset by increased RWAs following annual recalculation of operational risk as a result of higher income when compared to 2020 and an increase in drawdowns and new facilities within Commercial & Institutional. |
- | A decrease in Risk parameters of £0.2 billion, primarily driven by customers moving into default within Commercial & Institutional. |
- | A decrease in model updates of £0.2 billion, driven by IRB Temporary Model Adjustment related to mortgages within Retail Banking. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 77 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Funding sources
The table below shows the carrying values of the principal funding sources based on contractual maturity. Balance sheet captions include balances held at all classifications under IFRS 9.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||
| | Short-term | | Long-term | | | | Short-term | | Long-term | | |
| | less than | | more than | | | | less than | | more than | | |
| | 1 year | | 1 year | | Total | | 1 year | | 1 year | | Total |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Bank deposits |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Repos |
| 5,897 |
| — |
| 5,897 |
| 3,118 |
| — |
| 3,118 |
Other bank deposits (1) |
| 5,965 |
| 13,764 |
| 19,729 |
| 5,836 |
| 13,236 |
| 19,072 |
|
| 11,862 |
| 13,764 |
| 25,626 |
| 8,954 |
| 13,236 |
| 22,190 |
Customer deposits |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Repos |
| 6,846 |
| — |
| 6,846 |
| 10,844 |
| — |
| 10,844 |
Non-bank financial institutions |
| 48,784 |
| 34 |
| 48,818 |
| 46,875 |
| 13 |
| 46,888 |
Personal |
| 221,498 |
| 6,255 |
| 227,753 |
| 216,456 |
| 6,436 |
| 222,892 |
Corporate |
| 149,448 |
| 110 |
| 149,558 |
| 150,718 |
| 35 |
| 150,753 |
|
| 426,576 |
| 6,399 |
| 432,975 |
| 424,893 |
| 6,484 |
| 431,377 |
Trading liabilities (2) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Repos (3) |
| 29,021 |
| 300 |
| 29,321 |
| 26,634 |
| 268 |
| 26,902 |
Derivative collateral |
| 14,030 |
| — |
| 14,030 |
| 15,075 |
| — |
| 15,075 |
Other bank customer deposits |
| 478 |
| 322 |
| 800 |
| 768 |
| 382 |
| 1,150 |
Debt securities in issue - Medium term notes |
| 80 |
| 227 |
| 307 |
| 418 |
| 288 |
| 706 |
|
| 43,609 |
| 849 |
| 44,458 |
| 42,895 |
| 938 |
| 43,833 |
Other financial liabilities |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Customer deposits |
| 461 |
| 1,188 |
| 1,649 |
| 194 |
| 1,086 |
| 1,280 |
Debt securities in issue: |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
| |
| |
Commercial paper and certificates of deposit |
| 12,023 |
| 362 |
| 12,385 |
| 11,116 |
| 205 |
| 11,321 |
Medium term notes |
| 6,811 |
| 35,459 |
| 42,270 |
| 6,878 |
| 32,625 |
| 39,503 |
Covered bonds |
| — |
| 749 |
| 749 |
| 2,122 |
| — |
| 2,122 |
Securitisation (5) |
| — |
| 1,222 |
| 1,222 |
| — |
| 863 |
| 863 |
|
| 19,295 |
| 38,980 |
| 58,275 |
| 20,310 |
| 34,779 |
| 55,089 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| 1,593 |
| 4,439 |
| 6,032 |
| 1,047 |
| 4,667 |
| 5,714 |
Total funding |
| 502,935 |
| 64,431 |
| 567,366 |
| 498,099 |
| 60,104 |
| 558,203 |
Of which: available in resolution (4) |
|
|
|
|
| 27,061 |
| |
| |
| 26,561 |
(1) | Includes £12.0 billion (31 December 2023 – £12.0 billion) relating to Term Funding Scheme with additional incentives for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises participation. |
(2) | Excludes short positions of £9.7 billion (31 December 2023 - £9.8 billion). |
(3) | Comprises central & other bank repos of £6.4 billion (31 December 2023 - £4.0 billion), other financial institution repos of £20.0 billion (31 December 2023 - £20.4 billion) and other corporate repos of £2.9 billion (31 December 2023 - £2.5 billion). |
(4) | Eligible liabilities (as defined in the Banking Act 2009 as amended from time to time) that meet the eligibility criteria set out in the regulations, rules, policies, guidelines, or statements of the Bank of England including the Statement of Policy published by the Bank of England in December 2021 (updating June 2018). The balance consists of £21.4 billion (31 December 2023 - £21.7 billion) under debt securities in issue (senior MREL) and £5.6 billion (31 December 2023 - £4.9 billion) under subordinated liabilities. |
(5) | NatWest Group transfers credit risk on originated loans and mortgages without the transfer of assets to a structured entity, whereby it enters credit derivative and financial guarantee contracts with consolidated structured entities and they in turn issue debt securities to investors. This funding is legally ringfenced in the structured entity and is restricted to specifically cover investor credit protection claim payments in respect of the associated loans and mortgages. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 78 |
Risk and capital management continued
Capital, liquidity and funding risk continued
Liquidity portfolio
The table below shows the composition of the liquidity portfolio with primary liquidity aligned to high-quality liquid assets on a regulatory LCR basis. Secondary liquidity comprises of assets which are eligible as collateral for local central bank liquidity facilities and do not form part of the LCR eligible high-quality liquid assets.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Liquidity value | ||||||||||
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||
|
| NatWest |
| NWH |
| UK DoL |
| NatWest |
| NWH |
| UK DoL |
| | Group (1) | | Group (2) | | Sub | | Group (1) | | Group (2) | | Sub |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| 111,763 |
| 73,408 |
| 72,895 |
| 99,855 |
| 68,495 |
| 67,954 |
High quality government/MDB/PSE and GSE bonds (4) | | 35,616 | | 26,253 | | 26,253 | | 36,250 | | 26,510 | | 26,510 |
Extremely high quality covered bonds | | 3,892 | | 3,892 | | 3,892 | | 4,164 | | 4,164 | | 4,164 |
LCR level 1 assets |
| 151,271 |
| 103,553 |
| 103,040 |
| 140,269 |
| 99,169 |
| 98,628 |
LCR level 2 Eligible Assets (5) |
| 9,124 |
| 7,897 |
| 7,897 |
| 7,796 |
| 7,320 |
| 7,320 |
Primary liquidity (HQLA) (6) |
| 160,395 |
| 111,450 |
| 110,937 |
| 148,065 |
| 106,489 |
| 105,948 |
Secondary liquidity |
| 66,589 |
| 66,559 |
| 66,559 |
| 74,722 |
| 74,683 |
| 74,683 |
Total liquidity value |
| 226,984 |
| 178,009 |
| 177,496 |
| 222,787 |
| 181,172 |
| 180,631 |
(1) | NatWest Group includes the UK Domestic Liquidity Sub-Group (UK DoLSub), NatWest Markets Plc and other significant operating subsidiaries that hold liquidity portfolios. These include The RBSI Ltd and NWM N.V. who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules. |
(2) | NWH Group comprises UK DoLSub and NatWest Bank Europe GmbH who hold managed portfolios that comply with local regulations that may differ from PRA rules. |
(3) | NatWest Markets Plc liquidity portfolio is reported in the NatWest Markets Plc 2023 Annual Report and Accounts. |
(4) | Multilateral development bank abbreviated to MDB, public sector entities abbreviated to PSE and government sponsored entities abbreviated to GSE. |
(5) | Includes Level 2A and Level 2B. |
(6) | High-quality liquid assets abbreviated to HQLA. |
Non-traded market risk
Non-traded market risk is the risk to the value of assets or liabilities outside the trading book, or the risk to income, that arises from changes in market prices such as interest rates, foreign exchange rates and equity prices, or from changes in managed rates.
Key developments
- | In the UK, the base rate remained unchanged at 5.25% between 31 December 2023 and 30 June 2024. |
- | At 30 June 2024, longer-term interest rates continued to anticipate future reductions in the UK base rate, but by less than expected at 31 December 2023. As a result, the five-year sterling swap rate increased to 3.99% at the end of June 2024 from 3.38% at the end of December 2023. The ten-year sterling swap rate also increased, to 3.88% from 3.29%. |
- | The structural hedge notional decreased by £10 billion to £197 billion from £207 billion, partly reflecting recent changes in the deposit mix with higher volumes of term deposits and lower volumes of sight deposits. |
- | The one-year positive sensitivity of net interest earnings to an upward 25-basis-point parallel shift in all yield curves reduced slightly, to £135 million at 30 June 2024 from £164 million at 31 December 2023, partly reflecting changes to customer pass-through assumptions. The adverse sensitivity to a downward 25-basis-point parallel shift was broadly stable at £167 million at 30 June 2024 compared to £169 million at 31 December 2023. |
- | Sterling was broadly stable against both the US dollar and the euro over the period. Against the dollar, sterling was 1.26 at 30 June 2024 compared to 1.27 at 31 December 2023. Against the euro, it was 1.18 at 30 June 2024 compared to 1.15 at 31 December 2023. Structural foreign currency exposures (excluding additional tier 1 economic hedges) were stable, in sterling-equivalent nominal terms, at £3,375 million at 30 June 2024 compared to £3,381 million at 31 December 2023. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 79 |
Risk and capital management continued
Non-traded market risk continued
Non-traded internal VaR (1-day 99%)
The following table shows one-day internal banking book Value-at-Risk (VaR) at a 99% confidence level, split by risk type.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| | 30 June 2024 | | 30 June 2023 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | Period |
| | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end | | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end | | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Interest rate |
| 24.1 |
| 28.2 |
| 17.6 |
| 17.6 |
| 40.5 |
| 63.2 |
| 30.1 |
| 63.2 |
| 38.0 |
| 63.2 |
| 24.6 |
| 24.6 |
Credit spread |
| 55.6 |
| 60.2 |
| 50.7 |
| 50.7 |
| 23.6 |
| 29.7 |
| 20.9 |
| 29.7 | | 33.1 |
| 54.2 |
| 20.9 |
| 54.2 |
Structural foreign exchange rate |
| 9.2 |
| 12.3 |
| 7.1 |
| 12.3 |
| 11.3 |
| 13.6 |
| 8.4 |
| 12.3 | | 11.2 |
| 13.6 |
| 8.4 |
| 12.1 |
Equity |
| 9.3 |
| 10.3 |
| 8.2 |
| 8.2 |
| 16.7 |
| 19.0 |
| 13.0 |
| 13.0 | | 14.2 |
| 19.0 |
| 10.4 |
| 10.4 |
Pipeline risk (1) |
| 5.9 |
| 12.7 |
| 3.4 |
| 12.7 |
| 3.1 |
| 4.4 |
| 1.4 |
| 3.4 | | 3.3 |
| 7.1 |
| 1.4 |
| 7.1 |
Diversification (2) |
| (41.1) |
| | | |
| (39.7) |
| (35.3) |
| |
| |
| 38.1 | | (34.4) |
| |
| |
| (29.9) |
Total |
| 63.0 |
| 73.8 |
| 52.9 |
| 61.8 |
| 59.9 |
| 83.5 |
| 52.1 |
| 83.5 | | 65.4 |
| 83.4 |
| 52.1 |
| 78.5 |
(1) | Pipeline risk is the risk of loss arising from Personal customers owning an option to draw down a loan – typically a mortgage – at a committed rate, where interest rate changes may result in greater or fewer customers than anticipated taking up the committed offer. |
(2) | NatWest Group benefits from diversification across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of the diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
- | On an average basis, total non-traded VaR for H1 2024 was broadly similar to H1 2023 and H2 2023. |
- | Interest rate VaR fell at the end of H1 2024, reflecting action taken to manage down interest rate repricing mismatches across customer products. |
- | After increasing significantly during H2 2023, credit spread VaR reduced towards the end of H1 2024. This was mainly driven by earlier loss events falling out of the VaR calculation window. |
- | Pipeline VaR increased, partly reflecting hedging modifications related to recent changes in customer behaviour through the fixed-rate mortgage application process. |
Structural hedging
NatWest Group has a significant pool of stable, non and low interest-bearing liabilities, principally comprising current accounts and instant access savings, as well as its equity and reserves. A proportion of these balances are hedged, either by investing directly in longer-term fixed-rate assets (such as fixed-rate mortgages) or by using interest rate swaps, which are generally booked as cash flow hedges of floating-rate assets, in order to provide a consistent and predictable revenue stream.
After hedging the net interest rate exposure, NatWest Group allocates income to equity or products in structural hedges by reference to the relevant interest rate swap curve. Over time, this approach has provided a basis for stable income attribution for management purposes, to products and interest rate returns. The programme aims to track a time series of medium-term swap rates, but the yield will be affected by changes in NatWest Group’s equity capital.
The table below shows hedge income, total yield, incremental income and the period-end and average notional balances allocated to equity and products in respect of the structural hedges managed by NatWest Group. Hedge income represents the fixed leg of the hedge. Incremental income represents the difference between hedge income and short-term cash rates. For example, the sterling overnight index average (SONIA) is used to estimate incremental income from sterling structural hedges.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| | 30 June 2024 | | 30 June 2023 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | | | Period | | | | |
| | Incremental | | Hedge | | -end | | Average | | Total | | Incremental | | Hedge | | -end | | Average | | Total | | Incremental | | Hedge | | -end | | Average | | Total |
| | income | | income | | notional | | notional | | yield | | income | | income | | notional | | notional | | yield | | income | | income | | notional | | notional | | yield |
|
| £m |
| £m |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| % |
| £m |
| £m |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| % |
| £m |
| £m |
| £bn |
| £bn |
| % |
Equity |
| (364) |
| 218 |
| 22 |
| 22 |
| 1.95 |
| (246) |
| 204 |
| 23 |
| 22 |
| 1.83 | | (365) |
| 214 |
| 22 |
| 23 |
| 1.91 |
Product |
| (3,184) |
| 1,392 |
| 175 |
| 176 |
| 1.58 |
| (2,773) | | 1,362 |
| 202 |
| 205 |
| 1.33 | | (3,548) |
| 1,460 |
| 185 |
| 193 |
| 1.51 |
Total |
| (3,548) |
| 1,610 |
| 197 |
| 198 |
| 1.62 |
| (3,019) |
| 1,566 |
| 225 |
| 227 |
| 1.38 | | (3,913) |
| 1,674 |
| 207 |
| 216 |
| 1.56 |
- | For commentary, refer to the following page. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 80 |
Risk and capital management continued
Non-traded market risk continued
Structural hedging
Equity structural hedges refer to income allocated primarily to equity and reserves. At 30 June 2024, the equity structural hedge notional was allocated between NWH Group and NWM Group in a ratio of approximately 78/22 respectively.
Product structural hedges refer to income allocated to customer products, mainly current accounts and customer deposits in Commercial & Institutional, Retail Banking and Private Banking.
At 30 June 2024, approximately 94% by notional of total structural hedges were sterling-denominated.
The following table presents the incremental income associated with product structural hedges at segment level.
| | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||||
|
| 30 June |
| 30 June |
| 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m |
Retail Banking |
| (1,354) |
| (1,156) |
| (1,488) |
Commercial & Institutional | | (1,617) | | (1,415) | | (1,798) |
Private Banking & Other |
| (212) |
| (202) |
| (262) |
Total |
| (3,184) |
| (2,773) |
| (3,548) |
- | The structural hedge notional fell, mainly reflecting recent changes in the deposit mix, including migration to term deposits. |
- | The five-year sterling swap rate rose to 3.99% at 30 June 2024 from 3.38% at 31 December 2023. The ten-year sterling swap rate also rose, to 3.88% from 3.29%. The structural hedge yield also rose to 1.62% in H1 2024 from 1.56% in H2 2023 and from 1.38% in H1 2023. |
- | Incremental income remained negative in H1 2024. Compared to the total yield of 1.62% in H1 2024, the sterling overnight cash rate (i.e. SONIA) in H1 2024 was 5.19% on average. |
Sensitivity of net interest earnings
Net interest earnings are sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates, mainly because maturing structural hedges are replaced at higher or lower rates and changes to coupons on managed rate customer products do not always match changes in market rates of interest or central bank policy rates.
Earnings sensitivity is derived from a market-implied forward rate curve, which will incorporate expected changes in central bank policy rates such as the Bank of England base rate. A simple scenario is shown that projects forward earnings based on the 30 June 2024 balance sheet, which is assumed to remain constant. An earnings projection is derived from the market-implied curve, which is then subject to interest rate shocks. The difference between the market-implied projection and the shock gives an indication of underlying sensitivity to interest rate movements.
Reported sensitivities should not be considered a forecast of future performance in these rate scenarios. Actions that could reduce interest earnings sensitivity include changes in pricing strategies on customer loans and deposits as well as hedging. Management action may also be taken to stabilise total income also taking into account non-interest income.
The table below shows the sensitivity of net interest earnings - for both structural hedges and managed rate accounts - on a one, two and three-year forward-looking basis to an upward or downward interest rate shift of 25 basis points.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | +25 basis points upward shift | | -25 basis points downward shift | ||||||||
| | Year 1 | | Year 2 | | Year 3 | | Year 1 | | Year 2 | | Year 3 |
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Structural hedges | | 42 | | 129 | | 216 | | (42) | | (129) | | (216) |
Managed margin |
| 93 | | 97 |
| 110 |
| (125) |
| (107) |
| (110) |
Total |
| 135 |
| 226 |
| 326 |
| (167) |
| (236) |
| (326) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Structural hedges |
| 44 |
| 138 |
| 227 |
| (44) |
| (138) |
| (227) |
Managed margin |
| 120 |
| 117 |
| 114 |
| (125) |
| (121) |
| (105) |
Total |
| 164 |
| 255 |
| 341 |
| (169) |
| (259) |
| (332) |
(1) | Earnings sensitivity considers only the main drivers, namely structural hedging and margin management. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 81 |
Risk and capital management continued
Non-traded market risk continued
Sensitivity of net interest earnings
The following table presents the one-year sensitivity to upward and downward 25-basis-point and 100-basis-point shifts in the yield curve, analysed by currency.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Shifts in yield curve | ||||||||||||||
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||
| | +25 basis | | -25 basis | | +100 basis | | -100 basis | | +25 basis | | -25 basis | | +100 basis | | -100 basis |
| | points | | points | | points | | points | | points | | points | | points | | points |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Euro |
| 1 |
| (5) |
| 5 |
| (16) |
| 7 |
| (11) |
| 38 |
| (45) |
Sterling |
| 121 |
| (149) |
| 487 |
| (614) |
| 138 |
| (139) |
| 504 |
| (577) |
US dollar |
| 10 |
| (9) |
| 46 |
| (47) |
| 14 |
| (14) |
| 54 |
| (56) |
Other |
| 3 | | (4) |
| 13 |
| (15) |
| 5 |
| (5) |
| 21 |
| (22) |
Total |
| 135 |
| (167) |
| 551 |
| (692) |
| 164 |
| (169) |
| 617 |
| (700) |
- | Changes in pass-through assumptions for managed-rate savings products contributed to the reduced sensitivity. |
Foreign exchange risk
The table below shows structural foreign currency exposures.
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Structural foreign | | | | Residual |
| | Net investments in | | Net investment | | currency exposures | | Economic | | structural foreign |
| | foreign operations | | in hedges | | pre-economic hedges | | hedges (1) | | currency exposures |
30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
US dollar |
| 1,201 |
| — |
| 1,201 |
| (1,201) |
| — |
Euro |
| 4,345 |
| (2,649) |
| 1,696 |
| — |
| 1,696 |
Other non-sterling |
| 864 |
| (386) |
| 478 |
| — |
| 478 |
Total |
| 6,410 |
| (3,035) |
| 3,375 |
| (1,201) |
| 2,174 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
US dollar |
| 1,185 |
| (228) |
| 957 |
| (957) |
| — |
Euro |
| 4,475 |
| (2,585) |
| 1,890 |
| — |
| 1,890 |
Other non-sterling |
| 963 |
| (429) |
| 534 |
| — |
| 534 |
Total |
| 6,623 |
| (3,242) |
| 3,381 |
| (957) |
| 2,424 |
(1) | Economic hedges of US dollar net investments in foreign operations represent US dollar equity securities that do not qualify as net investment hedges for accounting purposes. They provide an offset to structural foreign exchange exposures to the extent that there are net assets in overseas operations available. |
- | Changes in foreign currency exchange rates affect equity in proportion to structural foreign currency exposure. For example, a 5% strengthening or weakening in foreign currencies against sterling would result in a gain or loss of £159 million in equity, respectively. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 82 |
Risk and capital management continued
Traded market risk
Traded market risk is the risk arising from changes in fair value on positions, assets, liabilities or commitments in trading portfolios as a result of fluctuations in market prices.
Traded VaR (1-day 99%)
The table below shows one-day internal value-at-risk (VaR) for NatWest Group’s trading portfolios, split by exposure type.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Half year ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| | 30 June 2024 | | 30 June 2023 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||
| | | | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | Period | | | | | | | | Period |
| | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end | | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end | | Average | | Maximum | | Minimum | | end |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Interest rate |
| 6.7 |
| 12.0 |
| 3.6 |
| 6.6 |
| 9.0 |
| 19.3 |
| 4.3 |
| 16.5 |
| 10.5 | | 17.3 | | 4.4 | | 7.4 |
Credit spread |
| 8.1 |
| 10.1 |
| 6.7 |
| 7.6 |
| 5.9 |
| 6.9 |
| 4.9 |
| 6.1 |
| 6.4 | | 7.1 | | 5.3 | | 6.8 |
Currency |
| 2.1 |
| 6.7 |
| 0.8 |
| 1.9 |
| 2.1 |
| 4.9 |
| 1.0 |
| 1.5 |
| 2.4 | | 7.0 | | 0.9 | | 1.8 |
Equity |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| — |
| — | | 0.1 | | — | | 0.1 |
Diversification (1) |
| (6.8) |
| | | |
| (5.5) |
| (6.8) |
| |
|
|
| (6.3) |
| (6.9) | | | | | | (7.2) |
Total |
| 10.2 |
| 16.2 |
| 7.0 |
| 10.7 |
| 10.2 |
| 17.8 |
| 6.6 |
| 17.8 |
| 12.4 | | 20.0 | | 8.4 | | 8.9 |
(1) | NatWest Group benefits from diversification across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of the diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time. The diversification factor is the sum of the VaR on individual risk types less the total portfolio VaR. |
- | The decrease in average interest rate VaR and total VaR, compared to 2023, reflected a decrease in yield curve risk in sterling and euro flow trading. |
- | The increase in average credit spread VaR mainly reflected a net longer credit profile over the period. |
Pension risk
On 31 May 2024, the Trustee of the Group Pension Fund entered into a buy-in transaction with a third-party insurer for some of the liabilities of the Main section. This is an insurance policy that gives the Fund protection against demographic and investment risks, so improves the security of member benefits. The transaction has not affected the 2024 statement of comprehensive income because the net pension asset is limited to zero due to the impact of the asset ceiling.
Compliance and conduct risk
A ring-fencing attestation was completed and submitted to the PRA on 29 March 2024. The annual Board Consumer Duty assessment concluded that NatWest Group is meeting its obligations. Following the second phase of Consumer Duty rules coming into force on 31 July 2024, planning is centred around embedding and enhancing ongoing work, including reporting on good customer outcomes, and Group-wide communications.
NatWest Markets has a programme in place to review, remediate and enhance certain areas of its business. The results of this will be shared with the Department of Justice Monitor and other regulators, with the ongoing work plan continuing to be assessed for potential impact.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 83 |
Condensed consolidated income statement
for the period ended 30 June 2024 (unaudited)
| | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | ||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 | |
|
| £m |
| £m |
|
Interest receivable |
| 12,290 |
| 9,482 |
|
Interest payable |
| (6,882) |
| (3,756) |
|
Net interest income |
| 5,408 |
| 5,726 |
|
Fees and commissions receivable |
| 1,567 |
| 1,459 |
|
Fees and commissions payable |
| (348) |
| (315) |
|
Trading income |
| 350 |
| 418 |
|
Other operating income |
| 157 |
| 439 |
|
Non-interest income |
| 1,726 |
| 2,001 |
|
Total income |
| 7,134 |
| 7,727 |
|
Staff costs |
| (2,147) |
| (2,005) |
|
Premises and equipment |
| (579) |
| (570) |
|
Other administrative expenses |
| (823) |
| (871) |
|
Depreciation and amortisation |
| (508) |
| (469) |
|
Operating expenses |
| (4,057) |
| (3,915) |
|
Profit before impairment losses |
| 3,077 |
| 3,812 |
|
Impairment losses |
| (48) |
| (223) |
|
Operating profit before tax |
| 3,029 |
| 3,589 |
|
Tax charge |
| (801) |
| (1,061) |
|
Profit from continuing operations |
| 2,228 |
| 2,528 |
|
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax | | 11 | | (108) | |
Profit for the period | | 2,239 | | 2,420 | |
| | | | | |
Attributable to: | | | | | |
Ordinary shareholders |
| 2,099 |
| 2,299 |
|
Paid-in equity holders | | 129 | | 121 | |
Non-controlling interests |
| 11 |
| — |
|
| | 2,239 |
| 2,420 | |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
Earnings per ordinary share - continuing operations | | 24.1 | p | 25.4 | p |
Earnings per ordinary share - discontinued operations | | 0.1 | p | (1.1) | p |
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - basic | | 24.2 | p | 24.3 | p |
Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted continuing operations | | 23.9 | p | 25.2 | p |
Earnings per ordinary share - fully diluted discontinued operations |
| 0.1 | p | (1.1) | p |
Total earnings per share attributable to ordinary shareholders - fully diluted | | 24.0 | p | 24.1 | p |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 84 |
Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income
for the period ended 30 June 2024 (unaudited)
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June | | 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Profit for the period |
| 2,239 |
| 2,420 |
Items that will not be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss: | | | | |
Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes | | (60) | | (64) |
Changes in fair value of financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL) due to changes in credit risk | | (26) | | (4) |
FVOCI financial assets | | (33) | | 30 |
Tax |
| 44 |
| 7 |
|
| (75) |
| (31) |
Items that will be reclassified subsequently to profit or loss when specific conditions are met: | | | | |
FVOCI financial assets |
| 41 |
| 53 |
Cash flow hedges (1) |
| 121 |
| (734) |
Currency translation |
| (42) |
| (469) |
Tax |
| (57) |
| 127 |
|
| 63 |
| (1,023) |
Other comprehensive losses after tax |
| (12) |
| (1,054) |
Total comprehensive income for the period |
| 2,227 |
| 1,366 |
| | | | |
Attributable to: | | | | |
Ordinary shareholders |
| 2,087 |
| 1,245 |
Paid-in equity holders |
| 129 |
| 121 |
Non-controlling interests |
| 11 |
| — |
|
| 2,227 |
| 1,366 |
(1) | Refer to footnote 3 of the consolidated statement of changes in equity. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 85 |
Condensed consolidated balance sheet
as at 30 June 2024 (unaudited)
| | | | |
| | 30 June | | 31 December |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Assets | | | | |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| 115,833 |
| 104,262 |
Trading assets | | 45,974 | | 45,551 |
Derivatives | | 67,514 | | 78,904 |
Settlement balances |
| 6,260 |
| 7,231 |
Loans to banks - amortised cost |
| 5,974 |
| 6,914 |
Loans to customers - amortised cost |
| 379,331 |
| 381,433 |
Other financial assets |
| 52,604 |
| 51,102 |
Intangible assets |
| 7,590 |
| 7,614 |
Other assets |
| 8,266 |
| 8,760 |
Assets of disposal groups | | 992 | | 902 |
Total assets |
| 690,338 |
| 692,673 |
| | | | |
Liabilities | | | | |
Bank deposits | | 25,626 | | 22,190 |
Customer deposits | | 432,975 | | 431,377 |
Settlement balances |
| 7,142 |
| 6,645 |
Trading liabilities |
| 54,167 |
| 53,636 |
Derivatives | | 60,849 | | 72,395 |
Other financial liabilities | | 58,275 | | 55,089 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| 6,032 |
| 5,714 |
Notes in circulation | | 3,254 | | 3,237 |
Other liabilities |
| 4,455 |
| 5,202 |
Total liabilities |
| 652,775 |
| 655,485 |
| | | | |
Equity | | | | |
Ordinary shareholders’ interests | | 32,831 | | 33,267 |
Other owners’ interests |
| 4,690 |
| 3,890 |
Owners’ equity | | 37,521 | | 37,157 |
Non-controlling interests |
| 42 |
| 31 |
Total equity |
| 37,563 |
| 37,188 |
| | | | |
Total liabilities and equity |
| 690,338 |
| 692,673 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 86 |
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the period ended 30 June 2024 (unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Share |
| |
| Other |
| |
| Other reserves |
| Total |
| Non |
| | ||||||
| | capital and | | Paid-in | | statutory | | Retained | | | | Cash flow | | Foreign | | | | owners’ | | controlling | | Total |
| | share premium | | equity | | reserves (4) | | earnings | | Fair value |
| hedging |
| exchange |
| Merger | | equity | | interests | | equity |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 | | 10,844 | | 3,890 | | 2,004 | | 10,645 | | (49) | | (1,899) | | 841 | | 10,881 | | 37,157 | | 31 | | 37,188 |
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders and other equity owners | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- continuing operations | | — | | — | | — | | 2,217 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 2,217 | | 11 | | 2,228 |
- discontinued operations | | — | | — | | — | | 11 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 11 | | — | | 11 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other comprehensive income | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Realised gains in period on FVOCI equity shares | | — | | — | | — | | 2 | | (2) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes | | — | | — | | — | | (60) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (60) | | — | | (60) |
Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk | | — | | — | | — | | (26) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (26) | | — | | (26) |
Unrealised gains | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 1 | | — | | — | | — | | 1 | | — | | 1 |
Amounts recognised in equity (3) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (559) | | — | | — | | (559) | | — | | (559) |
Retranslation of net assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (118) | | — | | (118) | | — | | (118) |
Gains on hedges of net assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 79 | | — | | 79 | | — | | 79 |
Amount transferred from equity to earnings | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 7 | | 680 | | (3) | | — | | 684 | | — | | 684 |
Tax | | — | | — | | — | | 32 | | — | | (34) | | (11) | | — | | (13) | | — | | (13) |
Total comprehensive income/(loss) | | — | | — | | — | | 2,176 | | 6 | | 87 | | (53) | | — | | 2,216 | | 11 | | 2,227 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Transactions with owners | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ordinary share dividends paid | | — | | — | | — | | (1,008) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (1,008) | | — | | (1,008) |
Paid in equity dividends | | — | | — | | — | | (129) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (129) | | — | | (129) |
Securities issued | | — | | 800 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 800 | | — | | 800 |
Shares repurchased during the period (1,2) | | (411) | | — | | 411 | | (1,118) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (1,118) | | — | | (1,118) |
Share based remuneration and shares vested under employee share schemes | | — | | — | | 128 | | 15 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 143 | | — | | 143 |
Own shares acquired | | — | | — | | (540) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (540) | | — | | (540) |
Acquisition of subsidiary | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
At 30 June 2024 | | 10,433 | | 4,690 | | 2,003 | | 10,581 | | (43) | | (1,812) | | 788 | | 10,881 | | 37,521 | | 42 | | 37,563 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 87 |
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the period ended 30 June 2023 (unaudited) continued
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Share |
| |
| Other |
| |
| Other reserves |
| Total |
| Non |
| | ||||||
| | capital and | | Paid-in | | statutory | | Retained | | |
| Cash flow |
| Foreign |
| | | owners’ |
| controlling |
| Total |
| | share premium | | equity | | reserves (4) | | earnings | | Fair value | | hedging (3) | | exchange | | Merger | | equity | | interests | | equity |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 11,700 | | 3,890 | | 1,393 | | 10,019 | | (102) | | (2,771) | | 1,478 | | 10,881 | | 36,488 | | 8 | | 36,496 |
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders and other equity owners | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- continuing operations | | — | | — | | — | | 2,528 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 2,528 | | — | | 2,528 |
- discontinued operations | | — | | — | | — | | (108) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (108) | | — | | (108) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other comprehensive income | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Realised gains in period on FVOCI equity shares | | — | | — | | — | | 7 | | (7) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — |
Remeasurement of retirement benefit schemes | | — | | — | | — | | (64) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (64) | | — | | (64) |
Changes in fair value of credit in financial liabilities designated at FVTPL due to own credit risk | | — | | — | | — | | (4) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (4) | | — | | (4) |
Unrealised gains | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 60 | | — | | — | | — | | 60 | | — | | 60 |
Amounts recognised in equity (3) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (948) | | — | | — | | (948) | | — | | (948) |
Retranslation of net assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (308) | | — | | (308) | | — | | (308) |
Gains on hedges of net assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 162 | | — | | 162 | | — | | 162 |
Amount transferred from equity to earnings (5) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 23 | | 214 | | (322) | | — | | (85) | | — | | (85) |
Tax | | — | | — | | — | | 12 | | (16) | | 161 | | (24) | | — | | 133 | | — | | 133 |
Total comprehensive income/(loss) | | — | | — | | — | | 2,371 | | 60 | | (573) | | (492) | | — | | 1,366 | | — | | 1,366 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Transactions with owners | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ordinary share dividends paid | | — | | — | | — | | (965) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (965) | | — | | (965) |
Paid in equity dividends | | — | | — | | — | | (121) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (121) | | — | | (121) |
Shares repurchased during the period (1,2) | | (687) | | — | | 687 | | (1,713) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (1,713) | | — | | (1,713) |
Share based remuneration and shares vested under employee share schemes | | — | | — | | 77 | | (15) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 62 | | — | | 62 |
Own shares acquired | | — | | — | | (359) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | (359) | | — | | (359) |
Acquisition of subsidiary | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 32 | | 32 |
At 30 June 2023 | | 11,013 | | 3,890 | | 1,798 | | 9,576 | | (42) | | (3,344) | | 986 | | 10,881 | | 34,758 | | 40 | | 34,798 |
(1) | As part of the On Market Share Buyback Programmes NatWest Group plc repurchased and cancelled 161.9 million (June 2023– 301.4 million) shares, of which 2.2 million were settled in July 2024. The total consideration of these shares excluding fees was £410.8 million (June 2023 – £804.2 million), of which £6.8 million were settled in July 2024. Included in the retained earnings reserve movement is 2.3 million shares which were repurchased and cancelled in December 2023, settled in January 2024 for a total consideration of £4.9 million. The nominal value of the share cancellations has been transferred to the capital redemption reserve. |
(2) | In June 2024, there was an agreement to buy 392.4 million (May 2023 - 469.2 million) ordinary shares of the Company from His Majesty’s Treasury (HM Treasury) at 316.2 pence per share (May 2023 - 268.4 pence per share) for total consideration of £1.2 billion (2023 - £1.3 billion). NatWest Group cancelled 222.4 million (336.2 million) of the purchased ordinary shares, amounting to £706.9 million (2023 - £906.9 million) excluding fees and held the remaining 170.0 million (2023 - 133 million) shares as Own Shares Held, amounting to £540.2 million (2023 - £358.8 million) excluding fees. The nominal value of the share cancellation has been transferred to the capital redemption reserve. |
(3) | The change in the cash flow hedging reserve is driven from realised accrued interest transferred into the income statement. This is offset by a loss due to an increase in swap rates compared to 31 December 2023. The portfolio of hedging instruments is predominantly receive fixed swaps. The unrealised losses on cash flow hedge reserves are mainly driven by deferral of losses on GBP net received fixed swaps as interest rates have increased. |
(4) | Other statutory reserves consist of Capital redemption reserves of £2,918 million (2023 - £2,338 million) and Own shares held reserves of £915 million (2023 - £540 million). |
(5) | Includes £305 million FX recycled to profit or loss upon completion of a capital repayment by UBIDAC in 2023. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 88 |
Condensed consolidated cash flow statement
for the period ended 30 June 2024 (unaudited)
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June |
| 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Cash flows from operating activities | | | | |
Operating profit before tax from continuing operations | | 3,029 | | 3,589 |
Operating profit/(loss) before tax from discontinued operations | | 11 | | (108) |
Adjustments for non-cash and other items | | 2,284 | | 2,133 |
Net cash flows from trading activities | | 5,324 | | 5,614 |
Changes in operating assets and liabilities | | 9,625 | | (17,376) |
Net cash flows from operating activities before tax | | 14,949 | | (11,762) |
Income taxes paid | | (877) | | (631) |
Net cash flows from operating activities | | 14,072 | | (12,393) |
Net cash flows from investing activities | | (1,524) | | (2,833) |
Net cash flows from financing activities | | (2,350) | | (3,260) |
Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | | (778) | | (1,801) |
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | | 9,420 | | (20,287) |
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period | | 118,824 | | 158,449 |
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | | 128,244 | | 138,162 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 89 |
Notes
1. Presentation of condensed consolidated financial statements
The condensed consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F. The accounting policies are the same as those applied in the consolidated financial statements.
The directors have prepared the condensed consolidated financial statements on a going concern basis after assessing the principal risks, forecasts, projections and other relevant evidence over the twelve months from the date they are approved and in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting, as adopted by the UK and as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), and the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules sourcebook of the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority.
Amendments to IFRS effective from 1 January 2024 had no material effect on the condensed consolidated financial statements.
2. Net interest income
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June |
| 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
Continuing operations |
| £m |
| £m |
Balances at central banks and loans to banks - amortised cost | | 2,070 | | 1,722 |
Loans to customers - amortised cost |
| 8,924 |
| 7,130 |
Other financial assets |
| 1,296 |
| 630 |
Interest receivable |
| 12,290 |
| 9,482 |
| | | | |
Balances with banks |
| 695 |
| 402 |
Customer deposits |
| 4,151 |
| 1,695 |
Other financial liabilities |
| 1,575 |
| 1,345 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| 237 |
| 221 |
Internal funding of trading businesses |
| 224 |
| 93 |
Interest payable |
| 6,882 |
| 3,756 |
| | | | |
Net interest income |
| 5,408 |
| 5,726 |
Notes continued
3. Non-interest income
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June |
| 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
Continuing operations | | £m | | £m |
Net fees and commissions (1) | | 1,219 | | 1,144 |
| | | | |
Foreign exchange |
| 140 |
| 125 |
Interest rate (2) |
| 298 |
| 315 |
Credit |
| (82) |
| (34) |
Changes in fair value of own debt and derivative liabilities attributable to own credit risk - debt securities in issue | | (7) | | 9 |
Equities, commodities and other |
| 1 |
| 3 |
Income from trading activities |
| 350 |
| 418 |
| | | | |
Profit on redemption of own debt |
| — |
| 2 |
Rental income on operating lease assets and investment property | | 116 | | 118 |
Changes in fair value of financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss (3) | | (43) | | (3) |
Hedge ineffectiveness |
| 12 |
| 49 |
Loss on disposal of amortised cost assets and liabilities | | (1) | | (2) |
Loss on disposal of fair value through other comprehensive income assets |
| (4) |
| (24) |
Share of profit/(loss) of associated entities |
| 9 |
| (17) |
Other income (4) |
| 68 |
| 316 |
Other operating income | | 157 | | 439 |
| | | | |
Non-interest income | | 1,726 | | 2,001 |
(1) | Refer to Note 5 for further analysis. |
(2) | Includes fair value changes on derivatives which have not been designated in a hedge accounting relationship and gains and losses from the management of the NatWest Group’s funding requirements involving the use of derivatives including FX. These are aimed at managing the interest rate and foreign exchange risk that NatWest Group is exposed to. |
(3) | Includes related derivatives. |
(4) | Includes income from instruments that have failed solely payments of principal and interest testing under IFRS 9. 30 June 2023 Includes £305 million FX recycled to profit or loss upon completion of a capital repayment by UBIDAC. |
Notes continued
4. Operating expenses
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June | | 30 June |
|
| 2024 |
| 2023 |
Continuing operations | | £m | | £m |
Salaries |
| 1,254 |
| 1,252 |
Bonus awards | | 223 | | 217 |
Temporary and contract costs | | 80 | | 106 |
Social security costs |
| 187 |
| 180 |
Pension costs | | 169 | | 151 |
- defined benefit schemes |
| 59 |
| 60 |
- defined contribution schemes |
| 110 |
| 91 |
Other |
| 234 |
| 99 |
Staff costs |
| 2,147 |
| 2,005 |
| | | | |
Premises and equipment |
| 579 |
| 570 |
Depreciation and amortisation (1) |
| 508 |
| 469 |
Other administrative expenses |
| 823 |
| 871 |
Administrative expenses |
| 1,910 |
| 1,910 |
Operating expenses | | 4,057 | | 3,915 |
(1) | Includes depreciation on right of use assets of £53 million (30 June 2023- £53 million). |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 92 |
Notes continued
5. Segmental analysis
The business is organised into the following reportable segments: Retail Banking, Private Banking, Commercial & Institutional and Central items & other.
Analysis of operating profit/(loss) before tax
The following tables provide a segmental analysis of operating profit/(loss) before tax by the main income statement captions.
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Retail |
| Private |
| Commercial & |
| Central items |
| |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
Half year ended 30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Net interest income | | 2,475 | | 285 | | 2,543 | | 105 | | 5,408 |
Net fees and commissions | | 211 | | 142 | | 866 | | — | | 1,219 |
Other non-interest income | | 4 | | 17 | | 391 | | 95 | | 507 |
Total income | | 2,690 | | 444 | | 3,800 | | 200 | | 7,134 |
Depreciation and amortisation | | (1) | | — | | (76) | | (431) | | (508) |
Other operating expenses | | (1,469) | | (356) | | (2,074) | | 350 | | (3,549) |
Impairment (losses)/releases | | (122) | | 11 | | 57 | | 6 | | (48) |
Operating profit | | 1,098 | | 99 | | 1,707 | | 125 | | 3,029 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Half year ended 30 June 2023 | | | | | | | | | | |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Net interest income |
| 2,908 |
| 428 |
| 2,504 |
| (114) |
| 5,726 |
Net fees and commissions |
| 206 |
| 125 |
| 821 |
| (8) |
| 1,144 |
Other non-interest income |
| 6 |
| 14 |
| 423 |
| 414 |
| 857 |
Total income |
| 3,120 |
| 567 |
| 3,748 |
| 292 |
| 7,727 |
Depreciation and amortisation |
| — |
| — |
| (78) |
| (391) |
| (469) |
Other operating expenses |
| (1,367) |
| (322) |
| (1,909) |
| 152 |
| (3,446) |
Impairment (losses)/releases |
| (193) |
| (11) |
| (20) |
| 1 |
| (223) |
Operating profit |
| 1,560 |
| 234 |
| 1,741 |
| 54 |
| 3,589 |
Notes continued
5. Segmental analysis continued
Total revenue (1)
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
Half year ended 30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
External |
| 4,331 |
| 614 |
| 7,072 |
| 2,347 |
| 14,364 |
Inter-segmental |
| 7 |
| 715 |
| (936) |
| 214 |
| — |
Total |
| 4,338 |
| 1,329 |
| 6,136 |
| 2,561 |
| 14,364 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Half year ended 30 June 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
External |
| 3,419 |
| 550 |
| 5,734 |
| 2,095 |
| 11,798 |
Inter-segmental |
| 1 |
| 418 |
| (720) |
| 301 |
| — |
Total |
| 3,420 |
| 968 |
| 5,014 |
| 2,396 |
| 11,798 |
(1) | Total revenue comprises interest receivable, fees and commissions receivable, income from trading activities and other operating income. |
Total assets and liabilities
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | |
|
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
30 June 2024 |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Assets |
| 226,457 |
| 27,172 |
| 381,899 |
| 54,810 |
| 690,338 |
Liabilities |
| 195,454 |
| 39,745 |
| 356,539 |
| 61,037 |
| 652,775 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
| 228,684 |
| 26,894 |
| 384,958 |
| 52,137 |
| 692,673 |
Liabilities |
| 191,936 |
| 37,806 |
| 359,766 |
| 65,977 |
| 655,485 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 94 |
Notes continued
5. Segmental analysis continued
Analysis of net fees and commissions
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Central items | | |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | & other | | Total |
Half year ended 30 June 2024 | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Fees and commissions receivable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Payment services | | 165 | | 20 | | 335 | | — | | 520 |
- Credit and debit card fees |
| 196 |
| 6 |
| 130 |
| 2 |
| 334 |
- Lending and financing |
| 9 |
| 3 |
| 372 |
| — |
| 384 |
- Brokerage |
| 17 |
| 4 |
| 21 |
| — |
| 42 |
- Investment management, trustee and fiduciary services | | 1 | | 113 | | 24 | | 9 | | 147 |
- Underwriting fees |
| — |
| — |
| 93 |
| — | | 93 |
- Other |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 52 |
| (15) |
| 47 |
Total |
| 392 |
| 152 |
| 1,027 |
| (4) |
| 1,567 |
Fees and commissions payable |
| (181) |
| (10) |
| (161) |
| 4 |
| (348) |
Net fees and commissions |
| 211 |
| 142 |
| 866 |
| — |
| 1,219 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Half year ended 30 June 2023 | | | | | | | | | | |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Fees and commissions receivable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Payment services | | 159 | | 16 | | 332 | | 3 | | 510 |
- Credit and debit card fees |
| 197 |
| 6 |
| 129 |
| 2 |
| 334 |
- Lending and financing |
| 8 | | 3 | | 335 | | 1 | | 347 |
- Brokerage |
| 18 |
| 3 |
| 21 |
| — |
| 42 |
- Investment management, trustee and fiduciary services |
| 1 |
| 105 |
| 22 |
| — | | 128 |
- Underwriting fees |
| — |
| — |
| 71 |
| — |
| 71 |
- Other |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 31 |
| (7) |
| 27 |
Total |
| 384 |
| 135 |
| 941 |
| (1) |
| 1,459 |
Fees and commissions payable |
| (178) |
| (10) |
| (120) |
| (7) |
| (315) |
Net fees and commissions |
| 206 |
| 125 |
| 821 |
| (8) |
| 1,144 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 95 |
Notes continued
6. Tax
The actual tax charge differs from the expected tax charge computed by applying the standard UK corporation tax rate of 25% (2023 – 23.5)%, as analysed below:
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June |
| 30 June |
|
| 2024 | | 2023 |
Continuing operations | | £m | | £m |
Profit before tax | | 3,029 | | 3,589 |
| | | | |
Expected tax charge |
| (757) | | (843) |
Losses and temporary differences in period where no deferred tax assets recognised |
| (10) | | (38) |
Foreign profits taxed at other rates |
| 17 | | (21) |
Items not allowed for tax: | | | | |
- losses on disposals and write-downs |
| (9) | | (1) |
- UK Bank Levy |
| (16) | | (12) |
- regulatory and legal actions |
| (3) | | (3) |
- other disallowable items |
| (17) | | (18) |
Non-taxable items: | | | | |
- FX recycling on UBIDAC capital reduction | | — | | 75 |
- RPI-related uplift on index-linked gilts | | 18 | | 6 |
- other non-taxable items | | 4 | | 8 |
Taxable foreign exchange movements |
| 2 | | 6 |
Unrecognised losses bought forward and utilised |
| 12 | | 8 |
Banking surcharge |
| (81) | | (144) |
Pillar 2 top-up tax | | (11) | | — |
Tax on paid-in equity dividends | | 33 | | 22 |
Adjustments in respect of prior years | | 17 | | (106) |
Actual tax charge |
| (801) | | (1,061) |
At 30 June 2024, NatWest Group has recognised a deferred tax asset of £1,719 million (31 December 2023 - £1,894 million) and a deferred tax liability of £108 million (31 December 2023 - £141 million). These amounts include deferred tax assets recognised in respect of trading losses of £853 million (31 December 2023 - £1,019 million). NatWest Group has considered the carrying value of these assets as at 30 June 2024 and concluded that they are recoverable.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 96 |
Notes continued
7. Financial instruments - classification
The following tables analyse financial assets and liabilities in accordance with the categories of financial instruments in IFRS 9.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | Amortised | | Other |
| |
| | MFVTPL | | DFV | | FVOCI | | cost | | assets |
| Total |
Assets |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| — |
| — | | — |
| 115,833 |
| — | | 115,833 |
Trading assets | | 45,974 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 45,974 |
Derivatives (1) | | 67,514 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 67,514 |
Settlement balances |
| — | | — | | — | | 6,260 | | — | | 6,260 |
Loans to banks - amortised cost (2) |
| — |
| — | | — |
| 5,974 |
| — | | 5,974 |
Loans to customers - amortised cost (3) |
| — |
| — | | — |
| 379,331 |
| — | | 379,331 |
Other financial assets |
| 716 | | 5 | | 27,954 |
| 23,929 |
| — | | 52,604 |
Intangible assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 7,590 | | 7,590 |
Other assets |
| — | | — | | — | | — |
| 8,266 | | 8,266 |
Assets of disposal groups (4) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 992 | | 992 |
30 June 2024 |
| 114,204 |
| 5 | | 27,954 |
| 531,327 |
| 16,848 |
| 690,338 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and balances at central banks | | — | | — | | — | | 104,262 | | — | | 104,262 |
Trading assets | | 45,551 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 45,551 |
Derivatives (1) | | 78,904 | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 78,904 |
Settlement balances | | — | | — | | — | | 7,231 | | — | | 7,231 |
Loans to banks - amortised cost (2) | | — | | — | | — | | 6,914 | | — | | 6,914 |
Loans to customers - amortised cost (3) | | — | | — | | — | | 381,433 | | — | | 381,433 |
Other financial assets | | 703 | | 5 | | 28,699 | | 21,695 | | — | | 51,102 |
Intangible assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 7,614 | | 7,614 |
Other assets | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 8,760 | | 8,760 |
Assets of disposal groups (4) | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 902 | | 902 |
31 December 2023 |
| 125,158 |
| 5 | | 28,699 |
| 521,535 |
| 17,276 |
| 692,673 |
For the notes to this table refer to the following page.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 97 |
Notes continued
7. Financial instruments - classification continued
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Held-for- | | | | Amortised | | Other | | |
|
| trading |
| DFV |
| cost |
| liabilities |
| Total |
Liabilities |
| £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Bank deposits (5) |
| — |
| — | | 25,626 |
| — |
| 25,626 |
Customer deposits |
| — |
| — | | 432,975 |
| — |
| 432,975 |
Settlement balances |
| — |
| — | | 7,142 |
| — |
| 7,142 |
Trading liabilities | | 54,167 | | — | | — | | — | | 54,167 |
Derivatives (1) |
| 60,849 |
| — | | — |
| — |
| 60,849 |
Other financial liabilities (6) |
| — |
| 3,288 | | 54,987 |
| — |
| 58,275 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| — |
| 229 | | 5,803 |
| — |
| 6,032 |
Notes in circulation | | — | | — | | 3,254 | | — | | 3,254 |
Other liabilities (7) |
| — |
| — | | 666 |
| 3,789 |
| 4,455 |
30 June 2024 |
| 115,016 |
| 3,517 | | 530,453 |
| 3,789 |
| 652,775 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Bank deposits (5) |
| — |
| — | | 22,190 |
| — |
| 22,190 |
Customer deposits |
| — |
| — | | 431,377 |
| — |
| 431,377 |
Settlement balances |
| — |
| — | | 6,645 |
| — |
| 6,645 |
Trading liabilities |
| 53,636 |
| — | | — |
| — |
| 53,636 |
Derivatives (1) |
| 72,395 |
| — | | — |
| — |
| 72,395 |
Other financial liabilities (6) |
| — |
| 2,888 | | 52,201 |
| — |
| 55,089 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| — |
| 237 | | 5,477 |
| — |
| 5,714 |
Notes in circulation | | — | | — | | 3,237 | | — | | 3,237 |
Other liabilities (7) |
| — |
| — | | 748 |
| 4,454 |
| 5,202 |
31 December 2023 |
| 126,031 |
| 3,125 | | 521,875 |
| 4,454 |
| 655,485 |
(1) | Includes net hedging derivative assets of £103 million (31 December 2023 - £114 million) and net hedging derivative liabilities of £359 million (31 December 2023 - £270 million). |
(2) | Includes items in the course of collection from other banks of £281 million (31 December 2023 - £255 million). |
(3) | Includes finance lease receivables of £8,974 million (31 December 2023 - £8,731 million). |
(4) | Includes £972 million (31 December 2023 - £841 million) of assets of disposal groups held at FVTPL. The portfolio is classified as level 3 in the fair value hierarchy. |
(5) | Includes items in the course of transmission to other banks of £496 million (31 December 2023 - £92 million). |
(6) | The carrying amount of other customer accounts designated at fair value through profit or loss is the same as the principal amount for both periods. No amounts have been recognised in the profit or loss for changes in credit risk associated with these liabilities as the changes are immaterial both during the period and cumulatively. |
(7) | Includes lease liabilities of £610 million (31 December 2023 - £670 million), held at amortised cost. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 98 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments - valuation
Disclosures relating to the control environment, valuation techniques and related aspects pertaining to financial instruments measured at fair value are included in NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F. Valuation, sensitivity methodologies and inputs at 30 June 2024 are consistent with those described in Note 11 to NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F.
Fair value hierarchy
The table below shows the assets and liabilities held by NatWest Group split by fair value hierarchy level. Level 1 are considered the most liquid instruments, and level 3 the most illiquid, valued using expert judgment and hence carry the most significant price uncertainty.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||||||
|
| Level 1 |
| Level 2 |
| Level 3 | | Total |
| Level 1 |
| Level 2 |
| Level 3 | | Total |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
Trading assets |
| |
| |
| | | |
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
Loans |
| — |
| 26,008 |
| 230 | | 26,238 |
| — |
| 33,388 |
| 209 | | 33,597 |
Securities |
| 15,097 |
| 4,639 |
| — | | 19,736 |
| 8,447 |
| 3,493 |
| 14 | | 11,954 |
Derivatives |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest rate | | — | | 40,364 | | 561 | | 40,925 | | 1 | | 43,912 | | 650 | | 44,563 |
Foreign exchange | | — | | 26,314 | | 132 | | 26,446 | | — | | 34,096 | | 65 | | 34,161 |
Other | | — | | 74 | | 69 | | 143 | | — | | 72 | | 108 | | 180 |
Other financial assets |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loans |
| — |
| 352 |
| 416 | | 768 |
| — |
| 108 |
| 657 | | 765 |
Securities |
| 17,969 |
| 9,690 |
| 248 | | 27,907 |
| 17,848 |
| 10,536 |
| 258 | | 28,642 |
Total financial assets held at fair value |
| 33,066 |
| 107,441 |
| 1,656 | | 142,163 |
| 26,296 |
| 125,605 |
| 1,961 | | 153,862 |
As a % of total fair value assets | | 23 | % | 76 | % | 1 | % | — | | 17 | % | 82 | % | 1 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Liabilities |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
Trading liabilities |
| | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
| | |
|
Deposits |
| — |
| 44,151 |
| — | | 44,151 |
| — |
| 43,126 |
| 1 | | 43,127 |
Debt securities in issue |
| — |
| 307 |
| — | | 307 |
| — |
| 706 |
| — | | 706 |
Short positions |
| 7,843 |
| 1,864 |
| 2 | | 9,709 |
| 7,936 |
| 1,865 |
| 2 | | 9,803 |
Derivatives |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest rate | | — | | 34,698 | | 440 | | 35,138 | | — | | 38,044 | | 439 | | 38,483 |
Foreign exchange | | — | | 25,374 | | 67 | | 25,441 | | — | | 33,528 | | 58 | | 33,586 |
Other | | — | | 119 | | 151 | | 270 | | — | | 138 | | 188 | | 326 |
Other financial liabilities |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Debt securities in issue |
| — |
| 1,636 |
| 3 | | 1,639 |
| — |
| 1,605 |
| 3 | | 1,608 |
Other deposits |
| — |
| 1,626 |
| 23 | | 1,649 |
| — |
| 1,280 |
| — | | 1,280 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| — |
| 229 |
| — | | 229 |
| — |
| 237 |
| — | | 237 |
Total financial liabilities held at fair value | | 7,843 | | 110,004 | | 686 | | 118,533 | | 7,936 | | 120,529 | | 691 | | 129,156 |
As a % of total fair value liabilities |
| 7 | % | 92 | % | 1 | % | — |
| 6 | % | 93 | % | 1 | % | |
(1) | Level 1 - Instruments valued using unadjusted quoted prices in active and liquid markets, for identical financial instruments. Examples include government bonds, listed equity shares and certain exchange-traded derivatives. |
Level 2 - Instruments valued using valuation techniques that have observable inputs. Observable inputs are those that are readily available with limited adjustments required. Examples include most government agency securities, investment-grade corporate bonds, certain mortgage products - including CLOs, most bank loans, repos and reverse repos, state and municipal obligations, most notes issued, certain money market securities, loan commitments and most OTC derivatives.
Level 3 - Instruments valued using a valuation technique where at least one input which could have a significant effect on the instrument’s valuation, is not based on observable market data. Examples include non-derivative instruments which trade infrequently, certain syndicated and commercial mortgage loans, private equity, and derivatives with unobservable model inputs.
(2) | Transfers between levels are deemed to have occurred at the beginning of the quarter in which the instrument was transferred. |
(3) | For an analysis of debt securities held at mandatorily fair value through profit or loss by issuer as well as ratings and derivatives, by type and contract, refer to Risk and capital management – Credit risk. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 99 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments – valuation continued
Valuation adjustments
When valuing financial instruments in the trading book, adjustments are made to mid-market valuations to cover bid-offer spread, funding and credit risk. These adjustments are presented in the table below. For further information refer to the descriptions of valuation adjustments within ‘Financial instruments – valuation’ on pages 85-96 of NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F.
| | | | |
| | 30 June | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Funding - FVA |
| 125 |
| 132 |
Credit - CVA |
| 220 |
| 236 |
Bid - Offer |
| 75 |
| 86 |
Product and deal specific |
| 149 |
| 103 |
Total |
| 569 |
| 557 |
- | Valuation reserves comprising credit valuation adjustments (CVA), funding valuation adjustment (FVA), bid-offer and product and deal specific reserves, increased to £569 million at 30 June 2024 (31 December 2023 – £557 million). |
- | The movements in FVA and CVA were driven by a reduction in exposure as interest rates increased. The decrease in bid-offer was driven by overall risk reduction over the period. Product and deal specific increased following valuation adjustments on specific trades. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 100 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments – valuation continued
Level 3 sensitivities
The table below shows the high and low range of fair value of the level 3 assets and liabilities.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 30 June 2024 | | 31 December 2023 | ||||||||
| | Level 3 | | Favourable | | Unfavourable | | Level 3 | | Favourable | | Unfavourable |
|
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trading assets | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loans |
| 230 |
| — |
| — |
| 209 |
| — |
| — |
Securities |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 14 |
| — |
| — |
Derivatives |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest rate |
| 561 |
| 20 |
| (20) |
| 650 |
| 20 |
| (20) |
Foreign exchange |
| 132 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
| 65 |
| — |
| — |
Other |
| 69 |
| — |
| — |
| 108 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
Other financial assets |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Loans |
| 416 |
| — |
| (10) |
| 657 |
| — |
| (40) |
Securities |
| 248 |
| 20 |
| (40) |
| 258 |
| 20 |
| (50) |
Total financial assets held at fair value |
| 1,656 |
| 50 |
| (80) |
| 1,961 |
| 50 |
| (120) |
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deposits |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
Short positions |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
| 2 |
| — |
| — |
Derivatives |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest rate |
| 440 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
| 439 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
Foreign exchange |
| 67 |
| — |
| — |
| 58 |
| — |
| — |
Other |
| 151 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
| 188 |
| 10 |
| (10) |
Other financial liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Debt securities in issue |
| 3 |
| — |
| — |
| 3 |
| — |
| — |
Other deposits |
| 23 |
| — |
| (20) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Total financial liabilities held at fair value |
| 686 |
| 20 |
| (40) | | 691 |
| 20 |
| (20) |
Alternative assumptions
Reasonably plausible alternative assumptions of unobservable inputs are determined based on a specified target level of certainty of 90%. Alternative assumptions are determined with reference to all available evidence including consideration of the following: quality of independent pricing information considering consistency between different sources, variation over time, perceived tradability or otherwise of available quotes; consensus service dispersion ranges; volume of trading activity and market bias (e.g. one-way inventory); day 1 profit or loss arising on new trades; number and nature of market participants; market conditions; modelling consistency in the market; size and nature of risk; length of holding of position; and market intelligence.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 101 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments – valuation continued
Movement in level 3 assets and liabilities
The following table shows the movement in level 3 assets and liabilities.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Other | | Other | | | | | | Other | | Other | | |
| | Derivatives | | trading | | financial | | Total | | Derivatives | | trading | | financial | | Total |
| | assets | | assets (2) | | assets (3) | | assets | | liabilities | | liabilities (2) | | liabilities | | liabilities |
|
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 823 |
| 223 |
| 915 |
| 1,961 |
| 685 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 691 |
Amounts recorded in the income statement (1) |
| (70) |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| (63) |
| (28) |
| — |
| — |
| (28) |
Amount recorded in the statement of comprehensive income |
| — |
| — |
| (13) |
| (13) |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Level 3 transfers in |
| 7 |
| — |
| — |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 23 |
| 24 |
Level 3 transfers out |
| (2) |
| (14) |
| (258) |
| (274) |
| (2) |
| (1) |
| — |
| (3) |
Purchases/originations | | 82 | | 25 | | 23 | | 130 | | 67 | | 1 | | — | | 68 |
Settlements/other decreases |
| (38) |
| (7) |
| — |
| (45) |
| (29) |
| — |
| — |
| (29) |
Sales |
| (40) |
| — |
| (2) |
| (42) |
| (34) |
| (1) |
| — |
| (35) |
Foreign exchange and other adjustments |
| — |
| 1 |
| (6) |
| (5) |
| (2) |
| — |
| — |
| (2) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 762 |
| 230 |
| 664 |
| 1,656 |
| 658 |
| 2 |
| 26 |
| 686 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Amounts recorded in the income statement in respect of balances held at period end - unrealised |
| 116 |
| — |
| 4 |
| 120 |
| 123 |
| — |
| — |
| 123 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
At 1 January 2023 |
| 1,007 |
| 396 |
| 930 |
| 2,333 |
| 975 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 976 |
Amounts recorded in the income statement (1) |
| (52) |
| (28) |
| — |
| (80) |
| (84) |
| — |
| — |
| (84) |
Amount recorded in the statement of comprehensive income |
| — |
| — |
| 12 |
| 12 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
Level 3 transfers in |
| 4 |
| — |
| (72) |
| (68) |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| — |
| 7 |
Level 3 transfers out |
| (2) |
| (32) |
| — |
| (34) |
| (5) |
| — |
| — |
| (5) |
Purchases/originations | | 86 | | 6 | | 68 | | 160 | | 89 | | — | | — | | 89 |
Settlements/other decreases |
| (20) |
| (4) |
| — |
| (24) |
| (27) |
| — |
| — |
| (27) |
Sales |
| (92) |
| (58) |
| (25) |
| (175) |
| (54) |
| — |
| — |
| (54) |
Foreign exchange and other adjustments |
| (1) |
| (3) |
| (15) |
| (19) |
| (5) |
| — |
| — |
| (5) |
At 30 June 2023 |
| 930 |
| 277 |
| 898 |
| 2,105 |
| 895 |
| 2 |
| — |
| 897 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Amounts recorded in the income statement in respect of balances held at period end - unrealised |
| (52) |
| (28) |
| (1) |
| (81) |
| (84) |
| — |
| — |
| (84) |
(1) | There were £40 million net losses on trading assets and liabilities (30 June 2023 – £4 million net losses) recorded in income from trading activities. Net gains on other instruments of £5 million (30 June 2023 – nil) were recorded in other operating income and interest income as appropriate. |
(2) | Other trading assets and other trading liabilities comprise assets and liabilities held at fair value in trading portfolios. |
(3) | Other financial assets comprise fair value through other comprehensive income, designated as at fair value through profit or loss and other fair value through profit or loss. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 102 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments – valuation continued
Fair value of financial instruments measured at amortised cost on the balance sheet
The following table shows the carrying value and fair value of financial instruments carried at amortised cost on the balance sheet.
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | Items where |
| | Carrying | | | | Fair value hierarchy level | | approximates | ||||
| | value | | Fair value | | Level 1 | | Level 2 | | Level 3 | | carrying value |
30 June 2024 | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn | | £bn |
Financial assets |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| 115.8 | | 115.8 | | — | | — | | — | | 115.8 |
Settlement balances | | 6.3 | | 6.3 | | — | | — | | — | | 6.3 |
Loans to banks |
| 6.0 | | 6.0 | | — | | 1.3 | | 0.8 | | 3.9 |
Loans to customers | | 379.3 | | 372.4 | | — | | 25.2 | | 347.2 | | — |
Other financial assets - securities |
| 23.9 | | 23.9 | | 4.9 | | 10.7 | | 8.3 | | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial assets |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and balances at central banks |
| 104.3 | | 104.3 | | — | | — | | — | | 104.3 |
Settlement balances |
| 7.2 | | 7.2 | | — | | — | | — | | 7.2 |
Loans to banks | | 6.9 | | 7.0 | | — | | 2.2 | | 0.6 | | 4.2 |
Loans to customers |
| 381.4 | | 373.2 | | — | | 27.5 | | 345.7 | | — |
Other financial assets - securities | | 21.7 | | 21.6 | | 4.0 | | 6.6 | | 11.0 | | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
30 June 2024 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial liabilities |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Bank deposits |
| 25.6 |
| 25.6 |
| — |
| 17.5 |
| 3.7 | | 4.4 |
Customer deposits |
| 433.0 |
| 432.6 |
| — |
| 29.9 |
| 49.8 | | 352.9 |
Settlement balances |
| 7.1 |
| 7.1 |
| — |
| — |
| — | | 7.1 |
Other financial liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- debt securities in issue | | 55.0 | | 55.0 | | — | | 45.0 | | 10.0 | | — |
Subordinated liabilities |
| 5.8 |
| 5.8 |
| — |
| 5.8 | | — | | — |
Notes in circulation | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | — | | — | | — | | 3.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
31 December 2023 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial liabilities |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | | |
Bank deposits | | 22.2 |
| 22.3 |
| — |
| 15.4 |
| 2.7 | | 4.2 |
Customer deposits |
| 431.4 |
| 431.0 |
| — |
| 30.7 |
| 48.8 | | 351.5 |
Settlement balances |
| 6.6 |
| 6.6 |
| — |
| — |
| — | | 6.6 |
Other financial liabilities |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
- debt securities in issue | | 52.2 |
| 52.2 | | — | | 41.7 | | 10.5 | | — |
Subordinated liabilities | | 5.5 | | 5.4 | | — | | 5.4 | | — | | — |
Notes in circulation |
| 3.2 | | 3.2 | | — | | — | | — | | 3.2 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 103 |
Notes continued
8. Financial instruments – valuation continued
The assumptions and methodologies underlying the calculation of fair values of financial instruments at the balance sheet date are as follows:
Short-term financial instruments
For certain short-term financial instruments: cash and balances at central banks, items in the course of collection from other banks, settlement balances, items in the course of transmission to other banks, customer demand deposits and notes in circulation, carrying value is deemed a reasonable approximation of fair value.
Loans to banks and customers
In estimating the fair value of net loans to customers and banks measured at amortised cost, NatWest Group’s loans are segregated into appropriate portfolios reflecting the characteristics of the constituent loans. Two principal methods are used to estimate fair value: contractual cash flows and expected cash flows.
Debt securities and subordinated liabilities
Most debt securities are valued using quoted prices in active markets or from quoted prices of similar financial instruments in active markets. For the remaining population, fair values are determined using market standard valuation techniques, such as discounted cash flows.
Bank and customer deposits
Fair value of deposits is estimated using discounted cash flow valuation techniques.
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 104 |
Notes continued
9. Trading assets and liabilities
Trading assets and liabilities comprise assets and liabilities held at fair value in trading portfolios.
| | | | |
| | 30 June | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Assets | | | | |
Loans |
|
|
|
|
Reverse repos |
| 18,245 |
| 23,694 |
Collateral given |
| 7,506 |
| 9,141 |
Other loans |
| 487 |
| 762 |
Total loans |
| 26,238 |
| 33,597 |
Securities |
|
|
|
|
Central and local government |
|
|
|
|
- UK |
| 5,170 |
| 2,729 |
- US |
| 5,507 |
| 2,600 |
- Other |
| 4,646 |
| 3,062 |
Financial institutions and corporate |
| 4,413 |
| 3,563 |
Total securities |
| 19,736 |
| 11,954 |
Total |
| 45,974 |
| 45,551 |
| | | | |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
Deposits |
|
|
|
|
Repos |
| 29,321 |
| 26,902 |
Collateral received |
| 14,030 |
| 15,075 |
Other deposits |
| 800 |
| 1,150 |
Total deposits |
| 44,151 |
| 43,127 |
Debt securities in issue |
| 307 |
| 706 |
Short positions |
| |
| |
Central and local government | | | | |
- UK | | 2,515 | | 1,893 |
- US | | 813 | | 2,071 |
- Other | | 4,836 | | 4,049 |
Financial institutions and corporate | | 1,545 | | 1,790 |
Total short positions | | 9,709 | | 9,803 |
Total |
| 54,167 |
| 53,636 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 105 |
Notes continued
10. Loan impairment provisions
Loan exposure and impairment metrics
The table below summarises loans and related credit impairment measures on an IFRS 9 basis.
| | | | |
|
| 30 June | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m |
Loans - amortised cost and FVOCI (1,2) |
| | |
|
Stage 1 |
| 345,847 | | 348,586 |
Stage 2 |
| 37,288 | | 37,891 |
Stage 3 |
| 5,812 | | 5,563 |
Of which: individual | | 1,216 | | 1,031 |
Of which: collective |
| 4,596 | | 4,532 |
| | 388,947 | | 392,040 |
ECL provisions (3) |
| | | |
Stage 1 |
| 585 | | 709 |
Stage 2 |
| 802 | | 976 |
Stage 3 |
| 1,956 | | 1,960 |
Of which: individual | | 366 | | 332 |
Of which: collective | | 1,590 | | 1,628 |
|
| 3,343 | | 3,645 |
ECL provisions coverage (4) |
| | | |
Stage 1 (%) | | 0.17 | | 0.20 |
Stage 2 (%) | | 2.15 | | 2.58 |
Stage 3 (%) | | 33.65 | | 35.23 |
|
| 0.86 | | 0.93 |
| | | | |
| | Half year ended | ||
| | 30 June | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m |
Impairment losses |
| | | |
ECL (release)/charge (5) | | 48 | | 223 |
Stage 1 | | (364) | | (209) |
Stage 2 | | 190 | | 296 |
Stage 3 | | 222 | | 136 |
Of which: individual | | 80 | | 13 |
Of which: collective | | 142 | | 123 |
|
| | | |
Amounts written off |
| 369 | | 122 |
Of which: individual | | 64 | | 22 |
Of which: collective |
| 305 | | 100 |
(1) | The table shows gross loans only and excludes amounts that were outside the scope of the ECL framework. Other financial assets within the scope of the IFRS 9 ECL framework were cash and balances at central banks totalling £114.8 billion (31 December 2023 - £103.1 billion) and debt securities of £51.4 billion (31 December 2023 - £50.1 billion). |
(2) | Fair value through other comprehensive income (FVOCI). Includes loans to customers and banks. |
(3) | Includes £4 million (31 December 2023 - £9 million) related to assets classified as FVOCI and £0.1 billion (31 December 2023 – £0.1 billion) related to off-balance sheet exposures. |
(4) | ECL provisions coverage is calculated as ECL provisions divided by loans – amortised cost and FVOCI. It is calculated on loans and total ECL provisions, including ECL for other (non - loan) assets and unutilised exposure. Some segments with a high proportion of debt securities or unutilised exposure may result in a not meaningful (nm) coverage ratio. |
(5) | Includes a £6 million release (June 2023 – £5 million release) related to other financial assets, of which £5 million release (June 2023 – £1 million charge) related to assets classified as FVOCI and includes a £4 million charge (June 2023 - £3 million release) related to contingent liabilities. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 106 |
Notes continued
11. Provisions for liabilities and charges
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
| |
| |
| |
| Financial |
|
|
|
|
| | Customer | | Litigation and | | | | commitments | | | | |
| | redress | | other regulatory | | Property | | and guarantees | | Other (1) | | Total |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
At 1 January 2024 |
| 486 |
| 156 |
| 99 |
| 78 |
| 171 |
| 990 |
Expected credit losses impairment release |
| — | | — | | — | | (22) | | — | | (22) |
Currency translation and other movements |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| — |
| — |
| (2) |
| — |
Charge to income statement |
| 39 |
| 18 |
| 32 |
| — |
| 228 |
| 317 |
Release to income statement |
| (22) |
| (20) |
| (21) |
| — |
| (16) |
| (79) |
Provisions utilised |
| (50) |
| (18) |
| (11) |
| — |
| (85) |
| (164) |
At 30 June 2024 |
| 454 |
| 137 |
| 99 |
| 56 |
| 296 |
| 1,042 |
(1) | Other materially comprises of provisions relating to restructuring costs and Bank of England Levy. The charge for the year includes restructuring costs of £149 million and Bank of England Levy of £79 million. |
Provisions are liabilities of uncertain timing or amount and are recognised when there is a present obligation as a result of a past event, the outflow of economic benefit is probable and the outflow can be estimated reliably. Any difference between the final outcome and the amounts provided will affect the reported results in the period when the matter is resolved.
12. Dividends
The 2023 final dividend was approved by shareholders at the Annual General Meeting on 23 April 2024 and the payment made on 29 April 2024 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 15 March 2024.
NatWest Group plc announces an interim dividend for 2024 of £500 million or 6 pence per ordinary share. The interim dividend will be paid on 13 September 2024 to shareholders on the register at close of business on 9 August 2024. The ex-dividend date will be 8 August 2024.
13. Contingent liabilities and commitments
The amounts shown in the table below are intended only to provide an indication of the volume of business outstanding at 30 June 2024. Although NatWest Group is exposed to credit risk in the event of a customer’s failure to meet its obligations, the amounts shown do not, and are not intended to, provide any indication of NatWest Group’s expectation of future losses.
| | | | |
| | 30 June | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
|
| £m |
| £m |
Contingent liabilities and commitments | | | | |
Guarantees | | 3,197 |
| 2,810 |
Other contingent liabilities | | 1,367 |
| 1,380 |
Standby facilities, credit lines and other commitments | | 118,218 |
| 115,441 |
Total | | 122,782 |
| 119,631 |
Commitments and contingent obligations are subject to NatWest Group’s normal credit approval processes.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 107 |
Notes continued
14.Litigation and regulatory matters
NatWest Group plc and certain members of NatWest Group are party to various legal proceedings and are involved in, or subject to, various regulatory matters, including as the subject of investigations and other regulatory and governmental action (Matters) in the United Kingdom (UK), the United States (US), the European Union (EU) and other jurisdictions.
NatWest Group recognises a provision for a liability in relation to these Matters when it is probable that an outflow of economic benefits will be required to settle an obligation resulting from past events, and a reliable estimate can be made of the amount of the obligation.
In many of the Matters, it is not possible to determine whether any loss is probable, or to estimate reliably the amount of any loss, either as a direct consequence of the relevant proceedings and regulatory matters or as a result of adverse impacts or restrictions on NatWest Group’s reputation, businesses and operations. Numerous legal and factual issues may need to be resolved, including through potentially lengthy discovery and document production exercises and determination of important factual matters, and by addressing novel or unsettled legal questions relevant to the proceedings in question, before the probability of a liability, if any, arising can reasonably be estimated in respect of any Matter. NatWest Group cannot predict if, how, or when such claims will be resolved or what the eventual settlement, damages, fine, penalty or other relief, if any, may be, particularly for Matters that are at an early stage in their development or where claimants seek substantial or indeterminate damages.
There are situations where NatWest Group may pursue an approach that in some instances leads to a settlement agreement. This may occur in order to avoid the expense, management distraction or reputational implications of continuing to contest liability, or in order to take account of the risks inherent in defending or contesting Matters, even for those for which NatWest Group believes it has credible defences and should prevail on the merits. The uncertainties inherent in all Matters affect the amount and timing of any potential economic outflows for both Matters with respect to which provisions have been established and other contingent liabilities in respect of any such Matter.
It is not practicable to provide an aggregate estimate of potential liability for our Matters as a class of contingent liabilities.
The future economic outflow in respect of any Matter may ultimately prove to be substantially greater than, or less than, the aggregate provision, if any, that NatWest Group has recognised in respect of such Matter. Where a reliable estimate of the economic outflow cannot be reasonably made, no provision has been recognised. NatWest Group expects that in future periods, additional provisions and economic outflows relating to Matters that may or may not be currently known by NatWest Group will be necessary, in amounts that are expected to be substantial in some instances. Refer to Note 11 for information on material provisions.
Matters which are, or could be, material, either individually or in aggregate, having regard to NatWest Group, considered as a whole, in which NatWest Group is currently involved are set out below. We have provided information on the procedural history of certain Matters, where we believe appropriate, to aid the understanding of the Matter.
For a discussion of certain risks associated with NatWest Group’s litigation and regulatory matters (including the Matters), refer to the Risk Factor relating to legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations set out on pages 183 to 184 of NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F.
Litigation
London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and other rates litigation
NWM Plc and certain other members of NatWest Group, including NatWest Group plc, are defendants in a number of claims pending in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) with respect to the setting of USD LIBOR. The complainants allege that certain members of NatWest Group and other panel banks violated various federal laws, including the US commodities and antitrust laws, and state statutory and common law, as well as contracts, by manipulating LIBOR and prices of LIBOR-based derivatives in various markets through various means.
Several purported class actions relating to USD LIBOR, as well as more than a dozen non-class actions concerning USD LIBOR and involving NatWest Group companies, are part of a co-ordinated proceeding in the SDNY. The class actions include claims on behalf of persons who purchased LIBOR-linked instruments from defendants, bonds issued by defendants, persons who transacted futures and options on exchanges, and lenders who made LIBOR-based loans. The coordinated proceeding is currently in the discovery phase.
In March 2024, NatWest Group companies reached an agreement, which remains subject to final court approval, to settle the USD LIBOR class action that asserts claims on behalf of lenders who made LIBOR based loans. In April 2024, NatWest Group companies reached an agreement, which remains subject to final court approval, to settle the USD LIBOR class action that asserts claims on behalf of persons who transacted futures and options on exchanges. The settlement amounts are covered in full by existing provisions.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 108 |
Notes continued
14.Litigation and regulatory matters continued
The non-class claims filed in the SDNY include claims that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is asserting on behalf of certain failed US banks. In July 2017, the FDIC, on behalf of 39 of those failed US banks, commenced substantially similar claims against NatWest Group companies and others in the High Court of Justice of England and Wales. The action alleges collusion with regard to the setting of USD LIBOR and that the defendants breached UK and European competition law, as well as asserting common law claims of fraud under US law. The defendant banks consented to a request by the FDIC for discontinuance of the claim in respect of 20 failed US banks, leaving 19 failed US banks as claimants. The trial is currently anticipated to commence in Q1 2026.
In addition to the USD LIBOR cases described above, there is a class action relating to derivatives allegedly tied to JPY LIBOR and Euroyen TIBOR, which was dismissed by the SDNY in relation to NWM Plc and other NatWest Group companies in September 2021. That dismissal may be the subject of a future appeal.
Two other IBOR-related class actions involving NWM Plc, concerning alleged manipulation of Euribor and Pound Sterling LIBOR, were previously dismissed by the SDNY for various reasons. The plaintiffs’ appeals in those two cases remain pending.
In August 2020, a complaint was filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California by several United States retail borrowers against the USD ICE LIBOR panel banks and their affiliates (including NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc, NWMSI and NWB Plc), alleging (i) that the very process of setting USD ICE LIBOR amounts to illegal price-fixing; and (ii) that banks in the United States have illegally agreed to use LIBOR as a component of price in variable retail loans. In September 2022, the district court dismissed the complaint.
The plaintiffs filed an amended complaint but in October 2023, the district court dismissed that complaint as well, and indicated that further amendment would not be permitted. The plaintiffs have commenced an appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, which is currently pending.
NWM Plc is also named as a defendant in a motion to certify a class action relating to LIBOR in the Tel Aviv District Court in Israel. NWM Plc filed a motion for cancellation of service outside the jurisdiction, which was granted in July 2020. The claimants appealed that decision and in November 2020 the appeal was refused and the claim dismissed by the Appellate Court. The claim could in future be recommenced depending on the outcome of an appeal to Israel’s Supreme Court in respect of the dismissal of the substantive case against banks that had a presence in Israel.
Foreign exchange litigation
NWM Plc, NWMSI and/or NatWest Group plc are defendants in several cases relating to NWM Plc’s foreign exchange (FX) business.
An FX-related class action, on behalf of ‘consumers and end-user businesses’, was proceeding in the SDNY against NWM Plc and others. In March 2023, the court granted summary judgment in favour of the defendants, dismissing the plaintiffs’ claims. The plaintiffs appealed that decision but the appeal was denied by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit (US Court of Appeals), subject to potential review by the United States Supreme Court.
In May 2019, a cartel class action was filed in the Federal Court of Australia against NWM Plc and four other banks on behalf of persons who bought or sold currency through FX spots or forwards between 1 January 2008 and 15 October 2013 with a total transaction value exceeding AUD 0.5 million. The claimant has alleged that the banks, including NWM Plc, contravened Australian competition law by sharing information, coordinating conduct, widening spreads and manipulating FX rates for certain currency pairs during this period. NatWest Group plc and NWMSI have been named in the action as ‘other cartel participants’, but are not respondents. The claim was served in June 2019 and NWM Plc filed its defence in March 2022. The court has ordered that potential class members are required to either opt out of the proceedings or register to be included in or benefit from any potential settlement of the claim.
In July and December 2019, two separate applications seeking opt-out collective proceedings orders were filed in the UK Competition Appeal Tribunal (CAT) against NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and other banks. Both applications were brought on behalf of persons who, between 18 December 2007 and 31 January 2013, entered into a relevant FX spot or outright forward transaction in the European Economic Area with a relevant financial institution or on an electronic communications network. In March 2022, the CAT declined to certify as collective proceedings either of the applications, which was appealed by the applicants and the subject of an application for judicial review.
In its amended judgment in November 2023, the Court of Appeal allowed the appeal and decided that the claims should proceed on an opt-out basis. Separately, the court determined which of the two competing applicants can proceed as class representative, and dismissed the application for judicial review of the CAT’s decision. The other applicant has discontinued its claim and withdrawn from the proceedings. The banks sought permission to appeal the Court of Appeal decision directly to the UK Supreme Court, which was granted in April 2024.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 109 |
Notes continued
14. Litigation and regulatory matters continued
Two motions to certify FX-related class actions were filed in the Tel Aviv District Court in Israel in September and October 2018, and were subsequently consolidated into one motion. The consolidated motion to certify, which names The Royal Bank of Scotland plc (now NWM Plc) and several other banks as defendants, was served on NWM Plc in May 2020. The applicants sought the court’s permission to amend their motions to certify the class actions. NWM Plc filed a motion challenging the permission granted by the court for the applicants to serve the consolidated motion outside the Israeli jurisdiction. That NWM Plc motion remains pending. In February 2024, NWM Plc executed an agreement to settle the claim, subject to court approval. The settlement amount is covered in full by an existing provision.
In December 2021, a summons was served in the Netherlands against NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and NWM N.V. by Stichting FX Claims on behalf of a number of parties, seeking declarations from the court concerning liability for anti-competitive FX market conduct described in decisions of the European Commission (EC) of 16 May 2019, along with unspecified damages. The claimant amended its claim to also refer to a 2 December 2021 decision by the EC, which described anti-competitive FX market conduct. NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and other defendants contested the jurisdiction of the Dutch court. In March 2023, the district court in Amsterdam accepted that it has jurisdiction to hear claims against NWM N.V. but refused jurisdiction to hear any claims against the other defendant banks (including NatWest Group plc and NWM Plc) brought on behalf of the parties represented by the claimant that are domiciled outside of the Netherlands. The claimant is appealing that decision. The defendant banks have brought cross-appeals which seek a ruling that the Dutch court has no jurisdiction to hear any claims against the defendant banks domiciled outside of the Netherlands, irrespective of whether the claim has been brought on behalf of a party represented by the claimant that is domiciled within or outside of the Netherlands. The Amsterdam Court of Appeal has stayed these appeal proceedings until the Court of Justice of the European Union has answered preliminary questions that have been referred to it in another matter.
In September 2023, second summonses were served by Stichting FX Claims on NWM N.V., NatWest Group plc and NWM Plc, for claims on behalf of a new group of parties that have been brought before the district court in Amsterdam.
The summonses seek declarations from the Dutch court concerning liability for anti-competitive FX market conduct described in the above referenced decisions of the EC of 16 May 2019 and 2 December 2021, along with unspecified damages. NatWest Group plc, NWM Plc and other defendants are contesting the Dutch court’s jurisdiction. The district court has stayed proceedings pending judgment in the above-mentioned appeals.
In May 2024, a new letter of claim was received from Stichting FX Claims on behalf of a further group of parties, containing allegations that are similar in nature to those contained in the above-mentioned claims.
Certain other foreign exchange transaction related claims have been or may be threatened. NatWest Group cannot predict whether all or any of these claims will be pursued.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 110 |
Notes continued
14. Litigation and regulatory matters continued
Government securities antitrust litigation
Class action antitrust claims commenced in March 2019 are pending in the SDNY against NWM Plc, NWMSI and other banks in respect of Euro-denominated bonds issued by various European central banks (European government bonds or EGBs). The complaint alleges a conspiracy among dealers of EGBs to widen the bid-ask spreads they quoted to customers, thereby increasing the prices customers paid for the EGBs or decreasing the prices at which customers sold EGBs. The class consists of those who purchased or sold EGBs in the US between 2007 and 2012. Previously, in March 2022, the SDNY dismissed the claims against NWM Plc and NWMSI on the ground that the complaint’s conspiracy allegations were insufficient. However, in September 2023, the SDNY ruled that new allegations which plaintiffs have included in an amended complaint are sufficient to bring those NatWest entities back into the case as defendants.
In March 2024, NatWest Group companies reached an agreement, subject to court approval, to settle the class action. The settlement amount is covered in full by an existing provision.
Swaps antitrust litigation
NWM Plc and other members of NatWest Group, including NatWest Group plc, as well as a number of other interest rate swap dealers, are defendants in several cases pending in the SDNY alleging violations of the US antitrust laws in the market for interest rate swaps. There is a consolidated class action complaint on behalf of persons who entered into interest rate swaps with the defendants, as well as non-class action claims by three swap execution facilities (TeraExchange, Javelin, and trueEx). The plaintiffs allege that the swap execution facilities would have successfully established exchange-like trading of interest rate swaps if the defendants had not unlawfully conspired to prevent that from happening through boycotts and other means. Discovery in the non - class action claims is complete. In March 2024, NatWest Group companies reached an agreement to settle the class action, which remains subject to court approval. The settlement amount is covered in full by an existing provision.
In June 2021, a class action antitrust complaint was filed against a number of credit default swap dealers, in New Mexico federal court on behalf of persons who, from 2005 onwards, settled credit default swaps in the United States by reference to the ISDA credit default swap auction protocol. The complaint alleges that the defendants conspired to manipulate that benchmark through various means in violation of the antitrust laws and the Commodity Exchange Act. The defendants filed a motion to dismiss the complaint and, in June 2023, such motion was denied as regards to NWMSI and other financial institutions, but granted as regards to NWM Plc on the ground that the court lacks jurisdiction over that entity. As a result, the case entered the discovery phase as against the non-dismissed defendants. In January 2024, the SDNY issued an order barring the plaintiffs in the New Mexico case from pursuing claims based on conduct occurring before 30 June 2014 on the ground that such claims were extinguished by a 2015 settlement agreement that resolved a prior class action relating to credit default swaps. The SDNY’s decision is the subject of a pending appeal to the US Court of Appeals.
Odd lot corporate bond trading antitrust litigation
In July 2024, the US Court of Appeals vacated the SDNY’s October 2021 dismissal of the class action antitrust complaint alleging that from August 2006 onwards various securities dealers, including NWMSI, conspired artificially to widen spreads for odd lots of corporate bonds bought or sold in the United States secondary market and to boycott electronic trading platforms that would have allegedly promoted pricing competition in the market for such bonds. The appellate court held that the district judge who made the decision should not have been presiding over the case because a member of the judge’s family had owned stock in one of the defendants while the motion was pending. The case will now return to the SDNY where the defendants will seek dismissal by a different district court judge.
Spoofing litigation
In December 2021, three substantially similar class actions complaints were filed in federal court in the United States against NWM Plc and NWMSI alleging Commodity Exchange Act and common law unjust enrichment claims arising from manipulative trading known as spoofing. The complaints refer to NWM Plc’s December 2021 spoofing-related guilty plea (described below under “US investigations relating to fixed-income securities”) and purport to assert claims on behalf of those who transacted in US Treasury securities and futures and options on US Treasury securities between 2008 and 2018. In July 2022, defendants filed a motion to dismiss these claims, which have been consolidated into one matter in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 111 |
Notes continued
14. Litigation and regulatory matters continued
Madoff
NWM N.V. was named as a defendant in two actions filed by the trustee for the bankrupt estates of Bernard L. Madoff and Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, in bankruptcy court in New York, which together seek to clawback more than US$298 million that NWM N.V. allegedly received from certain Madoff feeder funds and certain swap counterparties. The claims were previously dismissed, but as a result of an August 2021 decision by the US Court of Appeals, they are now proceeding in the discovery phase in the bankruptcy court, where they have been consolidated into one action.
Offshoring VAT assessments
HMRC issued protective tax assessments in 2018 against NatWest Group plc totalling £143 million relating to unpaid VAT in respect of the UK branches of two NatWest Group companies registered in India. NatWest Group formally requested reconsideration by HMRC of their assessments, and this process was completed in November 2020. HMRC upheld their original decision and, as a result, NatWest Group plc lodged an appeal with the Tax Tribunal and an application for judicial review with the High Court of Justice of England and Wales, both in December 2020. In order to lodge the appeal with the Tax Tribunal, NatWest Group plc was required to pay £143 million to HMRC, and payment was made in December 2020. The appeal and the application for judicial review have both been stayed pending resolution of separate cases involving other banks.
US Anti-Terrorism Act litigation
NWM N.V. and certain other financial institutions are defendants in several actions filed by a number of US nationals (or their estates, survivors, or heirs), most of whom are or were US military personnel, who were killed or injured in attacks in Iraq between 2003 and 2011. NWM Plc is also a defendant in some of these cases.
According to the plaintiffs’ allegations, the defendants are liable for damages arising from the attacks because they allegedly conspired with and/or aided and abetted Iran and certain Iranian banks to assist Iran in transferring money to Hezbollah and the Iraqi terror cells that committed the attacks, in violation of the US Anti-Terrorism Act, by agreeing to engage in ‘stripping’ of transactions initiated by the Iranian banks so that the Iranian nexus to the transactions would not be detected.
The first of these actions, alleging conspiracy claims but not aiding and abetting claims, was filed in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York in November 2014. In September 2019, the district court dismissed the case, finding that the claims were deficient for several reasons, including lack of sufficient allegations as to the alleged conspiracy and causation. In January 2023, the US Court of Appeals affirmed the district court’s dismissal of this case. The plaintiffs have now filed a motion in the district court to re-open the case to assert aiding and abetting claims that they previously did not assert, which the defendants are opposing. Another action, filed in the SDNY in 2017, which asserted both conspiracy and aiding and abetting claims, was dismissed by the SDNY in March 2019 on similar grounds as the first case, but remains subject to appeal to the US Court of Appeals. Other follow-on actions that are substantially similar to those described above are pending in the same courts.
1MDB litigation
A Malaysian court claim was served in Switzerland in November 2022 by 1MDB, a sovereign wealth fund, in which Coutts & Co Ltd was named, along with six others, as a defendant in respect of losses allegedly incurred by 1MDB. It is claimed that Coutts & Co Ltd is liable as a constructive trustee for having dishonestly assisted the directors of 1MDB in the breach of their fiduciary duties by failing (amongst other alleged claims) to undertake due diligence in relation to a customer of Coutts & Co Ltd, through which funds totalling c.US$1 billion were received and paid out between 2009 and 2011. 1MDB seeks the return of that amount plus interest. Coutts & Co Ltd filed an application in January 2023 challenging the validity of service and the Malaysian court’s jurisdiction to hear the claim, and a hearing took place in February 2024. In March 2024, the court granted that application. 1MDB filed an appeal in April 2024.
Coutts & Co Ltd (a subsidiary of RBS Netherlands Holdings B.V., which in turn is a subsidiary of NWM Plc) is a company registered in Switzerland and is in wind-down following the announced sale of its business assets in 2015.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 112 |
Notes continued
14. Litigation and regulatory matters continued
Regulatory matters (including investigations and customer redress programmes)
NatWest Group’s businesses and financial condition can be affected by the actions of various governmental and regulatory authorities in the UK, the US, the EU and elsewhere. NatWest Group has engaged, and will continue to engage, in discussions with relevant governmental and regulatory authorities, including in the UK, the US, the EU and elsewhere, on an ongoing and regular basis, and in response to informal and formal inquiries or investigations, regarding operational, systems and control evaluations and issues including those related to compliance with applicable laws and regulations, including consumer protection, investment advice, business conduct, competition/anti-trust, VAT recovery, anti-bribery, anti-money laundering and sanctions regimes.
NatWest Group expects government and regulatory intervention in financial services to be high for the foreseeable future, including increased scrutiny from competition and other regulators in the retail and SME business sectors.
Any matters discussed or identified during such discussions and inquiries may result in, among other things, further inquiry or investigation, other action being taken by governmental and regulatory authorities, increased costs being incurred by NatWest Group, remediation of systems and controls, public or private censure, restriction of NatWest Group’s business activities and/or fines. Any of the events or circumstances mentioned in this paragraph or below could have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group, its business, authorisations and licences, reputation, results of operations or the price of securities issued by it, or lead to material additional provisions being taken.
NatWest Group is co-operating fully with the matters described below.
US investigations relating to fixed-income securities
In December 2021, NWM Plc pled guilty in the United States District Court for the District of Connecticut to one count of wire fraud and one count of securities fraud in connection with historical spoofing conduct by former employees in US Treasuries markets between January 2008 and May 2014 and, separately, during approximately three months in 2018. The 2018 trading occurred during the term of a non-prosecution agreement (NPA) between NWMSI and the United States Attorney’s Office for the District of Connecticut (USAO CT), under which non-prosecution was conditioned on NWMSI and affiliated companies not engaging in criminal conduct during the term of the NPA. The relevant trading in 2018 was conducted by two NWM traders in Singapore and breached that NPA. The plea agreement reached with the US Department of Justice (DOJ) and the USAO CT resolved both the spoofing conduct and the breach of the NPA.
As required by the resolution and sentence imposed by the court, NWM Plc is subject to a probationary period until the conclusion of the independent monitorship, which is also required under the plea agreement. In addition, NWM Plc has committed to compliance programme reviews and improvements and agreed to reporting and co-operation obligations.
In the event that NWM Plc does not meet its obligations to the DOJ, this may lead to adverse consequences such as increased costs from any extension of monitorship and/or the period of the probation, findings that NWM Plc violated its probation term and possible re-sentencing, amongst other consequences. Other material adverse collateral consequences may occur as a result of this matter, as further described in the Risk Factor relating to legal, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations set out on pages 183 to 184 of NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F.
RBSI Ltd reliance regime and referral to enforcement
In January 2023, the Jersey Financial Services Commission (JFSC) notified RBSI Ltd that it had been referred to its Enforcement Division in relation to RBSI Ltd’s operation of the reliance regime. The reliance regime is specific to certain Crown Dependencies and enables RBSI Ltd to rely on regulated third parties for specific due diligence information. RBSI Ltd has provided information to the JFSC at its request.
Investment advice review
In October 2019, the FCA notified NatWest Group of its intention to appoint a Skilled Person under section 166 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 to conduct a review of whether NatWest Group’s past business review of investment advice provided during 2010 to 2015 was subject to appropriate governance and accountability and led to appropriate customer outcomes. The Skilled Person’s review has concluded and, after discussion with the FCA, NatWest Group is undertaking additional review / remediation work.
Reviews into customer account closures
In July 2023, NatWest Group plc commissioned an independent review by the law firm Travers Smith LLP into issues that had arisen from treatment of a customer in connection with an account closure decision that attracted significant public attention and certain related interactions with the media. NatWest Group plc received reports in connection with that review (and in October and December 2023 published summaries of the key findings and recommendations).
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 113 |
Notes continued
14. Litigation and regulatory matters continued
In addition, NatWest Group plc has conducted internal reviews with respect to certain governance processes, policies, systems and controls, including with respect to customer account closures.
A programme of work is underway to implement the recommendations of the external and internal reviews.
The FCA is conducting supervisory work into how the governance, systems and controls of NatWest Group and Coutts & Company are working, to identify and address any significant shortcomings.
Review and investigation of treatment of tracker mortgage customers in Ulster Bank Ireland DAC
In December 2015, correspondence was received from the Central Bank of Ireland setting out an industry examination framework in respect of the sale of tracker mortgages from approximately 2001 until the end of 2015. The redress and compensation process has now largely concluded, although a small number of cases remain outstanding relating to uncontactable customers.
UBIDAC customers have lodged tracker mortgage complaints with the Financial Services and Pensions Ombudsman (FSPO). UBIDAC challenged three FSPO adjudications in the Irish High Court. In June 2023, the High Court found in favour of the FSPO in all matters and a provision was recognised. UBIDAC has appealed that decision to the Court of Appeal. A hearing took place in February 2024 and judgment is awaited.
Other customer remediation in Ulster Bank Ireland DAC
UBIDAC identified other legacy issues leading to the establishment of remediation requirements and progress is ongoing to conclude activities.
15. Related party transactions
UK Government
The UK Government’s shareholding in NatWest Group plc is managed by UK Government Investments Limited, a company wholly owned by the UK Government. At 30 June 2024 HM Treasury’s holding in NatWest Group plc’s ordinary shares was 20.92% (31 December 2023 - 37.97%). As a result, the UK Government through HM Treasury is no longer the controlling shareholder of NatWest Group plc as per UK listing rules. The UK Government and UK Government-controlled bodies remain related parties of the NatWest Group.
At 12 July 2024 HM Treasury’s holding in NatWest Group plc’s ordinary shares fell below 20% to 19.97%.
NatWest Group enters into transactions with many of these bodies. Transactions include the payment of: taxes – principally UK corporation tax and value added tax; national insurance contributions; local authority rates; regulatory fees and levies; together with banking transactions such as loans and deposits undertaken in the normal course of banker-customer relationships.
Bank of England facilities
NatWest Group may participate in a number of schemes operated by the Bank of England in the normal course of business.
Other related parties
(a) In their roles as providers of finance, NatWest Group companies provide development and other types of capital support to businesses. These investments are made in the normal course of business.
(b) To further strategic partnerships, NatWest Group may seek to invest in third parties or allow third parties to hold a minority interest in a subsidiary of NatWest Group. We disclose as related parties for associates and joint ventures and where equity interests are over 10%. Ongoing business transactions with these entities are on normal commercial terms.
(c) NatWest Group recharges the NatWest Group Pension Fund with the cost of pension management services incurred by it.
(d) In accordance with IAS 24, transactions or balances between NatWest Group entities that have been eliminated on consolidation are not reported.
Full details of NatWest Group’s related party transactions for the year ended 31 December 2023 are included in NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Annual Report Form 20-F.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 114 |
Notes continued
16. Acquisitions
On 20 June 2024 NatWest Group plc announced an agreement with Sainsbury’s Bank plc to acquire the retail banking assets and liabilities of Sainsbury’s Bank plc, subject to court and regulatory approvals. We expect to acquire approximately £2.5 billion of gross customer assets, comprising £1.4 billion of unsecured personal loans and £1.1 billion of credit cards balances, together with approximately £2.6 billion of customer deposits. The transaction is expected to complete during the first half of 2025 and have a 20 basis point impact on NatWest Group’s CET1 ratio upon completion and be EPS and RoTE accretive upon completion.
NatWest Group plc has also agreed to acquire a £2.5 billion portfolio of prime UK residential mortgages from Metro Bank plc, with a weighted average current loan to value of c.62%. Completion is conditional on a satisfactory response from the Competition and Markets Authority and is expected to occur during H2 2024. On completion of the transaction, NatWest Group plc expects to welcome around 10,000 customer accounts which will continue to be serviced by Metro Bank plc, in accordance with current arrangements, following the transfer to NatWest Group plc. The impact of the transaction, based on NatWest Group’s CET1 ratio at 30 June 2024, equates to a reduction of less than 10 basis points.
17. Post balance sheet events
As part of the ongoing on-market share buyback programme, NatWest Group plc has repurchased and cancelled a further 12.5 million shares since 30 June 2024 for a total consideration (excluding fees) of £40.9 million.
Other than as disclosed in this document, there have been no significant events between 30 June 2024 and the date of approval of this announcement which would require a change to, or additional disclosure, in the announcement.
18. Date of approval
This announcement was approved by the Board of Directors on 25 July 2024.
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NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 115 |
NatWest Group plc Summary Risk Factors
Summary of Principal Risks and Uncertainties
Set out below is a summary of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the financial year which could adversely affect NatWest Group.
This summary should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties; a fuller description of these and other risk factors is included on pages 417 to 441 of the NatWest Group plc 2023 Annual Report and Accounts and pages 160 to 184 of NatWest Group plc’s 2023 Form 20-F. Any of the risks identified may have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group’s business, operations, financial condition or prospects.
Economic and political risk
- | NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties face continued economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK and global markets, including as a result of inflation and interest rates, supply chain disruption, fiscal and monetary policy changes (such as increases in bank levies), and geopolitical developments. |
- | Changes in interest rates will continue to affect NatWest Group’s business and results. |
- | Fluctuations in currency exchange rates may adversely affect NatWest Group’s results and financial condition. |
- | Continuing uncertainty regarding the effects and extent of the UK’s post Brexit divergence from EU laws and regulation, and NatWest Group’s post Brexit EU operating model may adversely affect NatWest Group and its operating environment. |
- | HM Treasury (or UKGI on its behalf) could exercise a significant degree of influence over NatWest Group and further offers or sales of NatWest Group’s shares held by HM Treasury may affect NatWest Group’s reputation or the price of its securities. |
Business change and execution risk
- | NatWest Group continues to implement its strategy, which carries significant execution and operational risks and it may not achieve its stated aims and targeted outcomes. |
- | Acquisitions, divestments, other transactions and/or the withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland by NatWest Group may not be successful, and consolidation or fragmentation of the financial services industry may adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | The transfer of NatWest Group’s Western European corporate portfolio involves certain risks. |
Financial resilience risk
- | NatWest Group may not achieve its ambitions, targets, guidance it communicates or be in a position to continue to make discretionary capital distributions (including dividends to shareholders). |
- | NatWest Group operates in markets that are highly competitive, with competitive pressures and technology disruption. |
- | NatWest Group has significant exposure to counterparty and borrower risk including credit losses, which may have an adverse effect on NatWest Group. |
- | NatWest Group may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements for liquidity and funding or may not be able to adequately access sources of liquidity and funding, which could trigger the execution of certain management actions or recovery options. |
- | NatWest Group may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements for regulatory capital and MREL, or manage its capital effectively, which could trigger the execution of certain management actions or recovery options. |
- | Any reduction in the credit rating and/or outlooks assigned to NatWest Group plc, any of its subsidiaries or any of their respective debt securities could adversely affect the availability of funding for NatWest Group, reduce NatWest Group’s liquidity and funding position and increase the cost of funding. |
- | NatWest Group may be adversely affected if it fails to meet the requirements of regulatory stress tests. |
- | NatWest Group could incur losses or be required to maintain higher levels of capital as a result of limitations or failure of various models. |
- | NatWest Group’s financial statements are sensitive to underlying accounting policies, judgments, estimates and assumptions. |
- | Changes in accounting standards may materially impact NatWest Group’s financial results. |
- | The value or effectiveness of any credit protection that NatWest Group has purchased depends on the value of the underlying assets and the financial condition of the insurers and counterparties. |
- | NatWest Group is subject to Bank of England and PRA oversight in respect of resolution, and NatWest Group could be adversely affected should the Bank of England in the future deem NatWest Group’s preparations to be inadequate. |
NatWest Group plc Summary Risk Factors continued
Financial resilience risk continued
- | NatWest Group may become subject to the application of UK statutory stabilisation or resolution powers which may result in, for example, the cancellation, transfer or dilution of ordinary shares, or the write-down or conversion of certain other of NatWest Group’s securities. |
Climate and sustainability-related risks
- | NatWest Group and its value chain face climate-related and sustainability-related risk that may adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | Climate-related risks may adversely affect the global financial system, NatWest Group or its value chain. |
- | NatWest Group and its value chain may face other sustainability-related risks that may adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | NatWest Group’s climate change related strategy, ambitions, targets and transition plan entail significant execution and/or reputational risks and are unlikely to be achieved without significant and timely government policy, technology and customer behavioural changes. |
- | There are significant limitations related to accessing accurate, reliable, verifiable, auditable, consistent and comparable climate and other sustainability-related data that contribute to substantial uncertainties in accurately modelling and reporting on climate and sustainability information, as well as making appropriate important internal decisions. |
- | Failure to implement effective governance, procedures, systems and controls in compliance with legal, regulatory requirements and societal expectations to manage climate and sustainability-related risks and opportunities could adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | Increasing levels of climate and other sustainability-related laws, regulation and oversight may adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | Increasing regulation of “greenwashing” is likely to increase the risk of regulatory enforcement and investigation and litigation. |
- | NatWest Group may be subject to potential climate and other sustainability-related litigation, enforcement proceedings, investigations and conduct risk. |
- | A reduction in the ESG ratings of NatWest Group could have a negative impact on NatWest Group’s reputation and on investors’ risk appetite and customers’ willingness to deal with NatWest Group. |
Operational and IT resilience risk
- | Operational risks (including reliance on third party suppliers and outsourcing of certain activities) are inherent in NatWest Group’s businesses. |
- | NatWest Group is subject to sophisticated and frequent cyberattacks. |
- | NatWest Group operations and strategy are highly dependent on the accuracy and effective use of data. |
- | NatWest Group’s operations are highly dependent on its complex IT systems and any IT failure could adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | NatWest Group relies on attracting, retaining and developing diverse senior management and skilled personnel, and is required to maintain good employee relations. |
- | A failure in NatWest Group’s risk management framework could adversely affect NatWest Group, including its ability to achieve its strategic objectives. |
- | NatWest Group’s operations are subject to inherent reputational risk. |
Legal, regulatory and conduct risk
- | NatWest Group’s businesses are subject to substantial regulation and oversight, which are constantly evolving and may adversely affect NatWest Group. |
- | NatWest Group is exposed to the risks of various litigation matters, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations as well as remedial undertakings, the outcomes of which are inherently difficult to predict, and which could have an adverse effect on NatWest Group. |
- | Changes in tax legislation or failure to generate future taxable profits may impact the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets recognised by NatWest Group. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 117 |
Statement of directors’ responsibilities
We, the directors listed below, confirm that to the best of our knowledge:
- | the condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 ‘Interim Financial Reporting’, as adopted by the UK and as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB); |
- | the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and |
- | the interim management report includes a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R (disclosure of related parties’ transactions and changes therein). |
By order of the Board
Richard Haythornthwaite | John-Paul Thwaite | Katie Murray |
Chair | Group Chief Executive Officer | Group Chief Financial Officer |
25 July 2024
Board of directors
Chair | Executive directors | Non-executive directors |
Richard Haythornthwaite | John-Paul Thwaite Katie Murray | Frank Dangeard Roisin Donnelly Patrick Flynn Geeta Gopalan Yasmin Jetha Stuart Lewis Mark Seligman Lena Wilson |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 118 |
Additional information
Other financial data
The following table shows NatWest Group’s issued and fully paid share capital, owners’ equity and indebtedness on a consolidated basis in accordance with IFRS as at 30 June 2024.
| | |
|
| As at |
| | 30 June |
| | 2024 |
| | £m |
Share capital - allotted, called up and fully paid | | |
Ordinary shares of £1.0769 | | 9,272 |
Retained earnings and other reserves |
| 28,249 |
Owners’ equity |
| 37,521 |
| | |
NatWest Group indebtedness |
| |
Trading liabilities - debt securities in issue |
| 307 |
Other financial liabilities – debt securities in issue |
| 56,627 |
Subordinated liabilities |
| 6,032 |
Total indebtedness |
| 62,966 |
Total capitalisation and indebtedness |
| 100,487 |
Under IFRS, certain preference shares are classified as debt and are included in subordinated liabilities in the table above.
The information contained in the table above has not changed materially since 30 June 2024.
Share information
| | | | | | |
|
| 30 June |
| 31 March |
| 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Ordinary share price (pence) |
| 312 |
| 266 |
| 219 |
| | | | | | |
Number of ordinary shares in issue (millions) |
| 8,307 |
| 8,727 |
| 8,792 |
Non-IFRS financial measures
NatWest Group prepares its financial statements in accordance with UK-adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document contains a number of non-IFRS measures, also known as alternative performance measures, defined under the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) guidance or non-GAAP financial measures in accordance with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations. These measures are adjusted for notable and other defined items which management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of the business and which distort period-on-period comparison.
The non-IFRS measures provide users of the financial statements with a consistent basis for comparing business performance between financial periods and information on elements of performance that are one-off in nature. The non-IFRS measures also include a calculation of metrics that are used throughout the banking industry.
These non-IFRS measures are not a substitute for IFRS measures and a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measure is presented where appropriate.
Measure | Description |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) Refer to table 2. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) on page 122. | The cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) is calculated as other operating expenses (operating expenses less litigation and conduct costs) divided by total income. Litigation and conduct costs are excluded as they are one-off in nature, difficult to forecast for Outlook purposes and distort period-on-period comparisons. |
Customer deposits excluding central items Refer to Segmental performance on pages 19-23 for components of calculation. | Customer deposits excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group customer deposits excluding Central items & other customer deposits. Central items & other includes Treasury repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI. The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury repo activity and the reduction of deposits as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. These items may distort period-on-period comparisons and their removal gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in customer deposits. |
Funded assets Refer to Condensed consolidated balance sheet on page 86 for components of calculation. | Funded assets is calculated as total assets less derivative assets. This measure allows review of balance sheet trends exclusive of the volatility associated with derivative fair values. |
Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) Refer to table 5. Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) on page 124. | Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) is calculated as net customer loans held at amortised cost excluding reverse repos divided by total customer deposits excluding repos. This metric is used to assess liquidity. The removal of repos and reverse repos reduces volatility and presents the ratio on a basis that is comparable to UK peers. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is loan:deposit ratio - this is calculated as net loans to customers held at amortised cost divided by customer deposits. |
NatWest Group return on tangible equity Refer to table 6. NatWest Group return on tangible equity on page 124. | NatWest Group return on tangible equity comprises annualised profit or loss for the period attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average tangible equity. Average tangible equity is average total equity excluding average non-controlling interests, average other owners’ equity and average intangible assets. This measure shows the return NatWest Group generates on tangible equity deployed. It is used to determine relative performance of banks and used widely across the sector, although different banks may calculate the rate differently. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is return on equity - this comprises profit attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by average total equity. |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 120 |
Non-IFRS financial measures continued
Measure | Description |
Net interest margin and average interest earning assets Refer to Segmental performance on pages 19-23 for components of calculation. | Net interest margin is net interest income, as a percentage of average interest earning assets (IEA). Average IEA are average IEA of the banking business of NatWest Group and primarily consists of cash and balances at central banks, loans to banks, loans to customers and other financial assets mostly comprising of debt securities. Average IEA shows the average asset base generating interest over the period. |
Net loans to customers excluding central items Refer to Segmental performance on pages 19-23 for components of calculation. | Net loans to customers excluding central items is calculated as total NatWest Group net loans to customers excluding Central items & other net loans to customers. Central items & other includes Treasury reverse repo activity and Ulster Bank RoI. The exclusion of Central items & other removes the volatility relating to Treasury reverse repo activity and the reduction of loans to customers as part of our withdrawal from the Republic of Ireland. This allows for better period-on-period comparisons and gives the user of the financial statements a better understanding of the movements in net loans to customers. |
Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct Refer to table 4. Operating expenses – management view on page 123. | The management analysis of operating expenses shows litigation and conduct costs separately. These amounts are included within staff costs and other administrative expenses in the statutory analysis. Other operating expenses excludes litigation and conduct costs, which are more volatile and may distort period-on-period comparisons. |
Segmental return on equity Refer to table 7. Segmental return on equity on page 125. | Segment return on equity comprises segmental operating profit or loss, adjusted for paid-in equity and tax, divided by average notional equity. Average RWAe is defined as average segmental RWAs incorporating the effect of capital deductions. This is multiplied by an allocated equity factor for each segment to calculate the average notional equity. This measure shows the return generated by operating segments on equity deployed |
Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share Refer to table 3. Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share on page 123. | TNAV per ordinary share is calculated as tangible equity divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue. This is a measure used by external analysts in valuing the bank and allows for comparison with other per ordinary share metrics including the share price. The nearest ratio using IFRS measures is net asset value (NAV) per ordinary share - this comprises ordinary shareholders’ interests divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue. |
Total income excluding notable items Refer to table 1. Total income excluding notable items on page 122. | Total income excluding notable items is calculated as total income less notable items. The exclusion of notable items aims to remove the impact of one-offs and other items which may distort period-on-period comparisons. |
Non-IFRS financial measures continued
1. Total income excluding notable items
| | | | | | | | | | |
|
| Half year ended |
| Quarter ended | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Continuing operations | | | | | | | | | | |
Total income | | 7,134 |
| 7,727 | | 3,659 |
| 3,475 |
| 3,851 |
Less notable items: | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial & Institutional | | | | | | | | | | |
Own credit adjustments (OCA) | | (7) |
| 9 | | (2) |
| (5) |
| 3 |
Central items & other | | | | | | | | | | |
Liquidity Asset Bond sale losses |
| — |
| (24) |
| — |
| — |
| (11) |
Share of associate profits/(losses) for Business Growth Fund |
| 11 |
| (15) |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| (3) |
Interest and FX management derivatives not in hedge accounting relationships |
| 126 |
| 52 |
| 67 |
| 59 |
| (23) |
FX recycling gains |
| — |
| 322 |
| — |
| — |
| 322 |
| | 130 |
| 344 | | 69 |
| 61 |
| 288 |
Total income excluding notable items |
| 7,004 |
| 7,383 |
| 3,590 |
| 3,414 |
| 3,563 |
2. Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
|
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
|
|
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
| £m |
|
Continuing operations |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | |
Operating expenses |
| 4,057 |
| 3,915 |
| 2,005 |
| 2,052 |
| 1,927 | |
Less litigation and conduct costs |
| (101) |
| (108) |
| (77) |
| (24) |
| (52) | |
Other operating expenses |
| 3,956 |
| 3,807 |
| 1,928 |
| 2,028 |
| 1,875 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total income |
| 7,134 |
| 7,727 |
| 3,659 |
| 3,475 |
| 3,851 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Cost:income ratio |
| 56.9% |
| 50.7% |
| 54.8% |
| 59.1% |
| 50.0% | |
Cost:income ratio (excl. litigation and conduct) |
| 55.5% |
| 49.3% |
| 52.7% |
| 58.4% |
| 48.7% | |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 122 |
Non-IFRS financial measures continued
3. Tangible net asset value (TNAV) per ordinary share
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
Ordinary shareholders’ interests (£m) |
| 32,831 |
| 33,958 |
| 33,267 |
Less intangible assets (£m) |
| (7,590) |
| (7,598) |
| (7,614) |
Tangible equity (£m) |
| 25,241 |
| 26,360 |
| 25,653 |
| | | | | | |
Ordinary shares in issue (millions) (1) |
| 8,307 |
| 8,727 |
| 8,792 |
| | | | | | |
NAV per ordinary share (pence) |
| 395p |
| 389p |
| 378p |
TNAV per ordinary share (pence) |
| 304p |
| 302p |
| 292p |
(1)The number of ordinary shares in issue excludes own shares held.
4. Operating expenses - management view
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
| | 30 June | | 30 June | | 30 June | | 31 March | | 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Other operating expenses |
| | | | | | | | | |
Staff expenses |
| 2,112 |
| 1,974 |
| 1,064 |
| 1,047 |
| 948 |
Premises and equipment | | 579 | | 570 | | 286 | | 293 | | 284 |
Other administrative expenses | | 757 | | 794 | | 343 | | 415 | | 386 |
Depreciation and amortisation | | 508 | | 469 | | 235 | | 273 | | 257 |
Total other operating expenses | | 3,956 | | 3,807 | | 1,928 | | 2,028 | | 1,875 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Litigation and conduct costs | | | | | | | | | | |
Staff expenses | | 35 | | 31 | | 21 | | 15 | | 17 |
Other administrative expenses | | 66 | | 77 | | 56 | | 9 | | 35 |
Total litigation and conduct costs | | 101 | | 108 | | 77 | | 24 | | 52 |
|
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Total operating expenses |
| 4,057 |
| 3,915 |
| 2,005 |
| 2,052 |
| 1,927 |
Operating expenses excluding litigation and conduct |
| 3,956 |
| 3,807 |
| 1,928 |
| 2,028 |
| 1,875 |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 123 |
Non-IFRS financial measures continued
5. Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos)
| | | | | | |
| | As at | ||||
| | 30 June | | 31 March | | 31 December |
| | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m |
Loans to customers - amortised cost |
| 379,331 |
| 378,010 |
| 381,433 |
Less reverse repos |
| (24,961) |
| (23,120) |
| (27,117) |
Loans to customers - amortised cost (excl. reverse repos) |
| 354,370 |
| 354,890 |
| 354,316 |
| | | | | | |
Customer deposits |
| 432,975 |
| 432,793 |
| 431,377 |
Less repos |
| (6,846) |
| (11,437) |
| (10,844) |
Customer deposits (excl. repos) |
| 426,129 |
| 421,356 |
| 420,533 |
| | | | | | |
Loan:deposit ratio (%) |
| 88% |
| 87% | | 88% |
Loan:deposit ratio (excl. repos and reverse repos) (%) |
| 83% |
| 84% | | 84% |
6. NatWest Group return on tangible equity
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended | | Quarter ended | ||||||
| | and as at | | and as at | ||||||
|
| 30 June |
| 30 June |
| 30 June |
| 31 March |
| 30 June |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m | | £m |
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders |
| 2,099 |
| 2,299 |
| 1,181 |
| 918 |
| 1,020 |
Annualised profit attributable to ordinary shareholders |
| 4,198 |
| 4,598 |
| 4,724 |
| 3,672 |
| 4,080 |
Average total equity |
| 37,535 |
| 36,562 |
| 37,659 |
| 37,490 |
| 36,216 |
Adjustment for average other owners’ equity and intangible assets |
| (11,909) |
| (11,352) |
| (12,080) |
| (11,684) |
| (11,378) |
Adjusted total tangible equity |
| 25,626 |
| 25,210 |
| 25,579 |
| 25,806 |
| 24,838 |
Return on equity | | 11.2% | | 12.6% | | 12.5% | | 9.8% | | 11.3% |
Return on tangible equity |
| 16.4% | | 18.2% | | 18.5% | | 14.2% | | 16.4% |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 124 |
Non-IFRS financial measures continued
7. Segmental return on equity
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Half year ended 30 June 2024 | | Half year ended 30 June 2023 | ||||||||
|
| Retail |
| Private |
| Commercial & |
| Retail | | Private | | Commercial & |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional |
| Banking | | Banking | | Institutional |
Operating profit (£m) |
| 1,098 | | 99 | | 1,707 | | 1,560 | | 234 | | 1,741 |
Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m) |
| (34) | | (8) | | (83) | | (30) | | (11) | | (86) |
Adjustment for tax (£m) |
| (298) | | (25) | | (406) | | (428) | | (62) | | (414) |
Adjusted attributable profit (£m) |
| 766 | | 66 | | 1,218 | | 1,102 | | 161 | | 1,241 |
Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m) |
| 1,532 | | 131 | | 2,436 | | 2,203 | | 321 | | 2,483 |
Average RWAe (£bn) |
| 62.2 | | 11.1 | | 109.0 | | 56.1 | | 11.3 | | 105.1 |
Equity factor |
| 13.4% | | 11.2% | | 13.8% | | 13.5% | | 11.5% | | 14.0% |
Average notional equity (£bn) |
| 8.3 | | 1.2 | | 15.0 | | 7.6 | | 1.3 | | 14.7 |
Return on equity (%) |
| 18.4% | | 10.5% | | 16.2% | | 29.1% | | 24.7% | | 16.9% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended 30 June 2024 | | Quarter ended 31 March 2024 | | Quarter ended 30 June 2023 | ||||||||||||
|
| Retail |
| Private |
| Commercial & |
| Retail | | Private | | Commercial & | | Retail | | Private | | Commercial & |
| | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional |
| Banking | | Banking | | Institutional | | Banking | | Banking | | Institutional |
Operating profit (£m) |
| 609 | | 66 | | 938 | | 489 | | 33 | | 769 | | 766 | | 101 | | 747 |
Paid-in equity cost allocation (£m) |
| (18) | | (4) | | (43) | | (16) | | (4) | | (40) | | (15) | | (6) | | (42) |
Adjustment for tax (£m) |
| (165) | | (17) | | (224) | | (132) | | (8) | | (182) | | (210) | | (27) | | (176) |
Adjusted attributable profit (£m) |
| 426 | | 45 | | 671 | | 341 | | 21 | | 547 | | 541 | | 68 | | 529 |
Annualised adjusted attributable profit (£m) |
| 1,702 | | 179 | | 2,685 | | 1,362 | | 84 | | 2,187 | | 2,163 | | 274 | | 2,115 |
Average RWAe (£bn) |
| 62.7 | | 11.1 | | 109.0 | | 61.7 | | 11.2 | | 109.0 | | 56.8 | | 11.4 | | 106.0 |
Equity factor |
| 13.4% | | 11.2% | | 13.8% | | 13.4% | | 11.2% | | 13.8% | | 13.5% | | 11.5% | | 14.0% |
Average notional equity (£bn) |
| 8.4 | | 1.2 | | 15.0 | | 8.3 | | 1.3 | | 15.0 | | 7.7 | | 1.3 | | 14.8 |
Return on equity (%) |
| 20.3% | | 14.4% | | 17.8% | | 16.5% | | 6.7% | | 14.6% | | 28.2% | | 20.8% | | 14.3% |
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 125 |
Performance measures not defined under IFRS
The table below summarises other performance measures used by NatWest Group, not defined under IFRS, and therefore a reconciliation to the nearest IFRS measure is not applicable.
Measure | Description |
AUMAs | AUMAs comprises both assets under management (AUMs) and assets under administration (AUAs) serviced through the Private Banking segment. AUMs comprise assets where the investment management is undertaken by Private Banking on behalf of Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional customers. AUAs comprise i) third party assets held on an execution-only basis in custody by Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional for their customers, for which the execution services are supported by Private Banking, and for which Private Banking receives a fee for providing investment management and execution services to Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional business segments ii) AUA of Cushon, acquired on 1 June 2023, which are supported by Private Banking and held and managed by third parties. This measure is tracked and reported as the amount of funds that we manage or administer, and directly impacts the level of investment income that we receive. |
AUM net flows | AUM net flows refer to client cash inflows and outflows relating to investment products (this can include transfers from savings accounts). AUM net flows exclude the impact of European Economic Area (EEA) resident client outflows following the UK’s exit from the EU and Russian client outflows since Q1 2022. AUM net flows is reported and tracked to monitor the business performance of new business inflows and management of existing client withdrawals across Private Banking, Retail Banking and Commercial & Institutional. |
Climate and sustainable funding and financing | The climate and sustainable funding and financing metric is used by NatWest Group to measure the level of support it provides customers, through lending products and underwriting activities, to help in their transition towards a net zero, climate resilient and sustainable economy. We have a target to provide £100 billion of climate and sustainable funding and financing between the 1 of July 2021 and the end of 2025. As part of this, we aim to provide at least £10 billion in lending for residential properties with EPC ratings A and B between 1 January 2023 and the end of 2025. |
Loan impairment rate | Loan impairment rate is the annualised loan impairment charge divided by gross customer loans. This measure is used to assess the credit quality of the loan book. |
Third party rates | Third party customer asset rate is calculated as annualised interest receivable on third-party loans to customers as a percentage of third-party loans to customers. This excludes assets of disposal groups, intragroup items, loans to banks and liquid asset portfolios. Third party customer funding rate reflects interest payable or receivable on third-party customer deposits, including interest bearing and non- interest bearing customer deposits. Intragroup items, bank deposits, debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities are excluded for customer funding rate calculation. |
Wholesale funding | Wholesale funding comprises deposits by banks (excluding repos), debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities. Funding risk is the risk of not maintaining a diversified, stable and cost-effective funding base. The disclosure of wholesale funding highlights the extent of our diversification and how we mitigate funding risk. |
Legal Entity Identifier: 2138005O9XJIJN4JPN90
| |
NatWest Group – Form 6-K Interim Results 2024 | 126 |