Notes to the Financial Statements
Long Term Assets
For the year ended 30 June 2019
17 | Financial risk management |
The Long Term Assets are invested in unlisted unit trusts held with QIC. The trusts hold investments in a variety of financial instruments including derivatives, which expose these assets to credit risk, liquidity risk and market risk. Market risk arises due to changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, property prices and equity prices. However as these investments are long term in nature, market fluctuations are expected to even out over the term of the investment.
The Long Term Asset Advisory Board (LTAAB) determined the investment objectives, risk profiles and strategy for the Long Term Assets within the framework provided by the Government. It was responsible for formulating a strategic asset allocation to achieve the objectives of the investments in line with the required risk profile. Risk management policies have been established to identify and analyse risks as well as to set appropriate risk limits and controls. Risks are monitored in adherence with these limits. Going forward, this role will be undertaken by the State Investment Advisory Board. QIC provided assistance to LTAAB in discharging its responsibilities. QIC’s role includes recommending investment product objectives, risk profiles and strategic asset allocations to achieve objectives within the targets and risk controls set. As the lead investment manager, QIC is responsible for implementing the investment strategy. In addition, independent oversight of the investment advice and services provided by QIC, including periodic strategic reviews of QIC’s activities and performance, was provided by an external consultant.
The interest rate applicable on the fixed rate note liability of QTC, which was set at 6.5 per cent (2018: 7.0 per cent) on the book value of the notes from 1 July 2018.
No external cash flows are generated by QTC from the Long Term Assets. Deposits and withdrawals from the Long Term Assets result in a corresponding change to the value of the fixed rate notes (FRN). Interest owing to Treasury on the FRNs is capitalised as are returns and fees on the Long Term Assets. As such daily movements in these cash flows do not expose QTC to liquidity risk.
QIC is responsible for implementing the investment strategy for the Long Term Assets. The investment strategy targets a widely diversified portfolio across a broad range of asset classes, helping to minimise credit risk.
The Long Term Assets expose QTC to market risk, including interest rate risk, foreign currency risk, property price risk and equity price risk, resulting from its investments in unit trusts and the underlying movement in the net asset value through these trusts. While the portfolio does not have direct exposure to interest rate, foreign currency and credit risk, the unit price of the fund in which the assets are invested will change in response to the market’s perception of changes in these underlying risks.
Market risk is mitigated through a diversified portfolio of investments in unit trusts held with QIC in accordance with the investment strategy approved by LTAAB. The investment strategy targets a diversified portfolio across a broad range of asset classes.
QIC adheres to prudential controls contained in the Investment Management Agreement. Under this agreement, derivative products are not permitted to be used for speculative purposes but are used as hedging instruments against existing positions or for efficient trading and asset allocation purposes to assist in achieving the overall investment returns and volatility objectives of the portfolio.
A sensitivity analysis for the key types of market risk that apply to the investments of the funds has been undertaken by QIC. QIC has provided a range of reasonably possible changes in key risk variables including the ASX 200, the MSCI World ex Australia Equities Index, the RBA official cash rate, the Bank of England official cash rate and real estate capitalisation rates.
The foreign currency exposure of QTC’s total investment portfolio is 100% hedged. For this reason sensitivity to foreign exchange rate movements has not been calculated at the asset class level.
Based on these changes to key risk variables and applying a range of valuation methodologies, a reasonably possible change in value of applicable investments held at 30 June is as follows:
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| | 2019 CHANGE | | | 2019 PROFIT/EQUITY | | | 2018 CHANGE | | | 2018 PROFIT/EQUITY | |
| | Low % | | | High % | | | Decrease $000 | | | Increase $000 | | | Low % | | | High % | | | Decrease $000 | | | Increase $000 | |
Cash and fixed interest (1) | | | > -1 | % | | | < 1 | % | | | (23 772 | ) | | | 23 772 | | | | > -1 | % | | | < 1 | % | | | (60 850 | ) | | | 60 850 | |
Equities | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (230 226 | ) | | | 230 226 | | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (382 624 | ) | | | 382 624 | |
Diversified alternatives (2) | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (586 266 | ) | | | 586 266 | | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (554 231 | ) | | | 554 231 | |
Infrastructure | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (336 663 | ) | | | 336 663 | | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (301 882 | ) | | | 301 882 | |
Private equities | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (284 332 | ) | | | 284 332 | | | | -10 | % | | | 10 | % | | | (257 826 | ) | | | 257 826 | |
Real estate | | | -10 | % | | | 11 | % | | | (317 829 | ) | | | 369 330 | | | | -8 | % | | | 9 | % | | | (234 206 | ) | | | 248 164 | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | (1 779 088 | ) | | | 1 830 589 | | | | | | | | | | | | (1 791 619 | ) | | | 1 805 577 | |
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(1) | Cash and fixed interest includes exposure to interest rate and inflation overlays on hedging instruments. |
(2) | Diversified alternatives include exposure to both price and interest rate risk. |
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ANNUAL REPORT 2018-19 | QUEENSLAND TREASURY CORPORATION |