THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Management’s Discussion and Analysis
These statements may also include statements about the results of our Dodd-Frank Act and our stress tests, statements about the objectives and effectiveness of our business continuity plan, information security program, risk management and liquidity policies, statements about our resolution plan and resolution strategy and their implications for our debtholders and other stakeholders, statements about the design and effectiveness of our resolution capital and liquidity models and our triggers and alerts framework, statements about trends in or growth opportunities for our businesses, statements about our future status, activities or reporting under U.S. ornon-U.S. banking and financial regulation, statements about our NSFR, statements about our investment banking transaction backlog, statements about our expected tax rate, statements about the estimated impact of new accounting standards, including the Current Expected Credit Losses (CECL) model, statements about the level of capital actions, statements about our expected interest income, statements about our credit exposures, statements about our preparations for Brexit, including our plan to manage a hard Brexit scenario, statements about the replacement of LIBOR and other IBORs and the objectives of our program for the transition from IBORs to alternativerisk-free reference rates, statements about the adequacy of our allowance for credit losses, statements about the projected growth of our U.S. and U.K. retail deposit platforms, statements about our engagement in corporate cash management, and statements regarding planned 2019 benchmark issuances.
By identifying these statements for you in this manner, we are alerting you to the possibility that our actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause our actual results and financial condition to differ from those indicated in these forward-looking statements include, among others, those described below and in “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of the 2018Form 10-K.
Statements about our investment banking transaction backlog are subject to the risk that the terms of these transactions may be modified or that they may not be completed at all; therefore, the net revenues, if any, that we actually earn from these transactions may differ, possibly materially, from those currently expected. Important factors that could result in a modification of the terms of a transaction or a transaction not being completed include, in the case of underwriting transactions, a decline or continued weakness in general economic conditions, outbreak of hostilities, volatility in the securities markets generally or an adverse development with respect to the issuer of the securities and, in the case of financial advisory transactions, a decline in the securities markets, an inability to obtain adequate financing, an adverse development with respect to a party to the transaction or a failure to obtain a required regulatory approval. For information about other important factors that could adversely affect our investment banking transactions, see “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of the 2018Form 10-K.
Statements about our expected 2019 effective income tax rate are subject to the risk that it may differ from the anticipated rate indicated in such statements, possibly materially, due to, among other things, changes in our earnings mix, our profitability and entities in which we generate profits, the assumptions we have made in forecasting our expected tax rate, as well as guidance that may be issued by the IRS.
Statements about our NSFR are based on our current interpretation, expectations and understandings of the relevant proposal, and reflect significant assumptions about the treatment of various assets and liabilities and the manner in which our NSFR is calculated. As a result, the methods used to calculate our NSFR may differ, possibly materially, from those used in calculating our NSFR for any future disclosures. The ultimate methods of calculating our NSFR will depend on, among other things, rulemaking from the U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies and the development of market practices and standards.
Statements about the estimated impact of CECL are subject to the risk that the actual impact may differ, possibly materially, from that currently expected due to, among other things, additional guidance from accounting or regulatory agencies, management judgments, changes in the economic environment or the size and type of loan portfolios we hold when we adopt CECL, or changes to our credit loss models in connection with validating data inputs and developing the policies, systems and controls required to implement CECL.
Statements about the projected growth of our U.S. and U.K. retail deposit platforms are subject to the risk that actual growth may differ, possibly materially, from that currently anticipated due to, among other things, changes in interest rates and competition from other similar products.
Statements about corporate cash management are based on our current expectations regarding our ability to implement and effectively conduct this activity. As a result, the timing of our ability to engage in, and the benefits to be received from, corporate cash management may change, possibly materially, from what is currently expected, and we may be unable to generate the revenues or achieve the anticipated expense savings (and operational risk exposure reductions). Corporate cash management is a new business for us and is subject to all the risks associated with new business activities, including the ability to develop new and competitive systems and processes, and hire and retain the personnel needed to run the new business.
Statements about planned 2019 benchmark issuances are subject to the risk that actual issuances may differ, possibly materially, from that currently expected due to changes in market conditions or our funding.
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141 | | Goldman Sachs March 2019 Form 10-Q |