Exhibit 99.1
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| | |
| | Quarterly |
| | Operating Supplement |
| | Third Quarter 2006 |
Table of Contents
| | |
| | Page |
Introductory Note | | 2 |
Company Profile | | 2 |
Company Information | | 2 |
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements | | 3 |
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets | | 4 |
Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product | | 5 |
Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product | | 5 |
Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums | | 5 |
Consolidated Selected Loss Information | | 6 |
Consolidated Selected Derivative Information | | 7 |
Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights | | 8 |
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights | | 9 |
Consolidated CDO Exposure | | 15 |
Consolidated Explanatory Notes | | 16 |
Safe Harbor Statement | | 17 |
1
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Quarterly Operating Supplement
September 30, 2006
Introductory Note
This operating supplement presents financial information for Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) and its consolidated subsidiaries on a GAAP basis. Please visit our website at www.radian.biz on or about November 17, 2006 for selected statutory information.
Company Profile
Radian, founded in 1985 and rated AA by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (S&P), and Fitch Ratings and Aa3 by Moody’s Investor Service (Moody’s), is a leading financial guarantor of structured finance and public finance transactions. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers. Radian is also a leading provider of reinsurance to the major monoline financial guarantors. In addition, Radian provides Trade Credit reinsurance, which was placed in runoff in 2005.
Radian is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in both New York and London.
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Company Information | | |
| |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc. | | Contact: |
335 Madison Avenue | | John C. DeLuca |
New York, New York 10017 | | Senior Vice President, Public Finance - Marketing |
1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.) | | 1 212 984.9222 |
1 212 983.3100 | | john.deluca@radian.biz |
www.radian.biz | | |
2
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements*($ Thousands)
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | Nine months ended | |
| | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | |
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross premiums written | | $ | 48,691 | | | $ | 78,091 | | | $ | 186,053 | | | $ | 155,241 | |
Ceded premiums written | | | (123 | ) | | | (227 | ) | | | (2,437 | ) | | | (3,057 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | | 48,568 | | | | 77,864 | | | | 183,616 | | | | 152,184 | |
Decrease (increase) in deferred premium revenue | | | 3,250 | | | | (22,509 | ) | | | (32,790 | ) | | | 2,740 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Premiums earned | | | 51,818 | | | | 55,355 | | | | 150,826 | | | | 154,924 | |
| | | | |
Net investment income | | | 23,793 | | | | 22,289 | | | | 68,130 | | | | 65,194 | |
Gain on sale of investments | | | 79 | | | | 3,036 | | | | 1,548 | | | | 8,152 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 3,919 | | | | 41,628 | | | | (8,861 | ) | | | 39,376 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 79,609 | | | | 122,308 | | | | 211,643 | | | | 267,646 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,551 | | | | 10,454 | | | | 17,670 | | | | 25,370 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 11,023 | | | | 13,030 | | | | 35,943 | | | | 39,187 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 15,924 | | | | 18,085 | | | | 45,943 | | | | 46,991 | |
Other expense | | | 3,464 | | | | 3,935 | | | | 10,922 | | | | 10,004 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 33,962 | | | | 45,504 | | | | 110,478 | | | | 121,552 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Income before income taxes | | | 45,647 | | | | 76,804 | | | | 101,165 | | | | 146,094 | |
Income tax expense | | | 9,283 | | | | 23,067 | | | | 19,445 | | | | 36,019 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income | | $ | 36,364 | | | $ | 53,737 | | | $ | 81,720 | | | $ | 110,075 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
3
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets*($ Thousands)**
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | December 31 2005 |
Assets | | | | | | |
Investments: | | | | | | |
Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,066,770 and $1,934,133) | | $ | 2,125,934 | | $ | 1,987,565 |
Trading securities, at fair value (cost $16,503 and $17,318) | | | 23,198 | | | 23,264 |
Common stock, at fair value (cost $931 and $931) | | | 1,164 | | | 1,164 |
Short-term investments | | | 91,863 | | | 101,691 |
| | | | | | |
Total Investments | | | 2,242,159 | | | 2,113,684 |
Cash and cash equivalents | | | 2,061 | | | 5,925 |
Accrued interest and dividends receivable | | | 25,687 | | | 26,372 |
Premiums and other receivables | | | 21,427 | | | 39,824 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 147,474 | | | 140,658 |
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 1,800 | | | 1,546 |
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses | | | 2,685 | | | 2,699 |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | 14,995 | | | 14,995 |
Federal income tax recoverable | | | — | | | 3,163 |
Credit derivatives | | | 78,051 | | | 23,385 |
Other assets | | | 7,017 | | | 10,954 |
| | | | | | |
Total Assets | | $ | 2,543,356 | | $ | 2,383,205 |
| | | | | | |
Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | |
Losses and loss adjustment expenses | | $ | 174,297 | | $ | 186,425 |
Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,128 | | | 6,142 |
Deferred premium revenue | | | 667,785 | | | 634,424 |
Federal income taxes payable | | | 7,172 | | | — |
Deferred federal income taxes | | | 97,310 | | | 66,231 |
Payable to affiliates | | | 5,849 | | | 8,065 |
Accrued expenses and other liabilities | | | 29,986 | | | 21,439 |
| | | | | | |
Total Liabilities | | | 985,527 | | | 922,726 |
| | | | | | |
Shareholder’s Equity | | | | | | |
Common stock — $150 par value | | | | | | |
Authorized, issued and outstanding — 100,000 shares | | | 15,000 | | | 15,000 |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 599,601 | | | 590,579 |
Retained earnings | | | 899,427 | | | 817,708 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 43,801 | | | 37,192 |
| | | | | | |
Total Shareholder’s Equity | | | 1,557,829 | | | 1,460,479 |
| | | | | | |
Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity | | $ | 2,543,356 | | $ | 2,383,205 |
| | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
4
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product*($ Thousands)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | | | Nine months ended | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | | Percent Change | | | September 30 2006 | | September 30 2005 | | | Percent Change | |
Public Finance Direct | | $ | 11,190 | | | $ | 22,540 | | –50.4 | % | | $ | 49,595 | | $ | 51,286 | | | –3.3 | % |
Structured Finance Direct | | | 19,575 | | | | 19,948 | | –1.9 | % | | | 59,314 | | | 52,608 | | | 12.7 | % |
Public Finance Reinsurance | | | 13,844 | | | | 23,374 | | –40.8 | % | | | 60,539 | | | 61,354 | | | –1.3 | % |
Structured Finance Reinsurance | | | 4,414 | | | | 3,092 | | 42.8 | % | | | 12,919 | | | 16,355 | | | –21.0 | % |
Trade Credit Reinsurance | | | (332 | ) | | | 9,137 | | –103.6 | % | | | 3,686 | | | 28,380 | | | –87.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 48,691 | | | | 78,091 | | –37.6 | % | | | 186,053 | | | 209,983 | | | –11.4 | % |
Impact of Recapture | | | — | | | | — | | — | | | | — | | | (54,742 | ) | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 48,691 | | | $ | 78,091 | | –37.6 | % | | $ | 186,053 | | $ | 155,241 | | | 19.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product*($ Thousands) | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | | | Nine months ended | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | | Percent Change | | | September 30 2006 | | September 30 2005 | | | Percent Change | |
Public Finance Direct | | $ | 8,388 | | | $ | 7,651 | | 9.6 | % | | $ | 23,681 | | $ | 24,667 | | | –4.0 | % |
Structured Finance Direct | | | 22,727 | | | | 20,108 | | 13.0 | % | | | 66,987 | | | 57,098 | | | 17.3 | % |
Public Finance Reinsurance | | | 12,097 | | | | 10,058 | | 20.3 | % | | | 28,255 | | | 25,661 | | | 10.1 | % |
Structured Finance Reinsurance | | | 5,479 | | | | 4,544 | | 20.6 | % | | | 15,762 | | | 15,563 | | | 1.3 | % |
Trade Credit Reinsurance | | | 3,127 | | | | 12,994 | | –75.9 | % | | | 16,141 | | | 36,474 | | | –55.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 51,818 | | | | 55,355 | | –6.4 | % | | | 150,826 | | | 159,463 | | | –5.4 | % |
Impact of Recapture | | | — | | | | — | | — | | | | — | | | (4,539 | ) | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 51,818 | | | $ | 55,355 | | –6.4 | % | | $ | 150,826 | | $ | 154,924 | | | –2.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums**
As of September 30, 2006
($ Millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Ending Net Unearned Premiums | | Unearned Premium Amortization | | Future Installments | | Total Premium Earnings |
2006 | | $ | 629.6 | | $ | 36.4 | | $ | 8.6 | | $ | 45.0 |
2007 | | | 558.0 | | | 71.6 | | | 78.3 | | | 149.9 |
2008 | | | 499.0 | | | 59.0 | | | 62.8 | | | 121.8 |
2009 | | | 450.8 | | | 48.2 | | | 54.1 | | | 102.3 |
2010 | | | 409.4 | | | 41.4 | | | 41.8 | | | 83.2 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 – 2010 | | | 409.4 | | | 256.6 | | | 245.6 | | | 502.2 |
2011 – 2015 | | | 239.6 | | | 169.8 | | | 102.9 | | | 272.7 |
2016 – 2020 | | | 121.7 | | | 117.9 | | | 30.7 | | | 148.6 |
2021 – 2025 | | | 48.4 | | | 73.3 | | | 19.1 | | | 92.4 |
After 2025 | | | — | | | 48.4 | | | 25.3 | | | 73.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | — | | $ | 666.0 | | $ | 423.6 | | $ | 1,089.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | This table depicts the expected amortization of the unearned premium for the existing financial guaranty portfolio, assuming no advance refundings as of September 30, 2006. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or repay financial guaranty obligations. Unearned premium amounts are net of prepaid reinsurance. |
5
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Selected Loss Information*
($ Thousands)
Components of Claims Paid and Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | Nine months ended | |
| | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | |
Claims Paid | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade Credit | | $ | 4,485 | | | $ | 3,454 | | | $ | 12,301 | | | $ | 13,101 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 320 | | | | (201 | ) | | | 6,817 | | | | 11,284 | |
Conseco Finance Corp | | | 3,505 | | | | 7,443 | | | | 12,250 | | | | 23,393 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 8,310 | | | $ | 10,696 | | | $ | 31,368 | | | $ | 47,778 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade Credit | | $ | (401 | ) | | $ | 6,684 | | | $ | 6,092 | | | $ | 13,738 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 3,952 | | | | 3,770 | | | | 12,860 | | | | 11,632 | |
Conseco Finance Corp | | | — | | | | — | | | | (1,282 | ) | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 3,551 | | | $ | 10,454 | | | $ | 17,670 | | | $ | 25,370 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net (recoveries) payments under derivative contracts | | $ | (1,136 | ) | | $ | (1,799 | ) | | $ | 64,277 | | | $ | (6,175 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Components of Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
| | | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | December 31 2005 |
Financial Guaranty | | | | | | |
Case | | $ | 44,207 | | $ | 53,928 |
Allocated non-specific | | | 23,485 | | | 27,750 |
Unallocated non-specific | | | 61,062 | | | 54,878 |
| | | | | | |
| | | 128,754 | | | 136,556 |
| | | | | | |
Trade Credit and Other | | | | | | |
Case | | | 20,620 | | | 19,051 |
IBNR | | | 24,923 | | | 30,818 |
| | | | | | |
| | | 45,543 | | | 49,869 |
| | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 174,297 | | $ | 186,425 |
| | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
6
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Selected Derivative Information*
($ Millions)
Balance Sheet Information
| | | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | December 31 2005 |
Notional value | | $ | 38,154.1 | | $ | 22,724.8 |
| | | | | | |
Gross unrealized gains | | $ | 114.3 | | $ | 95.5 |
Gross unrealized losses | | | 36.2 | | | 72.1 |
| | | | | | |
Net gains | | $ | 78.1 | | $ | 23.4 |
| | | | | | |
Income Statement Information
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | Nine months ended |
| | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2005 |
(Losses) gains on trading securities | | $ | (1.3 | ) | | $ | 3.3 | | $ | 0.7 | | | $ | 1.0 |
Net unrealized gains (losses) recorded on derivatives | | | 5.2 | | | | 38.4 | | | (9.6 | ) | | | 38.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | $ | 3.9 | | | $ | 41.7 | | $ | (8.9 | ) | | $ | 39.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Unrealized Gains and (Losses)
| | | | | | | | |
| | September 30 2006 | | | December 31 2005 | |
Balance at January 1 | | $ | 23.4 | | | $ | 25.3 | |
| | |
Net unrealized (losses) gains recorded | | | (9.6 | ) | | | 5.7 | |
Settlements of derivatives contracts: | | | | | | | | |
Defaults | | | | | | | | |
Recoveries | | | (3.8 | ) | | | (7.7 | ) |
Payments | | | 68.1 | | | | 0.1 | |
Early termination receipts | | | — | | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | |
Balance at end of period | | $ | 78.1 | | | $ | 23.4 | |
| | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
7
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset Quality** | | Book Value (09/30/2006) | | Percent of Book Value | | | Book Value (12/31/2005) | | Percent of Book Value | |
AAA | | $ | 1,504.5 | | 67.0 | % | | $ | 1,422.0 | | 67.3 | % |
AA | | | 414.8 | | 18.5 | % | | | 397.0 | | 18.8 | % |
A | | | 175.7 | | 7.8 | % | | | 169.9 | | 8.0 | % |
BBB | | | 136.4 | | 6.1 | % | | | 116.8 | | 5.5 | % |
BIG | | | 3.5 | | 0.2 | % | | | — | | 0.0 | % |
NR | | | 6.1 | | 0.3 | % | | | 6.5 | | 0.3 | % |
Other | | | 1.2 | | 0.1 | % | | | 1.5 | | 0.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,242.2 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,113.7 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Asset Class | | Book Value (09/30/2006) | | Percent of Book Value | | | Book Value (12/31/2005) | | Percent of Book Value | |
Municipal Bonds | | $ | 1,668.3 | | 74.4 | % | | $ | 1,537.0 | | 72.7 | % |
Taxable Bonds | | | 337.8 | | 15.1 | % | | | 366.3 | | 17.3 | % |
Convertible Bonds | | | 113.1 | | 5.0 | % | | | 107.5 | | 5.1 | % |
Short-Term | | | 91.3 | | 4.1 | % | | | 70.5 | | 3.4 | % |
Other | | | 31.7 | | 1.4 | % | | | 32.4 | | 1.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,242.2 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,113.7 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Average duration of 5.8 years at 09/30/2006 and 12/31/2005. |
8
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Consolidated Gross Par Originated
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended |
| | September 30 2006 | | September 30 2005 |
| | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total | | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total |
Public Finance | | $ | 526 | | $ | 2,057 | | $ | 2,583 | | $ | 830 | | $ | 2,555 | | $ | 3,385 |
Structured Finance | | | 5,085 | | | 534 | | | 5,619 | | | 5,162 | | | 193 | | | 5,355 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,611 | | $ | 2,591 | | $ | 8,202 | | $ | 5,992 | | $ | 2,748 | | $ | 8,740 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | Nine months ended |
| | September 30 2006 | | September 30 2005 |
| | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total | | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total |
Public Finance | | $ | 1,856 | | $ | 4,942 | | $ | 6,798 | | $ | 1,769 | | $ | 4,570 | | $ | 6,339 |
Structured Finance | | | 16,996 | | | 1,298 | | | 18,294 | | | 8,875 | | | 1,162 | | | 10,037 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 18,852 | | $ | 6,240 | | $ | 25,092 | | $ | 10,644 | | $ | 5,732 | | $ | 16,376 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Sector Breakout
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public Finance | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
General Obligations | | $ | 16,163 | | 16.8 | % | | $ | 15,160 | | 19.8 | % |
Healthcare | | | 10,144 | | 10.5 | % | | | 8,727 | | 11.4 | % |
Utilities | | | 5,962 | | 6.2 | % | | | 5,686 | | 7.4 | % |
Transportation | | | 5,140 | | 5.4 | % | | | 4,739 | | 6.2 | % |
Tax Backed | | | 4,948 | | 5.2 | % | | | 4,540 | | 5.9 | % |
Education | | | 3,913 | | 4.1 | % | | | 3,513 | | 4.6 | % |
Investor-Owned Utilities | | | 2,459 | | 2.6 | % | | | 1,690 | | 2.2 | % |
Long Term Care | | | 1,482 | | 1.5 | % | | | 1,292 | | 1.7 | % |
Housing | | | 734 | | 0.8 | % | | | 618 | | 0.8 | % |
Second-To-Pay Municipal Wrap | | | 20 | | 0.0 | % | | | 427 | | 0.6 | % |
Other Public Finance | | | 783 | | 0.8 | % | | | 851 | | 1.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | $ | 51,748 | | 53.9 | % | | $ | 47,243 | | 61.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured Finance | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Collateralized Debt Obligations | | $ | 37,883 | | 39.5 | % | | $ | 22,736 | | 29.7 | % |
Asset Backed - Consumer | | | 2,045 | | 2.1 | % | | | 1,714 | | 2.2 | % |
Asset Backed - Commercial and Other | | | 1,550 | | 1.6 | % | | | 1,784 | | 2.3 | % |
Asset Backed - Mortgage and MBS | | | 1,127 | | 1.2 | % | | | 1,287 | | 1.7 | % |
Other Structured Finance | | | 1,626 | | 1.7 | % | | | 1,810 | | 2.4 | % |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | | 44,231 | | 46.1 | % | | | 29,331 | | 38.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 95,979 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 76,574 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Reflects one quarter lag |
9
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Rating Distribution**
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Rating** | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Public Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 1,578 | | 1.6 | % | | $ | 1,380 | | 1.8 | % |
AA | | | 15,725 | | 16.4 | % | | | 13,664 | | 17.8 | % |
A | | | 18,001 | | 18.8 | % | | | 18,036 | | 23.6 | % |
BBB | | | 14,991 | | 15.6 | % | | | 12,922 | | 16.9 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 1,150 | | 1.2 | % | | | 902 | | 1.2 | % |
Not Rated | | | 303 | | 0.3 | % | | | 339 | | 0.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | $ | 51,748 | | 53.9 | % | | $ | 47,243 | | 61.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 36,100 | | 37.7 | % | | $ | 21,155 | | 27.6 | % |
AA | | | 2,407 | | 2.5 | % | | | 2,727 | | 3.6 | % |
A | | | 1,483 | | 1.5 | % | | | 1,288 | | 1.7 | % |
BBB | | | 2,674 | | 2.8 | % | | | 3,012 | | 3.9 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 186 | | 0.2 | % | | | 552 | | 0.7 | % |
Not Rated | | | 1,381 | | 1.4 | % | | | 597 | | 0.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | $ | 44,231 | | 46.1 | % | | $ | 29,331 | | 38.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 37,678 | | 39.3 | % | | $ | 22,535 | | 29.4 | % |
AA | | | 18,132 | | 18.9 | % | | | 16,391 | | 21.4 | % |
A | | | 19,484 | | 20.3 | % | | | 19,324 | | 25.3 | % |
BBB | | | 17,665 | | 18.4 | % | | | 15,934 | | 20.8 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 1,336 | | 1.4 | % | | | 1,454 | | 1.9 | % |
Not Rated | | | 1,684 | | 1.7 | % | | | 936 | | 1.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 95,979 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 76,574 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
10
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Geographic Diversification
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
State | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Domestic public finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
California | | $ | 5,854 | | 6.1 | % | | $ | 5,182 | | 6.8 | % |
New York | | | 5,048 | | 5.3 | % | | | 4,835 | | 6.3 | % |
Texas | | | 3,887 | | 4.0 | % | | | 3,625 | | 4.7 | % |
Florida | | | 2,926 | | 3.0 | % | | | 2,681 | | 3.5 | % |
Pennsylvania | | | 2,898 | | 3.0 | % | | | 2,907 | | 3.8 | % |
Illinois | | | 2,874 | | 3.0 | % | | | 2,654 | | 3.5 | % |
Massachusetts | | | 2,254 | | 2.3 | % | | | 2,178 | | 2.8 | % |
New Jersey | | | 2,236 | | 2.3 | % | | | 1,994 | | 2.6 | % |
Washington | | | 1,542 | | 1.6 | % | | | 1,549 | | 2.0 | % |
Colorado | | | 1,349 | | 1.4 | % | | | 1,165 | | 1.5 | % |
Top ten states – domestic public finance subtotal | | | 30,868 | | 32.0 | % | | | 28,770 | | 37.5 | % |
Total of other states – domestic public finance | | | 18,008 | | 18.8 | % | | | 16,960 | | 22.2 | % |
Total domestic public finance | | | 48,876 | | 50.8 | % | | | 45,730 | | 59.7 | % |
Domestic structured finance | | | 34,448 | | 36.0 | % | | | 24,595 | | 32.1 | % |
International public and structured finance | | | 12,655 | | 13.2 | % | | | 6,249 | | 8.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 95,979 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 76,574 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
11
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
25 Largest Public Finance Exposures
| | | | | | | | |
Obligor | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Rating ** |
New York, NY - G.O. | | $ | 747 | | 0.8 | % | | AA- |
Port Authority of New York & New Jersey | | | 553 | | 0.6 | % | | AA- |
Chicago, IL - G.O. | | | 464 | | 0.5 | % | | AA- |
California - G.O. | | | 439 | | 0.5 | % | | A+ |
Massachusetts - G.O. | | | 334 | | 0.3 | % | | AAA |
Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY | | | 319 | | 0.3 | % | | A |
New Jersey Economic Development Authority School Facilities | | | 314 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
New York City Municipal Water Finance, NY | | | 309 | | 0.3 | % | | AA+ |
New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority | | | 295 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Long Island Power Authority, NY | | | 283 | | 0.3 | % | | A- |
Illinois Toll Highway Authority | | | 276 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Jefferson County, AL - Sewer Revenue | | | 273 | | 0.3 | % | | A |
Illinois - G.O. | | | 262 | | 0.3 | % | | AA |
Massachusetts School Building Authority | | | 257 | | 0.3 | % | | AA |
Washington - G.O. | | | 252 | | 0.3 | % | | Aa1 |
New Jersey Turnpike Authority | | | 249 | | 0.3 | % | | A |
Los Angeles Unified School District, CA | | | 247 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Houston Airport System, TX | | | 244 | | 0.3 | % | | A |
California Economic Recovery Bonds | | | 235 | | 0.2 | % | | AA- |
New York State Thruway Authority | | | 231 | | 0.2 | % | | AA- |
Puerto Rico Highway & Transporation Authority | | | 228 | | 0.2 | % | | BBB+ |
Puerto Rico - G.O. | | | 222 | | 0.2 | % | | BBB |
San Francisco International Airport, CA | | | 209 | | 0.2 | % | | A1 |
Dallas Fort Worth International Airport, TX | | | 206 | | 0.2 | % | | A+ |
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority | | | 193 | | 0.2 | % | | Aa2 |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 7,641 | | 8.0 | % | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Largest Structured Finance Exposures
Radian’s largest Structured Finance exposures consist of the following:
| • | | One $600 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | One $520 million transaction representing a Managed Synthetic Investment Grade Asset-Backed CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | Nineteen transactions ($450 million each) representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO’s rated AAA. |
| • | | One $450 million transaction representing a Second-to-Pay CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | Two transactions ($446.4 million each) representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO’s rated AAA. |
| • | | One $442 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA. |
These 25 transactions combine to total $11.45 billion, or 11.9% of Radian’s Net Par Outstanding as of September 30, 2006.
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
12
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Below Investment Grade Exposure by Sector
| | | | | | |
Sector | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Public Finance | | | | | | |
General Obligations | | $ | 699 | | 0.7 | % |
Tax Backed | | | 95 | | 0.1 | % |
Healthcare | | | 91 | | 0.1 | % |
Education | | | 81 | | 0.1 | % |
Long Term Care | | | 57 | | 0.1 | % |
Utilities | | | 57 | | 0.1 | % |
Housing | | | 23 | | 0.0 | % |
Transportation | | | 3 | | 0.0 | % |
Other Public Finance | | | 43 | | 0.0 | % |
| | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | | 1,149 | | 1.2 | % |
| | | | | | |
| | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | |
Asset Backed - Consumer | | | 108 | | 0.1 | % |
Collateralized Debt Obligations | | | 69 | | 0.1 | % |
Asset Backed - Commercial and Other | | | 10 | | 0.0 | % |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | | 187 | | 0.2 | % |
| | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,336 | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | |
10 Largest Health Care Exposures
| | | | | | | | |
Obligor | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Rating ** |
Bon Secours Health System Inc | | $ | 123 | | 0.1 | % | | A- |
Medlantic Helix Parent | | | 119 | | 0.1 | % | | Baa1 |
Kaiser Permanente | | | 109 | | 0.1 | % | | A+ |
Capital Hospitals PLC | | | 106 | | 0.1 | % | | BBB- |
Methodist Hospital | | | 105 | | 0.1 | % | | AA |
Adventist Health System | | | 104 | | 0.1 | % | | A+ |
Consort Healthcare Limited | | | 100 | | 0.1 | % | | BBB- |
Ascension Health | | | 98 | | 0.1 | % | | AA |
Catholic Healthcare West | | | 97 | | 0.1 | % | | A- |
Sutter Health | | | 86 | | 0.1 | % | | AA- |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,047 | | 1.0 | % | | |
| | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
13
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Net Debt Service Amortization
| | | | | | |
| | Scheduled Net Debt Service Amortization as of 09/30/2006 | | Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding |
2006 | | $ | 1,749 | | $ | 131,395 |
2007 | | | 7,883 | | | 123,512 |
2008 | | | 6,587 | | | 116,925 |
2009 | | | 8,704 | | | 108,221 |
2010 | | | 9,239 | | | 98,982 |
2011-2015 | | | 42,659 | | | 56,323 |
2016-2020 | | | 20,072 | | | 36,251 |
2021-2025 | | | 15,191 | | | 21,060 |
After 2025 | | | 21,060 | | | — |
| | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 133,144 | | | |
| | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
14
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated CDO Exposure* ($ Millions)
Total CDO Exposure
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | |
Direct | | $ | 36,764 | | 97.0 | % | | $ | 21,442 | | 94.3 | % |
Assumed | | | 1,119 | | 3.0 | % | | | 1,294 | | 5.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 37,883 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 22,736 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total CDO Portfolio Rating Distribution** | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | |
AAA | | $ | 33,905 | | 89.5 | % | | $ | 18,267 | | 80.3 | % |
AA | | | 2,263 | | 6.0 | % | | | 2,470 | | 10.9 | % |
A | | | 502 | | 1.3 | % | | | 604 | | 2.7 | % |
BBB | | | 555 | | 1.5 | % | | | 982 | | 4.3 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 69 | | 0.2 | % | | | 413 | | 1.8 | % |
Not Rated | | | 589 | | 1.5 | % | | | — | | 0.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 37,883 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 22,736 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Direct CDO Underlying Asset Types | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | Direct CDO Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2006) | | Percent of Direct CDO Net Par | | | Direct CDO Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2005) | | Percent of Direct CDO Net Par | |
Corporates | | $ | 34,847 | | 94.8 | % | | $ | 20,019 | | 93.4 | % |
Other | | | 1,917 | | 5.2 | % | | | 1,423 | | 6.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 36,764 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 21,442 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
15
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Explanatory Notes
1. The accompanying unaudited GAAP financial information includes the accounts of Radian, Radian Asset Assurance Limited, Radian Financial Products Limited, Van-American Companies, Inc. and Asset Recovery Solutions.
These unaudited consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, including the Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm for Radian for the year ended December 31, 2005, as filed in accordance with 15c2-12 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
2. In May 2004, Moody’s provided Radian with an initial insurance financial strength rating of Aa3. Prior to the merger of Radian Reinsurance Inc. (Radian Reinsurance) with and into Radian, Moody’s downgraded the insurance financial strength rating of Radian Reinsurance from Aa2 to Aa3. As a result of this downgrade, two of the primary insurer customers had the right to recapture previously written business ceded to Radian Reinsurance. One of these customers agreed, without cost to or concessions by Radian, to waive its recapture rights. Effective February 28, 2005, the remaining primary insurer customer with recapture rights recaptured approximately $7.4 billion of par in-force that it had ceded to Radian Reinsurance, including $54.7 million of premiums written through the recapture date, $4.5 million of which already had been treated as earned under GAAP and was required to be recorded as an immediate reduction of earned premium at the time of recapture. Also, in connection with the recapture in the first quarter of 2005, Radian was reimbursed for policy acquisition costs of approximately $17.1 million for which the carrying value under GAAP was $18.8 million. This required Radian to write-off policy acquisition costs of $1.7 million. The aggregate result of the recapture was a reduction in pre-tax income of $6.2 million. In March 2005, without cost to or concessions by Radian, this customer waived its remaining right to recapture an additional $5.2 billion of par in force that it had ceded to Radian through December 31, 2004.
3. During June, 2006 Standard & Poor’s affirmed the AA insurance financial strength rating of Radian, and revised upward its outlook to stable.
4. For the quarter ended September 30, 2006, the change in fair value of derivatives was $3.9 million as compared to $41.6 million for the same period in 2005. The period over period decrease is primarily due to the tightening of credit spreads in the 2005 period. The results for the year to date period of 2006 included a loss of $17.2 million on a credit that was settled in March 2006. The year to date 2005 gain was due to the tightening of credit spreads mainly in the third quarter.
5. At September 30, 2006, the mark to market on credit derivatives was $78.1 million compared to a mark to market of $23.4 million at December 31, 2005. The increase in the mark was primarily due to Radian paying $68.0 million to a counterparty in March 2006 in consideration for the termination of one credit.
16
Safe Harbor Statement
All statements made in this document that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing values, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, or changes or volatility in interest rates; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, and risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; the loss of a customer with whom we have a concentration of our insurance in force; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and municipal guaranty insurance policies; material changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies; downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; heightened competition from other insurance providers and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the charters or business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the application of federal or state consumers lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or unfavorable changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted including legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the mortgage insurance or financial guaranty industries; changes in claims against mortgage insurance products resulting from the aging of our mortgage insurance policies; vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments; changes in the availability of affordable or adequate reinsurance for our non-prime risk; international expansion of our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks faced by us, please refer to the risk factors detailed in Item 1A of Part I of Radian Group Inc.’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 and the material changes to these risks set forth in Item 1A of Part II of Radian Group Inc.’s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which this information was publicly released. We do not intend to, and disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.
17