Exhibit 99.1
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Quarterly
Operating Supplement
Third Quarter 2007
Table of Contents
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| | Page |
Introductory Note | | 2 |
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Company Profile | | 2 |
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Company Information | | 2 |
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Consolidated GAAP Income Statements | | 3 |
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Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets | | 4 |
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Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product | | 5 |
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Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product | | 5 |
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Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums | | 5 |
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Consolidated Selected Loss Information | | 6 |
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Consolidated Selected Derivative Information | | 7 |
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Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights | | 8 |
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Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights | | 9 |
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Consolidated Explanatory Notes | | 18 |
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Safe Harbor Statement | | 19 |
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1 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Table of Contents |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Quarterly Operating Supplement
September 30, 2007
Introductory Note
This operating supplement presents financial information for Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) and its consolidated subsidiaries on a GAAP basis. Please visit our website at www.radian.biz for selected statutory information.
Company Profile
Radian, founded in 1985 and rated* AA by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (S&P) and Aa3 by Moody’s Investor Service (Moody’s), is a niche insurer of public finance transactions and a provider of credit enhancement to leading financial institutions in the structured finance market. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers. Radian is also a leading provider of reinsurance to the AAA-rated monoline financial guarantors. In addition, Radian provided Trade Credit reinsurance until 2005, when this line of business was placed in runoff.
Radian is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (Radian Group) (NYSE: RDN), a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in both New York and London.
For more information regarding Radian and Radian Group, please visit our website at www.radian.biz
Company Information
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Radian Asset Assurance Inc. | | Contact: |
335 Madison Avenue | | John C. DeLuca |
New York, New York 10017 | | Senior Vice President |
1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.) | | Director of Marketing, Public Finance |
1 212 983.3100 | | 1 212 984.9222 |
www.radian.biz | | john.deluca@radian.biz |
* | Radian Group formally requested that Fitch Ratings (Fitch) withdraw its ratings of all Radian Group entities on September 5, 2007. Fitch rates Radian A+ (outlook: Evolving). Please refer to our website for more information. |
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2 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Introductory Note / Company Profile / Company Information |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements* ($ Thousands)
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | Nine months ended | |
| | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | |
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 59,068 | | | $ | 33,087 | | | $ | 144,462 | | | $ | 138,704 | |
Net premiums written - derivatives | | | 11,093 | | | | 15,481 | | | | 30,023 | | | | 44,912 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net premiums written | | $ | 70,161 | | | $ | 48,568 | | | $ | 174,485 | | | $ | 183,616 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 32,678 | | | $ | 33,184 | | | $ | 98,200 | | | $ | 97,934 | |
Net premiums earned - derivatives | | | 13,921 | | | | 18,634 | | | | 48,644 | | | | 52,892 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net premiums earned | | | 46,599 | | | | 51,818 | | | | 146,844 | | | | 150,826 | |
| | | | |
Net investment income | | | 26,456 | | | | 23,793 | | | | 76,813 | | | | 68,130 | |
Gain on sale of investments | | | 5,473 | | | | 79 | | | | 13,873 | | | | 1,548 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (255,833 | ) | | | 3,919 | | | | (263,313 | ) | | | (8,861 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | (177,305 | ) | | | 79,609 | | | | (25,783 | ) | | | 211,643 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 52,133 | | | | 3,551 | | | | 48,174 | | | | 17,670 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 10,923 | | | | 11,023 | | | | 34,002 | | | | 35,943 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 9,933 | | | | 15,924 | | | | 36,799 | | | | 45,943 | |
Other expense | | | 3,833 | | | | 3,464 | | | | 12,226 | | | | 10,922 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 76,822 | | | | 33,962 | | | | 131,201 | | | | 110,478 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(Loss) income before income taxes | | | (254,127 | ) | | | 45,647 | | | | (156,984 | ) | | | 101,165 | |
Income tax (benefit) expense | | | (101,709 | ) | | | 9,283 | | | | (75,598 | ) | | | 19,445 | |
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Net (loss) income | | $ | (152,418 | ) | | $ | 36,364 | | | $ | (81,386 | ) | | $ | 81,720 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Financial Ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE Ratio | | | 111.9 | % | | | 6.9 | % | | | 32.8 | % | | | 11.7 | % |
Underwriting Expense Ratio | | | 44.8 | % | | | 52.0 | % | | | 48.2 | % | | | 54.3 | % |
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Combined Ratio | | | 156.7 | % | | | 58.9 | % | | | 81.0 | % | | | 66.0 | % |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
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3 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated GAAP Income Statements |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets* ($ Thousands)**
(Unaudited)
| | | | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | December 31 2006 |
Assets | | | | | | |
Investments: | | | | | | |
Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,051,882 and $2,111,479) | | $ | 2,069,556 | | $ | 2,171,578 |
Hybrid securities, at fair value (amortized cost $147,968) | | | 167,363 | | | — |
Trading securities, at fair value (cost $17,459) | | | — | | | 28,340 |
Common stock, at fair value (cost $931 and $931) | | | 1,152 | | | 1,152 |
Short-term investments | | | 233,601 | | | 93,042 |
| | | | | | |
Total Investments | | | 2,471,672 | | | 2,294,112 |
Cash and cash equivalents | | | 12,007 | | | 2,371 |
Deferred income taxes—net | | | 14,681 | | | — |
Accrued interest and dividends receivable | | | 27,728 | | | 27,860 |
Premiums and other receivables | | | 26,535 | | | 25,760 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 171,037 | | | 153,094 |
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 1,569 | | | 1,184 |
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses | | | 169 | | | 2,259 |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | 14,995 | | | 14,995 |
Federal income tax recoverable | | | 10,807 | | | 409 |
Credit derivatives | | | 28,206 | | | 118,721 |
Other assets | | | 9,340 | | | 7,752 |
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Total Assets | | $ | 2,788,746 | | $ | 2,648,517 |
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Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | |
Losses and loss adjustment expenses | | $ | 204,921 | | $ | 173,990 |
Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 2,857 | | | 1,853 |
Deferred premium revenue | | | 706,522 | | | 659,877 |
Deferred federal income taxes | | | — | | | 109,849 |
Payable to affiliates | | | 2,374 | | | 5,141 |
Credit derivatives | | | 243,955 | | | 59,143 |
Accrued expenses and other liabilities | | | 21,104 | | | 32,388 |
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Total Liabilities | | | 1,181,733 | | | 1,042,241 |
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Shareholder’s Equity | | | | | | |
Common stock — $150 par value | | | | | | |
Authorized, issued and outstanding — 100,000 shares | | | 15,000 | | | 15,000 |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 703,641 | | | 600,654 |
Retained earnings | | | 866,874 | | | 944,996 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 21,498 | | | 45,626 |
| | | | | | |
Total Shareholder’s Equity | | | 1,607,013 | | | 1,606,276 |
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Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity | | $ | 2,788,746 | | $ | 2,648,517 |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
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4 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product* ($ Thousands)
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| | Quarter ended | | | | | | Nine months ended | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | September 30 2006 | | | Percent Change | | | September 30 2007 | | September 30 2006 | | Percent Change | |
Public Finance Direct | | $ | 17,748 | | $ | 11,113 | | | 59.7 | % | | $ | 48,656 | | $ | 49,358 | | –1.4 | % |
Structured Finance Direct | | | 3,812 | | | 3,882 | | | –1.8 | % | | | 12,075 | | | 14,452 | | –16.4 | % |
Public Finance Reinsurance | | | 31,432 | | | 13,844 | | | 127.0 | % | | | 67,082 | | | 60,539 | | 10.8 | % |
Structured Finance Reinsurance | | | 5,001 | | | 4,365 | | | 14.6 | % | | | 16,606 | | | 12,775 | | 30.0 | % |
Trade Credit Reinsurance | | | 837 | | | (332 | ) | | –352.1 | % | | | 1,507 | | | 3,686 | | –59.1 | % |
Derivatives | | | 11,470 | | | 15,819 | | | –27.5 | % | | | 30,446 | | | 45,243 | | –32.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 70,300 | | $ | 48,691 | | | 44.4 | % | | $ | 176,372 | | $ | 186,053 | | –5.2 | % |
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Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product* ($ Thousands)
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| | Quarter ended | | | | | Nine months ended | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | September 30 2006 | | Percent Change | | | September 30 2007 | | September 30 2006 | | Percent Change | |
Public Finance Direct | | $ | 10,765 | | $ | 8,227 | | 30.8 | % | | $ | 32,311 | | $ | 23,381 | | 38.2 | % |
Structured Finance Direct | | | 4,426 | | | 3,561 | | 24.3 | % | | | 13,506 | | | 13,847 | | –2.5 | % |
Public Finance Reinsurance | | | 11,105 | | | 12,097 | | –8.2 | % | | | 33,897 | | | 28,255 | | 20.0 | % |
Structured Finance Reinsurance | | | 5,560 | | | 5,431 | | 2.4 | % | | | 17,496 | | | 15,619 | | 12.0 | % |
Trade Credit Reinsurance | | | 822 | | | 3,868 | | –78.7 | % | | | 990 | | | 16,832 | | –94.1 | % |
Derivatives | | | 13,921 | | | 18,634 | | –25.3 | % | | | 48,644 | | | 52,892 | | –8.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 46,599 | | $ | 51,818 | | –10.1 | % | | $ | 146,844 | | $ | 150,826 | | –2.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization
and Estimated Future Installment Premiums**
As of September 30, 2007
($ Millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Ending Net Unearned Premiums | | Unearned Premium Amortization | | Future Installments | | Total Premium Earnings |
2007 | | $ | 687.1 | | $ | 34.0 | | $ | 6.8 | | $ | 40.8 |
2008 | | | 620.8 | | | 66.3 | | | 78.6 | | | 144.9 |
2009 | | | 564.1 | | | 56.7 | | | 73.0 | | | 129.7 |
2010 | | | 513.2 | | | 50.9 | | | 58.6 | | | 109.5 |
2011 | | | 465.9 | | | 47.3 | | | 56.0 | | | 103.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 – 2011 | | | 465.9 | | | 255.2 | | | 273.0 | | | 528.2 |
2012 – 2016 | | | 271.5 | | | 194.4 | | | 164.6 | | | 359.0 |
2017 – 2021 | | | 137.3 | | | 134.2 | | | 50.4 | | | 184.6 |
2022 – 2026 | | | 54.4 | | | 82.9 | | | 34.8 | | | 117.7 |
After 2026 | | | — | | | 54.4 | | | 56.3 | | | 110.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | — | | $ | 721.1 | | $ | 579.1 | | $ | 1,300.2 |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | This table depicts the expected amortization of the unearned premium, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums, including credit derivatives, for the existing financial guaranty portfolio, assuming no advance refundings as of September 30, 2007. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or repay financial guaranty obligations. Unearned premium amounts are net of prepaid reinsurance. |
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5 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated: Gross Premiums Written / Net Premiums Earned / Net Unearned Premium |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Selected Loss Information*
($ Thousands)
Components of Claims Paid and Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended | | | Nine months ended | |
| | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | |
Claims Paid | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade Credit | | $ | 1,853 | | | $ | 4,485 | | | $ | 6,445 | | | $ | 12,301 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 1,030 | | | | 320 | | | | 1,032 | | | | 6,817 | |
Conseco Finance Corp | | | 2,663 | | | | 3,505 | | | | 8,782 | | | | 12,250 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,546 | | | $ | 8,310 | | | $ | 16,259 | | | $ | 31,368 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade Credit | | $ | (1,514 | ) | | $ | (401 | ) | | $ | (5,087 | ) | | $ | 6,092 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 53,647 | | | | 3,952 | | | | 53,261 | | | | 12,860 | |
Conseco Finance Corp | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | (1,282 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 52,133 | | | $ | 3,551 | | | $ | 48,174 | | | $ | 17,670 | |
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Net payments under derivative contracts | | $ | 1 | | | $ | (1,136 | ) | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 64,277 | |
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Components of Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves
| | | | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | December 31 2006 |
Financial Guaranty | | | | | | |
Case | | $ | 33,509 | | $ | 42,459 |
Allocated non-specific | | | 90,948 | | | 26,185 |
Unallocated non-specific | | | 49,310 | | | 60,431 |
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| | | 173,767 | | | 129,075 |
| | | | | | |
Trade Credit and Other | | | | | | |
Case | | | 16,173 | | | 20,770 |
IBNR | | | 14,981 | | | 24,145 |
| | | | | | |
| | | 31,154 | | | 44,915 |
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Total | | $ | 204,921 | | $ | 173,990 |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
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6 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Selected Loss Information |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Selected Derivative Information*
($ Millions)
Balance Sheet Information
| | | | | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | | December 31 2006 |
Notional value— insured portfolio | | $ | 47,540.4 | | | $ | 43,728.0 |
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Gross unrealized gains | | $ | 28.2 | | | $ | 118.7 |
Gross unrealized losses | | | 227.8 | | | | 24.3 |
| | | | | | | |
Net (losses) gains | | $ | (199.6 | ) | | $ | 94.4 |
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Income Statement Information
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| | Quarter ended | | | Nine months ended | |
| | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | | | September 30 2007 | | | September 30 2006 | |
Net (losses) gains on trading securities | | $ | (0.2 | ) | | $ | (1.3 | ) | | $ | (0.3 | ) | | $ | 0.7 | |
Net (losses) gains recorded on derivatives | | | (255.6 | ) | | | 5.2 | | | | (263.0 | ) | | | (9.6 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | $ | (255.8 | ) | | $ | 3.9 | | | $ | (263.3 | ) | | $ | (8.9 | ) |
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Net Gains and (Losses)
| | | | | | | | |
| | September 30 2007 | | | December 31 2006 | |
Balance at January 1 | | $ | 94.4 | | | $ | 23.4 | |
Net (losses) gains recorded | | | (263.0 | ) | | | 7.4 | |
Settlements of derivatives contracts: | | | | | | | | |
Early termination receipts | | | (31.0 | ) | | | — | |
Defaults | | | | | | | | |
Recoveries | | | — | | | | (4.5 | ) |
Payments | | | — | | | | 68.1 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Balance at end of period | | $ | (199.6 | ) | | $ | 94.4 | |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
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7 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Selected Consolidated Derivative Information |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset Quality** | | Book Value (09/30/2007) | | Percent of Book Value | | | Book Value (12/31/2006) | | Percent of Book Value | |
AAA | | $ | 1,690.8 | | 68.4 | % | | $ | 1,573.2 | | 68.5 | % |
AA | | | 396.1 | | 16.0 | % | | | 404.4 | | 17.6 | % |
A | | | 209.6 | | 8.5 | % | | | 172.6 | | 7.5 | % |
BBB | | | 169.3 | | 6.9 | % | | | 132.4 | | 5.8 | % |
BIG | | | — | | 0.0 | % | | | 3.5 | | 0.2 | % |
NR | | | 4.7 | | 0.2 | % | | | 5.8 | | 0.3 | % |
Other | | | 1.2 | | 0.0 | % | | | 2.2 | | 0.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,471.7 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,294.1 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset Class | | Book Value (09/30/2007) | | Percent of Book Value | | | Book Value (12/31/2006) | | Percent of Book Value | |
Municipal Bonds | | $ | 1,716.5 | | 69.4 | % | | $ | 1,703.6 | | 74.2 | % |
Taxable Bonds | | | 353.1 | | 14.3 | % | | | 344.2 | | 15.0 | % |
Convertible Bonds | | | 138.8 | | 5.6 | % | | | 116.5 | | 5.1 | % |
Short-Term | | | 233.6 | | 9.5 | % | | | 93.0 | | 4.1 | % |
Other | | | 29.7 | | 1.2 | % | | | 36.8 | | 1.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,471.7 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,294.1 | | 100.0 | % |
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* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Average duration of 5.9 years and 5.6 years at 09/30/2007 and 12/31/2006, respectively. |
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8 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)
Consolidated Gross Par Originated
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter ended |
| | September 30, 2007 | | September 30, 2006 |
| | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total | | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total |
Public Finance | | $ | 1,320 | | $ | 2,630 | | $ | 3,950 | | $ | 526 | | $ | 2,055 | | $ | 2,581 |
Structured Finance | | | 1,738 | | | 381 | | | 2,119 | | | 5,085 | | | 486 | | | 5,571 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 3,058 | | $ | 3,011 | | $ | 6,069 | | $ | 5,611 | | $ | 2,541 | | $ | 8,152 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | Nine months ended |
| | September 30, 2007 | | September 30, 2006 |
| | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total | | Direct | | Assumed** | | Total |
Public Finance | | $ | 2,788 | | $ | 6,831 | | $ | 9,619 | | $ | 1,856 | | $ | 4,942 | | $ | 6,798 |
Structured Finance | | | 13,064 | | | 1,080 | | | 14,144 | | | 16,996 | | | 1,298 | | | 18,294 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 15,852 | | $ | 7,911 | | $ | 23,763 | | $ | 18,852 | | $ | 6,240 | | $ | 25,092 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Sector Breakout
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Public Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
General Obligations | | $ | 19,060 | | 16.9 | % | | $ | 16,760 | | 16.1 | % |
Healthcare | | | 10,632 | | 9.4 | % | | | 10,198 | | 9.8 | % |
Utilities | | | 6,389 | | 5.7 | % | | | 6,269 | | 6.0 | % |
Transportation | | | 6,305 | | 5.6 | % | | | 5,426 | | 5.2 | % |
Tax Backed | | | 5,795 | | 5.1 | % | | | 5,269 | | 5.1 | % |
Education | | | 4,308 | | 3.8 | % | | | 4,095 | | 3.9 | % |
Investor-Owned Utilities | | | 3,450 | | 3.1 | % | | | 2,355 | | 2.3 | % |
Long Term Care | | | 1,576 | | 1.4 | % | | | 1,464 | | 1.4 | % |
Housing | | | 717 | | 0.6 | % | | | 793 | | 0.8 | % |
Other Public Finance | | | 1,530 | | 1.4 | % | | | 1,184 | | 1.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | $ | 59,762 | | 53.0 | % | | $ | 53,813 | | 51.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collateralized Debt Obligations | | $ | 46,773 | | 41.5 | % | | $ | 43,989 | | 42.3 | % |
Asset Backed – Consumer | | | 1,334 | | 1.2 | % | | | 1,310 | | 1.3 | % |
Asset Backed – Commercial and Other | | | 1,244 | | 1.1 | % | | | 1,109 | | 1.1 | % |
Asset Backed – Mortgage and MBS | | | 1,059 | | 0.9 | % | | | 1,023 | | 1.0 | % |
Other Structured Finance | | | 2,594 | | 2.3 | % | | | 2,722 | | 2.6 | % |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | | 53,004 | | 47.0 | % | | | 50,153 | | 48.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 112,766 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 103,966 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Reflects one quarter lag |
| | |
| | |
9 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Rating Distribution**
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Rating** | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Public Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 1,814 | | 1.6 | % | | $ | 1,371 | | 1.3 | % |
AA | | | 18,204 | | 16.2 | % | | | 16,436 | | 15.8 | % |
A | | | 20,680 | | 18.3 | % | | | 18,715 | | 18.0 | % |
BBB | | | 17,397 | | 15.4 | % | | | 15,808 | | 15.2 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 1,617 | | 1.4 | % | | | 1,293 | | 1.2 | % |
Not Rated | | | 50 | | 0.1 | % | | | 190 | | 0.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | $ | 59,762 | | 53.0 | % | | $ | 53,813 | | 51.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 47,691 | | 42.3 | % | | $ | 41,800 | | 40.2 | % |
AA | | | 841 | | 0.7 | % | | | 2,976 | | 2.9 | % |
A | | | 1,324 | | 1.2 | % | | | 1,481 | | 1.5 | % |
BBB | | | 2,364 | | 2.1 | % | | | 2,511 | | 2.4 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 102 | | 0.1 | % | | | 119 | | 0.1 | % |
Not Rated | | | 682 | | 0.6 | % | | | 1,266 | | 1.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | $ | 53,004 | | 47.0 | % | | $ | 50,153 | | 48.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 49,505 | | 43.9 | % | | $ | 43,171 | | 41.5 | % |
AA | | | 19,045 | | 16.9 | % | | | 19,412 | | 18.7 | % |
A | | | 22,004 | | 19.5 | % | | | 20,196 | | 19.5 | % |
BBB | | | 19,761 | | 17.5 | % | | | 18,319 | | 17.6 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 1,719 | | 1.5 | % | | | 1,412 | | 1.3 | % |
Not Rated | | | 732 | | 0.7 | % | | | 1,456 | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 112,766 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 103,966 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
| | |
| | |
10 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Geographic Diversification
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Domestic public finance | | | | | | | | | | | | |
California | | $ | 7,140 | | 6.3 | % | | $ | 6,185 | | 5.9 | % |
New York | | | 5,617 | | 5.0 | % | | | 5,051 | | 4.9 | % |
Texas | | | 4,419 | | 3.9 | % | | | 4,158 | | 4.0 | % |
Florida | | | 3,361 | | 3.0 | % | | | 3,245 | | 3.1 | % |
Pennsylvania | | | 3,248 | | 2.9 | % | | | 2,892 | | 2.8 | % |
Illinois | | | 3,101 | | 2.7 | % | | | 2,881 | | 2.8 | % |
Massachusetts | | | 2,492 | | 2.2 | % | | | 2,238 | | 2.2 | % |
New Jersey | | | 2,367 | | 2.1 | % | | | 2,250 | | 2.2 | % |
Washington | | | 1,900 | | 1.7 | % | | | 1,775 | | 1.7 | % |
Colorado | | | 1,730 | | 1.5 | % | | | 1,409 | | 1.3 | % |
Top ten states – domestic public finance subtotal | | | 35,375 | | 31.3 | % | | | 32,084 | | 30.9 | % |
Total of other states – domestic public finance | | | 19,702 | | 17.5 | % | | | 18,685 | | 17.9 | % |
Total domestic public finance | | | 55,077 | | 48.8 | % | | | 50,769 | | 48.8 | % |
Domestic structured finance | | | 36,833 | | 32.7 | % | | | 37,205 | | 35.8 | % |
International public and structured finance | | | 20,856 | | 18.5 | % | | | 15,992 | | 15.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 112,766 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 103,966 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
| | |
| | |
11 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)
25 Largest Public Finance Exposures
| | | | | | | | |
Obligor | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Rating** |
New York, NY – G.O. | | $ | 818 | | 0.7 | % | | AA |
California – G.O. | | | 800 | | 0.7 | % | | A+ |
Port Authority of New York & New Jersey | | | 604 | | 0.5 | % | | AA- |
Chicago, IL – G.O. | | | 578 | | 0.5 | % | | AA |
Washington – G.O. | | | 450 | | 0.4 | % | | AA+ |
Massachusetts – G.O. | | | 417 | | 0.4 | % | | AA |
Los Angeles Unified School District, CA | | | 414 | | 0.4 | % | | AA- |
Massachusetts School Building Authority | | | 359 | | 0.3 | % | | AA+ |
New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority | | | 358 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY | | | 352 | | 0.3 | % | | A |
Puerto Rico – G.O. | | | 321 | | 0.3 | % | | BBB- |
New Jersey Economic Development Authority School Facilities | | | 307 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Illinois – G.O. | | | 299 | | 0.3 | % | | AA |
Long Island Power Authority, NY | | | 296 | | 0.3 | % | | A- |
Illinois Toll Highway Authority | | | 289 | | 0.3 | % | | AA- |
Reliance Rail Corp. | | | 277 | | 0.2 | % | | A- |
Jefferson County, AL – Sewer Revenue | | | 274 | | 0.2 | % | | A |
District of Columbia | | | 258 | | 0.2 | % | | A+ |
San Francisco International Airport, CA | | | 252 | | 0.2 | % | | A+ |
New Jersey Turnpike Authority | | | 248 | | 0.2 | % | | A |
Houston Airport System, TX | | | 238 | | 0.2 | % | | A+ |
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority | | | 237 | | 0.2 | % | | AA |
California Economic Recovery Bonds | | | 235 | | 0.2 | % | | AA- |
New York City Municipal Water Finance, NY | | | 225 | | 0.2 | % | | AA+ |
Denver Airport System, CO | | | 211 | | 0.2 | % | | A+ |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 9,117 | | 8.0 | % | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Largest Structured Finance Exposures
Radian’s largest Structured Finance exposures consist of the following:
| • | | Seven $600 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA. |
| • | | One $599 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | One $563 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | One $511 million transaction representing a Managed Cashflow Investment Grade Asset-Backed CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | Twenty eight $450 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA. |
| • | | One $450 million transaction representing a Second-to-Pay CDO rated AAA. |
| • | | One $450 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA. |
These 40 transactions combine to total $19.4 billion, or 17.2% of Radian’s Net Par Outstanding as of September 30, 2007.
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
| | |
| | |
12 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Below Investment Grade Exposure by Sector
| | | | | | |
Sector | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | |
Public Finance | | | | | | |
General Obligations | | $ | 1,077 | | 1.0 | % |
Utilities | | | 124 | | 0.1 | % |
Tax Backed | | | 102 | | 0.1 | % |
Education | | | 88 | | 0.1 | % |
Healthcare | | | 86 | | 0.1 | % |
Long Term Care | | | 56 | | 0.0 | % |
Transportation | | | 23 | | 0.0 | % |
Housing | | | 22 | | 0.0 | % |
Other Public Finance | | | 39 | | 0.0 | % |
| | | | | | |
Subtotal Public Finance | | | 1,617 | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | |
Asset Backed – Consumer | | | 70 | | 0.1 | % |
Asset Backed – Commercial and Other | | | 25 | | 0.0 | % |
Collateralized Debt Obligations | | | 7 | | 0.0 | % |
Subtotal Structured Finance | | | 102 | | 0.1 | % |
| | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,719 | | 1.5 | % |
| | | | | | |
10 Largest Health Care Exposures
| | | | | | | | |
Obligor | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of total Net Par | | | Rating** |
Catholic Healthcare West | | $ | 144 | | 0.1 | % | | A+ |
Bon Secours Health System Inc | | | 131 | | 0.1 | % | | A- |
MedStar Health | | | 117 | | 0.1 | % | | A- |
Partners Healthcare System | | | 114 | | 0.1 | % | | AA |
Kaiser Permanente | | | 109 | | 0.1 | % | | A+ |
Consort Healthcare Limited | | | 106 | | 0.1 | % | | BBB- |
Methodist Hospital | | | 105 | | 0.1 | % | | AA |
Group Health Cooperative | | | 102 | | 0.1 | % | | A- |
Adventist Health System | | | 101 | | 0.1 | % | | A+ |
Ascension Health | | | 98 | | 0.1 | % | | AA+ |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,127 | | 1.0 | % | | |
| | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
| | |
| | |
13 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
CDO Exposure
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | |
Direct | | $ | 44,917 | | 96.0 | % | | $ | 42,110 | | 95.7 | % |
Assumed | | | 1,856 | | 4.0 | % | | | 1,879 | | 4.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 46,773 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 43,989 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total CDO Portfolio Rating Distribution**
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | | | Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of Total CDO Net Par | |
AAA | | $ | 46,120 | | 98.6 | % | | $ | 40,448 | | 92.0 | % |
AA | | | 302 | | 0.6 | % | | | 2,357 | | 5.4 | % |
A | | | 223 | | 0.5 | % | | | 505 | | 1.1 | % |
BBB | | | 121 | | 0.3 | % | | | 271 | | 0.6 | % |
Below Investment Grade | | | 7 | | 0.0 | % | | | 8 | | 0.0 | % |
Not Rated | | | — | | 0.0 | % | | | 400 | | 0.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 46,773 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 43,989 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Direct CDO Underlying Asset Types
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Direct CDO Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | Percent of Direct CDO Net Par | | | Direct CDO Net Par Outstanding (12/31/2006) | | Percent of Direct CDO Net Par | |
Corporates | | $ | 38,549 | | 85.8 | % | | $ | 36,319 | | 86.2 | % |
Other | | | 6,368 | | 14.2 | % | | | 5,791 | | 13.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 44,917 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 42,110 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies. |
| | |
| | |
14 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
CDO of ABS, CMBS, and Multi-sector Portfolio
Type of Collateral as a Percentage of Total Pool
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year Insured | | Legal Final Maturity | | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | ABS | | RMBS | | Subprime RMBS | | CMBS | | Investment Grade Corporate | | High Yield Corporate | | CDO of ABS | | CDO of CDO | | Other | | Total Collateral Pool | | S&P Rating | | Moody’s Rating | | Original AAA Subordination | | Radian Attachment Point | | % RMBS A or Better | | % Subprime A or Better |
2003 | | 2010 | | $ | 100 | | 5.3% | | 30.2% | | 24.0% | | 23.6% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 12.5% | | 0.8% | | 3.6% | | 100.0% | | BBB | | N/R | | 7.8% | | 2.0% | | 89.2% | | 96.9% |
2004 | | 2009 | | | 255 | | 32.0% | | 38.8% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 27.0% | | 2.2% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | Aaa | | 2.2% | | 19.5% | | 100% | | 100.0% |
2005 | | 2010 | | | 150 | | 25.2% | | 49.0% | | 15.8% | | 0.0% | | 8.5% | | 1.5% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | N/R | | 4.5% | | 13.0% | | 100% | | 100.0% |
2006 | | 2046 | | | 511 | | 0.0% | | 23.1% | | 42.5% | | 13.4% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 13.4% | | 2.8% | | 4.8% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | Aaa | | 4.9% | | 20.0% | | 82.5% | | 96.1% |
2006 | | 2047 | | | 450 | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | N/R | | 2.4% | | 6.8% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
2006 | | 2049 | | | 599 | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | N/R | | 0.6% | | 5.1% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
2006 | | 2056 | | | 352 | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | N/R | | 5.5% | | 6.5% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
2007 | | 2047 | | | 430 | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 100.0% | | AAA | | Aaa | | 2.4% | | 7.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | $ | 2,847 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
| | |
| | |
15 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Non-CDO RMBS Portfolio: Breakdown by Asset Type
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding (09/30/2007) | | % of RMBS Portfolio | | Direct | | Assumed from AAA Primaries | | % 2006/2007 Vintage | | Ratings** |
| | | | | | | AAA | | AA | | A | | BBB*** | | BIG**** |
Subprime | | $581 MM
182 Policies | | 57.4% | | $154 MM 7 Policies 26.5% | | $427 MM 175 Policies 73.5% | | 17.7% / 24.0% | | 26.5% | | 0.1% | | 15.0% | | 31.0% | | 27.4% |
Prime | | $380 MM 104 Policies | | 37.5% | | $205 MM 10 Policies 53.9% | | $175 MM 94 Policies 46.1% | | 19.8% / 9.0% | | 86.8% | | 7.6% | | 1.5% | | 4.1% | | 0.0% |
Alt A | | $46 MM
7 Policies | | 4.5% | | $0 MM
0 Policies 0% | | $46 MM
7 Policies 100.0% | | 24.1% / 23.8% | | 59.4% | | 40.6% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
Second to Pay | | $6 MM
6 Policies | | 0.6% | | $0 MM
0 Policies 0% | | $6 MM
6 Policies 100.0% | | 0.0% / 0.0% | | 100.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% | | 0.0% |
Total RMBS | | $1,013 MM 299 Policies | | 100.0% | | $359 MM 17 Policies 35.4% | | $654 MM 282 Policies 64.6% | | 18.7% / 18.3% | | 51.1% | | 4.7% | | 9.2% | | 19.3% | | 15.7% |
Note: No direct RMBS have been written since 2005 and no direct Subprime RMBS have been written since 2004
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
** | Ratings are based on internal ratings |
*** | 100% of the BBB exposure is assumed through treaties from the AAA primaries |
**** | All of the BIG exposure is on Radian’s Watch List and reserves have been established for these as needed |
| | |
| | |
16 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*
($ Millions)
Net Debt Service Amortization
| | | | | | |
| | Scheduled Net Debt Service Amortization as of 09/30/2007 | | Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding |
2007 | | $ | 1,822 | | $ | 154,921 |
2008 | | | 6,104 | | | 148,817 |
2009 | | | 7,542 | | | 141,275 |
2010 | | | 7,232 | | | 134,043 |
2011 | | | 6,899 | | | 127,144 |
2012-2016 | | | 52,788 | | | 74,356 |
2017-2021 | | | 28,770 | | | 45,586 |
2022-2026 | | | 17,356 | | | 28,230 |
After 2026 | | | 28,230 | | | — |
| | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 156,743 | | | |
| | | | | | |
* | See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18. |
| | |
| | |
17 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights |
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Explanatory Notes
1. The accompanying unaudited GAAP financial information includes the accounts of Radian, Radian Asset Assurance Limited, (RAAL) Radian Financial Products Limited, Van-American Insurance Agency, Inc. and Asset Recovery Solutions Group Inc.
These unaudited consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, including the Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm for Radian for the year ended December 31, 2006.
2. Prior year amounts have been restated to conform to current year presentation.
3. For the quarter ended September 30, 2007, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(255.8) million. The substantial loss resulted from the widening of credit spreads. For the nine months ended September 30, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(263.3) million and $(8.9) million for 2007 and 2006, respectively. The 2007 nine month results were also impacted by the widening of credit spreads. The 2006 nine month results include a loss of $(17.2) million from a credit that settled in March 2006.
4. The current quarter’s increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is primarily related to one financial guaranty transaction. An allocated non-specific reserve of $50 million was established for this transaction.
5. On September 7, 2007, Radian received a $100.0 million capital contribution from Radian Group. These funds are included in short-term investments.
6. On February 6, 2007, Radian Group and MGIC Investment Corporation (MGIC) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger pursuant to which Radian Group agreed, subject to the terms and conditions of the merger agreement, to merge with and into MGIC. On September 4, 2007, Radian Group and MGIC mutually agreed to terminate the Merger.
On September 5, 2007, following the termination of the merger of Radian Group with MGIC, Fitch downgraded the insurance financial strength rating of Radian to A+ from AA and revised its Rating Outlook to Evolving. As a result of this downgrade, one reinsurance customer had the right to recapture approximately $1.0 billion in net par outstanding insured by Radian. On September 25, 2007, this insurer waived its right to recapture this business, without additional cost to us. Radian Group believes that the Fitch downgrade is unwarranted, and on September 5, 2007, Radian Group formally requested that Fitch immediately withdraw its ratings for Radian Group and all of its entities. Radian Group informed Fitch that it would no longer be providing information to Fitch in support of its rating of Radian. On September 9, 2007, Fitch announced that it would not honor Radian Group’s request at this time in light of the current high level of investor interest in the financial guaranty industry, but that Fitch would instead monitor investor interest and make a decision with respect to Radian Group’s request at a future date based on market feedback. Fitch also acknowledged that it would withdraw its rating regardless of investor interest if it believed that it no longer had access to adequate public and non-public information to credibly maintain its rating.
| | |
| | |
18 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Consolidated Explanatory Notes |
Safe Harbor Statement
All statements made herein that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. These forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates, consumer confidence, or credit spreads; future credit market disruptions—in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers; risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; the loss of a customer with whom we have a concentration of our insurance in force or the influence of large customers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance policies; material changes in the persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies; losses associated with the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio; ratings actions with respect to Radian Group’s credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to Radian Group’s operating subsidiaries, including Radian; heightened competition from other insurance providers, from federal and state governmental or quasi-governmental entities such as the FHA and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the charters or business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the application of federal or state consumer, lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the mortgage insurance or financial guaranty industries; vulnerability to the performance of Radian Group’s strategic investments and Radian Group’s ability to recover any or all of the amounts outstanding under its existing demand note to Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends that Radian Group may receive from its insurance subsidiaries; international expansion of our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, investors should refer to the risk factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of Radian Group’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006, including the material changes to these risk factors identified in Item 1A of Part II of Radian Group’s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which this information was publicly released. We do not intend to, and disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.
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19 | | Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 /Safe Harbor Statement |