Exhibit 99.1
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1601 Market Street Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | News Release |
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Contact: | | |
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For investors: | | Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486 Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz |
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For the media: | | Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061 Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz |
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| | Steve Frankel / Tim Lynch Joele Frank, Wilkinson Brimmer Katcher 212 355 4449 |
Radian Reports Fourth Quarter Net Loss of $618 Million
Company Maintains Strong Capital Position
PHILADELPHIA, February 15, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss of $618 million and a diluted net loss per share of $7.74 for the fourth quarter, ended December 31, 2007. For the full year ended December 31, 2007, Radian reported a net loss of $1.2 billion and a diluted net loss per share of $14.92. Book value per share at December 31, 2007 was $35.10, after the impact of the third and fourth quarter 2007 losses, driven primarily by the C-BASS write-down, credit losses, higher reserves and mark-to-market adjustments.
“2007 was a year of great change for Radian, and I am proud that our team was able to overcome the challenges of unwinding the merger with MGIC while maintaining a solid balance sheet and retaining mortgage customer and GSE confidence,” said S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “While our disappointing 2007 results clearly illustrate the challenges of the mortgage market, our franchise continues to be strong, which is a testament to the skills and dedication of our workforce.”
In the mortgage insurance business, paid claims in the fourth quarter were in-line with the Company’s guidance. During the quarter, mortgage insurance loss reserves continued to
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
increase, reflecting the credit, housing and overall economic environment. Radian ended the year with $1.3 billion in mortgage insurance loss reserves.
“We have come through a difficult year and the environment continues to be very challenging,” added Mr. Ibrahim. “These challenges will remain with us for the near-term and may intensify, so we are looking at various scenarios and responses. In considering the book value of our company, we think it is important to take into consideration the significant embedded value within our Financial Guaranty business, as well as our ownership stake in Sherman.”
“Our claims paying resources in both business segments are strong and we stand to benefit from a stable and well-capitalized financial guaranty business,” concluded Mr. Ibrahim.
The market value of Radian’s investment portfolio at year-end was $6.41 billion compared to $5.75 billion a year ago.
The key financial highlights of the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007, are as follows:
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| | | Total | | | Per Share | | | | |
9/30/2007 Book Value | | | $ | 3.4B | | | $ | 42.86 | | | | |
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| | Pre-tax | | | After-tax impact | | | BV per share impact | | | EPS impact | |
C-BASS | | ($50 | ) | | | ($33 | ) | | | ($0.41 | ) | | ($0.41 | ) |
Change in Fair Value of Derivatives* | | (459 | ) | | | (298 | ) | | | (3.71 | ) | | (3.73 | ) |
Mortgage Insurance Incurred Losses | | (630 | ) | | | (410 | ) | | | (5.10 | ) | | (5.13 | ) |
Second Lien Premium Deficiency | | (41 | ) | | | (27 | ) | | | (0.34 | ) | | (0.34 | ) |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
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FG Credit Loss for CDO of ABS transaction | | (50 | ) | | | (33 | ) | | | (0.41 | ) | | (0.41 | ) |
All Other (Premiums, Investment Income and Expenses) | | | | | | 201 | | | | 2.21 | | | | |
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12/31/2007 Book Value | | | | | $ | 2.8B | | | $ | 35.10 | | | | |
Quarter Ended 12/31/2007 EPS | | | | | | | | | | | | | ($7.74 | ) |
* | Includes ($120 Million) related to non-corporate CDO transactions, including a small number of AAA-rated CDOs of ABS and CMBS. This mark remains subject to possible adjustment. |
Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Friday, February 15, 2008, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet athttp://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or athttp://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 866-254-5941 inside the U.S., or 612-234-9959 for international callers, using passcode 907669 or by referencing Radian.
A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for two weeks, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 907669.
Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in New York and London. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found atwww.radian.biz.
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)
For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics athttp://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.
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Exhibit A: | | Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income |
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Exhibit B: | | Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
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Exhibit C: | | Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2007 |
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Exhibit D: | | Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2006 |
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Exhibit E: | | Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2007 |
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Exhibit F: | | Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006 |
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Exhibit G: | | Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2007 |
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Exhibit H: | | Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2007 |
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Exhibit I: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written and Risk Written |
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Exhibit J: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force |
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Exhibit K: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and Other Risk in Force |
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Exhibit L: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Reserves |
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Exhibit M: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Defaults |
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Exhibit N: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency |
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Exhibit O: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A |
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Exhibit P: | | Financial Services Supplemental Information |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit A
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| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | Year Ended December 31 |
(In thousands, except per-share data) | | 2007 | | | 2006 | | 2007 | | | 2006 |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | $ | 309,620 | | | $ | 278,700 | | $ | 1,184,885 | | | $ | 1,111,985 |
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Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 234,368 | | | $ | 217,570 | | $ | 912,281 | | | $ | 907,042 |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 26,821 | | | | 31,349 | | | 126,329 | | | | 108,804 |
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Net premiums earned - total | | | 261,189 | | | | 248,919 | | | 1,038,610 | | | | 1,015,846 |
Net investment income | | | 67,493 | | | | 60,222 | | | 256,098 | | | | 234,345 |
Net gains (losses) on securities | | | (673 | ) | | | 11,255 | | | 53,606 | | | | 40,842 |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (458,512 | ) | | | 23,097 | | | (1,191,785 | ) | | | 16,066 |
Gain on sale of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | 181,734 | | | | — |
Other income | | | 192 | | | | 4,391 | | | 11,711 | | | | 20,847 |
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Total revenues | | | (130,311 | ) | | | 347,884 | | | 349,974 | | | | 1,327,946 |
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Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 687,855 | | | | 84,389 | | | 1,299,363 | | | | 369,278 |
Provision for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 40,470 | | | | — | | | 195,646 | | | | — |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 24,980 | | | | 31,074 | | | 113,175 | | | | 111,609 |
Other operating expenses | | | 40,700 | | | | 61,552 | | | 178,171 | | | | 242,634 |
Merger expenses | | | — | | | | — | | | 14,001 | | | | — |
Interest expense | | | 14,258 | | | | 12,256 | | | 53,068 | | | | 48,149 |
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Total expenses | | | 808,263 | | | | 189,271 | | | 1,853,424 | | | | 771,670 |
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Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates | | | (39,896 | ) | | | 70,745 | | | (416,541 | ) | | | 256,993 |
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Pretax (loss) income | | | (978,470 | ) | | | 229,358 | | | (1,919,991 | ) | | | 813,269 |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (360,444 | ) | | | 70,988 | | | (732,651 | ) | | | 231,097 |
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Net (loss) income | | $ | (618,026 | ) | | $ | 158,370 | | $ | (1,187,340 | ) | | $ | 582,172 |
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Diluted net (loss) income per share (1) | | $ | (7.74 | ) | | $ | 1.96 | | $ | (14.92 | ) | | $ | 7.08 |
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(1) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) |
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Average common shares outstanding | | | 79,850 | | | | 79,923 | | | 79,556 | | | | 81,338 |
Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis | | | — | | | | 770 | | | — | | | | 923 |
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Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) | | | 79,850 | | | | 80,693 | | | 79,556 | | | | 82,261 |
For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.
Page 1
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit B
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(In thousands, except share and per-share data) | | December 31 2007 | | December 31 2006 |
Assets: | | | | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 6,611,836 | | $ | 5,803,228 |
Investments in affiliates | | | 104,354 | | | 618,841 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 234,955 | | | 221,769 |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | 793,486 | | | 808,740 |
Other assets | | | 459,295 | | | 507,832 |
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Total assets | | $ | 8,203,926 | | $ | 7,960,410 |
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Liabilities and stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | |
Unearned premiums | | $ | 1,094,710 | | $ | 943,687 |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1,598,756 | | | 842,283 |
Reserve for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 195,646 | | | — |
Long-term debt and other borrowings | | | 948,093 | | | 747,770 |
Current income taxes | | | 137,219 | | | — |
Deferred income taxes | | | 73,546 | | | 1,129,740 |
Derivative liabilities | | | 1,150,479 | | | 31,739 |
Other liabilities | | | 182,659 | | | 197,634 |
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Total liabilities | | | 5,381,108 | | | 3,892,853 |
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Common stock | | | 97 | | | 97 |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 442,312 | | | 416,193 |
Retained earnings | | | 2,284,150 | | | 3,489,290 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 96,259 | | | 161,977 |
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Total common stockholders’ equity | | | 2,822,818 | | | 4,067,557 |
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Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | | $ | 8,203,926 | | $ | 7,960,410 |
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Book value per share | | $ | 35.10 | | $ | 51.23 |
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Treasury Stock Repurchases (Year-to-Date for Periods Presented) | | | | | | |
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Total number of shares repurchased | | | 398,645 | | | 4,500,000 |
Average price paid per share | | $ | 57.25 | | $ | 58.58 |
Total cost of repurchased shares | | $ | 22,822,537 | | $ | 263,600,341 |
Page 2
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended December 31, 2007
Exhibit C
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | $ | 255,292 | | | $ | 54,328 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 309,620 | |
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Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 200,430 | | | $ | 33,938 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 234,368 | |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 13,399 | | | | 13,422 | | | | — | | | | 26,821 | |
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Net premiums earned - total | | | 213,829 | | | | 47,360 | | | | — | | | | 261,189 | |
Net investment income | | | 38,970 | | | | 28,505 | | | | 18 | | | | 67,493 | |
Net gains (losses) on securities | | | 131 | | | | (1,468 | ) | | | 664 | | | | (673 | ) |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (61,882 | ) | | | (396,630 | ) | | | — | | | | (458,512 | ) |
Gain on sale of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Other income | | | 1,980 | | | | (434 | ) | | | (1,354 | ) | | | 192 | |
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Total revenues | | | 193,028 | | | | (322,667 | ) | | | (672 | ) | | | (130,311 | ) |
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Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 629,582 | | | | 58,273 | | | | — | | | | 687,855 | |
Provision for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 40,470 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 40,470 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 13,806 | | | | 11,174 | | | | — | | | | 24,980 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 34,654 | | | | 12,053 | | | | (6,007 | ) | | | 40,700 | |
Merger expenses | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Interest expense | | | 7,942 | | | | 5,974 | | | | 342 | | | | 14,258 | |
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Total expenses | | | 726,454 | | | | 87,474 | | | | (5,665 | ) | | | 808,263 | |
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Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates | | | — | | | | 5 | | | | (39,901 | ) | | | (39,896 | ) |
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Pretax loss | | | (533,426 | ) | | | (410,136 | ) | | | (34,908 | ) | | | (978,470 | ) |
Income tax benefit | | | (198,806 | ) | | | (145,084 | ) | | | (16,554 | ) | | | (360,444 | ) |
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Net loss | | $ | (334,620 | ) | | $ | (265,052 | ) | | $ | (18,354 | ) | | $ | (618,026 | ) |
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Assets | | $ | 5,077,001 | | | $ | 3,020,835 | | | $ | 106,090 | | | $ | 8,203,926 | |
Total investments | | | 3,815,618 | | | | 2,595,431 | | | | — | | | | 6,411,049 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 62,266 | | | | 172,689 | | | | — | | | | 234,955 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1,345,453 | | | | 253,304 | | | | — | | | | 1,598,757 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 364,775 | | | | 729,935 | | | | — | | | | 1,094,710 | |
Stockholders’ equity | | | 1,590,832 | | | | 1,111,218 | | | | 120,768 | | | | 2,822,818 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended December 31, 2006
Exhibit D
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | Total |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | $ | 202,362 | | $ | 76,338 | | | $ | — | | $ | 278,700 |
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Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 186,507 | | $ | 31,063 | | | $ | — | | $ | 217,570 |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 12,700 | | | 18,649 | | | | — | | | 31,349 |
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Net premiums earned - total | | | 199,207 | | | 49,712 | | | | — | | | 248,919 |
Net investment income | | | 34,947 | | | 25,268 | | | | 7 | | | 60,222 |
Net gains (losses) on securities | | | 11,956 | | | (1,068 | ) | | | 367 | | | 11,255 |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 1,852 | | | 21,245 | | | | — | | | 23,097 |
Other income | | | 2,967 | | | 74 | | | | 1,350 | | | 4,391 |
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Total revenues | | | 250,929 | | | 95,231 | | | | 1,724 | | | 347,884 |
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Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 80,328 | | | 4,061 | | | | — | | | 84,389 |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 20,628 | | | 10,446 | | | | — | | | 31,074 |
Other operating expenses | | | 43,278 | | | 13,680 | | | | 4,594 | | | 61,552 |
Interest expense | | | 6,581 | | | 4,278 | | | | 1,397 | | | 12,256 |
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Total expenses | | | 150,815 | | | 32,465 | | | | 5,991 | | | 189,271 |
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Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | — | | | | 70,745 | | | 70,745 |
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Pretax income | | | 100,114 | | | 62,766 | | | | 66,478 | | | 229,358 |
Income tax provision | | | 30,004 | | | 17,716 | | | | 23,268 | | | 70,988 |
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Net income | | $ | 70,110 | | $ | 45,050 | | | $ | 43,210 | | $ | 158,370 |
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Assets | | $ | 4,626,850 | | $ | 2,705,078 | | | $ | 628,482 | | $ | 7,960,410 |
Total investments | | | 3,426,939 | | | 2,318,438 | | | | — | | | 5,745,377 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 68,381 | | | 153,388 | | | | — | | | 221,769 |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 653,236 | | | 189,047 | | | | — | | | 842,283 |
Unearned premiums | | | 249,293 | | | 694,394 | | | | — | | | 943,687 |
Stockholders’ equity | | | 2,259,796 | | | 1,377,263 | | | | 430,498 | | | 4,067,557 |
Page 4
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Year Ended December 31, 2007
Exhibit E
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | $ | 955,113 | | | $ | 229,772 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1,184,885 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 779,259 | | | $ | 133,022 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 912,281 | |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 64,263 | | | | 62,066 | | | | | | | | 126,329 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - total | | | 843,522 | | | | 195,088 | | | $ | — | | | | 1,038,610 | |
Net investment income | | | 148,253 | | | | 107,665 | | | | 180 | | | | 256,098 | |
Net gains on securities | | | 39,922 | | | | 12,525 | | | | 1,159 | | | | 53,606 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (531,842 | ) | | | (659,943 | ) | | | — | | | | (1,191,785 | ) |
Gain on sale of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 181,734 | | | | 181,734 | |
Other income | | | 11,337 | | | | 349 | | | | 25 | | | | 11,711 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 511,192 | | | | (344,316 | ) | | | 183,098 | | | | 349,974 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 1,201,373 | | | | 97,990 | | | | — | | | | 1,299,363 | |
Provision for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 195,646 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 195,646 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 67,750 | | | | 45,425 | | | | — | | | | 113,175 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 130,423 | | | | 48,683 | | | | (935 | ) | | | 178,171 | |
Merger expenses | | | 13,434 | | | | 567 | | | | — | | | | 14,001 | |
Interest expense | | | 27,901 | | | | 19,840 | | | | 5,327 | | | | 53,068 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 1,636,527 | | | | 212,505 | | | | 4,392 | | | | 1,853,424 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates | | | — | | | | 5 | | | | (416,546 | ) | | | (416,541 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pretax loss | | | (1,125,335 | ) | | | (556,816 | ) | | | (237,840 | ) | | | (1,919,991 | ) |
Income tax benefit | | | (431,927 | ) | | | (217,588 | ) | | | (83,136 | ) | | | (732,651 | ) |
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Net loss | | $ | (693,408 | ) | | $ | (339,228 | ) | | $ | (154,704 | ) | | $ | (1,187,340 | ) |
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Page 5
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Year Ended December 31, 2006
Exhibit F
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | Financial Guaranty | | Financial Services | | Total |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written | | $ | 849,111 | | $ | 262,874 | | $ | — | | $ | 1,111,985 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 774,752 | | $ | 132,290 | | $ | — | | $ | 907,042 |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 37,263 | | | 71,541 | | | — | | | 108,804 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - total | | | 812,015 | | | 203,831 | | | — | | | 1,015,846 |
Net investment income | | | 138,310 | | | 95,895 | | | 140 | | | 234,345 |
Net gains on securities | | | 30,163 | | | 7,827 | | | 2,852 | | | 40,842 |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 3,682 | | | 12,384 | | | — | | | 16,066 |
Other income | | | 13,075 | | | 692 | | | 7,080 | | | 20,847 |
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Total revenues | | | 997,245 | | | 320,629 | | | 10,072 | | | 1,327,946 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 348,618 | | | 20,660 | | | — | | | 369,278 |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 64,964 | | | 46,645 | | | — | | | 111,609 |
Other operating expenses | | | 172,020 | | | 59,772 | | | 10,842 | | | 242,634 |
Interest expense | | | 26,623 | | | 16,590 | | | 4,936 | | | 48,149 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 612,225 | | | 143,667 | | | 15,778 | | | 771,670 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | — | | | 256,993 | | | 256,993 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pretax income | | | 385,020 | | | 176,962 | | | 251,287 | | | 813,269 |
Income tax provision | | | 102,266 | | | 40,880 | | | 87,951 | | | 231,097 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income | | $ | 282,754 | | $ | 136,082 | | $ | 163,336 | | $ | 582,172 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 6
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit G
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | 2007 | | | 2006 | | | 2007 | | | 2006 | |
Net Premiums Written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 11,461 | | | $ | 30,302 | | | $ | 60,117 | | | $ | 79,655 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 19,739 | | | | 20,526 | | | | 86,821 | | | | 81,065 | |
Structured direct | | | 4,567 | | | | 4,168 | | | | 16,594 | | | | 18,772 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 5,327 | | | | 5,902 | | | | 21,933 | | | | 18,676 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 214 | | | | 245 | | | | 1,264 | | | | 4,599 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | | 41,308 | | | | 61,143 | | | | 186,729 | | | | 202,767 | |
Net premiums written - credit derivatives | | | 13,020 | | | | 15,195 | | | | 43,043 | | | | 60,107 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written | | $ | 54,328 | | | $ | 76,338 | | | $ | 229,772 | | | $ | 262,874 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Premiums Earned: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 13,459 | | | $ | 9,136 | | | $ | 45,770 | | | $ | 32,517 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 10,770 | | | | 9,509 | | | | 44,667 | | | | 37,765 | |
Structured direct | | | 3,878 | | | | 4,757 | | | | 17,325 | | | | 19,446 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 5,461 | | | | 5,467 | | | | 22,957 | | | | 21,086 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 370 | | | | 2,194 | | | | 2,303 | | | | 21,476 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | | 33,938 | | | | 31,063 | | | | 133,022 | | | | 132,290 | |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 13,422 | | | | 18,649 | | | | 62,066 | | | | 71,541 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned | | $ | 47,360 | | | $ | 49,712 | | | $ | 195,088 | | | $ | 203,831 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refundings included in earned premium | | $ | 7,492 | | | $ | 3,111 | | | $ | 23,309 | | | $ | 11,778 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Claims paid: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | 1,557 | | | $ | 1,338 | | | $ | 8,579 | | | $ | 15,144 | |
Other financial guaranty | | | 10,602 | | | | 248 | | | | 12,814 | | | | 7,529 | |
Conseco | | | 2,667 | | | | 3,513 | | | | 11,449 | | | | 15,763 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 14,826 | | | $ | 5,099 | | | $ | 32,842 | | | $ | 38,436 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Incurred losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | (2,967 | ) | | $ | (30 | ) | | $ | (16,511 | ) | | $ | 4,991 | |
Other financial guaranty | | | 61,240 | | | | 4,091 | | | | 114,501 | | | | 16,701 | |
Conseco | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | (1,032 | )(2) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 58,273 | | | $ | 4,061 | | | $ | 97,990 | | | $ | 20,660 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 123.0 | % | | | 8.2 | % | | | 50.2 | % | | | 10.1 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (1) | | | 49.0 | % | | | 48.5 | % | | | 48.2 | % | | | 52.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 172.0 | % | | | 56.7 | % | | | 98.4 | % | | | 62.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net (receipts) payments under derivatives contracts | | $ | (255 | ) | | $ | (729 | ) | | $ | (31,188 | ) | | $ | 63,548 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Excludes merger expenses |
(2) | Resulted from favorable loss development |
Page 7
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit H
| | | | | | | | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | December 31 2007 | | | December 31 2006 | |
Capital and surplus | | $ | 1,158,537 | | | $ | 1,014,958 | |
Contingency reserve | | | 433,296 | | | | 336,719 | |
Qualified statutory capital | | | 1,591,833 | | | | 1,351,677 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Unearned premium reserve | | | 886,024 | | | | 829,340 | |
Loss and loss expense reserve | | | 61,038 | | | | 96,829 | |
Total statutory policyholders’ reserves | | | 2,538,895 | | | | 2,277,846 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Present value of installment premiums | | | 461,806 | | | | 345,565 | |
Reinsurance and soft capital facilities | | | 150,000 | | | | 150,000 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total statutory claims paying resources | | $ | 3,150,701 | | | $ | 2,773,411 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Net debt service outstanding | | $ | 164,346,659 | | | $ | 143,728,116 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Capital leverage ratio (1) | | | 103 | | | | 106 | |
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | | | 52 | | | | 52 | |
Net par outstanding by product: | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 18,228,946 | | | $ | 16,324,170 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 43,822,781 | | | | 37,488,972 | |
Structured direct | | | 47,878,168 | | | | 44,960,360 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 6,091,717 | | | | 5,192,122 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 116,021,612 | | | $ | 103,965,624 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Reinsurance business net par outstanding: | | | | | | | | |
Treaty | | | 59 | % | | | 59 | % |
Facultative | | | 41 | % | | | 41 | % |
Reserve for losses and LAE | | | | | | | | |
Specific | | $ | 26,791 | | | $ | 35,320 | |
Conseco | | | 22,526 | | | | 33,975 | |
Non-specific | | | 203,987 | | | | 119,752 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 253,304 | | | $ | 189,047 | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital |
(2) | Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources |
Page 8
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit I
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
| | 2007 | | | % | | | 2006 | | | % | | | 2007 | | | % | | | 2006 | | | % | |
Primary New Insurance Written ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 10,422 | | | 76.7 | % | | $ | 6,451 | | | 85.2 | % | | $ | 40,335 | | | 70.6 | % | | $ | 25,364 | | | 63.2 | % |
Structured | | | 3,174 | | | 23.3 | % | | | 1,123 | | | 14.8 | % | | | 16,797 | | | 29.4 | % | | | 14,753 | | | 36.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 13,596 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,574 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 57,132 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 40,117 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 8,629 | | | 82.8 | % | | $ | 4,608 | | | 71.4 | % | | $ | 29,800 | | | 73.9 | % | | $ | 18,578 | | | 73.2 | % |
Alt-A | | | 832 | | | 8.0 | % | | | 1,276 | | | 19.8 | % | | | 6,847 | | | 17.0 | % | | | 4,836 | | | 19.1 | % |
A minus and below | | | 961 | | | 9.2 | % | | | 567 | | | 8.8 | % | | | 3,688 | | | 9.1 | % | | | 1,950 | | | 7.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 10,422 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,451 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 40,335 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,364 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 1,795 | | | 56.6 | % | | $ | 341 | | | 30.4 | % | | $ | 3,436 | | | 20.5 | % | | $ | 4,000 | | | 27.1 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1,378 | | | 43.4 | % | | | 685 | | | 61.0 | % | | | 12,515 | | | 74.5 | % | | | 9,222 | | | 62.5 | % |
A minus and below | | | 1 | | | 0.0 | % | | | 97 | | | 8.6 | % | | | 846 | | | 5.0 | % | | | 1,531 | | | 10.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 3,174 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,123 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 16,797 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,753 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 10,424 | | | 76.6 | % | | $ | 4,949 | | | 65.3 | % | | $ | 33,236 | | | 58.2 | % | | $ | 22,578 | | | 56.3 | % |
Alt-A | | | 2,210 | | | 16.3 | % | | | 1,961 | | | 25.9 | % | | | 19,362 | | | 33.9 | % | | | 14,058 | | | 35.0 | % |
A minus and below | | | 962 | | | 7.1 | % | | | 664 | | | 8.8 | % | | | 4,534 | | | 7.9 | % | | | 3,481 | | | 8.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 13,596 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,574 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 57,132 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 40,117 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 518 | | | 5.0 | % | | $ | 498 | | | 7.7 | % | | $ | 2,348 | | | 5.8 | % | | $ | 1,603 | | | 6.3 | % |
620-679 | | | 2,830 | | | 27.1 | % | | | 2,049 | | | 31.8 | % | | | 11,988 | | | 29.7 | % | | | 7,693 | | | 30.3 | % |
680-739 | | | 3,914 | | | 37.6 | % | | | 2,246 | | | 34.8 | % | | | 14,891 | | | 36.9 | % | | | 9,210 | | | 36.4 | % |
>=740 | | | 3,160 | | | 30.3 | % | | | 1,658 | | | 25.7 | % | | | 11,108 | | | 27.6 | % | | | 6,858 | | | 27.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 10,422 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,451 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 40,335 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,364 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | — | | | 0.0 | % | | $ | 98 | | | 8.7 | % | | $ | 538 | | | 3.2 | % | | $ | 1,545 | | | 10.5 | % |
620-679 | | | 185 | | | 5.8 | % | | | 333 | | | 29.7 | % | | | 3,947 | | | 23.5 | % | | | 4,303 | | | 29.2 | % |
680-739 | | | 963 | | | 30.3 | % | | | 428 | | | 38.1 | % | | | 7,123 | | | 42.4 | % | | | 5,760 | | | 39.0 | % |
>=740 | | | 2,026 | | | 63.9 | % | | | 264 | | | 23.5 | % | | | 5,189 | | | 30.9 | % | | | 3,145 | | | 21.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 3,174 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,123 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 16,797 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,753 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 518 | | | 3.8 | % | | $ | 596 | | | 7.9 | % | | $ | 2,886 | | | 5.1 | % | | $ | 3,148 | | | 7.9 | % |
620-679 | | | 3,015 | | | 22.2 | % | | | 2,382 | | | 31.4 | % | | | 15,935 | | | 27.9 | % | | | 11,996 | | | 29.9 | % |
680-739 | | | 4,877 | | | 35.9 | % | | | 2,674 | | | 35.3 | % | | | 22,014 | | | 38.5 | % | | | 14,970 | | | 37.3 | % |
>=740 | | | 5,186 | | | 38.1 | % | | | 1,922 | | | 25.4 | % | | | 16,297 | | | 28.5 | % | | | 10,003 | | | 24.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 13,596 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,574 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 57,132 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 40,117 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Percentage of primary new insurance written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 27 | % | | | | | | 38 | % | | | | | | 37 | % | | | | | | 35 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 32 | % | | | | | | 24 | % | | | | | | 25 | % | | | | | | 15 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 1 | % | | | | | | 16 | % | | | | | | 13 | % | | | | | | 24 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 14 | % | | | | | | 7 | % | | | | | | 11 | % | | | | | | 14 | % | | | |
Primary risk written ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 2,684 | | | 77.9 | % | | $ | 1,590 | | | 91.8 | % | | $ | 10,325 | | | 85.3 | % | | $ | 6,386 | | | 82.0 | % |
Structured | | | 763 | | | 22.1 | % | | | 142 | | | 8.2 | % | | | 1,785 | | | 14.7 | % | | | 1,404 | | | 18.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 3,447 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,732 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 12,110 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,790 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pool risk written (In millions) | | $ | 34 | | | | | | $ | 26 | | | | | | $ | 261 | | | | | | $ | 359 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other risk written (In millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Seconds | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | — | | | | | | $ | 4 | | | | | | $ | 9 | | | | | | $ | 47 | | | | |
2nd loss | | | — | | | | | | | 27 | | | | | | | 21 | | | | | | | 233 | | | | |
NIMs | | | — | | | | | | | 264 | | | | | | | 377 | | | | | | | 502 | | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 34 | | | | | | | 34 | | | | | | | 130 | | | | | | | 65 | | | | |
Reinsurance | | | 18 | | | | | | | 14 | | | | | | | 67 | | | | | | | 21 | | | | |
Other | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic credit default swaps | | | — | | | | | | | — | | | | | | | — | | | | | | | 32 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk written | | $ | 52 | | | | | | $ | 343 | | | | | | $ | 604 | | | | | | $ | 900 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 9
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit J
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31 | | | December 31 | |
| | 2007 | | | % | | | 2006 | | | % | |
Primary insurance in force ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 105,246 | | | 73.6 | % | | $ | 83,529 | | | 73.3 | % |
Structured | | | 37,820 | | | 26.4 | % | | | 30,374 | | | 26.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 143,066 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 113,903 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 93,577 | | | 65.4 | % | | $ | 76,854 | | | 67.5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 37,031 | | | 25.9 | % | | | 25,571 | | | 22.4 | % |
A minus and below | | | 12,458 | | | 8.7 | % | | | 11,478 | | | 10.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 143,066 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 113,903 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary risk in force ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 26,531 | | | 83.9 | % | | $ | 20,724 | | | 81.9 | % |
Structured | | | 5,091 | | | 16.1 | % | | | 4,587 | | | 18.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 31,622 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,311 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 20,616 | | | 77.7 | % | | $ | 16,283 | | | 78.6 | % |
Alt-A | | | 3,810 | | | 14.4 | % | | | 2,880 | | | 13.9 | % |
A minus and below | | | 2,105 | | | 7.9 | % | | | 1,561 | | | 7.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 26,531 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 20,724 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,116 | | | 41.5 | % | | $ | 1,903 | | | 41.5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1,978 | | | 38.9 | % | | | 1,354 | | | 29.5 | % |
A minus and below | | | 997 | | | 19.6 | % | | | 1,330 | | | 29.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 5,091 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,587 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 22,732 | | | 71.9 | % | | $ | 18,186 | | | 71.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 5,788 | | | 18.3 | % | | | 4,234 | | | 16.7 | % |
A minus and below | | | 3,102 | | | 9.8 | % | | | 2,891 | | | 11.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 31,622 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,311 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 1,639 | | | 6.2 | % | | $ | 1,342 | | | 6.5 | % |
620-679 | | | 8,059 | | | 30.4 | % | | | 6,391 | | | 30.8 | % |
680-739 | | | 9,773 | | | 36.8 | % | | | 7,556 | | | 36.5 | % |
>=740 | | | 7,060 | | | 26.6 | % | | | 5,435 | | | 26.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 26,531 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 20,724 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 936 | | | 18.4 | % | | $ | 1,331 | | | 29.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,490 | | | 29.3 | % | | | 1,619 | | | 35.3 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,488 | | | 29.2 | % | | | 1,095 | | | 23.9 | % |
>=740 | | | 1,177 | | | 23.1 | % | | | 542 | | | 11.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 5,091 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,587 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 2,575 | | | 8.1 | % | | $ | 2,673 | | | 10.6 | % |
620-679 | | | 9,549 | | | 30.2 | % | | | 8,010 | | | 31.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 11,261 | | | 35.6 | % | | | 8,651 | | | 34.2 | % |
>=740 | | | 8,237 | | | 26.1 | % | | | 5,977 | | | 23.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 31,622 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,311 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Percentage of primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 31 | % | | | | | | 33 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 24 | % | | | | | | 18 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 12 | % | | | | | | 19 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 10 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
Pool risk in force ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,111 | | | 70.2 | % | | $ | 2,182 | | | 72.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 293 | | | 9.8 | % | | | 295 | | | 9.9 | % |
A minus and below | | | 600 | | | 20.0 | % | | | 514 | | | 17.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 3,004 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,991 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 10
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit K
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31 | | | December 31 | |
| | 2007 | | % | | | 2006 | | % | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
95.01% and above | | $ | 7,529 | | 23.8 | % | | $ | 4,441 | | 17.6 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 9,674 | | 30.6 | % | | | 8,005 | | 31.6 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 10,600 | | 33.5 | % | | | 9,062 | | 35.8 | % |
85.00% and below | | | 3,819 | | 12.1 | % | | | 3,803 | | 15.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 31,622 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,311 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2003 and prior | | $ | 5,521 | | 17.5 | % | | $ | 7,113 | | 28.1 | % |
2004 | | | 3,350 | | 10.6 | % | | | 4,565 | | 18.1 | % |
2005 | | | 5,112 | | 16.2 | % | | | 6,538 | | 25.8 | % |
2006 | | | 6,016 | | 19.0 | % | | | 7,095 | | 28.0 | % |
2007 | | | 11,623 | | 36.7 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 31,622 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,311 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2003 and prior | | $ | 1,723 | | 57.4 | % | | $ | 1,758 | | 58.8 | % |
2004 | | | 166 | | 5.5 | % | | | 290 | | 9.7 | % |
2005 | | | 595 | | 19.8 | % | | | 651 | | 21.7 | % |
2006 | | | 265 | | 8.8 | % | | | 292 | | 9.8 | % |
2007 | | | 255 | | 8.5 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Pool risk in Force | | $ | 3,004 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,991 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other risk in force (In millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Seconds | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | 377 | | | | | $ | 592 | | | |
2nd loss | | | 548 | | | | | | 610 | | | |
NIMs | | | 604 | | | | | | 592 | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 465 | | | | | | 335 | | | |
Reinsurance | | | 103 | | | | | | 47 | | | |
Credit default swaps | | | 8,202 | | | | | | 7,897 | | | |
Other | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic credit default swaps | | | 212 | | | | | | 212 | | | |
Financial guaranty wrap | | | — | | | | | | 37 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk in force | | $ | 10,511 | | | | | $ | 10,322 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis | | | 14.4:1 | | | | | | 10.4:1 | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis excluding AAA-rated CDS | | | 11.6:1 | | | | | | 8.3:1 | | | |
Page 11
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit L
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
| | 2007 | | | 2006 | | | 2007 | | | 2006 | |
Direct claims paid (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 53,203 | | | $ | 28,903 | | | $ | 164,155 | | | $ | 117,471 | |
Alt-A | | | 35,203 | | | | 16,654 | | | | 105,858 | | | | 64,018 | |
A minus and below | | | 46,966 | | | | 25,996 | | | | 150,098 | | | | 93,662 | |
Seconds and other | | | 29,295 | | | | 9,590 | | | | 89,269 | | | | 38,204 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 164,667 | | | $ | 81,143 | | | $ | 509,380 | | | $ | 313,355 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Average claim paid (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 35.0 | | | $ | 26.7 | | | $ | 31.2 | | | $ | 26.1 | |
Alt-A | | | 49.0 | | | | 37.9 | | | | 44.6 | | | | 35.6 | |
A minus and below | | | 36.5 | | | | 30.2 | | | | 33.2 | | | | 28.3 | |
Seconds | | | 38.6 | | | | 29.2 | | | | 31.9 | | | | 26.8 | |
Total | | $ | 38.4 | | | $ | 29.9 | | | $ | 34.1 | | | $ | 28.4 | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 294.4 | % | | | 40.3 | % | | | 142.4 | % | | | 42.9 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (2) | | | 22.7 | % | | | 32.1 | % | | | 23.5 | % | | | 29.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 317.1 | % | | | 72.4 | % | | | 165.9 | % | | | 72.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses by category (In thousands): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 343,705 | | | $ | 198,133 | | | | | | | | | |
Alt-A | | | 450,106 | | | | 136,411 | | | | | | | | | |
A minus and below | | | 361,240 | | | | 228,012 | | | | | | | | | |
Pool insurance | | | 54,394 | | | | 31,116 | | | | | | | | | |
Seconds | | | 112,751 | | | | 36,166 | | | | | | | | | |
Other | | | 1,268 | | | | 1,635 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses, net | | | 1,323,464 | | | | 631,473 | | | | | | | | | |
Reinsurance recoverable | | | 21,989 | (1) | | | 21,763 | (1) | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,345,453 | | | $ | 653,236 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses. |
(2) | Excludes merger expenses. |
Page 12
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit M
| | | | | | |
| | December 31 2007 | | | December 31 2006 | |
Default Statistics | | | | | | |
Primary insurance: | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 565,563 | | | 500,464 | |
Number of loans in default | | 20,632 | | | 15,141 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 3.65 | % | | 3.03 | % |
Alt-A | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 74,559 | | | 63,469 | |
Number of loans in default | | 7,980 | | | 4,348 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 10.70 | % | | 6.85 | % |
A minus and below | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 63,853 | | | 52,440 | |
Number of loans in default | | 10,087 | | | 7,250 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 15.80 | % | | 13.83 | % |
Total Flow | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 703,975 | | | 616,373 | |
Number of loans in default | | 38,699 | | | 26,739 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 5.50 | % | | 4.34 | % |
Structured | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 64,789 | | | 62,680 | |
Number of loans in default | | 4,707 | | | 3,300 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 7.27 | % | | 5.26 | % |
Alt-A | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 97,526 | | | 70,164 | |
Number of loans in default | | 8,783 | | | 3,647 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 9.01 | % | | 5.20 | % |
A minus and below | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 28,747 | | | 36,597 | |
Number of loans in default | | 8,659 | | | 9,014 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 30.12 | % | | 24.63 | % |
Total Structured | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 191,062 | | | 169,441 | |
Number of loans in default | | 22,149 | | | 15,961 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 11.59 | % | | 9.42 | % |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 630,352 | | | 563,144 | |
Number of loans in default | | 25,339 | | | 18,441 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 4.02 | % | | 3.27 | % |
Alt-A | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 172,085 | | | 133,633 | |
Number of loans in default | | 16,763 | | | 7,995 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 9.74 | % | | 5.98 | % |
A minus and below | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 92,600 | | | 89,037 | |
Number of loans in default | | 18,746 | | | 16,264 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 20.24 | % | | 18.27 | % |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 895,037 | | | 785,814 | |
Number of loans in default | | 60,848 | (1) | | 42,700 | (1) |
Percentage of loans in default | | 6.80 | % | | 5.43 | % |
Pool insurance: | | | | | | |
Number of loans in default | | 26,526 | (2) | | 18,681 | (2) |
(1) | Includes approximately 2,595 and 1,161 defaults at December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006 respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
(2) | Includes approximately 20,193 and 13,309 defaults at December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
Page 13
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit N
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
| | 2007 | | | 2006 | | | 2007 | | | 2006 | |
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 223,372 | | | $ | 162,875 | | | $ | 835,961 | | | $ | 723,213 | |
Seconds | | | 4,896 | | | | 15,469 | | | | 27,236 | | | | 57,935 | |
International | | | 16,796 | | | | 10,696 | | | | 35,306 | | | | 20,375 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | | 245,064 | | | | 189,040 | | | | 898,503 | | | | 801,523 | |
Net premiums written - credit derivatives | | | 10,228 | | | | 13,322 | | | | 56,610 | | | | 47,588 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written | | $ | 255,292 | | | $ | 202,362 | | | $ | 955,113 | | | $ | 849,111 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 189,170 | | | $ | 173,413 | | | $ | 730,966 | | | $ | 715,136 | |
Seconds | | | 7,579 | | | | 11,564 | | | | 32,744 | | | | 52,588 | |
International | | | 3,681 | | | | 1,530 | | | | 15,549 | | | | 7,028 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | | 200,430 | | | | 186,507 | | | | 779,259 | | | | 774,752 | |
Net premiums earned - credit derivatives | | | 13,399 | | | | 12,700 | | | | 64,263 | | | | 37,263 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned | | $ | 213,829 | | | $ | 199,207 | | | $ | 843,522 | | | $ | 812,015 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
SMART HOME (In millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ceded Premiums Written | | $ | 1.3 | | | $ | 3.5 | | | $ | 11.0 | | | $ | 12.0 | |
Ceded Premiums Earned | | $ | 2.1 | | | $ | 3.7 | | | $ | 11.4 | | | $ | 12.3 | |
Captives | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) | | $ | 33.2 | | | $ | 25.4 | | | $ | 121.6 | | | $ | 96.7 | |
% of total premiums | | | 14.8 | % | | | 12.6 | % | | | 14.1 | % | | | 11.7 | % |
NIW subject to captives (In millions) | | $ | 6,776 | | | $ | 3,457 | | | $ | 23,322 | | | $ | 13,157 | |
% of primary NIW | | | 49.8 | % | | | 45.6 | % | | | 40.8 | % | | | 32.8 | % |
IIF included in captives (1) | | | 36.5 | % | | | 34.1 | % | | | | | | | | |
RIF included in captives (1) | | | 41.6 | % | | | 38.9 | % | | | | | | | | |
Persistency (twelve months ended December 31) | | | 75.4 | % | | | 67.3 | % | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | December 31 2007 | | | December 31 2006 | | | | | | | |
SMART HOME | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (1) | | | 5.3 | % | | | 10.1 | % | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Page 14
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
ALT-A
Exhibit O
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2007 | | % | | | 2006 | | % | | | 2007 | | % | | | 2006 | | % | |
Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 3 | | 0.1 | % | | $ | 3 | | 0.2 | % | | $ | 110 | | 0.6 | % | | $ | 28 | | 0.2 | % |
620-659 | | | 43 | | 1.9 | % | | | 208 | | 10.6 | % | | | 1,889 | | 9.7 | % | | | 1,600 | | 11.4 | % |
660-679 | | | 94 | | 4.3 | % | | | 351 | | 17.9 | % | | | 2,783 | | 14.4 | % | | | 2,019 | | 14.4 | % |
680-739 | | | 785 | | 35.5 | % | | | 903 | | 46.0 | % | | | 9,158 | | 47.3 | % | | | 6,756 | | 48.0 | % |
>=740 | | | 1,285 | | 58.2 | % | | | 496 | | 25.3 | % | | | 5,422 | | 28.0 | % | | | 3,655 | | 26.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,210 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,961 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 19,362 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,058 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 38 | | 0.7 | % | | $ | 24 | | 0.6 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
620-659 | | | 725 | | 12.5 | % | | | 729 | | 17.2 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
660-679 | | | 826 | | 14.3 | % | | | 681 | | 16.1 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
680-739 | | | 2,653 | | 45.8 | % | | | 1,897 | | 44.8 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | | 1,546 | | 26.7 | % | | | 903 | | 21.3 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,788 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,234 | | 100.0 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
95.01% and above | | $ | 379 | | 6.6 | % | | $ | 120 | | 2.8 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 1,668 | | 28.8 | % | | | 1,237 | | 29.2 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 2,317 | | 40.0 | % | | | 1,832 | | 43.3 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.00% and below | | | 1,424 | | 24.6 | % | | | 1,045 | | 24.7 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,788 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,234 | | 100.0 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2003 and prior | | $ | 641 | | 11.1 | % | | $ | 846 | | 20.0 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2004 | | | 461 | | 8.0 | % | | | 712 | | 16.8 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | | | 846 | | 14.6 | % | | | 1,157 | | 27.3 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | | | 1,273 | | 22.0 | % | | | 1,519 | | 35.9 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | | | 2,567 | | 44.3 | % | | | — | | — | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,788 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,234 | | 100.0 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 15
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Services Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit P
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended December 31 | | | Year Ended December 31 | |
(In thousands ) | | 2007 | | 2006 | | | 2007 | | | 2006 | |
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
C-BASS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | | — | | $ | 431,472 | | | $ | 451,395 | | | $ | 364,364 | |
Net income (loss) for period | | | — | | | 31,598 | | | | (451,395 | ) | | | 133,900 | |
Dividends received | | | — | | | 11,675 | | | | — | | | | 46,869 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | — | | $ | 451,395 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 451,395 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Sherman | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | $ | 94,110 | | $ | 129,064 | | | $ | 167,412 | | | $ | 81,753 | |
Net income for period | | | 10,098 | | | 39,146 | | | | 84,848 | | | | 123,835 | |
Dividends received | | | — | | | — | | | | 51,512 | | | | 103,740 | |
Other comprehensive income (loss) | | | 107 | | | (798 | ) | | | (567 | ) | | | (743 | ) |
(Sale) purchase of ownership interest | | | | | | — | | | | (95,866 | ) | | | 66,307 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | 104,315 | | $ | 167,412 | | | $ | 104,315 | | | $ | 167,412 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Portfolio Information: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
C-BASS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Servicing portfolio | | | N/A | | $ | 60,600,000 | | | | | | | | | |
Total assets | | | N/A | | | 8,799,261 | | | | | | | | | |
Servicing income | | | N/A | | | 40,589 | | | | N/A | | | $ | 142,407 | |
Net interest income | | | N/A | | | 73,836 | | | | N/A | | | | 285,844 | |
Total revenues | | | N/A | | | 144,479 | | | | N/A | | | | 571,162 | |
Sherman | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 2,242,087 | | $ | 1,213,049 | | | | | | | | | |
Net revenues | | $ | 379,320 | | $ | 329,293 | | | $ | 1,259,933 | | | $ | 1,059,381 | |
Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.
Page 16

1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: actual or perceived changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and, if more severe than our current predictions, could cause our ultimate projected losses for our mortgage insurance business to be worse than expected), changes in the liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; actual or perceived economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions (both domestic and international) where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; our ability to successfully acquire additional capital in the event that capital is required to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit and financial strength ratings; a decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and a deterioration in housing markets throughout the United States; the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance or the influence of large customers; disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio, which could cause losses to increase, and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alt-A and sub-prime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and may result in further losses; reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or begin to decline; changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, appreciating or depreciating home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors; downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial strength ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, our credit rating and the financial strength ratings of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries that are currently under review for possible downgrade); heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers, from alternative products such as “80-10-10” loans or other forms of simultaneous second loan structures used by mortgage lenders, from investors using forms of credit enhancement other than mortgage insurance as a partial or complete substitution for private mortgage insurance and from mortgage lenders that demand increased participation in revenue sharing arrangements such as captive reinsurance arrangements; changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure; heightened competition for financial guaranty business from other financial guaranty insurers, including those recently downgraded to ratings equal to or lower than our ratings, from other forms of credit enhancement such as letters of credit, guaranties and credit default swaps provided by foreign and domestic banks and other financial institutions and from alternative structures that may permit insurers to securitize assets more cost-effectively without the need for the types of credit enhancement we offer, or result in our having to reduce the premium we charge for our products; the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the possibility of private lawsuits or investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, or (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, the premium deficiency for our second-lien mortgage insurance business or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board (in particular changes regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the financial guaranty industries); our ability to profitably grow our insurance businesses in international markets, which depends on a number of factors such as foreign governments’ monetary policies and regulatory requirements, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, and our ability to develop and market products appropriate to foreign markets; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends we may receive from our subsidiaries; and vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments, including in particular, our investment in Sherman Financial Services Group LLC. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 as well as the updates to these risks included in Item 1A of Part II of our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
revise any forward-looking statements made in this report to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.