Exhibit 99.1
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1601 Market Street |
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania |
19103-2337 |
800 523.1988 |
215 564.6600 |
News Release
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Contact: | | |
For investors: | | Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486 |
| | Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz |
| |
For the media: | | Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061 |
| | Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz |
| |
| | Steve Frankel / Tim Lynch |
| | Joele Frank, Wilkinson Brimmer Katcher |
| | 212 355 4449 |
Radian Reports First Quarter Net Income of $195.6 Million
Results Reflect After-Tax Net Unrealized Mark-To-Market Gains of $410.9 Million
PHILADELPHIA, May 12, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) (the “Company”) today reported net income of $195.6 million and diluted earnings per share of $2.44 for the quarter ended March 31, 2008. Book value per share at March 31, 2008 was $35.64. Excluding the impact of net unrealized gains on derivatives and hybrid securities, the Company’s net operating loss was $215.2 million and the net operating loss per share was $2.69 for the quarter. “Net operating loss” and “net operating loss per share” are non-GAAP financial measures. A discussion of these measures, including a reconciliation to pre tax income, is included below.
Radian’s financial results for the first quarter of 2008 were significantly impacted by unrealized gains and losses on the Company’s hybrid securities and derivative assets and liabilities. Credit spreads on underlying collateral, both corporate credit spreads and asset-backed spreads, widened significantly during the quarter, which resulted in large unrealized losses on these
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
positions. Offsetting these losses, however, is the impact of a change to the Company’s valuation methodology, which is adopted prospectively, that incorporates the market’s perception of Radian’s non-performance risk. This change in methodology is required under the provisions of SFAS No. 157. Given the significant widening of Radian’s credit default swap spread over the past year, the reduction in the valuation of the Company’s derivative liabilities related to non-performance risk more than offset the credit spread widening on underlying collateral for the current quarter. Below is a table with the detail of the impact on Radian’s quarterly results of underlying collateral credit spread widening and the aggregate impact of incorporation of Radian’s non-performance risk on our derivative instrument fair values.
| | | | | | | | |
| | 1Q08 | | | 1Q07 | |
Pretax Income | | $ | 284.6 | | | $ | 158.2 | |
Removal of effect of unrealized (gains) and losses: | | | | | | | | |
Hybrid Securities | | | 55.9 | | | | 3.6 | |
Financial Guaranty credit derivatives | | | 1,330.0 | | | | (25.1 | ) |
Mortgage Insurance domestic and intl. credit default swaps | | | 32.3 | | | | 12.7 | |
NIMS | | | 50.8 | | | | (1.4 | ) |
Soft capital put options on committed preferred securities | | | (42.8 | ) | | | — | |
Isolated impact of SFAS No. 157 fair value methodology change related specifically to Radian’s non-performance risk | | | (2,058.3 | ) | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | |
Pretax operating (loss) income | | | (347.5 | ) | | | 148.0 | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (132.3 | ) | | | 41.1 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Net operating (loss) income | | $ | (215.2 | ) | | $ | 106.9 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Net operating (loss) income per share | | $ | (2.69 | ) | | $ | 1.34 | |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
“We have seen the continuation of weak housing and credit markets and these conditions have impacted results in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses,” said S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “As previously announced, we are considering a range of alternatives to strengthen our capital position, while at the same time considering the alternatives for our financial guaranty business which offer the best long term value. Our liquidity and claims paying capabilities remain strong across both business units.”
In the mortgage insurance business, paid claims during the first quarter were in line with the Company’s guidance. As of March 31, 2008, Radian had $1.7 billion in mortgage insurance loss reserves. Newly written product mix in the mortgage insurance business continued to shift significantly to prime loans, with 90% of production during the first quarter made up of prime business, up from 77% during the fourth quarter.
Mr. Ibrahim continued, “By focusing on prime loans, working closely with the Government Sponsored Enterprises and managing our existing Risk-In-Force exposure, Radian will continue to address the significant challenges in the housing markets and overall economic environment.”
Radian’s financial guaranty business continues to maintain a strong capital position with limited exposure to vulnerable asset classes. Although new written premiums declined approximately 21% from the first quarter of 2007, reinsurance business remained strong.
Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Monday, May 12, 2008, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
internet athttp://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or athttp://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1085 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0337 for international callers, using passcode 921836 or by referencing Radian.
A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 921836.
Non-GAAP Measures
The table set forth above reconciles “net operating loss” and “net operating loss per share” to pretax income. In order to assist investors in understanding our quarterly operating results, which recently have been impacted significantly by changes in market values of our derivative and hybrid securities portfolios, we define our net operating earnings to be our GAAP pretax income, adjusted to exclude unrealized gains and losses on these portfolios that relate to market risk, as tax-affected. Net operating earnings is not a substitute for pretax income computed in accordance with GAAP, but is a useful measure of performance used by management, equity analysts and investors because it allows a more consistent period-to-period comparison of our earnings without the effects of unrealized gains and losses on derivatives and hybrid securities. The definition of operating earnings used by us may differ from definitions of operating earnings used by other companies.
Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in New York and London. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600
For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics athttp://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx
Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)
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Exhibit A: | | Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income |
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Exhibit B: | | Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
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Exhibit C: | | Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2008 |
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Exhibit D: | | Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2007 |
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Exhibit E: | | Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008 |
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Exhibit F: | | Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008 |
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Exhibit G: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written and Risk Written |
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Exhibit H: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force |
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Exhibit I: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and Other Risk in Force |
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Exhibit J: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Reserves |
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Exhibit K: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Defaults |
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Exhibit L: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency |
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Exhibit M: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A |
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Exhibit N: | | Financial Services Supplemental Information |
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit A
| | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 |
(In thousands, except per-share data) | | 2008 | | | 2007 |
Revenues: | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 244,306 | | | $ | 248,430 |
| | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 241,921 | | | $ | 214,507 |
Net investment income | | | 65,979 | | | | 60,996 |
Net (losses) gains on securities | | | (54,884 | ) | | | 13,745 |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments (1) | | | 707,809 | | | | 48,417 |
Other income | | | 3,614 | | | | 3,818 |
| | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 964,439 | | | | 341,483 |
| | | | | | | |
| | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 582,711 | | | | 107,042 |
Provision for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 18,090 | | | | — |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 23,906 | | | | 28,254 |
Other operating expenses | | | 55,141 | | | | 54,367 |
Merger expenses | | | — | | | | 3,328 |
Interest expense | | | 12,493 | | | | 13,056 |
| | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 692,341 | | | | 206,047 |
| | | | | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | 12,526 | | | | 22,772 |
| | | | | | | |
Pretax income | | | 284,624 | | | | 158,208 |
Income tax provision | | | 88,986 | | | | 44,741 |
| | | | | | | |
Net income | | $ | 195,638 | | | $ | 113,467 |
| | | | | | | |
Diluted net income per share (2) | | $ | 2.44 | | | $ | 1.42 |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
(1) Includes premiums earned on derivative contracts | | | | | | | |
(2) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) | | | | | | | |
| | |
Average common shares outstanding | | | 79,930 | | | | 79,428 |
| | |
Increase in shares-common stock equivalents-diluted basis | | | 110 | | | | 652 |
| | | | | | | |
Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) | | | 80,040 | | | | 80,080 |
For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.
Page 1
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit B
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(In thousands, except share and per-share data) | | March 31 2008 | | December 31 2007 |
Assets: | | | | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 6,740,985 | | $ | 6,611,836 |
Investments in affiliates | | | 116,969 | | | 104,354 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 239,400 | | | 234,955 |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | 536,343 | | | 793,486 |
Other assets | | | 620,328 | | | 465,558 |
| | | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 8,254,025 | | $ | 8,210,189 |
| | | | | | |
Liabilities and stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | |
Unearned premiums | | $ | 1,074,589 | | $ | 1,094,710 |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1,902,128 | | | 1,598,756 |
Reserve for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 213,736 | | | 195,646 |
Long-term debt and other borrowings | | | 959,244 | | | 953,524 |
Variable interest entity debt | | | 100,219 | | | — |
Deferred income taxes | | | 52,360 | | | 26,705 |
Derivative liabilities | | | 703,405 | | | 1,305,665 |
Other liabilities | | | 380,988 | | | 314,447 |
| | | | | | |
Total liabilities | | | 5,386,669 | | | 5,489,453 |
| | | | | | |
Common stock | | | 98 | | | 98 |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 446,211 | | | 442,312 |
Retained earnings | | | 2,375,189 | | | 2,181,191 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 45,858 | | | 97,135 |
| | | | | | |
Total common stockholders’ equity | | | 2,867,356 | | | 2,720,736 |
| | | | | | |
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | | $ | 8,254,025 | | $ | 8,210,189 |
| | | | | | |
Book value per share | | $ | 35.64 | | $ | 33.83 |
| | |
Treasury Stock Repurchases (Year-to-Date for Periods Presented) | | | | | | |
Total number of shares repurchased | | | — | | | 398,645 |
Average price paid per share | | | — | | $ | 57.25 |
Total cost of repurchased shares | | | — | | $ | 22,822,537 |
Page 2
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended March 31, 2008
Exhibit C
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 211,251 | | | $ | 33,055 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 244,306 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 204,265 | | | $ | 37,656 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 241,921 | |
Net investment income | | | 38,845 | | | | 27,120 | | | | 14 | | | | 65,979 | |
Net losses on securities | | | (36,733 | ) | | | (18,149 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (54,884 | ) |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 71,769 | | | | 636,040 | | | | — | | | | 707,809 | |
Other income | | | 3,491 | | | | 121 | | | | 2 | | | | 3,614 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 281,637 | | | | 682,788 | | | | 14 | | | | 964,439 | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 571,008 | | | | 11,703 | | | | — | | | | 582,711 | |
Provision for second-lien premium deficiency | | | 18,090 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 18,090 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 13,460 | | | | 10,446 | | | | — | | | | 23,906 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 34,170 | | | | 20,738 | | | | 233 | | | | 55,141 | |
Interest expense | | | 7,090 | | | | 5,154 | | | | 249 | | | | 12,493 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 643,818 | | | | 48,041 | | | | 482 | | | | 692,341 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 12,526 | | | | 12,526 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (362,181 | ) | | | 634,747 | | | | 12,058 | | | | 284,624 | |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (135,725 | ) | | | 219,219 | | | | 5,492 | | | | 88,986 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (226,456 | ) | | $ | 415,528 | | | $ | 6,566 | | | $ | 195,638 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Assets | | $ | 5,001,689 | | | $ | 3,133,958 | | | $ | 118,378 | | | $ | 8,254,025 | |
Total investments | | | 4,051,596 | | | | 2,508,351 | | | | — | | | | 6,559,947 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 62,860 | | | | 176,540 | | | | — | | | | 239,400 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1,741,169 | | | | 160,959 | | | | — | | | | 1,902,128 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 353,559 | | | | 349,846 | | | | — | | | | 703,405 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 365,161 | | | | 709,428 | | | | — | | | | 1,074,589 | |
Stockholders’ equity | | | 1,328,594 | | | | 1,412,429 | | | | 126,333 | | | | 2,867,356 | |
Page 3
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended March 31, 2007
Exhibit D
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 206,411 | | $ | 42,019 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 248,430 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 180,243 | | $ | 34,264 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 214,507 |
Net investment income | | | 35,559 | | | 25,437 | | | | — | | | | 60,996 |
Net gains (losses) on securities | | | 11,123 | | | 2,824 | | | | (202 | ) | | | 13,745 |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 4,338 | | | 44,079 | | | | — | | | | 48,417 |
Other income | | | 2,849 | | | 140 | | | | 829 | | | | 3,818 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 234,112 | | | 106,744 | | | | 627 | | | | 341,483 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 112,854 | | | (5,812 | ) | | | — | | | | 107,042 |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 16,523 | | | 11,731 | | | | — | | | | 28,254 |
Other operating expenses | | | 36,272 | | | 14,235 | | | | 3,860 | | | | 54,367 |
Merger expenses | | | 3,328 | | | — | | | | — | | | | 3,328 |
Interest expense | | | 6,854 | | | 4,596 | | | | 1,606 | | | | 13,056 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 175,831 | | | 24,750 | | | | 5,466 | | | | 206,047 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | — | | | | 22,772 | | | | 22,772 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pretax income | | | 58,281 | | | 81,994 | | | | 17,933 | | | | 158,208 |
| | | | |
Income tax provision | | | 13,579 | | | 24,078 | | | | 7,084 | | | | 44,741 |
Net income | | $ | 44,702 | | $ | 57,916 | | | $ | 10,849 | | | $ | 113,467 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Assets | | $ | 4,774,210 | | $ | 2,757,800 | | | $ | 592,898 | | | $ | 8,124,908 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total investments | | | 3,567,581 | | | 2,378,387 | | | | — | | | | 5,945,968 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 67,835 | | | 157,762 | | | | — | | | | 225,597 |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 676,691 | | | 175,771 | | | | — | | | | 852,462 |
Unearned premiums | | | 277,135 | | | 697,633 | | | | — | | | | 974,768 |
Stockholders’ equity | | | 2,322,374 | | | 1,457,712 | | | | 394,690 | | | | 4,174,776 |
Page 4
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit E
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | 2008 | | | 2007 | |
Net Premiums Written: (1) | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 5,603 | | | $ | 12,780 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 17,541 | | | | 18,154 | |
Structured direct | | | 4,182 | | | | 5,247 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 5,442 | | | | 5,912 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 287 | | | | (74 | ) |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written - insurance | | $ | 33,055 | | | $ | 42,019 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Net Premiums Earned: (1) | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 17,810 | | | $ | 11,585 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 9,870 | | | | 11,100 | |
Structured direct | | | 3,882 | | | | 4,691 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 5,599 | | | | 6,194 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 495 | | | | 694 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | $ | 37,656 | | | $ | 34,264 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Refundings included in earned premium | | $ | 11,657 | | | $ | 6,586 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Claims paid: | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | 586 | | | $ | 2,646 | |
Other | | | 101,456 | (2) | | | (69 | ) |
Conseco | | | 2,068 | | | | 3,108 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 104,110 | | | $ | 5,685 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Incurred losses: | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | (1,655 | ) | | $ | (3,136 | ) |
Other | | | 13,358 | | | | (2,676 | ) |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 11,703 | | | $ | (5,812 | ) |
| | | | | | | | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 22.8 | % | | | (10.9 | )% |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (3) | | | 60.7 | % | | | 48.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | 83.5 | % | | | 37.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
Net payments (receipts) under derivatives contracts | | $ | — | | | $ | (11,228 | ) |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Premiums written and earned on credit derivatives for the quarter ended March 31, 2008 were $12.9 million and $13.7 million, respectively, compared to $13.3 million and $18.9 million, respectively, for the quarter ended March 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments. |
(2) | Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of an ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007. |
(3) | Excludes merger expenses in 2007. |
Page 5
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit F
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | March 31 2008 | | | December 31 2007 | | | March 31 2007 | |
Capital and surplus | | $ | 1,097,250 | | | $ | 1,158,537 | | | $ | 1,042,548 | |
Contingency reserve | | | 464,655 | | | | 433,296 | | | | 357,176 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Qualified statutory capital | | | 1,561,905 | | | | 1,591,833 | | | | 1,399,724 | |
| | | |
Unearned premium reserve | | | 882,627 | | | | 886,024 | | | | 837,024 | |
Loss and loss expense reserve | | | 58,207 | | | | 61,038 | | | | 88,253 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory policyholders’ reserves | | | 2,502,739 | | | | 2,538,895 | | | | 2,325,001 | |
| | | |
Present value of installment premiums | | | 443,408 | | | | 461,806 | | | | 377,105 | |
Reinsurance and soft capital facilities | | | 150,000 | | | | 150,000 | | | | 150,000 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory claims paying resources | | $ | 3,096,147 | | | $ | 3,150,701 | | | $ | 2,852,106 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net debt service outstanding | | $ | 165,931,040 | | | $ | 164,346,659 | | | $ | 155,568,589 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Capital leverage ratio (1) | | | 106 | | | | 103 | | | | 111 | |
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | | | 54 | | | | 52 | | | | 55 | |
| | | |
Net par outstanding by product: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 18,460,669 | | | $ | 18,228,946 | | | $ | 16,590,493 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 44,404,128 | | | | 43,822,781 | | | | 39,311,697 | |
Structured direct | | | 47,634,388 | | | | 47,878,168 | | | | 52,945,169 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 6,284,246 | | | | 6,091,717 | | | | 5,261,220 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 116,783,431 | | | $ | 116,021,612 | | | $ | 114,108,579 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reinsurance business net par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Treaty | | | 60 | % | | | 59 | % | | | 59 | % |
Facultative | | | 40 | % | | | 41 | % | | | 41 | % |
| | | |
Reserve for losses and LAE | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Specific | | $ | 27,056 | | | $ | 26,791 | | | $ | 33,011 | |
Conseco | | | 20,457 | | | | 22,526 | | | | 30,866 | |
Non-specific | | | 113,446 | | | | 203,987 | | | | 111,894 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 160,959 | | | $ | 253,304 | | | $ | 175,771 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital |
(2) | Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources |
Page 6
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit G
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2008 | | | % | | | 2007 | | | % | |
Primary New Insurance Written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 9,284 | | | 90.2 | % | | $ | 7,049 | | | 53.3 | % |
Structured | | | 1,013 | | | 9.8 | % | | | 6,178 | | | 46.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 13,227 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 8,208 | | | 88.4 | % | | $ | 5,050 | | | 71.6 | % |
Alt-A | | | 583 | | | 6.3 | % | | | 1,401 | | | 19.9 | % |
A minus and below | | | 493 | | | 5.3 | % | | | 598 | | | 8.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 9,284 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,049 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 1,012 | | | 99.9 | % | | $ | 93 | | | 1.5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 5,905 | | | 95.6 | % |
A minus and below | | | — | | | — | | | | 180 | | | 2.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 1,013 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,178 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 9,220 | | | 89.5 | % | | $ | 5,143 | | | 38.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 584 | | | 5.7 | % | | | 7,306 | | | 55.2 | % |
A minus and below | | | 493 | | | 4.8 | % | | | 778 | | | 5.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 13,227 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 265 | | | 2.9 | % | | $ | 486 | | | 6.9 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,938 | | | 20.9 | % | | | 2,255 | | | 32.0 | % |
680-739 | | | 3,615 | | | 38.9 | % | | | 2,479 | | | 35.2 | % |
>=740 | | | 3,466 | | | 37.3 | % | | | 1,829 | | | 25.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 9,284 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,049 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | — | | | — | % | | $ | 126 | | | 2.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 10 | | | 1.0 | % | | | 1,376 | | | 22.3 | % |
680-739 | | | 369 | | | 36.4 | % | | | 3,068 | | | 49.7 | % |
>=740 | | | 634 | | | 62.6 | % | | | 1,608 | | | 26.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 1,013 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,178 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 265 | | | 2.6 | % | | $ | 612 | | | 4.6 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,948 | | | 18.9 | % | | | 3,631 | | | 27.5 | % |
680-739 | | | 3,984 | | | 38.7 | % | | | 5,547 | | | 41.9 | % |
>=740 | | | 4,100 | | | 39.8 | % | | | 3,437 | | | 26.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 13,227 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Percentage of primary new insurance written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 40 | % | | | | | | 51 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 20 | % | | | | | | 16 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 1 | % | | | | | | 42 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 6 | % | | | | | | 5 | % | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 2,316 | | | 89.7 | % | | $ | 1,746 | | | 90.0 | % |
Structured | | | 266 | | | 10.3 | % | | | 194 | | | 10.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 2,582 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,940 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pool risk written | | $ | 31 | | | | | | $ | 89 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other risk written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Seconds | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | — | | | | | | $ | 3 | | | | |
2nd loss | | | — | | | | | | | 21 | | | | |
NIMs | | | — | | | | | | | 268 | | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 51 | | | | | | | 19 | | | | |
Reinsurance | | | 19 | | | | | | | 17 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk written | | $ | 70 | | | | | | $ | 328 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 7
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit H
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 | | | March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2008 | | | % | | | 2007 | | | % | |
Primary insurance in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 110,020 | | | 74.9 | % | | $ | 85,649 | | | 71.5 | % |
Structured | | | 36,929 | | | 25.1 | % | | | 34,063 | | | 28.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 146,949 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 119,712 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 99,721 | | | 67.9 | % | | $ | 77,414 | | | 64.7 | % |
Alt-A | | | 34,949 | | | 23.8 | % | | | 31,023 | | | 25.9 | % |
A minus and below | | | 12,279 | | | 8.3 | % | | | 11,275 | | | 9.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 146,949 | | | 100.0 | % | �� | $ | 119,712 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 27,751 | | | 84.6 | % | | $ | 21,267 | | | 82.7 | % |
Structured | | | 5,041 | | | 15.4 | % | | | 4,446 | | | 17.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,713 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 21,810 | | | 78.6 | % | | $ | 16,653 | | | 78.3 | % |
Alt-A | | | 3,788 | | | 13.6 | % | | | 3,015 | | | 14.2 | % |
A minus and below | | | 2,153 | | | 7.8 | % | | | 1,599 | | | 7.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 27,751 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 21,267 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,577 | | | 51.1 | % | | $ | 1,797 | | | 40.4 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1,554 | | | 30.8 | % | | | 1,442 | | | 32.4 | % |
A minus and below | | | 910 | | | 18.1 | % | | | 1,207 | | | 27.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 5,041 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,446 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 24,387 | | | 74.4 | % | | $ | 18,450 | | | 71.8 | % |
Alt-A | | | 5,342 | | | 16.3 | % | | | 4,457 | | | 17.3 | % |
A minus and below | | | 3,063 | | | 9.3 | % | | | 2,806 | | | 10.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,713 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 1,650 | | | 5.9 | % | | $ | 1,381 | | | 6.5 | % |
620-679 | | | 8,262 | | | 29.8 | % | | | 6,574 | | | 30.9 | % |
680-739 | | | 10,269 | | | 37.0 | % | | | 7,733 | | | 36.4 | % |
>=740 | | | 7,570 | | | 27.3 | % | | | 5,579 | | | 26.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 27,751 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 21,267 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 851 | | | 16.9 | % | | $ | 1,205 | | | 27.1 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,380 | | | 27.4 | % | | | 1,539 | | | 34.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,517 | | | 30.1 | % | | | 1,130 | | | 25.4 | % |
>=740 | | | 1,293 | | | 25.6 | % | | | 572 | | | 12.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 5,041 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,446 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 2,501 | | | 7.6 | % | | $ | 2,586 | | | 10.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 9,642 | | | 29.4 | % | | | 8,113 | | | 31.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 11,786 | | | 36.0 | % | | | 8,863 | | | 34.5 | % |
>=740 | | | 8,863 | | | 27.0 | % | | | 6,151 | | | 23.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,713 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Percentage of primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 31 | % | | | | | | 33 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 24 | % | | | | | | 19 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 11 | % | | | | | | 18 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 9 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
| | | | |
Pool risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,113 | | | 70.6 | % | | $ | 2,207 | | | 72.0 | % |
Alt-A | | | 292 | | | 9.7 | % | | | 301 | | | 9.8 | % |
A minus and below | | | 590 | | | 19.7 | % | | | 558 | | | 18.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,995 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 3,066 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 8
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit I
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 | | | March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2008 | | | % | | | 2007 | | % | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
95.01% and above | | $ | 7,926 | | | 24.2 | % | | $ | 4,795 | | 18.6 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 10,079 | | | 30.7 | % | | | 7,965 | | 31.0 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 11,102 | | | 33.9 | % | | | 9,157 | | 35.6 | % |
85.00% and below | | | 3,685 | | | 11.2 | % | | | 3,796 | | 14.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,713 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 8,408 | | | 25.6 | % | | $ | 10,851 | | 42.2 | % |
2005 | | | 4,805 | | | 14.6 | % | | | 6,137 | | 23.9 | % |
2006 | | | 5,728 | | | 17.5 | % | | | 6,815 | | 26.5 | % |
2007 | | | 11,300 | | | 34.5 | % | | | 1,910 | | 7.4 | % |
2008 | | | 2,551 | | | 7.8 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25,713 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 1,864 | | | 62.2 | % | | $ | 2,039 | | 66.5 | % |
2005 | | | 592 | | | 19.8 | % | | | 650 | | 21.2 | % |
2006 | | | 261 | | | 8.7 | % | | | 285 | | 9.3 | % |
2007 | | | 250 | | | 8.4 | % | | | 92 | | 3.0 | % |
2008 | | | 28 | | | 0.9 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Pool risk in Force | | $ | 2,995 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 3,066 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Seconds | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | 336 | | | | | | $ | 555 | | | |
2nd loss | | | 507 | | | | | | | 605 | | | |
NIMS | | | 522 | | | | | | | 783 | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 517 | | | | | | | 353 | | | |
Reinsurance | | | 125 | | | | | | | 61 | | | |
Credit default swaps | | | 8,872 | (1) | | | | | | 7,875 | | | |
Other | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic credit default swaps | | | 212 | | | | | | | 212 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk in force | | $ | 11,091 | | | | | | $ | 10,444 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis | | | 17.7:1 | | | | | | | 10.4:1 | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis excluding AAA-rated CDS | | | 14.1:1 | | | | | | | 8.4:1 | | | |
(1) | Due to foreign currency changes since we underwrote such risk, the current U.S. dollar-denominatedrisk has increased. |
Page 9
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit J
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in thousands) | | 2008 | | | 2007 | |
Direct claims paid | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 60,658 | | | $ | 33,125 | |
Alt-A | | | 35,732 | | | | 19,998 | |
A minus and below | | | 48,361 | | | | 29,080 | |
Seconds and other | | | 45,437 | | | | 13,621 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 190,188 | | | $ | 95,824 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Average claim paid | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 36.8 | | | $ | 28.1 | |
Alt-A | | | 49.6 | | | | 39.7 | |
A minus and below | | | 37.2 | | | | 29.6 | |
Seconds | | | 34.6 | | | | 28.8 | |
Total | | $ | 38.2 | | | $ | 30.6 | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 264.7 | % | | | 57.6 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (2) | | | 22.1 | % | | | 26.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | 286.8 | % | | | 84.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses by category | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 479,653 | | | $ | 200,262 | |
Alt-A | | | 598,706 | | | | 146,329 | |
A minus and below | | | 391,426 | | | | 228,066 | |
Pool insurance | | | 56,893 | | | | 34,599 | |
Seconds | | | 176,121 | | | | 38,347 | |
Other | | | 1,485 | | | | 900 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses, net | | | 1,704,284 | | | | 648,503 | |
Reinsurance recoverable | | | 36,885 | (1) | | | 28,188 | (1) |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,741,169 | | | $ | 676,691 | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses. |
(2) | Excludes merger expenses. |
Page 10
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit K
| | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 2008 | | | December 31 2007 | | | March 31 2007 | |
Default Statistics | | | | | | | | | |
Primary insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 582,261 | | | 565,563 | | | 504,941 | |
Number of loans in default | | 22,806 | | | 20,632 | | | 14,013 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 3.92 | % | | 3.65 | % | | 2.78 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 73,672 | | | 74,559 | | | 65,075 | |
Number of loans in default | | 10,014 | | | 7,980 | | | 4,513 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 13.59 | % | | 10.70 | % | | 6.94 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 64,193 | | | 63,853 | | | 53,379 | |
Number of loans in default | | 10,411 | | | 10,087 | | | 6,704 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 16.22 | % | | 15.80 | % | | 12.56 | % |
| | | |
Total Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 720,126 | | | 703,975 | | | 623,395 | |
Number of loans in default | | 43,231 | | | 38,699 | | | 25,230 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 6.00 | % | | 5.50 | % | | 4.05 | % |
| | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 72,264 | | | 64,789 | | | 59,194 | |
Number of loans in default | | 5,434 | | | 4,707 | | | 3,231 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 7.52 | % | | 7.27 | % | | 5.46 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 87,325 | | | 97,526 | | | 84,050 | |
Number of loans in default | | 12,056 | | | 8,783 | | | 3,922 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 13.81 | % | | 9.01 | % | | 4.67 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 26,342 | | | 28,747 | | | 34,429 | |
Number of loans in default | | 8,404 | | | 8,659 | | | 7,971 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 31.90 | % | | 30.12 | % | | 23.15 | % |
| | | |
Total Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 185,931 | | | 191,062 | | | 177,673 | |
Number of loans in default | | 25,894 | | | 22,149 | | | 15,124 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 13.93 | % | | 11.59 | % | | 8.51 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 654,525 | | | 630,352 | | | 564,135 | |
Number of loans in default | | 28,240 | | | 25,339 | | | 17,244 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 4.31 | % | | 4.02 | % | | 3.06 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 160,997 | | | 172,085 | | | 149,125 | |
Number of loans in default | | 22,070 | | | 16,763 | | | 8,435 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 13.71 | % | | 9.74 | % | | 5.66 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 90,535 | | | 92,600 | | | 87,808 | |
Number of loans in default | | 18,815 | | | 18,746 | | | 14,675 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 20.78 | % | | 20.24 | % | | 16.71 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 906,057 | | | 895,037 | | | 801,068 | |
Number of loans in default | | 69,125 | (1) | | 60,848 | (1) | | 40,354 | (1) |
Percentage of loans in default | | 7.63 | % | | 6.80 | % | | 5.04 | % |
| | | |
Pool insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
Number of loans in default | | 26,983 | (2) | | 26,526 | (2) | | 17,989 | (2) |
(1) | Includes 1,504, 2,595 and 1,541 defaults at March 31, 2008, December 31, 2007 and March 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
(2) | Includes 20,417, 20,193 and 13,036 defaults at March 31, 2008, December 31, 2007 and March 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
Page 11
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit L
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
| | 2008 | | | 2007 | |
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) (1) | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 200,477 | | | $ | 192,108 | |
Seconds | | | 3,481 | | | | 11,179 | |
International | | | 7,293 | | | | 3,124 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written - insurance | | | 211,251 | | | | 206,411 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) (1) | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 193,483 | | | $ | 167,155 | |
Seconds | | | 6,164 | | | | 9,172 | |
International | | | 4,618 | | | | 3,916 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | $ | 204,265 | | | $ | 180,243 | |
| | | | | | | | |
SMART HOME (In millions) | | | | | | | | |
Ceded Premiums Written | | $ | 3.2 | | | $ | 3.2 | |
Ceded Premiums Earned | | $ | 3.2 | | | $ | 2.9 | |
| | |
Captives | | | | | | | | |
Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) | | $ | 35.7 | | | $ | 28.1 | |
% of total premiums | | | 15.4 | % | | | 14.2 | % |
NIW subject to captives (In millions) | | $ | 3,986 | | | $ | 4,994 | |
% of primary NIW | | | 38.7 | % | | | 37.8 | % |
IIF included in captives (2) | | | 37.4 | % | | | 34.3 | % |
RIF included in captives (2) | | | 42.2 | % | | | 39.7 | % |
| | |
Persistency (twelve months ended March 31) | | | 77.5 | % | | | 69.5 | % |
| | |
| | March 31 2008 | | | March 31 2007 | |
SMART HOME | | | | | | | | |
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2) | | | 5.0 | % | | | 9.0 | % |
(1) | Premiums written and earned on credit derivatives for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, were $8.9 million and $11.5 million, respectively, compared to $15.9 million and $15.7 million, respectively, for the quarter ended March 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments. |
(2) | Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Page 12
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
ALT-A
Exhibit M
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2008 | | % | | | 2007 | | % | |
Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 1 | | 0.2 | % | | $ | 8 | | 0.1 | % |
620-659 | | | 9 | | 1.5 | % | | | 589 | | 8.1 | % |
660-679 | | | 31 | | 5.3 | % | | | 1,165 | | 15.9 | % |
680-739 | | | 301 | | 51.6 | % | | | 3,640 | | 49.8 | % |
>=740 | | | 242 | | 41.4 | % | | | 1,904 | | 26.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 584 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,306 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<=619 | | $ | 37 | | 0.7 | % | | $ | 22 | | 0.5 | % |
620-659 | | | 686 | | 12.8 | % | | | 708 | | 15.9 | % |
660-679 | | | 793 | | 14.8 | % | | | 723 | | 16.2 | % |
680-739 | | | 2,540 | | 47.6 | % | | | 2,019 | | 45.3 | % |
>=740 | | | 1,286 | | 24.1 | % | | | 985 | | 22.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,457 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | |
95.01% and above | | $ | 372 | | 6.9 | % | | $ | 150 | | 3.4 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 1,398 | | 26.2 | % | | | 1,225 | | 27.5 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 2,199 | | 41.2 | % | | | 1,916 | | 43.0 | % |
85.00% and below | | | 1,373 | | 25.7 | % | | | 1,166 | | 26.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,457 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 1,044 | | 19.5 | % | | $ | 1,401 | | 31.4 | % |
2005 | | | 790 | | 14.8 | % | | | 1,056 | | 23.7 | % |
2006 | | | 1,225 | | 22.9 | % | | | 1,478 | | 33.2 | % |
2007 | | | 2,146 | | 40.2 | % | | | 522 | | 11.7 | % |
2008 | | | 137 | | 2.6 | % | | | — | | — | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,457 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 13
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Services Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit N
| | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
(In thousands) | | 2008 | | 2007 | |
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information | | | | | | | |
| | |
C-BASS | | | | | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | $ | — | | $ | 451,395 | |
Net income (loss) for period | | | — | | | (6,804 | ) |
Dividends received | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | — | | $ | 444,591 | |
| | | | | | | |
Sherman | | | | | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | $ | 104,315 | | $ | 167,412 | |
Net income for period | | | 12,526 | | | 29,576 | |
Dividends received | | | — | | | 51,512 | |
Other comprehensive income (loss) | | | 88 | | | (1,778 | ) |
| | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | 116,929 | | $ | 143,698 | |
| | | | | | | |
Portfolio Information: | | | | | | | |
| | |
C-BASS | | | | | | | |
Servicing portfolio | | | N/A | | $ | 59,600,000 | |
Total assets | | | N/A | | | 6,867,894 | |
Servicing income | | | N/A | | | 43,126 | |
Net interest income | | | N/A | | | 78,852 | |
Total revenues | | | N/A | | | 38,981 | |
| | |
Sherman | | | | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 2,383,119 | | $ | 1,234,046 | |
Net revenues | | $ | 285,965 | | $ | 283,788 | |
Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.
Page 14
All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:
| • | | actual or perceived changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our mortgage insurance business to be worse than expected), changes in the liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; |
| • | | actual or perceived economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions (both domestic and international) where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; |
| • | | our ability to successfully obtain additional capital to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit and financial strength ratings; |
| • | | a decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and a deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.; |
| • | | a decrease in the volume of the municipal bonds, and other public finance and structured finance transactions that we insure, or a decrease in the volume of such transactions for which issuers or investors seek or demand financial guaranty insurance; |
| • | | the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance or the influence of large customers; |
| • | | reduction in the volume of reinsurance business available to us from one or more of our primary financial guaranty insurer customers due to adverse changes in their ability to generate new profitable direct financial guaranty insurance or their need for us to reinsure their risk; |
| • | | disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; |
| • | | the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; |
| • | | the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and 2008 and may result in further losses; |
| • | | reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or begin to decline; |
| • | | changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors; |
| • | | downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial strength ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, our credit rating and the financial strength ratings of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries that are currently under review for possible downgrade); |
| • | | heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major ratings agencies), from alternative products such as “80-10-10” loans or other forms of simultaneous second loan structures used by mortgage lenders, from investors using forms of credit enhancement other than mortgage insurance as a partial or complete substitution for private mortgage insurance and from mortgage lenders that demand increased participation in revenue sharing arrangements such as captive reinsurance arrangements; |
| • | | changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to retain our “Top Tier” eligibility requirement from both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae; |
| • | | failure to bring the amendment to our credit facility, dated April 30, 2008, effective by May 15, 2008, which would result in a reinstatement of the ratings covenant under our credit facility; |
| • | | heightened competition for financial guaranty business from other financial guaranty insurers, including those recently downgraded to ratings equal to or lower than our ratings, from other forms of credit enhancement such as letters of credit, guaranties and credit default swaps provided by foreign and domestic banks and other financial institutions and from alternative structures that may permit insurers to securitize assets more cost-effectively without the need for the types of credit enhancement we offer, or result in our having to reduce the premium we charge for our products; |
| • | | the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the possibility of private lawsuits or formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our |
| use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate; |
| • | | the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiency for our second-lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts; |
| • | | changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board; |
| • | | our ability to profitably grow our insurance businesses in international markets, which depends on a number of factors such as foreign governments’ monetary policies and regulatory requirements, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, and our ability to develop and market products appropriate to foreign markets; |
| • | | legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends we may receive from our subsidiaries; and |
| • | | vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments, including in particular, our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC. |
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.
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