of this business was recaptured, we estimate that Radian Asset would experience a reduction in written and earned premiums of approximately $440.7 million and $82.3 million, respectively, a reduction in the net present value of expected future installment premiums of $177.5 million and a reduction in incurred losses of approximately $48.8 million. Any recapture of business would correspondingly reduce the amount of capital required to be held in support of such obligations. • actual or perceived changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our mortgage insurance business to be worse than expected), changes in liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; • actual or perceived economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; • our ability to successfully obtain additional capital, if necessary, to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit ratings and the financial strength ratings of our subsidiaries; • our ability to satisfy the covenants contained in our credit agreement (including, but not limited to, financial covenants), which, if we are unable to satisfy, could lead to a default on the terms of that loan, upon which the lenders representing a majority of the debt under our credit agreement would have the right to terminate all commitments under the credit agreement and declare the outstanding debt due and payable; • risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; • a decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and a deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.; • the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or the influence of large customers; • disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; • the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; • the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) |