Exhibit 99.1
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Contact:
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For investors: | | Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486 |
| | Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz |
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For the media: | | Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061 |
| | Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz |
Radian Reports First Quarter Financial Results
PHILADELPHIA, May 5, 2009—Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2009, of $217.4 million, or $2.69 per diluted share. This compares to net income of $195.6 million, or $2.44 per diluted share, for the prior year quarter. Book value per share at March 31, 2009, was $22.12.
“Our net loss in the first quarter was primarily attributable to unrealized mark to market losses on derivatives and the continued increase in mortgage insurance defaults. Despite facing difficult operating conditions, we believe that our mortgage insurance franchise remains strong with sufficient capital to continue writing quality new business throughout 2009,” said S. A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “The private mortgage insurance industry continues to play a vital role in the recovery of the U.S. housing market. While we continue to see disruption and uncertainty in the marketplace, Radian is prudently managing through the present downturn and positioning for the future, while working diligently to support homeowners and provide liquidity to the mortgage marketplace.”
FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
— The unrealized loss on derivatives represented $284.4 million of the total pre-tax loss of $334.4 million.
— The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $322 million reflects the continued increase in the primary first lien default rate, which rose to 13.2% at the end of the first quarter.
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— First quarter mortgage insurance claims paid were below expectations at $152 million for first liens and $88 million for second liens. The Company anticipates an increase in claims paid for first liens throughout 2009 as new and existing defaults move to claim and certain foreclosure moratoriums expire. Second quarter MI claims paid are expected to be approximately $300 million and the Company is reducing its full year estimated range to $1.2 to $1.4 billion.
— As a result of reduced mortgage origination volume and the Company’s move to a more traditional high quality focus, total primary new mortgage insurance written during the first quarter was $5.6 billion, 99.8 percent of which was prime credit quality.
— Radian’s loss management initiatives remain a critical priority to its capital preservation.
— The GSE charter remains unchanged and Radian Guaranty retains its eligibility status with the GSEs through frequent and proactive collaboration and demonstration of its capital position.
— Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian Asset), the Company’s principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty Inc. (Radian Guaranty), the Company’s principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide our core mortgage insurance business with cash infusions over time. Radian Asset had $1 billion in statutory capital and total claims-paying resources of $2.8 billion as of March 31, 2009.
— Radian has a 29 percent ownership interest in Sherman Financial and received $6.4 million in dividends from Sherman during the first quarter.
CONFERENCE CALL
Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, May 5 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet athttp://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or atwww.radian.biz. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1096 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0337 for international callers, using passcode 997299 or by referencing Radian.
A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 997299.
About Radian
Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk management products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found atwww.radian.biz.
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Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)
For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics athttp://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.
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Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income Exhibit B: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets Exhibit C: Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2009 Exhibit D: Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2008 Exhibit E: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Exhibit F: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Exhibit G: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 New Insurance Written and Risk Written Exhibit H: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Insurance in Force and Risk in Force Exhibit I: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force Exhibit J: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Claims and Reserves Exhibit K: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Default Statistics Exhibit L: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency Exhibit M: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year Exhibit N: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Modified Pool Risk in Force Exhibit O: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 Alt-A Risk in Force Exhibit P: Financial Services Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009 |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit A
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
(In thousands, except per-share data) | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 156,756 | | | $ | 244,306 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 211,215 | | | $ | 241,921 | |
Net investment income | | | 56,283 | | | | 65,979 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (284,416 | ) | | | 707,809 | |
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | | | 24,246 | | | | (54,884 | ) |
Other income | | | 4,132 | | | | 3,614 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 11,460 | | | | 964,439 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 326,754 | | | | 582,711 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (48,184 | ) | | | 18,090 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 13,954 | | | | 23,906 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 51,602 | | | | 55,141 | |
Interest expense | | | 12,299 | | | | 12,493 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 356,425 | | | | 692,341 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | 10,552 | | | | 12,526 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (334,413 | ) | | | 284,624 | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (116,976 | ) | | | 88,986 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (217,437 | ) | | $ | 195,638 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Diluted net (loss) income per share (1) | | $ | (2.69 | ) | | $ | 2.44 | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands) | | | | | | | | |
| | |
Average common shares outstanding | | | 80,902 | | | | 79,930 | |
| | |
Increase in shares-common stock equivalents-diluted basis | | | — | | | | 110 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Weighted average shares outstanding | | | 80,902 | | | | 80,040 | |
For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit B
| | | | | | | | |
(In thousands, except per-share data) | | March 31 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | |
Assets: | | | | | | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 6,498,215 | | | $ | 6,060,601 | |
Investments in affiliates | | | 103,291 | | | | 99,712 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 222,269 | | | | 160,526 | |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | 13,475 | | | | 248,828 | |
Derivative assets | | | 169,993 | | | | 179,515 | |
Deferred income taxes, net | | | 492,663 | | | | 446,102 | |
Reinsurance recoverables | | | 537,359 | | | | 492,359 | |
Other assets | | | 666,345 | | | | 428,476 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Total assets | | $ | 8,703,610 | | | $ | 8,116,119 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Liabilities and stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | | | |
Unearned premiums | | $ | 1,152,552 | | | $ | 916,724 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,332,642 | | | | 3,224,542 | |
Reserve for premium deficiency | | | 38,677 | | | | 86,861 | |
Long-term debt and other borrowings | | | 857,324 | | | | 857,802 | |
Variable interest entity debt | | | 206,505 | | | | 160,035 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 741,638 | | | | 519,260 | |
Other liabilities | | | 573,366 | | | | 320,185 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Total liabilities | | | 6,902,704 | | | | 6,085,409 | |
| | | | | | | | |
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Common stock | | | 99 | | | | 98 | |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 464,705 | | | | 462,647 | |
Retained earnings | | | 1,511,719 | | | | 1,766,946 | |
Accumulated other comprehensive loss | | | (175,617 | ) | | | (198,981 | ) |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Total common stockholders’ equity | | | 1,800,906 | | | | 2,030,710 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | | $ | 8,703,610 | | | $ | 8,116,119 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Book value per share | | $ | 22.12 | | | $ | 25.06 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended March 31, 2009
Exhibit C
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 161,959 | | | $ | (5,203 | ) | | $ | — | | $ | 156,756 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 177,883 | | | $ | 33,332 | | | $ | — | | $ | 211,215 | |
Net investment income | | | 31,345 | | | | 24,938 | | | | — | | | 56,283 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (28,576 | ) | | | (255,840 | ) | | | — | | | (284,416 | ) |
Net gains on other financial instruments | | | 12,276 | | | | 11,970 | | | | — | | | 24,246 | |
Other income | | | 3,818 | | | | 153 | | | | 161 | | | 4,132 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 196,746 | | | | (185,447 | ) | | | 161 | | | 11,460 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 321,684 | | | | 5,070 | | | | — | | | 326,754 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (48,184 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | (48,184 | ) |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 5,739 | | | | 8,215 | | | | — | | | 13,954 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 35,694 | | | | 15,833 | | | | 75 | | | 51,602 | |
Interest expense | | | 5,694 | | | | 6,605 | | | | — | | | 12,299 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 320,627 | | | | 35,723 | | | | 75 | | | 356,425 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 10,552 | | | 10,552 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (123,881 | ) | | | (221,170 | ) | | | 10,638 | | | (334,413 | ) |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (35,084 | ) | | | (85,770 | ) | | | 3,878 | | | (116,976 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (88,797 | ) | | $ | (135,400 | ) | | $ | 6,760 | | $ | (217,437 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 4,141,601 | | | $ | 2,356,614 | | | $ | — | | $ | 6,498,215 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 26,391 | | | | 195,878 | | | | — | | | 222,269 | |
Total assets | | | 5,241,881 | | | | 3,344,269 | | | | 117,460 | | | 8,703,610 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 319,785 | | | | 832,767 | | | | — | | | 1,152,552 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,116,553 | | | | 216,089 | | | | — | | | 3,332,642 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 127,472 | | | | 614,166 | | | | — | | | 741,638 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended March 31, 2008
Exhibit D
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 211,251 | | | $ | 33,055 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 244,306 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 204,265 | | | $ | 37,656 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 241,921 | |
Net investment income | | | 38,845 | | | | 27,120 | | | | 14 | | | | 65,979 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 71,769 | | | | 636,040 | | | | — | | | | 707,809 | |
Net losses on other financial instruments | | | (36,733 | ) | | | (18,149 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (54,884 | ) |
Other income | | | 3,491 | | | | 121 | | | | 2 | | | | 3,614 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 281,637 | | | | 682,788 | | | | 14 | | | | 964,439 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 571,008 | | | | 11,703 | | | | — | | | | 582,711 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | 18,090 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 18,090 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 13,460 | | | | 10,446 | | | | — | | | | 23,906 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 34,170 | | | | 20,738 | | | | 233 | | | | 55,141 | |
Interest expense | | | 7,090 | | | | 5,154 | | | | 249 | | | | 12,493 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 643,818 | | | | 48,041 | | | | 482 | | | | 692,341 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 12,526 | | | | 12,526 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (362,181 | ) | | | 634,747 | | | | 12,058 | | | | 284,624 | |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (135,725 | ) | | | 219,219 | | | | 5,492 | | | | 88,986 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (226,456 | ) | | $ | 415,528 | | | $ | 6,566 | | | $ | 195,638 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 4,224,913 | | | $ | 2,516,072 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 6,740,985 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 62,860 | | | | 176,540 | | | | — | | | | 239,400 | |
Total assets | | | 5,001,689 | | | | 3,133,958 | | | | 118,378 | | | | 8,254,025 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 365,161 | | | | 709,428 | | | | — | | | | 1,074,589 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1,741,169 | | | | 160,959 | | | | — | | | | 1,902,128 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 353,559 | | | | 349,846 | | | | — | | | | 703,405 | |
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Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit E
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Net Premiums Earned: | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 14,452 | | | $ | 17,810 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 8,366 | | | | 9,870 | |
Structured direct | | | 1,777 | | | | 3,882 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 8,641 | | | | 5,599 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 96 | | | | 495 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | $ | 33,332 | | | $ | 37,656 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Refundings included in earned premium | | $ | 13,044 | | | $ | 11,657 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Claims paid: | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | 178 | | | $ | 586 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 14,909 | | | | 103,524 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 15,087 | | | $ | 104,110 | (2) |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis(1) | | | 12.5 | % | | | 22.8 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis(1) | | | 51.1 | % | | | 60.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | 63.6 | % | | | 83.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of SFAS No. 163 on January 1, 2009: | | | | | | | | |
Increase in unearned premiums | | $ | (292,816 | ) | | | | |
Increase in premiums receivable | | | 161,422 | | | | | |
Increase in deferred acquisition costs | | | 66,006 | | | | | |
Decrease in reserves for losses | | | 8,163 | | | | | |
Decrease in deferred taxes, net | | | 20,239 | | | | | |
Increase in premium taxes payable | | | (602 | ) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Decrease in equity | | $ | (37,588 | ) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Ratios include premiums earned on credit derivatives which are included in change in fair value of derivative instruments in the amount of $13.7 million in each of the three month periods ended March 31, 2009 and 2008. Loss ratio includes loss on credit derivatives included in change in fair value of derivative instruments in the amount of $0.8 million for the period ended March 31, 2009. |
(2) | Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007. |
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Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit F
| | | | | | | | | | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | March 31 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | | March 31 2008 |
Capital and surplus | | $ | 1,000,387 | | | $ | 968,197 | | $ | 1,097,250 |
Contingency reserve | | | 484,899 | | | | 515,023 | | | 464,655 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Qualified statutory capital | | | 1,485,286 | | | | 1,483,220 | | | 1,561,905 |
| | | |
Unearned premium reserve | | | 702,190 | | | | 729,274 | | | 882,627 |
Loss and loss expense reserve | | | 104,220 | | | | 82,340 | | | 58,207 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory policyholders’ reserves | | | 2,291,696 | | | | 2,294,834 | | | 2,502,739 |
| | | |
Present value of installment premiums | | | 385,514 | | | | 380,666 | | | 443,408 |
Soft capital facilities | | | 150,000 | | | | 150,000 | | | 150,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory claims paying resources | | $ | 2,827,210 | | | $ | 2,825,500 | | $ | 3,096,147 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Net debt service outstanding | | $ | 134,341,161 | | | $ | 138,430,925 | | $ | 165,931,040 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Capital leverage ratio (1) | | | 90 | | | | 93 | | | 106 |
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | | | 48 | | | | 49 | | | 54 |
| | | |
Net par outstanding by product: | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 18,455,372 | | | $ | 17,836,221 | | $ | 18,460,669 |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 33,494,951 | | | | 31,578,163 | | | 44,404,128 |
Structured direct | | | 45,699,943 | | | | 46,001,355 | | | 47,634,388 |
Structured reinsurance | | | 5,147,861 | | | | 5,310,004 | | | 6,284,246 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 102,798,127 | (3) | | $ | 100,725,743 | | $ | 116,783,431 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Reserve for losses and LAE | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty | | $ | 203,561 | | | $ | 219,671 | | $ | 133,710 |
Trade Credit | | | 12,528 | | | | 14,877 | | | 27,249 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 216,089 | | | $ | 234,548 | | $ | 160,959 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital |
(2) | Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources |
(3) | Included in public finance net par outstanding is $3.6 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bond holders. SFAS No. 163 requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk. |
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Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit G
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2009 | | | % | | | 2008 | | | % | |
Primary New Insurance Written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 5,587 | | | 99.6 | % | | $ | 9,284 | | | 90.2 | % |
Structured | | | 23 | | | 0.4 | % | | | 1,013 | | | 9.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 5,610 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 5,574 | | | 99.8 | % | | $ | 8,208 | | | 88.4 | % |
Alt-A | | | 9 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 583 | | | 6.3 | % |
A minus and below | | | 4 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 493 | | | 5.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 5,587 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 9,284 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 23 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,012 | | | 99.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | — | | | — | | | | 1 | | | 0.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 23 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,013 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 5,597 | | | 99.8 | % | | $ | 9,220 | | | 89.5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 9 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 584 | | | 5.7 | % |
A minus and below | | | 4 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 493 | | | 4.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 5,610 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 3,868 | | | 69.3 | % | | $ | 3,466 | | | 37.3 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,583 | | | 28.3 | % | | | 3,615 | | | 38.9 | % |
620-679 | | | 136 | | | 2.4 | % | | | 1,938 | | | 20.9 | % |
<=619 | | | — | | | — | | | | 265 | | | 2.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 5,587 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 9,284 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 17 | | | 73.9 | % | | $ | 634 | | | 62.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 6 | | | 26.1 | % | | | 369 | | | 36.4 | % |
620-679 | | | — | | | — | | | | 10 | | | 1.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 23 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,013 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 3,885 | | | 69.3 | % | | $ | 4,100 | | | 39.8 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,589 | | | 28.3 | % | | | 3,984 | | | 38.7 | % |
620-679 | | | 136 | | | 2.4 | % | | | 1,948 | | | 18.9 | % |
<=619 | | | — | | | — | | | | 265 | | | 2.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 5,610 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 10,297 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Percentage of primary new insurance written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 48 | % | | | | | | 40 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 0.1 | % | | | | | | 20 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 0.2 | % | | | | | | 1 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 0.4 | % | | | | | | 6 | % | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 1,193 | | | 99.7 | % | | $ | 2,316 | | | 89.7 | % |
Structured | | | 3 | | | 0.3 | % | | | 266 | | | 10.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 1,196 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,582 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 7
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit H
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 | | | March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2009 | | | % | | | 2008 | | | % | |
Primary insurance in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 122,656 | | | 78.8 | % | | $ | 110,020 | | | 74.9 | % |
Structured | | | 33,012 | | | 21.2 | % | | | 36,929 | | | 25.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 155,668 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 146,949 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Prime | | $ | 113,117 | | | 72.7 | % | | $ | 99,721 | | | 67.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 31,826 | | | 20.4 | % | | | 34,949 | | | 23.8 | % |
A minus and below | | | 10,725 | | | 6.9 | % | | | 12,279 | | | 8.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 155,668 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 146,949 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 30,537 | | | 87.3 | % | | $ | 27,751 | | | 84.6 | % |
Structured | | | 4,443 | | | 12.7 | % | | | 5,041 | | | 15.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,980 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 25,129 | | | 82.3 | % | | $ | 21,810 | | | 78.6 | % |
Alt-A | | | 3,475 | | | 11.4 | % | | | 3,788 | | | 13.6 | % |
A minus and below | | | 1,933 | | | 6.3 | % | | | 2,153 | | | 7.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 30,537 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 27,751 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,331 | | | 52.5 | % | | $ | 2,577 | | | 51.1 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1,378 | | | 31.0 | % | | | 1,554 | | | 30.8 | % |
A minus and below | | | 734 | | | 16.5 | % | | | 910 | | | 18.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 4,443 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,041 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 27,460 | | | 78.5 | % | | $ | 24,387 | | | 74.4 | % |
Alt-A | | | 4,853 | | | 13.9 | % | | | 5,342 | | | 16.3 | % |
A minus and below | | | 2,667 | | | 7.6 | % | | | 3,063 | | | 9.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,980 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 9,839 | | | 32.2 | % | | $ | 7,570 | | | 27.3 | % |
680-739 | | | 11,234 | | | 36.8 | % | | | 10,269 | | | 37.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 8,002 | | | 26.2 | % | | | 8,262 | | | 29.8 | % |
<=619 | | | 1,462 | | | 4.8 | % | | | 1,650 | | | 5.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 30,537 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 27,751 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 1,205 | | | 27.1 | % | | $ | 1,293 | | | 25.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,394 | | | 31.4 | % | | | 1,517 | | | 30.1 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,167 | | | 26.3 | % | | | 1,380 | | | 27.4 | % |
<=619 | | | 677 | | | 15.2 | % | | | 851 | | | 16.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 4,443 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,041 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 11,044 | | | 31.6 | % | | $ | 8,863 | | | 27.0 | % |
680-739 | | | 12,628 | | | 36.1 | % | | | 11,786 | | | 36.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 9,169 | | | 26.2 | % | | | 9,642 | | | 29.4 | % |
<=619 | | | 2,139 | | | 6.1 | % | | | 2,501 | | | 7.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,980 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 32,792 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Percentage of primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 31 | % | | | | | | 31 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 22 | % | | | | | | 24 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 8 | % | | | | | | 11 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 9 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
| | | | |
Pool risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,058 | | | 70.7 | % | | $ | 2,113 | | | 70.6 | % |
Alt-A | | | 289 | | | 9.9 | % | | | 292 | | | 9.7 | % |
A minus and below | | | 564 | | | 19.4 | % | | | 590 | | | 19.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,911 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,995 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 8
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit I
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 | | | March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2009 | | % | | | 2008 | | % | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.00% and below | | $ | 3,613 | | 10.3 | % | | $ | 3,685 | | 11.2 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 12,571 | | 35.9 | % | | | 11,102 | | 33.9 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 11,213 | | 32.1 | % | | | 10,079 | | 30.7 | % |
95.01% and above | | | 7,583 | | 21.7 | % | | | 7,926 | | 24.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 34,980 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 32,792 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 11,083 | | 31.7 | % | | $ | 13,213 | | 40.2 | % |
2006 | | | 5,015 | | 14.3 | % | | | 5,728 | | 17.5 | % |
2007 | | | 10,410 | | 29.8 | % | | | 11,300 | | 34.5 | % |
2008 | | | 7,298 | | 20.9 | % | | | 2,551 | | 7.8 | % |
2009 | | | 1,174 | | 3.3 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 34,980 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 32,792 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 2,367 | | 81.3 | % | | $ | 2,456 | | 82.0 | % |
2006 | | | 250 | | 8.6 | % | | | 261 | | 8.7 | % |
2007 | | | 235 | | 8.1 | % | | | 250 | | 8.4 | % |
2008 | | | 59 | | 2.0 | % | | | 28 | | 0.9 | % |
2009 | | | — | | — | | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Pool risk in Force | | $ | 2,911 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,995 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Other risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Second-lien | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | 244 | | | | | $ | 336 | | | |
2nd loss | | | 140 | | | | | | 507 | | | |
NIMS | | | 431 | | | | | | 522 | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 389 | | | | | | 517 | | | |
Reinsurance | | | 170 | | | | | | 125 | | | |
Credit default swaps | | | 3,072 | | | | | | 8,872 | | | |
Other | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic credit default swaps | | | 123 | | | | | | 212 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk in force | | $ | 4,569 | | | | | $ | 11,091 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only | | | 17.6:1 | | | | | | 11.4:1 | | | |
Page 9
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit J
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in thousands) | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Direct claims paid | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 69,459 | | | $ | 60,658 | |
Alt-A | | | 46,270 | | | | 35,732 | |
A minus and below | | | 36,730 | | | | 48,361 | |
Second-lien and other | | | 87,607 | (1) | | | 45,437 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 240,066 | | | $ | 190,188 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Average claim paid | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 41.9 | | | $ | 36.8 | |
Alt-A | | | 53.5 | | | | 49.6 | |
A minus and below | | | 38.1 | | | | 37.2 | |
Second-lien and other | | | 41.3 | (2) | | | 34.6 | |
Total | | $ | 43.4 | (2) | | $ | 38.2 | |
| | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 179.8 | % | | | 264.7 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 23.2 | % | | | 22.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | 203.0 | % | | | 286.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Reserve for losses by category | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 921,050 | | | $ | 479,653 | |
Alt-A | | | 951,932 | | | | 598,706 | |
A minus and below | | | 452,837 | | | | 391,426 | |
Pool insurance | | | 140,192 | | | | 56,893 | |
Second-lien | | | 111,985 | | | | 176,121 | |
Other | | | 1,780 | | | | 1,485 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses, net | | | 2,579,776 | | | | 1,704,284 | |
Reinsurance recoverable | | | 536,777 | (3) | | | 36,885 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 3,116,553 | | | $ | 1,741,169 | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Includes a $65 million payment in Q1 ‘09 related to the settlement of certain second-lien transactions, which were fully reserved for at December 31, 2008. |
(2) | Excludes $65 million payment noted in (1) above. |
(3) | Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($447 million) and Smart Home ($90 million). |
Page 10
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit K
| | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | | | March 31 2008 | |
Default Statistics | | | | | | | | | |
Primary insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 627,386 | | | 624,970 | | | 582,261 | |
Number of loans in default | | 50,217 | | | 44,575 | | | 22,806 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 8.00 | % | | 7.13 | % | | 3.92 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 66,952 | | | 68,948 | | | 73,672 | |
Number of loans in default | | 18,628 | | | 16,959 | | | 10,014 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 27.82 | % | | 24.60 | % | | 13.59 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 57,576 | | | 59,189 | | | 64,193 | |
Number of loans in default | | 15,999 | | | 15,768 | | | 10,411 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 27.79 | % | | 26.64 | % | | 16.22 | % |
| | | |
Total Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 751,914 | | | 753,107 | | | 720,126 | |
Number of loans in default | | 84,844 | | | 77,302 | | | 43,231 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 11.28 | % | | 10.26 | % | | 6.00 | % |
| | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 65,727 | | | 67,165 | | | 72,264 | |
Number of loans in default | | 7,331 | | | 6,692 | | | 5,434 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 11.15 | % | | 9.96 | % | | 7.52 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 78,901 | | | 80,491 | | | 87,325 | |
Number of loans in default | | 21,600 | | | 18,747 | | | 12,056 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 27.38 | % | | 23.29 | % | | 13.81 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 21,449 | | | 22,315 | | | 26,342 | |
Number of loans in default | | 7,542 | | | 7,812 | | | 8,404 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 35.16 | % | | 35.01 | % | | 31.90 | % |
| | | |
Total Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 166,077 | | | 169,971 | | | 185,931 | |
Number of loans in default | | 36,473 | | | 33,251 | | | 25,894 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 21.96 | % | | 19.56 | % | | 13.93 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 693,113 | | | 692,135 | | | 654,525 | |
Number of loans in default | | 57,548 | | | 51,267 | | | 28,240 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 8.30 | % | | 7.41 | % | | 4.31 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 145,853 | | | 149,439 | | | 160,997 | |
Number of loans in default | | 40,228 | | | 35,706 | | | 22,070 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 27.58 | % | | 23.89 | % | | 13.71 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 79,025 | | | 81,504 | | | 90,535 | |
Number of loans in default | | 23,541 | | | 23,580 | | | 18,815 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 29.79 | % | | 28.93 | % | | 20.78 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 917,991 | | | 923,078 | | | 906,057 | |
Number of loans in default | | 121,317 | | | 110,553 | | | 69,125 | |
Percentage of loans in default (1) | | 13.22 | % | | 11.98 | % | | 7.63 | % |
| | | |
Pool insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
Number of loans in default (2) | | 33,267 | | | 32,677 | | | 26,983 | |
(1) | Includes 627, 539 and 1,504 defaults at March 31, 2009, December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
(2) | Includes 20,454, 21,719 and 20,417 defaults at March 31, 2009, December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
Page 11
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit L
| | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
| | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 161,414 | | | $ | 200,477 | |
Second-lien | | | (86 | ) | | | 3,481 | |
International | | | 631 | | | | 7,293 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written - insurance | | $ | 161,959 | | | $ | 211,251 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 170,547 | | | $ | 193,483 | |
Second-lien | | | 1,236 | | | | 6,164 | |
International | | | 6,100 | | | | 4,618 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | $ | 177,883 | | | $ | 204,265 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | |
SMART HOME (In millions) | | | | | | | | |
Ceded Premiums Written | | $ | 2.7 | | | $ | 3.2 | |
Ceded Premiums Earned | | $ | 2.7 | | | $ | 3.2 | |
| | |
1st Lien Captives | | | | | | | | |
Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) | | $ | 34.5 | | | $ | 35.7 | |
% of total premiums | | | 16.6 | % | | | 15.4 | % |
NIW subject to captives (In millions) | | $ | 1,041 | | | $ | 3,986 | |
% of primary NIW | | | 18.6 | % | | | 38.7 | % |
IIF included in captives (1) | | | 35.7 | % | | | 37.4 | % |
RIF included in captives (1) | | | 43.4 | % | | | 42.2 | % |
| | |
Persistency (twelve months ended March 31) | | | 87.0 | % | | | 77.5 | % |
| | |
| | March 31 2009 | | | March 31 2008 | |
SMART HOME | | | | | | | | |
| | |
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (1) | | | 3.6 | % | | | 5.0 | % |
(1) | Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Page 12
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit M
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | | | | | March 31 2009 | | December 31 2008 (5) |
Book Year (2): | | Original Book RIF | | Progression to Attachment Point | | Gross Current RIF | | Ceded Current RIF(3) | | Net Current RIF | | Ever-to- Date Incurred Losses | | Reinsurance Benefit (4) | | Gross Current RIF | | Ceded Current RIF(3) | | Net Current RIF | | Ever-to- Date Incurred Losses | | Reinsurance Benefit (4) |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 837 | | $ | 454 | | $ | 383 | | $ | 183 | | | | | $ | 1,120 | | $ | 558 | | $ | 562 | | $ | 239 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 970 | | | 395 | | | 575 | | | 154 | | | | | | 942 | | | 349 | | | 593 | | | 142 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 1,117 | | | 388 | | | 729 | | | 162 | | | | | | 1,084 | | | 397 | | | 687 | | | 160 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | Attached | | | 1,327 | | | 239 | | | 1,088 | | | 197 | | $ | 79 | | | 1,355 | | | 237 | | | 1,118 | | | 184 | | $ | 75 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pre-2006 Total | | $ | 25,849 | | | | $ | 4,251 | | $ | 1,476 | | $ | 2,775 | | $ | 696 | | $ | 79 | | $ | 4,501 | | $ | 1,541 | | $ | 2,960 | | $ | 725 | | $ | 75 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 10 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 9 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | 32 | | $ | 2 | | $ | 30 | | $ | 1 | | | |
2006 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 26 | | | 2 | | | 24 | | | 1 | | | | | | 62 | | | 4 | | | 58 | | | 3 | | | |
2006 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 57 | | | 4 | | | 53 | | | 4 | | | | | | 310 | | | 42 | | | 268 | | | 18 | | | |
2006 | | | | | Attached | | | 2,296 | | | 312 | | | 1,984 | | | 326 | | $ | 167 | | | 2,074 | | | 270 | | | 1,804 | | | 290 | | $ | 161 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 Total | | $ | 3,527 | | | | $ | 2,389 | | $ | 319 | | $ | 2,070 | | $ | 331 | | $ | 167 | | $ | 2,478 | | $ | 318 | | $ | 2,160 | | $ | 312 | | $ | 161 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 20 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 19 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | 31 | | $ | 2 | | $ | 29 | | $ | — | | | |
2007 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 11 | | | 1 | | | 10 | | | — | | | | | | 225 | | | 12 | | | 213 | | | 8 | | | |
2007 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 267 | | | 18 | | | 249 | | | 14 | | | | | | 71 | | | 7 | | | 64 | | | 3 | | | |
2007 | | | | | Attached | | | 4,227 | | | 454 | | | 3,773 | | | 403 | | $ | 180 | | | 4,329 | | | 454 | | | 3,875 | | | 350 | | $ | 147 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 Total | | $ | 5,241 | | | | $ | 4,525 | | $ | 474 | | $ | 4,051 | | $ | 417 | | $ | 180 | | $ | 4,656 | | $ | 475 | | $ | 4,181 | | $ | 361 | | $ | 147 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 1,855 | | $ | 167 | | $ | 1,688 | | $ | 31 | | | | | $ | 2,167 | | $ | 197 | | $ | 1,970 | | $ | 25 | | | |
2008 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 322 | | | 36 | | | 286 | | | 8 | | | | | | 42 | | | 4 | | | 38 | | | 1 | | | |
2008 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 42 | | | 4 | | | 38 | | | 2 | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2008 | | | | | Attached | | | 186 | | | 15 | | | 171 | | | 19 | | $ | 12 | | | 190 | | | 15 | | | 175 | | | 16 | | $ | 9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 Total | | $ | 2,564 | | | | $ | 2,405 | | $ | 222 | | $ | 2,183 | | $ | 60 | | $ | 12 | | $ | 2,399 | | $ | 216 | | $ | 2,183 | | $ | 42 | | $ | 9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2009 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 159 | | $ | 7 | | $ | 152 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | 50-75% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | Attached | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | $ | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | $ | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2009 Total | | $ | 160 | | | | $ | 159 | | $ | 7 | | $ | 152 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 50-75% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | Attached | | | 113 | | | 36 | | | 77 | | | 29 | | $ | 13 | | | 116 | | | 37 | | | 79 | | | 27 | | $ | 12 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Quota Share Total | | $ | 313 | | | | $ | 113 | | $ | 36 | | $ | 77 | | $ | 29 | | $ | 13 | | $ | 116 | | $ | 37 | | $ | 79 | | $ | 27 | | $ | 12 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Captive (Including Quota Share) | | $ | 37,654 | | | | $ | 13,842 | | $ | 2,534 | | $ | 11,308 | | $ | 1,533 | | $ | 451 | | $ | 14,150 | | $ | 2,587 | | $ | 11,563 | | $ | 1,467 | | $ | 404 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 115 | | $ | 49 | | $ | 66 | | $ | 29 | | | | | $ | 117 | | $ | 51 | | $ | 66 | | $ | 27 | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 50-75% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | Attached | | | 1,146 | | | 516 | | | 630 | | | 361 | | $ | 90 | | | 1,188 | | | 521 | | | 667 | | | 346 | | $ | 91 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total SmartHome | | $ | 3,900 | | | | $ | 1,261 | | $ | 565 | | $ | 696 | | $ | 390 | | $ | 90 | | $ | 1,305 | | $ | 572 | | $ | 733 | | $ | 373 | | $ | 91 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Data presented in aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment and exit points vary by individual contract. Attachment is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves. |
(2) | Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions. |
(3) | Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms. |
(4) | Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust. |
(5) | Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented. |
Page 13
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit N
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March31 | | | March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2009 | | % | | | 2008 | | % | |
Modified Pool Risk in Force | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 84 | | 53.5 | % | | $ | 90 | | 57.0 | % |
2006 | | | 47 | | 29.9 | % | | | 44 | | 27.8 | % |
2007 | | | 22 | | 14.0 | % | | | 23 | | 14.6 | % |
2008 | | | 4 | | 2.6 | % | | | 1 | | 0.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 157 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 158 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 194 | | 29.3 | % | | $ | 212 | | 31.0 | % |
2006 | | | 161 | | 24.3 | % | | | 165 | | 24.1 | % |
2007 | | | 304 | | 45.8 | % | | | 304 | | 44.5 | % |
2008 | | | 4 | | 0.6 | % | | | 3 | | 0.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 663 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 684 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 14 | | 58.3 | % | | $ | 16 | | 61.6 | % |
2006 | | | 3 | | 12.5 | % | | | 3 | | 11.5 | % |
2007 | | | 7 | | 29.2 | % | | | 7 | | 26.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 24 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 26 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 292 | | 34.6 | % | | $ | 318 | | 36.6 | % |
2006 | | | 211 | | 25.0 | % | | | 212 | | 24.4 | % |
2007 | | | 333 | | 39.5 | % | | | 334 | | 38.5 | % |
2008 | | | 8 | | 0.9 | % | | | 4 | | 0.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Modified Pool Risk in Force | | $ | 844 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 868 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 14
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
ALT-A
Exhibit O
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 | |
($ in millions) | | 2009 | | % | | | 2008 | | % | |
Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 1,192 | | 24.5 | % | | $ | 1,286 | | 24.1 | % |
680-739 | | | 2,335 | | 48.1 | % | | | 2,540 | | 47.6 | % |
660-679 | | | 712 | | 14.7 | % | | | 793 | | 14.8 | % |
620-659 | | | 582 | | 12.0 | % | | | 686 | | 12.8 | % |
<=619 | | | 32 | | 0.7 | % | | | 37 | | 0.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,853 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.00% and below | | $ | 1,249 | | 25.7 | % | | $ | 1,373 | | 25.7 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 2,015 | | 41.5 | % | | | 2,199 | | 41.2 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 1,256 | | 25.9 | % | | | 1,398 | | 26.2 | % |
95.01% and above | | | 333 | | 6.9 | % | | | 372 | | 6.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,853 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 1,532 | | 31.6 | % | | $ | 1,834 | | 34.3 | % |
2006 | | | 1,076 | | 22.2 | % | | | 1,225 | | 22.9 | % |
2007 | | | 1,997 | | 41.1 | % | | | 2,146 | | 40.2 | % |
2008 | | | 246 | | 5.1 | % | | | 137 | | 2.6 | % |
2009 | | | 2 | | — | | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,853 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,342 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 15
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Services Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009
Exhibit P
| | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended March 31 |
(In thousands) | | 2009 | | | 2008 |
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information | | | | | | | |
| | |
Sherman | | | | | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | $ | 99,656 | | | $ | 104,315 |
Net income for period | | | 10,552 | | | | 12,526 |
Dividends received | | | 6,441 | | | | — |
Other comprehensive (loss) income | | | (531 | ) | | | 88 |
| | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | 103,236 | | | $ | 116,929 |
| | | | | | | |
| | |
Portfolio Information: | | | | | | | |
| | |
Sherman | | | | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 2,149,767 | | | $ | 2,383,119 |
Net revenues | | $ | 348,034 | | | $ | 391,968 |
Page 16
Forward Looking Statement
All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:
| • | | changes in general financial and political conditions, such as a deepening of the existing national economic recession, further decreases in housing demand, mortgage originations or housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our businesses to be worse than expected), a further reduction in the liquidity in the capital markets and further contraction of credit markets, further increases in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; |
| • | | Further economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; |
| • | | our ability to successfully execute upon our internally sourced capital plan (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit ratings and the financial strength ratings of Radian Guaranty Inc., our primary mortgage insurance subsidiary, from further downgrades; |
| • | | a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the on-going deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.; |
| • | | our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of on-going losses in this business; |
| • | | the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers; |
| • | | disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; |
| • | | the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; |
| • | | the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses and are expected to result in further losses; |
| • | | reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or continue to decline; |
| • | | changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors; |
| • | | further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.); |
| • | | heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies); |
| • | | changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae; |
| • | | the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted, including without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate; |
| • | | the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiencies for our first- and second-lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts; |
| • | | the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio; |
| • | | volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiencies in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis; |
| • | | changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board; |
| • | | legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through tax and expense sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and |
| • | | the performance of our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively impacted if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding in the current credit environment. |
We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this news release. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I of Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.
SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.
###
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