Exhibit 99.1
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | News Release |
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| | Contact: | | |
| | Emily Riley – | | phone: 215 231.1035 |
| | | | email: emily.riley@radian.biz |
Radian Reports Third Quarter Financial Results
- Lower than expected claims paid; reduced 2009 claims guidance -
- Risk-to-capital ratio of 16.1:1 -
PHILADELPHIA, November 4, 2009—Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, of $70.5 million, or $0.86 per diluted share. This compares to net income of $36.7 million, or $0.46 per diluted share, for the prior-year quarter. Book value per share at September 30, 2009, was $25.91.
“There were several positive trends in the quarter, despite the economic challenges our industry continues to face. We are encouraged by Radian’s lower-than-expected claims activity again this quarter, and the consistently high-quality, lower-risk mortgage insurance business we added to our book,” said Chief Executive Officer S. A. Ibrahim.
Ibrahim added, “Our risk to capital ratio increased slightly from the second quarter to 16.1 to 1, which we believe will allow Radian to comfortably write new, high-quality mortgage insurance business into 2010. We are actively working on strategies to continue writing new business well into the future.”
THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
| • | | Radian Guaranty Inc.’s risk-to-capital ratio was 16.1:1 at September 30, 2009, compared to a ratio of 15.9:1 at June 30, 2009. The company expects to have sufficient capital to write high-quality mortgage insurance business into 2010. |
| • | | The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $376.5 million reflects higher delinquency counts and the continued aging of delinquencies. Radian expects delinquencies to continue to rise during the fourth quarter. |
| • | | Mortgage insurance paid claims were $243.2 million, which again were lower than the company’s forecast, and consisted of $210.1 million of first liens and $33.1 million of second liens. Net claims paid reported of $135.5 million is net of proceeds received from captive terminations of $107.7 million. In the fourth quarter, total first- and |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | second-lien claims paid are expected to be approximately $290 million. For the full-year 2009, Radian has reduced its claims-paid expectations from the $1.1 billion range, to a current estimate of $940 million, which includes $87 million of second-lien termination payments. |
| | • New mortgage insurance written (NIW) of $3.4 billion in the quarter continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics, including 99.9 percent prime credit quality and 74.6 percent with FICO scores of 740 or above. Market share for the quarter was consistent with levels during the second half of 2008 and the first half of 2009. Separately, approximately $300 million of insurance in the quarter is included in the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP); these loans are treated as a modification of existing coverage, therefore HARP volume is not included in Radian’s NIW total. • The company sold a non-core subsidiary at its approximate book value, and received $19 million in cash for the sale. Radian also repurchased nearly $58 million of its 2011 debt at an average price of approximately $0.79 on the dollar, further contributing to its liquidity position. Radian had $380 million in cash immediately available at September 30, 2009. • Radian Asset Assurance Inc., the company’s principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty, the company’s mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty with cash infusions over time. • As of September 30, 2009, Radian Asset had approximately $935 million in statutory surplus with an additional $1.6 billion in total claims-paying resources. |
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| | RECENT EVENTS |
| | • The company fully satisfied its 2009 tax obligation to Radian Guaranty through the transfer of its equity interest in Sherman Financial Group LLC to Radian Guaranty. As previously announced, this obligation of approximately $98 million was required under Radian Group’s tax-sharing agreement with its subsidiaries. • Radian Asset has experienced continued deterioration in its Trust Preferred Securities (TruPs) CDO portfolio, including the default of one TruPs CDO that is expected to require a statutory loss reserve in the fourth quarter. • Radian Asset received approval to release approximately $143 million in contingency reserves in its financial guaranty portfolio, which will also strengthen Radian |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | Guaranty’s statutory capital position. The reserve release was based on a reduction in the company’s net par outstanding, resulting from the maturing of exposures and other terminations of coverage. |
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| | CONFERENCE CALL |
| | Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Wednesday, November 4, 2009, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet athttp://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or atwww.radian.biz. The call may be accessed by dialing 877-777-1967 inside the U.S., or 612-332-0335 for international callers, using passcode 119984 or by referencing Radian. A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 119984. In addition to the information provided in the company’s earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian’s Web site under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking onhttp://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-earnings. |
| | About Radian Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk mitigation products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found atwww.radian.biz. |
| | Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited) For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics athttp://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx. |
| | Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income Exhibit B: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets Exhibit C: Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 Exhibit D: Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2008 Exhibit E: Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 Exhibit F: Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Exhibit G: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | | | |
| | | For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 |
| Exhibit H: | | Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 |
| Exhibit I: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 New Insurance Written and Risk Written |
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| | Exhibit J: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Insurance in Force and Risk in Force |
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| | Exhibit K: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force |
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| | Exhibit L: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Claims and Reserves |
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| | Exhibit M: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Default Statistics |
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| | Exhibit N: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency |
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| | Exhibit O: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year |
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| | Exhibit P: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Modified Pool Risk in Force |
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| | Exhibit Q: | | Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 Alt-A Risk in Force |
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| | Exhibit R: | | Financial Services Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009 |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit A
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(In thousands, except per-share data) | | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
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Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | (38,060 | ) (1) | | $ | 202,451 | | | $ | 280,597 | (1) | | $ | 669,402 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 209,487 | | | $ | 249,718 | | | $ | 614,331 | | | $ | 740,776 | |
Net investment income | | | 54,032 | | | | 65,215 | | | | 163,566 | | | | 196,322 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (30,857 | ) | | | 164,757 | | | | (42,955 | ) | | | 928,792 | |
Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments | | | 96,508 | | | | (48,602 | ) | | | 175,962 | | | | (74,642 | ) |
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses | | | (3 | ) | | | (15,135 | ) | | | (873 | ) | | | (52,230 | ) |
Losses recognized in other comprehensive loss | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | | | (3 | ) | | | (15,135 | ) | | | (873 | ) | | | (52,230 | ) |
Other income | | | 2,467 | | | | 2,756 | | | | 10,487 | | | | 9,591 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 331,634 | | | | 418,709 | | | | 920,518 | | | | 1,748,609 | |
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Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 404,904 | | | | 544,915 | | | | 864,408 | | | | 1,586,505 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (31,569 | ) | | | (252,170 | ) (2) | | | (77,569 | ) | | | 135,727 | (2) |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 14,193 | | | | 20,770 | | | | 54,114 | | | | 120,628 | (3) |
Other operating expenses | | | 54,034 | | | | 80,781 | | | | 161,271 | | | | 199,771 | |
Interest expense | | | 11,296 | | | | 13,852 | | | | 35,890 | | | | 40,177 | |
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Total expenses | | | 452,858 | | | | 408,148 | | | | 1,038,114 | | | | 2,082,808 | |
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Equity in net income of affiliates | | | 7,946 | | | | 15,798 | | | | 23,608 | | | | 44,028 | |
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Pretax (loss) income | | | (113,278 | ) | | | 26,359 | | | | (93,988 | ) | | | (290,171 | ) |
Income tax benefit | | | (42,828 | ) | | | (10,340 | ) | | | (37,976 | ) | | | (129,984 | ) |
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Net (loss) income | | $ | (70,450 | ) | | $ | 36,699 | | | $ | (56,012 | ) | | $ | (160,187 | ) |
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Diluted net (loss) income per share (4) | | $ | (0.86 | ) | | $ | 0.46 | | | $ | (0.69 | ) | | $ | (2.01 | ) |
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(1) Includes the reversal of $185.6 million of premiums written related to the Ambac commutation in our Financial Guaranty segment. (2) Includes $(271.8) million for first-lien and $19.6 million for second-lien in the third quarter of 2008, and $150.1 million for first-lien and $(14.4) million for second-lien for the nine months of 2008. (3) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization in the nine months ended September 30, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008. | |
(4) Weighted average shares outstanding (In thousands) | |
| | | | |
Average common shares outstanding | | | 81,749 | | | | 79,960 | | | | 81,761 | | | | 79,603 | |
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Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis | | | — | | | | 511 | | | | — | �� | | | — | |
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Weighted average shares outstanding | | | 81,749 | | | | 80,471 | | | | 81,761 | | | | 79,603 | |
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For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit B
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(In thousands, except per-share data) | | September 30 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | | | September 30 2008 | |
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Assets: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 6,466,527 | | | $ | 6,060,601 | | | $ | 6,330,214 | |
Investments in affiliates | | | 112,034 | | | | 99,712 | | | | 87,256 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 158,813 | | | | 160,526 | | | | 178,581 | |
Prepaid federal income taxes | | | — | | | | 248,828 | | | | 248,828 | |
Derivative assets | | | 153,136 | | | | 179,515 | | | | 171,116 | |
Deferred income taxes, net | | | 351,575 | | | | 446,102 | | | | 268,808 | |
Reinsurance recoverables | | | 597,067 | | | | 492,359 | | | | 310,984 | |
Other assets | | | 525,260 | | | | 428,476 | | | | 450,449 | |
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| | | |
Total assets | | $ | 8,364,412 | | | $ | 8,116,119 | | | $ | 8,046,236 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Liabilities and stockholders' equity: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Unearned premiums | | $ | 872,375 | | | $ | 916,724 | | | $ | 1,000,725 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,512,999 | | | | 3,224,542 | | | | 2,680,381 | |
Reserve for premium deficiency | | | 9,291 | | | | 86,861 | | | | 331,373 | |
Long-term debt and other borrowings | | | 698,703 | | | | 857,802 | | | | 908,282 | |
Variable interest entity debt | | | 328,986 | | | | 160,035 | | | | 127,624 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 394,386 | | | | 519,260 | | | | 343,296 | |
Other liabilities | | | 406,802 | | | | 320,185 | | | | 322,229 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Total liabilities | | | 6,223,542 | | | | 6,085,409 | | | | 5,713,910 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Common stock | | | 100 | | | | 98 | | | | 98 | |
Additional paid-in capital | | | 477,503 | | | | 462,647 | | | | 453,836 | |
Retained earnings | | | 1,694,219 | | | | 1,766,946 | | | | 2,017,542 | |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | (30,952 | ) | | | (198,981 | ) | | | (139,150 | ) |
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| | | |
Total common stockholders' equity | | | 2,140,870 | | | | 2,030,710 | | | | 2,332,326 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | | $ | 8,364,412 | | | $ | 8,116,119 | | | $ | 8,046,236 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Book value per share | | $ | 25.91 | | | $ | 25.06 | | | $ | 28.90 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended September 30, 2009
Exhibit C
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 149,000 | | | $ | (187,060 | ) | | $ | — | | | $ | (38,060 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 186,859 | | | $ | 22,628 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 209,487 | |
Net investment income | | | 33,822 | | | | 20,209 | | | | 1 | | | | 54,032 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 6,678 | | | | (37,535 | ) | | | — | | | | (30,857 | ) |
Net gains on other financial instruments | | | 38,583 | | | | 57,925 | | | | — | | | | 96,508 | |
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | | | (3 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (3 | ) |
Other income | | | 2,299 | | | | 97 | | | | 71 | | | | 2,467 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 268,238 | | | | 63,324 | | | | 72 | | | | 331,634 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 376,488 | | | | 28,416 | | | | — | | | | 404,904 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (31,569 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (31,569 | ) |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 8,672 | | | | 5,521 | | | | — | | | | 14,193 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 39,440 | | | | 18,877 | | | | (4,283 | ) | | | 54,034 | |
Interest expense | | | 3,739 | | | | 7,557 | | | | — | | | | 11,296 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 396,770 | | | | 60,371 | | | | (4,283 | ) | | | 452,858 | |
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Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 7,946 | | | | 7,946 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Pretax (loss) income | | | (128,532 | ) | | | 2,953 | | | | 12,301 | | | | (113,278 | ) |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (45,912 | ) | | | (1,245 | ) | | | 4,329 | | | | (42,828 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Net (loss) income | | $ | (82,620 | ) | | $ | 4,198 | | | $ | 7,972 | | | $ | (70,450 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 4,093,265 | | | $ | 2,373,262 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 6,466,527 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 30,528 | | | | 128,285 | | | | — | | | | 158,813 | |
Total assets | | | 5,231,755 | | | | 3,015,532 | | | | 117,125 | | | | 8,364,412 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 266,122 | | | | 606,253 | | | | — | | | | 872,375 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 3,387,740 | | | | 125,259 | | | | — | | | | 3,512,999 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 17,018 | | | | 377,368 | | | | — | | | | 394,386 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Quarter Ended September 30, 2008
Exhibit D
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 188,583 | | | $ | 13,868 | | | $ | — | | $ | 202,451 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 196,207 | | | $ | 53,511 | | | $ | — | | $ | 249,718 | |
Net investment income | | | 38,017 | | | | 27,198 | | | | — | | | 65,215 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 8,606 | | | | 156,151 | | | | — | | | 164,757 | |
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments | | | (36,579 | ) | | | (12,106 | ) | | | 83 | | | (48,602 | ) |
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | | | (3,346 | ) | | | (11,789 | ) | | | — | | | (15,135 | ) |
Other income | | | 2,561 | | | | 58 | | | | 137 | | | 2,756 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 205,466 | | | | 213,023 | | | | 220 | | | 418,709 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 519,257 | | | | 25,658 | | | | — | | | 544,915 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (252,170 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | (252,170 | ) |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 5,327 | | | | 15,443 | | | | — | | | 20,770 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 43,771 | | | | 36,885 | | | | 125 | | | 80,781 | |
Interest expense | | | 6,718 | | | | 7,134 | | | | — | | | 13,852 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 322,903 | | | | 85,120 | | | | 125 | | | 408,148 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 15,798 | | | 15,798 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Pretax (loss) income | | | (117,437 | ) | | | 127,903 | | | | 15,893 | | | 26,359 | |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (70,473 | ) | | | 53,550 | | | | 6,583 | | | (10,340 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Net (loss) income | | $ | (46,964 | ) | | $ | 74,353 | | | $ | 9,310 | | $ | 36,699 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Cash and investments | | $ | 3,899,815 | | | $ | 2,430,399 | | | $ | — | | $ | 6,330,214 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 17,997 | | | | 160,584 | | | | — | | | 178,581 | |
Total assets | | | 4,928,234 | | | | 2,934,032 | | | | 183,970 | | | 8,046,236 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 351,200 | | | | 649,525 | | | | — | | | 1,000,725 | |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 2,496,412 | | | | 183,969 | | | | — | | | 2,680,381 | |
Derivative liabilities | | | 220,363 | | | | 122,933 | | | | — | | | 343,296 | |
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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009
Exhibit E
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(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 465,878 | | | $ | (185,281 | ) | | $ | — | | | $ | 280,597 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 534,789 | | | $ | 79,542 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 614,331 | |
Net investment income | | | 97,465 | | | | 66,098 | | | | 3 | | | | 163,566 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | (28,455 | ) | | | (14,500 | ) | | | — | | | | (42,955 | ) |
Net gains on other financial instruments | | | 64,250 | | | | 111,712 | | | | — | | | | 175,962 | |
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | | | (850 | ) | | | (23 | ) | | | — | | | | (873 | ) |
Other income | | | 9,865 | | | | 316 | | | | 306 | | | | 10,487 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 677,064 | | | | 243,145 | | | | 309 | | | | 920,518 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 840,974 | | | | 23,434 | | | | — | | | | 864,408 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | (77,569 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (77,569 | ) |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 22,332 | | | | 31,782 | | | | — | | | | 54,114 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 110,724 | | | | 54,619 | | | | (4,072 | ) | | | 161,271 | |
Interest expense | | | 12,052 | | | | 23,838 | | | | — | | | | 35,890 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 908,513 | | | | 133,673 | | | | (4,072 | ) | | | 1,038,114 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 23,608 | | | | 23,608 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (231,449 | ) | | | 109,472 | | | | 27,989 | | | | (93,988 | ) |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (73,048 | ) | | | 25,004 | | | | 10,068 | | | | (37,976 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (158,401 | ) | | $ | 84,468 | | | $ | 17,921 | | | $ | (56,012 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 9
Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Segment Information
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
Exhibit F
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Mortgage Insurance | | | Financial Guaranty | | | Financial Services | | Total | |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net premiums written - insurance | | $ | 598,864 | | | $ | 70,538 | | | $ | — | | $ | 669,402 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net premiums earned - insurance | | $ | 605,568 | | | $ | 135,208 | | | $ | — | | $ | 740,776 | |
Net investment income | | | 115,803 | | | | 80,505 | | | | 14 | | | 196,322 | |
Change in fair value of derivative instruments | | | 105,548 | | | | 823,244 | | | | — | | | 928,792 | |
Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments | | | (47,983 | ) | | | (26,779 | ) | | | 120 | | | (74,642 | ) |
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings | | | (18,231 | ) | | | (33,999 | ) | | | — | | | (52,230 | ) |
Other income | | | 9,051 | | | | 237 | | | | 303 | | | 9,591 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 769,756 | | | | 978,416 | | | | 437 | | | 1,748,609 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Provision for losses | | | 1,539,561 | | | | 46,944 | | | | — | | | 1,586,505 | |
Provision for premium deficiency | | | 135,727 | | | | — | | | | — | | | 135,727 | |
Policy acquisition costs | | | 82,473 | | | | 38,155 | | | | — | | | 120,628 | |
Other operating expenses | | | 126,644 | | | | 72,642 | | | | 485 | | | 199,771 | |
Interest expense | | | 21,140 | | | | 18,788 | | | | 249 | | | 40,177 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total expenses | | | 1,905,545 | | | | 176,529 | | | | 734 | | | 2,082,808 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Equity in net income of affiliates | | | — | | | | — | | | | 44,028 | | | 44,028 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Pretax (loss) income | | | (1,135,789 | ) | | | 801,887 | | | | 43,731 | | | (290,171 | ) |
| | | | |
Income tax (benefit) provision | | | (428,186 | ) | | | 279,537 | | | | 18,665 | | | (129,984 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net (loss) income | | $ | (707,603 | ) | | $ | 522,350 | | | $ | 25,066 | | $ | (160,187 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 10
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit G
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Net Premiums Earned: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 9,363 | | | $ | 13,380 | | | $ | 35,750 | | | $ | 43,194 | |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 11,071 | | | | 32,310 | | | | 38,297 | | | | 65,145 | |
Structured direct | | | 1,321 | | | | 3,569 | | | | 5,156 | | | | 11,211 | |
Structured reinsurance | | | 834 | | | | 4,472 | | | | 15,130 | | | | 15,163 | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | | 39 | | | | (220 | ) | | | 174 | | | | 495 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | | 22,628 | | | | 53,511 | | | | 94,507 | | | | 135,208 | |
Impact of commutations | | | — | | | | — | | | | (14,965 | ) | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance | | $ | 22,628 | | | $ | 53,511 | | | $ | 79,542 | | | $ | 135,208 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Refundings included in earned premium | | $ | 8,553 | | | $ | 27,326 | | | $ | 32,076 | | | $ | 55,647 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Claims paid: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade credit reinsurance | | $ | 41 | | | $ | 449 | | | $ | 912 | | | $ | 1,432 | |
Financial Guaranty | | | 84,976 | (1) | | | 6,450 | | | | 123,761 | (1) | | | 114,040 | (2) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 85,017 | | | $ | 6,899 | | | $ | 124,673 | | | $ | 115,472 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of the accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts on January 1, 2009: | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | | | | | | |
Increase in unearned premiums | | $ | (292.8 | ) | | | | |
Increase in premiums receivable | | | 161.4 | | | | | |
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 66.0 | | | | | |
Decrease in reserve for losses and LAE | | | 8.2 | | | | | |
Decrease in deferred taxes, net | | | 20.2 | | | | | |
Increase in premium taxes payable | | | (0.6 | ) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Decrease in equity | | $ | (37.6 | ) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Pre-tax Income Statement impact of Ambac Commutation in Q2 2009: | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | | | | | | |
Decrease in premiums earned | | $ | (15.3 | ) | | | | |
Decrease in provision for losses | | | 38.6 | | | | | |
Increase in amortization of policy acquisition costs | | | (8.9 | ) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Increase in pre-tax income | | $ | 14.4 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Balance Sheet impact of Ambac Commutation in Q3 2009: | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | | | | | | |
Decrease in: | | | | | | | | |
Cash and investments | | $ | 100.0 | | | | | |
Premiums receivable | | | 93.2 | | | | | |
Unearned premiums | | | 185.6 | | | | | |
Reserve for losses and LAE | | | 53.9 | | | | | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 46.3 | | | | | |
(1) | Includes $53.9 million related to Ambac commutation. |
(2) | Includes a $100 million payment related to one CDO of an ABS transaction that was fully reserved for in 2007. |
Page 11
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit H
| | | | | | | | | | |
($ in thousands, except ratios) | | September 30 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | | September 30 2008 |
Statutory Information: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Capital and surplus | | $ | 939,880 | | | $ | 968,197 | | $ | 957,177 |
Contingency reserve | | | 494,058 | | | | 515,023 | | | 510,195 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Qualified statutory capital | | | 1,433,938 | | | | 1,483,220 | | | 1,467,372 |
| | | |
Unearned premium reserve | | | 616,788 | | | | 729,274 | | | 818,365 |
Loss and loss expense reserve | | | 57,259 | | | | 82,340 | | | 70,621 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory policyholders’ reserves | | | 2,107,985 | | | | 2,294,834 | | | 2,356,358 |
| | | |
Present value of installment premiums | | | 274,655 | | | | 380,666 | | | 402,223 |
Soft capital facilities | | | 150,000 | | | | 150,000 | | | 150,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total statutory claims paying resources | | $ | 2,532,640 | | | $ | 2,825,500 | | $ | 2,908,581 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Net debt service outstanding | | $ | 112,780,855 | | | $ | 138,430,925 | | $ | 156,928,647 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Capital leverage ratio (1) | | | 79 | | | | 93 | | | 107 |
Claims paying leverage ratio (2) | | | 45 | | | | 49 | | | 54 |
| | | |
Net par outstanding by product: | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance direct | | $ | 18,081,562 | | | $ | 17,836,221 | | $ | 18,344,046 |
Public finance reinsurance | | | 24,664,615 | | | | 31,578,163 | | | 40,420,433 |
Structured direct | | | 44,258,529 | | | | 46,001,355 | | | 46,695,176 |
Structured reinsurance | | | 2,324,867 | | | | 5,310,004 | | | 5,567,853 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 89,329,573 | (3) | | $ | 100,725,743 | | $ | 111,027,508 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Reserve for losses and LAE-GAAP Basis: | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty | | $ | 117,585 | | | $ | 219,671 | | $ | 163,070 |
Trade Credit | | | 7,674 | | | | 14,877 | | | 20,899 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 125,259 | | | $ | 234,548 | | $ | 183,969 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | The capital leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital. |
(2) | The claims paying leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by total statutory claims paying resources. |
(3) | Reduction due to $9.8 billion of par that was commuted in connection with the Ambac commutation in July 2009. Also included in public finance net par outstanding is $2.4 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bondholders. The accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk. |
Page 12
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit I
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
| | $ | | | % | | | $ | | | % | | | $ | | | % | | | $ | | | % | |
Primary new insurance written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,524 | | | 99.8 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 26,240 | | | 95.5 | % |
Structured | | | — | | | — | | | | 16 | | | 0.2 | % | | | — | | | — | | | | 1,234 | | | 4.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,540 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 27,474 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 3,441 | | | 99.9 | % | | $ | 7,405 | | | 98.4 | % | | $ | 14,530 | | | 99.8 | % | | $ | 24,356 | | | 92.8 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1 | | | — | | | | 96 | | | 1.3 | % | | | 11 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 1,154 | | | 4.4 | % |
A minus and below | | | 4 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 23 | | | 0.3 | % | | | 14 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 730 | | | 2.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,524 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 26,240 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 16 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 1,232 | | | 99.8 | % |
Alt-A | | | — | | | — | | | | — | | | 0.0 | % | | | — | | | — | | | | 2 | | | 0.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 16 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 1,234 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 3,441 | | | 99.9 | % | | $ | 7,421 | | | 98.4 | % | | $ | 14,530 | | | 99.8 | % | | $ | 25,588 | | | 93.1 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1 | | | — | | | | 96 | | | 1.3 | % | | | 11 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 1,156 | | | 4.2 | % |
A minus and below | | | 4 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 23 | | | 0.3 | % | | | 14 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 730 | | | 2.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,540 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 27,474 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total primary new insurance written by FICO score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 2,570 | | | 74.6 | % | | $ | 4,082 | | | 54.2 | % | | $ | 10,464 | | | 71.9 | % | | $ | 11,912 | | | 45.4 | % |
680-739 | | | 831 | | | 24.1 | % | | | 2,662 | | | 35.4 | % | | | 3,822 | | | 26.3 | % | | | 9,729 | | | 37.1 | % |
620-679 | | | 45 | | | 1.3 | % | | | 773 | | | 10.3 | % | | | 268 | | | 1.8 | % | | | 4,223 | | | 16.1 | % |
<=619 | | | — | | | — | | | | 7 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 1 | | | — | | | | 376 | | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,524 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 26,240 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 12 | | | 75.0 | % | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 780 | | | 63.2 | % |
680-739 | | | — | | | — | | | | 4 | | | 25.0 | % | | | — | | | — | | | | 437 | | | 35.4 | % |
620-679 | | | — | | | — | �� | | | — | | | 0.0 | % | | | — | | | — | | | | 17 | | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 16 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | — | | | — | | | $ | 1,234 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 2,570 | | | 74.6 | % | | $ | 4,094 | | | 54.3 | % | | $ | 10,464 | | | 71.9 | % | | $ | 12,692 | | | 46.2 | % |
680-739 | | | 831 | | | 24.1 | % | | | 2,666 | | | 35.3 | % | | | 3,822 | | | 26.3 | % | | | 10,166 | | | 37.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 45 | | | 1.3 | % | | | 773 | | | 10.3 | % | | | 268 | | | 1.8 | % | | | 4,240 | | | 15.4 | % |
<=619 | | | — | | | — | | | | 7 | | | 0.1 | % | | | 1 | | | — | | | | 376 | | | 1.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 3,446 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 7,540 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,555 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 27,474 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Percentage of primary new insurance written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 30 | % | | | | | | 20 | % | | | | | | 43 | % | | | | | | 33 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 0.3 | % | | | | | | 3 | % | | | | | | 0.1 | % | | | | | | 13 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 0.1 | % | | | | | | 1 | % | | | | | | 0.1 | % | | | | | | 1 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 2.3 | % | | | | | | 10 | % | | | | | | 0.9 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Primary risk written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 756 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,170 | | | 99.9 | % | | $ | 3,130 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,317 | | | 95.2 | % |
Structured | | | — | | | — | | | | 2 | | | 0.1 | % | | | — | | | — | | | | 316 | | | 4.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 756 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,172 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 3,130 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 6,633 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 13
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit J
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | September 30 2009 | | | September 30 2008 | |
| $ | | | % | | | $ | | | % | |
Primary insurance in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 122,912 | | | 79.9 | % | | $ | 119,593 | | | 77.5 | % |
Structured | | | 30,876 | | | 20.1 | % | | | 34,699 | | | 22.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 153,788 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 154,292 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Prime | | $ | 113,518 | | | 73.8 | % | | $ | 109,432 | | | 70.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 30,012 | | | 19.5 | % | | | 33,404 | | | 21.7 | % |
A minus and below | | | 10,258 | | | 6.7 | % | | | 11,456 | | | 7.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 153,788 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 154,292 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | $ | 30,388 | | | 88.0 | % | | $ | 29,968 | | | 86.4 | % |
Structured | | | 4,131 | | | 12.0 | % | | | 4,701 | | | 13.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,519 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 34,669 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 25,253 | | | 83.1 | % | | $ | 24,242 | | | 80.9 | % |
Alt-A | | | 3,257 | | | 10.7 | % | | | 3,674 | | | 12.3 | % |
A minus and below | | | 1,878 | | | 6.2 | % | | | 2,052 | | | 6.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 30,388 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 29,968 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 2,152 | | | 52.1 | % | | $ | 2,451 | | | 52.1 | % |
Alt-A | | | 1,305 | | | 31.6 | % | | | 1,451 | | | 30.9 | % |
A minus and below | | | 674 | | | 16.3 | % | | | 799 | | | 17.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 4,131 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,701 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 27,405 | | | 79.4 | % | | $ | 26,693 | | | 77.0 | % |
Alt-A | | | 4,562 | | | 13.2 | % | | | 5,125 | | | 14.8 | % |
A minus and below | | | 2,552 | | | 7.4 | % | | | 2,851 | | | 8.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,519 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 34,669 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total primary risk in force by FICO score | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 10,449 | | | 34.4 | % | | $ | 8,999 | | | 30.0 | % |
680-739 | | | 11,002 | | | 36.2 | % | | | 11,101 | | | 37.0 | % |
620-679 | | | 7,561 | | | 24.9 | % | | | 8,318 | | | 27.8 | % |
<=619 | | | 1,376 | | | 4.5 | % | | | 1,550 | | | 5.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Flow | | $ | 30,388 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 29,968 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 1,114 | | | 27.0 | % | | $ | 1,254 | | | 26.7 | % |
680-739 | | | 1,314 | | | 31.8 | % | | | 1,452 | | | 30.9 | % |
620-679 | | | 1,083 | | | 26.2 | % | | | 1,255 | | | 26.7 | % |
<=619 | | | 620 | | | 15.0 | % | | | 740 | | | 15.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Structured | | $ | 4,131 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 4,701 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 11,563 | | | 33.5 | % | | $ | 10,253 | | | 29.6 | % |
680-739 | | | 12,316 | | | 35.7 | % | | | 12,553 | | | 36.2 | % |
620-679 | | | 8,644 | | | 25.0 | % | | | 9,573 | | | 27.6 | % |
<=619 | | | 1,996 | | | 5.8 | % | | | 2,290 | | | 6.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Primary | | $ | 34,519 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 34,669 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Percentage of primary risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Refinances | | | 31 | % | | | | | | 31 | % | | | |
95.01% LTV and above | | | 21 | % | | | | | | 23 | % | | | |
ARMs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less than 5 years | | | 8 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
5 years and longer | | | 8 | % | | | | | | 9 | % | | | |
| | | | |
Pool risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 1,973 | | | 70.3 | % | | $ | 2,096 | | | 70.7 | % |
Alt-A | | | 284 | | | 10.1 | % | | | 290 | | | 9.8 | % |
A minus and below | | | 549 | | | 19.6 | % | | | 577 | | | 19.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 2,806 | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,963 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 14
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit K
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | September 30 2009 | | | September 30 2008 | |
| $ | | % | | | $ | | % | |
Total primary risk in force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.00% and below | | $ | 3,556 | | 10.3 | % | | $ | 3,659 | | 10.6 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 12,690 | | 36.7 | % | | | 12,045 | | 34.7 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 11,142 | | 32.3 | % | | | 11,003 | | 31.7 | % |
95.01% and above | | | 7,131 | | 20.7 | % | | | 7,962 | | 23.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 34,519 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 34,669 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total primary risk in force by policy year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 10,140 | | 29.4 | % | | $ | 11,983 | | 34.6 | % |
2006 | | | 4,650 | | 13.4 | % | | | 5,342 | | 15.4 | % |
2007 | | | 9,823 | | 28.4 | % | | | 10,896 | | 31.4 | % |
2008 | | | 6,887 | | 20.0 | % | | | 6,448 | | 18.6 | % |
2009 | | | 3,019 | | 8.8 | % | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 34,519 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 34,669 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total pool risk in force by policy year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 2,280 | | 81.2 | % | | $ | 2,407 | | 81.3 | % |
2006 | | | 241 | | 8.6 | % | | | 255 | | 8.6 | % |
2007 | | | 227 | | 8.1 | % | | | 241 | | 8.1 | % |
2008 | | | 58 | | 2.1 | % | | | 60 | | 2.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total pool risk in force | | $ | 2,806 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 2,963 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Other risk in force | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Second-lien | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss | | $ | 184 | | | | | $ | 289 | | | |
2nd loss | | | 100 | | | | | | 407 | | | |
NIMs | | | 418 | | | | | | 456 | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance | | | 316 | | | | | | 442 | | | |
Reinsurance | | | — | | | | | | 139 | | | |
Credit default swaps | | | 3,132 | | | | | | 7,567 | | | |
Other | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic credit default swaps | | | — | | | | | | 162 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total other risk in force | | $ | 4,150 | | | | | $ | 9,462 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only (1) | | | 16.1:1 | | | | | | 14.5:1 | | | |
(1) | Starting June 30, 2009, risk in force on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established are deducted from total risk in force used for our risk to capital calculations. Risk to capital ratios for the prior periods have not been restated to conform with this presentation. |
Page 15
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit L
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in thousands) | | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Direct claims paid | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 104,605 | | | $ | 98,269 | | | $ | 246,816 | | | $ | 222,975 | |
Alt-A | | | 61,538 | | | | 68,960 | | | | 149,249 | | | | 152,438 | |
A minus and below | | | 43,989 | | | | 65,280 | | | | 115,873 | | | | 162,911 | |
Second-lien and other | | | 10,790 | | | | 44,882 | | | | 51,735 | | | | 138,094 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal | | | 220,922 | | | | 277,391 | | | | 563,673 | | | | 676,418 | |
Impact of captive terminations | | | (107,747 | ) | | | — | | | | (107,747 | ) | | | — | |
Impact of second-lien terminations | | | 22,323 | | | | — | | | | 87,323 | | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 135,498 | | | $ | 277,391 | | | $ | 543,249 | | | $ | 676,418 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Average claim paid (1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 43.2 | | | $ | 45.0 | | | $ | 42.2 | | | $ | 40.0 | |
Alt-A | | | 55.4 | | | | 58.7 | | | | 54.0 | | | | 53.9 | |
A minus and below | | | 39.6 | | | | 42.6 | | | | 38.8 | | | | 38.6 | |
Second-lien and other | | | 42.5 | | | | 36.9 | | | | 42.2 | | | | 35.1 | |
Total | | $ | 45.1 | | | $ | 45.4 | | | $ | 44.0 | | | $ | 40.8 | |
| | | | |
Loss ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 201.2 | % | | | 258.1 | % | | | 156.7 | % | | | 244.6 | % |
Expense ratio - GAAP Basis | | | 25.7 | % | | | 24.4 | % | | | 24.8 | % | | | 33.2 | % (2) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 226.9 | % | | | 282.5 | % | | | 181.5 | % | | | 277.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Reserve for losses by category | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | $ | 1,125,684 | | | $ | 667,349 | | | | | | | | | |
Alt-A | | | 922,420 | | | | 844,551 | | | | | | | | | |
A minus and below | | | 454,844 | | | | 432,001 | | | | | | | | | |
Pool insurance | | | 211,399 | | | | 87,429 | | | | | | | | | |
Second-lien | | | 81,462 | | | | 153,839 | | | | | | | | | |
Other | | | 74 | | | | 1,436 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Reserve for losses, net | | | 2,795,883 | | | | 2,186,605 | | | | | | | | | |
Reinsurance recoverable | | | 591,857 | (3) | | | 309,807 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 3,387,740 | | | $ | 2,496,412 | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Calculated prior to the impact of captive and second-lien terminations. |
(2) | Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008. |
(3) | Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($483 million) and Smart Home ($109 million). |
16
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit M
| | | | | | | | | |
| | September 30 2009 | | | December 31 2008 | | | September 30 2008 | |
Default Statistics | | | | | | | | | |
Primary insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 621,794 | | | 624,970 | | | 619,035 | |
Number of loans in default | | 69,287 | | | 44,575 | | | 33,330 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 11.14 | % | | 7.13 | % | | 5.38 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 62,860 | | | 68,948 | | | 70,814 | |
Number of loans in default | | 21,563 | | | 16,959 | | | 13,853 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 34.30 | % | | 24.60 | % | | 19.56 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 55,657 | | | 59,189 | | | 60,946 | |
Number of loans in default | | 19,885 | | | 15,768 | | | 13,436 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 35.73 | % | | 26.64 | % | | 22.05 | % |
| | | |
Total Flow | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 740,311 | | | 753,107 | | | 750,795 | |
Number of loans in default | | 110,735 | | | 77,302 | | | 60,619 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 14.96 | % | | 10.26 | % | | 8.07 | % |
| | | |
Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 60,931 | | | 67,165 | | | 68,744 | |
Number of loans in default | | 8,496 | | | 6,692 | | | 5,900 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 13.94 | % | | 9.96 | % | | 8.58 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 74,911 | | | 80,491 | | | 82,187 | |
Number of loans in default | | 25,098 | | | 18,747 | | | 15,499 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 33.50 | % | | 23.29 | % | | 18.86 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 19,861 | | | 22,315 | | | 23,337 | |
Number of loans in default | | 7,669 | | | 7,812 | | | 7,784 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 38.61 | % | | 35.01 | % | | 33.35 | % |
| | | |
Total Structured | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 155,703 | | | 169,971 | | | 174,268 | |
Number of loans in default | | 41,263 | | | 33,251 | | | 29,183 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 26.50 | % | | 19.56 | % | | 16.75 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 682,725 | | | 692,135 | | | 687,779 | |
Number of loans in default | | 77,783 | | | 51,267 | | | 39,230 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 11.39 | % | | 7.41 | % | | 5.70 | % |
| | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 137,771 | | | 149,439 | | | 153,001 | |
Number of loans in default | | 46,661 | | | 35,706 | | | 29,352 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 33.87 | % | | 23.89 | % | | 19.18 | % |
| | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 75,518 | | | 81,504 | | | 84,283 | |
Number of loans in default | | 27,554 | | | 23,580 | | | 21,220 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 36.49 | % | | 28.93 | % | | 25.18 | % |
| | | |
Total Primary Insurance | | | | | | | | | |
Number of insured loans | | 896,014 | | | 923,078 | | | 925,063 | |
Number of loans in default (1) | | 151,998 | | | 110,553 | | | 89,802 | |
Percentage of loans in default | | 16.96 | % | | 11.98 | % | | 9.71 | % |
| | | |
Pool insurance: | | | | | | | | | |
Number of loans in default (2) | | 36,889 | | | 32,677 | | | 29,487 | |
(1) | Includes approximately 385, 539 and 483 defaults at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
(2) | Includes approximately 17,859, 21,719 and 20,965 defaults at September 30, 2009, December 31, 2008 and September 30, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated. |
Page 17
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit N
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 169,180 | | | $ | 186,524 | | | $ | 483,872 | | | $ | 578,770 | |
Second-lien | | | (1,493 | ) (1) | | | 2,044 | | | | (750 | ) (1) | | | 8,430 | |
International | | | (18,687 | ) (1) | | | 15 | | | | (17,244 | ) (1) | | | 11,664 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Written - Insurance | | $ | 149,000 | | | $ | 188,583 | | | $ | 465,878 | | | $ | 598,864 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary and Pool Insurance | | $ | 182,582 | | | $ | 187,596 | | | $ | 517,770 | | | $ | 575,017 | |
Second-lien | | | 1,264 | | | | 3,250 | | | | 4,649 | | | | 14,378 | |
International | | | 3,013 | | | | 5,361 | | | | 12,370 | | | | 16,173 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Net Premiums Earned - Insurance | | $ | 186,859 | | | $ | 196,207 | | | $ | 534,789 | | | $ | 605,568 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
SMART HOME (In millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ceded Premiums Written | | $ | 2.4 | | | $ | 3.1 | | | $ | 8.0 | | | $ | 10.0 | |
Ceded Premiums Earned | | $ | 2.4 | | | $ | 3.1 | | | $ | 8.0 | | | $ | 10.0 | |
| | | | |
1st Lien Captives | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Premiums ceded to captives (In millions) | | $ | 31.0 | | | $ | 34.6 | | | $ | 103.0 | | | $ | 104.4 | |
% of total premiums | | | 14.3 | % | | | 15.4 | % | | | 16.4 | % | | | 15.2 | % |
NIW subject to captives (In millions) | | $ | 144.3 | | | $ | 2,103.6 | | | $ | 1,615.7 | | | $ | 10,268.1 | |
% of primary NIW | | | 4.2 | % | | | 27.9 | % | | | 11.1 | % | | | 37.4 | % |
IIF included in captives (2) | | | 34.2 | % | | | 36.6 | % | | | | | | | | |
RIF included in captives (2) | | | 47.6 | % | | | 41.0 | % | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Persistency (twelve months ended September 30) | | | 87.0 | % | | | 83.9 | % | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | September 30 2009 | | | September 30 2008 | | | | | | | |
SMART HOME | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2) | | | 3.4 | % | | | 3.9 | % | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Reflects the impact of second-lien and international terminations. |
(2) | Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions. |
Page 18
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit O
Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | Original Book RIF | | Progression to Attachment Point | | September 30 2009 | | December 31 2008 (5) |
Book Year (2): | | | | Gross Current RIF | | Ceded Current RIF(3) | | Net Current RIF | | Ever-to- Date Incurred Losses | | Reinsurance Benefit (4) | | Gross Current RIF | | Ceded Current RIF(3) | | Net Current RIF | | Ever-to- Date Incurred Losses | | Reinsurance Benefit (4) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 445 | | $ | 79 | | $ | 366 | | $ | 152 | | | | | $ | 1,120 | | $ | 558 | | $ | 562 | | $ | 239 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 423 | | | 221 | | | 202 | | | 99 | | | | | | 942 | | | 349 | | | 593 | | | 142 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 580 | | | 239 | | | 341 | | | 131 | | | | | | 1,084 | | | 397 | | | 687 | | | 160 | | | |
Pre-2006 | | | | | Attached | | | 1,792 | | | 466 | | | 1,326 | | | 356 | | $ | 123 | | | 1,355 | | | 237 | | | 1,118 | | | 184 | | $ | 75 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pre-2006 Total | | $ | 22,732 | | | | $ | 3,240 | | $ | 1,005 | | $ | 2,235 | | $ | 738 | | $ | 123 | | $ | 4,501 | | $ | 1,541 | | $ | 2,960 | | $ | 725 | | $ | 75 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 2 | | $ | — | | $ | 2 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | 32 | | $ | 2 | | $ | 30 | | $ | 1 | | | |
2006 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 21 | | | 2 | | | 19 | | | 1 | | | | | | 62 | | | 4 | | | 58 | | | 3 | | | |
2006 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 8 | | | 1 | | | 7 | | | 1 | | | | | | 310 | | | 42 | | | 268 | | | 18 | | | |
2006 | | | | | Attached | | | 1,855 | | | 264 | | | 1,591 | | | 342 | | $ | 179 | | | 2,074 | | | 270 | | | 1,804 | | | 290 | | $ | 161 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 Total | | $ | 2,954 | | | | $ | 1,886 | | $ | 267 | | $ | 1,619 | | $ | 344 | | $ | 179 | | $ | 2,478 | | $ | 318 | | $ | 2,160 | | $ | 312 | | $ | 161 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 13 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 12 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | 31 | | $ | 2 | | $ | 29 | | $ | — | | | |
2007 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 15 | | | 1 | | | 14 | | | 1 | | | | | | 225 | | | 12 | | | 213 | | | 8 | | | |
2007 | | | | | 75-99% | | | 1 | | | — | | | 1 | | | — | | | | | | 71 | | | 7 | | | 64 | | | 3 | | | |
2007 | | | | | Attached | | | 3,720 | | | 406 | | | 3,314 | | | 389 | | $ | 171 | | | 4,329 | | | 454 | | | 3,875 | | | 350 | | $ | 147 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 Total | | $ | 4,545 | | | | $ | 3,749 | | $ | 408 | | $ | 3,341 | | $ | 390 | | $ | 171 | | $ | 4,656 | | $ | 475 | | $ | 4,181 | | $ | 361 | | $ | 147 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 548 | | $ | 36 | | $ | 512 | | $ | 10 | | | | | $ | 2,167 | | $ | 197 | | $ | 1,970 | | $ | 25 | | | |
2008 | | | | | 50-75% | | | 1,489 | | | 166 | | | 1,323 | | | 42 | | | | | | 42 | | | 4 | | | 38 | | | 1 | | | |
2008 | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2008 | | | | | Attached | | | 225 | | | 19 | | | 206 | | | 20 | | $ | 11 | | | 190 | | | 15 | | | 175 | | | 16 | | $ | 9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 Total | | $ | 2,553 | | | | $ | 2,262 | | $ | 221 | | $ | 2,041 | | $ | 72 | | $ | 11 | | $ | 2,399 | | $ | 216 | | $ | 2,183 | | $ | 42 | | $ | 9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
2009 | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 282 | | $ | 12 | | $ | 270 | | $ | — | | | | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | 50-75% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
2009 | | | | | Attached | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | $ | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | $ | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2009 Total | | $ | 290 | | | | $ | 282 | | $ | 12 | | $ | 270 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 50-75% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
Quota Share | | | | | Attached | | | 105 | | | 34 | | | 71 | | | 32 | | $ | 14 | | | 116 | | | 37 | | | 79 | | | 27 | | $ | 12 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Quota Share Total | | $ | 313 | | | | $ | 105 | | $ | 34 | | $ | 71 | | $ | 32 | | $ | 14 | | $ | 116 | | $ | 37 | | $ | 79 | | $ | 27 | | $ | 12 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Captive (Including Quota Share) | | $ | 33,387 | | | | $ | 11,524 | | $ | 1,947 | | $ | 9,577 | | $ | 1,576 | | $ | 498 | | $ | 14,150 | | $ | 2,587 | | $ | 11,563 | | $ | 1,467 | | $ | 404 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 0-50% | | $ | 33 | | $ | 15 | | $ | 18 | | $ | 11 | | | | | $ | 117 | | $ | 51 | | $ | 66 | | $ | 27 | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 50-75% | | | 74 | | | 29 | | | 45 | | | 22 | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | 75-99% | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | |
SmartHome | | | | | Attached | | | 1,061 | | | 504 | | | 557 | | | 407 | | $ | 111 | | | 1,188 | | | 521 | | | 667 | | | 346 | | $ | 91 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total SmartHome | | $ | 3,900 | | | | $ | 1,168 | | $ | 548 | | $ | 620 | | $ | 440 | | $ | 111 | | $ | 1,305 | | $ | 572 | | $ | 733 | | $ | 373 | | $ | 91 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Data is presented in the aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment points and exit points vary by individual contract. The attachment point is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves. |
(2) | Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions. |
(3) | Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms. |
(4) | Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust. |
(5) | Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented. |
Page 19
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit P
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | September 30 2009 | | | September 30 2008 | |
| $ | | % | | | $ | | % | |
| | | | |
Modified Pool Risk in Force | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Prime | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 81 | | 54.0 | % | | $ | 86 | | 55.1 | % |
2006 | | | 45 | | 30.0 | % | | | 44 | | 28.2 | % |
2007 | | | 20 | | 13.3 | % | | | 22 | | 14.1 | % |
2008 | | | 4 | | 2.7 | % | | | 4 | | 2.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 150 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 156 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Alt-A | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 186 | | 28.5 | % | | $ | 200 | | 29.8 | % |
2006 | | | 160 | | 24.5 | % | | | 165 | | 24.5 | % |
2007 | | | 303 | | 46.4 | % | | | 304 | | 45.2 | % |
2008 | | | 4 | | 0.6 | % | | | 4 | | 0.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 653 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 673 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
A minus and below | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 13 | | 56.5 | % | | $ | 15 | | 60.0 | % |
2006 | | | 3 | | 13.0 | % | | | 3 | | 12.0 | % |
2007 | | | 7 | | 30.5 | % | | | 7 | | 28.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 23 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 25 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 280 | | 33.9 | % | | $ | 301 | | 35.2 | % |
2006 | | | 208 | | 25.2 | % | | | 212 | | 24.8 | % |
2007 | | | 330 | | 39.9 | % | | | 333 | | 39.0 | % |
2008 | | | 8 | | 1.0 | % | | | 8 | | 1.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Modified Pool Risk in Force | | $ | 826 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 854 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 20
Radian Group Inc.
Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
ALT-A
Exhibit Q
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
($ in millions) | | September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | |
| $ | | % | | | $ | | % | |
| | | | |
Primary risk in force by FICO score | | | | | | | | | | | | |
>=740 | | $ | 1,121 | | 24.6 | % | | $ | 1,256 | | 24.5 | % |
680-739 | | | 2,202 | | 48.2 | % | | | 2,452 | | 47.8 | % |
660-679 | | | 666 | | 14.6 | % | | | 755 | | 14.7 | % |
620-659 | | | 543 | | 11.9 | % | | | 628 | | 12.3 | % |
<=619 | | | 30 | | 0.7 | % | | | 34 | | 0.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,562 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,125 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk in force by LTV | | | | | | | | | | | | |
85.00% and below | | $ | 1,195 | | 26.2 | % | | $ | 1,308 | | 25.5 | % |
85.01% to 90.00% | | | 1,880 | | 41.2 | % | | | 2,131 | | 41.6 | % |
90.01% to 95.00% | | | 1,175 | | 25.8 | % | | | 1,330 | | 26.0 | % |
95.01% and above | | | 312 | | 6.8 | % | | | 356 | | 6.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,562 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,125 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Primary risk in force by policy year | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 and prior | | $ | 1,428 | | 31.3 | % | | $ | 1,647 | | 32.1 | % |
2006 | | | 1,010 | | 22.1 | % | | | 1,141 | | 22.3 | % |
2007 | | | 1,886 | | 41.4 | % | | | 2,083 | | 40.6 | % |
2008 | | | 237 | | 5.2 | % | | | 254 | | 5.0 | % |
2009 | | | 1 | | — | | | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,562 | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 5,125 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Page 21
Radian Group Inc.
Financial Services Supplemental Information
For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2009
Exhibit R
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(In thousands) | | Quarter Ended September 30 | | | Nine Months Ended September 30 | |
| 2009 | | | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2008 | |
| | | | |
Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Sherman | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Balance, beginning of period | | $ | 108,719 | | | $ | 112,644 | | | $ | 99,656 | | | $ | 104,315 | |
Net income for period | | | 7,946 | | | | 15,798 | | | | 23,608 | | | | 44,028 | |
Dividends received | | | (4,599 | ) | | | (15,961 | ) | | | (11,040 | ) | | | (35,460 | ) |
Other comprehensive (loss) income | | | (87 | ) | | | 522 | | | | (245 | ) | | | 120 | |
Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest | | | — | | | | (25,786 | ) | | | — | | | | (25,786 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Balance, end of period | | $ | 111,979 | | | $ | 87,217 | | | $ | 111,979 | | | $ | 87,217 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Portfolio Information: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Sherman | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 1,951,458 | | | $ | 2,433,666 | | | | | | | | | |
Net revenues | | $ | 299,592 | | | $ | 368,112 | | | $ | 968,075 | | | $ | 1,158,454 | |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | Forward-Looking Statements Some of the statements in this release constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Generally, words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “anticipate,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “plan,” “project,” “continue,” “goal” and “believe,” or other variations on these and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are only predictions and, as such, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions as to future events or our future financial performance that may not prove to be accurate. These statements speak only as of the date of this news release, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from those projected in such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the following: |
| | • changes in general financial and political conditions, such as the failure of the U.S. economy to recover robustly from the current recession or the U.S. economy reentering a recessionary period following a brief period of stabilization or even growth, a further reduction in the liquidity in the capital markets and further contraction of credit markets, a prolonged period of high unemployment rates and limited home price appreciation, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; • catastrophic events or further economic changes in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; • our ability to successfully execute upon our capital plan for our mortgage insurance business (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and the long-term liquidity needs of our holding company (including significant payment obligations in 2010 and 2011); • a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the ongoing deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.; • our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of ongoing losses in this business and continued deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio which, in the absence of new capital, may depend on our ability to execute strategies for which regulatory and other approvals are required and may not be obtained; • our ability to continue to effectively mitigate our mortgage insurance losses, which have positively impacted our provisions for losses; • the negative impact our increased levels of insurance rescissions and claim denials may have on our relationships with customers; • the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers; • disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | • the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; |
| • the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and of adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses and are expected to result in further losses; • reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values do not appreciate or continue to decline; • changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies; • an increase in the risk profile of our existing mortgage insurance portfolio due to mortgage refinancing in the current housing market; • further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.); • heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies); • changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae; • the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation or regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate; |
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1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103-2337 800 523.1988 215 564.6600 | | • the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or premium deficiencies for our mortgage insurance businesses, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts; • the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio; and the significant concentration of our financial guaranty reinsurance business in customers under common control; • volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiency in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis; • changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board; • legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through our tax- and expense-sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and • our investment in, and other arrangements with, Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively affected in the current credit environment if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding for its business activities or remain in compliance with its credit facilities. |
| | For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should review the risks described under Item 1A, “Risk Factors” under our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 and subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. |
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