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8-K Filing
Expand Energy (EXE) 8-KRegulation FD Disclosure
Filed: 15 Oct 08, 12:00am
1) | Projected effects of changes in our hedging positions have been updated; |
2) | Certain cost assumptions and budgeted capital expenditure assumptions have been updated; |
3) | Our NYMEX oil price assumption for realized hedging effects and estimating future operating cash flow has been reduced; and |
4) | Shares outstanding have been updated to remove the effects of certain contingent convertible senior notes that are no longer in the money at current stock price level. |
Quarter Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | |||
Estimated Production(a) | |||||
Natural gas – bcf | 197 – 201 | 893 – 913 | 1,032 – 1,072 | ||
Oil – mbbls | 2,825 | 12,000 | 13,000 | ||
Natural gas equivalent – bcfe | 214 – 218 | 965 – 985 | 1,110 –1,150 | ||
Daily natural gas equivalent midpoint – mmcfe | 2,350 | 2,670 | 3,095 | ||
Year-over-year production increase | 5.9% | 15.6% | 15.9% | ||
NYMEX Prices (b) (for calculation of realized hedging effects only): | |||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $7.82 | $8.00 | $8.00 | ||
Oil - $/bbl | $80.00 | $80.00 | $80.00 | ||
Estimated Realized Hedging Effects (based on assumed NYMEX prices above): | |||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $1.48 | $1.04 | $0.82 | ||
Oil - $/bbl | ($2.82) | $2.42 | $4.79 | ||
Estimated Differentials to NYMEX Prices: | |||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | ||
Oil - $/bbl | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | ||
Operating Costs per Mcfe of Projected Production: | |||||
Production expense | $1.00 – 1.10 | $1.10 – 1.20 | $1.15 – 1.25 | ||
Production taxes (~ 5% of O&G revenues) (c) | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.35 – 0.40 | ||
General and administrative(d) | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | ||
Stock-based compensation (non-cash) | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | ||
DD&A of natural gas and oil assets | $2.30 – 2.35 | $2.20 – 2.30 | $2.15 – 2.25 | ||
Depreciation of other assets | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | ||
Interest expense(e) | $0.30 – 0.35 | $0.40 – 0.45 | $0.35 – 0.40 | ||
Other Income per Mcfe: | |||||
Natural gas and oil marketing income | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | ||
Service operations income | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | ||
Book Tax Rate | 38.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% | ||
Cash Income Taxes – in millions | $350 - 450 | $200 – 300 | $200 – 300 | ||
Equivalent Shares Outstanding – in millions: | |||||
Basic | 560 – 565 | 565 - 570 | 575 - 580 | ||
Diluted | 580 – 585 | 585 - 590 | 595 - 600 |
Cash Flow Projections – in millions | Quarter Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | |||
Net inflows: | ||||||
Operating cash flow before changes in assets and liabilities(f)(g) | $1,375 – 1,425 | $5,800 – 6,000 | $6,250 – 6,750 | |||
Leasehold and producing property transactions: | ||||||
Sale of leasehold and producing properties(a) | $2,100 – 2,500 | $1,250 – 2,000 | $1,250 – 2,000 | |||
Sale of producing properties via VPP’s(a) | $400 – 500 | $1,000 – 1,250 | $1,000 – 1,250 | |||
Acquisition of leasehold and producing properties | ($750 - $1,000) | ($1,250 - $1,750) | ($1,000 - $1,500) | |||
Net leasehold and producing property transactions | $1,750 – 2,000 | $1,000 – 1,500 | $1,250 – 1,750 | |||
Debt and equity offerings | – | – | – | |||
Midstream financings | $1,050 – 1,275 | $500 – 700 | $500 – 700 | |||
Proceeds from investments and other | – | $500– 750 | $150 – 250 | |||
Total Cash Inflows | $4,175 – 4,700 | $7,800 – 8,950 | $8,150 – 9,450 | |||
Net outflows: | ||||||
Drilling | $1,200 – 1,300 | $4,250 – 4,750 | $4,750 – 5,250 | |||
Geophysical costs | $75 | $225 – 275 | $225 – 275 | |||
Midstream infrastructure and compression | $300 – 325 | $1,000 – 1,200 | $900 – 1,000 | |||
Other PP&E | $50 – 75 | $250 – 300 | $250 – 300 | |||
Dividends, senior notes redemption, capitalized interest, etc. | $150 – 200 | $575 – 600 | $575 – 600 | |||
Cash income taxes | $350 – 450 | $200 – 300 | $200 – 300 | |||
Total Cash Outflows | $2,125 – 2,425 | $6,500 – 7,425 | $6,900 – 7,725 | |||
Net Cash Change | $2,050 – 2,275 | $1,300 –1,525 | $1,250 – 1,725 | |||
(a) | The 2008 fourth quarter production and cash flow forecasts reflect anticipated sales by the company of: 1) producing properties for approximately $450 million in a volumetric production payment (VPP); and 2) producing properties in South Texas and undeveloped leasehold in the Marcellus Shale and other areas for approximately $2.3 billion. The 2009 and 2010 production and cash flow forecasts reflect anticipated sales by the company of: 1) producing properties for approximately $1.1 billion in each year in VPP transactions; and 2) undeveloped leasehold or other producing properties for approximately $1.6 billion in each year. |
(b) | NYMEX natural gas prices have been updated for actual contract prices through October 2008. |
(c) | Severance tax per mcfe is based on NYMEX prices of $80.00 per bbl of oil and $7.50 to $8.50 per mcf of natural gas during Q4 2008; $80.00 per bbl of oil and $7.50 to $8.50 per mcf of natural gas during 2009; and $80.00 per bbl of oil and $7.50 to $8.50 per mcf of natural gas during 2010. |
(d) | Excludes expenses associated with noncash stock compensation. |
(e) | Does not include gains or losses on interest rate derivatives (SFAS 133). |
(f) | A non-GAAP financial measure. We are unable to provide a reconciliation to projected cash provided by operating activities, the most comparable GAAP measure, because of uncertainties associated with projecting future changes in assets and liabilities. |
(g) | Assumes NYMEX natural gas of $7.00 to $8.00 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $80.00 per bbl. |
(i) | For swap instruments, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price to the counterparty. The fixed-price payment and the floating-price payment are netted, resulting in a net amount due to or from the counterparty. |
(ii) | Basis protection swaps are arrangements that guarantee a price differential for oil or natural gas from a specified delivery point. For Mid-Continent basis protection swaps, which have negative differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract. For Appalachian basis protection swaps, which have positive differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract. |
(iii) | For knockout swaps, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for the possibility to reduce the counterparty’s exposure to zero, in any given month, if the floating market price is lower than certain predetermined knockout prices. |
(iv) | For cap-swaps, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for a "cap" limiting the counterparty's exposure. In other words, there is no limit to Chesapeake's exposure but there is a limit to the downside exposure of the counterparty |
(v) | For written call options, Chesapeake receives a premium from the counterparty in exchange for the sale of a call option. If the market price exceeds the fixed price of the call option, Chesapeake pays the counterparty such excess. If the market price settles below the fixed price of the call option, no payment is due from Chesapeake. |
(vi) | Collars contain a fixed floor price (put) and ceiling price (call). If the market price exceeds the call strike price or falls below the put strike price, Chesapeake receives the fixed price and pays the market price. If the market price is between the call and the put strike price, no payments are due from either party. |
(vii) | A three-way collar contract consists of a standard collar contract plus a written put option with a strike price below the floor price of the collar. In addition to the settlement of the collar, the put option requires Chesapeake to make a payment to the counterparty equal to the difference between the put option price and the settlement price if the settlement price for any settlement period is below the put option strike price. |
Open Swaps in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price of Open Swaps | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | Total Gains (Losses) from Lifted Swaps ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gain (Loss) per Mcf of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q4 2008 | 110.6 | $9.30 | 199 | 56% | $79.70 | $0.40 |
Total 2009(1) | 533.0 | $9.46 | 903 | 59% | ($36.70) | ($0.04) |
Total 2010(1) | 422.6 | $9.58 | 1,052 | 40% | $33.90 | $0.03 |
(1) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices ranging from $5.45 to $6.50 covering 35 bcf in 2008, $5.45 to $7.25 covering 356 bcf in 2009 and $5.45 to $7.40 covering 318 bcf in 2010. |
Open Collars in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. NYMEX Ceiling Price | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Collars as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q4 2008 | 26.6 | $7.75 | $9.32 | 199 | 13% |
Total 2009(1) | 63.9 | $8.05 | $11.18 | 903 | 7% |
Total 2010(1) | 25.6 | $7.71 | $11.46 | 1,052 | 2% |
(1) | Certain collar arrangements include three-way collars that include written put options with strike prices ranging from $5.50 to $6.00 covering 38 bcf in 2009 and at $6.00 covering 4 bcf in 2010. |
Call Options in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Call Price | Avg. Premium per mcf | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Call Options as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q4 2008 | 34.0 | $10.39 | $0.70 | 199 | 17% |
Total 2009 | 225.5 | $11.37 | $0.61 | 903 | 25% |
Total 2010 | 231.8 | $10.77 | $0.72 | 1,052 | 22% |
Mid-Continent | Appalachia | |||||||
Volume in Bcf’s | NYMEX less*: | Volume in Bcf’s | NYMEX plus*: | |||||
Q4 2008 | 32.1 | $ 0.45 | 5.8 | $ 0.33 | ||||
2009 | 77.1 | 0.35 | 16.9 | 0.28 | ||||
2010 | — | — | 10.2 | 0.26 | ||||
2011 | 45.1 | 0.64 | 12.1 | 0.25 | ||||
2012 | 43.2 | 0.48 | — | — | ||||
Totals | 197.5 | $ 0.46 | 45.0 | $ 0.27 | ||||
Open Swaps in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price Of Open Swaps (per Mcf) | Avg. Fair Value Upon Acquisition of Open Swaps (per Mcf) | Initial Liability Acquired (per Mcf) | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q4 2008 | 9.7 | $4.66 | $7.84 | ($3.17) | 199 | 5% |
Total 2009 | 18.3 | $5.18 | $7.28 | ($2.10) | 903 | 2% |
Open Swaps in mbbls | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price | Assuming Oil Production in mbbls of: | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Oil Production | Total Losses from Lifted Swaps ($ millions) | Total Lifted Losses per bbl of Estimated Total Oil Production | |
Q4 2008(1) | 1,702 | $77.57 | 2,825 | 60% | ($4.7) | ($1.68) |
Total 2009(1) | 8,364 | $82.38 | 12,000 | 70% | ($0.6) | ($0.05) |
Total 2010(1) | 4,745 | $90.25 | 13,000 | 37% | — | — |
(1) | Certain hedging arrangements include cap-swaps and knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices ranging from $45.00 to $60.00 covering 1,104 mbbls in 2008, from $52.50 to $60.00 covering 7,848 mbbls in 2009 and $60.00 covering 4,745 mbbls in 2010. |
1) | Our first guidance for the 2008 fourth quarter has been provided; |
2) | Projected production volumes have been updated to reflect reduction in rig count and anticipated divestitures; |
3) | Projected effects of changes in our hedging positions have been updated; |
4) | Certain cost assumptions and budgeted capital expenditure assumptions have been updated; and |
5) | Our NYMEX natural gas and oil price assumptions for estimating future operating cash flow have been reduced. |
Quarter Ending 9/30/2008 | Quarter Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | |||||
Estimated Production(a) | |||||||||
Natural gas – bcf | 196 – 199 | 197 – 201 | 777 – 781 | 893 – 913 | 1,032 – 1,072 | ||||
Oil – mbbls | 2,825 | 2,825 | 11,200 | 12,000 | 13,000 | ||||
Natural gas equivalent – bcfe | 213 – 216 | 214 – 218 | 844 – 848 | 965 – 985 | 1,110 –1,150 | ||||
Daily natural gas equivalent midpoint – mmcfe | 2,330 | 2,350 | 2,310 | 2,670 | 3,095 | ||||
Year-over-year production increase | 15.0% | 5.9% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | ||||
NYMEX Prices (b) (for calculation of realized hedging effects only): | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $10.24 | $7.50 | $9.18 | $8.00 | $8.00 | ||||
Oil - $/bbl | $120.06 | $110.00 | $112.99 | $110.00 | $120.00 | ||||
Estimated Realized Hedging Effects (based on assumed NYMEX prices above): | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | ($0.82) | $1.94 | $0.24 | $1.04 | $0.85 | ||||
Oil - $/bbl | ($39.97) | ($28.38) | ($32.74) | ($44.74) | ($28.90) | ||||
Estimated Differentials to NYMEX Prices: | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | 10 – 14% | ||||
Oil - $/bbl | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | 5 – 7% | ||||
Operating Costs per Mcfe of Projected Production: | |||||||||
Production expense | $1.00 – 1.10 | $1.00 – 1.10 | $1.00 – 1.10 | $1.10 – 1.20 | $1.15 – 1.25 | ||||
Production taxes (~ 5% of O&G revenues) (c) | $0.45 – 0.50 | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.40 – 0.45 | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.35 – 0.40 | ||||
General and administrative(d) | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | ||||
Stock-based compensation (non-cash) | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | ||||
DD&A of natural gas and oil assets | $2.35 – 2.40 | $2.30 – 2.35 | $2.30 – 2.40 | $2.20 – 2.30 | $2.15 – 2.25 | ||||
Depreciation of other assets | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | $0.20 – 0.24 | ||||
Interest expense(e) | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.30 – 0.35 | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.40 – 0.45 | $0.35 – 0.40 | ||||
Other Income per Mcfe: | |||||||||
Natural gas and oil marketing income | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | $0.09 – 0.11 | ||||
Service operations income | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | ||||
Book Tax Rate | 38.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% | ||||
Cash Income Taxes – in millions | – | $350 - 450 | $350 – 450 | $200 – 300 | $200 – 300 | ||||
Equivalent Shares Outstanding – in millions: | |||||||||
Basic | 553 – 557 | 560 – 565 | 530 - 535 | 565 - 570 | 575 - 580 | ||||
Diluted | 593 – 598 | 595 – 600 | 565 - 570 | 600 - 605 | 610 - 615 |
Cash Flow Projections – in millions | Quarter Ending 9/30/2008 | Quarter Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2008 | Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | |||||
Inflows: | ||||||||||
Operating cash flow before changes in assets and liabilities(f)(g) | $1,250 – 1,350 | $1,350 – 1,450 | $5,550 – 5,750 | $5,650 – 6,250 | $6,500 – 7,100 | |||||
Sale of leasehold and producing properties(a) | $4,650 – 4,750 | $1,650 – 1,850 | $6,550 – 6,850 | $1,750 – 2,250 | $750 – 1,250 | |||||
Sale of producing properties via VPP’s(a) | $600 | $550 – 650 | $1,775 – 1,875 | $1,100 – 1,300 | $1,100 – 1,300 | |||||
Debt and equity offerings | $1,585 | – | $4,730 | – | – | |||||
Midstream financings | $200 – 250 | $650 – 850 | $850 – 1,100 | $650 – 850 | $650 – 850 | |||||
Proceeds from investments and other | $100 – 150 | – | $275 – 325 | $775 – 825 | $150 – 250 | |||||
Total Cash Inflows | $8,385 – 8,685 | $4,200 – 4,800 | $19,730 – 20,630 | $9,925 – 11,475 | $9,150 – 10,750 | |||||
Outflows: | ||||||||||
Drilling | $1,450 – 1,550 | $1,200 – 1,300 | $5,500 – 5,700 | $4,500 – 5,000 | $5,000 – 5,500 | |||||
Acquisition of leasehold and producing properties | $4,750 – 5,250 | $1,000 – 1,500 | $8,500 – 9,500 | $2,000 – 2,250 | $1,250 – 1,750 | |||||
Geophysical costs | $75 | $75 | $300 | $225 – 275 | $225 – 275 | |||||
Compression and other PP&E | $225 – 250 | $100 – 125 | $1,000 – 1,050 | $500 – 550 | $250 – 300 | |||||
Midstream infrastructure | $275 – 300 | $375 – 400 | $1,200 – 1,250 | $1,350 – 1,500 | $750 – 950 | |||||
Dividends, senior notes redemption, capitalized interest, etc. | $550 – 600 | $150 – 200 | $1,150 – 1,250 | $575 – 600 | $500 – 550 | |||||
Cash income taxes | – | $350 – 450 | $350 – 450 | $200 – 300 | $200 – $300 | |||||
Total Cash Outflows | $7,325 – 8,025 | $3,250 – 4,050 | $18,000 – 19,500 | $9,350 – 10,475 | $8,175 – 9,625 | |||||
Net Cash Change | $660 – 1,060 | $750 – 950 | $1,130 – 1,730 | $575 –1,000 | $975 – 1,125 | |||||
(a) | The 2008 production and cash flow forecasts reflect sales completed in the 2008 first half and both completed and anticipated sales by the company of: 1) producing properties for $600 million in the 2008 third quarter and approximately $600 million in the 2008 fourth quarter in two volumetric production payment (VPP) transactions; 2) Haynesville Shale undeveloped leasehold for $1.85 billion to PXP in the 2008 third quarter; 3) Arkoma Basin Woodford Shale properties for $1.75 billion to BP in the 2008 third quarter; 4) Arkoma Basin Fayetteville Shale properties for $1.1 billion to BP in the 2008 third quarter and 5) undeveloped leasehold in the Marcellus Shale and other areas for approximately $1.75 billion in the 2008 fourth quarter. The 2009 and 2010 production and cash flow forecasts reflect sales by the company of producing properties for approximately $1.2 billion each year in VPP transactions and undeveloped leasehold for approximately $2.0 billion in 2009 and approximately $1.0 billion in 2010. |
(b) | NYMEX oil prices have been updated for actual contract prices through August 2008 and NYMEX natural gas prices have been updated for actual contract prices through September 2008. |
(c) | Severance tax per mcfe is based on NYMEX prices of $120.06 per bbl of oil and $9.50 to $10.50 per mcf of natural gas during Q3 2008; $110.00 per bbl of oil and $7.00 to $8.00 per mcf of natural gas during Q4 2008; $112.99 per bbl of oil and $8.25 to $9.50 per mcf of natural gas during calendar 2008; $110.00 per bbl of oil and $7.00 to $8.50 per mcf of natural gas during 2009; and $120.00 per bbl of oil and $7.00 to $8.50 per mcf of natural gas during 2010. |
(d) | Excludes expenses associated with noncash stock compensation. |
(e) | Does not include gains or losses on interest rate derivatives (SFAS 133). |
(f) | A non-GAAP financial measure. We are unable to provide a reconciliation to projected cash provided by operating activities, the most comparable GAAP measure, because of uncertainties associated with projecting future changes in assets and liabilities. |
(g) | Assumes NYMEX natural gas of $7.50 to $8.50 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $110.00 per bbl. |
(i) | For swap instruments, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price to the counterparty. The fixed-price payment and the floating-price payment are netted, resulting in a net amount due to or from the counterparty. |
(ii) | Basis protection swaps are arrangements that guarantee a price differential for oil or natural gas from a |
(iii) | For knockout swaps, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for the possibility to reduce the counterparty’s exposure to zero, in any given month, if the floating market price is lower than certain predetermined knockout prices. |
(iv) | For cap-swaps, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for a "cap" limiting the counterparty's exposure. In other words, there is no limit to Chesapeake's exposure but there is a limit to the downside exposure of the counterparty |
(v) | For written call options, Chesapeake receives a premium from the counterparty in exchange for the sale of a call option. If the market price exceeds the fixed price of the call option, Chesapeake pays the counterparty such excess. If the market price settles below the fixed price of the call option, no payment is due from Chesapeake. |
(vi) | Collars contain a fixed floor price (put) and ceiling price (call). If the market price exceeds the call strike price or falls below the put strike price, Chesapeake receives the fixed price and pays the market price. If the market price is between the call and the put strike price, no payments are due from either party. |
(vii) | A three-way collar contract consists of a standard collar contract plus a written put option with a strike price below the floor price of the collar. In addition to the settlement of the collar, the put option requires Chesapeake to make a payment to the counterparty equal to the difference between the put option price and the settlement price if the settlement price for any settlement period is below the put option strike price. |
Open Swaps in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price of Open Swaps | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | Total Gains (Losses) from Lifted Swaps ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gain (Loss) per Mcf of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q3 2008 | 154.5 | $8.99 | 198 | 78% | $38.8 | $0.20 |
Q4 2008 | 147.5 | $9.43 | 199 | 74% | $53.4 | $0.27 |
Q3-Q4 2008(1) | 302.0 | $9.21 | 397 | 76% | $92.2 | $0.23 |
Total 2009(1) | 570.1 | $9.54 | 903 | 63% | ($135.9) | ($0.15) |
Total 2010(1) | 470.0 | $9.70 | 1,052 | 45% | ($68.9) | ($0.07) |
(1) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices ranging from $5.45 to $7.50 covering 138 bcf in 2008, $5.45 to $7.50 covering 356 bcf in 2009 and $5.45 to $7.50 covering 318 bcf in 2010. |
Open Collars in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. NYMEX Ceiling Price | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Collars as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q3 2008 | 8.3 | $8.17 | $10.26 | 198 | 4% |
Q4 2008 | 6.5 | $8.04 | $10.33 | 199 | 3% |
Q3-Q4 2008 | 14.8 | $8.11 | $10.29 | 397 | 4% |
Total 2009(1) | 63.9 | $8.05 | $11.18 | 903 | 7% |
Total 2010(1) | 25.6 | $7.71 | $11.46 | 1,052 | 2% |
(1) | Certain collar arrangements include three-way collars that include written put options with strike prices ranging from $5.50 to $6.00 covering 38 bcf in 2009 and at $6.00 to $6.50 covering 4 bcf in 2010. |
Call Options in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Call Price | Avg. Premium per mcf | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Call Options as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q3 2008 | 25.2 | $10.25 | $0.86 | 198 | 13% |
Q4 2008 | 34.0 | $10.39 | $0.70 | 199 | 17% |
Q3-Q4 2008 | 59.2 | $10.32 | $0.78 | 397 | 15% |
Total 2009 | 225.5 | $11.37 | $0.61 | 903 | 25% |
Total 2010 | 231.8 | $10.77 | $0.72 | 1,052 | 22% |
Mid-Continent | Appalachia | ||||||
Volume in Bcf’s | NYMEX less*: | Volume in Bcf’s | NYMEX plus*: | ||||
2008 | 65.7 | $ 0.47 | 11.6 | $ 0.33 | |||
2009 | 77.1 | 0.35 | 16.9 | 0.28 | |||
2010 | — | — | 10.2 | 0.26 | |||
2011 | 32.2 | 0.68 | 12.1 | 0.25 | |||
2012 | 30.4 | 0.49 | — | — | |||
Totals | 205.4 | $ 0.46 | 50.8 | $ 0.28 | |||
Open Swaps in Bcf’s | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price Of Open Swaps (per Mcf) | Avg. Fair Value Upon Acquisition of Open Swaps (per Mcf) | Initial Liability Acquired (per Mcf) | Assuming Natural Gas Production in Bcf’s of: | Open Swap Positions as a % o f Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | |
Q3 2008 | 9.7 | $4.68 | $7.41 | ($2.74) | 198 | 5% |
Q4 2008 | 9.7 | $4.66 | $7.84 | ($3.17) | 199 | 5% |
Q3-Q4 2008 | 19.4 | $4.67 | $7.62 | ($2.95) | 397 | 5% |
Total 2009 | 18.3 | $5.18 | $7.28 | ($2.10) | 903 | 2% |
Open Swaps in mbbls | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price | Assuming Oil Production in mbbls of: | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Oil Production | Total Losses from Lifted Swaps ($ millions) | Total Lifted Losses per bbl of Estimated Total Oil Production | |
Q3 2008 | 1,979 | $76.45 | 2,825 | 70% | ($4.6) | ($1.63) |
Q4 2008 | 1,702 | $77.57 | 2,825 | 60% | ($4.7) | ($1.68) |
Q3-Q4 2008(1) | 3,681 | $76.97 | 5,650 | 65% | ($9.3) | ($1.66) |
Total 2009(1) | 8,395 | $82.33 | 12,000 | 70% | — | — |
Total 2010(1) | 4,745 | $90.25 | 13,000 | 37% | — | — |
(1) | Certain hedging arrangements include cap-swaps and knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices ranging from $45.00 to $65.00 covering 2,148 mbbls in 2008, from $52.50 to $60.00 covering 7,848 mbbls in 2009 and $60.00 covering 4,745 mbbls in 2010. |