- EXE Dashboard
- Financials
- Filings
-
Holdings
- Transcripts
- ETFs
- Insider
- Institutional
- Shorts
-
8-K Filing
Expand Energy (EXE) 8-KRegulation FD Disclosure
Filed: 4 Jan 10, 12:00am
1) | Projected production volumes have been updated to reflect the production loss from the expected sale of 25% of our Barnett assets to Total (initially approximately 175 mmcfe per day) and production gains from the ongoing outperformance of our drilling programs. We believe these two factors will cancel each other in 2010 and therefore our 2010 production guidance remains unchanged at 2,650 mmcfe per day. However, we have increased our 2011 production forecast by 50 mmcfe per day to reflect the anticipated ongoing outperformance of our drilling programs; |
2) | Projected effects of changes in our hedging positions have been updated; and |
3) | Our cash flow projections have been updated. |
Year Ending 12/31/2010 | Year Ending 12/31/2011 | ||||||
Estimated Production: | |||||||
Natural gas – bcf | 882 – 902 | 1,022 – 1,047 | |||||
Oil – mbbls | 12,500 | 13,000 | |||||
Natural gas equivalent – bcfe | 957 – 977 | 1,100 – 1,125 | |||||
Daily natural gas equivalent midpoint – mmcfe | 2,650 | 3,050 | |||||
Year-over-year estimated production increase | 6 – 8% | 14 – 16% | |||||
Year-over-year estimated production increase excluding divestitures and curtailments | 12 – 14% | 15 – 17% | |||||
NYMEX Price (for calculation of realized hedging effects only): | |||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $7.00 | $7.50 | |||||
Oil - $/bbl | $80.00 | $80.00 | |||||
Estimated Realized Hedging Effects (based on assumed NYMEX prices above): | |||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $0.70 | $0.23 | |||||
Oil - $/bbl | $4.74 | $8.30 | |||||
Estimated Differentials to NYMEX Prices: | |||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | 15 – 25% | 15 – 25% | |||||
Oil - $/bbl | 7 – 10% | 7 – 10% | |||||
Operating Costs per Mcfe of Projected Production: | |||||||
Production expense | $0.90 – 1.10 | $0.90 – 1.10 | |||||
Production taxes (~ 5% of O&G revenues) | $0.30 – 0.35 | $0.30 – 0.35 | |||||
General and administrative(a) | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | |||||
Stock-based compensation (non-cash) | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | |||||
DD&A of natural gas and oil assets | $1.50 – 1.70 | $1.50 – 1.70 | |||||
Depreciation of other assets | $0.20 – 0.25 | $0.20 – 0.25 | |||||
Interest expense(b) | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.35 – 0.40 | |||||
Other Income per Mcfe: | |||||||
Marketing, gathering and compression net margin | $0.07 – 0.09 | $0.07 – 0.09 | |||||
Service operations net margin | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | |||||
Equity in income of midstream joint venture (CMP) | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | |||||
Book Tax Rate (all deferred) | 39% | 39% | |||||
Equivalent Shares Outstanding (in millions): | |||||||
Basic | 625 – 630 | 635 – 640 | |||||
Diluted | 640 – 645 | 645 – 650 |
Year Ending 12/31/2010 | Year Ending 12/31/2011 | |||
Cash Flow Projections ($ in millions): | ||||
Operating cash flow before changes in assets and liabilities(c)(d) | $4,450 – 4,750 | $5,000 – 5,600 | ||
Net leasehold and producing property transactions | $1,300 – 1,700 | $1,000 – 1,300 | ||
Drilling capital expenditures | ($4,000 – 4,300) | ($4,100 – 4,400) | ||
Dividends, capitalized interest, cash income taxes, etc. | ($350 – 400) | ($450 – 550) | ||
Other | ($500 – 600) | ($250 – 300) | ||
Projected Net Cash Change | $900 – 1,150 | $1,200 – 1,650 | ||
(a) | Excludes expenses associated with noncash stock compensation. |
(b) | Does not include gains or losses on interest rate derivatives (ASC 815). |
(c) | A non-GAAP financial measure. We are unable to provide a reconciliation to projected cash provided by operating activities, the most comparable GAAP measure, because of uncertainties associated with projecting future changes in assets and liabilities. |
(d) | Assumes NYMEX natural gas prices of $6.50 to $7.50 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $80.00 per bbl in 2010 and NYMEX natural gas prices of $ 7.00 to $8.00 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $80.00 per bbl in 2011. |
1) | Swaps: Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price to the counterparty for the hedged commodity. |
2) | Collars: These instruments contain a fixed floor price (put) and ceiling price (call). If the market price exceeds the call strike price or falls below the put strike price, Chesapeake receives the fixed price and pays the market price. If the market price is between the put and the call strike price, no payments are due from either party. On occasion, we make a three-way collar by selling an additional put option with the collar in exchange for a more favorable strike price on the collar. This eliminates the counterparty’s downside exposure below the second put option. |
3) | Knockout swaps: Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for the possibility to reduce the counterparty’s exposure to zero, in any given month, if the floating market price is lower than certain pre-determined knockout prices. |
4) | Call options: Chesapeake receives a premium from the counterparty in exchange for the sale of a call option. If the market price exceeds the fixed price of the call option, Chesapeake pays the counterparty such excess. If the market price settles below the fixed price of the call option, no payment is due from either party. |
5) | Basis protection swaps: These instruments are arrangements that guarantee a price differential to NYMEX for natural gas from a specified delivery point. For non-Appalachian Basin basis protection swaps, which typically have negative differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract. For Appalachian Basin basis protection swaps, which typically have positive differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract. |
Open Swaps (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price of Open Swaps | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | Total Gains from Lifted Trades ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gain per Mcf of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||||
Q1 2010 | 97 | $7.46 | $35.9 | ||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 99 | $7.27 | $37.9 | ||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 94 | $7.54 | $65.7 | ||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 96 | $7.69 | $65.2 | ||||||||||
Total 2010(a) | 386 | $7.49 | 892 | 43% | $204.7 | $0.23 | |||||||
Total 2011(a) | 64 | $8.69 | 1,035 | 6% | $62.7 | $0.06 |
(a) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure at $5.50 to $6.75 covering 15 bcf in 2010 and $5.75 to 6.50 covering 24 bcf in 2011. |
Open Collars (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. NYMEX Ceiling Price | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Open Collars as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||
Q1 2010 | 43 | $6.49 | $8.51 | |||||||
Q2 2010 | 16 | $7.04 | $9.17 | |||||||
Q3 2010 | 4 | $7.60 | $11.75 | |||||||
Q4 2010 | 4 | $7.60 | $11.75 | |||||||
Total 2010(a) | 67 | $6.75 | $9.03 | 892 | 8% | |||||
Total 2011 | 7 | $7.70 | $11.50 | 1,035 | 1% |
(a) | Certain collar arrangements include three-way collars that include written put options with a strike price ranging from $4.25 to $4.35 covering 12 bcf in 2010. |
Call Options (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. Premium per mcf | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Call Options as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||
Q1 2010 | 28 | $10.19 | $1.47 | |||||||
Q2 2010 | 38 | $9.87 | $1.11 | |||||||
Q3 2010 | 43 | $9.93 | $0.98 | |||||||
Q4 2010 | 43 | $10.10 | $0.98 | |||||||
Total 2010 | 152 | $10.01 | $1.10 | 892 | 17% | |||||
Total 2011 | 73 | $10.25 | $0.57 | 1,035 | 7% |
Non-Appalachia | Appalachia | |||||||
Volume (Bcf) | NYMEX less(a) | Volume (Bcf) | NYMEX plus(a) | |||||
2010 | — | — | 10 | 0.26 | ||||
2011 | 45 | 0.82 | 12 | 0.25 | ||||
2012 | 43 | 0.85 | — | — | ||||
Totals | 88 | $0.84 | 22 | $0.26 |
(a) | weighted average |
Open Swaps (mbbls) | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price | Assuming Oil Production (mbbls) | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Oil Production | Total Gains (Losses) from Lifted Trades ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gains (Losses) per bbl of Estimated Total Oil Production | ||||||
Q1 2010 | 1,980 | $89.56 | — | — | $(4.0) | — | |||||
Q2 2010 | 2,002 | $89.56 | — | — | $(4.0) | — | |||||
Q3 2010 | 2,024 | $89.56 | — | — | $(4.2) | — | |||||
Q4 2010 | 2,024 | $89.56 | — | — | $(4.2) | — | |||||
Total 2010(a) | 8,030 | $89.56 | 12,500 | 64% | $(16.4) | $(1.31) | |||||
Total 2011(a) | 3,285 | $96.09 | 13,000 | 25% | $32.8 | $2.53 |
(a) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices of $60.00 covering 5 mmbbls and 1 mmbbls in 2010 and 2011, respectively. |
1) | Projected effects of changes in our hedging positions have been updated; |
2) | Our NYMEX natural gas and oil price assumptions for realized hedging effects and estimating future operating cash flow have been updated; and |
3) | Our cash flow projections have been updated. |
Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | Year Ending 12/31/2011 | |||||||
Estimated Production: | |||||||||
Natural gas – bcf | 815 – 825 | 882 – 902 | 1,007 – 1,027 | ||||||
Oil – mbbls | 12,000 | 12,500 | 13,000 | ||||||
Natural gas equivalent – bcfe | 885 – 895 | 957 – 977 | 1,085 – 1,105 | ||||||
Daily natural gas equivalent midpoint – mmcfe | 2,440 | 2,650 | 3,000 | ||||||
Year-over-year estimated production increase | 5 – 6% | 8 – 10% | 12 – 14% | ||||||
Year-over-year estimated production increase excluding divestitures and curtailments | 9 – 10% | 10 – 12% | 13 – 15% | ||||||
NYMEX Prices (a) (for calculation of realized hedging effects only): | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $3.91 | $7.00 | $7.50 | ||||||
Oil - $/bbl | $57.75 | $80.00 | $80.00 | ||||||
Estimated Realized Hedging Effects (based on assumed NYMEX prices above): | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | $2.97 | $0.85 | $0.22 | ||||||
Oil - $/bbl | $3.78 | $1.99 | $5.71 | ||||||
Estimated Differentials to NYMEX Prices: | |||||||||
Natural gas - $/mcf | 20 – 30% | 15 – 25% | 15 – 25% | ||||||
Oil - $/bbl | 7 – 10% | 7 – 10% | 7 – 10% | ||||||
Operating Costs per Mcfe of Projected Production: | |||||||||
Production expense | $1.10 – 1.20 | $0.90 – 1.10 | $0.90 – 1.10 | ||||||
Production taxes (~ 5% of O&G revenues)(b) | $0.20 – 0.25 | $0.30 – 0.35 | $0.30 – 0.35 | ||||||
General and administrative(c) | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | $0.33 – 0.37 | ||||||
Stock-based compensation (non-cash) | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.10 – 0.12 | ||||||
DD&A of natural gas and oil assets | $1.50 – 1.70 | $1.50 – 1.70 | $1.50 – 1.70 | ||||||
Depreciation of other assets | $0.25 – 0.30 | $0.20 – 0.25 | $0.20 – 0.25 | ||||||
Interest expense(d) | $0.30 – 0.35 | $0.35 – 0.40 | $0.35 – 0.40 | ||||||
Other Income per Mcfe: | |||||||||
Marketing, gathering and compression net margin | $0.10 – 0.12 | $0.07 – 0.09 | $0.07 – 0.09 | ||||||
Service operations net margin | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | ||||||
Equity in income of midstream joint venture (CMP) | – | $0.04 – 0.06 | $0.04 – 0.06 | ||||||
Book Tax Rate (all deferred) | 37.5% | 39% | 39% | ||||||
Equivalent Shares Outstanding (in millions): | |||||||||
Basic | 610 – 615 | 625 – 630 | 635 – 640 | ||||||
Diluted | 625 – 630 | 640 – 645 | 645 – 650 |
Year Ending 12/31/2009 | Year Ending 12/31/2010 | Year Ending 12/31/2011 | ||||
Cash Flow Projections ($ in millions): | ||||||
Operating cash flow before changes in assets and liabilities(e)(f) | $3,700 – 3,750 | $4,350 – 5,050 | $4,750 – 5,450 | |||
Net leasehold and producing property transactions | $750 – 900 | $1,000 – 1,350 | $900 – 1,250 | |||
Drilling capital expenditures | ($3,150 – 3,350) | ($4,400 – 4,700) | ($4,600 – 4,900) | |||
Dividends, senior notes redemption, capitalized interest, cash income taxes, etc. | ($600 – 825) | ($400 – 500) | ($450 – 550) | |||
Other | ($375 – 550) | ($225 – 300) | ($50 – 125) | |||
Projected Net Cash Change | ($75) – 325 | $325 – 900 | $550 – 1,125 | |||
(a) | NYMEX natural gas prices have been updated for actual contract prices through November 2009 and NYMEX oil prices have been updated for actual contract prices through September 2009. |
(b) | Production tax per mcfe is based on NYMEX prices of $57.75 per bbl of oil and $4.75 to $6.25 per mcf of natural gas during 2009 and $80.00 per bbl of oil and $7.00 to $8.25 per mcf of natural gas during 2010 and 2011. |
(c) | Excludes expenses associated with noncash stock compensation. |
(d) | Does not include gains or losses on interest rate derivatives (ASC 815). |
(e) | A non-GAAP financial measure. We are unable to provide a reconciliation to projected cash provided by operating activities, the most comparable GAAP measure, because of uncertainties associated with projecting future changes in assets and liabilities. |
(f) | Assumes NYMEX natural gas prices of $5.00 to $6.00 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $57.75 per bbl in 2009, NYMEX natural gas prices of $6.50 to $7.50 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $80.00 per bbl in 2010 and NYMEX natural gas prices of $ 7.00 to $8.00 per mcf and NYMEX oil prices of $80.00 per bbl in 2011. |
1) | For swap instruments, Chesapeake receives a fixed price for the commodity and pays a floating market price to the counterparty. |
2) | Collars contain a fixed floor price (put) and ceiling price (call). If the market price exceeds the call strike price or falls below the put strike price, Chesapeake receives the fixed price and pays the market price. If the market price is between the call and the put strike price, no payments are due from either party. |
3) | For knockout swaps, Chesapeake receives a fixed price and pays a floating market price. The fixed price received by Chesapeake includes a premium in exchange for the possibility to reduce the counterparty’s exposure to zero, in any given month, if the floating market price is lower than certain pre-determined knockout prices. |
4) | For written call options, Chesapeake receives a premium from the counterparty in exchange for the sale of a call option. If the market price exceeds the fixed price of the call option, Chesapeake pays the counterparty such excess. If the market price settles below the fixed price of the call option, no payment is due from Chesapeake. |
5) | Basis protection swaps are arrangements that guarantee a price differential to NYMEX for natural gas from a specified delivery point. For non-Appalachian Basin basis protection swaps, which typically have negative differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract. For Appalachian Basin basis protection swaps, which typically have positive differentials to NYMEX, Chesapeake receives a payment from the counterparty if the price differential is less than the stated terms of the contract and pays the counterparty if the price differential is greater than the stated terms of the contract. |
6) | A three-way collar contract consists of a standard collar contract plus a written put option with a strike price below the floor price of the collar. In addition to the settlement of the collar, the put option requires Chesapeake to make a payment to the counterparty equal to the difference between the put option price and the settlement price if the settlement price for any settlement period is below the put option strike price. |
Open Swaps (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price of Open Swaps | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | Total Gains from Lifted Trades ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gain per Mcf of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||||
Q4 2009(a) | 107.2 | $6.83 | 210 | 51% | $114.2 | $0.54 | |||||||
Q1 2010 | 28.7 | $9.84 | $50.6 | ||||||||||
Q2 2010 | 27.5 | $8.83 | $52.7 | ||||||||||
Q3 2010 | 31.7 | $9.60 | $60.1 | ||||||||||
Q4 2010 | 33.0 | $9.77 | $59.5 | ||||||||||
Total 2010(a) | 120.9 | $9.53 | 892 | 14% | $222.9 | $0.25 | |||||||
Total 2011(a) | 23.7 | $9.86 | 1,017 | 2% | $62.7 | $0.06 |
(a) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure at $6.00 covering 1 bcf for the remainder of 2009, $5.45 to $6.75 covering 70 bcf in 2010 and $5.75 to 6.50 covering 24 bcf in 2011. |
Open Collars (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. NYMEX Ceiling Price | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Open Collars as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||
Q4 2009(a) | 52.1 | $7.34 | $8.88 | 210 | 25% | |||||
Q1 2010 | 43.2 | $6.49 | $8.51 | |||||||
Q2 2010 | 16.4 | $7.04 | $9.17 | |||||||
Q3 2010 | 3.7 | $7.60 | $11.75 | |||||||
Q4 2010 | 3.7 | $7.60 | $11.75 | |||||||
Total 2010(a) | 67.0 | $6.75 | $9.03 | 892 | 8% | |||||
Total 2011 | 7.2 | $7.70 | $11.50 | 1,017 | 1% |
(a) | Certain collar arrangements include three-way collars that include written put options with a strike price of $6.00 covering 11 bcf for the remainder of 2009 and ranging from $4.25 to $5.50 covering 26 bcf in 2010. |
Call Options (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Floor Price | Avg. Premium per mcf | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Call Options as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||
Q4 2009 | 9.7 | $6.51 | $2.25 | 210 | 5% | |||||
Q1 2010 | 69.3 | $10.26 | $0.61 | |||||||
Q2 2010 | 74.6 | $10.08 | $0.56 | |||||||
Q3 2010 | 75.4 | $10.17 | $0.56 | |||||||
Q4 2010 | 75.4 | $10.27 | $0.56 | |||||||
Total 2010 | 294.7 | $10.19 | $0.57 | 892 | 33% | |||||
Total 2011 | 73.1 | $10.25 | $0.57 | 1,017 | 7% |
Non-Appalachia | Appalachia | |||||||
Volume (Bcf) | NYMEX less(a) | Volume (Bcf) | NYMEX plus(a) | |||||
2009 | 10.4 | $1.64 | 4.4 | $0.27 | ||||
2010 | — | — | 10.2 | 0.26 | ||||
2011 | 45.1 | 0.82 | 12.1 | 0.25 | ||||
2012 | 43.2 | 0.85 | — | — | ||||
Totals | 98.7 | $0.92 | 26.7 | $0.26 |
(a) | weighted average |
Open Swaps (Bcf) | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price Of Open Swaps | Avg. Fair Value Upon Acquisition of Open Swaps | Initial Liability Acquired | Assuming Natural Gas Production (Bcf) | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Natural Gas Production | ||||||
Q4 2009 | 4.6 | $5.18 | $7.32 | $(2.14) | 210 | 2% |
Open Swaps (mbbls) | Avg. NYMEX Strike Price | Assuming Oil Production (mbbls) | Open Swap Positions as a % of Estimated Total Oil Production | Total Gains (Losses) from Lifted Trades ($ millions) | Total Lifted Gains (Losses) per bbl of Estimated Total Oil Production | ||||||
Q4 2009 | 1,058 | $87.05 | 2,947 | 36% | $9.4 | $3.20 | |||||
Q1 2010 | 1,170 | $90.25 | — | — | $(4.0) | — | |||||
Q2 2010 | 1,183 | $90.25 | — | — | $(4.0) | — | |||||
Q3 2010 | 1,196 | $90.25 | — | — | $(4.2) | — | |||||
Q4 2010 | 1,196 | $90.25 | — | — | $(4.2) | — | |||||
Total 2010(a) | 4,745 | $90.25 | 12,500 | 38% | $(16.4) | $(1.31) | |||||
Total 2011(a) | 1,095 | $104.75 | 13,000 | 8% | $32.8 | $2.53 |
(a) | Certain hedging arrangements include knockout swaps with provisions limiting the counterparty’s exposure below prices ranging from $50.00 to $60.00 covering 1 mmbbls for the remainder of 2009 and $60.00 covering 5 mmbbls and 1 mmbbls in 2010 and 2011, respectively. |