Dear Fellow Shareholders:
We are pleased to present you with this semi-annual report for Value Line Small Cap Opportunities Fund, Inc. and Value Line Asset Allocation Fund, Inc. (individually, a “Fund” and collectively, the “Funds”) for the six months ended September 30, 2018.
The semi-annual period was highlighted by each Fund being recognized for both its long-term performance and attractive risk and return profiles.
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Value Line Small Cap Opportunities Fund, Inc.* outpaced the category average return of its peers for the five-year period ended September 30, 2018 (small growth category), as measured by Morningstar.1 Additionally, Morningstar gave the Fund an overall Risk rating of Low.i
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Value Line Asset Allocation Fund, Inc.* outpaced the category average return of its peers for the one-, three-, five- and ten-year periods ended September 30, 2018 (allocation 50% to 70% equity category), as measured by Morningstar,1 and placed in the top 14% of funds in its category across all time periods. Additionally, the Fund earned an overall five-star rating from Morningstar2 in the allocation 50% to 70% equity category among 703 funds as of September 30, 2018 based on risk-adjusted returns. Morningstar gave the Fund an overall Return rating of Above Average.ii
On the following pages, the Funds’ portfolio managers discuss the management of their respective Fund(s) during the semi-annual period. The discussions highlight key factors influencing recent performance of the Funds. You will also find a schedule of investments and financial statements for each Fund.
Before reviewing the performance of your individual mutual fund investment, we encourage you to take a brief look at the major factors affecting the financial markets during the six months ended September 30, 2018, especially given the newsworthy events of the semi-annual period.
Economic Review
Investors who reached for return in the capital markets during the semi-annual period were generally well-rewarded in the “risk on” environment that dominated. The U.S. equity market, as represented by the S&P 500® Index3, grew 11.41%, and within fixed income, spread, or non-government bond, sectors significantly outperformed more reduced-risk U.S. Treasuries.
Supporting this “risk on” environment was a backdrop of strong economic growth and moderate inflation both at home and globally. For the second quarter of 2018, U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) registered 4.2% on an annualized basis, stronger than the 2.0% annualized growth rate in the first quarter of 2018 and the best such reading since the third quarter of 2014. U.S. GDP for the third quarter of 2018 is expected by some to be even higher, based on the latest new home sales and costs and durable manufacturing reports. Others feel the pace of expansion may cool from the second quarter as the tax cut boost fades, a trade war threatens business demand, severe hurricanes impact consumer spending in some areas of the country, and the U.S. Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) raises interest rates further.
Throughout the semi-annual period, the labor market remained healthy. Unemployment fell from 4.1% in March 2018 to 3.7% in September 2018, the lowest rate in 48 years. Nonfarm payroll gains averaged 200,000 for the semi-annual period. Average hourly earnings gains picked up, starting the semi-annual period at 2.6% and ending September at 2.9% — the first sign the strong labor market is pushing up wages, albeit modestly. Manufacturing remained strong, with the ISM Manufacturing report registering readings near or at an especially robust 60. Inflation, which had been below 2% for a long time, started to edge up, reaching a 2% annualized rate by the end of the semi-annual period, as measured by the Fed’s favored indicator, the core Personal Consumption Expenditure Year over Year Index, which excludes food and energy.
Against this backdrop, the Fed continued its increasingly restrictive monetary policy, raising the targeted federal rate twice during the semi-annual period — in June and September 2018 — to a range of 2.00% to 2.25%. At its latest meeting, there was consensus among Fed policymakers that they intend to continue to hike interest rates, as they seek to counteract the strong economic growth and prevent inflation from getting too high due, in part, to strong economic growth. In the past, rising interest rates and tightening monetary policy have served to eventually reduce economic growth rates. However, historically speaking, interest rates at the end of the semi-annual period remained at low levels, and importantly, inflation remained contained, both factors potentially supporting ongoing healthy economic growth.
Also playing a role in accelerating U.S. economic growth during the semi-annual period were developments on the political front. The current U.S. Administration’s pro-growth tax reform package as well as its deregulation efforts have been two of several factors that have both increased optimism among business leaders and supported higher corporate profits, more than offsetting concerns surrounding newly-implemented tariffs and the resulting trade wars and geopolitical tensions. As an example, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose from 92 to 108 during the six months ended September 30, 2018.