Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
11,999
11,995
Total operating expenses
226,878
224,115
Investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
Investment income, net of expenses
11,672
13,978
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
(24,579
)
1,890
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
7,978
12,518
Total investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
(4,929
)
28,386
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
44,481
79,683
Provision for income taxes
14,251
24,592
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax
(253
)
1,270
Net income
$
29,977
$
56,361
Net income per share:
Class A common stock – basic
$
0.57
$
0.97
Class A common stock – diluted
0.51
0.88
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
84.57
149.01
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Class A common stock – basic
52,827,878
57,691,289
Class A common stock – diluted
58,965,265
63,906,458
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
2,551
2,573
Dividends declared per share:
Class A common stock
$
0.44
$
0.40
Class B common stock
66.00
60.00
1
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS
(amounts in thousands, except per share data)
Three
Three
months
months
ended
ended
March 31,
March 31,
2008
2007
(Unaudited)
Management operations
Management fee revenue
$
229,599
$
228,645
Service agreement revenue
7,391
7,418
Total revenue from management operations
236,990
236,063
Cost of management operations
191,660
190,385
Income from management operations
45,330
45,678
Insurance underwriting operations
Premiums earned
51,926
51,974
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
33,760
32,234
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
14,086
14,121
Total losses and expenses
47,846
46,355
Underwriting income
4,080
5,619
Investment operations
Investment income, net of expenses
11,672
13,978
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
(24,579
)
1,890
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
7,978
12,518
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
(272
)
1,366
Net (loss) revenue from investment operations
(5,201
)
29,752
Income before income taxes
44,209
81,049
Provision for income taxes
14,232
24,688
Net income
$
29,977
$
56,361
Net income per share – Class A basic
$
0.57
$
0.97
Net income per share – Class A diluted
0.51
0.88
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
84.57
149.01
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
58,965
63,906
Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.
2
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME
Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures
We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Operating incomeis net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.
Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.
We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.
The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended March 31, 2008 and 2007:
Three
Three
months ended
months ended
March 31,
March 31,
2008
2007
(Unaudited)
(Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
Operating income
$
45,953
$
55,133
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
(24,579
)
1,890
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
8,603
(662
)
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
(15,976
)
1,228
Net income
$
29,977
$
56,361
Three months
Three months
ended
ended
March 31,
March 31,
2008
2007
(Unaudited)
(Unaudited)
Per Class A share – diluted:
Operating income
$
0.78
$
0.86
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
(0.42
)
0.03
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
0.15
(0.01
)
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
(0.27
)
0.02
Net income
$
0.51
$
0.88
3
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
(amounts in thousands, except per share data)
March 31,
December 31,
2008
2007
(Unaudited)
Assets
Investments
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:
Fixed maturities
$
659,470
$
703,406
Equity securities
107,967
218,270
Trading securities, at fair value
110,664
0
Other invested assets
295,019
297,059
Total investments
1,173,120
1,218,735
Cash and cash equivalents
31,201
31,070
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance
58,977
59,046
Premiums receivable from policyholders
241,098
243,612
Receivables from affiliates
1,194,352
1,177,830
Other assets
152,208
148,330
Total assets
$
2,850,956
$
2,878,623
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
Liabilities
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
1,017,054
$
1,026,531
Unearned premiums
417,298
421,263
Other liabilities
420,644
379,550
Total liabilities
1,854,996
1,827,344
Total shareholders’ equity
995,960
1,051,279
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
$
2,850,956
$
2,878,623
Book value per share
$
17.10
$
17.68
Shares outstanding
58,257
59,461
4
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS
Three
Three
months ended
months ended
March 31,
March 31,
2008
2007
(dollars in thousands)
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis)
Direct underwriting results
Direct written premium
$
918,396
$
918,178
Premiums earned
937,819
942,157
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
603,390
572,327
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
254,862
257,102
Total losses and expenses
858,252
829,429
Direct underwriting income
79,567
112,728
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
210
(2,898
)
Assumed involuntary
(791
)
(1,364
)
Less: Ceded
9,043
7,815
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting loss
(9,624
)
(12,077
)
Net underwriting income (SAP basis)
$
69,943
$
100,651
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis)
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
5.50
%
5.50
%
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis)
$
3,847
$
5,536
SAP to GAAP adjustments
233
83
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis)
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – redundancy
(5.3
)
(10.3
)
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
(3.3
)
(3.1
)
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
(8.6
)
(13.4
)
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
1.6
0.5
Erie Indemnity Company
GAAP combined ratio
92.1
89.2
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
1.6
0.5
SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).
5Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:
The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.
Three
Three
months ended
months ended
March 31,
March 31,
2008
2007
(dollars in thousands)
Statutory accounting basis
(Unaudited)
Premiums earned
$
887,492
$
889,551
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
underwriting expenses
821,418
794,427
Net underwriting income
66,074
95,124
Total investment income
30,229
136,646
Income before income taxes
96,303
231,770
Federal income tax expense
60,800
71,992
Net income
$
35,503
$
159,778
As of
As of
March 31,
December 31,
2008
2007
(dollars in thousands)
Statutory accounting basis
(Unaudited)
Cash and invested assets
$
8,811,249
$
8,927,997
Other assets
1,142,810
1,033,852
Total assets
$
9,954,059
$
9,961,849
Loss, loss adjustments expense and
unearned premium reserves
$
4,826,374
$
4,848,549
Other liabilities
406,574
345,776
Total liabilities
5,232,948
5,194,325
Policyholders’ surplus
4,721,111
4,767,524
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
$
9,954,059
$
9,961,849
6
Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:
Three months
Three months
ended
ended
March 31,
March 31,
%
2008
2007
Change
(dollars in thousands)
Private passenger auto
$
109,250
$
108,676
0.5
%
Homeowners
37,784
37,093
1.9
Commercial multi-peril
28,744
28,764
-0.1
Workers compensation
21,214
22,976
-7.7
Commercial auto
20,718
20,792
-0.4
All other lines of business
11,889
11,244
5.7
229,599
229,545
0.0
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
0
(900
)
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
$
229,599
$
228,645
0.4
%
Management fee rate
25.00
%
25.00
%
7
Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private
12-mth.
12-mth.
12-mth.
Total
12-mth.
Passenger
growth
growth
All Other
growth
Personal
growth
Date
Auto
rate
Homeowners
rate
Personal Lines
rate
Lines
rate
03/31/2006
1,636,048
(1.6
)%
1,356,885
1.0
%
289,964
3.6
%
3,282,897
(0.1
)%
06/30/2006
1,637,472
(1.3
)
1,366,633
1.2
294,409
4.2
3,298,514
0.2
09/30/2006
1,636,947
(0.9
)
1,373,763
1.4
298,361
4.6
3,309,071
0.5
12/31/2006
1,633,882
(0.4
)
1,377,965
1.8
301,497
5.2
3,313,344
1.0
03/31/2007
1,635,714
0.0
1,384,856
2.1
305,591
5.4
3,326,161
1.3
06/30/2007
1,644,561
0.4
1,398,034
2.3
311,761
5.9
3,354,356
1.7
09/30/2007
1,649,801
0.8
1,408,114
2.5
316,786
6.2
3,374,701
2.0
12/31/2007
1,651,234
1.1
1,413,712
2.6
321,431
6.6
3,386,377
2.2
03/31/2008
1,655,869
1.2
1,420,250
2.6
325,926
6.7
3,402,045
2.3
12-mth.
CML*
12-mth.
12-mth.
12-mth.
Total
12-mth.
CML*
growth
Multi-
growth
Workers
growth
All Other
growth
CML*
growth
Date
Auto
rate
Peril
rate
Comp.
rate
CML* Lines
rate
Lines
rate
03/31/2006
118,587
1.0
%
214,461
2.3
%
55,254
(4.7
)%
90,301
2.8
%
478,603
1.2
%
06/30/2006
119,471
0.9
217,134
2.4
54,871
(4.4
)
91,568
2.9
483,044
1.3
09/30/2006
119,555
0.8
217,763
2.3
54,379
(4.4
)
92,687
2.9
484,384
1.2
12/31/2006
119,801
0.9
218,542
2.4
53,923
(4.1
)
92,687
2.7
484,953
1.3
03/31/2007
119,907
1.1
219,300
2.3
53,498
(3.2
)
92,857
2.8
485,562
1.5
06/30/2007
121,587
1.8
223,670
3.0
53,955
(1.7
)
94,612
3.3
493,824
2.2
09/30/2007
122,154
2.2
226,302
3.9
54,341
(0.1
)
96,167
3.8
498,964
3.0
12/31/2007
122,558
2.3
228,214
4.4
54,720
1.5
96,464
4.1
501,956
3.5
03/31/2008
122,882
2.5
229,577
4.7
54,927
2.7
96,511
3.9
503,897
3.8
12-mth.
Total All
growth
Date
Lines
rate
03/31/2006
3,761,500
0.1
%
06/30/2006
3,781,558
0.4
09/30/2006
3,793,455
0.6
12/31/2006
3,798,297
1.0
03/31/2007
3,811,723
1.3
06/30/2007
3,848,180
1.8
09/30/2007
3,873,665
2.1
12/31/2007
3,888,333
2.4
03/31/2008
3,905,942
2.5
CML* = Commercial
8
Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private
CML*
Passenger
CML*
Multi-
Workers
All Other
Date
Auto
Auto
Homeowners
Peril
Comp.
Lines
Total All Lines
03/31/2006
90.1
%
88.0
%
88.6
%
85.9
%
86.0
%
86.2
%
88.8
%
06/30/2006
90.3
87.7
88.9
85.9
85.9
86.5
89.0
09/30/2006
90.5
87.8
89.2
86.0
85.8
86.7
89.2
12/31/2006
90.8
87.7
89.4
86.0
85.7
87.1
89.5
03/31/2007
91.0
88.0
89.7
86.1
86.2
87.2
89.7
06/30/2007
91.1
88.1
89.9
86.0
86.3
87.6
89.9
09/30/2007
91.3
88.2
90.1
86.1
86.8
87.5
90.0
12/31/2007
91.5
88.2
90.3
86.0
86.8
87.8
90.2
03/31/2008
91.6
88.4
90.5
86.5
87.6
87.9
90.4
CML* = Commercial
9
Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private
12-mth.
12-mth.
All other
12-mth.
12-mth.
Passenger
percent
percent
Personal
percent
Total Personal
percent
Date
Auto
change
Homeowners
change
Lines
change
Lines
change
03/31/2006
$
1,161
(2.7
)%
$
539
(2.4
)%
$
349
0.6
%
$
832
(3.0
)%
06/30/2006
1,140
(3.9
)
535
(2.6
)
348
0.6
818
(3.9
)
09/30/2006
1,122
(4.8
)
530
(2.9
)
348
0.3
806
(4.7
)
12/31/2006
1,110
(5.5
)
526
(3.1
)
349
0.3
797
(5.2
)
03/31/2007
1,100
(5.3
)
524
(2.8
)
349
0.0
791
(4.9
)
06/30/2007
1,094
(4.0
)
520
(2.8
)
351
0.9
786
(3.9
)
09/30/2007
1,093
(2.6
)
519
(2.1
)
352
1.1
783
(2.9
)
12/31/2007
1,092
(1.6
)
518
(1.5
)
353
1.1
782
(1.9
)
03/31/2008
1,091
(0.8
)
518
(1.1
)
354
1.4
781
(1.3
)
12-mth.
12-mth.
12-mth.
Total
12-mth.
percent
percent
All Other
percent
CML*
percent
Date
CML* Auto
change
Workers Comp.
change
CML* Lines
change
Lines
change
03/31/2006
$
2,778
(0.8
)%
$
6,270
4.4
%
$
1,710
(0.6
)%
$
2,501
(0.5
)%
06/30/2006
2,730
(1.8
)
6,143
0.7
1,676
(1.9
)
2,444
(2.4
)
09/30/2006
2,705
(3.0
)
6,047
(0.9
)
1,669
(1.5
)
2,416
(3.0
)
12/31/2006
2,687
(3.4
)
5,985
(3.7
)
1,657
(2.8
)
2,393
(4.3
)
03/31/2007
2,664
(4.1
)
5,914
(5.7
)
1,641
(4.0
)
2,365
(5.4
)
06/30/2007
2,627
(3.8
)
5,901
(3.9
)
1,616
(3.6
)
2,333
(4.5
)
09/30/2007
2,600
(3.9
)
5,780
(4.4
)
1,592
(4.6
)
2,295
(5.0
)
12/31/2007
2,577
(4.1
)
5,602
(6.4
)
1,581
(4.6
)
2,262
(5.5
)
03/31/2008
2,568
(3.6
)
5,453
(7.8
)
1,576
(4.0
)
2,240
(5.3
)
12-mth.
Total All
percent
Date
Lines
change
03/31/2006
$
1,044
(2.1
)%
06/30/2006
1,026
(3.3
)
09/30/2006
1,011
(4.2
)
12/31/2006
1,001
(4.8
)
03/31/2007
991
(5.1
)
06/30/2007
984
(4.1
)
09/30/2007
978
(3.3
)
12/31/2007
973
(2.8
)
03/31/2008
969
(2.2
)
CML* = Commercial
10
PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS
Three Months ended
Three Months ended
March 31, 2008
March 31, 2007
Prior Year**
Current
Prior Year**
Current
Reserve
Accident
Reserve
Accident
Calendar*
Development
Year
Development
Year
Deficiency
Catastrophe
Excluding
Calendar*
Deficiency
Catastrophe
Excluding
Year
(Redundancy)
Losses
Catastrophes
Year
(Redundancy)
Losses
Catastrophes
Private passenger quto
85.0
%
-11.2
%
0.1
%
96.1
%
83.8
%
-14.4
%
0.0
%
98.2
%
Homeowners
90.5
%
-1.3
%
1.2
%
90.6
%
78.1
%
-9.1
%
0.5
%
86.7
%
Other personal lines
59.6
%
-16.9
%
0.1
%
76.4
%
78.9
%
-5.9
%
0.0
%
84.8
%
Total personal lines
85.3
%
-8.7
%
1.3
%
92.7
%
81.8
%
-12.6
%
0.5
%
93.9
%
Commercial multi-peril
109.1
%
13.2
%
0.3
%
95.6
%
93.7
%
-1.0
%
0.0
%
94.7
%
Commercial auto
62.9
%
-23.9
%
0.0
%
86.8
%
77.9
%
-12.3
%
0.0
%
90.2
%
Workers compensation
90.5
%
4.8
%
0.0
%
85.7
%
102.8
%
0.5
%
0.0
%
102.3
%
Other commercial lines
117.2
%
45.2
%
0.0
%
72.0
%
45.4
%
-24.8
%
0.0
%
70.2
%
Total commercial lines
91.7
%
2.8
%
0.3
%
88.6
%
88.7
%
-5.2
%
0.0
%
93.9
%
Grand total – direct business only
87.3
%
-5.3
%
1.6
%
91.0
%
84.0
%
-10.3
%
0.5
%
93.8
%
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
11
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