Exhibit 99.2
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(dollars in thousands, except per share data)
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months | months | months | months | |||||||||||||
ended | ended | ended | ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||||
Operating revenue | ||||||||||||||||
Management fee revenue, net | $ | 234,120 | $ | 232,089 | $ | 692,737 | $ | 690,432 | ||||||||
Premiums earned | 52,057 | 51,892 | 155,719 | 155,988 | ||||||||||||
Service agreement revenue | 8,340 | 7,470 | 23,480 | 22,186 | ||||||||||||
Total operating revenue | 294,517 | 291,451 | 871,936 | 868,606 | ||||||||||||
Operating expenses | ||||||||||||||||
Cost of management operations | 195,297 | 200,913 | 577,754 | 576,768 | ||||||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred | 37,185 | 30,766 | 104,768 | 92,789 | ||||||||||||
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses | 12,311 | 13,090 | 36,592 | 36,779 | ||||||||||||
Total operating expenses | 244,793 | 244,769 | 719,114 | 706,336 | ||||||||||||
Investment (loss) income – unaffiliated | ||||||||||||||||
Investment income, net of expenses | 10,218 | 12,233 | 33,357 | 40,350 | ||||||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments | (41,356 | ) | 3,438 | (80,202 | ) | 7,550 | ||||||||||
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships | 1,057 | 14,169 | 20,310 | 46,867 | ||||||||||||
Total investment (loss) income – unaffiliated | (30,081 | ) | 29,840 | (26,535 | ) | 94,767 | ||||||||||
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance | 19,643 | 76,522 | 126,287 | 257,037 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes | 6,011 | 23,669 | 40,550 | 79,767 | ||||||||||||
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax | (9,384 | ) | 643 | (10,197 | ) | 3,074 | ||||||||||
Net income | $ | 4,248 | $ | 53,496 | $ | 75,540 | $ | 180,344 | ||||||||
Net income per share: | ||||||||||||||||
Class A common stock – basic | $ | 0.08 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 1.45 | $ | 3.17 | ||||||||
Class A common stock – diluted | 0.07 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 2.87 | ||||||||||||
Class B common stock – basic and diluted | 15.92 | 145.92 | 216.59 | 482.27 | ||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding: | ||||||||||||||||
Class A common stock – basic | 51,376,513 | 55,183,547 | 51,984,203 | 56,727,315 | ||||||||||||
Class A common stock – diluted | 57,533,591 | 61,370,219 | 58,141,281 | 62,935,587 | ||||||||||||
Class B common stock – basic and diluted | 2,551 | 2,559 | 2,551 | 2,568 | ||||||||||||
Dividends declared per share: | ||||||||||||||||
Class A common stock | $ | 0.44 | $ | 0.40 | $ | 1.32 | $ | 1.20 | ||||||||
Class B common stock | 66.00 | 60.00 | 198.00 | 180.00 | ||||||||||||
1
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS
(amounts in thousands, except per share data)
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months ended | months ended | months ended | months ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||||
Management operations | ||||||||||||||||
Management fee revenue | $ | 247,723 | $ | 245,585 | $ | 733,131 | $ | 730,691 | ||||||||
Service agreement revenue | 8,340 | 7,470 | 23,480 | 22,186 | ||||||||||||
Total revenue from management operations | 256,063 | 253,055 | 756,611 | 752,877 | ||||||||||||
Cost of management operations | 206,652 | 212,601 | 611,426 | 610,377 | ||||||||||||
Income from management operations | 49,411 | 40,454 | 145,185 | 142,500 | ||||||||||||
Insurance underwriting operations | ||||||||||||||||
Premiums earned | 52,057 | 51,892 | 155,719 | 155,988 | ||||||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred | 37,185 | 30,766 | 104,768 | 92,789 | ||||||||||||
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses | 14,559 | 14,898 | 43,313 | 43,429 | ||||||||||||
Total losses and expenses | 51,744 | 45,664 | 148,081 | 136,218 | ||||||||||||
Underwriting income | 313 | 6,228 | 7,638 | 19,770 | ||||||||||||
Investment operations | ||||||||||||||||
Investment income, net of expenses | 10,218 | 12,233 | 33,357 | 40,350 | ||||||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments | (41,356 | ) | 3,438 | (80,202 | ) | 7,550 | ||||||||||
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships | 1,057 | 14,169 | 20,310 | 46,867 | ||||||||||||
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance | (10,090 | ) | 692 | (10,965 | ) | 3,304 | ||||||||||
Net (loss) revenue from investment operations | (40,171 | ) | 30,532 | (37,500 | ) | 98,071 | ||||||||||
Income before income taxes | 9,553 | 77,214 | 115,323 | 260,341 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes | 5,305 | 23,718 | 39,783 | 79,997 | ||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 4,248 | $ | 53,496 | $ | 75,540 | $ | 180,344 | ||||||||
Net income per share – Class A basic | $ | 0.08 | $ | 0.97 | $ | 1.45 | $ | 3.17 | ||||||||
Net income per share – Class A diluted | 0.07 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 2.87 | ||||||||||||
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted | 15.92 | 145.92 | 216.59 | 482.27 | ||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted | 57,534 | 61,370 | 58,141 | 62,936 | ||||||||||||
Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.
2
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME
Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures
We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Operating incomeis net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships includes the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses.
Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.
We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.
The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007:
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months ended | months ended | months ended | months ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(in thousands, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 31,129 | $ | 51,261 | $ | 127,671 | $ | 175,436 | ||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments | (41,356 | ) | 3,438 | (80,202 | ) | 7,550 | ||||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains | 14,475 | (1,203 | ) | 28,071 | (2,642 | ) | ||||||||||
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes | (26,881 | ) | 2,235 | (52,131 | ) | 4,908 | ||||||||||
Net income | $ | 4,248 | $ | 53,496 | $ | 75,540 | $ | 180,344 | ||||||||
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months ended | months ended | months ended | months ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||||
Per Class A share – diluted: | ||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 0.54 | $ | 0.84 | $ | 2.20 | $ | 2.79 | ||||||||
Net realized (losses) gains on investments | (0.72 | ) | 0.05 | (1.38 | ) | 0.12 | ||||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains | 0.25 | (0.02 | ) | 0.48 | (0.04 | ) | ||||||||||
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes | (0.47 | ) | 0.03 | (0.90 | ) | 0.08 | ||||||||||
Net income | $ | 0.07 | $ | 0.87 | $ | 1.30 | $ | 2.87 | ||||||||
3
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
(amounts in thousands, except per share data)
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2008 | 2007 | |||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
Assets | ||||||||
Investments | ||||||||
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value: | ||||||||
Fixed maturities | $ | 596,728 | $ | 703,406 | ||||
Equity securities | 68,868 | 218,270 | ||||||
Trading securities, at fair value | 74,506 | 0 | ||||||
Other invested assets | 313,206 | 297,059 | ||||||
Total investments | 1,053,308 | 1,218,735 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | 18,158 | 31,070 | ||||||
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance | 42,264 | 59,046 | ||||||
Premiums receivable from policyholders | 261,020 | 243,612 | ||||||
Receivables from affiliates | 1,185,975 | 1,177,830 | ||||||
Other assets | 174,201 | 148,330 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 2,734,926 | $ | 2,878,623 | ||||
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity | ||||||||
Liabilities | ||||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 995,603 | $ | 1,026,531 | ||||
Unearned premiums | 445,831 | 421,263 | ||||||
Other liabilities | 359,709 | 379,550 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 1,801,143 | 1,827,344 | ||||||
Total shareholders’ equity | 933,783 | 1,051,279 | ||||||
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity | $ | 2,734,926 | $ | 2,878,623 | ||||
Book value per share | $ | 16.24 | $ | 17.68 | ||||
Shares outstanding | 57,499 | 59,461 | ||||||
4
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months ended | months ended | months ended | months ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis) | ||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | |||||||||||||||
Direct underwriting results | ||||||||||||||||
Direct written premium | $ | 989,291 | $ | 981,539 | $ | 2,937,724 | $ | 2,927,965 | ||||||||
Premiums earned | 956,771 | 953,878 | 2,857,056 | 2,859,727 | ||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred | 695,208 | 547,077 | 1,900,836 | 1,662,200 | ||||||||||||
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses | 271,140 | 272,741 | 810,256 | 811,512 | ||||||||||||
Total losses and expenses | 966,348 | 819,818 | 2,711,092 | 2,473,712 | ||||||||||||
Direct underwriting (loss) income | (9,577 | ) | 134,060 | 145,964 | 386,015 | |||||||||||
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results | ||||||||||||||||
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions | 831 | (3,342 | ) | 486 | (6,892 | ) | ||||||||||
Assumed involuntary | 15,497 | (5,802 | ) | 13,092 | 16,477 | |||||||||||
Less: Ceded | (3,313 | ) | 5,824 | 14,984 | 20,482 | |||||||||||
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting income (loss) | 19,641 | (14,968 | ) | (1,406 | ) | (10,897 | ) | |||||||||
Net underwriting income (SAP basis) | $ | 10,064 | $ | 119,092 | $ | 144,558 | $ | 375,118 | ||||||||
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis) | ||||||||||||||||
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company | 5.50 | % | 5.50 | % | 5.50 | % | 5.50 | % | ||||||||
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis) | $ | 554 | $ | 6,550 | $ | 7,951 | $ | 20,631 | ||||||||
SAP to GAAP adjustments | (241 | ) | (322 | ) | (313 | ) | (861 | ) | ||||||||
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis) | $ | 313 | $ | 6,228 | $ | 7,638 | $ | 19,770 | ||||||||
Property & Casualty Group (SAP basis) | ||||||||||||||||
Net basis: | ||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio | 70.7 | % | 58.6 | % | 66.7 | % | 58.8 | % | ||||||||
Underwriting ratio | 27.0 | 27.3 | 27.2 | 27.0 | ||||||||||||
Policyholder dividends ratio | — | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||
Statutory combined ratio | 97.7 | 86.1 | 94.0 | 86.0 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component | 93.6 | 82.3 | 89.8 | 81.8 | ||||||||||||
Direct business: | ||||||||||||||||
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – redundancy | (0.4 | ) | (7.8 | ) | (3.2 | ) | (7.5 | ) | ||||||||
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected | (1.0 | ) | (1.0 | ) | (2.0 | ) | (2.0 | ) | ||||||||
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years | (1.4 | ) | (8.8 | ) | (5.2 | ) | (9.5 | ) | ||||||||
Loss ratio points from catastrophes | 5.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | ||||||||||||
Erie Indemnity Company | ||||||||||||||||
GAAP combined ratio | 99.4 | 88.0 | 95.1 | 87.3 | ||||||||||||
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes | 5.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).
5Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:
The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.
Three | Three | Nine | Nine | |||||||||||||
months ended | months ended | months ended | months ended | |||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | September 30, | |||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||
Statutory accounting basis | (Unaudited) | (Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||
Premiums earned | $ | 902,260 | $ | 899,455 | $ | 2,694,802 | $ | 2,702,322 | ||||||||
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and | ||||||||||||||||
underwriting expenses | 892,731 | 786,908 | 2,558,171 | 2,347,799 | ||||||||||||
Net underwriting income | 9,529 | 112,547 | 136,631 | 354,523 | ||||||||||||
Total investment (loss) income | (269,878 | ) | 109,933 | (294,141 | ) | 459,514 | ||||||||||
(Loss) income before income taxes | (260,349 | ) | 222,480 | (157,510 | ) | 814,037 | ||||||||||
Federal income tax expense | 15,800 | 101,778 | 129,164 | 284,297 | ||||||||||||
Net (loss) income | ($276,149 | ) | $ | 120,702 | ($286,674 | ) | $ | 529,740 | ||||||||
As of | As of | |||||||
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||
2008 | 2007 | |||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||
Statutory accounting basis | (Unaudited) | |||||||
Cash and invested assets | $ | 8,298,134 | $ | 8,927,997 | ||||
Other assets | 1,469,154 | 1,033,852 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 9,767,288 | $ | 9,961,849 | ||||
Loss, loss adjustments expense and | ||||||||
unearned premium reserves | $ | 4,941,535 | $ | 4,848,549 | ||||
Other liabilities | 405,337 | 345,776 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 5,346,872 | 5,194,325 | ||||||
Policyholders’ surplus | 4,420,416 | 4,767,524 | ||||||
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus | $ | 9,767,288 | $ | 9,961,849 | ||||
6
Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:
Three months | Three months | Nine months | Nine months | |||||||||||||||||||||
ended | ended | ended | ended | |||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, | September 30, | % | September 30, | September 30, | % | |||||||||||||||||||
2008 | 2007 | Change | 2008 | 2007 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private passenger auto | $ | 122,011 | $ | 120,242 | 1.5 | % | $ | 352,065 | $ | 347,611 | 1.3 | % | ||||||||||||
Homeowners | 52,266 | 51,589 | 1.3 | 141,806 | 140,248 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||
Commercial multi-peril | 25,877 | 25,491 | 1.5 | 84,570 | 84,371 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Commercial auto | 18,351 | 18,546 | -1.1 | 60,707 | 61,463 | -1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Workers compensation | 15,831 | 17,462 | -9.3 | 56,535 | 61,758 | -8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
All other lines of business | 12,987 | 12,055 | 7.7 | 38,748 | 36,540 | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
247,323 | 245,385 | 0.8 | 734,431 | 731,991 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies | 400 | 200 | (1,300 | ) | (1,300 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Management fee revenue, net of allowance | $ | 247,723 | $ | 245,585 | 0.9 | % | $ | 733,131 | $ | 730,691 | 0.3 | % | ||||||||||||
Management fee rate | 25.00 | % | 25.00 | % | 25.00 | % | 25.00 | % | ||||||||||||||||
7
Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | Total | 12-mth. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Passenger | growth | growth | All Other | growth | Personal | growth | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | Auto | rate | Homeowners | rate | Personal Lines | rate | Lines | rate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2006 | 1,636,947 | (0.9 | )% | 1,373,763 | 1.4 | % | 298,361 | 4.6 | % | 3,309,071 | 0.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2006 | 1,633,882 | (0.4 | ) | 1,377,965 | 1.8 | 301,497 | 5.2 | 3,313,344 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2007 | 1,635,714 | 0.0 | 1,384,856 | 2.1 | 305,591 | 5.4 | 3,326,161 | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2007 | 1,644,561 | 0.4 | 1,398,034 | 2.3 | 311,761 | 5.9 | 3,354,356 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2007 | 1,649,801 | 0.8 | 1,408,114 | 2.5 | 316,786 | 6.2 | 3,374,701 | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2007 | 1,651,234 | 1.1 | 1,413,712 | 2.6 | 321,431 | 6.6 | 3,386,377 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2008 | 1,655,869 | 1.2 | 1,420,250 | 2.6 | 325,926 | 6.7 | 3,402,045 | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2008 | 1,667,446 | 1.4 | 1,433,504 | 2.5 | 332,922 | 6.8 | 3,433,872 | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2008 | 1,677,151 | 1.7 | 1,446,779 | 2.7 | 340,566 | 7.5 | 3,464,496 | 2.7 |
12-mth. | CML* | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | Total | 12-mth. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CML* | growth | Multi- | growth | Workers | growth | All Other | growth | CML* | growth | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | Auto | rate | Peril | rate | Comp. | rate | CML* Lines | rate | Lines | rate | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2006 | 119,555 | 0.8 | % | 217,763 | 2.3 | % | 54,379 | (4.4 | )% | 92,687 | 2.9 | % | 484,384 | 1.2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2006 | 119,801 | 0.9 | 218,542 | 2.4 | 53,923 | (4.1 | ) | 92,687 | 2.7 | 484,953 | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2007 | 119,907 | 1.1 | 219,300 | 2.3 | 53,498 | (3.2 | ) | 92,857 | 2.8 | 485,562 | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2007 | 121,587 | 1.8 | 223,670 | 3.0 | 53,955 | (1.7 | ) | 94,612 | 3.3 | 493,824 | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2007 | 122,154 | 2.2 | 226,302 | 3.9 | 54,341 | (0.1 | ) | 96,167 | 3.8 | 498,964 | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2007 | 122,558 | 2.3 | 228,214 | 4.4 | 54,720 | 1.5 | 96,464 | 4.1 | 501,956 | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2008 | 122,882 | 2.5 | 229,577 | 4.7 | 54,927 | 2.7 | 96,511 | 3.9 | 503,897 | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2008 | 123,955 | 1.9 | 234,393 | 4.8 | 55,801 | 3.4 | 97,745 | 3.3 | 511,894 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2008 | 124,418 | 1.9 | 236,994 | 4.7 | 56,381 | 3.8 | 98,786 | 2.7 | 516,579 | 3.5 |
12-mth. | ||||||||
Total All | growth | |||||||
Date | Lines | rate | ||||||
09/30/2006 | 3,793,455 | 0.6 | % | |||||
12/31/2006 | 3,798,297 | 1.0 | ||||||
03/31/2007 | 3,811,723 | 1.3 | ||||||
06/30/2007 | 3,848,180 | 1.8 | ||||||
09/30/2007 | 3,873,665 | 2.1 | ||||||
12/31/2007 | 3,888,333 | 2.4 | ||||||
03/31/2008 | 3,905,942 | 2.5 | ||||||
06/30/2008 | 3,945,766 | 2.5 | ||||||
09/30/2008 | 3,981,075 | 2.8 |
CML* = Commercial
8
Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private | CML* | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Passenger | CML* | Multi- | Workers | All Other | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | Auto | Auto | Homeowners | Peril | Comp. | Lines | Total All Lines | |||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2006 | 90.5 | % | 87.8 | % | 89.2 | % | 86.0 | % | 85.8 | % | 86.7 | % | 89.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
12/31/2006 | 90.8 | 87.7 | 89.4 | 86.0 | 85.7 | 87.1 | 89.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2007 | 91.0 | 88.0 | 89.7 | 86.1 | 86.2 | 87.2 | 89.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2007 | 91.1 | 88.1 | 89.9 | 86.0 | 86.3 | 87.6 | 89.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2007 | 91.3 | 88.2 | 90.1 | 86.1 | 86.8 | 87.5 | 90.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2007 | 91.5 | 88.2 | 90.3 | 86.0 | 86.8 | 87.8 | 90.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2008 | 91.6 | 88.4 | 90.5 | 86.5 | 87.6 | 87.9 | 90.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2008 | 91.6 | 87.9 | 90.7 | 86.2 | 87.5 | 88.1 | 90.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2008 | 91.7 | 87.8 | 91.0 | 86.0 | 87.2 | 88.2 | 90.5 |
CML* = Commercial
9
Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:
Private | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | All other | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Passenger | percent | percent | Personal | percent | Total Personal | percent | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | Auto | change | Homeowners | change | Lines | change | Lines | change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2006 | $ | 1,122 | (4.8 | )% | $ | 530 | (2.9 | )% | $ | 348 | 0.3 | % | $ | 806 | (4.7) | % | ||||||||||||||||
12/31/2006 | 1,110 | (5.5 | ) | 526 | (3.1 | ) | 349 | 0.3 | 797 | (5.2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2007 | 1,100 | (5.3 | ) | 524 | (2.8 | ) | 349 | 0.0 | 791 | (4.9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2007 | 1,094 | (4.0 | ) | 520 | (2.8 | ) | 351 | 0.9 | 786 | (3.9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2007 | 1,093 | (2.6 | ) | 519 | (2.1 | ) | 352 | 1.1 | 783 | (2.9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2007 | 1,092 | (1.6 | ) | 518 | (1.5 | ) | 353 | 1.1 | 782 | (1.9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2008 | 1,091 | (0.8 | ) | 518 | (1.1 | ) | 354 | 1.4 | 781 | (1.3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2008 | 1,088 | (0.5 | ) | 514 | (1.2 | ) | 353 | 0.6 | 777 | (1.1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2008 | 1,086 | (0.6 | ) | 511 | (1.5 | ) | 354 | 0.6 | 774 | (1.1 | ) |
12-mth. | 12-mth. | 12-mth. | Total | 12-mth. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
percent | percent | All Other | percent | CML* | percent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | CML* Auto | change | Workers Comp. | change | CML* Lines | change | Lines | change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2006 | $ | 2,705 | (3.0 | )% | $ | 6,047 | (0.9 | )% | $ | 1,669 | (1.5 | )% | $ | 2,416 | (3.0 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
12/31/2006 | 2,687 | (3.4 | ) | 5,985 | (3.7 | ) | 1,657 | (2.8 | ) | 2,393 | (4.3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2007 | 2,664 | (4.1 | ) | 5,914 | (5.7 | ) | 1,641 | (4.0 | ) | 2,365 | (5.4 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2007 | 2,627 | (3.8 | ) | 5,901 | (3.9 | ) | 1,616 | (3.6 | ) | 2,333 | (4.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2007 | 2,600 | (3.9 | ) | 5,780 | (4.4 | ) | 1,592 | (4.6 | ) | 2,295 | (5.0 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
12/31/2007 | 2,577 | (4.1 | ) | 5,602 | (6.4 | ) | 1,581 | (4.6 | ) | 2,262 | (5.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
03/31/2008 | 2,568 | (3.6 | ) | 5,453 | (7.8 | ) | 1,576 | (4.0 | ) | 2,240 | (5.3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
06/30/2008 | 2,530 | (3.7 | ) | 5,236 | (11.3 | ) | 1,546 | (4.3 | ) | 2,187 | (6.3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/2008 | 2,514 | (3.3 | ) | 5,067 | (12.3 | ) | 1,536 | (3.5 | ) | 2,157 | (6.0 | ) |
12-mth. | ||||||||
Total All | percent | |||||||
Date | Lines | change | ||||||
09/30/2006 | $ | 1,011 | (4.2 | )% | ||||
12/31/2006 | 1,001 | (4.8 | ) | |||||
03/31/2007 | 991 | (5.1 | ) | |||||
06/30/2007 | 984 | (4.1 | ) | |||||
09/30/2007 | 978 | (3.3 | ) | |||||
12/31/2007 | 973 | (2.8 | ) | |||||
03/31/2008 | 969 | (2.2 | ) | |||||
06/30/2008 | 960 | (2.4 | ) | |||||
09/30/2008 | 953 | (2.6 | ) |
CML* = Commercial
10
PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS
Three Months ended | Three Months ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2008 | September 30, 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior Year** | Current | Prior Year** | Current | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve | Accident | Reserve | Accident | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Calendar* | Development | Year | Development | Year | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deficiency | Catastrophe | Excluding | Calendar* | Deficiency | Catastrophe | Excluding | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Year | (Redundancy) | Losses | Catastrophes | Year | (Redundancy) | Losses | Catastrophes | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private passenger auto | 82.9 | % | -3.5 | % | 0.6 | % | 85.8 | % | 79.0 | % | -10.4 | % | 0.7 | % | 88.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 116.6 | % | 0.8 | % | 4.0 | % | 111.8 | % | 87.0 | % | -1.6 | % | 2.2 | % | 86.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other personal lines | 68.2 | % | -11.4 | % | 0.2 | % | 79.4 | % | 78.3 | % | -0.4 | % | 0.2 | % | 78.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total personal lines | 91.6 | % | -2.6 | % | 4.8 | % | 89.4 | % | 81.3 | % | -7.5 | % | 3.0 | % | 85.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial multi-peril | 119.2 | % | 4.2 | % | 0.8 | % | 114.2 | % | 94.0 | % | -9.6 | % | 0.2 | % | 103.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial auto | 81.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 81.0 | % | 70.3 | % | -17.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 87.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Workers compensation | 115.8 | % | 6.6 | % | 0.0 | % | 109.2 | % | 84.9 | % | -1.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 86.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other commercial lines | 144.3 | % | 22.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 121.6 | % | 73.3 | % | 10.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 62.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total commercial lines | 109.4 | % | 4.9 | % | 0.8 | % | 103.7 | % | 83.6 | % | -8.4 | % | 0.4 | % | 91.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Grand total – direct business only | 96.6 | % | -0.4 | % | 5.6 | % | 91.4 | % | 81.7 | % | -7.8 | % | 3.4 | % | 86.1 | % |
Nine Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2008 | September 30, 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Prior Year** | Current | Prior Year** | Current | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve | Accident | Reserve | Accident | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Calendar* | Development | Year | Development | Year | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deficiency | Catastrophe | Excluding | Calendar* | Deficiency | Catastrophe | Excluding | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Year | (Redundancy) | Losses | Catastrophes | Year | (Redundancy) | Losses | Catastrophes | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private passenger auto | 83.8 | % | -5.7 | % | 0.4 | % | 89.1 | % | 79.6 | % | -11.4 | % | 0.3 | % | 90.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Homeowners | 98.3 | % | -3.3 | % | 2.4 | % | 99.2 | % | 84.9 | % | -2.4 | % | 1.4 | % | 85.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other personal lines | 75.5 | % | -6.4 | % | 0.1 | % | 81.8 | % | 85.6 | % | 4.2 | % | 0.1 | % | 81.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total personal lines | 87.5 | % | -5.1 | % | 2.9 | % | 89.7 | % | 81.3 | % | -8.3 | % | 1.8 | % | 87.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial multi-peril | 100.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.4 | % | 100.4 | % | 90.4 | % | -4.6 | % | 0.1 | % | 94.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial auto | 79.3 | % | -6.6 | % | 0.1 | % | 85.8 | % | 73.5 | % | -13.6 | % | 0.1 | % | 87.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Workers compensation | 107.0 | % | 5.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 101.1 | % | 88.3 | % | 1.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 87.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other commercial lines | 108.5 | % | 23.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 85.5 | % | 55.9 | % | -4.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 60.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total commercial lines | 97.0 | % | 1.3 | % | 0.5 | % | 95.2 | % | 82.8 | % | -5.6 | % | 0.2 | % | 88.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Grand total – direct business only | 90.3 | % | -3.2 | % | 3.4 | % | 90.1 | % | 81.8 | % | -7.5 | % | 2.0 | % | 87.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries. |
11