Loss and Loss Expense Reserves | Note C – Loss and Loss Expense Reserves Activity in the reserves for losses and loss expenses is summarized as follows. All amounts are shown net of reinsurance, unless otherwise indicated. 2017 2016 2015 Reserves, gross of reinsurance recoverable, at the beginning of the year $ 576,330 $ 513,596 $ 506,102 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the beginning of the year 251,563 211,843 210,519 Reserves at the beginning of the year 324,767 301,753 295,583 Provision for losses and loss expenses: Claims occurring during the current year 228,303 172,645 165,812 Claims occurring during prior years 19,215 13,836 (10,062 ) Total incurred losses and loss expenses 247,518 186,481 155,750 Loss and loss expense payments: Claims occurring during the current year 67,234 54,239 56,710 Claims occurring during prior years 132,920 109,228 92,870 Total paid 200,154 163,467 149,580 Reserves at the end of the year 372,131 324,767 301,753 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the end of the year 308,143 251,563 211,843 Reserves, gross of reinsurance recoverable, at the end of the year $ 680,274 $ 576,330 $ 513,596 The table above shows that a reserve deficiency of $19,215 developed during 2017 in the settlement of claims occurring on or before December 31, 2016, compared to a reserve deficiency of $13,836 in 2016 and a reserve savings of $10,062 in 2015. The developments for each year are composed of individual claim savings and deficiencies which, in the aggregate have resulted from the settlement of claims at amounts higher or lower than previously reserved and from changes in estimates of losses incurred but not reported as part of the normal reserving process. The $19,215 prior accident year deficiency that developed during 2017 primarily related to: (1) infrequent, but severe, transportation losses that experienced adverse development primarily during the first six months of 2017 and (2) higher than expected loss development for discontinued lines of business. This 2017 deficiency compares to a deficiency of $13,836 for 2016, which was also impacted by discontinued lines of business. Loss reserves have been reduced by estimated salvage and subrogation recoverable of approximately $7,559 and $4,151 at December 31, 2017 and 2016, respectively. The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2017, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred ‐ ‐ ‐ As of December 31, 2017 Total of Incurred- Workers' Compensation but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Expected Number of Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Development on Reported Claims Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Reported Claims Per Year 2008 $ 19,833 $ 23,640 $ 24,715 $ 24,721 $ 24,855 $ 25,109 $ 23,916 $ 24,048 $ 24,352 $ 25,077 $ 661 3,656 2009 17,270 20,931 21,447 21,261 21,268 20,767 20,641 20,817 20,946 877 3,784 2010 20,644 20,111 19,400 19,300 18,849 18,344 19,195 19,541 1,096 4,222 2011 26,057 26,628 26,958 26,767 25,515 27,293 26,617 2,399 4,545 2012 23,965 25,544 24,887 24,485 25,616 27,020 3,151 4,479 2013 27,619 30,638 29,913 32,121 32,553 5,344 5,271 2014 36,768 36,968 34,009 33,427 5,848 5,394 2015 26,277 23,115 25,889 6,921 6,284 2016 35,240 29,757 9,795 6,003 2017 42,387 25,679 14,490 Total $ 283,214 $ 61,771 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 $ 6,046 $ 13,919 $ 17,320 $ 18,943 $ 20,055 $ 20,839 $ 21,306 $ 21,883 $ 22,199 22,910 2009 4,186 10,073 13,343 15,576 16,592 17,448 18,028 18,514 18,982 2010 3,974 9,134 11,963 13,845 14,966 15,835 16,590 16,789 2011 4,916 11,912 15,973 18,884 20,617 21,622 22,569 2012 4,597 11,004 14,834 17,415 18,946 20,276 2013 4,880 12,792 18,065 21,655 23,643 2014 5,328 13,665 19,075 22,387 2015 2,918 10,128 15,020 2016 5,784 13,377 2017 6,150 Total $ 182,103 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2008 net of reinsurance 12,640 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 113,751 As of December 31, 2017 Total of Incurred- Commercial Liability but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Expected Number of Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Development on Reported Claims Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Reported Claims Per Year 2008 $ 34,693 $ 28,591 $ 27,311 $ 25,511 $ 23,989 $ 24,892 $ 24,902 $ 23,480 $ 23,482 $ 23,733 $ 110 1,280 2009 29,707 30,406 30,203 26,280 27,259 25,872 25,373 25,320 25,485 136 1,161 2010 31,124 22,161 21,899 19,139 20,300 19,764 19,377 19,081 96 2,384 2011 46,829 43,832 31,633 36,894 35,805 37,122 36,076 271 2,764 2012 49,743 54,269 49,743 51,367 48,708 51,475 478 3,211 2013 53,817 39,143 37,701 36,371 46,690 664 3,611 2014 49,971 52,254 52,483 52,964 1,451 3,091 2015 61,420 70,174 64,323 2,278 3,340 2016 61,638 68,974 6,725 3,581 2017 103,126 $ 43,880 4,387 Total $ 491,927 $ 56,089 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 $ 2,612 $ 8,942 $ 15,733 $ 21,220 $ 21,396 $ 23,169 $ 23,354 $ 23,444 $ 23,500 $ 23,510 2009 928 17,880 19,718 23,521 24,866 25,066 25,114 25,125 25,199 2010 1,649 7,166 11,635 16,052 18,627 18,517 18,866 18,662 2011 1,809 11,350 23,615 30,795 33,255 34,009 35,561 2012 3,086 23,252 32,942 45,303 47,601 50,036 2013 5,167 15,772 25,270 34,481 44,865 2014 4,023 9,046 28,393 45,075 2015 10,923 27,582 49,267 2016 6,843 30,377 2017 11,415 Total $ 333,967 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2008 net of reinsurance 4,621 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 162,581 As of December 31, 2017 Total of Incurred- Professional Liability Reinsurance Assumed (in runoff) but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Expected Number of Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Development on Reported Claims Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Reported Claims Per Year 2008 2009 2010 $ 2,196 $ 4,277 $ 7,827 $ 7,946 $ 9,733 $ 10,740 $ 11,689 $ 11,893 $ 175 N/A 2011 10,492 8,314 9,017 9,859 10,779 12,735 12,744 290 N/A 2012 10,041 9,276 5,569 10,157 14,605 16,555 3,049 N/A 2013 14,370 13,034 11,618 17,694 23,256 4,653 N/A 2014 12,675 8,825 7,259 9,837 2,621 N/A 2015 11,638 7,859 7,147 3,290 N/A 2016 6,368 2,482 2,273 N/A 2017 - - N/A Total $ 83,914 $ 16,351 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance Accident For the Years Ended December 31 (2008-2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 $ 41 $ 729 $ 3,505 $ 5,844 $ 7,758 $ 9,904 $ 11,132 $ 11,334 2011 50 637 2,061 4,983 8,104 10,404 11,679 2012 103 992 2,388 5,077 8,355 11,239 2013 123 1,135 5,088 10,988 14,779 2014 723 761 2,241 3,999 2015 10 390 1,899 2016 - 5 2017 - Total $ 54,934 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2008 net of reinsurance - Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 28,980 The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position at December 31 is as follows. 2017 2016 Net outstanding liabilities Commercial Liability $ 162,581 $ 133,139 Workers' Compensation 113,751 101,883 Professional Liability Assumed 28,980 34,700 Other short-duration insurance lines 48,970 38,556 Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance 354,282 308,278 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims Commercial Liability 124,695 85,549 Workers' Compensation 170,394 153,847 Other short-duration insurance lines 13,053 12,167 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the end of the year 308,142 251,563 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 17,850 16,489 Total gross liability for unpaid claims and claims adjustment expense $ 680,274 $ 576,330 The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2017. Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Commercial Liability 9.1 % 31.1 % 25.3 % 22.3 % 7.0 % 2.9 % 1.8 % 0.1 % 0.3 % 0.1 % Workers' Compensation 17.6 % 26.5 % 15.5 % 9.7 % 5.6 % 4.1 % 3.0 % 1.9 % 1.7 % 2.8 % Professional Liability Assumed 1.3 % 3.7 % 16.0 % 20.4 % 19.2 % 17.8 % 10.2 % 1.7 % Reserve methodologies for incurred but not reported losses The Company uses both standard actuarial techniques common to most insurance companies as well as proprietary techniques developed by the Company in connection with its specialty business products. For its short-tail lines of The Company also uses the loss development factor approach for its long-tail lines of business, including workers' compensation. A minimum of 15 accident years is included in the loss development triangles used to calculate link ratios and the selected loss development factors used to determine the reserves for incurred but not reported losses. Significant emphasis is placed on the use of tail factors for the Company's long-tail lines of business. For the Company's fleet transportation risks, which are covered by regularly updated reinsurance agreements and which contain wide-ranging self-insured retentions ("SIR"), traditional actuarial methods are supplemented by other methods, as described below, in consideration of the Company's exposures to loss. In situations where the Company's reinsurance structure, the insured's SIR selections, policy volume, and other factors are changing, current accident period loss exposures may not be homogenous enough with historical loss data to allow for reliable projection of future developed losses. Therefore, the Company supplements the above-described actuarial methods with loss ratio reserving techniques developed from the Company's extensive, proprietary databases to arrive at the reserve for incurred but not reported losses for the calendar/accident period under review. As losses for a given calendar/accident period develop with the passage of time, management evaluates such development on a monthly and quarterly basis and adjusts reserve factors, as necessary, to reflect current judgment with regard to the anticipated ultimate incurred losses. This process continues until all losses are settled for each period subject to this method. Claim count methodology The Company uses a claim event and coverage combination to estimate frequency. For example, a single claim event involving loss for physical damage of a vehicle and personal injury to a claimant would be considered two claims for purposes of the calculation of frequency. A single claim event causing personal injury to two claimants would be considered a single claim under the methodology. |